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Evaluation of Miscanthus Cultivars for Fecundity and Potential ...

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Can cultivars <strong>of</strong> invasive plants be<br />

safe? Examples from <strong>Miscanthus</strong><br />

Kayri Havens <strong>and</strong> Glen Madeja<br />

Chicago Botanic Garden<br />

<strong>and</strong><br />

Tiffany Knight<br />

Washington University


The Invasive Problem<br />

• Invasive species are the 2 nd<br />

largest threat to biodiversity<br />

• We depend on biodiversity<br />

• Food, Medicines<br />

• Shelter<br />

• Ecosystem services<br />

• Invasive species cost the US<br />

$138 billion/year, invasive<br />

plant costs are conservatively<br />

$35 billion/year


The “Cultivar Issue”<br />

• <strong>Cultivars</strong> can vary<br />

significantly in their<br />

fecundity<br />

• When a wild type <strong>and</strong>/or<br />

one or more cultivars are<br />

invasive, should all be<br />

banned?<br />

• Are “sterile” cultivars<br />

always sterile?


Modeling effect <strong>of</strong> fecundity on<br />

population growth rate<br />

• We took a demographic approach to<br />

ask, “When reducing fecundity <strong>of</strong><br />

cultivars, how much is enough to create<br />

a plant that will not be invasive?”<br />

• Modeling was done by Tiffany Knight<br />

(Washington University)


Japanese Barberry (Berberis thunbergii)<br />

A popular horticultural shrub that has become a natural area invader<br />

“The reasons? Sheer growability… hardy<br />

to zone 4, can take sun or shade, wet or<br />

dry, <strong>and</strong> will come back strong after a<br />

beating.”<br />

“one <strong>of</strong> the most destructive invasive plants in Connecticut”<br />

--Connecticut Botanical Society


Why the resistance?<br />

Japanese Barberry sales in Connecticut Alone<br />

--$15-20 million Annually--


Why the resistance?<br />

35 <strong>Cultivars</strong> <strong>of</strong> Japanese Barberry<br />

• Aurea<br />

• Bonanza Gold<br />

• Angel Wings<br />

• Crimson Giant<br />

• Rosy Glow<br />

Individuals within these range from producing less than<br />

100 to over 3000 seeds per year<br />

“I know that some Barberries have become invasive but<br />

mine doesn't really set any seed <strong>and</strong> my plants are<br />

only 2 feet high after almost 5 years in the ground.”


A demographic approach<br />

Cultivar #1<br />

Cultivar #2<br />

0.05<br />

0.95<br />

0.50<br />

0.95<br />

Seedling<br />

0.05<br />

Juvenile<br />

0.80<br />

Adult<br />

Seedling<br />

0.05<br />

Juvenile<br />

0.35<br />

Adult<br />

1000 * 0.10<br />

50 * 0.10<br />

λ=1.50<br />

λ=1.00


Plant invasions <strong>and</strong> matrix models<br />

Plant<br />

Life <strong>for</strong>m<br />

Invasive Range Selected Reference<br />

Dipsacus sylvestris Biennial USA Werner <strong>and</strong> Caswell 1978<br />

Alliaria petiolata Biennial USA Davis et al. 2006<br />

Carduus nutans Monocarpic herb New Zeal<strong>and</strong> Shea <strong>and</strong> Kelly 1998<br />

Heracleum mantegazzianum Monocarpic herb Europe Nehrbass et al. 2006<br />

Cirsium vulgare Monocarpic herb USA Tenhumberg et al. 2007<br />

Molinia caerulea Perennial grass Western Europe Jacquemyn et al. 2005<br />

Agropyron cristatum Perennial grass USA Hansen <strong>and</strong> Wilson 2006<br />

Lespedeza cuneata Perennial herb USA Schutzenh<strong>of</strong>er <strong>and</strong> Knight 2007<br />

Centaurea maculosa Perennial herb USA Emery <strong>and</strong> Gross 2005<br />

Clidemia hirta Shrub USA DeWalt 2006<br />

Ardisia elliptica Shrub USA Koop <strong>and</strong> Horvitz 2005<br />

Cytisus scoparius Shrub USA Parker 2000<br />

Pinus nigra Tree New Zeal<strong>and</strong> Buckley et al. 2005


Alliaria petiolata (Garlic mustard)<br />

A typical short-lived invasive plant<br />

Seed<br />

Rosette<br />

Adult<br />

Seed<br />

Bank<br />

Rosette<br />

Adults<br />

Davis et al. 2006


Alliaria petiolata (Garlic mustard)<br />

A typical short-lived invasive plant<br />

Seed<br />

Rosette<br />

Adult<br />

0.02<br />

0.27<br />

Seed<br />

Bank<br />

.026<br />

0.36<br />

0.03 0.62<br />

Rosette<br />

0.09 0.45<br />

.27<br />

Adults<br />

λ=1.42<br />

0.09<br />

Davis et al. 2006


Population growth rate (λ)<br />

Reducing seed output reduces population<br />

growth <strong>of</strong> garlic mustard<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

a<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

a<br />

a<br />

a<br />

a<br />

a<br />

a<br />

a<br />

a<br />

a<br />

a<br />

0<br />

0 20 40 60 80 100<br />

Percent reduction in seed production or viability


Population growth rate (λ)<br />

Short-lived invasive species<br />

2.5<br />

d<br />

e d<br />

e<br />

2.0<br />

ca<br />

ca<br />

1.5 ci p<br />

s<br />

a<br />

ci p<br />

a s<br />

d<br />

e<br />

ca<br />

ci p<br />

a<br />

s<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

d<br />

d<br />

d<br />

e<br />

d<br />

e<br />

d<br />

ca e<br />

ci<br />

d<br />

p ca<br />

a<br />

ci e<br />

a<br />

p ca ci<br />

p<br />

d<br />

a ci e<br />

ca p<br />

a ci e<br />

ca a<br />

p<br />

ci<br />

s<br />

p<br />

ca<br />

a<br />

e<br />

ci p<br />

a<br />

s<br />

ca<br />

s<br />

a d<br />

ci<br />

s<br />

0<br />

s s s ca<br />

0 20 40 60 80 100<br />

Percent reduction in seed production or viability<br />

e p<br />

Species<br />

a Alliaria petiolata<br />

ca Carduus nutans<br />

ci Cirsium vulgare<br />

d Dipsacus sylvestris<br />

e Echium plantagineum<br />

p Polygonum perfoliatum<br />

s Setaria faberi


So, reduced seed output is likely to reduce<br />

population growth <strong>of</strong> short-lived species….<br />

…..But, what about long-lived species such<br />

as shrubs <strong>and</strong> trees?


Scotch Broom (Cytisus scoparius)


Cytisus scoparius (Scotch Broom)<br />

422<br />

97.5<br />

0.32<br />

0.03<br />

0.37<br />

0.60<br />

0.23 0.02 0.21<br />

0.01 0.35<br />

0.01<br />

0.39<br />

0.05<br />

0.46<br />

0.37<br />

0.11<br />

0.01<br />

0.03<br />

0.03<br />

0.49<br />

861<br />

0.01<br />

2725<br />

0.44<br />

0.11<br />

0.85<br />

λ=1.40<br />

Parker 2000


Population growth rate (λ)<br />

Reducing seed output has minor<br />

effects on scotch broom<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

cy cy cy cy cy cy cy cy cy<br />

1.0<br />

cy<br />

cy<br />

0.5<br />

0<br />

0 20 40 60 80 100<br />

Percent reduction in seed production or viability


Population growth rate (λ)<br />

Long-lived invasive species<br />

2.5<br />

2.0 p<br />

m<br />

p p<br />

m p<br />

m p<br />

cl cl m<br />

p<br />

cl m<br />

p<br />

cl m<br />

p<br />

cl m<br />

p<br />

cl<br />

1.5<br />

cl m p<br />

cy cl m<br />

ce cy<br />

ce<br />

cy cy<br />

ce<br />

cy cl m<br />

ce<br />

cy cy<br />

a a a a<br />

ce cy cl<br />

r r r r a r ce<br />

cy<br />

a r ce a r<br />

ce<br />

a r a r cy r<br />

a<br />

r<br />

1.0<br />

ce m a cl p<br />

ce cy<br />

ce<br />

Species<br />

a Ardesia elliptica<br />

ce Centaurea maculosa<br />

cl Clidemia hirta<br />

cy Cytisus scoparius<br />

m Molina caerulea<br />

p Pinus nigra<br />

r Rubus discolor<br />

0.5<br />

0<br />

0 20 40 60 80 100<br />

Percent reduction in seed production or viability


Population growth rate (λ)<br />

Population growth rate (λ)<br />

Reducing seed output has larger effects on the<br />

growth rate <strong>of</strong> short-lived species<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0<br />

Short-lived species<br />

d e d<br />

e d<br />

d<br />

e d<br />

ca e<br />

d<br />

ca d<br />

ci p ca e<br />

s<br />

d<br />

a ci p ca e<br />

a s ci p<br />

a ci<br />

d<br />

ca<br />

a<br />

p ci e<br />

a p ca ci<br />

s<br />

p a e d<br />

ca p<br />

ci<br />

a ci e<br />

ca a<br />

p ci<br />

s<br />

p<br />

ca a<br />

e<br />

ci p<br />

a<br />

e p<br />

s<br />

ca<br />

s<br />

a d<br />

ci<br />

s<br />

s s s ca<br />

0 20 40 60 80 100<br />

2.5<br />

Long-lived species<br />

2.0 p<br />

m p<br />

m<br />

p p<br />

cl m p<br />

cl m<br />

p<br />

cl m p<br />

cl m<br />

p<br />

cl cl m p<br />

1.5<br />

cl m p<br />

m<br />

ce<br />

cy<br />

ce<br />

cy cy<br />

cl<br />

ce<br />

cy cy cl m<br />

a ce r a r cy<br />

a r a r cy ce cy cl<br />

a r ce a r ce a r cy<br />

ce<br />

a r a r a<br />

cy<br />

1.0<br />

r ce m<br />

r<br />

a cl p<br />

ce cy<br />

ce<br />

0.5<br />

0<br />

0 20 40 60 80 100<br />

Percent reduction in seed production or viability


Conclusions from models<br />

Reductions in seed output will not necessarily<br />

result in non-invasive cultivars, particular <strong>for</strong><br />

long-lived species<br />

Demographic modeling can illuminate the<br />

invasive potential <strong>of</strong> different cultivars if you<br />

have the data<br />

-seed output, seed viability<br />

-life history (time to reproduction)<br />

Knight, Havens <strong>and</strong> Vitt, 2011, BioScience 61: 816-822


<strong>Evaluation</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Miscanthus</strong> sinensis<br />

cultivars<br />

• A long lived perennial grass that <strong>for</strong>ms large<br />

clumps (doesn’t run like M. sacchariflorus)<br />

• Known to invade in eastern U.S.<br />

• <strong>Fecundity</strong> will need to be zero (or extremely<br />

close to zero) in order <strong>for</strong> the cultivar to be<br />

unlikely to invade<br />

• Glen Madeja (NU grad student) evaluated 35<br />

cultivars <strong>for</strong> fecundity in the Chicago region<br />

(Madeja et al., 2012, J Env Hort, in press)


<strong>Miscanthus</strong> trials<br />

Glen taking data ><br />

Tiffany with ‘Morning Light’ >


Quantifying seed set<br />

• R<strong>and</strong>omly harvested 3<br />

infloresences per individual<br />

• X-rayed inflorescences<br />

• 2 people independently<br />

counted filled seeds <strong>and</strong><br />

averaged<br />

• Multiplied by number <strong>of</strong><br />

inflorescences on individual<br />

• Averaged filled seed set over<br />

4 individuals per cultivar


Cultivar<br />

Average Filled<br />

Seed Set<br />

Cultivar<br />

Average Filled<br />

Seed Set<br />

Kleine Silberspinne 191,202 Ferner Osten 9,190<br />

Rotsilber 179,957 Goliath 7,137<br />

Autumn Light 157,936 Sarab<strong>and</strong>e 3,278<br />

Malepartus 106,172 Gracillimus 3,146<br />

Blutenwunder 91,569 Little Zebra 1,359<br />

Graziella 90,984 Superstripe 1,226<br />

Nippon 81,024 Gold Bar 1,031<br />

Huron Sunrise 77,925 Morning Light 968<br />

Minuett 69,997 Strictus 907<br />

Andante 61,103 Dixiel<strong>and</strong> 785<br />

Silberfeder 49,060 M. sacchariflorus 746, but runs!<br />

Adagio 27,078 Variegatus 211<br />

Puenktchen 19,376 Yaku-jima 138<br />

Silberturm 19,133 Hinjo 0<br />

Zebrinus 16,621 Silberpfeil 0<br />

Purpurascens 13,390 M. x giganteus 0<br />

Autumn Red 12,995 Cabaret 0, but died out


Conclusions<br />

• Three ornamental cultivars (‘Silberpfiel’, ‘Hinjo’ <strong>and</strong><br />

‘Cabaret’) <strong>of</strong> <strong>Miscanthus</strong> sinensis <strong>and</strong> the hybrid<br />

<strong>Miscanthus</strong> x. giganteus (used ornamentally <strong>and</strong> as a<br />

potential bi<strong>of</strong>uel crop) have not set seed in Chicago <strong>and</strong><br />

thus appear to have a low invasion risk.<br />

• ‘Cabaret’ was not reliably hardy, so was not<br />

recommended.<br />

• These results should be interpreted with caution because<br />

it is possible they may be able to set seed as the plants<br />

mature <strong>and</strong>/or as the climate warms. These cultivars<br />

may be able to mature seed in warmer regions <strong>of</strong> the<br />

US. One <strong>of</strong> our seedless cultivars (‘Hinjo’) did set seed<br />

in Zone 5 in another trial.


Acknowledgements:<br />

• Thanks to the staff <strong>of</strong> the<br />

Division <strong>of</strong> Plant Science<br />

<strong>and</strong> Conservation <strong>and</strong><br />

collaborators on these<br />

projects who shared data<br />

<strong>and</strong> photos <strong>for</strong> this talk:<br />

Pati Vitt, Glen Madeja,<br />

Tiffany Knight, Lauren<br />

Umek.

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