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Tri-State Heads or Tails Probability Calculations - Vermont Lottery

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Order<br />

No.<br />

Multi-Hand<br />

<strong>Probability</strong> Break-out Table<br />

w1 w2 w3 w1+w2+w3 <strong>Probability</strong> of each of the Arrangements<br />

189 5 1 2 8 8.1849E-07 * 3.7401E-01 * 8.0867E-02 = 2.4755E-08 Y<br />

190 5 1 3 9 8.1849E-07 * 3.7401E-01 * 6.3842E-03 = 1.9544E-09 Y<br />

191 5 1 4 10 8.1849E-07 * 3.7401E-01 * 1.6370E-04 = 5.0112E-11 Y<br />

192 5 1 5 11 8.1849E-07 * 3.7401E-01 * 8.1849E-07 = 2.5056E-13 Y<br />

193 5 2 0 7 8.1849E-07 * 8.0867E-02 * 5.3857E-01 = 3.5648E-08 Y<br />

194 5 2 1 8 8.1849E-07 * 8.0867E-02 * 3.7401E-01 = 2.4755E-08 Y<br />

195 5 2 2 9 8.1849E-07 * 8.0867E-02 * 8.0867E-02 = 5.3525E-09 Y<br />

196 5 2 3 10 8.1849E-07 * 8.0867E-02 * 6.3842E-03 = 4.2257E-10 Y<br />

197 5 2 4 11 8.1849E-07 * 8.0867E-02 * 1.6370E-04 = 1.0835E-11 Y<br />

198 5 2 5 12 8.1849E-07 * 8.0867E-02 * 8.1849E-07 = 5.4175E-14 Y<br />

199 5 3 0 8 8.1849E-07 * 6.3842E-03 * 5.3857E-01 = 2.8143E-09 Y<br />

200 5 3 1 9 8.1849E-07 * 6.3842E-03 * 3.7401E-01 = 1.9544E-09 Y<br />

201 5 3 2 10 8.1849E-07 * 6.3842E-03 * 8.0867E-02 = 4.2257E-10 Y<br />

202 5 3 3 11 8.1849E-07 * 6.3842E-03 * 6.3842E-03 = 3.3361E-11 Y<br />

203 5 3 4 12 8.1849E-07 * 6.3842E-03 * 1.6370E-04 = 8.5540E-13 Y<br />

204 5 3 5 13 8.1849E-07 * 6.3842E-03 * 8.1849E-07 = 4.2770E-15 Y<br />

205 5 4 0 9 8.1849E-07 * 1.6370E-04 * 5.3857E-01 = 7.2161E-11 Y<br />

206 5 4 1 10 8.1849E-07 * 1.6370E-04 * 3.7401E-01 = 5.0112E-11 Y<br />

207 5 4 2 11 8.1849E-07 * 1.6370E-04 * 8.0867E-02 = 1.0835E-11 Y<br />

208 5 4 3 12 8.1849E-07 * 1.6370E-04 * 6.3842E-03 = 8.5540E-13 Y<br />

209 5 4 4 13 8.1849E-07 * 1.6370E-04 * 1.6370E-04 = 2.1933E-14 Y<br />

210 5 4 5 14 8.1849E-07 * 1.6370E-04 * 8.1849E-07 = 1.0967E-16 Y<br />

211 5 5 0 10 8.1849E-07 * 8.1849E-07 * 5.3857E-01 = 3.6081E-13 Y<br />

212 5 5 1 11 8.1849E-07 * 8.1849E-07 * 3.7401E-01 = 2.5056E-13 Y<br />

213 5 5 2 12 8.1849E-07 * 8.1849E-07 * 8.0867E-02 = 5.4175E-14 Y<br />

214 5 5 3 13 8.1849E-07 * 8.1849E-07 * 6.3842E-03 = 4.2770E-15 Y<br />

215 5 5 4 14 8.1849E-07 * 8.1849E-07 * 1.6370E-04 = 1.0967E-16 Y<br />

216 5 5 5 15 8.1849E-07 * 8.1849E-07 * 8.1849E-07 = 5.4833E-19 Y<br />

Total of All Probabilities = 1.0000000<br />

Win Both<br />

Games<br />

To calculate the probability of each tier one must add all the probabilities f<strong>or</strong> a given w1+w2+w3. F<strong>or</strong> example,<br />

the number of ways of matching a sum of 4 is 15<br />

.<br />

Order<br />

No.<br />

w1 w2 w3<br />

<strong>Probability</strong> of Matching "w1+w2+w3 =4"<br />

w1<br />

+w2<br />

+w3<br />

<strong>Probability</strong> of each of the arrangements<br />

5 0 0 4 4 5.3857E-01 * 5.3857E-01 * 1.6370E-04 = 4.7483E-05<br />

10 0 1 3 4 5.3857E-01 * 3.7401E-01 * 6.3842E-03 = 1.2860E-03<br />

15 0 2 2 4 5.3857E-01 * 8.0867E-02 * 8.0867E-02 = 3.5220E-03<br />

20 0 3 1 4 5.3857E-01 * 6.3842E-03 * 3.7401E-01 = 1.2860E-03<br />

25 0 4 0 4 5.3857E-01 * 1.6370E-04 * 5.3857E-01 = 4.7483E-05<br />

40 1 0 3 4 3.7401E-01 * 5.3857E-01 * 6.3842E-03 = 1.2860E-03<br />

45 1 1 2 4 3.7401E-01 * 3.7401E-01 * 8.0867E-02 = 1.1312E-02<br />

50 1 2 1 4 3.7401E-01 * 8.0867E-02 * 3.7401E-01 = 1.1312E-02<br />

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