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Suicide Risk Assessment Guide - Ontario Hospital Association

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Box 4. Psychometric and Technical Considerations for Evaluating <strong>Suicide</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Assessment</strong> Tools<br />

Section II: Inventory Of <strong>Suicide</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Assessment</strong> Tools<br />

Correlation The extent of an association between variables (e.g., tool scores), such that when values in one<br />

variable changes, so does the other. A correlation can range from -1.0 to 1.0. The closer the score is to<br />

-1.0 or 1.0, the stronger the relationship between variables. Negative correlations indicate that as the<br />

value in one variable increases the value in the second variable decreases. Correlation is often used<br />

in the validation process when examining how well a tool’s score relates to other indicators or suicide<br />

risk or distress.<br />

Reliability The degree to which a risk assessment tool will produce consistent results (e.g., internal consistency)<br />

at a different period (e.g., test-retest), or when completed by different assessors (e.g., inter-rater). A<br />

common statistic reported for internal consistency is the Cronbach’s alpha (or α). This statistic, like a<br />

correlation, ranges from 0 to 1.0. A higher score means the items consistently measure the construct<br />

of interest. Typically, a score of 0.7 or higher indicates good reliability.<br />

Validity The degree to which a risk assessment tool will measure what it is intended to measure or forecast<br />

into the future. Convergent, concurrent, and construct validity may be established by looking at the<br />

correlation between a tool’s score and scores of other instruments, measures, or factors already know<br />

to measure or indicate the construct of interest (e.g., suicide risk assessment tool should correlate<br />

with other gold standard instruments for measuring suicide risk or factors related to suicide risk<br />

such as severe depression). Face validity can be established when the content of the instrument is in<br />

agreement with the accepted theory or clinical dimensions of the construct of interest. Predictive<br />

validity refers to how well a score on a suicide risk tool can predict future behaviour.<br />

Sensitivity A component of validity, sensitivity of a risk assessment tool is the ability of the instrument to identify<br />

correctly persons who are at risk.<br />

Specificity A component of validity, specificity of a risk assessment tool is the ability of the instrument to identify<br />

correctly those who are not at risk.<br />

Factor<br />

Analysis<br />

Threshold<br />

Scores<br />

Modes of<br />

Administration<br />

A statistical approach that can be used to analyze interrelationships among a large number of items<br />

on a tool and to explain these relationships in terms of their common underlying dimensions<br />

(factors). Usually, this analysis is done to determine how items in an instrument measure a<br />

similar factor.<br />

A threshold score is the minimum score that denotes a level of risk on an assessment instrument.<br />

Falling within a high range of points, for example, may suggest higher risk for suicide. Note that not<br />

all threshold scores are validated across populations/settings and their use may result in increased<br />

false negatives (i.e., incorrectly labeling a person not at risk of suicide). To adopt a threshold score for<br />

identifying high risk of suicide, evidence of strong sensitivity and specificity, as described above,<br />

is required.<br />

Several approaches to risk assessment exist, such as a clinical interview or through a self-report<br />

questionnaire. Advantages of self report include the opportunity for screening prior to a visit,<br />

particularly in primary care or use as a break in the clinical interview and an opportunity for<br />

corroboration. Disadvantages include the potential for perceived disconnect between the assessor and<br />

person and the impersonal nature of completing the form.<br />

<strong>Suicide</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> Assesment <strong>Guide</strong> I 37

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