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25022021 - Way out of Nigeria’s security problems

Vanguard Newspaper 24 February 2021

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Towards a new Nigeria: From Federal<br />

Fatherism to a Commonwealth<br />

BY DR AKINWUMI<br />

ADESINA<br />

I<br />

would like to congratulate my<br />

dear brother and friend, H.E.<br />

Oluwarotimi Akeredolu, SAN, on his<br />

well-deserved re-election as the Executive<br />

Governor <strong>of</strong> Ondo State.<br />

Your renewed mandate by the good<br />

people <strong>of</strong> Ondo State, is an undeniable<br />

mark <strong>of</strong> confidence in your remarkable<br />

leadership.<br />

Thank you for greatly honouring<br />

me with an invitation to deliver this<br />

inauguration lecture. My lecture today<br />

is titled: “Towards a New Nigeria:<br />

From Federal Fatherism to a<br />

Commonwealth”.<br />

Let me be clear from the onset that<br />

I speak for no one, I speak ab<strong>out</strong> no<br />

one, I speak for myself, from my<br />

heart, ab<strong>out</strong> my country, the nation<br />

<strong>of</strong> my birth, for which I have a relentless<br />

passion and longing for its glorious<br />

future, not too far from now. It<br />

has been a long time Governor<br />

“Aketi” since our student days at the<br />

great University <strong>of</strong> Ife, where we always<br />

say “great”. Today, I say to you<br />

“Aketi”: “Great”! - congratulations!<br />

Your Excellency, Governor Akeredolu,<br />

like an athlete on the 4th and<br />

final lap <strong>of</strong> a 400-meter race, you<br />

must now run for the home stretch<br />

with your eyes fixed on the finish line<br />

that is ahead <strong>of</strong> you.<br />

Race for legacy<br />

It is a race for legacy. A legacy, for<br />

you, a legacy for the people <strong>of</strong> Ondo<br />

State. You stand today as Governor<br />

<strong>of</strong> Ondo State, for a second time, by<br />

the grace <strong>of</strong> God. Be the instrument<br />

to change things, more radically.<br />

Make your second term one <strong>of</strong> double<br />

blessings for the people.<br />

Make growth more inclusive.<br />

Harness the dynamism and entrepreneurship<br />

<strong>of</strong> the y<strong>out</strong>h and the<br />

power <strong>of</strong> the industrious women <strong>of</strong><br />

Ondo State. This is the time to consolidate.<br />

This is the time to readjust.<br />

This is the time to move at a pace<br />

faster than you ever have. There is<br />

always a tendency for complacency<br />

during a second term, with the pressure<br />

<strong>of</strong> running for re-election no<br />

longer a factor. In such situations,<br />

the sense <strong>of</strong> urgency can easily evaporate.<br />

Therefore, with an eye on history,<br />

this is the time to reignite your<br />

vision. When the pages <strong>of</strong> history are<br />

turned, let them be turned to remember<br />

you for the exceptional good that<br />

you have done for the people <strong>of</strong> Ondo<br />

State.<br />

As a Minister <strong>of</strong> Agriculture in<br />

Nigeria, I had the great opportunity<br />

to work with all the state governors<br />

and state governments. When I<br />

launched the Agricultural Transformation<br />

Agenda that revolutionized<br />

<strong>Nigeria’s</strong> agriculture and food <strong>security</strong>,<br />

and turned agriculture into a<br />

business, I recognized that success<br />

required that I worked very closely<br />

with all state governments <strong>of</strong> the<br />

federation — regardless <strong>of</strong> party<br />

affiliation. With<strong>out</strong> the States, there<br />

will be no Nigeria.<br />

Therefore, Nigeria can only be as<br />

strong as its constituent States. Ondo<br />

State is rich in resources. Consider<br />

that it has the second largest deposits<br />

<strong>of</strong> bitumen in the world. With an<br />

estimated 37 billion barrels <strong>of</strong> bitumen<br />

reserves, the bulk <strong>of</strong> which is<br />

found in Ondo State, this vital resource<br />

remains untapped in Nigeria<br />

(Source: The State <strong>of</strong> the States<br />

Report, 2018).<br />

Given its vast resources in bitumen,<br />

Ondo State should have the best<br />

roads in Nigeria. But its roads are<br />

barely tarred with bitumen. That is<br />

the irony <strong>of</strong> Nigeria: it imports what<br />

it has in abundance and leaves its<br />

own resources untapped. The total<br />

value <strong>of</strong> bitumen reserves in Nigeria<br />

could be worth up to $1.5 trillion.<br />

With an estimated 16 billion barrels<br />

But let us face it,<br />

political autonomy<br />

is meaningless,<br />

unless it is backed<br />

by greater fiscal<br />

selfreliance at the<br />

state level<br />

ency.<br />

State Governors now spend more<br />

time in Abuja than they do in their<br />

own states, seeking the monthly federal<br />

manna. This financial pilgrimage<br />

creates a sense <strong>of</strong> helplessness<br />

and overt dependency on the centre.<br />

States must become financially<br />

independent <strong>of</strong> the centre in Abuja.<br />

The USA from which Nigeria<br />

derived its federal system, is<br />

essentially a coercive federalism. The<br />

federal government uses conditional<br />

grants to states to mainly support<br />

social, infrastructure and insurance<br />

programs. Essentially, these are<br />

‘carrots’ to get the states to do what<br />

the centre expects.<br />

<strong>Nigeria’s</strong> system is essentially a<br />

revenue sharing system. To be clear:<br />

only three states in Nigeria can<br />

survive with<strong>out</strong> a Federal Revenue<br />

Allocation.<br />

This is a Federalism <strong>of</strong> fiscal dependency.<br />

It is a Federalism that is<br />

fiscally unhealthy for the states and<br />

the Federal Government. Because<br />

Nigeria depends on oil for over 70%<br />

<strong>of</strong> government revenues, any decline<br />

in the price <strong>of</strong> oil creates fiscal and<br />

economic volatilities that reverberate<br />

across the states. What’s needed<br />

is greater economic and fiscal autonomy<br />

for the States. The issue is<br />

less ab<strong>out</strong> state or regional autonomy,<br />

but financial and economic viability<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>Nigeria’s</strong> constituent states.<br />

If Nigeria were to be a conglomerate<br />

firm, it would not be economically<br />

viable because 92% <strong>of</strong> its constituent<br />

‘subsidiary companies’ are<br />

not viable with<strong>out</strong> the support <strong>of</strong> the<br />

holding company. <strong>Nigeria’s</strong> federalism<br />

does not grow its constituent<br />

entities. It simply makes them perpetually<br />

dependent. The Nigerian<br />

system is therefore not Federalism ...<br />

but ‘Fatherism’. The agitations for<br />

decentralization can be understood<br />

in Ondo state, the potential state<br />

wealth from bitumen alone could be<br />

worth $657 billion. The paradox<br />

however is that Nigeria spends over<br />

300 billion Naira importing<br />

bitumen. The publication The State<br />

<strong>of</strong> States (2018) shows that the vast<br />

deposits <strong>of</strong> bitumen can help Ondo<br />

State break into the asphalt shingles<br />

market that is estimated to be worth<br />

$10 billion globally by 2022 (The<br />

State <strong>of</strong> States, 2018 edition).<br />

Ondo State also has abundant deposits<br />

<strong>of</strong> metals and minerals such<br />

as granite, gold, marbles, gemstones,<br />

lignite, and diorite. The State has one<br />

<strong>of</strong> the largest gas deposits in the<br />

world. It could also become a leading<br />

exporter and processor <strong>of</strong> cocoa<br />

and earn at least $1 billion per year<br />

(Source: The State <strong>of</strong> the States, 2018<br />

edition, by www.YourBudgit.com).<br />

But nobody eats potential.<br />

Ondo State’s wealth is not seen. It<br />

is locked under the ground. The state<br />

ranks number 13 <strong>of</strong> the top 20 States<br />

in Nigeria in terms <strong>of</strong> its GDP, estimated<br />

at $ 8.4 billion. That is the<br />

irony <strong>of</strong> <strong>Nigeria’s</strong> states: They are<br />

poor in the midst <strong>of</strong> plenty. They do<br />

not maximally explore or leverage<br />

what they already have in abundance.<br />

The Federal system <strong>of</strong> monthly<br />

grants has paralyzed them. With<br />

stupendous resources, all concentrated<br />

at the centre, states are ever dependent<br />

on the centre. With the magnetic<br />

field <strong>of</strong> federal revenue allocations,<br />

states are constantly pulled,<br />

powerlessly into perennial depend-<br />

Dr Akinwumi Adesina<br />

when viewed in the light <strong>of</strong> a craving<br />

for greater autonomy.<br />

Greater fiscal selfreliance<br />

But let us face it, political autonomy<br />

is meaningless, unless it is backed<br />

by greater fiscal selfreliance at the<br />

state level. Nigeria has an estimated<br />

87 million people living in extreme<br />

poverty. You cannot tax people who<br />

can barely afford to eat. This<br />

debilitating poverty makes the country<br />

highly vulnerable to social and<br />

political risks. And it provides fodder<br />

for anti-social behaviour and recruitment<br />

by insurgents and terrorists.<br />

Poverty provides supermarkets<br />

for terrorists.<br />

The level <strong>of</strong> indebtedness <strong>of</strong><br />

Nigeria is extremely high, at N22<br />

trillion. The debt stock <strong>of</strong> states is<br />

over N4.1 trillion. The three states<br />

with the highest revenues also have<br />

the highest levels <strong>of</strong> debt. With<strong>out</strong><br />

incomes and rising debt, many states<br />

are essentially not viable. <strong>Nigeria’s</strong><br />

inequality is also extreme. Over 55%<br />

<strong>of</strong> the y<strong>out</strong>h do not have jobs. Rural<br />

areas are now zones <strong>of</strong> economic<br />

misery with high rates <strong>of</strong> poverty and<br />

extremely high birth rates. This<br />

double whammy continues to<br />

perpetuate an inter-generational<br />

transfer <strong>of</strong> poverty. Poverty, comingled<br />

with high levels <strong>of</strong> unemployment<br />

and underemployment<br />

has led to an astonishing rise in<br />

crime, banditry, and kidnappings.<br />

Great dangers <strong>of</strong> leadership<br />

Sometimes leaders think all is well<br />

when it is not! One <strong>of</strong> the great dangers<br />

<strong>of</strong> leadership is to rely on others<br />

to tell you what is going on. Effective<br />

leaders must connect themselves.<br />

You can delegate tasks, but you<br />

cannot delegate your vision and responsibility.<br />

Transparency is the core<br />

<strong>of</strong> accountability. Citizens have the<br />

right to know. Today, therefore, there<br />

is a greater need for e-governance<br />

systems to enhance transparency and<br />

accountability to the people. That is<br />

people-centered governance. That is<br />

why the African Development Bank<br />

is developing a public service<br />

delivery index that will rate<br />

governments on the quality-<strong>of</strong>-service<br />

delivery for citizens. Participatory<br />

tax-based financing systems demand<br />

participatory governance.<br />

While tax rates are low in Nigeria<br />

compared to several African and<br />

non-African countries, this is not a<br />

justification to increase taxes.<br />

Norway's tax to GDP ratio is 39%.<br />

In Singapore, the tax to GDP ratio is<br />

13.2%. <strong>Nigeria’s</strong> tax to GDP ratio is<br />

6.1%. It is easy to make the<br />

comparison and say Nigeria needs<br />

to raise its taxes to similar levels as<br />

in Norway or Singapore. But in Norway,<br />

like all the Nordic countries,<br />

education is free through university.<br />

Singapore, a country that had 1/3 <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>Nigeria’s</strong> per capita income at its<br />

independence in 1965, has today<br />

100% access to electricity and 100%<br />

access to potable water.<br />

Also think <strong>of</strong> the following: the per<br />

capita income <strong>of</strong> Norway is $68,000,<br />

while that <strong>of</strong> Singapore is $ 65,300.<br />

<strong>Nigeria’s</strong> per capita GDP is just $<br />

2,250. Taxes must therefore take income<br />

levels into consideration. The<br />

rich must pay more, but we cannot<br />

tax the poor to death. We must distinguish<br />

between nominal taxes and<br />

implicit taxes — taxes that are borne<br />

by the people but are not seen or re-<br />

Vanguard, THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 25, 2021 — 25<br />

corded. Truth be told, Nigerians pay states focus on unlocking the huge<br />

one <strong>of</strong> the highest implicit tax rates resources they have, based on areas<br />

in the world.<br />

<strong>of</strong> comparative advantage, they will<br />

Many Nigerians provide rapidly expand wealth for their<br />

electricity for themselves via people. With their increased wealth<br />

generators; they repair roads in their they will be able to access capital<br />

neighborhoods, if they can afford to. markets to secure long-term<br />

There is no social <strong>security</strong> system. financing to fast-track their growth<br />

They provide <strong>security</strong> for their own and development.<br />

safety. They provide boreholes for States that adopt this strategy<br />

drinking water with their own monies.<br />

Governments simply transfer trips to Abuja for grants.<br />

would have less <strong>of</strong> a need for monthly<br />

their responsibility to citizens. When Instead, part <strong>of</strong> their federal<br />

governments or institutions fail to revenue allocations can be saved as<br />

provide basic services, the people internal ‘state sovereign wealth<br />

bear the burden <strong>of</strong> a heavy implicit funds’. This can then be used as<br />

tax. If people pay taxes, governments guarantees against borrowings from<br />

must deliver services. The public capital markets.<br />

service is the engine <strong>of</strong> government. Restructuring should not be driven<br />

The more efficient it is, the better by political expediency, but by<br />

government runs. The slower and economic and financial viability.<br />

more bureaucratic it is, the slower Economic and financial viability are<br />

governments deliver. Governments the necessary and sufficient conditions<br />

for political viability.<br />

should set high performance targets<br />

for public service and be held Surgeries are tough. They are<br />

accountable.<br />

better done well, the first time. The<br />

Tangible delivery<br />

resources found in each state or state<br />

If the people do not see tangible groupings should belong to them.<br />

delivery in terms <strong>of</strong> improved quality<br />

<strong>of</strong> services, they should demand federal taxes or royalties for those<br />

The constituent entities should pay<br />

for them. That is why the African resources. The achievement <strong>of</strong><br />

Development Bank will support the economically viable entities and the<br />

development <strong>of</strong> public service delivery<br />

indices for state and federal gov-<br />

requires constitutional changes to<br />

viability <strong>of</strong> the national entity<br />

ernments in Nigeria.<br />

devolve more economic and fiscal<br />

There is an urgent need to diversify powers to the states or regions. The<br />

the source <strong>of</strong> financing for states stronger the states, or regions, the<br />

across Nigeria. Just take a look at stronger the federated units. In the<br />

the Nigerians in the diaspora and process, our union would be renewed.<br />

what they hold in resources. The value<br />

<strong>of</strong> remittances to Nigeria in 2019 <strong>of</strong> Nigeria, we could think <strong>of</strong> The<br />

Instead <strong>of</strong> a Federal Government<br />

was $24 billion. Compare that to the United States <strong>of</strong> Nigeria or The<br />

value <strong>of</strong> crude oil exports at $48 billion.<br />

Remittances to Nigeria ac-<br />

will pass away for the new. We would<br />

Commonwealth <strong>of</strong> Nigeria. The old<br />

counted for 50% <strong>of</strong> the value <strong>of</strong> crude change the relational mindset<br />

oil exports from Nigeria.<br />

between the states and Abuja: the<br />

It is clear: Nigerians in the diaspora<br />

are <strong>Nigeria’s</strong> new oil. State gov-<br />

the centre would support them, not<br />

fulcrum would be the states, while<br />

ernments should float diaspora lord over them.<br />

bonds targeting specific investments With good governance and better<br />

in their states. States can match the accountability systems, and a zero<br />

diaspora resources to finance infrastructure<br />

development.<br />

economically stronger constituent<br />

tolerance for corruption, more<br />

We need a better way <strong>of</strong> supporting<br />

States to finance critical infra-<br />

We would unleash massive wealth<br />

states would emerge!<br />

structure. While many roads are across the states. It would be a<br />

federal roads, the challenge is that commonwealth. Wealth for all, not<br />

they pass through state boundaries. wealth for a few. A New Nigeria<br />

The poor condition <strong>of</strong> some <strong>of</strong> the would arise! We will need all <strong>of</strong> us —<br />

Federal roads negatively affect the not some <strong>of</strong> us. From the flickers <strong>of</strong><br />

economies <strong>of</strong> the states. The very fading longings <strong>of</strong> forgotten rural<br />

high cost <strong>of</strong> construction makes villages, to our boisterous and<br />

many <strong>of</strong> the roads too expensive for dynamic urban areas; from the<br />

the States. As a result, critical roads sparks <strong>of</strong> desire in the eyes <strong>of</strong> our<br />

take forever to complete. People in children, to the heartbeat <strong>of</strong> hope <strong>of</strong><br />

the states do not care whether a road our y<strong>out</strong>h; from the yearnings <strong>of</strong> our<br />

is a federal road or a state road. women and mothers, to the pride in<br />

They just need good roads. We must the heart <strong>of</strong> fathers for a better<br />

learn from others and deliver quality<br />

infrastructure, faster. For a com-<br />

that our end would be better than<br />

tomorrow, and the desires <strong>of</strong> the old<br />

parison, the Golden quadrilateral our past; from the hard-working<br />

road project, the largest in India, with street vendors and small businesses<br />

a length <strong>of</strong> 5,846 kilometers, with 4- to the largest business<br />

6 express lanes, was started in 2001 conglomerates — we must create a<br />

and completed in 2012 — in just 11 movement <strong>of</strong> hope. Hope for a better<br />

years. The total cost? $13.2 billion Nigeria! Not a Muslim Nigeria. Not<br />

or $2.2 million per kilometre. In Nigeria,<br />

the East-West road, <strong>of</strong> only 337 Nigeria, Western Nigeria, or<br />

a Christian Nigeria. Not Eastern<br />

kilometres, is one that has been on Northern Nigeria, but one Nigeria -<br />

the books for decades. Originally estimated<br />

to cost N211 billion in 2006, A New Nigeria, powered by<br />

a New Nigeria.<br />

its cost has since risen to N349 torrents <strong>of</strong> hope, trust, equity, fairness,<br />

billion, with estimates that it may and wealth at every level, in every<br />

cost up to one trillion naira by the state ... by all and for all. We have the<br />

time the road is eventually capacity to do this and make it<br />

commissioned.<br />

happen. We must rise above mistrust<br />

For a 337 Km road, that is a cost and divisions and make history. Not<br />

<strong>of</strong> $2.7 billion or $8.1 million per the history that is written ab<strong>out</strong> us,<br />

kilometre. It’s been 14 years and the ab<strong>out</strong> Northern Nigeria, Eastern<br />

road is still not completed.This is also Nigeria, Western Nigeria; not the<br />

the case with the Lagos-Ibadan history <strong>of</strong> divisive political parties;<br />

express way, a road <strong>of</strong> only 128 but a new history that we commit to<br />

kilometers. It is time for governments write for ourselves - the history <strong>of</strong> a<br />

to strongly embrace the private New Nigeria — a nation where<br />

sector more strategically and majority prosper, not just a privileged<br />

transition into Public-Private few; a nation that provides real<br />

Partnerships for all major opportunities for the y<strong>out</strong>h. A nation<br />

infrastructure projects. The Federal where equality <strong>of</strong> opportunities for<br />

government could also allow states women is a reality, not a dream.<br />

to own these roads by delegation. A nation known for wealth, not<br />

This will allow the states to support poverty. A nation set on a hill whose<br />

their construction by utilizing light will never be hidden. A New<br />

development finance institutions to Nigeria that we all are proud to call<br />

provide cheaper sources <strong>of</strong> finance home. So, help us God! May the<br />

to complete these roads.<br />

same God bless you, Your Excellency,<br />

I am delighted with the progress Governor Akeredolu. Thank you<br />

Nigeria is making <strong>of</strong> recent on very much. God bless you all.<br />

railways. The recent launch <strong>of</strong> the Speech Delivered By Dr Akinwumi<br />

A. Adesina, President, Afri-<br />

InfraCo to mobilize 1 Trillion Naira<br />

for investment in infrastructure, can Development Bank Group, on<br />

under public-private partnership, is The Inauguration <strong>of</strong> His Excellency<br />

Rotimi Akeredolu, S.A.N, Exec-<br />

highly commendable. It will be the<br />

first such fund in Africa. This should utive Governor <strong>of</strong> Ondo State, February<br />

23, 2021 Akure, Ondo State,<br />

help support infrastructure<br />

development across the states. If Nigeria

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