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Service - Leadership in Government - Issue 77

September is a time of renewal. In this edition of Service, we look at what is about to be renewed, in the process of being renewed, and in need of renewal in South Africa.

September is a time of renewal. In this edition of Service, we look at what is about to be renewed, in the process of being renewed, and in need of renewal in South Africa.

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S<br />

youth<br />

How Covid-19 is likely<br />

to slow down a decade of<br />

youth development <strong>in</strong> Africa<br />

Until Covid-19 hit, the quality of life of youth (age 15-24) <strong>in</strong> Sub-Saharan Africa had been<br />

steadily improv<strong>in</strong>g. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to the World Bank, by 2019 the youth literacy rate stood at 73%.<br />

Gross secondary school enrolment rates <strong>in</strong>creased from 13% <strong>in</strong> 1971 to 43% by 2018. Youth<br />

unemployment rates have rema<strong>in</strong>ed stable, at around 9%, even below the world average of 13.6%.<br />

By Wim Naudé, Professor of Economics, University College Cork<br />

Across Sub-Saharan Africa, extreme poverty among<br />

young workers decl<strong>in</strong>ed from 60% <strong>in</strong> 1999 to 42% <strong>in</strong><br />

2019. Moreover, the youth literacy gender parity <strong>in</strong>dex,<br />

measur<strong>in</strong>g the ratio of females to males aged 15-24 who<br />

can both read and write, has improved significantly,<br />

reach<strong>in</strong>g 93% <strong>in</strong> 2019. And for the first time, the<br />

unemployment rate of young women is similar to that<br />

of young men (9.4%).<br />

As an economist <strong>in</strong>terested <strong>in</strong> entrepreneurship<br />

and technological <strong>in</strong>novation, I recently contributed<br />

to the UN’s 2020 World Youth Report. Chapter 4 of the<br />

report concerns how the youth can leverage new digital<br />

technologies for social entrepreneurship to advance<br />

susta<strong>in</strong>able development. Though written before the<br />

Covid-19 pandemic, the message may have become<br />

even more urgent. This is because Covid-19 may slow<br />

down or even reverse the positive trends <strong>in</strong> youth<br />

development noted.<br />

There are fears that the pandemic will result <strong>in</strong><br />

a lockdown generation, characterised by structurally<br />

higher youth poverty and unemployment. Lockdowns,<br />

by slow<strong>in</strong>g down the spread of the disease, generate<br />

benefits that “accrue disproportionately to older<br />

households”. But, the costs of reduced economic activity<br />

are disproportionately born by younger households.<br />

They bear the “brunt of lower employment”.<br />

Re<strong>in</strong>forc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>equalities<br />

Younger people, especially young women, are more<br />

<strong>in</strong>tensively employed <strong>in</strong> sectors such as hospitality<br />

and enterta<strong>in</strong>ment. About 80% of youth jobs <strong>in</strong> Sub-<br />

Saharan Africa are <strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>formal sector. These sectors<br />

– hospitality, enterta<strong>in</strong>ment and <strong>in</strong>formal – have been<br />

among the worst affected.<br />

Lockdowns also <strong>in</strong>terrupt school<strong>in</strong>g and education.<br />

In one calculation, this could generate global future<br />

“learn<strong>in</strong>g losses with a present value of<br />

US$10-trillion”. The closure of schools will<br />

re<strong>in</strong>force social and economic <strong>in</strong>equalities<br />

and exclusion.<br />

Youth from more well-off households<br />

may be less affected, for <strong>in</strong>stance <strong>in</strong> hav<strong>in</strong>g<br />

access to private Internet and laptops.<br />

While these impacts are troubl<strong>in</strong>g<br />

everywhere, <strong>in</strong> Africa they are magnified<br />

due to the high rate (21%) of youths who<br />

were already not <strong>in</strong> employment, education<br />

or tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g before the pandemic struck.<br />

___ __<br />

With the world’s<br />

youngest population<br />

at a time of<br />

unprecedented<br />

<strong>in</strong>novations <strong>in</strong> digital<br />

technologies<br />

WORL<br />

YOUT<br />

SOCIAL<br />

ENTREPREN<br />

AND THE<br />

2030 AGEND<br />

across the world, the<br />

Youth entrepreneurship<br />

With formal employment growth<br />

sluggish at the best, countries are p<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g<br />

their hopes on entrepreneurship. But<br />

entrepreneurship support policy rema<strong>in</strong>s<br />

African cont<strong>in</strong>ent has<br />

a unique opportunity.<br />

It has two key advantages:<br />

digital savvy and a<br />

will<strong>in</strong>gness to take risks.<br />

28 | <strong>Service</strong> magaz<strong>in</strong>e

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