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Lecture 1: Real Estate Process Overview - Dr. James R. DeLisle

Lecture 1: Real Estate Process Overview - Dr. James R. DeLisle

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Risk Management and <strong>Real</strong> <strong>Estate</strong><br />

© JR <strong>DeLisle</strong>, Ph. D.<br />

• Risk Scenarios<br />

• Situation: Buying Property<br />

• Case A. Predict rents rise to $30/sf; only hit $20.<br />

• Case B. Predict rents rise to $20/sf; actually, hit $30<br />

• Which is Risk? A, B, A & B, None of above?<br />

• Definition of Risk<br />

potential variation between expectations and realizations<br />

• Causes of Risk<br />

– Inadequate information<br />

– Inaccurate data<br />

– Invalid predictive model<br />

– Unforeseen change in environment<br />

– Other externalities<br />

<strong>Real</strong> <strong>Estate</strong> <strong>Process</strong>

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