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GLOBAL SEMICONDUCTOR SURVEY 2014 | 9<br />
On a geographic basis, optimism was<br />
higher in ASPAC than in the United States.<br />
Nearly one-third (31 percent) of ASPAC<br />
respondents expect revenue growth higher<br />
than 10 percent, with similar expectations<br />
for lower growth ranges.<br />
In the United States, more than one-third<br />
(36 percent) expect revenue growth in<br />
the 1–5 percent range, with more than a<br />
quarter (26 percent) calling for growth in<br />
the 6–10 percent range and 13 percent<br />
forecasting growth above 10 percent.<br />
This shift reflects higher growth<br />
patterns in ASPAC, especially China,<br />
and the emergence of China as a critical<br />
end market for products with rich<br />
semiconductor content as well as an<br />
emerging research center.<br />
Semiconductor Revenue Growth, Company Outlook:<br />
Next Fiscal Year<br />
’14<br />
’13<br />
U.S.<br />
ASPAC<br />
U.S.<br />
5<br />
21 36<br />
26 13 75%<br />
No Change<br />
33<br />
21 26<br />
28 18<br />
ASPAC 14 33<br />
37<br />
12<br />
+1 to 5%<br />
Source: 2014 KPMG Global Semiconductor Survey<br />
28<br />
+6 to 10%<br />
31<br />
+more than 10%<br />
72%<br />
92%<br />
82%<br />
Revenue growth – Three-year expectations<br />
Most also continue to say their company’s semiconductor revenue growth will increase over<br />
the next three years, up slightly from 2013<br />
What is your outlook for your company’s semiconductor revenue growth three (3) years from today?<br />
Looking at a three-year horizon, the<br />
percentage of respondents forecasting<br />
increases rose to 82 percent, with most<br />
semiconductor leaders expecting growth<br />
in the 1–5 percent range. There was a<br />
notable increase at the higher end of the<br />
growth spectrum, with the percentage of<br />
respondents expecting growth in excess of<br />
20 percent doubling to 10 percent.<br />
’14<br />
’13<br />
10 30 26 16 10<br />
14 32<br />
26<br />
14<br />
14<br />
No Change<br />
27<br />
+1 to 5%<br />
30<br />
+6 to 10%<br />
+11 to 20%<br />
17 5<br />
82%<br />
79%<br />
+more than 20%<br />
As with one-year forecasts, growth<br />
expectations were higher in ASPAC than<br />
the United States. In ASPAC, 39 percent of<br />
respondents expect growth in excess of 11<br />
percent, with one-third calling for growth in<br />
the 1–5 percent range.<br />
Source: 2014 KPMG Global Semiconductor Survey<br />
U.S. expectations were slightly more<br />
muted, with 27 percent calling for growth<br />
in the 1–5 percent range, and nearly onethird<br />
citing the 6–10 percent range.<br />
© 2015 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms<br />
affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in the U.S.A.