Data Farming Around the World Overview - Cornwallis Group

266 THE CORNWALLIS GROUP XIV: ANALYSIS FOR SOCIETAL CONFLICT AND COUNTER-INSURGENCYof possibilities. The term distillation is added, because the intent is to distill the question athand and down into as simple a representation as possible. Also, models used in ProjectAlbert were specifically developed and used because the capability to rapidly prototypescenarios is also very important in this process.Although Project Albert was a US-sponsored effort, it had a strong spirit of internationalcollaboration which made a great deal of cooperative effort among researchers around theworld possible. For example, the three models mentioned in the paragraph above weresponsored by MoD´s in New Zealand, Germany, and the US respectively. Due to the fact,that Project Albert was question-based also allowed practitioners from around the world torally around the developing Data Farming methodologies because of the impact it had upontheir present shared application interests.Because many of the questions of interest have wide applicability, the work teams atinternational workshops typically consist of representatives from minimum three andsometimes up to six different countries and the workshops overall have usually consisted ofabout 8 to 12 teams ending in more than 120 applications of the models to specific missionrelated questions. The first international workshop was organized in 1999 and 12 workshopswere held under the auspices of Project Albert which ended in September 2006. Since thattime the international Data Farming community has continued cooperative efforts and themost recent workshops, the 17 th and 18 th workshops were held in fall 2008 and in spring2009. Our presentation here will highlight these most recent workshops, but details on theother workshops and other Data Farming efforts can be found at http://harvest.nps.edu, thewebsite of the SEED (Simulation Experiments and Efficient Designs) Center for DataFarming at the United States Naval Postgraduate School.DATA FARMINGOVERVIEWData Farming combines efficient experiment design, the rapid prototyping of agent-baseddistillations with the exploratory power of high performance computing to rapidly generateinsight into military questions. Data Farming focuses on a more complete landscape ofpossible system responses and progressions, rather than attempting to pinpoint an answer.This “big picture” solution landscape is an invaluable aid to the decision maker in light of thecomplex nature of the modern battle space. And while there is no such thing as an optimaldecision in a system where the enemy has a role, Data Farming allows the decision maker tomore fully understand the landscape of possibilities and thereby make more informeddecisions. Data Farming also allows for the discovery of outliers that may lead to findingsthat allow decision makers to no longer be surprised by surprise.The simulations that defense analysts use are often large and complex. An evaluation ofcomplete landscapes is extremely time consuming, sometimes not even possible. Also, eventhe smaller more abstract agent-based distillations referred to above can have manyparameters that are potentially significant and that could take on many values. And responsesurfaces can be highly non-linear. Thus, even with high performance computing and thesmall models used in Data Farming, gridded designs, where every value is simulated, areunwieldy.