Appendix 4 – Lakes TSA Technical Working Group Report

Lakes is set at 2 million cubic metres per year and over the past 5 years (2006-2011), an
average of about 1.8 million cubic metres per year has been harvested.
• The above suggests that this mitigation option would not affect short-term timber supply.
• This option would result in an additional 100 000 cubic metres per year over the mid-term
period. Between decade 60 and 90, the timber supply would be 1 010 000 cubic metres per
year, which is a 2 percent increase compared to the reference forecast.
• Most of the mid-term timber supply gain (90 percent) is due to the contribution of non-pine
stands currently located in OGMAs.
• Under Option 2 and 3, the growing stock is lower than in the reference scenario for most of
the forecast period.
Volume (millions of m 3 /year)
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
Mid‐Term Timber Supply Forecasts for the Lakes TSA
600 000 m 3 /year
500 000 m3/year
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Decades from 2010
Reference Forecast
Mitigation Option Forecast
Figure 6Timber Supply Forecast Based on Option 3 (in blue) Compared to the Reference Forecast (in Black)
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