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Spatio-temporal analysis of point patterns and lattice data

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Spatial Models for Lattice Data<br />

We will focus on the use <strong>of</strong> Generalized Linear Models<br />

In particular, Poisson models<br />

O i ∼ Po(µ i ) log(µ i ) = α+βx i +u i +v i<br />

u i ∼ N(0,σ 2 u) is a r<strong>and</strong>om effect that accounts for non-spatial<br />

variation<br />

v i ∼ N(0,G) is a r<strong>and</strong>om effects that accounts for spatial variation,<br />

encoded in variance-covariance matrix G:<br />

Spatially Autoregressive Specification (SAR models)<br />

G = σ 2 v[I −ρW] −1<br />

Conditionally Autoregressive Specification (CAR models)<br />

G = σ 2 v[(I −ρW) T (I −ρW)] −1<br />

V. Gómez-Rubio (UCLM) <strong>Spatio</strong>-Temporal Analysis 14 / 22

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