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Problem Set 5 - with solutions - iSites - Harvard University

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2. Policy Design<br />

Explain whether the following statement is true, false, or uncertain (no more than one paragraph):<br />

When it comes to climate policy design, more policy instruments are better than fewer. For<br />

example, in the context of US climate change policy, a Federal cap-and-trade program combined<br />

<strong>with</strong> state-level renewable portfolio standards will necessarily lead to more emissions reductions<br />

at lower cost.<br />

False. It depends on how the policy instruments interact <strong>with</strong> each other. This depends on what<br />

types of instruments are being interacted, and whether they are neatly dovetailed (e.g. stringency<br />

increases to the overall cap to account for the inclusion of an RPS) or thrown together for<br />

political expediency.<br />

3. Cap and Trade<br />

Critics of cap-and-trade policies sometimes point out that allowance prices in programs like the<br />

SO 2 Market (Clean Air Act) or the EU ETS exhibit high volatility. Focusing on one of these two<br />

programs in particular, explain a few of the factors that may have contributed to allowance price<br />

volatility. Does this volatility imply that a price instrument would have been preferable from the<br />

standpoint of economic efficiency (in either case)? Please keep your answer to one half page.<br />

Responses could point to one of many possible factors for this question.<br />

- Legislative uncertainty in both cases, particularly in the SO2 program<br />

- Economic recession and reduced demand for permits due to reduced energy demand<br />

- Scientific uncertainty over climate damages and “true shadow price” of carbon<br />

- Policy uncertainty over other interacting policy instruments<br />

- Could also in principle reflect changing marginal abatement costs (or changing<br />

expectations thereof)<br />

Volatility in allowance prices does not necessarily imply that a price instrument would have been<br />

more efficient per se. Arguments can be made either way.<br />

For example, if firms make irreversible investments under uncertainty about the permit price,<br />

then we can make the case that a highly volatile cap and trade system has efficiency losses<br />

compared to a tax.

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