13.07.2015 Views

International macroe.. - Free

International macroe.. - Free

International macroe.. - Free

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

2.7. FILTERING 77Properties of the Hodrick—Prescott FilterFor t = 3,...,T − 2, the Euler equations can be writtenq t − τ t = λu(L)τ t ,whereu(L) =(1− L) 2 (1 − L −1 ) 2 = P 2j=−2 u j L j ⇐(56)with u −2 = u 2 =1,u −1 = u 1 = −4, and u 0 = 6. We note for futurereference that c t = q t − τ t implies that c t = λu(L)τ t .You’ve already determined that q t =(λu(L)+1)τ t = v(L)τ t wherev(L) =1+λu(L) =1+λ(1 − L) 2 (1 − L −1 ) 2 , so it follows thatτ t = v(L) −1 q t =q t1+λ(1 − L) 2 (1 − L −1 ) 2 .v −1 (L) is the trend Þlter. Once you compute τ t , subtract the resultfrom the data, q t to get c t . This is equivalent to forming c t = δ(L)q twhereδ(L) =1− v −1 (L) = λ(1 − L)2 (1 − L −1 ) 21+λ(1 − L) 2 (1 − L −1 ) . 2Since (1 − L) 2 (1 − L −1 )=L −2 (1 − L) 4 ,theÞlter is equivalent to Þrst ⇐(57)applying (1 − L) 4 on q t , and then applying λL −2 v −1 (L) ontheresult. 34⇐(58)This means the Hodrick-Prescott Þlter can induce stationary into thecyclical component from a process that is I(4).The spectral density function of the cyclical component is s c (ω) =δ(e −iω )δ(e iω )s q (ω), whereδ(e −iω )= λ[(1 − e−iω )(1 − e iω )] 2λ[(1 − e −iω )(1 − e iω )] 2 +1 .From our trigonometric identities, (1−e −iω )(1−e iω )=2(1−cos(ω)), itfollows that δ(ω) =4λ[1−cos(ω)]2 . Each frequency of the original series4λ[1−cos(ω)] 2 +1is therefore scaled by |δ(ω)| 2 = h i4λ(1−cos(ω)) 2. 24λ(1−cos(ω)) 2 +1 This scaling factor isplottedinFigure2.4.34 This is shown in King and Rebelo (84).

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!