SSRN-id3104847
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(c) 2018 by Marcos Lopez de Prado. Reprinted with permission. All rights reserved. Full version available at https://goo.gl/w6gMdq
There are very few things which we know, which are not capable of
being reduced to a mathematical reasoning. And when they cannot,
it’s a sign our knowledge of them is very small and confused. Where a
mathematical reasoning can be had, it’s as great a folly to make use of
any other, as to grope for a thing in the dark, when you have a candle
standing by you.
—Of the Laws of Chance, Preface (1692)
John Arbuthnot (1667–1735)
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3104847