TTO_January_2018_web
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Safest airlines for <strong>2018</strong><br />
The global safety and product rating <strong>web</strong>site,<br />
AirlineRatings.com, has announced<br />
its top 20 safest airlines for <strong>2018</strong> from the<br />
409 it monitors.<br />
The top twenty are the who’s who of airlines<br />
and in alphabetical order are: Air<br />
New Zealand, Alaska Airlines, All Nippon<br />
Airways, British Airways, Cathay Pacific<br />
Airways, Emirates, Etihad Airways,<br />
EVA Air, Finnair, Hawaiian Airlines, Japan<br />
Airlines, KLM, Lufthansa, Qantas,<br />
Royal Jordanian Airlines, SAS, Singapore<br />
Airlines, Swiss, Virgin Atlantic and Virgin<br />
Australia.<br />
“These airlines are standouts in the industry<br />
and are at the forefront of safety and<br />
innovation,” said AirlineRatings.com Editor-in-Chief<br />
Geoffrey Thomas.<br />
USA losing<br />
visitors<br />
Minus 5,9 % comparing 2017 to 2016 in<br />
overseas visitors.<br />
The Top 15 Overseas Source Markets (UK,<br />
Japan, China, Germany, South Korea,<br />
Brazil, France, Australia, India, Italy,<br />
Argentina, Colombia, Spain, Netherlands<br />
and Sweden) produce almost 7 out of every<br />
10 (68.5 percent) of overseas visitors to the<br />
United States.<br />
The Trump factor.<br />
There is no doubt that a year full of Donald<br />
Trump as president of the United States<br />
has had its impact on travel to the United<br />
States from abroad. There have been several<br />
actual surveys that have given dimension to<br />
the unpopularity—a poll in Mexico which<br />
showed that Trump’s approval rating was 5<br />
percent, an all-time low for a U.S. president;<br />
a travel agent survey in the UK in which a<br />
majority of agents said that they would not<br />
visit the U.S. because of trump; and occasional<br />
articles in the travel trade press in<br />
Europe indicating that sale of USA product<br />
were off because of Trump—but travelers<br />
in some high performing markets, such<br />
as China, South Korea and part of the Eurozone,<br />
don’t seem to care. There also is the<br />
temptation to look at Mexico’s declining<br />
visitation numbers to the USA and its record<br />
increase in visitation to Canada this<br />
year and make a correlation that many<br />
Mexicans are forgoing a trip to the USA in<br />
SAS is among the safest airlines.<br />
“For instance, Australia’s Qantas has<br />
been recognized by the British Advertising<br />
Standards Association in a test case in<br />
2008 as the world’s most experienced airline.”<br />
“It is extraordinary that Qantas has been<br />
the lead airline in virtually every major<br />
operational safety advancement over the<br />
past 60 years and has not had a fatality in<br />
the jet era,” said Mr Thomas.<br />
“But Qantas is not alone. Long established<br />
airlines such as Hawaiian and Finnair<br />
have perfect records in the jet era.”<br />
Responding to public interest, the company<br />
also identified its top ten safest low-cost<br />
airlines.<br />
These are in alphabetical order: Aer Lingus,<br />
Flybe, Frontier, HK Express, Jetblue,<br />
Jetstar Australia, Thomas Cook, Virgin<br />
America, Vueling and Westjet.<br />
In making its selections. <strong>web</strong>site takes into<br />
account numerous critical factors that include;<br />
audits from aviation’s governing<br />
bodies and lead associations; government<br />
audits; airline’s crash and serious incident<br />
record and fleet age.<br />
AirlineRatings.com also announced its<br />
lowest ranked (one star) airlines which<br />
are; Air Koryo, Bluewing Airlines, Buddha<br />
Air, Nepal Airlines, Tara Air, Trigana<br />
Air Service and Yeti Airlines.<br />
favor of a trip to Canada because of Trump.<br />
Trump is also deemed responsible for the<br />
USA’s decline as a brand: the latest Anholt-<br />
GfK Nations Brand IndexSM showed that<br />
the U.S. had fallen from Number 1 to Number<br />
6, with Trump seen as the main reason.<br />
“The USA’s fall in the governance category<br />
suggests that we are witnessing a ‘Trump<br />
effect’, following President Trump’s focused<br />
political message of ‘America First,’”<br />
said Professor Simon Anholt, who created<br />
the Index in 2005.<br />
The Top 15 Overseas Source Markets<br />
UK 2017 Arrivals: 1,935,079<br />
Change vs. 2016: Down 6.2 percent<br />
INBOUND prediction for <strong>2018</strong>: Down 4<br />
percent, plus or minus.<br />
Here’s Why: Unlike the relationship of the<br />
euro, the British pound has not crept back<br />
to a level that makes the purchase of a U.S.<br />
holiday less of a strain than it has been for<br />
the past year-and-a-half, ever since the June<br />
23, 2016 referendum in which Britons voted<br />
to exit (“Brexit”) the European Union. The<br />
pound was trading at $1.49 on the day of<br />
the vote and dropped as low as $1.20 in<br />
mid-<strong>January</strong> 2017 and clawed its way back<br />
to the $1.30 to $1.34 range, which is where it<br />
was in mid-December. Ten percent is a lot,<br />
especially when it costs that much more to<br />
buy a U.S. holiday package for a family of<br />
four.<br />
The 18 months following the Brexit vote<br />
seems to have fatigued the British traveler,<br />
as occasional reports has pointed to an increase<br />
in the number of Brits taking “staycations,”<br />
even if they consider a proper holiday<br />
an innate right. And while the Trump<br />
factor has had its impact on the holiday<br />
plans of some Brits, the uncertainty and<br />
concern over Brexit, which is scheduled to<br />
go into effect on March 29, 2019, is causing<br />
more havoc and stoking the fires of fear in<br />
the UK, with suggestions that flights out of<br />
the country could be limited and the cost of<br />
doing trade with the EU could increase in<br />
many areas. All of the above will decrease<br />
the number of UK arrivals by 4 percent or<br />
so in <strong>2018</strong>.<br />
SWEDEN 2017 Arrivals: 260,472<br />
Change vs. 2016: Down 5.4 percent<br />
INBOUND prediction for <strong>2018</strong>: No change<br />
from 2017.<br />
Here’s why: It is sometimes easy for us to<br />
forget about Sweden as—depending on<br />
how the outbound tourism market is performing<br />
in Switzerland or Venezuela or<br />
Ireland—it sometimes does not make<br />
Number 15 on the list of Top 15 Overseas<br />
Source. It is really impressive, however, that<br />
it makes the list at all, as it has the smallest<br />
population (9.9 million) of any Top 15<br />
country. Yet, it sent about 5.6 percent of its<br />
total population—more than 1 out of every<br />
20 Swedes—to the U.S. in 2016. Sweden<br />
will be in a bit of a recovery mode in the<br />
coming year. The number of visitors it sent<br />
to the U.S. in 2016 (559,000) was a 5 percent<br />
decline from 2015—although from<br />
2009 to 2016, its visitor count to the U.S.<br />
increased by 72 percent—from 324,000<br />
to 559,000. The cause for the 2016 decline<br />
mirrored, in part, by what happened to the<br />
countries of the Eurozone with the euro.<br />
14<br />
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