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Trade Chronicle Mar-Apr 2022

EDITORIAL • PM Shehbaz challenges on economic and political fronts • Pakistan to fine-tune petroleum policy to attract E&P investment • Falling FDI is a matter of concern ARTICLE & FEATURE • Shehbaz becomes 23rd PM of Pakistan • 33 MPs take oath as cabinet members - By Ayaz Akbar Yousafzai • Five 'band-aids' the new government must immediately apply to revive the bleeding economy - By Sajid Amin Javed • Potentials of the IT industry in Pakistan - By Dr. Muhammad Nawaz Iqbal • Package for IT sector in Pakistan • PIEDMC to promote industrialization in Punjab PAKISTAN CEMENT INDUSTRY • Pakistan cement dispatches fall in February and 8MFY22 • Lucky Cement plans a 34 MW captive solar power project in KPK • Cement prices surge to Rs850 • Maple Leaf Cement to become the 4th largest player in Pakistan • Pakistan's cement/clinker exports observe a mixed trend in 8MFY22 • Flying Cement gets a long-term mining lease PORTS, SHIPPING & RAILWAY • Work on $5bn Pak-Afghan-Uzbek railway kicks off • PICT posts record revenue of Rs 11,099 million • KPT organises seminar on ‘Marine Salvage’ • Gwadar Port to be utilised for Afghan transit trade • KPT conducts security drill at harbour • Pakistani freight train likely to reach Zahedan • PNSC Group has managed to achieve an 18% increase in PAT • PIBTL has released a financial report for the period ended Dec 31, 2021 Special Report 23rd March Pakistan day • President Dr Arif Alvi message on Pakistan Day • Pakistan showcases military prowess at the parade PAKISTAN LEATHER INDUSTRY • Consul General of Pakistan in UAE inaugurated Pakistan Pavilion in APLF 22 • India leather records growth of 33.45% in 10MFY22 • Sri Lanka leather export falls • UAE to provide duty-free facilities for leather • High energy and an optimistic mood pervaded APLF’s special edition in Dubai • Bangladesh leather industry exports increase in 8MFY22 REGULAR FEATURES • Automobile News, Banking & Insurance News, People Events, • Telecommunication News, Travel World, Steel & Allied Industry

EDITORIAL

• PM Shehbaz challenges on economic and political fronts
• Pakistan to fine-tune petroleum policy to attract E&P investment
• Falling FDI is a matter of concern

ARTICLE & FEATURE

• Shehbaz becomes 23rd PM of Pakistan
• 33 MPs take oath as cabinet members - By Ayaz Akbar Yousafzai
• Five 'band-aids' the new government must immediately apply to revive the
bleeding economy - By Sajid Amin Javed
• Potentials of the IT industry in Pakistan - By Dr. Muhammad Nawaz Iqbal
• Package for IT sector in Pakistan
• PIEDMC to promote industrialization in Punjab

PAKISTAN CEMENT INDUSTRY
• Pakistan cement dispatches fall in February and 8MFY22
• Lucky Cement plans a 34 MW captive solar power project in KPK
• Cement prices surge to Rs850
• Maple Leaf Cement to become the 4th largest player in Pakistan
• Pakistan's cement/clinker exports observe a mixed trend in 8MFY22
• Flying Cement gets a long-term mining lease

PORTS, SHIPPING & RAILWAY
• Work on $5bn Pak-Afghan-Uzbek railway kicks off
• PICT posts record revenue of Rs 11,099 million
• KPT organises seminar on ‘Marine Salvage’
• Gwadar Port to be utilised for Afghan transit trade
• KPT conducts security drill at harbour
• Pakistani freight train likely to reach Zahedan
• PNSC Group has managed to achieve an 18% increase in PAT
• PIBTL has released a financial report for the period ended Dec 31, 2021

Special Report
23rd March Pakistan day
• President Dr Arif Alvi message on Pakistan Day
• Pakistan showcases military prowess at the parade

PAKISTAN LEATHER INDUSTRY
• Consul General of Pakistan in UAE inaugurated Pakistan Pavilion in APLF 22
• India leather records growth of 33.45% in 10MFY22
• Sri Lanka leather export falls
• UAE to provide duty-free facilities for leather
• High energy and an optimistic mood pervaded APLF’s special edition in Dubai
• Bangladesh leather industry exports increase in 8MFY22

REGULAR FEATURES
• Automobile News, Banking & Insurance News, People Events,
• Telecommunication News, Travel World, Steel & Allied Industry

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TRADE CHRONICLE

Chery Tiggo becomes 12th

locally assembled SUV in

Pakistan

Ghandhara Nissan Limited (GNL)

has announced opening of bookings

for SUVs Chery Tiggo 4 and 8 Pro

in Karachi, with a price tag of Rs4.6

million and Rs6.6 million.

The company partnered with Chinese

Chery Automobile Co Ltd. for local

assembly and distribution of Tiggo

series sports utility vehicles (SUVs) last

year.

GNL said it had started assembling

of the SUVs and would be delivering

first batch of the vehicles in April and

May. Tiggo 4 is a 1.5L Turbo five-seater

vehicle, while Tiggo 8 is a 1.6 Turbo

seven-seater SUV. Before the Auto

Development Policy (ADP) 2016-21,

Toyota Fortuner and BR-V were the

only locally assembled SUVs. However,

nearly a dozen SUVs were introduced

after the auto industry was enabled by

the government’s policy. Kia Sportage,

Sorento, Stonic, Peugeot 2008, Hyundai

Tucson, Changan Oshan X7, DFSK

Glory, BAIC BJ 40, and Haval SUVs

are being assembled in the country.

However, GNL doesn’t have greenfield

or brownfield status under the policy.

Pak Suzuki Motor posts

of Rs489mn in 4Q2021

Pak Suzuki Motor Company (PSMC)

has posted a profit of Rs489mn (EPS:

Rs5.94) against a profit of Rs1,221mn

(EPS: Rs14.80) in the same period

last year. Gross Margins decreased

by 5.7ppts YoY to 3.6% in 4Q2021 due

to freight costs along with currency

devaluation and an increase in raw

material prices.

This takes 2021 profits to Rs2,679mn

(EPS: Rs32.56) against loss of

Rs1,378mn (LPS: Rs16.75). The

significant recovery in earnings is

mainly attributable to an increase in

unit sales by 108% YoY during 2021

due to the easing of COVID-19 related

lockdown and economic resurgence.

Courtesy - AHCML Research

Peugeot launches operations in

Pakistan with Lucky Motor Corp

The European automaker “Peugeot”

has officially launched operations in

Pakistan with its exclusive partner

Lucky Motor Corporation (LMC). The

company has initially introduced two

variants of Peugeot 2008 SUV - Active

and ALLURE in Pakistan.

Asif Rizvi, Cheif Executive Officer,

Lucky Motors Company said:

“Lucky Motors is set to change the

automotive landscape of Pakistan by

introducing Peugeot, the first locally

Al-Ghazi Tractors reports

4QCY21 NPAT of PKR743mn

Al-Ghazi Tractors (AGTL) has reported

4QCY21 NPAT of PKR743mn (EPS:

PKR12.82), up a sharp c.60% yoy but

down c.10% qoq. This takes CY21 EPS

to PKR51.03, more than doubling yoy

from an EPS

of PKR23.28

in CY20. The

result is slightly

lower than

our expected

4QCY21 EPS of

PKR13.87, where

the deviation

has stemmed largely from lowerthan-expected

gross margins. AGTL

announced a final DPS of PKR51.03,

greater than our expected DPS of

PKR47.

Key Highlights for 4QCY21:

• Net revenues of PKR5.4bn, broadly in

line with our expectations, up a strong

c.95% yoy (down c.5% qoq), largely

attributed to the c.60% yoy rise in

volumes to c.4,400 units. Also, the price

hikes in November further boosted

revenue, in our view.

• Gross margins clocked in at 21.3%,

down c.7.5ppt yoy and c.3.5ppt qoq,

due to (i) sharp rise in commodity

prices, shipping freight and other

Mar - Apr - 2022

made European brand in the

country. We are very excited

to partner with Peugeot

and look forward to being

associated with Stellantis, a company

that strongly believes in futuristic

mobility solutions.

The first step of this ongoing

commitment to the Pakistani customer

will begin with the introduction of

the Peugeot 2008. Rizvi also termed

the government Auto Industrial

Development Policy (AIDP) 2016-21 as

successful, saying that the government

policy has resulted the addition of 12

new entrants as car manufacturers

bringing in about 15 brands and 25

new vehicles in the country.

The consumers’ choice is limited

to cars designed from the Far East.

Sensing this gap and constraint in

customer preferences and choices, the

company signed up with Stellantis, the

4th largest car company in the world,

having 13 international brands.

input costs and (ii) sharp PKR

depreciation, in our view. Gross

margins are likely to be cushioned

from the continuously elevated input

costs in the coming quarters due to the

multiple price hikes, in our view.

• Distribution expenses decreased by a

sharp c.65% yoy despite the sharp rise

in sales. We await annual accounts for

further clarity on this. Admin expenses

rose c.75% yoy to PKR94mn. Other

income clocked in at PKR47mn, from

PKR14mn last year, due to greater cash

balances, in our view.

• Finance costs clocked in at negligible

levels. This is due to the full retirement

of debt amid strong sales growth. The

effective tax rate clocked in at 29%.

Despite the strong growth in sales

CY22td, margins are likely to remain

under pressure in the coming quarters

given the previous PKR slippage and

elevated commodity prices. Although

farmer dynamics remain favourable

for the sector, the potential increase

in GST in the FY23 Budget (assuming

no subsidies are given), remains a key

risk to the sector, in our view. Although

we have a Neutral stance on AGTL

with a December 2022 TP of PKR405/

sh, in light of the strong payout we

may revisit our estimates upon the

availability of detailed accounts.

Courtesy - Intermarket Securities Limited

32

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