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Towards a new Nigeria: From Federal<br />
Fatherism to a Commonwealth<br />
BY DR AKINWUMI<br />
ADESINA<br />
I<br />
would like to congratulate my<br />
dear brother and friend, H.E.<br />
Oluwarotimi Akeredolu, SAN, on his<br />
well-deserved re-election as the Executive<br />
Governor <strong>of</strong> Ondo State.<br />
Your renewed mandate by the good<br />
people <strong>of</strong> Ondo State, is an undeniable<br />
mark <strong>of</strong> confidence in your remarkable<br />
leadership.<br />
Thank you for greatly honouring<br />
me with an invitation to deliver this<br />
inauguration lecture. My lecture today<br />
is titled: “Towards a New Nigeria:<br />
From Federal Fatherism to a<br />
Commonwealth”.<br />
Let me be clear from the onset that<br />
I speak for no one, I speak ab<strong>out</strong> no<br />
one, I speak for myself, from my<br />
heart, ab<strong>out</strong> my country, the nation<br />
<strong>of</strong> my birth, for which I have a relentless<br />
passion and longing for its glorious<br />
future, not too far from now. It<br />
has been a long time Governor<br />
“Aketi” since our student days at the<br />
great University <strong>of</strong> Ife, where we always<br />
say “great”. Today, I say to you<br />
“Aketi”: “Great”! - congratulations!<br />
Your Excellency, Governor Akeredolu,<br />
like an athlete on the 4th and<br />
final lap <strong>of</strong> a 400-meter race, you<br />
must now run for the home stretch<br />
with your eyes fixed on the finish line<br />
that is ahead <strong>of</strong> you.<br />
Race for legacy<br />
It is a race for legacy. A legacy, for<br />
you, a legacy for the people <strong>of</strong> Ondo<br />
State. You stand today as Governor<br />
<strong>of</strong> Ondo State, for a second time, by<br />
the grace <strong>of</strong> God. Be the instrument<br />
to change things, more radically.<br />
Make your second term one <strong>of</strong> double<br />
blessings for the people.<br />
Make growth more inclusive.<br />
Harness the dynamism and entrepreneurship<br />
<strong>of</strong> the y<strong>out</strong>h and the<br />
power <strong>of</strong> the industrious women <strong>of</strong><br />
Ondo State. This is the time to consolidate.<br />
This is the time to readjust.<br />
This is the time to move at a pace<br />
faster than you ever have. There is<br />
always a tendency for complacency<br />
during a second term, with the pressure<br />
<strong>of</strong> running for re-election no<br />
longer a factor. In such situations,<br />
the sense <strong>of</strong> urgency can easily evaporate.<br />
Therefore, with an eye on history,<br />
this is the time to reignite your<br />
vision. When the pages <strong>of</strong> history are<br />
turned, let them be turned to remember<br />
you for the exceptional good that<br />
you have done for the people <strong>of</strong> Ondo<br />
State.<br />
As a Minister <strong>of</strong> Agriculture in<br />
Nigeria, I had the great opportunity<br />
to work with all the state governors<br />
and state governments. When I<br />
launched the Agricultural Transformation<br />
Agenda that revolutionized<br />
<strong>Nigeria’s</strong> agriculture and food <strong>security</strong>,<br />
and turned agriculture into a<br />
business, I recognized that success<br />
required that I worked very closely<br />
with all state governments <strong>of</strong> the<br />
federation — regardless <strong>of</strong> party<br />
affiliation. With<strong>out</strong> the States, there<br />
will be no Nigeria.<br />
Therefore, Nigeria can only be as<br />
strong as its constituent States. Ondo<br />
State is rich in resources. Consider<br />
that it has the second largest deposits<br />
<strong>of</strong> bitumen in the world. With an<br />
estimated 37 billion barrels <strong>of</strong> bitumen<br />
reserves, the bulk <strong>of</strong> which is<br />
found in Ondo State, this vital resource<br />
remains untapped in Nigeria<br />
(Source: The State <strong>of</strong> the States<br />
Report, 2018).<br />
Given its vast resources in bitumen,<br />
Ondo State should have the best<br />
roads in Nigeria. But its roads are<br />
barely tarred with bitumen. That is<br />
the irony <strong>of</strong> Nigeria: it imports what<br />
it has in abundance and leaves its<br />
own resources untapped. The total<br />
value <strong>of</strong> bitumen reserves in Nigeria<br />
could be worth up to $1.5 trillion.<br />
With an estimated 16 billion barrels<br />
But let us face it,<br />
political autonomy<br />
is meaningless,<br />
unless it is backed<br />
by greater fiscal<br />
selfreliance at the<br />
state level<br />
ency.<br />
State Governors now spend more<br />
time in Abuja than they do in their<br />
own states, seeking the monthly federal<br />
manna. This financial pilgrimage<br />
creates a sense <strong>of</strong> helplessness<br />
and overt dependency on the centre.<br />
States must become financially<br />
independent <strong>of</strong> the centre in Abuja.<br />
The USA from which Nigeria<br />
derived its federal system, is<br />
essentially a coercive federalism. The<br />
federal government uses conditional<br />
grants to states to mainly support<br />
social, infrastructure and insurance<br />
programs. Essentially, these are<br />
‘carrots’ to get the states to do what<br />
the centre expects.<br />
<strong>Nigeria’s</strong> system is essentially a<br />
revenue sharing system. To be clear:<br />
only three states in Nigeria can<br />
survive with<strong>out</strong> a Federal Revenue<br />
Allocation.<br />
This is a Federalism <strong>of</strong> fiscal dependency.<br />
It is a Federalism that is<br />
fiscally unhealthy for the states and<br />
the Federal Government. Because<br />
Nigeria depends on oil for over 70%<br />
<strong>of</strong> government revenues, any decline<br />
in the price <strong>of</strong> oil creates fiscal and<br />
economic volatilities that reverberate<br />
across the states. What’s needed<br />
is greater economic and fiscal autonomy<br />
for the States. The issue is<br />
less ab<strong>out</strong> state or regional autonomy,<br />
but financial and economic viability<br />
<strong>of</strong> <strong>Nigeria’s</strong> constituent states.<br />
If Nigeria were to be a conglomerate<br />
firm, it would not be economically<br />
viable because 92% <strong>of</strong> its constituent<br />
‘subsidiary companies’ are<br />
not viable with<strong>out</strong> the support <strong>of</strong> the<br />
holding company. <strong>Nigeria’s</strong> federalism<br />
does not grow its constituent<br />
entities. It simply makes them perpetually<br />
dependent. The Nigerian<br />
system is therefore not Federalism ...<br />
but ‘Fatherism’. The agitations for<br />
decentralization can be understood<br />
in Ondo state, the potential state<br />
wealth from bitumen alone could be<br />
worth $657 billion. The paradox<br />
however is that Nigeria spends over<br />
300 billion Naira importing<br />
bitumen. The publication The State<br />
<strong>of</strong> States (2018) shows that the vast<br />
deposits <strong>of</strong> bitumen can help Ondo<br />
State break into the asphalt shingles<br />
market that is estimated to be worth<br />
$10 billion globally by 2022 (The<br />
State <strong>of</strong> States, 2018 edition).<br />
Ondo State also has abundant deposits<br />
<strong>of</strong> metals and minerals such<br />
as granite, gold, marbles, gemstones,<br />
lignite, and diorite. The State has one<br />
<strong>of</strong> the largest gas deposits in the<br />
world. It could also become a leading<br />
exporter and processor <strong>of</strong> cocoa<br />
and earn at least $1 billion per year<br />
(Source: The State <strong>of</strong> the States, 2018<br />
edition, by www.YourBudgit.com).<br />
But nobody eats potential.<br />
Ondo State’s wealth is not seen. It<br />
is locked under the ground. The state<br />
ranks number 13 <strong>of</strong> the top 20 States<br />
in Nigeria in terms <strong>of</strong> its GDP, estimated<br />
at $ 8.4 billion. That is the<br />
irony <strong>of</strong> <strong>Nigeria’s</strong> states: They are<br />
poor in the midst <strong>of</strong> plenty. They do<br />
not maximally explore or leverage<br />
what they already have in abundance.<br />
The Federal system <strong>of</strong> monthly<br />
grants has paralyzed them. With<br />
stupendous resources, all concentrated<br />
at the centre, states are ever dependent<br />
on the centre. With the magnetic<br />
field <strong>of</strong> federal revenue allocations,<br />
states are constantly pulled,<br />
powerlessly into perennial depend-<br />
Dr Akinwumi Adesina<br />
when viewed in the light <strong>of</strong> a craving<br />
for greater autonomy.<br />
Greater fiscal selfreliance<br />
But let us face it, political autonomy<br />
is meaningless, unless it is backed<br />
by greater fiscal selfreliance at the<br />
state level. Nigeria has an estimated<br />
87 million people living in extreme<br />
poverty. You cannot tax people who<br />
can barely afford to eat. This<br />
debilitating poverty makes the country<br />
highly vulnerable to social and<br />
political risks. And it provides fodder<br />
for anti-social behaviour and recruitment<br />
by insurgents and terrorists.<br />
Poverty provides supermarkets<br />
for terrorists.<br />
The level <strong>of</strong> indebtedness <strong>of</strong><br />
Nigeria is extremely high, at N22<br />
trillion. The debt stock <strong>of</strong> states is<br />
over N4.1 trillion. The three states<br />
with the highest revenues also have<br />
the highest levels <strong>of</strong> debt. With<strong>out</strong><br />
incomes and rising debt, many states<br />
are essentially not viable. <strong>Nigeria’s</strong><br />
inequality is also extreme. Over 55%<br />
<strong>of</strong> the y<strong>out</strong>h do not have jobs. Rural<br />
areas are now zones <strong>of</strong> economic<br />
misery with high rates <strong>of</strong> poverty and<br />
extremely high birth rates. This<br />
double whammy continues to<br />
perpetuate an inter-generational<br />
transfer <strong>of</strong> poverty. Poverty, comingled<br />
with high levels <strong>of</strong> unemployment<br />
and underemployment<br />
has led to an astonishing rise in<br />
crime, banditry, and kidnappings.<br />
Great dangers <strong>of</strong> leadership<br />
Sometimes leaders think all is well<br />
when it is not! One <strong>of</strong> the great dangers<br />
<strong>of</strong> leadership is to rely on others<br />
to tell you what is going on. Effective<br />
leaders must connect themselves.<br />
You can delegate tasks, but you<br />
cannot delegate your vision and responsibility.<br />
Transparency is the core<br />
<strong>of</strong> accountability. Citizens have the<br />
right to know. Today, therefore, there<br />
is a greater need for e-governance<br />
systems to enhance transparency and<br />
accountability to the people. That is<br />
people-centered governance. That is<br />
why the African Development Bank<br />
is developing a public service<br />
delivery index that will rate<br />
governments on the quality-<strong>of</strong>-service<br />
delivery for citizens. Participatory<br />
tax-based financing systems demand<br />
participatory governance.<br />
While tax rates are low in Nigeria<br />
compared to several African and<br />
non-African countries, this is not a<br />
justification to increase taxes.<br />
Norway's tax to GDP ratio is 39%.<br />
In Singapore, the tax to GDP ratio is<br />
13.2%. <strong>Nigeria’s</strong> tax to GDP ratio is<br />
6.1%. It is easy to make the<br />
comparison and say Nigeria needs<br />
to raise its taxes to similar levels as<br />
in Norway or Singapore. But in Norway,<br />
like all the Nordic countries,<br />
education is free through university.<br />
Singapore, a country that had 1/3 <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>Nigeria’s</strong> per capita income at its<br />
independence in 1965, has today<br />
100% access to electricity and 100%<br />
access to potable water.<br />
Also think <strong>of</strong> the following: the per<br />
capita income <strong>of</strong> Norway is $68,000,<br />
while that <strong>of</strong> Singapore is $ 65,300.<br />
<strong>Nigeria’s</strong> per capita GDP is just $<br />
2,250. Taxes must therefore take income<br />
levels into consideration. The<br />
rich must pay more, but we cannot<br />
tax the poor to death. We must distinguish<br />
between nominal taxes and<br />
implicit taxes — taxes that are borne<br />
by the people but are not seen or re-<br />
Vanguard, THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 25, 2021 — 25<br />
corded. Truth be told, Nigerians pay states focus on unlocking the huge<br />
one <strong>of</strong> the highest implicit tax rates resources they have, based on areas<br />
in the world.<br />
<strong>of</strong> comparative advantage, they will<br />
Many Nigerians provide rapidly expand wealth for their<br />
electricity for themselves via people. With their increased wealth<br />
generators; they repair roads in their they will be able to access capital<br />
neighborhoods, if they can afford to. markets to secure long-term<br />
There is no social <strong>security</strong> system. financing to fast-track their growth<br />
They provide <strong>security</strong> for their own and development.<br />
safety. They provide boreholes for States that adopt this strategy<br />
drinking water with their own monies.<br />
Governments simply transfer trips to Abuja for grants.<br />
would have less <strong>of</strong> a need for monthly<br />
their responsibility to citizens. When Instead, part <strong>of</strong> their federal<br />
governments or institutions fail to revenue allocations can be saved as<br />
provide basic services, the people internal ‘state sovereign wealth<br />
bear the burden <strong>of</strong> a heavy implicit funds’. This can then be used as<br />
tax. If people pay taxes, governments guarantees against borrowings from<br />
must deliver services. The public capital markets.<br />
service is the engine <strong>of</strong> government. Restructuring should not be driven<br />
The more efficient it is, the better by political expediency, but by<br />
government runs. The slower and economic and financial viability.<br />
more bureaucratic it is, the slower Economic and financial viability are<br />
governments deliver. Governments the necessary and sufficient conditions<br />
for political viability.<br />
should set high performance targets<br />
for public service and be held Surgeries are tough. They are<br />
accountable.<br />
better done well, the first time. The<br />
Tangible delivery<br />
resources found in each state or state<br />
If the people do not see tangible groupings should belong to them.<br />
delivery in terms <strong>of</strong> improved quality<br />
<strong>of</strong> services, they should demand federal taxes or royalties for those<br />
The constituent entities should pay<br />
for them. That is why the African resources. The achievement <strong>of</strong><br />
Development Bank will support the economically viable entities and the<br />
development <strong>of</strong> public service delivery<br />
indices for state and federal gov-<br />
requires constitutional changes to<br />
viability <strong>of</strong> the national entity<br />
ernments in Nigeria.<br />
devolve more economic and fiscal<br />
There is an urgent need to diversify powers to the states or regions. The<br />
the source <strong>of</strong> financing for states stronger the states, or regions, the<br />
across Nigeria. Just take a look at stronger the federated units. In the<br />
the Nigerians in the diaspora and process, our union would be renewed.<br />
what they hold in resources. The value<br />
<strong>of</strong> remittances to Nigeria in 2019 <strong>of</strong> Nigeria, we could think <strong>of</strong> The<br />
Instead <strong>of</strong> a Federal Government<br />
was $24 billion. Compare that to the United States <strong>of</strong> Nigeria or The<br />
value <strong>of</strong> crude oil exports at $48 billion.<br />
Remittances to Nigeria ac-<br />
will pass away for the new. We would<br />
Commonwealth <strong>of</strong> Nigeria. The old<br />
counted for 50% <strong>of</strong> the value <strong>of</strong> crude change the relational mindset<br />
oil exports from Nigeria.<br />
between the states and Abuja: the<br />
It is clear: Nigerians in the diaspora<br />
are <strong>Nigeria’s</strong> new oil. State gov-<br />
the centre would support them, not<br />
fulcrum would be the states, while<br />
ernments should float diaspora lord over them.<br />
bonds targeting specific investments With good governance and better<br />
in their states. States can match the accountability systems, and a zero<br />
diaspora resources to finance infrastructure<br />
development.<br />
economically stronger constituent<br />
tolerance for corruption, more<br />
We need a better way <strong>of</strong> supporting<br />
States to finance critical infra-<br />
We would unleash massive wealth<br />
states would emerge!<br />
structure. While many roads are across the states. It would be a<br />
federal roads, the challenge is that commonwealth. Wealth for all, not<br />
they pass through state boundaries. wealth for a few. A New Nigeria<br />
The poor condition <strong>of</strong> some <strong>of</strong> the would arise! We will need all <strong>of</strong> us —<br />
Federal roads negatively affect the not some <strong>of</strong> us. From the flickers <strong>of</strong><br />
economies <strong>of</strong> the states. The very fading longings <strong>of</strong> forgotten rural<br />
high cost <strong>of</strong> construction makes villages, to our boisterous and<br />
many <strong>of</strong> the roads too expensive for dynamic urban areas; from the<br />
the States. As a result, critical roads sparks <strong>of</strong> desire in the eyes <strong>of</strong> our<br />
take forever to complete. People in children, to the heartbeat <strong>of</strong> hope <strong>of</strong><br />
the states do not care whether a road our y<strong>out</strong>h; from the yearnings <strong>of</strong> our<br />
is a federal road or a state road. women and mothers, to the pride in<br />
They just need good roads. We must the heart <strong>of</strong> fathers for a better<br />
learn from others and deliver quality<br />
infrastructure, faster. For a com-<br />
that our end would be better than<br />
tomorrow, and the desires <strong>of</strong> the old<br />
parison, the Golden quadrilateral our past; from the hard-working<br />
road project, the largest in India, with street vendors and small businesses<br />
a length <strong>of</strong> 5,846 kilometers, with 4- to the largest business<br />
6 express lanes, was started in 2001 conglomerates — we must create a<br />
and completed in 2012 — in just 11 movement <strong>of</strong> hope. Hope for a better<br />
years. The total cost? $13.2 billion Nigeria! Not a Muslim Nigeria. Not<br />
or $2.2 million per kilometre. In Nigeria,<br />
the East-West road, <strong>of</strong> only 337 Nigeria, Western Nigeria, or<br />
a Christian Nigeria. Not Eastern<br />
kilometres, is one that has been on Northern Nigeria, but one Nigeria -<br />
the books for decades. Originally estimated<br />
to cost N211 billion in 2006, A New Nigeria, powered by<br />
a New Nigeria.<br />
its cost has since risen to N349 torrents <strong>of</strong> hope, trust, equity, fairness,<br />
billion, with estimates that it may and wealth at every level, in every<br />
cost up to one trillion naira by the state ... by all and for all. We have the<br />
time the road is eventually capacity to do this and make it<br />
commissioned.<br />
happen. We must rise above mistrust<br />
For a 337 Km road, that is a cost and divisions and make history. Not<br />
<strong>of</strong> $2.7 billion or $8.1 million per the history that is written ab<strong>out</strong> us,<br />
kilometre. It’s been 14 years and the ab<strong>out</strong> Northern Nigeria, Eastern<br />
road is still not completed.This is also Nigeria, Western Nigeria; not the<br />
the case with the Lagos-Ibadan history <strong>of</strong> divisive political parties;<br />
express way, a road <strong>of</strong> only 128 but a new history that we commit to<br />
kilometers. It is time for governments write for ourselves - the history <strong>of</strong> a<br />
to strongly embrace the private New Nigeria — a nation where<br />
sector more strategically and majority prosper, not just a privileged<br />
transition into Public-Private few; a nation that provides real<br />
Partnerships for all major opportunities for the y<strong>out</strong>h. A nation<br />
infrastructure projects. The Federal where equality <strong>of</strong> opportunities for<br />
government could also allow states women is a reality, not a dream.<br />
to own these roads by delegation. A nation known for wealth, not<br />
This will allow the states to support poverty. A nation set on a hill whose<br />
their construction by utilizing light will never be hidden. A New<br />
development finance institutions to Nigeria that we all are proud to call<br />
provide cheaper sources <strong>of</strong> finance home. So, help us God! May the<br />
to complete these roads.<br />
same God bless you, Your Excellency,<br />
I am delighted with the progress Governor Akeredolu. Thank you<br />
Nigeria is making <strong>of</strong> recent on very much. God bless you all.<br />
railways. The recent launch <strong>of</strong> the Speech Delivered By Dr Akinwumi<br />
A. Adesina, President, Afri-<br />
InfraCo to mobilize 1 Trillion Naira<br />
for investment in infrastructure, can Development Bank Group, on<br />
under public-private partnership, is The Inauguration <strong>of</strong> His Excellency<br />
Rotimi Akeredolu, S.A.N, Exec-<br />
highly commendable. It will be the<br />
first such fund in Africa. This should utive Governor <strong>of</strong> Ondo State, February<br />
23, 2021 Akure, Ondo State,<br />
help support infrastructure<br />
development across the states. If Nigeria