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CUB study: Exelon a profit giant now and in <strong>the</strong> future<br />

Continued from p. 1<br />

posal. CUB will appeal any vote<br />

against consumers.<br />

A wide spectrum of critics—from<br />

Gov. Rod Blagojevich to a former Reagan<br />

Administration economist—have<br />

said an auction would lead to unreasonably<br />

high rates. After conducting<br />

similar auctions, New Jersey’s rates<br />

increased by 28 percent and Ohio<br />

was so unhappy with <strong>the</strong> outcome<br />

that it did away with <strong>the</strong> system.<br />

Although Illinois law mandates that<br />

utilities buy power at <strong>the</strong> least cost<br />

possible, <strong>the</strong> consultant who designed<br />

<strong>the</strong> auction for Exelon admitted in testimony<br />

before <strong>the</strong> Illinois Commerce<br />

Commission (ICC) that producing <strong>the</strong><br />

lowest price isn’t an auction goal.<br />

In fact, <strong>the</strong> auction would all but<br />

end <strong>the</strong> authority of Illinois regulators<br />

to ensure that rates are fair, opening<br />

<strong>the</strong> door for unlimited rate hikes.<br />

Yet, under <strong>current</strong> regulation, Exelon<br />

has been a profit giant—even<br />

with a 20 percent rate cut and freeze<br />

implemented by <strong>the</strong> 1997 state law<br />

that restructured <strong>the</strong> power industry,<br />

a CUB study found.<br />

Study author Edward Bodmer, a<br />

Take Action<br />

former ICC staffer and vice president<br />

of <strong>the</strong> First National Bank of Chicago,<br />

found that Exelon’s stock value<br />

has jumped by $18 billion since 1997,<br />

and its 21 percent return on investment<br />

beats all o<strong>the</strong>r major utilities<br />

across <strong>the</strong> country.<br />

In fact, <strong>the</strong> utility has outperformed<br />

<strong>the</strong> S&P 500, a stock market barometer,<br />

by more than 1,500 percent.<br />

The future also looks bright for Exelon.<br />

Even under a rate freeze or cut,<br />

its profit rate would remain far above<br />

<strong>the</strong> average return on equity of about<br />

10 percent allowed for electric utilities<br />

by o<strong>the</strong>r regulatory commissions.<br />

Under a rate freeze, Bodmer projects<br />

Exelon’s profit rate would hover between<br />

18 and 19 percent through 2012.<br />

With a 5 percent rate cut, <strong>the</strong> profit rate<br />

would be around 17 percent.<br />

“Far from suffering under sensible<br />

regulation, ComEd’s parent company<br />

has been a profit juggernaut,”<br />

CUB Executive Director David Kolata<br />

said. “Simply put, Exelon wants<br />

ComEd to become a deregulated<br />

monopoly—making obscene profits<br />

while wiping out meaningful regulation<br />

in Illinois.”<br />

Rate-hike Roundup<br />

A summary of <strong>the</strong> three Exelon/ComEd rate-hike proposals—totalling 39<br />

percent—before state or federal regulators.<br />

Potential<br />

Rate Hike<br />

Case<br />

(39% total) Update<br />

Delivery rate hike.<br />

(Dispute over what ComEd<br />

should charge customers to<br />

deliver power.)<br />

Auction case.<br />

(Dispute over how ComEd<br />

will buy power in 2007.)<br />

Federal rate hike.<br />

(Dispute before federal<br />

regulators over plan to<br />

raise wholesale rates.)<br />

6% CUB and <strong>the</strong> Illinois Attorney General’s<br />

office filed testimony with Illinois Commerce<br />

Commission (ICC) to wipe out<br />

proposed increase—and give customers<br />

a rate cut of at least $115 million. An<br />

ICC ruling is expected by end of July.<br />

16% At press time, a ruling on <strong>the</strong> case was<br />

expected by end of January. CUB will<br />

appeal any anti-consumer ruling.<br />

17% CUB has joined with consumer advocates<br />

to argue against wholesale rate<br />

increases before <strong>the</strong> Federal Energy<br />

Regulatory Commission (FERC). Federal<br />

ruling expected by end of 2006.<br />

Breaking news: Rate-hike plans revealed<br />

ComEd and Ameren propose hundreds<br />

of millions of dollars in rate<br />

hikes—on top of <strong>the</strong> increases <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

“auction” plans would bring.<br />

The proposed increases are to “delivery-service<br />

tariff” (DST) rates—<br />

what utilities can charge customers<br />

to deliver power to <strong>the</strong>ir homes.<br />

ComEd proposes a $350 million<br />

Fact vs. Fiction<br />

Your guide to ComEd’s claims<br />

CUB Executive Director David Kolata<br />

announces an ad campaign to answer<br />

ComEd’s misleading claims.<br />

In hopes of securing nearly $1<br />

billion in rate hikes, ComEd and its<br />

parent company, Exelon, have been<br />

spreading misinformation through<br />

a front group called CORE and a<br />

$4 million TV campaign.<br />

What follows is an analysis by<br />

CUB of arguments made by ComEd<br />

over <strong>the</strong> past several months to justify<br />

a 39 percent increase in power<br />

bills.<br />

ComEd Claim: If we don’t get<br />

a rate hike, we could go bankrupt<br />

and Illinois could suffer widespread<br />

power outages, similar to<br />

<strong>the</strong> crisis California endured several<br />

years ago.<br />

CUB Analysis: Illinois has so<br />

many power plants that we export<br />

electricity to o<strong>the</strong>r states. Talk of<br />

ComEd bankruptcy ignores <strong>the</strong><br />

fact that its parent company, Exelon,<br />

had a record profit of $1.9 billion<br />

in 2004, and analysts predict<br />

it will continue to flourish even if<br />

rates are frozen. While Exelon says<br />

it absolutely needs higher rates in<br />

Illinois, it sings a different tune in<br />

Pennsylvania, where it locked in a<br />

$120 million rate cut through <strong>the</strong><br />

increase in DST rates. Ameren—<br />

<strong>the</strong> parent of AmerenCILCO, AmerenCIPS,<br />

and AmerenIP—proposes<br />

three separate “DST” rate hikes totalling<br />

$200 million.<br />

CUB has proposed wiping out<br />

Exelon’s rate hike, and <strong>the</strong> consumer<br />

group is studying <strong>the</strong> Ameren<br />

proposal.<br />

end of <strong>the</strong> decade.<br />

ComEd Claim: Our rates are <strong>the</strong><br />

same today as <strong>the</strong>y were in 1995.<br />

No company can be expected to go<br />

so long without raising prices.<br />

CUB Analysis: Just because<br />

ComEd hasn’t had an increase<br />

doesn’t mean it automatically deserves<br />

one. Its customers used to<br />

pay some of <strong>the</strong> highest rates in<br />

<strong>the</strong> nation, before a 1997 state law<br />

ordered a 20 percent rate cut. It<br />

took a record rate cut just to get<br />

ComEd’s prices at roughly <strong>the</strong> Midwest<br />

average, and yet <strong>the</strong> company<br />

still is raking in record profits.<br />

ComEd Claim: Our “auction”<br />

plan does NOT limit state oversight<br />

of <strong>the</strong> power industry.<br />

CUB Analysis: ComEd’s plan<br />

is a radical departure from <strong>current</strong><br />

law, which requires <strong>the</strong> Illinois<br />

Commerce Commission (ICC)<br />

to ensure that rates are “just and<br />

reasonable.” The proposal would<br />

strip <strong>the</strong> ICC of any meaningful<br />

power to make sure consumers are<br />

charged a fair rate.<br />

ComEd Claim: Consumer<br />

groups that oppose an “auction”<br />

system have not proposed any alternatives.<br />

CUB Analysis: Consumer<br />

groups have said all along that<br />

ComEd can have its auction, or<br />

any o<strong>the</strong>r power-buying system it<br />

wants, as long as Illinois regulators<br />

retain <strong>the</strong> authority to assure<br />

fair rates. ComEd’s auction is just<br />

a clever way to lift reasonable regulations<br />

that for years have allowed<br />

<strong>the</strong> company to earn a healthy<br />

profit while protecting consumers.<br />

Contact your state legislators and urge <strong>the</strong>m to take consumer-friendly positions<br />

on utility issues. To be connected directly to your legislator’s office,<br />

call AARP’s electrical advocacy hotline, 1-800-719-3020, or log on to www.<br />

StopComEdRateHike.com. Ameren has similar proposals. Find out more at<br />

www.StopAmerenRateHike.com.<br />

Winter 2005-2006 3

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