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16 — Vanguard, TUESDAY, OCTOBER 18, 2022<br />

Flood, passivity, and acting urgently<br />

to forestall a ruined future<br />

THIS year 2022, the floods seem to<br />

have united different parts of the globe.<br />

The World Bank report estimates that<br />

1.18 billion people or 23 per cent of the<br />

world population, face significant flood<br />

risk. The floods have hit 27 of Nigeria’s 36<br />

states and impacted around 1.4 million people,<br />

according to the Ministry<br />

of Humanitarian Affairs and Disaster<br />

Management. It has been reported that more<br />

than 500 people have been killed and 90,000<br />

homes submerged, apart from supply chain<br />

disruptions. In the North Central, in<br />

particular, Koton-karfe and surrounding<br />

communities have been seriously impacted<br />

while the Orashi area of Rivers State has not<br />

been spared. Apart from unusual rains, the<br />

recent release of water from the LagdoDam<br />

in neighbouring Cameroon has also been<br />

blamed for the devastating floods. Beyond<br />

these statistics is the individual human tragedy<br />

of colossal proportions that beats our<br />

imagination. People have lost their livelihoods.<br />

The elderly and sick are displaced, food and<br />

necessities are scarce, and life becomes<br />

drudgery and misery. All these are on top of<br />

the stifling economic crisis that every Nigerian<br />

contends. Climate change and its impacts are<br />

more of a worldwide conversation than a local<br />

one. And we hope the UN Climate Change<br />

Conference 2022 (UNFCCC COP 27) in Egypt<br />

in November 2022 will make a meaningful<br />

impact on the conversation, although<br />

tremendous pessimism exists given the poor<br />

results of previous conferences. The impact of<br />

the flooding in Nigeria is exacerbated by a<br />

lack of respect for science and leadership<br />

problems. Our lack of respect for science and<br />

preference for superstition is at the root of the<br />

flood disaster we have at hand.<br />

We do not respect science; therefore, we seem<br />

not to have any place for strategic planning<br />

based on scientific evidence. The flooding<br />

problem is symbolic of a country whose<br />

leadership at all levels does not value<br />

planning, working with data and<br />

proactiveness. All the agencies in the<br />

environment sector, both local and<br />

international, based on scientific evidence,<br />

predicted the current flood ravaging our<br />

country, but nobody showed authentic<br />

leadership to provide solutions. Our leaders<br />

did not even benefit from past experiences and<br />

availability of expertise. These floods did not<br />

start this year, and Nigeria was affected in 2010<br />

and 2012. We have enough time to have learnt<br />

lessons. But there have now been many years<br />

of recurring flood disasters, and from this most<br />

recent development, it is evident that we have<br />

learnt no lessons. What lessons must we take<br />

from this flooding problem, and how can we<br />

prevent or mitigate the impact of flooding in<br />

Nigeria?<br />

First, we must take the science of<br />

environment and climatic changes serious. It<br />

is noteworthy that in the recent instances of<br />

flooding disasters, it is not the lack of data and<br />

scientific knowledge that is the problem, but<br />

the lack of effective and efficient use of the<br />

analysis from the data to plan and put in place<br />

measures to either prevent the flooding or<br />

reduce its impact. Our leaders act as if all<br />

environmental emergencies are Acts of God<br />

and, therefore, inevitable, and this is baseless<br />

and ignorance. Too much rain alone or<br />

overflowing rivers does not create much havoc<br />

when structural and procedural anti-flooding<br />

arrangements are in place. In countries where<br />

they take scientific evidence relating to<br />

flooding seriously, there are early warning<br />

signs to evacuate people and valuables,<br />

and people put in place measures to protect<br />

their homes and valuables. Government<br />

provides channels for the easy flow of water to<br />

designated areas and sets other scientific and<br />

environmental standards that reduce the<br />

impact of flooding. There should<br />

be enlightenment campaigns for Nigerians<br />

and their leaders to counter superstitious<br />

beliefs and attitudes towards flooding and<br />

elevate the supremacy of scientific facts in this<br />

regard. This knowledge will help leaders better<br />

plan for and respond to flooding in more<br />

practical ways than the current blame-shifting<br />

or complete nonchalant attitude we see among<br />

them today.<br />

Second, the first line of defence against<br />

flooding is Nigerians living in flood-prone<br />

areas. There should be scientific information<br />

on flooding, which should be made available<br />

to locals residing in the suspected flooding<br />

areas. The institutions saddled with this<br />

responsibility must be alive to it and be<br />

accountable if they fail to gather scientific data,<br />

analyse them, and inform the people about<br />

the impending flood. I must note that in the<br />

case of the Lokoja flooding, institutions<br />

provided scientific information and early<br />

warning signals about the flooding, but<br />

nothing much was done by the leadership or<br />

even the first line of defence against flood –<br />

the people. Nigerians should demand a fitfor-purpose<br />

crisis management regime<br />

against natural disasters. The National<br />

Emergency Management Agency must be well<br />

funded and properly managed to react to<br />

disasters and work in synergy with local people<br />

to plan and manage crises such as flooding.<br />

Third, being reactive to issues for which we<br />

have prior information is symptomatic of lack<br />

of proactiveness and accountability. Worse<br />

still, the leadership needed to ameliorate the<br />

impact of flooding cuts across all strata of<br />

government. The Federal Government should<br />

protect the lives and property of people in<br />

affected areas by declaring a state of<br />

emergency and<br />

The impact of the<br />

flooding in Nigeria<br />

is exacerbated by a<br />

lack of respect for<br />

science and<br />

leadership<br />

problems<br />

designating<br />

human and<br />

m a t e r i a l<br />

resources to<br />

reduce the impact<br />

o<br />

f<br />

flooding. Federal<br />

Government can<br />

use its security<br />

apparatus<br />

support and<br />

enforce evacuations, maintain dredging and<br />

waste management, and invest in flood<br />

mitigation efforts and infrastructure. In floodprone<br />

areas, Federal Government should work<br />

on enhancing food resilience and security. In<br />

times of disaster, food and medicine are<br />

essential to limit the casualties of the<br />

disaster. State government must desist from<br />

allocating land for building in designated flood<br />

plains and flood-prone areas, allowing for the<br />

construction of houses that block natural water<br />

flowing routes, or not having an effective<br />

drainage system to control flooding. The<br />

national emergency response regime must be<br />

prioritised and adequately funded to help<br />

prevent disaster (flooding) rather than reacting<br />

to the disaster. The legislature should provide<br />

a robust and adequate legal framework for<br />

dealing with flooding emergencies to ease the<br />

prevention and management of such natural<br />

or artificial disasters.<br />

Fourth, the world is facing a climate change<br />

crisis. It is not time to question the science<br />

behind it, it is time to embrace it and champion<br />

it in Africa. There is a clear opportunity for<br />

Nigerian leaders to lead the Global South in<br />

demanding accountability from the global<br />

community regarding their climate<br />

commitments, especially the Global<br />

North. The proverbial saying must apply here,<br />

“the dog should not eat faeces and the goat’s<br />

teeth decay”. Climate change results from<br />

more activities in developed countries than in<br />

developing countries. China and USA have<br />

the highest carbon footprint in the world,<br />

representing the two biggest industrialised<br />

nations. China is the world’s largest emitter<br />

of carbon dioxide gas, with 10,668 million<br />

metric tonnes emitted in 2020, followed by the<br />

US with 4,713 million metric tonnes of total<br />

carbon dioxide emissions by 2020. Nigeria’s<br />

emission is relatively and comparatively<br />

insignificant.<br />

Continues online: www.vanguardngr.com<br />

to

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