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K. R. Bestgen, K. A. Zelasko, and G. C. White. Monitoring ...

K. R. Bestgen, K. A. Zelasko, and G. C. White. Monitoring ...

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<strong>and</strong> absence of any fish stocked in 2007. Mixed patterns were also evident in the middle Green<br />

River, as abundance in 2006 <strong>and</strong> stocking numbers in 2005 were lowest, <strong>and</strong> abundance<br />

increased in 2007 consistent with higher stocking numbers in 2006. However, abundance<br />

declined in 2008 by about 65%, even though stocking numbers were highest in 2007.<br />

The large swings in abundance of razorback suckers among years would not be expected<br />

in a stable population of wild fish. Even relatively small populations of wild razorback suckers<br />

in the middle Green River in the 1980’s <strong>and</strong> early 1990’s did not experience dramatic population<br />

swings, likely because of lack of recruitment <strong>and</strong> because the population was influenced mainly<br />

by mortality of aging fish. One explanation for large population swings is the low survival rates<br />

of fish just post-stocking, as amply demonstrated by <strong>Zelasko</strong> et al. (2010; 2011). Survival rates<br />

must have been very low in the 2007–2008 interval for population abundances to decline so<br />

dramatically in each reach. That relatively low flow year in 2007 may have had an adverse<br />

influence on survival rates; <strong>Bestgen</strong> et al. (2010) did not estimate annual survival rates for<br />

Colorado pikeminnow in the 2006–2008 period so no comparisons are possible. Another likely<br />

explanation for apparently large swings in abundance among years is that high abundances in<br />

2007 may have been biased by very low recapture rates; capture rates biased low would have the<br />

effect of increasing population abundance because numbers of fish captured divided by an<br />

unrepresentative <strong>and</strong> low p would increase apparent abundance. It is important to remember that<br />

the abundance estimates presented here are for all life stages present; razorback sucker adults (><br />

400 mm TL) represented only 37% of fish captured in the 2006–2008 period so adult abundance<br />

is substantially lower than the estimates portray.<br />

Colorado River data, fish distribution, <strong>and</strong> macrohabitat use. —The 2005 sampling for<br />

Colorado pikeminnow abundance estimation in the Colorado River also resulted in capture of<br />

relatively large numbers of razorback suckers (Osmundson <strong>and</strong> Seal 2009). Distribution of<br />

larger juvenile <strong>and</strong> adult razorback suckers in 2005 in the Colorado River was more concentrated<br />

upstream, where about 60% of those fish were from the Palisade-to-Westwater reach<br />

(Osmundson <strong>and</strong> Seal 2009, Figure 10). About 40% of razorback sucker captures were from the<br />

more downstream reach Cottonwood Wash to the Green River confluence but < 1% of razorback<br />

suckers were captured in the lowermost 46 miles from Potash to the Green River confluence.<br />

Low abundance of razorback suckers was also noted in Westwater Canyon (e.g., RM 125–120,<br />

in part) <strong>and</strong> in the most upstream 5-mile reach just below Price-Stubb diversion.<br />

36

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