Fertilizer Production And Marketing In Egypt ... - Abt Associates

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Table 2: Domestic Production of Nitrogenous Fertilizer, 1995/96 – 2000/2001 (000 tons, 15.5 % N.) Company &Fertilizer 1995/96 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/20 2000/2001 Abou Qir Urea 46.5% 1750.2 1566 1653 2643.3 3633 3635 Ammonium Nitrate 1736.4 1793 1670.7 1772.0 1707.9 1831 33.5% SubTotal 3486.6 3359 3323.7 4415.3 5340.9 5466 Talkha Urea46.5% 1539 1558.2 1268.4 0 0 0 Ammonium Nitrate 934.3 930.0 800.1 0 0 0 33.5% Ammonium 81.5 105.1 65.1 68.2 100.5 84.5 Sulfate20.6% Nitrolin 33.5% 0 0 0 291.1 385.1 344.1 Sub Total 2554.8 2593.3 2133.6 359.3 485.6 428.6 El-Delta Urea 46.5% 0 0 0 1221 1317 1501.8 Ammonium Nitrate 33.5% 0 0 509.2 524.1 527.1 Sub Total 0 0 0 1730.2 1841.113 2028.9 El-Cook Ammonium Nitrate 88.4 88.0 73.9 39.6 15.1 0 33.5% Ammonium 21.7 21.4 21.1 16.7 13.2 15.9 Sulfate20.6% Sub Total 110.1 109.4 95.0 56.3 28.3 15.9 Suez Ammonium Nitrate 308.0 324.0 283.1 291.1 385.1 344.1 33.5% Ammonium 81.3 105.0 65.1 68.2 100.7 84.5 Sulfate20.6% Sub Total 389.3 429.0 348.3 359.3 485.9 428.6 Qima Ammonium Nitrate 595.9 608.8 580.3 560.2 463.6 441.3 33.5% Sub Total 595.9 608.8 580.3 560.2 463.6 441.3 Total 7136.7 7099.8 6480.9 7480.6 8645.4 8808.94 Source: Ministry of Public Enterprises, Supreme Council of Chemical Fertilizer, unpublished data. 5
2.2 Prices Ex-factory prices for the different chemical fertilizer are shown in table3. There were few changes in these prices during the period under investigation, amounting to 11.1 % in the case of Abou Qir urea and only 6.7 % in the case of Abou Qir ammonium nitrate. Comparing these changes with the changes in the international price of urea in the Black Sea market during the same period indicates that the international price fluctuated between $170.93/ton in January 1996 to $ 65.60 /ton in January 1999, a decrease of 61.6%. Seasonal fertilizer production is relatively stable as compared with seasonality of demand. Monthly fluctuations in production are mainly due to scheduled repairs and maintenance of the different factories. Table 3: Ex-Factory Prices For Nitrogenous Fertilizer (LE/ton) Company and Fertilizer 1995/96 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/20 2000/2001 Abou Qir Co. : Urea 46.5% 450 495 495 495 495 450 Ammonium Nitrate 3.5% 375 399 399 399 399 399 Talkha Co.: Urea 46.5% 450 450 495 495 410 420 Ammonium Nitrate33.5% 350 380 380 380 365 365 Ammonium Sulfate 20.6% 360 360 360 360 295 340 Nitrolin 33.5% 380 399 399 399 375 380 Source: Ministry of Public Enterprises, Supreme Council of Chemical Fertilizer, unpublished data. Due to the great seasonality of demand for nitrogen fertilizer and the relative seasonal stability of production, the baseline study proposed certain discounts to be offered by the producing factories to the distributors sufficiently large to cover storage costs in order to stabilize the distributors' withdrawal of the fertilizer stocks from the factories. However, no price discounts have been made. It seems that the factories have no problem with their stocks. During the domestic peak demand, the factories offer their output to the local distributors. During the off-season period, the factories find it more profitable to export their output instead of offering discounts to domestic distributors. By 1998, with the operation of Abou Qir III, domestic production became large enough to meet domestic production during the peak season . Lower off-season prices have never been offered. 2.3 Distribution PBDAC, the agricultural cooperatives, and the private sector participated in the distribution of fertilizer during the last fifteen years. Their shares are indicated in Table 4. and Figures 1 and 2. Private traders entered fertilizer distribution early in the 1990s. Their number is now estimated at 6000. Nearly half of them are licensed; while the other half are mainly retailers in villages who deal in small quantities. According to the size of their activities, they can be classified into three groups: • Distributors, who deal directly with the factories. • Wholesalers, who receive the fertilizer from distributors and deliver it to retailers. 6
Page 1 and 2: MONITORING, VERIFICATION AND EVALUA
Page 3 and 4: LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Evolution o
Page 5 and 6: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY In 1998, the MVE
Page 7 and 8: • The design and implementation o
Page 9 and 10: to reduce its share of domestic pro
Page 11: 600,000 tons/year of urea. Abou Qir
Page 15 and 16: Figure 1: Distribution of Nitrogen
Page 17 and 18: In February 2002, the GOE anticipat
Page 19 and 20: Table 7: Changes in Farmer’s Opin
Page 21 and 22: Therefore, there are no collusive a
Page 23 and 24: duty to 0-10 percent and an anti-du
Page 25 and 26: Table 10: Domestic and World Prices
Page 27 and 28: 5. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Page 29 and 30: Table A-1 Cotton Growers' Preferenc
Page 31 and 32: Source: Morsy Aly Fawzy et al. The
Page 33: Availability + Lower Price + Higher

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