International passenger rail connections in the Baltic Sea ... - Vasab

Annex 5
Proposals for new passenger rail connections in the BSR (model data)
The model is based on a modified gravity model. The principles of the model are explained in the chapter on methodology
Route:
Helsinki - Riga (Rail Baltica) option via Pärnu
Cities of the route
Inhabitants
2007 Cities Index
GDP growth
rate per
capita
2007/2000
GDP index,
2006
Passenger
potential
Distance on
air between
end stations,
km
Distance on
air between
stations, km
Countries
covering
Number of
immigration
control on the
route
ROUTE
POTENTIAL
INDEX
Helsinki 568 531 5 1,21 1,17 4 024 347 0
Vantaa 192 522 5 1,21 1,17 1 362 767 15
Espoo 238 047 6 1,21 1,17 2 022 019 23
Tallinn 397 617 5 1,81 0,68 2 446 935 85
Pärnu 44 016 0 1,81 0,68 0 117
Riga 722 485 3 1,91 0,54 2 235 513 163
TOTAL: 2 163 218 No.cities: 6 12 091 581 362 403 3 0 24,82
Route:
Helsinki - Riga (Rail Baltica) option via Tartu
Cities of the route
Inhabitants
2007 Cities Index
GDP growth
rate per
capita
2007/2000
GDP index,
2006
Passenger
potential
Distance on
air between
end stations,
km
Distance on
air between
stations, km
Countries
covering
Number of
immigration
control on the
route
ROUTE
POTENTIAL
INDEX
Helsinki 568 531 5 1,21 1,17 4 024 347 0
Vantaa 192 522 5 1,21 1,17 1 362 767 15
Espoo 238 047 6 1,21 1,17 2 022 019 23
Tallinn 397 617 5 1,81 0,68 2 446 935 85
Tartu 102 414 3 1,81 0,68 378 153 164
Valmiera 27 465 2 1,91 0,54 56 655 121
Riga 722 485 3 1,91 0,54 2 235 513 102
TOTAL: 2 249 081 No.cities: 7 12 526 389 362 510 3 0 16,05
Route:
Riga - Warzsawa (Rail Baltica) option via Bialystok
Cities of the route
Inhabitants
2007 Cities Index
GDP growth
rate per
capita
2007/2000
GDP index,
2006
Passenger
potential
Distance on
air between
end stations,
km
Distance on
air between
stations, km
Countries
covering
Number of
immigration
control on the
route
ROUTE
POTENTIAL
INDEX
Riga 722 485 3 1,91 0,54 2 235 513 0
Jelgava 66 051 3 1,91 0,54 204 375 39
Siauliai 127 059 2 1,77 0,56 251 882 86
Kaunas 355 586 2 1,77 0,56 704 914 122
Marijampole 47 010 1 1,77 0,56 46 596 50
Suwalki 69 246 2 1,32 0,52 95 061 57
Bialystok 294 830 2 1,32 0,52 404 743 110
Warszawa 1 702 139 4 1,32 0,52 4 673 393 179
TOTAL: 3 384 406 No.cities: 8 8 616 476 564 643 3 0 6,95
Route:
Riga - Vilnius - Minsk
Cities of the route
Inhabitants
2007 Cities Index
GDP growth
rate per
capita
2007/2000
GDP index,
2006
Passenger
potential
Distance on
air between
end stations,
km
Distance on
air between
stations, km
Countries
covering
Number of
immigration
control on the
route
ROUTE
POTENTIAL
INDEX
Riga 722 485 3 1,91 0,54 2 235 513 0
Panevezys 113 653 1 1,77 0,56 112 653 135
Ukmerge 27 603 1 1,77 0,56 27 360 60
Vilnius 555 733 4 1,77 0,56 2 203 370 72
Maladzyechna 98 200 1 1,89 0,30 55 679 64
Minsk 1 741 400 5 1,89 0,30 4 936 869 109
TOTAL: 3 259 074 No.cities: 6 9 571 445 396 440 3 1 8,24