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Tail Dependence - ETH - Entrepreneurial Risks - ETH Zürich

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3.39 Empirical complementary cumulative distribution functions F εi,empirical =<br />

k plotted in red and parametric complementary cumulative distribu-<br />

N<br />

tion functions F εi,parametric = Ĉε, c · ε−ˆν with Ĉε,c = 1 �k k−c j=c Ĉε for<br />

c = 0.005 · N plotted in black for k/N = 4% . . .0% (from left to right)<br />

in dependence of returns for the lower tails of the nine assets for a time<br />

interval ranging from January 1991 to December 2000. . . . . . . . . . 72<br />

3.40 Empirical complementary cumulative distribution functions F εi,empirical =<br />

k plotted in red and parametric complementary cumulative distribution<br />

N<br />

functions F ε,parametric = Ĉε · ε−ˆν with Ĉε = 1 �k k j=1 Ĉε plotted in black<br />

for k/N = 4% . . .0% in dependence of returns for the lower tails of the<br />

nine assets for a time interval ranging from January 1991 to December<br />

2000. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73<br />

3.41 Empirical complementary cumulative distribution functions F εi,empirical =<br />

k plotted in red and parametric complementary cumulative distribu-<br />

N<br />

tion functions F εi,parametric = Ĉε, c · ε−ˆν with Ĉε,c = 1 �k k−c j=c Ĉε for<br />

c = 0.005 · N plotted in black for k/N = 4% . . .0% in dependence of<br />

returns for the lower tails of the nine assets for a time interval ranging<br />

from January 1991 to December 2000. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74<br />

3.42 ˆ βSI(k) of the upper tails plotted in blue and of the lower tails plotted in<br />

black calculated by least square method applied on linear additive single<br />

factor model: X = β·Y +ε and first SI condition: Y ≥ Y (k)∩X ≥ X(k)<br />

in dependence of threshold k. Reference ˆ β calculated for all data is given<br />

in green. Y denotes the index return vector of S&P 500 and Y denotes<br />

asset return vector of the nine assets for a time interval ranging from<br />

January 1991 to December 2000. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80<br />

3.43 ˆ βSI(k) of the upper tails plotted in blue and of the lower tails plotted in<br />

black calculated by least square method applied on linear additive single<br />

factor model: X = β · Y + ε and second SI condition: Y ≥ Y (k) in<br />

dependence of threshold k. Reference ˆ β calculated for all data is given<br />

in green. Y denotes the index return vector of S&P 500 and Y denotes<br />

asset return vector of the nine assets for a time interval ranging from<br />

January 1991 to December 2000. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81<br />

3.44 ˆ βSI(k) of the upper tails plotted in blue and of the lower tails plotted in<br />

black calculated by least square method applied on linear additive single<br />

factor model: X = β · Y + ε and third SI condition: X ≥ X(k) in<br />

dependence of threshold k. Reference ˆ β calculated for all data is given<br />

in green. Y denotes the index return vector of S&P 500 and Y denotes<br />

asset return vector of the nine assets for a time interval ranging from<br />

January 1991 to December 2000. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82<br />

3.45 ˆ βSI(k) of the upper tails plotted in blue and of the lower tails plotted in<br />

black calculated by least square method applied on linear additive single<br />

factor model: X = β · Y + ε and fourth SI condition: Y ≥ Y (k) ∪ X ≥<br />

X(k) in dependence of threshold k. Reference ˆ β calculated for all data<br />

is given in green. Y denotes the index return vector of S&P 500 and Y<br />

denotes asset return vector of the nine assets for a time interval ranging<br />

from January 1991 to December 2000. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83

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