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Helioseismology in Space Weather - National Solar Observatory

Helioseismology in Space Weather - National Solar Observatory

Helioseismology in Space Weather - National Solar Observatory

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Input Data<strong>Solar</strong>MagnetogramDataIncorporat<strong>in</strong>g Far-Side Observations<strong>in</strong>to ADAPTIntelligent FrontEnd !Import & SelectDataforData AssimilatorADAPTInitial ConditionsData AssimilatorForecast Step:use the WHmodel tocalculateforecastModel<strong>in</strong>g / Forecast<strong>in</strong>gApplicationsImproved<strong>Solar</strong> SynopticMapsCoronal &<strong>Solar</strong> W<strong>in</strong>dModelsWSA+ENLILMagneticFieldVarianceAnalysis Step:comb<strong>in</strong>eobservations withforecastFar-side mapPolarity+ErrorEstimationAssimilation ResultsGlobalMagnetic FieldWSA-ENLIL<strong>Solar</strong> W<strong>in</strong>dDiagram of the general data flow and process<strong>in</strong>g of ADAPT: the Intelligent Front End imports and selects the bestavailable magnetogram data, along with estimated uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties, to be assimilated by the ensemble least-squares (EnLS)method with the latest WH flux transport map of the global solar magnetic field. These maps are then used as <strong>in</strong>put forcoronal and solar w<strong>in</strong>d models, e.g., WSA-ENLIL (Odstrcil et al. , 2005) .

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