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grips-dkf-20110329 (2) - IDS GmbH - Analysis and Reporting Services

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4<br />

Observation 2:<br />

Prices are speculative<br />

- During crises many sources, including OTC markets, provide<br />

only indicative or speculative prices<br />

1200<br />

US CMBS AAA 5 Y ASSET SWAP<br />

1000<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

01/2006<br />

04/2006<br />

07/2006<br />

10/2006<br />

01/2007<br />

04/2007<br />

07/2007<br />

10/2007<br />

01/2008<br />

04/2008<br />

07/2008<br />

10/2008<br />

01/2009<br />

04/2009<br />

07/2009<br />

10/2009<br />

01/2010<br />

04/2010<br />

07/2010<br />

10/2010<br />

01/2011<br />

basis points<br />

BNP Paribas warning<br />

Lehman files for Chapter 11<br />

Source GRIPS / Merrill Lynch<br />

© <strong>IDS</strong> <strong>GmbH</strong> – <strong>Analysis</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Reporting</strong> <strong>Services</strong><br />

4

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