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Managing Public Expenditure - CMI

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Policy Formulation and Budget Preparation<br />

167<br />

• A proforma of the line ministries’ budget submissions.<br />

• Specific guidelines for the presentation of major expenditure items and programmes, such as<br />

personnel expenditures, investment projects and entitlement programmes.<br />

• Specific policy recommendations on the main programmes/projects.<br />

• Key economic assumptions that enable line ministries to prepare their budget requests such as the<br />

expected inflation rate, exchange rate and level of unemployment.<br />

2. Bottom-up approach<br />

Line ministries are responsible for preparing their requests within the spending ceilings specified by<br />

the ministry of finance. Depending on the severity of the fiscal constraint and the organisation of the budget<br />

preparation process, additional requests from line ministries could be allowed for new programmes.<br />

However, the principal request should be consistent with the notified ceilings or guidelines, and the cost<br />

of programmes included in this submission should be sufficient for full implementation of the programmes<br />

concerned. Provided that their savings proposals are realistic, line ministries should be free to reallocate<br />

savings on ongoing programmes, within the limits of the sectoral ceilings.<br />

Line ministries’ budget requests should preferably distinguish between: (i) the amount necessary to<br />

maintain the current level of activity (or the costs of ongoing policies); and (ii) proposals for and costing<br />

of changes in the level of activity (or policy changes). As discussed earlier, at least for entitlements, the<br />

distinction between continuing policies and policy changes is more relevant than the distinction between<br />

the present level of activity and changes in the level of activity. But in both cases, the methodology<br />

should be defined in the budget circular.<br />

Before deciding to include in the budget any new expenditure policies or programmes it is necessary<br />

to assess their budgetary impact in the medium-term. This is particularly important for investment projects<br />

and entitlement programmes, which may generate recurrent costs or increased expenditures in the future.<br />

Such an assessment is required whether or not a formal exercise of multi-year expenditure programming<br />

is carried out. For this purpose, line ministries’requests must show systematically the forward annual costs<br />

of multi-year or entitlement programmes, and the ministry of finance should take into account the forward<br />

fiscal impact of these programmes when scrutinising the budgetary requests from line ministries.<br />

The submissions from line ministries should include:<br />

• A brief policy statement describing the sector policies and expected outputs/outcomes, including<br />

some key indicators of these outputs and outcomes.<br />

• If possible, performance indicators by programme and activity. These indicators can be defined<br />

according to the organisational structure of line ministries, or by a specific programme/activity<br />

classification. If the budget of the line ministry is presented by programme, a programme profile<br />

form should be prepared.<br />

• A statement of how the policy and programme objectives will be achieved.<br />

• <strong>Expenditure</strong> estimates for the budget under preparation. These estimates should fit within the<br />

sectoral ceiling notified by the ministry of finance (any additional requests being presented on a

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