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Ericsson vs. Alcatel

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Rajko Baletic<br />

Siniša Soro<br />

Milan Lecic<br />

Milan Vlatkovic<br />

United Business Institute Brussels<br />

IIM-Euro Novi Sad<br />

MBA Studies-Corporate Intelligence<br />

May 2004.<br />

1


History<br />

<strong>Ericsson</strong><br />

• 1876 Lars Magnus <strong>Ericsson</strong> opens a telegraph<br />

repair workshop with three employees.<br />

• 1878 <strong>Ericsson</strong> sells improved version of Bell<br />

telephone. Total production 22 telephones a year.<br />

• 1892 First desk telephone introduced.<br />

• 1956 <strong>Ericsson</strong> launches the Ericofon.<br />

• 1971 First <strong>Ericsson</strong> picture phones.<br />

• 1978 First digital AXE exchange installed in Turku.<br />

• 1981 Firs AXE cut over in Mexico. <strong>Ericsson</strong><br />

Information Systems (EIS) is set up.<br />

• 1986 First <strong>Ericsson</strong> implementation of Intelligent<br />

Network.<br />

• 1987 First handheld mobile telephone produced for<br />

NMT 900<br />

• 1991 Has 3 percent of world market for mobile<br />

phones.<br />

• 1995 World` s first GSM 1900 mobile system in<br />

service.<br />

• 1999 Takes about 50 per cent of the orders for<br />

GPRS<br />

• 2002 First 3G WCDMA call on public networks.<br />

• 2003 Restructuring consumed a total of 44 jobs.<br />

<strong>Alcatel</strong><br />

• 1898 Pierre Azaria sets up the Compagnie<br />

General d`Electricite.<br />

• 1925 Absorption by CGE of Compagnie des<br />

Cables de Lyon.<br />

• 1966 Absorption by CGE of the Alsacienne de<br />

Constructions Atomiques (<strong>Alcatel</strong>).<br />

• 1985 Merger between CIT-<strong>Alcatel</strong> and<br />

Thomson Telecommunications.<br />

• 1987 Privatization of CGE.<br />

• 1988 Link-up with GE Company (UK)<br />

• 1990 CGE-Fiat agreement.<br />

• 1991 CGE changes its name to <strong>Alcatel</strong><br />

Alsthom.<br />

• 1992 <strong>Alcatel</strong> Alsthom acquired AEG Kabelmanufactured<br />

in Germany .<br />

• 1993 Acquisition of STC Submarine Sistems.<br />

• 1998 <strong>Alcatel</strong> Alsthom is renamed <strong>Alcatel</strong><br />

• 2000 Acquisition of the Canadian Newbridge,<br />

worldwide leader in ATM tehnology networks.<br />

• 2002 front-runner in next generation SONET<br />

Metro Optical Sistems.<br />

• 2003 Sales 50% shareholding in Antlinks<br />

2


2003 FACTS AND FIGURES<br />

<strong>Ericsson</strong><br />

<strong>Alcatel</strong><br />

2003 Sales ( mil Euro )<br />

12.801<br />

12.513<br />

1- Year Sales Decline ( % )<br />

19<br />

22<br />

Domestic Sales ( % )<br />

5 ( Sweden )<br />

13 ( France )<br />

Other Markets ( % )<br />

95<br />

87<br />

Active ( no. of countries )<br />

140<br />

130<br />

2003 Employees<br />

51.583<br />

60.486<br />

1-Year Employees Decline ( % )<br />

20<br />

15<br />

3


Sales by Product Segment<br />

Mobile communications (mil)<br />

<strong>Ericsson</strong><br />

8.928<br />

<strong>Alcatel</strong><br />

3.539<br />

1-Year Decline ( %)<br />

19<br />

27<br />

Fixed communication (mil)<br />

870<br />

5.708<br />

1-Year Decline (%)<br />

32<br />

27<br />

Others ( mil)<br />

3.174<br />

3.643<br />

1-Year Decline (%)<br />

18<br />

12<br />

Inter segment sales (mil)<br />

174<br />

377<br />

4


Sales-Geographical Diversification<br />

Europe ( % of sales)<br />

1-Year Decline (%)<br />

Asia & Pacific (%of sales)<br />

1-Year Decline (%)a<br />

North America ( % of sales)<br />

1-Year Decline ( %)<br />

Rest of World ( % of sales)<br />

1-Year Decline (%)<br />

<strong>Ericsson</strong><br />

35<br />

21<br />

23<br />

24<br />

15<br />

24<br />

27<br />

10<br />

<strong>Alcatel</strong><br />

50<br />

21<br />

18<br />

20<br />

15<br />

74<br />

17<br />

18<br />

5


R & D<br />

Investment in R&D 2003 ( mil )<br />

1-Year Decline (%)<br />

% of Sales<br />

Employees 2003<br />

1-Year Decline (%)<br />

Number of R&D sites<br />

Number of patent 2003<br />

<strong>Ericsson</strong><br />

2.320<br />

21<br />

20<br />

16.500<br />

20<br />

25<br />

1.000<br />

<strong>Alcatel</strong><br />

1.593<br />

28<br />

13<br />

14.700<br />

21<br />

22<br />

750<br />

6


Employees by Regions<br />

Domestic<br />

1- Year Decline (%)<br />

Rest of Europe<br />

1- Year Decline (%)<br />

North America<br />

1- Year Decline (%)<br />

Asia<br />

1-Year Decline<br />

Rest of World<br />

1- Year Decline (%)<br />

<strong>Ericsson</strong><br />

24.408 (Sweden)<br />

19<br />

11.263<br />

21<br />

4.460<br />

30<br />

6.468<br />

17<br />

4.984<br />

28<br />

<strong>Alcatel</strong><br />

18.989 (France)<br />

15<br />

20.360<br />

21<br />

9.075<br />

10<br />

8.716<br />

3<br />

3.346<br />

12<br />

7


Presence in Growing Markets<br />

China<br />

Thailand<br />

Russia<br />

India<br />

Ukraine<br />

Iraq<br />

Nigeria<br />

Ghana<br />

Afghanistan<br />

<strong>Ericsson</strong><br />

<strong>Alcatel</strong><br />

8


Competitive Fact Sheet<br />

Mission/<br />

Vision<br />

Strategy<br />

<strong>Ericsson</strong><br />

All Communicating world, voice data, images,<br />

conveniently communicated anywhere and anytime<br />

in the world, increasing Both quality-of-life,<br />

productivity and enabling a more resource-efficient<br />

world and be the global leader in providing<br />

communicates solutions, to be the prime innovator<br />

of industry.<br />

•To be a market, technology and operational leader.<br />

•Create economies of scale.<br />

•Develop superior product and services.<br />

•Offer customers competitive advantages.<br />

<strong>Alcatel</strong><br />

A Communications solutions Company-connected<br />

everywhere, anytime to broaden your life and enabling<br />

successful multimedia services, architects of an Internet<br />

World.<br />

•To be creator of high value-added communications<br />

solutions.<br />

•Sustainable development.<br />

Activities<br />

•Systems<br />

•Phones<br />

•Other operations<br />

•Fixed communications.<br />

•Mobile communications.<br />

•Private communications.<br />

9


LM <strong>Ericsson</strong> (ADR)<br />

Telefonplan SE - 126 25<br />

Stockholm<br />

LM <strong>Ericsson</strong> (<strong>Ericsson</strong>) is a supplier of mobile systems<br />

worldwide. The Company provides total solutions covering<br />

everything from systems and applications to services and<br />

core technology for mobile handsets. With Sony <strong>Ericsson</strong>, it<br />

also is a supplier of complete mobile multimedia products.<br />

<strong>Ericsson</strong> has been active worldwide since 1876. Products<br />

and services include mobile systems, multi-service<br />

networks, enterprise services, transmission and transport<br />

technologies, advisory services, management and<br />

optimization services, third-generation (3-G) mobile<br />

telephony, multimedia messaging services, general packet<br />

radio services (GPRS) and Bluetooth wireless technologies.<br />

Total Employees<br />

51,583<br />

<strong>Alcatel</strong> (ADR)<br />

54 Rue La Boetie<br />

Paris, 75008<br />

<strong>Alcatel</strong> is a provider of end-to-end communications<br />

solutions, enabling carriers, service providers and<br />

enterprises to deliver content to any type of user. The<br />

Company provides products such as digital subscriber line<br />

(DSL) and fiber to the user, asynchronous transfer mode<br />

(ATM) switches and Internet protocol (IP) core routers,<br />

private branch exchanges (PBX), local area network (LAN)<br />

switches, data communication equipment and global<br />

systems for mobile communications (GSM) and general<br />

packet radio service (GPRS) handsets, space-based systems<br />

for the high-speed transport of voice, data and multimedia<br />

communications, batteries and components and subsystems.<br />

Total Employees<br />

60,486<br />

10


STOCK EXCHANGE TICKER SYMBOL<br />

ERICY<br />

ALA<br />

STOCK OVERVIEW<br />

Current value<br />

30.56 $<br />

Current value<br />

15.78 $<br />

FINANCIAL SUMMARY<br />

Fiscal year ended 12/31/03, revenues fell 19%, Net loss<br />

decreased 43% to EUR 1.178 billion. Results reflect<br />

lower volume of mobile and fixed network systems.<br />

Net loss reflected lower operating profit margins<br />

Fiscal year ended 12/31/03, net sale fell 24% to EUR<br />

12.51 billion. Net loss fell 85% to EUR 1.72 billion.<br />

Revenues reflect sales declines across all businesses and<br />

all geographic markets. Net losses were offset by<br />

improved gross margins and fewer operating expenses. 11


Competitive estimation<br />

Organizational<br />

Structure<br />

Market<br />

Image<br />

Products<br />

<strong>Ericsson</strong><br />

<strong>Alcatel</strong><br />

Grow<br />

Strategy<br />

Global Presence<br />

Research &<br />

Development<br />

12


<strong>Ericsson</strong><br />

13


Austria<br />

1 Subsidiaries<br />

Denmark<br />

1 Subsidiaries<br />

Finland<br />

1 Subsidiaries<br />

France<br />

2 Subsidiaries<br />

Germany<br />

1 Subsidiaries<br />

Sweden<br />

19 Subsidiaries<br />

Hungary<br />

1 Subsidiaries<br />

Italy<br />

2 Subsidiaries<br />

Ireland<br />

4 Subsidiaries<br />

Russia<br />

1 Subsidiaries<br />

Norway<br />

1 Subsidiaries<br />

Netherlands<br />

3 Subsidiaries<br />

Spain<br />

1 Subsidiaries<br />

Turkey<br />

1 Subsidiaries<br />

Switzerland<br />

1 Subsidiaries<br />

United Kingdom<br />

3 Subsidiaries<br />

Croatia<br />

1 Subsidiaries<br />

14


<strong>Ericsson</strong> Subsidiaries in Europe<br />

Sweden<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> AB<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Shared Services AB<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Shared Services AB<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Network Technologies AB<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Business Innovation AB¹<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Enterprise AB¹<br />

•Ercisson Microwave Systems AB¹<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Severige AB¹<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Telecom AB²<br />

•SRA Communications AB²<br />

•AB Aulus ²<br />

•LM <strong>Ericsson</strong> Holding AB²<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Cables Holding AB²<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Gamsta AB³<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> treasury Services AB³<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Credit AB³<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Project Finance AB³<br />

•AB LM <strong>Ericsson</strong> Finans³<br />

•Sony <strong>Ericsson</strong> Mobile Communications¹<br />

Austria<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Austria GmbH¹<br />

Denmark<br />

•LM <strong>Ericsson</strong> A/S<br />

Norway<br />

•Ericssocross-n A/S<br />

Finland<br />

•Oy LM <strong>Ericsson</strong> AB<br />

France<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Participations S.A<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> France¹<br />

Germany<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> GmbH<br />

Hungary<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Hungary Ltd<br />

Ireland<br />

•LM <strong>Ericsson</strong> Ltd<br />

•LM <strong>Ericsson</strong> Holdings Ltd<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Treasury Ireland Ltd<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Financial Services Ireland<br />

Turkey<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> telekomunikasyom S.A¹ a<br />

Italy<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Telecommunicazioni S.P.A<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> S.P.A<br />

Russia<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Corporatio AO<br />

Switzerland<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> AG<br />

United Kingdom<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Ltd¹<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Mobile Communications Ltd<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Holding Ltd²<br />

The Netherlands<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Holding International B.V²<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Nederland B.V²<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Telecommunicatie B.V²a<br />

• Spain<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Espana S.A<br />

Croatia<br />

<strong>Ericsson</strong> Nikola Tesla<br />

1- Manufacturing , distribution and development companies<br />

2- Holding companies<br />

3- Finance companies 15


<strong>Ericsson</strong> Subsidiaries ROW<br />

North America<br />

-USA<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Inc¹<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Net Qual Inc¹<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Wireless Comm. Inc¹<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> IP Infrastructure ¹<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Amplified Teshnologies¹<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Holding II Inc²<br />

-Canada<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Canada Inc¹<br />

Australia<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Australia Pty.Ltd¹<br />

•Teleric Pty Ltd²<br />

Asia And Pacific<br />

-China<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Ltd¹<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Company Ltd¹<br />

•Nanjing <strong>Ericsson</strong> Panda Comm. Co.Ltd¹<br />

•Beijing <strong>Ericsson</strong> Mobile Comm.Co.Ltd¹<br />

-India<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> India Private Ltd¹<br />

-Malaysia<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Sdu.Bhd¹<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Mobile Comm. Sdu.Bhd²<br />

-Singapore<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Telecomm. Pte.Ltd¹<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Consumer Product<br />

Asia Pacific Pte.Ltd¹<br />

-Taiwan<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Taiwan Ltd¹<br />

-Thailand<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> (Thailand) Ltd¹<br />

-Japan<br />

•Nippon <strong>Ericsson</strong>K.k¹<br />

Central end South America<br />

-Mexico<br />

•Teleindustria <strong>Ericsson</strong> S.A¹<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Telecom S.A¹<br />

-Argentina<br />

•Cia <strong>Ericsson</strong> S.A.C.I. ¹<br />

-Brazil<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Telecomunicacoes S.A²<br />

•<strong>Ericsson</strong> Services de Telecom. ¹<br />

16


<strong>Alcatel</strong><br />

17


Austria<br />

1 Subsidiaries<br />

Belgium<br />

1 Subsidiaries<br />

Poland<br />

1 Subsidiaries<br />

France<br />

14 Subsidiaries<br />

Germany<br />

4 Subsidiaries<br />

Italy<br />

2 Subsidiaries<br />

Switzerland<br />

1 Subsidiaries<br />

United Kingdom<br />

3 Subsidiaries<br />

Norway<br />

1 Subsidiaries<br />

Spain<br />

1 Subsidiaries<br />

Portugal<br />

1 Subsidiaries<br />

Netherlands<br />

2 Subsidiaries<br />

Luxemburg<br />

1 Subsidiaries<br />

18


<strong>Alcatel</strong> Subsidiaries in Europe<br />

France<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> Business Systems S.A¹<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> CIT¹<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> Cable France¹<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> Space¹<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> Submarine Networks S.A¹<br />

•Alda Marine¹<br />

•Evolium Holding SAS¹<br />

•Thales¹<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> Participations²<br />

•Compagnie Financiere <strong>Alcatel</strong>²<br />

•Coracel²<br />

•Lubelec²<br />

•Saft Participations²<br />

•Electro Bancue³<br />

Austria<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> Austria AG¹<br />

Belgium<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> Bell NV¹<br />

Germany<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> Contracting GmbH¹<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> Optical fiber GmbH¹<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> SEL A.G¹<br />

Italy<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> Italia S.p.A¹<br />

Poland<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> Polska S.A¹<br />

Portugal<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> Portugal S.A¹<br />

Switzerland<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> Schweiz AG¹<br />

Norway<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> Telecom Norway B.V¹<br />

United Kingdom<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> Submarine Limited Networks¹<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> Telecom Limited¹<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> UK Limited²<br />

Nederland<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> Telecom Nederland B.V¹<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> NV²<br />

Luxembourg<br />

•Electro Re³<br />

Spain<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> Espana S.A¹<br />

1- Manufacturing , Distribution and Development companies<br />

2- Holding Companies<br />

3- Finance companies<br />

19


<strong>Alcatel</strong> Subsidiaries ROW<br />

North America<br />

- Canada<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> Canada Inc¹<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> Holding Canada Corp.²<br />

-USA<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> USA Inc¹<br />

•Radio Frequency Systems Inc¹<br />

Asia and Pacific<br />

-China<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> China investment CO Ltd¹<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> Shangai Bell¹<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> Suzou Telecommunications CO Ltd¹<br />

•Shangai Bell <strong>Alcatel</strong> Mobile<br />

Communication System CO Co. Ltd¹<br />

-Taiwan<br />

•Taiwan International Standard<br />

Electronic System CO¹<br />

Australia<br />

•<strong>Alcatel</strong> Australia Limited¹<br />

20


Executive Management<br />

R & D Business Units Market Unit & GCA’s Other Business Units<br />

Group Functions<br />

& Common Units<br />

•Radio Network<br />

Development<br />

•Access<br />

•Systems<br />

•Enterprise<br />

•Core Network<br />

Development<br />

•Service Layer<br />

Development<br />

•Research<br />

• Mobile Systems<br />

CDMA<br />

•Transmission &<br />

Transport Networks<br />

•Global Services<br />

•Market Unit<br />

•Global Customer<br />

Account<br />

•Microwave Systems<br />

•Mobile Platforms<br />

•Network Technology<br />

•Other Business<br />

Operation<br />

21


Executive Management<br />

Fixed<br />

Communications<br />

Mobile<br />

Communications<br />

Private<br />

Communications<br />

Group Functions<br />

& Common Units<br />

•Fixed Solutions<br />

•Access Networks<br />

•Mobile Solutions<br />

•Mobile Radio<br />

•Solutions for<br />

Vertical Market:<br />

•Voice Networks<br />

•IP<br />

•Optical Networks<br />

•Optical Fiber<br />

• Mobile Phones<br />

• Wireless<br />

Transmission<br />

•Radio Frequency<br />

Systems<br />

1. Enterprise<br />

Solutions<br />

2. Space Solutions<br />

3. Transport<br />

Solutions<br />

4. Integration &<br />

Services<br />

•Power System<br />

•Industrial Components<br />

22


Company Presence in Different Sectors<br />

<strong>Ericsson</strong><br />

Systems<br />

• Mobile Networks<br />

• Fixed Networks<br />

• Professional services<br />

Phones<br />

Other Operations<br />

• Defense Systems<br />

• Microwave Systems<br />

• Network Technologies<br />

• Enterprise Systems<br />

• Mobile Platforms<br />

• Technology Licencing<br />

<strong>Alcatel</strong><br />

Fixed Communications<br />

• Fixed Solutions<br />

• Access Networks<br />

• Voice Networks<br />

• IP<br />

• Optical Network<br />

• Optical Fiber<br />

• Power Systems<br />

Mobile communications<br />

• Mobile Solutions<br />

• Mobile Radio<br />

• Mobile Phones<br />

• Wireless Transmission<br />

• Radio Frequency System<br />

Private Communications<br />

• Solution For Vertical Markets ( Enterprise solution, Space<br />

solution, Transport solutions, Integration&services<br />

• Industrial Components<br />

23


<strong>Ericsson</strong> SWOT Analysis<br />

Strength:<br />

•Flexibility<br />

•Mobile Systems<br />

•Economies of scale<br />

•Global presence<br />

•R&D<br />

Weaknesses:<br />

•Variability in operating results<br />

•Credit and other risk regarding customers<br />

Opportunities:<br />

•New emerging markets<br />

•Service application<br />

•Network management services<br />

Threats:<br />

•Fast market changing<br />

•Technically complicated<br />

•Telecommunications environment<br />

•Limited protection of intellectual property rights<br />

•Highly competitive telecommunications markets<br />

24


<strong>Alcatel</strong> SWOT Analysis<br />

Strengths:<br />

•Line with evolution of the telecommunications market<br />

•Fixed communications<br />

•Broadband<br />

•Flexible and responsive organization<br />

•Presence in the most dynamic markets<br />

•R&D<br />

Weaknesses:<br />

•Additional source to finance business<br />

•International presence<br />

Opportunities:<br />

•New emerging markets<br />

Threats:<br />

•Weakening dollar<br />

•Weakness in the telecommunications market<br />

•Rapid changes in technology<br />

•Limited number of large customers<br />

•Limited protection of intellectual property rights<br />

•Weakness its thinness in America and on the Net<br />

25


Risk Factors of CT Industry<br />

Risk Factors<br />

•Competitive telecommunications markets<br />

•Currency fluctuations in world markets<br />

•The impact of economic conditions in different countries.<br />

•Protection of intellectual property rights or unauthorized third party use.<br />

Problematic joint venture and acquisitions<br />

•Negatively impact of the regulatory environment for telecommunications systems.<br />

•Depended upon hiring and retaining highly qualified management and other employees.<br />

•The new technologies may not become commercially successful<br />

•Engaging in customer finance which leads to certain credit and other risk.<br />

•CT industry has substantial cash requirements and additional sources of funds.<br />

•Dependence on key customers.<br />

•Developing new products which are complex and may not be successful in the market.<br />

•Long – term contracts which leads to risk cost overruns and extended payment terms.<br />

•Problematic outside suppliers.<br />

<strong>Ericsson</strong><br />

high<br />

med<br />

med<br />

low<br />

low<br />

med<br />

med<br />

med<br />

low<br />

high<br />

low<br />

high<br />

med<br />

med<br />

<strong>Alcatel</strong><br />

high<br />

high<br />

high<br />

low<br />

high<br />

med<br />

high<br />

high<br />

low<br />

high<br />

high<br />

high<br />

high<br />

med<br />

26


Key Competitors<br />

30.000,00<br />

29.387<br />

25.000,00<br />

20.000,00<br />

15.000,00<br />

10.000,00<br />

5.000,00<br />

20.509<br />

12.801<br />

8.600<br />

12.513<br />

7.600<br />

21.473<br />

SIEMENS<br />

NORTEL<br />

ERICSSON<br />

NOKIA<br />

ALCATEL<br />

LUCENT<br />

MOTOROLA<br />

0,00<br />

2003<br />

27


New Players<br />

ASIAN TIGERS<br />

Siemens<br />

Motorola<br />

Nokia<br />

<strong>Alcatel</strong><br />

<strong>Ericsson</strong><br />

Lucent<br />

Nortel<br />

Probably acquired<br />

28


3 G<br />

Broadband Digital<br />

Voice and Extended Data (MMS)<br />

Beyond tomorrow<br />

2.5 G<br />

GPRS (GSM)<br />

Tomorrow<br />

2 G<br />

Digital<br />

Today<br />

1 G<br />

Analogue<br />

Yesterday<br />

Faster than mind<br />

29


Five Years Forecast<br />

Great Step<br />

Go Ahead<br />

Significance<br />

Don't wait<br />

More quickly<br />

Time<br />

• Broadband & Video – Providing:<br />

• Broadband service will reach 128 billion $ sale in 2008.<br />

Key factors: availability , functionality, quality, convenience, price.<br />

• Global GSM service revenue will reach 229,7billion $ in 2008. Comparing 93,4 billion $ in 2002<br />

• Seamless Service- connected anytime and everywhere<br />

• IP Telephony is expected to represent 44% of market in 2008.<br />

• Mobile users will reach second billion within 2008<br />

• Real challenge is knowledge management-unlock and share critical information, turn information into<br />

actionable business knowledge, leverage human to human interactions. 30


Makes things happen<br />

Watch things happening


…FURTHER<br />

’’ONCE YOU START TO UNDERSTAND THIS PATTERN YOU START<br />

TO SEE IT ANYWHERE. I’M CONVINCED THAT IDEAS AND<br />

BEHAVIOURS AND NEW PRODUCTS MOVE THROUGHT A<br />

POPULATION VERY MUCH LIKE A DISEASE DOES.’’<br />

’’The tipping Point’’ by Malcolm Gladwell<br />

CT – spreading like a disease!!!<br />

31


Sources<br />

• www.hovers.com<br />

• www.finance.com<br />

• Global Information Inc.<br />

• Global Industry Analysts<br />

• www.reuters.com<br />

• Business Week<br />

32

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