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Affordable Debris Removal and Collection in LEO - Star Technology ...

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63 rd International Astronautical Congress, Naples, Italy. Copyright ©2012 by Jerome Pearson.<br />

All rights reserved. Published by the IAF with permission, <strong>and</strong> released to the IAF to publish <strong>in</strong> all forms.<br />

III. WHOLESALE DEBRIS REMOVAL<br />

CAMPAIGN<br />

There are two dist<strong>in</strong>ct types of collisions that we<br />

really should dist<strong>in</strong>guish: collisions between large<br />

objects that create lots of shrapnel but may not <strong>in</strong>volve<br />

immediate asset losses, if both objects are debris, <strong>and</strong><br />

expensive lethal collisions of mostly untracked<br />

shrapnel with high-value assets years to decades later.<br />

EDDE protects future assets by greatly reduc<strong>in</strong>g<br />

future production of shrapnel.<br />

We considered three different options for <strong>LEO</strong><br />

debris removal campaigns. The goal of the first<br />

campaign is the wholesale removal of all large debris<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>LEO</strong>. Our recent analysis <strong>in</strong> Acta Astronautica 8<br />

concluded that a dozen EDDE vehicles can remove all<br />

large debris from <strong>LEO</strong> <strong>in</strong> about 7 years. They can all<br />

be launched on one ESPA r<strong>in</strong>g (two per slot), but our<br />

analysis shows that phased deployment has<br />

advantages. Two EDDE vehicles can be launched<br />

every year <strong>and</strong> retired after 5 years of service. In 9<br />

years of operation, 2,000 tons of large legacy debris<br />

<strong>and</strong> 97% of the collision-generated debris potential <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>LEO</strong> can be removed at an average cost of less than<br />

$400 per kg <strong>and</strong> an average annual cost of less than<br />

$90M. The progression of this campaign is illustrated<br />

<strong>in</strong> Figure 4.<br />

Figure 4. <strong>Debris</strong> <strong>Removal</strong> Campaign 1<br />

In years 1-8, we build 2 EDDE vehicles per year<br />

<strong>and</strong> launch them the year after they are built. We<br />

reach a peak of 10 EDDEs <strong>in</strong> orbit <strong>in</strong> year 6. In year<br />

7, we start retir<strong>in</strong>g 2 vehicles per year after 5 years of<br />

service, as they f<strong>in</strong>ish remov<strong>in</strong>g the bulk of the<br />

exist<strong>in</strong>g large debris.<br />

We do not plan to go after the largest debris<br />

objects <strong>in</strong> the beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g, because we need to ga<strong>in</strong><br />

experience <strong>and</strong> perfect the removal operations. We<br />

will gradually <strong>in</strong>crease the limit on the size of the<br />

debris objects from 1.5 tons <strong>in</strong> year 2 to 3 tons <strong>in</strong> year<br />

4, with no limit after that. In years 2-6, we work on<br />

remov<strong>in</strong>g the upper stages from the high-<strong>in</strong>cl<strong>in</strong>ation<br />

clusters. We start remov<strong>in</strong>g defunct satellites <strong>in</strong> year<br />

7. Smaller debris objects are removed mostly <strong>in</strong> the<br />

second half of the campaign. To estimate throughput,<br />

we add 20% time marg<strong>in</strong>s on all operations. On top of<br />

that, we assume 80% capacity utilization <strong>in</strong> the first<br />

year, <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g 5% each year until it reaches 95%.<br />

This debris removal campaign results <strong>in</strong> a major<br />

reduction of the debris-generation potential with<strong>in</strong> 10<br />

years. After that, EDDE debris removal efforts would<br />

IAC-12-A6.6.7 4

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