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HOW TO THINK LIKE BENJAMIN GRAHAM AND INVEST LIKE WARREN BUFFETT

How to Think Like Benjamin Graham and Invest Like Warren Buffett

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INTRODUCTION:<br />

THE Q CULTURE<br />

Common sense is the heart of investing and business management.<br />

Yet the paradox of common sense is that it is so uncommon.<br />

For example, people often refer to a stockor the market level<br />

as either “overvalued” or “undervalued.” That is an empty statement.<br />

A share of stockor the aggregate of all shares in a market index have<br />

an intrinsic value. It is the sum of all future cash flows the share or<br />

the index will generate in the future, discounted to present value.<br />

Estimating that amount of cash flow and its present value are<br />

difficult. But that defines value, and it is the same without regard<br />

to what people hope or guess it is. The result of the hoping and<br />

guessing game—sometimes the product of analysis, often not—is<br />

the share price or market level. Thus, it is more accurate to refer to<br />

a stockor a market index as overpriced or underpriced than as overvalued<br />

or undervalued.<br />

The insight that prices vary differently from underlying values is<br />

common sense, but it defies prevalent sense. Thinkabout the ticker<br />

symbol for the popular Nasdaq 100: QQQ. The marketing geniuses<br />

at the National Association of Securities Dealers may have chosen<br />

three Qs because Q is a cool and brandable letter (thinkQ-Tips).<br />

In choosing from the letters N, A, S, D, and Q, however, they selected<br />

the one (three times) that stands for Quotation and unwittingly<br />

reflect a quote-driven culture by this quintessentially New<br />

Economy index created in mid-1999.<br />

Quotes of prices command constant attention in the mad, modern<br />

market where buyers and sellers of stocks have no idea of the<br />

businesses behind the paper they swap but precisely what the price<br />

is. Quote obsession trades analysis for attitude, minds for myopic<br />

momentum, intelligence for instinct. Quotations are the quotidian<br />

diet of the day trader, forging a casino culture where quickness of<br />

action fed by irrational impulses displaces both quality and quantity<br />

Copyright 2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Click Here for Terms of Use<br />

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