an introduction to generalized linear models - GDM@FUDAN ...
an introduction to generalized linear models - GDM@FUDAN ...
an introduction to generalized linear models - GDM@FUDAN ...
Create successful ePaper yourself
Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.
The probability density function of a continuous r<strong>an</strong>dom variable Y (or the<br />
probability mass function if Y is discrete) is referred <strong>to</strong> simply as a probability<br />
distribution <strong>an</strong>d denoted by<br />
f(y; θ)<br />
where θ represents the parameters ofthe distribution.<br />
We use dot (·) subscripts for summation <strong>an</strong>d bars ( − ) for me<strong>an</strong>s, thus<br />
y = 1<br />
N<br />
N�<br />
i=1<br />
yi = 1<br />
N<br />
The expected value <strong>an</strong>d vari<strong>an</strong>ce ofa r<strong>an</strong>dom variable Y are denoted by<br />
E(Y ) <strong>an</strong>d var(Y ) respectively. Suppose r<strong>an</strong>dom variables Y1, ..., YN are independent<br />
with E(Yi) =µi <strong>an</strong>d var(Yi) =σ2 i for i =1, ..., n. Let the r<strong>an</strong>dom<br />
variable W be a <strong>linear</strong> combination ofthe Yi’s<br />
y · .<br />
W = a1Y1 + a2Y2 + ... + <strong>an</strong>Yn, (1.1)<br />
where the ai’s are const<strong>an</strong>ts. Then the expected value of W is<br />
<strong>an</strong>d its vari<strong>an</strong>ce is<br />
E(W )=a1µ1 + a2µ2 + ... + <strong>an</strong>µn<br />
(1.2)<br />
var(W )=a 2 1σ 2 1 + a 2 2σ 2 2 + ... + a 2 nσ 2 n. (1.3)<br />
1.4Distributions related <strong>to</strong> the Normal distribution<br />
The sampling distributions ofm<strong>an</strong>y ofthe estima<strong>to</strong>rs <strong>an</strong>d test statistics used<br />
in this book depend on the Normal distribution. They do so either directly because<br />
they are derived from Normally distributed r<strong>an</strong>dom variables, or asymp<strong>to</strong>tically,<br />
via the Central Limit Theorem for large samples. In this section we<br />
give definitions <strong>an</strong>d notation for these distributions <strong>an</strong>d summarize the relationships<br />
between them. The exercises at the end ofthe chapter provide<br />
practice in using these results which are employed extensively in subsequent<br />
chapters.<br />
1.4.1 Normal distributions<br />
1. Ifthe r<strong>an</strong>dom variable Y has the Normal distribution with me<strong>an</strong> µ <strong>an</strong>d<br />
vari<strong>an</strong>ce σ 2 , its probability density function is<br />
f(y; µ, σ 2 )=<br />
We denote this by Y ∼ N(µ, σ 2 ).<br />
1<br />
√<br />
2πσ2 exp<br />
�<br />
− 1<br />
2<br />
�<br />
y − µ<br />
σ2 � �<br />
2<br />
.<br />
2. The Normal distribution with µ = 0 <strong>an</strong>d σ 2 =1,Y ∼ N(0, 1), is called the<br />
st<strong>an</strong>dard Normal distribution.<br />
© 2002 by Chapm<strong>an</strong> & Hall/CRC