A Glimpse Through the Kaleidoscope - Faculty of Business and Law ...
A Glimpse Through the Kaleidoscope - Faculty of Business and Law ...
A Glimpse Through the Kaleidoscope - Faculty of Business and Law ...
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LISA SPAGNOLO<br />
(cptd) by dividing <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> cases by <strong>the</strong> jurisdiction‟s combined import <strong>and</strong><br />
export in trillion U.S. dollars (USD). 40 I have indicated in bold jurisdictions in which<br />
case numbers are perhaps more accurate than o<strong>the</strong>rs. Unhighlighted jurisdictions are<br />
unlikely to fall but may climb in ranking for this reason.<br />
Without wishing to overstate <strong>the</strong> accuracy <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> results, from <strong>the</strong>m we can at least get<br />
a rough feel for lawyers‟ relative level <strong>of</strong> dispute work exposure. Each measure hints<br />
at <strong>the</strong> likelihood an individual lawyer will encounter a CISG case, but with different<br />
underlying assumptions: cpmc assumes <strong>the</strong> proportion <strong>of</strong> lawyers within populations<br />
does not vary widely across jurisdictions; cptd assumes <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> lawyers in a<br />
jurisdiction does not increase with trade volumes.<br />
The latter is perhaps less likely to hold true since greater trade pr<strong>of</strong>its probably attract<br />
more lawyers, thus diluting <strong>the</strong> potential forced exposure <strong>of</strong> each.<br />
40<br />
I would like to thank Pr<strong>of</strong>essor Ingeborg Schwenzer for suggesting this calculation. All errors remain<br />
mine. I have utilised <strong>the</strong> widely accepted „short scale definition‟ <strong>of</strong> trillion. Total trade figures for 2007<br />
in trillion USD were: Australia 0.141122; Austria 0.156661; Canada 0.416431; China 1.218; Germany<br />
1.329053; Italy 0.5; Ne<strong>the</strong>rl<strong>and</strong>s 0.476804; New Zeal<strong>and</strong> 0.026949; Russia 0.351919; Switzerl<strong>and</strong><br />
0.164808; USA 1.162980: United Nations Statistics Division (UNSD), “UNSD Annual Totals Trade<br />
(ATT) 2000-2007” (10 October 2008, 2nd edn), available at:<br />
; see also, UNSD “Introduction <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> UNSD Annual<br />
Total Table (ATT)” available at: .<br />
144<br />
(2009) 13 VJ 135 - 156