Euro 2012 safety and security report - SOS International
Euro 2012 safety and security report - SOS International
Euro 2012 safety and security report - SOS International
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12 <strong>Euro</strong> <strong>2012</strong> <strong>safety</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>security</strong> <strong>report</strong><br />
Civil unrest<br />
The threat from politically motivated civil unrest in<br />
Pol<strong>and</strong> is assessed to be low. Most protests <strong>and</strong><br />
marches pass peacefully <strong>and</strong> are well policed. Most<br />
strike action is small-scale in nature <strong>and</strong> concerns<br />
individual companies rather than entire employment<br />
sectors. Occasional clashes between extremist groups<br />
do occur in the country <strong>and</strong> a neo-Nazi element<br />
continues to carry out arson attacks on synagogues,<br />
Jewish cultural centres, World War II monuments <strong>and</strong><br />
Israeli- <strong>and</strong> Jewish-linked businesses.<br />
The threat from politically motivated civil unrest in<br />
Ukraine is assessed to be medium. The country has<br />
a history of large-scale civil unrest linked to political<br />
developments, as well as deeply entrenched social,<br />
ethnic <strong>and</strong> linguistic divisions between the broadly<br />
pro-Western west of the country <strong>and</strong> pro-Russian<br />
east. Pro-Russian elements <strong>and</strong> far-right nationalist<br />
groups such as Svoboda (Freedom), Bratstvo (Brotherhood)<br />
<strong>and</strong> Tryzub (Trident) occasionally try to exploit<br />
this divide <strong>and</strong> stage protests outside Parliament <strong>and</strong><br />
government buildings. Such protests may take place<br />
on the anniversary of the Great Patriotic War on 22<br />
June <strong>and</strong> clashes between rival demonstrators are a<br />
credible concern in Kiev <strong>and</strong> Lviv.<br />
Socio-economic protests also take place in Kiev <strong>and</strong><br />
various groups regularly demonstrate over wages,<br />
pensions, working conditions <strong>and</strong> inflation. Given<br />
that the current economic outlook is uncertain across<br />
<strong>Euro</strong>pe, an upsurge in protest action <strong>and</strong> associated<br />
unrest cannot be discounted ahead of <strong>Euro</strong> <strong>2012</strong>.<br />
The political situation in Ukraine is also currently<br />
volatile. On 12 May <strong>2012</strong>, at least 2,000 opposition<br />
supporters demonstrated in Kyiv to dem<strong>and</strong> the<br />
release of opposition leader <strong>and</strong> former prime minister<br />
Yulia Tymoshenko. Tymoshenko is currently serving<br />
a seven-year sentence for charges related to impropriety<br />
while in office. Tymoshenko also faces charges<br />
relating to tax evasion. Opposition supporters believe<br />
both charges are politically motivated <strong>and</strong> have been<br />
directed by the current government of President Viktor<br />
Yanukovych. Protests against Timoshenko’s conviction<br />
<strong>and</strong> against the government of Yanukovych have<br />
persisted since October 2011 <strong>and</strong> are likely to escalate<br />
head of Tymoskenko’s latest trial in May <strong>and</strong> ahead of<br />
parliamentary elections in October. Such demonstrations<br />
may attract significant participation <strong>and</strong> have<br />
the potential to cause significant disruption in Kiev;<br />
in particular, protests are likely to centre on Maidan<br />
Nezalehnosti (Independence Square). Ukrainian se-<br />
curity forces are also not averse to using robust crowd<br />
control tactics <strong>and</strong> as such, clashes between demonstrators<br />
<strong>and</strong> the <strong>security</strong> forces are a distinct possibility.<br />
Such clashes pose an incidental risk to byst<strong>and</strong>ers.<br />
Football hooliganism<br />
There is credible threat of violence between rival<br />
football fans at the <strong>Euro</strong> <strong>2012</strong> tournament. Both the<br />
Ukrainian <strong>and</strong> Polish authorities have stated that<br />
there will be a ‘zero tolerance’ approach to incidents<br />
of football-related unrest <strong>and</strong> their respective <strong>security</strong><br />
forces can be expected to be firm in dealing with disturbances<br />
between rival fans. Nonetheless, both host<br />
countries have an established problem with football<br />
hooliganism. Significant unrest occurs sporadically<br />
at domestic matches <strong>and</strong> Polish supporters initiated<br />
a riot in a friendly match against Lithuania in March<br />
2011. Fatalities have occurred in fighting between rival<br />
supporters in both countries in the past <strong>and</strong> there is<br />
a history of neo-Nazi involvement in football-related<br />
violence. As such, there is a credible <strong>and</strong> significant<br />
concern that such elements will seek to initiate violent<br />
confrontations during the <strong>2012</strong> tournament. These may<br />
involve supporters from rival countries <strong>and</strong> the nature<br />
of football-related unrest means that such disturbances<br />
carry significant incidental risks. Matches that may<br />
trigger a credible risk of violence <strong>and</strong>/or hooliganism<br />
between opposing fans include the Russia v Czech<br />
Republic match on 8 June in Wroclaw; the Pol<strong>and</strong> v<br />
Russia match on 12 June in Warsaw; the Holl<strong>and</strong> v<br />
Germany match in Kharkiv on 13 June; <strong>and</strong> Ukraine<br />
v Engl<strong>and</strong> match on 19 June in Donetsk. ‘Fan zones’<br />
near the Palace of Science <strong>and</strong> Culture in Warsaw <strong>and</strong><br />
at Maidan Nezalezhnosti in Kiev carry a particularly<br />
high risk of clashes between intoxicated rival football<br />
supporters.<br />
Terrorism<br />
The terrorism threat in Pol<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Ukraine is<br />
assessed to be low. Terrorism-related incidents in both<br />
countries are rare <strong>and</strong> the four coordinated bombings<br />
in the south eastern Ukrainian town of Dnipropetrovsk<br />
on 27 April which left 30 people injured, were thought<br />
to be the work of criminal elements rather than<br />
terrorists.<br />
Nonetheless, the terrorist threat will likely increase<br />
ahead of, <strong>and</strong> during, <strong>Euro</strong> <strong>2012</strong>. The threat from terrorism<br />
has cast a shadow over international sporting<br />
events since Palestinian radicals attacked the Munich<br />
Olympics in 1972. Although the scale <strong>and</strong> nature of<br />
terrorism has since evolved, the threat remains. <strong>Euro</strong><br />
<strong>2012</strong> will attract large numbers of spectators, foreign