THE year ofthe snake/section 424,000 officials identified as criminalsuspects and handed over to judicialauthorities. The new leadership sent asecond signal when Wang Qishan – whohas earned a reputation as an effectivecrisis manager and has a deepunderstanding of the financial system –was appointed as head of the Party’s antigraftcommission in November 2012 tocrack down on corruption. While intent tofight corruption has always been part of thepolicy announcements after leadershiptransition, his appointment may pointtowards a more serious effort to fightcorruption.While we do not expect the corruptionclean-up to have any immediate impact oncompanies, state owned companies (SOE’s)will be the first who are likely to seepressure during any clean-up as they arereliant on government contracts andlicenses. If there is greater emphasis on theenforcement of the rule of law, sectors thatmight be exposed to risk include financials,real estate, telecommunications,construction and transportation.Food safetyAnother key topic, partially caused bycorruption through the bypassing ofproduct quality control, is food safety. Thevast number and scale of food scandals inChina explain the significance of this topic.According to MSCI, Chinese regulators havediscovered 15,000 cases of sub-standardfood and closed 5,700 food businesseswithout licenses since the start of 2012.Food safety concerns more than tripledbetween 2008 and 2012, up from 12% to41% according to Pew Research (Figure 1).Another major food crisis could weakenpeople’s confidence in the new leadership.Already back in 2012, Li Keqiang called forstrict and harsh punishment in cases offood safety violations and expressed plans20
<strong>ESG</strong> <strong>Matters</strong> | <strong>Issue</strong> 5Figure 1: Concerns about Corruption,Inequality and Food Safety Grow(% very big problem)50 4839 4141CorruptOfficialsGap betweenrich and poor2008 201212FoodSafetySource: Pew Research Center, <strong>Global</strong> AttitudesProject. ‘Growing Concerns in China aboutInequality, Corruption’. October 2012to establish long-term mechanisms tomonitor food safety. Thus, we believe thatbusinesses involved in food safety scandalscan expect little leniency from thegovernment.Back in <strong>April</strong> 2012, a gelatin capsule scandalinvolving at least 10 companies believed tohave been involved in producingcontaminated medicine capsules usingindustrial gelatin caused public uproar. Thegovernment reaction was swift,confiscating more than 230 tonnes ofindustrial gelatine, arresting 53 suspectsand revoking the production licences forthree gel capsule producers while shutting10 factories down. This is an example of thechanging political stance and rising costs asa result of penalties. The growing Chinesemiddle class, a significant domesticconsumption driver, is a section of thepopulation that is key to Chinesemanufactures and one that they must instiltrust in.As Li’s responsibilities included the headingof the food safety commission withinChina’s cabinet, he is well aware of theseissues. The new regime is under pressure tosort the situation out, not only byimplementing anti-corruption measuresbut also by reforming and enforcing thelaw. Currently, regulation is veryfragmented as the country has more than2,000 national food regulations and morethan 2,900 industry regulations. Plans toimprove the regulation of food-safety by2015 were published in June 2012.Licence to operatePollution and environmental scandals andthe pressure to deal with them are growingrapidly. The number of local protests,especially against planned incineration andchemical projects has increased. The firstsuccessful protest which forced localgovernment to stop plans to build achemical plant actually dates back in June2007 in Xiamen. Residents rallied around a“not in my backyard” mentality andexpressed their dissatisfaction in noisy andultimately successful protests.Nankai University estimates that thenumber of “mass incidents” which werefuelled by environmental concerns wasaround 90,000 in 2011. The Chinese Societyfor Environmental Sciences cites that thenumber of environmental protests hasrisen by roughly 29% per annum since 1996,while in 2011 the number of incidents dueto environmental concerns jumped 120%.According to McKinsey, the number ofprotests doubled in the second half of 2012.Protests in 2012 set themselves apart fromprevious years because of their high level ofsuccess. These include demonstrationsagainst a copper smelter plant in Shifang,the temporary closure of a solar-panelmanufacturer in Jiangsu, the shutdown of apetrochemical plant in Dalian, cancellationof a planned industrial waste pipeline inQidong and the cancellation of a coal-firedpower plant in Guangdong province. Webelieve this trend is set to continue.Interestingly, companies are legallyrequired to conduct Environmental ImpactAssessment and have public consultationsprior to building significant projects.However, in reality, these regulations areoften not adhered to by the localgovernment. With the central governmentpassing regulations at the top, the 21