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Recidivism of Sex Offendes Released from Prison in 1994

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<strong>from</strong> data on first releases (forexample, percent <strong>of</strong> sentence served),Michigan was excluded <strong>from</strong> all tablesbased on first releases.Analysis <strong>of</strong> statutory rape lawsThe publication’s analysis <strong>of</strong> statutoryrape laws <strong>in</strong> the United States benefittedgreatly <strong>from</strong> the report “<strong>Sex</strong>ualRelationships Between Adult Malesand Young Teen Girls: Explor<strong>in</strong>g theLegal and Social Responses,” bySharon G. Elste<strong>in</strong> and Noy Davis,American Bar Association, Center onChildren and the Law, October 1997.Sampl<strong>in</strong>g errorIn <strong>1994</strong> State prisons <strong>in</strong> 15 Statesreleased 302,309 prisoners altogether.A total <strong>of</strong> 38,624 were sampled for arecidivism study. Results <strong>of</strong> that studyand <strong>in</strong>formation regard<strong>in</strong>g sampl<strong>in</strong>gand other methodological details areavailable <strong>in</strong> the BJS publication <strong>Recidivism</strong><strong>of</strong> <strong>Prison</strong>ers <strong>Released</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>1994</strong>,NCJ 193427, June 2002.The 302,309 total released consisted<strong>of</strong> 10,546 released sex <strong>of</strong>fenders plus291,763 released non-sex <strong>of</strong>fenders.The 38,624 sample consisted <strong>of</strong>10,546 released sex <strong>of</strong>fenders plus28,078 released non-sex <strong>of</strong>fenders.The number <strong>of</strong> sex <strong>of</strong>fenders <strong>in</strong> thesample was the same as the number <strong>in</strong>the 302,309 total because all sex<strong>of</strong>fenders released <strong>in</strong> <strong>1994</strong> <strong>in</strong> the 15States were selected for the study, nota sample <strong>of</strong> them.Because no sampl<strong>in</strong>g was used toselect sex <strong>of</strong>fenders, numbers andpercentages <strong>in</strong> this report for sex<strong>of</strong>fenders were not subject to sampl<strong>in</strong>gerror. However, comparisons <strong>in</strong> thereport between sex <strong>of</strong>fenders andnon-sex <strong>of</strong>fenders were subject tosampl<strong>in</strong>g error because sampl<strong>in</strong>g wasused to select non-sex <strong>of</strong>fenders.Where sex <strong>of</strong>fenders were comparedto all non-sex <strong>of</strong>fenders released <strong>in</strong><strong>1994</strong>, sampl<strong>in</strong>g error was taken <strong>in</strong>toaccount. All differences discussedwere statistically significant at the .05level.Not all 10,546 sex <strong>of</strong>fenders <strong>in</strong> thesample were used <strong>in</strong> the report. To be<strong>in</strong> the report, the sex <strong>of</strong>fender had tobe male and meet all 4 <strong>of</strong> the follow<strong>in</strong>gcriteria:1. A RAP sheet on the prisoner wasfound <strong>in</strong> the State crim<strong>in</strong>al historyrepository.2. The released prisoner was alivethroughout the entire 3-year followupperiod. (This requirement resulted <strong>in</strong> 21sex <strong>of</strong>fenders’ be<strong>in</strong>g excluded.)3. The prisoner's sentence was greaterthan 1 year (miss<strong>in</strong>g sentences weretreated as greater than 1 year).4. The State department <strong>of</strong> correctionsthat released the prisoner <strong>in</strong> <strong>1994</strong> didnot designate him as any <strong>of</strong> the follow<strong>in</strong>grelease types: release tocustody/deta<strong>in</strong>er/warrant, absentwithout leave, escape, transfer, adm<strong>in</strong>istrativerelease, or release on appeal.A total <strong>of</strong> 9,691 released male sex<strong>of</strong>fenders met the selection criteria.The number <strong>of</strong> them released <strong>in</strong> eachState is shown <strong>in</strong> the appendix table.Other methodological detailsTo help the reader understand thepercentages provided <strong>in</strong> the report,both the numerator and denom<strong>in</strong>atorwere <strong>of</strong>ten given. In most cases, thereader could then reproduce thepercentages. For example, the report<strong>in</strong>dicates 38.6% (3,741) <strong>of</strong> the 9,691sex <strong>of</strong>fenders were returned to prison.Appendix table. Number <strong>of</strong> sex<strong>of</strong>fenders released <strong>from</strong> State prisons<strong>in</strong> <strong>1994</strong> and number selected for thisreport, by State<strong>Sex</strong> <strong>of</strong>fendersreleased <strong>from</strong>prison <strong>in</strong> <strong>1994</strong>Selectedto be <strong>in</strong>State Total this reportTotal 10,546 9,691Arizona156 122California 3,503 3,395Delaware 53 45Florida 1,053 965Ill<strong>in</strong>ois775 710Maryland 277 243Michigan 477 444M<strong>in</strong>nesota 249 239New Jersey 449 429New York 799 692North Carol<strong>in</strong>a 508 441Ohio824 606Oregon452 408Texas708 692Virg<strong>in</strong>ia263 260Note: "Total released" <strong>in</strong>cludes both male andfemale sex <strong>of</strong>fenders; "Total selected to be <strong>in</strong>this report" <strong>in</strong>cludes only male sex <strong>of</strong>fenders.Us<strong>in</strong>g the 3,741 and the 9,691, thereader could exactly reproduce theresults. However, the reader should beaware that <strong>in</strong> a few places, the calculatedpercentages will differ slightly<strong>from</strong> the percentages found <strong>in</strong> thereport. This is due to round<strong>in</strong>g. Forexample, 43.0%, or 4,163, <strong>of</strong> the 9,691sex <strong>of</strong>fenders were rearrested;however, 4,163 / 9,691 is 42.96%,which was rounded to 43.0%.Offense def<strong>in</strong>itions and other methodologicaldetails are available <strong>in</strong> the BJSpublication <strong>Recidivism</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Prison</strong>ers<strong>Released</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>1994</strong>, NCJ 193427, June2002.<strong>Recidivism</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Sex</strong> Offenders <strong>Released</strong> <strong>from</strong> <strong>Prison</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>1994</strong> 39

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