Paper (121 kb) - Met Office

18. Flood Risk from ExtremeEvents (FREE) project onExploitation of new datasources and assimilationtechniques for storm andflood forecastingSue BallardPeter ClarkAnthony IllingworthSarah DanceSue GrayBob Plant (all Reading)Bob Moore (CEH,Wallingford)limited area models to interact with highresolution data assimilation. Sarah Dance is aPDRA funded by NERC through DARC and nowhas a RCUK fellowship.Support for 2 PDRAs for 3 years Research inconvective scale DA (focussing on use of radar,especially refractivity for low level humidity andclear air Doppler), ensemble precipitationprediction and coupling to hydrological models.This has received very high ratings so far andwe firmly hope it will be funded by NERC19. Development of Convectivescale EnKFSue BallardAlan O’NeillRoss BanisterStefano Migliorini(Reading)One PDRA (Stefano Migliorini) and one PhD (tobe appointed) within DARC to research intodevelopment of convective scale EnKF systemwithin the UM framework.20. Exploration of scales inanalysesSue BallardGillian Baxter PhDstudentNancy Nichols, AmosLawless, Sarah DanceReading Maths and MetDARC NERC CASE PhD student investigatingproblems of analysis in limited area domains andneed to capture synoptic evolution on scaleslarger than analysis domain. Idealised studiesusing simple models. Directly related to issues inconvective scale data assimilation.21. Convective Storm InitiationProject (CSIP)Peter ClarkLarge NERC-fundedconsortium, primarilyAlan Blyth (Leeds),Doug Parker (Leeds),Keith BrowningThe CSIP 2005 summer campaign ran verysuccessfully through June, July and August.Results from this and the 2004 pilot are alreadybeing used to validate (and inspire)improvements to UM dynamics, microphysics