TITLE GOES HERE - World Health Summit

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Interventions• The micro-simulation enables us to testvarious policy interventions• Here we have tested the impact of 1%and 5% decrease of the mean BMI acrossthe population• Outputs are for disease prevalence,incidence and healthcare costs
Number of cases per 100,0001000900800Prevalence cases avoided1% decrease in mean BMI10009008005% decrease in mean BMI70070060060050050040040030030020020010010002010 2020 2030 2040 2050Type 2 DiabetesHypertensionCHD & Stroke7 CancersKnee Osteoarthritis02010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Page 1 and 2: Actual and Predicted Figures forObe
Page 3 and 4: Methods• It all started with the
Page 5 and 6: Micro-Simulation• Computer model
Page 7 and 8: Micro-Simulation
Page 9 and 10: PrevalenceUSAMalesFemales1001009090
Page 11: Prevalence (%)BMI≥25 kg/m² among
Page 14 and 15: Proportion of population (%)Proport
Page 16 and 17: Proportion of population (%)Proport
Page 18 and 19: Number of cases per 100,000Disease
Page 22 and 23: Number of cases per 100, 0002500Cum
Page 24 and 25: Reports
Page 27 and 28: PrevalenceMalesBrazilFemales1001009
Page 29 and 30: Prevalence100MalesRussian Federatio
Page 31 and 32: % Obese by year, three data periods
Page 33 and 34: % Obese by year, three data periods

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