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Corporate Governance in the GCC - Euromoney

Corporate Governance in the GCC - Euromoney

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Capital <strong>in</strong>flows: <strong>the</strong> impactof foreign direct <strong>in</strong>vestmentFDI is a key reason why it will become <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly important for <strong>the</strong> oil-produc<strong>in</strong>g nations of <strong>the</strong>Middle East to forge closer l<strong>in</strong>ks with <strong>in</strong>ternational <strong>in</strong>vestors and improve <strong>the</strong>ir corporate governancestandards.This is <strong>the</strong> grow<strong>in</strong>g recognition throughout MENA that even <strong>the</strong>wealthiest countries <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> region will need to encourage more ForeignDirect Investment (FDI) if <strong>the</strong>y are to guarantee economic prosperityfor future generations who may not be <strong>the</strong> direct beneficiaries of highoil prices.Already, a drive by <strong>GCC</strong> governments to open a number of key sectorsto regional and <strong>in</strong>ternational private sector <strong>in</strong>vestors has prompted astrik<strong>in</strong>g rise <strong>in</strong> FDI flows <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> Gulf. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to figures published byNBK, FDI <strong>in</strong>flows <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> <strong>GCC</strong> rose from a very modest $378m <strong>in</strong> 2000 to$6.6bn <strong>in</strong> 2003, $12.6bn <strong>in</strong> 2004 and $20.1bn <strong>in</strong> 2005, with NBK report<strong>in</strong>gthat total FDI is estimated to have expanded by a fur<strong>the</strong>r 20% <strong>in</strong> 2005.“Even with robust regional demand… <strong>the</strong> local manufactur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry across<strong>the</strong> Middle East has rema<strong>in</strong>ed small and fragmented as compared to o<strong>the</strong>remerg<strong>in</strong>g economies due to its dependence on oil revenues”Accord<strong>in</strong>g to a recent report published by <strong>the</strong> Dubai-based private equitygroup, Abraaj Capital, one of <strong>the</strong> most formidable challenges nowfac<strong>in</strong>g Middle Eastern as well as South Asian governments is <strong>the</strong> needfor job creation. “With 65% of <strong>the</strong> population under <strong>the</strong> age of 25, <strong>the</strong>Middle East has <strong>the</strong> fastest-grow<strong>in</strong>g labour force <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> world, grow<strong>in</strong>gat an estimated 3% per annum until 2020,” notes <strong>the</strong> Abraaj report.“By one estimate, <strong>the</strong> Middle East must create 80 million new jobs over<strong>the</strong> next 15 years and almost 100 million new jobs by 2020 if it wantsto improve on <strong>the</strong> current unemployment rates – a near doubl<strong>in</strong>g oftoday’s total employment.”The commodities sector alone will be unable to absorb more than amodest proportion of <strong>the</strong> demand for new job opportunities as youngand <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly aspirant people enter <strong>the</strong> labour force. To satisfy thatdemand, <strong>the</strong> Middle East <strong>in</strong> general and <strong>the</strong> <strong>GCC</strong> <strong>in</strong> particular recognisesthat it will need to attract <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong>to manufactur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry,which it has failed to do dur<strong>in</strong>g previous economic booms. “Evenwith robust regional demand,” advises Abraaj, “<strong>the</strong> local manufactur<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>dustry across <strong>the</strong> Middle East has rema<strong>in</strong>ed small and fragmentedas compared to o<strong>the</strong>r emerg<strong>in</strong>g economies due to its dependence onoil revenues. The manufactur<strong>in</strong>g sector contribution to real GDP hasrema<strong>in</strong>ed constant at approximately 11% s<strong>in</strong>ce 2000.”In recent years, <strong>the</strong> UAE has been at <strong>the</strong> forefront of <strong>the</strong> FDI revolution,attract<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>flows of $4.26bn <strong>in</strong> 2003, $8.4bn <strong>in</strong> 2004 and $12bn <strong>in</strong> 2005.Saudi Arabia, however, has also seen a surge <strong>in</strong> FDI volumes <strong>in</strong> recentyears, with <strong>in</strong>flows mushroom<strong>in</strong>g from just $778m <strong>in</strong> 2003 to $4.63bn <strong>in</strong>2005, accord<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>the</strong> NBK data.Impressive though <strong>the</strong>y may be, those figures will need to cont<strong>in</strong>ue torise if <strong>the</strong> <strong>GCC</strong> region is to attract <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment it needs to upgradeits <strong>in</strong>frastructure. Specifically, accord<strong>in</strong>g to a bullet<strong>in</strong> published recentlyby Abraaj Capital, over <strong>the</strong> com<strong>in</strong>g decade regional <strong>in</strong>frastructure<strong>in</strong>vestment will <strong>in</strong>clude $188bn to be spent on transportation and ports,$155bn on power and utilities, $130bn on water, $87bn on petrochemicals,$49bn on healthcare and $18bn on education.Accord<strong>in</strong>g to NBK, only 35% of <strong>the</strong> projects that are now on <strong>the</strong> draw<strong>in</strong>gboard <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Middle East are be<strong>in</strong>g implemented purely by governmentsponsors. That will mean that <strong>the</strong> local and <strong>in</strong>ternational private sectorwill be required to shoulder <strong>the</strong> burden for a colossal flow of <strong>in</strong>vestment<strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> region’s <strong>in</strong>frastructure. Those <strong>in</strong>vestors team<strong>in</strong>g up with localjo<strong>in</strong>t venture partners will only be able to do so with confidence if <strong>the</strong>yare assured of <strong>the</strong> best <strong>in</strong>ternational corporate governance practicesamong regional companies.

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