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A Practical Guide to Critical Thinking - The Skeptic's Dictionary

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Greg R. Haskins<br />

15<br />

Table 3<br />

Hindrances Due To<br />

Faulty Logic Or Perception<br />

Hindrance Definition Example <strong>Critical</strong> <strong>Thinking</strong> Tip<br />

Ad Hoc<br />

Hypothesis<br />

Apophenia &<br />

Superstition<br />

Argument from<br />

Ignorance<br />

Begging the<br />

Question<br />

Clustering<br />

Illusion & Texas<br />

Sharpshooter<br />

Fallacy<br />

False Analogies<br />

Forer Effect<br />

Gambler’s<br />

Fallacy<br />

A hypothesis, which<br />

cannot be independently<br />

tested, is used <strong>to</strong> explain<br />

away facts that refute a<br />

theory or claim.<br />

Erroneous perception of<br />

the connections between<br />

unrelated events.<br />

A logical fallacy claiming<br />

something is true<br />

because it has not been<br />

proven false.<br />

A fallacious form of<br />

arguing in which one<br />

assumes <strong>to</strong> be true<br />

something that one is<br />

trying <strong>to</strong> prove.<br />

<strong>The</strong> erroneous<br />

impression that random<br />

events that occur in<br />

clusters are not random.<br />

Making illogical<br />

analogies <strong>to</strong> support the<br />

validity of a particular<br />

claim.<br />

<strong>The</strong> tendency <strong>to</strong> accept<br />

vague personality<br />

descriptions that can be<br />

applicable <strong>to</strong> most<br />

people as uniquely<br />

applicable <strong>to</strong> oneself.<br />

<strong>The</strong> fallacy that<br />

something with fixed<br />

probabilities will increase<br />

or decrease depending<br />

upon recent<br />

occurrences.<br />

Psi researchers often blame<br />

the “hostile thoughts” of<br />

onlookers for adversely<br />

affecting instruments<br />

measuring the alleged<br />

existence of psychic powers<br />

Irrationally believing that how<br />

one wears their hat while<br />

watching a football game can<br />

influence the score.<br />

Believing that there must be<br />

life on Mars because no one<br />

has proved that there is not life<br />

on Mars.<br />

A man claiming that<br />

paranormal phenomena exists<br />

because he has had<br />

experiences that can only be<br />

described as paranormal.<br />

In ESP experiments, a “water<br />

witcher” using dowsing may<br />

find water at a slightly higherthan-chance<br />

rate over a brief<br />

period of time, and mistakenly<br />

assume this proves dowsing<br />

really works.<br />

Arguing that two children<br />

sharing the same bedroom is<br />

wrong because double-celling<br />

of criminals in a penitentiary<br />

can lead <strong>to</strong> bad behavior.<br />

Astrology readings, intended<br />

for people of a specific sign,<br />

can be applicable <strong>to</strong> most<br />

individuals. This effect usually<br />

works in conjunction with ‘Self-<br />

Deception’ and ‘Wishful<br />

<strong>Thinking</strong>.’<br />

<strong>The</strong> misconception that picking<br />

lottery numbers that have not<br />

yet been picked will increase<br />

your chances of winning.<br />

Put low reliance, or reserve<br />

judgment on, claims that<br />

cannot be independently<br />

tested.<br />

Recognize the difference<br />

between cause & effect<br />

versus unrelated<br />

coincidence.<br />

Do not believe a<br />

proposition simply because<br />

it cannot be proven false.<br />

Recognize when an<br />

argument assumes <strong>to</strong> be<br />

true something it is<br />

attempting <strong>to</strong> prove. When<br />

this occurs, seek<br />

alternative explanations.<br />

Understand the basic<br />

principles of probability &<br />

statistics. Recognize when<br />

numbers are being used<br />

correctly & objectively<br />

versus incorrectly & with<br />

bias.<br />

Learn <strong>to</strong> recognize the<br />

faulty assumptions behind<br />

false analogies.<br />

<strong>Critical</strong>ly evaluate if<br />

personality<br />

characterizations are truly<br />

unique <strong>to</strong> you, or could<br />

apply <strong>to</strong> most people.<br />

Learn <strong>to</strong> recognize and<br />

distinguish events that<br />

have fixed versus variable<br />

probabilities.

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