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EU … but scenarios are supposed to explore plausible futures EU … rather than repeat hard-wired runs from the same assumptions
… with few exceptions, these include: � Recent historical emissions sometimes ‘mistaken’ or ‘massaged’ � Short-term emission growth seriously down played � Peak year choice ‘Machiavellian’ & dangerously misleading � Reduction rate universally dictated by economists � Geoengineering widespread in low carbon scenarios � Annex 1/non-Annex 1 emissions split neglected or hidden � Assumptions about ‘Big’ technology naively optimistic � (‘Net’ Costs meaningless with non-marginal mitigation & adaptation) Collectively – they have a magician’s view of time & a linear view of problems ?
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Real Clothes for the Emperor: facin
Page 3 and 4:
INTERNATIONAL Copenhagen Accord (20
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Billion tonnes CO 2 90.0 80.0 70.0
Page 7 and 8:
Page 9 and 10:
Page 11 and 12: Billion tonnes CO 2 90.0 80.0 70.0
Page 13 and 14: Billion tonnes CO 2 90.0 80.0 70.0
Page 15 and 16: The Emperor's undergarments an ‘o
Page 17 and 18: Still looks naked to me 2°C - a al
Page 19 and 20: Do climate ‘scientists’ take an
Page 21 and 22: … neither can be reconciled with:
Page 23 and 24: How does this scientifically-credib
Page 25 and 26: Things are getting worse! Global CO
Page 27 and 28: early emissions peak = lower emissi
Page 29 and 30: 13 of 18 scenarios ‘impossible’
Page 31 and 32: Anderson-Bows: (CO 2 only) (Royal S
Page 33 and 34: Anderson-Bows: (CO 2 only) (Royal S
Page 35 and 36: How do two such fundamentally diffe
Page 37 and 38: Annual CO 2e emissions available ca
Page 39 and 40: Annual CO 2e emissions What are cur
Page 45 and 46: Annual CO 2e emissions STERN report
Page 47 and 48: GtCO2e 60 40 20 2000 Stern vs. real
Page 53 and 54: Annual CO 2e emissions PEAK 2005 Ha
Page 55 and 56: Annual CO 2e emissions Food-related
Page 59 and 60: What about Annex 1 non-Annex 1 spli
Page 61: EU Nuclear powerstations in Integra
Page 65 and 66: Senior political scientist (2010)
Page 67 and 68: DECC SoS (2009) - day before attend
Page 69 and 70: If this all looks too difficult …
Page 71 and 72: For 4°C global mean surface temper
Page 73 and 74: Before despairing … Have we got t
Page 75 and 76: AGENCY � Equity - a message of ho
Page 77 and 78: Pareto’s 80:20 rule 80% of someth
Page 79 and 80: Are we (principally Annex 1) suffic
Page 81 and 82: Light, Refrig n Electricity Consump
Page 83 and 84: Uncomfortable implications assumpti
Page 85 and 86: … a final message of hope .. “a
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