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Python for Finance

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Credit Risk Analysis

Here ST is the terminal stock price at maturity date, T is the maturity date, K is the

exercise price, and max() is the maximum function. The similarity between the

preceding two equations suggests that we could treat equity as a call option with

the debt level as our exercise price. With appropriate notations, we will have the

following formulas for a firm's equity. The KMV model is defined here:

On the other hand, the following relationship between the volatilities of the equity

and the total assets holds. In the following equation, we have:

Since d1 and d 2

are defined by the previous equations, we have two equations

for two unknowns (A and ); see the following formulas. Thus, we could use

trial-and-error or simultaneous equation methods to solve those two unknowns.

Eventually, we want to solve the following two equations for A and :

We should pay attention to the estimated A (market value of total assets) from the

preceding equation since it is different from the summation of market value of assets

plus the book value of the debt.

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