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Download - Allegheny County Medical Society

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FINANCIAL<br />

the faintest idea what the stock market is going to do in<br />

the next six months, or the next year or the next two.”<br />

Your best strategy is to always remain fully invested<br />

because the market’s direction is unpredictable.<br />

Buffett believes if you are not willing to own a stock<br />

for 10 years, you should not own it for 10 minutes<br />

(1996). In 1987, he ignores the conventional Wall Street<br />

wisdom that, “You can’t go broke taking a profit,” by<br />

holding securities indefinitely if the expected return on<br />

capital, valuation and management are all satisfactory.<br />

He postulated a Fourth Law of Motion, “For investors as<br />

a whole, returns decrease as motion increases” (2005).<br />

You can minimize trading by owning broad-based index<br />

funds that only need to be sold for rebalancing or<br />

liquidation purposes.<br />

The 2005-2006 annual reports introduced the<br />

fictional wealthy “Gotrocks” family, whose members<br />

attempted to become wealthier by trading shares of<br />

stock with each other. They hired brokers, money<br />

managers, consultants, planners, hedge funds and<br />

private equity consultants to advise them. These “helpers”<br />

consumed 20 percent of the family’s earnings and<br />

transformed the “Gotrocks” into the “Hadrocks” family.<br />

Buffett observed, “When someone with experience<br />

proposes a deal to someone with money, too often the<br />

fellow with money ends up with experience and the<br />

fellow with experience ends up with the money.” Calculate<br />

your own investment costs and work to reduce them<br />

to less than 0.2 percent annually.<br />

Finally, Buffett emphasizes that investors need to do<br />

few things right if costly mistakes can be avoided<br />

(1992). “Know nothing” investors can actually outperform<br />

most investment professionals by periodically<br />

investing in low cost, diversified index funds (1993). In<br />

1993 he observed, “When dumb money acknowledges<br />

its limitations, it ceases to be dumb.”<br />

“Buff” up your portfolio and convert your savings<br />

into “smart” money by investing in diversified, low-cost<br />

index funds providing solid market returns.<br />

○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○<br />

○<br />

Dr. Weinstein, a retired oculoplastic surgeon, teaches investing for<br />

Carnegie Mellon University’s Osher program and has co-authored a<br />

retirement planning chapter in J.K. Lasser’s Expert Financial Planning.<br />

Dr. Weinstein also serves as associate editor of the ACMS<br />

Bulletin. He can be reached at weinstein.gary@gmail.com.<br />

April 2012 : Bulletin<br />

163

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