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Clark, B., Lyons, G. and Chatterjee, K. (2012) - UWE Research ...

Clark, B., Lyons, G. and Chatterjee, K. (2012) - UWE Research ...

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UTSG<br />

January <strong>2012</strong><br />

Aberdeen<br />

CLARK, LYONS, CHATTERJEE: Car ownership<br />

transitions <strong>and</strong> life events<br />

However, there was evidence of differing patterns of travel behaviour adaptation following a<br />

move to either the inner-urban or outer-urban neighbourhood. As expected, cars were used<br />

less frequently <strong>and</strong> other modes used proportionately more in the inner-urban<br />

neighbourhood. Bradley Stoke residents reported a 13 per cent higher car use modal share<br />

than Bishopston residents. This was counter-balanced by Bishopston residents on average<br />

reporting higher walking, cycling <strong>and</strong> public transport modal shares (these differences were<br />

statistically significant). In the case of the survey neighbourhoods then, the built<br />

environment influenced car use more strongly than car ownership.<br />

Table 3: Household car ownership in the survey neighbourhoods<br />

No. of cars<br />

Bishopston Bradley Stoke Total Sample<br />

No. of<br />

households %<br />

No. of<br />

households %<br />

No. of<br />

households %<br />

Zero 12 12.5 7 8.0 19 10.3<br />

One 50 52.1 54 61.4 104 56.5<br />

Two 28 29.2 21 23.9 49 26.6<br />

Three or more 6 6.3 6 6.8 12 6.5<br />

Total 96 100.0 88 100.0 184 100.0<br />

Average car<br />

ownership rate<br />

1.31 cars per household 1.31 cars per household 1.31 cars per household<br />

Chi-square test: χ 2 = 2.126, df=3, p=0.547<br />

Investigating the prevalence of car access imbalances <strong>and</strong> prospects for future changes<br />

An important feature of the survey was establishing whether the concept of non-equilibrium<br />

car ownership states (labelled a car access imbalance in the theoretical framework) was first<br />

meaningful <strong>and</strong> second detectable. To reiterate, this concept had been operationalised in the<br />

survey by asking respondents to consider whether they felt they owned too few, too many or<br />

just the right number of cars for their needs.<br />

The majority of the sample, nearly three quarters of respondents, reported that they had just<br />

the right number of cars for their needs – most people were satisfied with their current car<br />

ownership level (Table 4). However, this also implied that one quarter, a significant minority,<br />

felt that they had either too few or too many cars for their needs. This confirms that the car<br />

ownership level can represent a non-equilibrium position at a given point in time.<br />

A statistically significant relationship was also detected between prevalence of household car<br />

access imbalances <strong>and</strong> neighbourhood (χ 2 = 8.447, df=2, p=0.015). The majority of<br />

respondents reporting ownership of too many cars resided in the inner-urban<br />

neighbourhood. Given also the lower car use modal share, this indicated a greater<br />

unrealised potential for car ownership reductions in the inner-urban than in the outer urban<br />

neighbourhood.<br />

Table 4: Car access imbalance by neighbourhood<br />

Car access imbalance No. of<br />

h’holds<br />

Bishopston Bradley Stoke Sample<br />

This paper is produced <strong>and</strong> circulated privately <strong>and</strong> its inclusion<br />

in the conference does not constitute publication. 9<br />

%<br />

No. of<br />

h’holds<br />

%<br />

No. of<br />

h’holds<br />

Too few vehicles 18 18.9 15 17.0 33 18.0<br />

Too many vehicles 13 13.7 2 2.3 15 8.2<br />

Just the right number of vehicles 64 67.4 71 80.7 135 73.8<br />

Total 95 100.0 88 100.0 183 100.0<br />

Chi-square test: χ 2 = 8.447, df=2, p=0.015<br />

The relationship between car access imbalance <strong>and</strong> expectations for the next car ownership<br />

change was also in line with expectations. Reporting ownership of too few cars was<br />

associated with also reporting an expectation to increase car ownership level. Conversely<br />

reporting ownership of too many cars was associated with reporting an expectation to<br />

decrease car ownership level. Nevertheless, it was also apparent that not all respondents<br />

%

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