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What Role Did Credit Rating Agencies Play in the Credit Crisis? By ...

What Role Did Credit Rating Agencies Play in the Credit Crisis? By ...

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Each CRA has its own rat<strong>in</strong>g scale. Moody’s and S&P use <strong>the</strong> two pr<strong>in</strong>cipal scales.<br />

Moody’s highest rat<strong>in</strong>g is AAA, and anyth<strong>in</strong>g between AAA and Baa3 is “<strong>in</strong>vestment grade.”<br />

S&P and Fitch share a scale, with AAA be<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> highest rat<strong>in</strong>g. <strong>Rat<strong>in</strong>g</strong>s between AAA and<br />

BBB are “<strong>in</strong>vestment grade.” <strong>Rat<strong>in</strong>g</strong>s below <strong>the</strong>se levels are considered “speculative,” a label<br />

that denotes a risky <strong>in</strong>vestment. The less risk a CRA perceives <strong>in</strong> an entity or <strong>the</strong> issu<strong>in</strong>g debtor,<br />

<strong>the</strong> higher <strong>the</strong> rat<strong>in</strong>g. Therefore, when compar<strong>in</strong>g f<strong>in</strong>ancial <strong>in</strong>struments promis<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> same<br />

yields, <strong>in</strong>vestors are more will<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>in</strong>vest <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> higher-rated <strong>in</strong>strument. Certa<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>stitutional<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestors, such as pension funds, are only permitted by law to <strong>in</strong>vest <strong>in</strong> “<strong>in</strong>vestment grade”<br />

<strong>in</strong>struments. A low-rated entity must provide <strong>in</strong>vestors with additional <strong>in</strong>centives, such as higher<br />

<strong>in</strong>terest rates, to conv<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong>m to <strong>in</strong>vest. In this way, rat<strong>in</strong>gs directly affect <strong>the</strong> cost of rais<strong>in</strong>g<br />

capital. For example, <strong>in</strong> 2004, S&P data showed that if an entity advanced from a category BBB<br />

to a category BB, its borrow<strong>in</strong>g costs were reduced by almost 50 percent.<br />

While each CRA has its own unique rat<strong>in</strong>g procedures, <strong>the</strong> general process is similar<br />

across most CRAs. A credit rat<strong>in</strong>g is based on both quantitative and qualitative values.<br />

Quantitative data may <strong>in</strong>clude (1) data from <strong>the</strong> issuer about its f<strong>in</strong>ancial position, especially data<br />

on cash flow relative to debt obligations, (2) data <strong>the</strong> agency ga<strong>the</strong>rs on <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry,<br />

competitors, and <strong>the</strong> overall economy, and (3) legal advice relat<strong>in</strong>g to an issuance. Qualitative<br />

data may <strong>in</strong>clude (1) data from <strong>the</strong> issuer about management, policy, bus<strong>in</strong>ess outlook, and<br />

account<strong>in</strong>g practices, and (2) data ga<strong>the</strong>red by <strong>the</strong> agency relat<strong>in</strong>g to competitive position,<br />

quality of management, long-term <strong>in</strong>dustry prospects, and economic environment. A rat<strong>in</strong>g is<br />

typically reached by a team of raters under <strong>the</strong> direction of a lead analyst. A debtor or f<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />

<strong>in</strong>strument to be rated is assigned to <strong>the</strong> analyst team that specializes <strong>in</strong> that debtor or<br />

<strong>in</strong>strument’s <strong>in</strong>dustry. Analysts beg<strong>in</strong> by collect<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>formation on <strong>the</strong> entity <strong>the</strong>y are rat<strong>in</strong>g. This<br />

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