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Trade and investment<br />

‘With a ten-year timeframe that starts immediately,<br />

<strong>Africa</strong>n producers can position themselves<br />

for the inevitable competition that comes from<br />

future trade agreements, such as the ones Europe<br />

and the United States are now negotiating with<br />

Vietnam.’<br />

from temporary unilateral preference<br />

programs to permanent two-way free<br />

trade agreements.<br />

While we look forward to engaging<br />

in those debates at the appropriate<br />

time, we will be focused in the<br />

meantime on more immediate opportunities<br />

created by this ten-year<br />

extension.<br />

• First, it means <strong>Africa</strong>n producers<br />

can develop a vertical<br />

industry. Since the creation of<br />

AGOA in 2000, policymakers have<br />

wondered over the best way to<br />

foster investment in fabric and<br />

yarn production in <strong>Africa</strong>. Previous<br />

short-term extensions combined<br />

with strong competition from<br />

elsewhere discouraged this kind of<br />

investment. Now we have a longterm<br />

horizon that gives investors<br />

the stability and predictability to<br />

recoup their return on the kind of<br />

large investments needed for yarn<br />

and fabric production. The tenyear<br />

window also accommodates<br />

the long-term planning needed to<br />

upgrade or build critical infrastructure,<br />

such as ports, railroads, and<br />

utilities.<br />

• Second, it means <strong>Africa</strong>n producers<br />

can focus on making<br />

quality products under safe<br />

and responsible conditions at<br />

the time and price that their<br />

customers demand. Recognizing<br />

that the customer is king was<br />

a central message that came out<br />

of this past year’s Source <strong>Africa</strong><br />

conference, which took place as<br />

Congress was debating the AGOA<br />

extension. It is also an outlook<br />

that <strong>Africa</strong>n producers can now<br />

adopt. A stable preference program<br />

means factory owners and<br />

managers can build the kind of<br />

long-term partnerships, skills, and<br />

compliance that will lead to repeat<br />

business, as well as larger and<br />

more sophisticated orders.<br />

• Third, it means <strong>Africa</strong>n producers<br />

don’t have to obsess about<br />

competition from other regions.<br />

With a ten-year timeframe<br />

that starts immediately, <strong>Africa</strong>n<br />

producers can position themselves<br />

for the inevitable competition<br />

that comes from future trade<br />

agreements, such as the ones<br />

Europe and the United States are<br />

now negotiating with Vietnam.<br />

As those agreements take time<br />

to be completed, approved, and<br />

implemented, AGOA (and existing<br />

duty preferences with Europe)<br />

enable <strong>Africa</strong>n countries to build<br />

competitive relationships. This<br />

doesn’t mean that <strong>Africa</strong>n producers<br />

shouldn’t cast a wary eye<br />

toward their competition. It does<br />

mean that they shouldn’t let those<br />

concerns hobble their own ability<br />

to compete.<br />

Finally, the ten-year extension is<br />

coming at the right time. Our members<br />

are telling us that <strong>Africa</strong> is<br />

featured more prominently in their<br />

sourcing plans. While this trend was<br />

materializing before AGOA’s renewal,<br />

it has been accelerating in the past<br />

few months. In a recent survey, half<br />

our members told us they are currently<br />

sourcing in <strong>Africa</strong>. Sixty percent of<br />

those NOT sourcing there now tell us<br />

they expect to start shortly. A widely<br />

quoted report by McKinsey released<br />

in August also points to greater interest<br />

in <strong>Africa</strong>, particularly East <strong>Africa</strong>.<br />

For the past 15 years, <strong>Africa</strong>’s main<br />

competitive advantage – duty free<br />

access to its major markets – was<br />

controlled by others. Over the next<br />

decade, with focus and discipline, <strong>Africa</strong>n<br />

producers can use that duty free<br />

status to build their own competitive<br />

advantage. We will be there to help.<br />

Steve Lamar is executive vice president<br />

for the American Apparel &<br />

Footwear Association and a trade<br />

policy expert. AAFA is a national<br />

trade association representing apparel,<br />

footwear, and other sewn products<br />

companies, and their suppliers,<br />

which compete in the global market.<br />

JANUARY - MARCH 2016 5

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