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<strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

For a better<br />

understanding of<br />

milk production<br />

world-wide<br />

<strong>IFCN</strong><br />

International Farm<br />

Comparison Network<br />

<strong>Extract</strong>


© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

Dear friends,<br />

It is a pleasure for us to summarise<br />

the highlights of our research and<br />

network activities in <strong>2012</strong>.<br />

The <strong>IFCN</strong> Mission<br />

When looking at the dairy chain as a whole, the majority of costs,<br />

resources used, emissions generated and political challenges fall<br />

in the milk production segment. That is why the <strong>IFCN</strong> work is driven<br />

by our mission:<br />

We create a better understanding of<br />

milk production worldwide<br />

Status of the network in <strong>2012</strong><br />

A milk production profi le was created for 91 countries, representing<br />

about 97.5% of the world’s milk production. In the farm<br />

comparison <strong>17</strong>1 typical farms from 61 dairy regions (51 countries)<br />

were analysed. We are very happy to welcome the countries / regions<br />

Colombia, Costa Rica and Ethiopia, Mongolia, Turkey, and US-<br />

California in the <strong>IFCN</strong> work. Signifi cant progress has been made in<br />

Australia, India, Iran, Mexico, and USA.<br />

Highlights <strong>2012</strong><br />

<strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Conference <strong>2012</strong>: With 47 countries participating we<br />

have made signifi cant progress in representing world milk production.<br />

2011 – A dairy year of new records<br />

In 2011 milk production grew by 22 million t which was the highest<br />

growth ever observed. Relatively high milk and beef prices have<br />

led to good farm economic results in most dairy countries.<br />

<strong>IFCN</strong> method work has focused on<br />

• ECM milk standardising formula<br />

• Milk quality diff erences of farms<br />

• Analysis of milk collection costs<br />

• Variation of interest rates between countries<br />

• The <strong>IFCN</strong> world milk price indicator<br />

Concentration of milk processing: The analysis of the top 10 milk<br />

processors permits an overview on the concentration of milk processing<br />

per country and also a benchmarking between countries<br />

Feeding systems: With rising feed prices it has become more and<br />

more important to understand and improve feeding systems. In<br />

<strong>2012</strong> <strong>IFCN</strong> has made a signifi cant step forward in this fi eld.<br />

The <strong>IFCN</strong> Supporter Conference <strong>2012</strong>: This conference was held<br />

in Cork, Ireland, <strong>17</strong>th to 19th September with the Irish <strong>Dairy</strong> Industries<br />

Association acting as host.<br />

Institutional partners<br />

of the <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Network<br />

International<br />

<strong>Dairy</strong><br />

Federation<br />

Introduction<br />

<strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

Chapter 1: Cost comparison: This chapter summarises results<br />

on costs, returns, profi tability and productivity of dairy farms<br />

worldwide.<br />

Chapter 2: Global monitoring: This chapter gives a broad<br />

monitoring on specifi c dairy issues such as milk prices, feed<br />

prices and milk : feed price ratio.<br />

Chapter 3: Milk production fact sheets: This profi le, prepared<br />

for 91 countries, gives a comparable overview related to:<br />

• Milk supply and demand developments<br />

• Monthly milk prices and production data<br />

• Consumer prices and margins in the chain<br />

• A list of 10 major processors.<br />

Moreover, the key results are summarised at the beginning of<br />

the chapter via world maps.<br />

Chapter 4: Special studies: This chapter summarises special<br />

studies on method issues and other important studies performed.<br />

A word of thanks<br />

We would like to extend our heartiest thanks to all our scientifi<br />

c partners, agribusiness partners, our institutional partners<br />

and also to the people working in the <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Research<br />

Center. It was a pleasure to serve the network in <strong>2012</strong> and we<br />

are looking forward to our activities in 2013.<br />

Although growth and profi tability were mainly good in 2011<br />

we already now know that great changes during <strong>2012</strong> have<br />

infl uenced our business and make our continued work important<br />

to monitor and understand our dynamic environment.<br />

Torsten Hemme Anders Fagerberg<br />

Managing Director Chairman of the <strong>IFCN</strong> Board<br />

1


Participating dairy economists / co-editors of the <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong><br />

Djellali Abderrazak<br />

Horizons Agro-alimentaires Boufarik,<br />

Algeria<br />

2<br />

<strong>Dairy</strong> Expert<br />

Hugo Quattrochi |<br />

Unión Productores de Leche Cuenca<br />

Mar y Sierras, Argentina<br />

Vardan Urutyan, Arpine Arakelyan |<br />

International Center for Agribusiness<br />

Research and Education (ICARE),<br />

Yerevan, Armenia<br />

Jon Hauser | Xcheque Pty Ltd, Glen<br />

Alvie, Victoria, Australia<br />

Leopold Kirner | Federal Institute<br />

of Agricultural Economics, Vienna,<br />

Austria<br />

Mohammad Uddin | <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong><br />

Research Center, Kiel, Germany,<br />

Bangladesh<br />

Институт системны х исследованийв АПК<br />

Национальной академии наук Беларуси<br />

Anatoli Takun, Sviatlana Takun |<br />

Institute of System Research in<br />

Agro-industrial Complex, Minsk,<br />

Belarus<br />

Erwin Wauters | Institute for<br />

Agricultural and Fisheries Research,<br />

Merelbeke, Belgium<br />

Henrique C. Junquieira | Cooperativa<br />

Agropecuária Castrolanda, Castro,<br />

Paraná, Brazil<br />

Lorildo A. Stock | Embrapa Gado de<br />

Leite (Embrapa <strong>Dairy</strong> Cattle), Juiz de<br />

Fora, Minas Gerais, Brazil<br />

Henri Bayemi, Asaah Ndambi |<br />

Institute of Agricultural Research<br />

for Development (IRAD) Bambui,<br />

Cameroon; <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Research<br />

Center, Kiel, Germany<br />

Steve Couture | <strong>Dairy</strong> Farmers<br />

of Canada, Ottawa, Canada<br />

Mario E. Olivares |<br />

Cooprinsem, Osorno, Chile<br />

Sam Shi | <strong>Dairy</strong> Consultant, Beijing,<br />

China<br />

Enrique Ortega | DMV U.N., CNLM,<br />

Colombia<br />

Iveta Bošková | ÚZEI – Research<br />

Institute of Agricultural Economics<br />

and Information, Prague,<br />

Czech Republic<br />

Susanne Clausen | Knowledge Center<br />

for Agriculture, Aarhus, Denmark<br />

Adel Khattab | Tanta University,<br />

Faculty of Agriculture, Animal<br />

production department, Tanta, Egypt<br />

Zelalem Yilma | Heifer International,<br />

Addis Ababa, Ethiopia<br />

Sami Ovaska, Jukka Tauriainen;<br />

Timo Sipiläinen; Matti Ryhänen<br />

| MTT Economic Research, Helsinki;<br />

University of Helsinki, Helsinki;<br />

Seinäjoki University of Applied<br />

Sciences, Seinäjoki, Finland<br />

Jean-Luc Reuillon | Institut de<br />

l’Èlevage, Département Actions<br />

Régionales, Aubière, France<br />

Dorothee Boelling | <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong><br />

Research Center, Kiel, Germany<br />

Annett Rindfl eisch, Ingo Heber |<br />

Sächsisches Landesamt für Umwelt,<br />

Landwirtschaft und Geologie, Dresden,<br />

Germany<br />

TN Datta, AK Saha, GG Shah |<br />

National <strong>Dairy</strong> Development Board,<br />

Anand, India<br />

Devi Prasad Rao | Arohana <strong>Dairy</strong><br />

Private Limited, Vallam, Tamil Nadu,<br />

India<br />

Bambang Ali Nugroho | Faculty<br />

of Animal Husbandry, University of<br />

Brawijaya (UB), Malang, East Java,<br />

Indonesia<br />

Farhad Mirzaei | Animal Science<br />

Research Institute of Iran, Karaj, Iran<br />

Massoumeh Nasrollahzadeh | <strong>IFCN</strong><br />

<strong>Dairy</strong> Research Center, Kiel, Germany,<br />

Iran<br />

Fiona Thorne | Rural Economy<br />

Research Centre, Teagasc, Dublin,<br />

Ireland<br />

Liron Tamir | Israel <strong>Dairy</strong> Board,<br />

Rishon-Le´Zion, Israel<br />

Alberto Menghi | CRPA – Centro<br />

Ricerche Produzioni Animali, Reggio<br />

Emilia, Italy<br />

<strong>Dairy</strong> Research Center<br />

Othman Alqaisi | <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Research<br />

Center, Kiel, Germany, Jordan<br />

Simone Adam | Ministère de<br />

l’Agriculture, Service d’Economie<br />

Rurale, Luxembourg<br />

Enrique Vazquez | Universidad<br />

Veracruzana, Mexico<br />

Rigoberto Becerra Pinedo | Establo<br />

Gibraltar, Durango, Mexico<br />

Btissam Kessab | Centrale Laitière,<br />

Casablanca, Morocco<br />

Nicola Shadbolt | College of Sciences,<br />

Massey University, Palmerston North,<br />

New Zealand<br />

Isah Annatte | Livestock and Fisheries<br />

Program, NAERLS/ABU, PMB 1067, Zaria,<br />

Nigeria<br />

Ola Flaten, Bjørn Gunnar Hansen |<br />

NILF – Norwegian Agricultural<br />

Economics Research Institute; TINE,<br />

Norwegian Dairies, Oslo, Norway<br />

Haroon Lodhi | Waseem Shaukat,<br />

Solve Agri Pak (Private) Limited, Lahore,<br />

Pakistan<br />

© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong>


Carlos A. Gomez | Universidad<br />

Nacional Agraria La Molina, Lima, Peru<br />

Michał Switłyk, Ewa Kołoszycz |<br />

West Pomeranian University of<br />

Technology in Szczecin, Department<br />

of Management, Szczecin, Poland<br />

Evgeny Kuplyauskas | Russian <strong>Dairy</strong><br />

Union, Moscow, Russian Federation<br />

Rade Popovic | University of Novi Sad,<br />

Faculty of Economics, Subotica, Serbia<br />

Koos Coetzee | Milk Producers‘<br />

Organisation, Pretoria, South Africa<br />

Ernesto Reyes | TRAGSATEC – Ministerio<br />

del Medio Ambiente, Medio Rural y<br />

Marino, Spain<br />

Agneta Hjellström | Swedish <strong>Dairy</strong><br />

Association, Stockholm, Sweden<br />

Christian Gazzarin | Agroscope<br />

Reckenholz-Tänikon Research Station<br />

(ART), Agricultural Economics, Tänikon,<br />

Switzerland<br />

Michel de Haan | Animal Sciences<br />

Group, Wageningen-UR, Lelystad,<br />

The Netherlands<br />

Dhiaeddine M‘Hamed | Centrale<br />

Laitière du Cap-Bon Délice, Saliman,<br />

Tunisia<br />

© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

Participating dairy economists / co-editors of the <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong><br />

Muhittin Özder |Turkish Milk Council,<br />

Ankara, Turkey<br />

Olga Kozak | National Scientifi c Centre<br />

“Institute of Agrarian Economics”, Kyiv,<br />

Ukraine<br />

Karolina Klaskova | Agriculture &<br />

Horticulture Development Board,<br />

Market Intelligence, Kenilworth,<br />

Warwickshire, United Kingdom<br />

Chad Harris | Glanbia, Idaho, USA<br />

Ed Jesse | Babcock Institute,<br />

University of Wisconsin, USA<br />

William Schiek | Mike Francesconi,<br />

Annie AcMoody | <strong>Dairy</strong> Institute of<br />

California; California Department of<br />

Agriculture; Western United <strong>Dairy</strong>men;<br />

California, USA<br />

Bill Zweigbaum, Christopher Noble |<br />

Farm Credit East, Greenwich, NY,<br />

USA; Linwood Management Group,<br />

Linwood, NY, USA<br />

Gabriel Bagnato | Instituto Nacional<br />

de la Leche, Montevideo, Uruguay<br />

Researchers participating only in the<br />

country profi le analysis<br />

Ilir Kapaj | Hohenheim University,<br />

Stuttgart, Germany, Albania<br />

Andrew Weinert | Department of<br />

Agriculture, Perth, Australia<br />

Felix Menzel | <strong>Dairy</strong> Farmer, Mezza<br />

Sucre, Bolivia<br />

Zlatan Vassilev | <strong>Dairy</strong> Expert, Bulgaria<br />

Douming, Wennie Liu | Beijing Orient<br />

<strong>Dairy</strong> Consultants Ltd, China<br />

René A. Pérez R., Luisa Fernanda<br />

Quiceno | DMV U.N., CNLM, Colombia<br />

Francisco Jose Arias Cordero |<br />

Dos Pinos, Costa Rica<br />

Jasmina Havranek | Faculty of Agriculture,<br />

University of Zagreb, Croatia<br />

Rafael Vizcarra | Centro de la Industria<br />

Láctea, Quito, Ecuador<br />

Katri Kall | Estonian University of Life<br />

Sciences, Estonia<br />

Eva Schröer-Merker | <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong><br />

Research Center, Kiel, Germany<br />

Daniel Mándi-Nagy | Research<br />

Institute for Agricultural Economics<br />

(AKI), Budapest, Hungary<br />

Baldur H. Benjamínsson | Association<br />

of Icelandic <strong>Dairy</strong> and Beef Cattle<br />

Farmers, Reykjavik, Iceland<br />

Dr. A. K. Srivastava, Smita Sirohi |<br />

National <strong>Dairy</strong> Research lnstitute,<br />

Karnal, India<br />

Istiqomah | Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas,<br />

Jenderal Soedirman Purwokerto<br />

Central, Java, Indonesia<br />

Hamid Monazami | Ganje Kavir. Co,<br />

Mashhad,, Iran<br />

Kenji Namiki | Japan <strong>Dairy</strong> Council,<br />

Tokyo, Japan<br />

Galiya Akimbekova | Scientifi c<br />

Research Institute of Agricultural<br />

Economics, Almaty, Kazakhstan<br />

David Waititu Kimani | TechnoServe,<br />

Nairobi, Kenya<br />

Lee Jung Min | Korea Rural Economic<br />

Institute, Seoul, Korea<br />

Almasbek Chonov | Project DGRV<br />

(Deutscher Genossenschafts- und<br />

Raiff eisen Verband) in Kyrgyzstan<br />

„Development of rural co-operatives“,<br />

Kyrgyzstan<br />

Agnese Krievina | Latvian State<br />

Institute of Agrarian Economics, Riga,<br />

Latvia<br />

Deiva Mikelionyte | Lithuanian<br />

Institute of Agrarian Economics, Vilnius,<br />

Lithuania<br />

Blagica Sekovska | Veterinary Faculty,<br />

Institute for Food, Skopje, Macedonia,<br />

The Fmr Yug Rp<br />

Zakaria Abd Rahman | <strong>Dairy</strong> Farmer,<br />

Redagri Farm Sdn Bhd, Hulu Terengganu,<br />

Malaysia<br />

Jaime Jurado Arredondo |<br />

Universidad Autonoma de Chihuahua,<br />

Chihuahua, Mexico<br />

Amgalanbaatar Odonmajig, Tsetsgee<br />

Ser-Od, Batchimeg Tumurjil |<br />

Ministry of Food, Agriculture and light<br />

Industry of Mongolia; Mongolian <strong>Dairy</strong><br />

Research Association, Ulaanbaatar,<br />

Mongolia<br />

Romy Das | Agriculture Researcher,<br />

Nepal<br />

Naomi K. Torreta | National <strong>Dairy</strong><br />

Authority, Quezon City, Philippines<br />

António Moitinho Rodrigues |<br />

School of Agriculture - Polytechic<br />

Institute of Castelo Branco, Portugal<br />

Michel Noordman | <strong>Dairy</strong> Farmer, S.C.<br />

Boes Lapte S.R.L., Romania<br />

Margita Stefanikova | Slovak Association<br />

of Milk Producers (SZPM), Nitra,<br />

Slovakia<br />

Ben Moljk | Agricultural Institute of<br />

Slovenia, Ljubljana, Slovenia<br />

Hemali Kothalawala | Department<br />

of Animal Production and Health,<br />

Peradeniya, Sri Lanka<br />

Xenia Hsiao | Forefront Enterprise Co.,<br />

Ltd., Taipei, Taiwan, ROC<br />

Adul Vangtal | Thai Holstein Friesian<br />

Association (T.H.A.), Thailand<br />

John Anglin | Paramount Dairies (2010)<br />

Ltd, Uganda<br />

David Balikowa | TechnoServe Inc.,<br />

Kampala, Uganda<br />

Evelina Budjurova | Justus-<br />

Liebig-Universität, Gießen, Germany,<br />

Uzbekistan<br />

Vu Ngoc Quynh, Tieu Duc Viet |<br />

Vietnam <strong>Dairy</strong> Association,<br />

Vietnam<br />

3


Table of contents<br />

Institutional partners<br />

of the <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Network<br />

4<br />

Preface<br />

<strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> - developments 2000-2011 6<br />

Regional maps and the typical farms 7<br />

Questions and Answers about <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> 8<br />

1 Comparison of the typical farms 2011<br />

1.1 Summary – Farm comparison 2011 13<br />

1.2 Regional overview on costs and<br />

returns of the dairy enterprise 14<br />

1.3 Milk supply curves 2011 16<br />

1.4 Cost of milk production in average sized farms 2011 18<br />

1.5 Cost of milk production in larger farms per country 2011 19<br />

1.6 Description of the dairy farms analysed 20<br />

1.7 Cost of milk production only 22<br />

1.8 Total costs and returns of the dairy enterprise 24<br />

1.9 Returns: Milk price, non-milk returns and<br />

decoupled payments 26<br />

1.10 Description of direct payments and policies 28<br />

1.11 <strong>Dairy</strong> enterprise: Profi ts and return to labour 30<br />

1.12 Asset structure and return on investment 32<br />

1.13 Overview of all typical farms analysed – costs and returns 34<br />

1.14 Farm level time series analysis 2000-2011 36<br />

2 Global monitoring dairy economic indicators 1996-2011<br />

2.1 Summary: Monitoring dairy economic indicators 41<br />

2.2 Global trends in oil, milk and feed prices 1981-<strong>2012</strong> 42<br />

2.3 Milk prices in 2011 in US-$ 44<br />

2.4 Monitoring milk prices 1996-2011 46<br />

2.5 Monthly developments and key facts 48<br />

2.6 Monitoring feed prices 1996-2011 50<br />

2.7 Monitoring milk : feed price ratio 1996-2011 52<br />

International<br />

<strong>Dairy</strong><br />

Federation<br />

3 <strong>Dairy</strong> sector and chain profi le<br />

3.1 Summary – Status and trends in the dairy sector 58<br />

3.2 Status and development of milk production 60<br />

3.3 Top 20 dairy countries in <strong>2012</strong> 62<br />

3.4 Status of milk surplus, defi cit and self-suffi ciency 63<br />

3.5 Importance of dairy trade and milk price transmission schemes 64<br />

3.6 The dairy chain 66<br />

3.7 World milk consumption 68<br />

3.8 World population 69<br />

3.9 Method explanation of the Country Page <strong>2012</strong> 70<br />

<strong>Dairy</strong> sector & chain profi les<br />

3.10 Afghanistan 71<br />

3.11 Albania 72<br />

3.12 Algeria 73<br />

3.13 Argentina 74<br />

3.14 Armenia 75<br />

3.15 Australia 76<br />

3.16 Austria 77<br />

3.<strong>17</strong> Bangladesh 78<br />

3.18 Belarus 80<br />

3.19 Belgium 81<br />

3.20 Bolivia 82<br />

3.21 Brazil 83<br />

3.22 Bulgaria 84<br />

3.23 Cameroon 85<br />

3.24 Canada 86<br />

3.25 Chile 87<br />

3.26 China 88<br />

3.27 Colombia 90<br />

3.28 Costa Rica 91<br />

3.29 Croatia 92<br />

3.30 Cyprus 93<br />

3.31 Czech Republic 94<br />

3.32 Denmark 95<br />

3.33 Ecuador 96<br />

3.34 Egypt 97<br />

3.35 Estonia 98<br />

3.36 Ethiopia 100<br />

3.37 Finland 101<br />

3.38 France 102<br />

3.39 Germany 103<br />

3.40 Greece 104<br />

3.41 Hungary 105<br />

3.42 Iceland 106<br />

3.43 India 107<br />

3.44 Indonesia 108<br />

3.45 Iran 110<br />

3.46 Ireland 111<br />

3.47 Israel 112<br />

3.48 Italy 113<br />

3.49 Jamaica 114<br />

3.50 Japan 115<br />

3.51 Jordan 116<br />

3.52 Kazakhstan 1<strong>17</strong><br />

3.53 Kenya 118<br />

3.54 Korea, Republic of 120<br />

3.55 Kyrgyzstan 121<br />

3.56 Latvia 122<br />

3.57 Lithuania 123<br />

3.58 Luxembourg 124<br />

3.59 Macedonia 125<br />

3.60 Malaysia 126<br />

3.61 Mexico 127<br />

3.62 Mongolia 128<br />

3.63 Morocco 130<br />

3.64 Nepal 131<br />

3.65 The Netherlands 132<br />

3.66 New Zealand 133<br />

3.67 Nigeria 134<br />

3.68 Norway 135<br />

3.69 Pakistan 136<br />

3.70 Panama 137<br />

3.71 Paraguay 138<br />

3.72 Peru 139<br />

3.73 Philippines 140<br />

3.74 Poland 141<br />

3.75 Portugal 142<br />

3.76 Romania 143<br />

3.77 Russian Federation 144<br />

3.78 Saudi Arabia 146<br />

3.79 Serbia 147<br />

3.80 Slovakia 148<br />

3.81 Slovenia 149<br />

3.82 South Africa 150<br />

3.83 Spain 151<br />

3.84 Sri Lanka 152<br />

3.85 Sweden 153<br />

3.86 Switzerland 154<br />

3.87 Syria 156<br />

3.88 Taiwan 157<br />

3.89 Tajikistan 158<br />

3.90 Thailand 159<br />

3.91 Tunisia 160<br />

3.92 Turkey 161<br />

3.93 Uganda 162<br />

3.94 Ukraine 163<br />

3.95 United Kingdom 164<br />

3.96 USA 165<br />

3.97 Uruguay 166<br />

3.98 Uzbekistan 167<br />

3.99 Venezuela 168<br />

3.100 Vietnam 169<br />

© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong>


4 Special studies<br />

4.1 Normative analysis on future alternative<br />

feeding system in Jordan <strong>17</strong>4<br />

4.2 Greenhouse gas emissions of milk production worldwide:<br />

Assessment and analysis <strong>17</strong>6<br />

4.3 Method development: Milk quality adjustment <strong>17</strong>8<br />

4.4 Method development: Interest rate 180<br />

4.5 Farm supply reaction 182<br />

4.6 Opportunity costs of land use 184<br />

4.7 Method development in global dairy<br />

processor analysis 186<br />

4.8 World market price for milk – Development<br />

of a new <strong>IFCN</strong> world milk price indicator 188<br />

Institutional partners<br />

of the <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Network<br />

© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

International<br />

<strong>Dairy</strong><br />

Federation<br />

Table of contents<br />

A.1<br />

Annex<br />

13th <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Conference <strong>2012</strong> –<br />

June 4– to 6– <strong>2012</strong> in Kiel, Germany 192<br />

A.2 9th <strong>IFCN</strong> Supporter Conference –<br />

September 26th to 28th 2011 in Monastier Treviso, Italy 193<br />

A.3 Typical farm approach and data quality assessment 194<br />

A.4 Description of the typical dairy farms analysed 196<br />

A.5 Details on Country Page analysis: calculations and<br />

defi nition of parameters on the example of India 202<br />

A.6 Specifi cations of world regions 203<br />

A.7 Assumptions for the calculations 204<br />

A.8 <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> publications 205<br />

A.9 Exchange rates 1996 – 2011 206<br />

A.10 Abbreviations 207<br />

A.11 Who is who 208<br />

5


<strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> – Developments 2000 – <strong>2012</strong><br />

Which countries are participating in the <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> activities in <strong>2012</strong>?<br />

6<br />

Year Countries included in No. of farm types analysed* Topic of Country <strong>Report</strong> <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Conferences<br />

farm comparison country profi le analysis<br />

2000 8 8 21 Ex-post analysis 1996–2000 Sep-00<br />

2001 20 20 52 Country reports on milk production Jun-01<br />

2002 24 24 72 <strong>Dairy</strong> production systems survey May-02<br />

2003 27 24 76 Farm structure analysis 1990-2001 May-03<br />

2004 31 31 92 <strong>Dairy</strong> sector profi le 1981-2001 Jun-04<br />

2005 33 41 102 Milk production fact sheet 1996-2003 May-05<br />

2006 34 60 103 <strong>Dairy</strong> sector & chain profi le 1990-2004 May-06<br />

2007 38 73 120 Milk production fact sheet 1996-2005 Jun-07<br />

2008 44 78 134 <strong>Dairy</strong> sector & chain profi le 1996-2007 Jun-08<br />

2009 46 80 147 Milk production fact sheet 1996-2008 Jun-09<br />

2010 44 86 143 <strong>Dairy</strong> sector & chain profi le 1996-2009 Jun-10<br />

2011 49 90 157 Milk production fact sheet 1996-2010 Jun-11<br />

<strong>2012</strong> 51 91 <strong>17</strong>1 <strong>Dairy</strong> sector & chain profi le 1996-2011 Jun-12<br />

* Farms analysed in Chapter 1 and 4<br />

Institutional partners<br />

of the <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Network<br />

International<br />

<strong>Dairy</strong><br />

Federation<br />

51 countries analysed in the Farm Comparison<br />

+40 countries participated in the Country Pages<br />

© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong>


North America<br />

Idaho (ID)<br />

1000, 2000<br />

California (CA)<br />

1100, 3000<br />

Institutional partners<br />

of the <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Network<br />

Mexico<br />

54S, 2000To<br />

South America<br />

Colombia<br />

6, 30, 100<br />

Africa<br />

Morocco<br />

3N, 8N<br />

Chile<br />

53<br />

100<br />

412<br />

428++<br />

1070<br />

Nigeria<br />

5<br />

50<br />

Peru<br />

7<br />

<strong>17</strong><br />

Argentina<br />

<strong>17</strong>0<br />

400<br />

600<br />

© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

Wisconsin (WI)<br />

80, 500<br />

Brazil<br />

25 SE<br />

100 SE<br />

20 S<br />

50 S<br />

Uruguay<br />

64<br />

122<br />

371<br />

Algeria<br />

Tunisia<br />

6, 18 2, 4, 5, 10, 12, 290<br />

Cameroon<br />

2<br />

11<br />

35<br />

50<br />

South Africa<br />

210<br />

470<br />

630<br />

Canada<br />

49<br />

83<br />

New York (NY)<br />

65, 500, 2029<br />

120 PR<br />

571 PR<br />

Egypt<br />

3, 4,<br />

6, 14, 150<br />

Ethiopia<br />

4, 50<br />

Uganda<br />

1<br />

3<br />

13<br />

International<br />

<strong>Dairy</strong><br />

Federation<br />

West Ludhiana<br />

4N, 18N<br />

Gujarat<br />

3 W<br />

Regional maps and the typical farms<br />

Europe and Middle East<br />

Germany<br />

30 S<br />

80 S<br />

108 S<br />

98 N<br />

98 N++<br />

120 N<br />

240 N<br />

85 E<br />

400 E<br />

650 E<br />

650 E++<br />

1150 E<br />

Ireland<br />

62<br />

1<strong>17</strong><br />

Luxembourg<br />

52<br />

1<strong>17</strong><br />

Punjab<br />

72NW<br />

Pakistan<br />

4<br />

18<br />

Karnataka<br />

3S<br />

UK<br />

150 NW<br />

245 SW Belgium<br />

Spain<br />

50 NW<br />

105 NW<br />

74 S<br />

59 CN<br />

40N<br />

90N<br />

Denmark<br />

150<br />

275<br />

NL<br />

76<br />

197<br />

France<br />

38 MC<br />

72 C<br />

50 W<br />

120 W<br />

Switzer-<br />

land<br />

18<br />

22<br />

62<br />

Norway<br />

20<br />

35<br />

Italy<br />

154<br />

229<br />

Sweden<br />

55<br />

70<br />

139<br />

230<br />

Finland<br />

24<br />

70<br />

132<br />

Poland<br />

15, 65, 110<br />

Czech Republic<br />

80, 425, 730<br />

Austria<br />

12-bio<br />

22<br />

45<br />

Serbia<br />

2<br />

10<br />

84<br />

South East Asia and Oceania<br />

India<br />

Bangladesh<br />

2, 14<br />

Tamil Nadu<br />

6SE<br />

10SE<br />

23SE<br />

China-Heilongjiang<br />

5HJ, 10HJ, 40HJ<br />

Indonesia<br />

3 NG, 10 NG,<br />

2 JA, 10 JA,<br />

Israel<br />

71<br />

365<br />

China-Beijing<br />

<strong>17</strong>BE, 340BE<br />

Belarus<br />

1, 620, 1153<br />

Australia<br />

Victoria<br />

300<br />

750<br />

Ukraine<br />

150, 425<br />

Russia<br />

1082, 1328<br />

Jordan<br />

3<br />

30<br />

75<br />

400<br />

Armenia<br />

5, 7, 35<br />

Turkey<br />

15, 50<br />

Iran<br />

2, 27, 90,<br />

120, 276, 458<br />

New Zealand<br />

355<br />

1066<br />

Legend: Legend: Numbers indicate the number of cows in the typical farms. N = North, E = East, S = South, W = West, NW = North<br />

West, SE = South East, SW = South West, CA = California, BE = Beijing, bio = Organic, C = Central, CN = Central North, ++ = Farms<br />

better managed than average, HJ = Heilongjiang, US-ID = US-Idaho, JA = Jabung, MC = Massif Central, NG = Ngatang, NY = New<br />

York, PR = Parana, To = Torreon, WI = Wisconsin<br />

7


Questions and answers about <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong><br />

What is <strong>IFCN</strong>?<br />

<strong>IFCN</strong> stands for International Farm Comparison Network. The dairy<br />

branch of the <strong>IFCN</strong> was founded in 1997.<br />

1. <strong>IFCN</strong> Vision<br />

We are the leading, global knowledge organization in milk production<br />

2. <strong>IFCN</strong> Mission<br />

We create a better understanding of milk production worldwide.<br />

3. <strong>IFCN</strong> identity, competence, values and concept<br />

The <strong>IFCN</strong> is a global network of dairy researchers related to companies<br />

and other stakeholders of the dairy chain.<br />

The <strong>IFCN</strong> has a <strong>Dairy</strong> Research Center (DRC) with approx. 10 researchers<br />

coordinating the network process and running dairy research<br />

activities.<br />

Focus on milk production<br />

In the dairy chain the major share of a) the costs, b) resources used,<br />

c) emissions created and d) the political challenges come from producing<br />

the milk itself.<br />

That’s why the <strong>IFCN</strong> focuses on milk production and related topics<br />

like milk prices, dairy farm economics, etc.<br />

Core competence<br />

The <strong>IFCN</strong> core competence is in the network of dairy people who<br />

have built trust the last 10 years to openly share and discuss dairy<br />

issues. This and the annual working process make the <strong>IFCN</strong> an ongoing<br />

knowledge creation system.<br />

Core values<br />

The <strong>IFCN</strong> is independent from third parties and is committed to<br />

truth, science and reliability of results.<br />

The <strong>IFCN</strong> and all its partners commit themselves not to get involved<br />

in any discussions or activities that may infringe any applicable competition<br />

law.<br />

Why is the <strong>IFCN</strong> useful for a dairy region?<br />

To have a prospering dairy region, a clear strategy of all stakeholders<br />

is required. The participation in <strong>IFCN</strong> provides information about the<br />

global developments of the dairy sector and the competitiveposition<br />

of a dairy region in it. Moreover, it identifi es potential points for<br />

improvement.<br />

Who benefi ts from the <strong>IFCN</strong> work?<br />

1. <strong>Dairy</strong> farmers<br />

<strong>Dairy</strong> farmers benefi t from knowing about their competitiveness in<br />

a globalized dairy world. Moreover, they get access to information<br />

about alternative production systems.<br />

2. Milk processors<br />

Information about the production costs in specifi c milk regions is a<br />

key element for the competitiveness of the milk processor.<br />

3. Farm input suppliers<br />

Information about farm economics and global dairy developments<br />

are very good tools to guide strategic discussion and decisions<br />

within the company.<br />

8<br />

The concept of three circles<br />

The <strong>IFCN</strong> network concept is based on three circles and the related<br />

win-win partnerships.<br />

The 3 circles of <strong>IFCN</strong><br />

Circle 3<br />

get public goods of<br />

<strong>IFCN</strong> – free of charge<br />

Circle 2<br />

get servises from <strong>IFCN</strong><br />

+ provide funding<br />

Circle 1<br />

Reserchers<br />

creating the <strong>IFCN</strong><br />

knowledge<br />

(the network goods)<br />

Circle 1: The participating dairy researchers and the people in the DRC<br />

create the <strong>IFCN</strong> knowledge by sharing and managing information.<br />

Circle 2: <strong>Dairy</strong> related companies and organisations get services<br />

from the <strong>IFCN</strong>. In return they fi nance the <strong>IFCN</strong> activities of the center<br />

(DRC) and in the countries.<br />

Circle 3: Part of the <strong>IFCN</strong> knowledge defi ned by the DRC can be<br />

made available as a public good for the global dairy industry<br />

4. Policy makers<br />

The link with the <strong>IFCN</strong> knowledge provides the policy makers with<br />

facts and fi gures for political discussions. Moreover, the <strong>IFCN</strong> tools<br />

permit the evaluation of alternative policy scenarios.<br />

5. Research organisations<br />

Cooperation with <strong>IFCN</strong> off ers access to methods, models and data<br />

which increases the capacity in dairy research and teaching. Technically,<br />

the <strong>IFCN</strong> provides:<br />

· Benchmarking: Analyse your dairy region in a global context.<br />

· Networking: Link yourself to the leading network of experts<br />

in your research topic.<br />

· Access to data: Send in 2 farm types and get the world in return.<br />

· Promotion: Promote your institution nationally and internationally.<br />

Partnership with the <strong>IFCN</strong> network<br />

The <strong>IFCN</strong> off ers diff erent kinds of partnership for the various stakeholders<br />

of the dairy chain. For further information please contact us<br />

(info@ifcndairy.org)<br />

© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong>


The <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Research Center<br />

Torsten<br />

Hemme<br />

Mikhail<br />

Ramanovich<br />

Othman<br />

Alqaisi<br />

Eva<br />

Schröer-Merker<br />

© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

Eva<br />

Asmussen<br />

Christoph<br />

Sommer<br />

Agribusiness partners of the <strong>IFCN</strong><br />

Milk processing<br />

Milking and barn equipment<br />

Health and hygiene<br />

Feed<br />

Genetics<br />

Other branches of the dairy chain<br />

Dorothee<br />

Boelling<br />

Nadira<br />

Sultana<br />

Franziska<br />

Goergens<br />

Mohammad<br />

Uddin<br />

Katja<br />

Horten<br />

Questions and answers about <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong><br />

Karin<br />

Wesseling<br />

Judit<br />

Kühl<br />

Lukasz<br />

Wyrzykowski<br />

Rebecca<br />

Kühl<br />

Eberhard<br />

Bönemann<br />

Massoumeh<br />

Nasrollahzadeh<br />

Elgin<br />

Giff horn<br />

Asaah<br />

Ndambi<br />

Peritus Farm DMCC<br />

9


Colombia<br />

Colombia pictures by T. Hemme.<br />

12<br />

Chapter 1 – Comparison of the typical farms 2011<br />

Authors: Asaah Ndambi, Dorothee Boelling, Mohammad Mohi Uddin, Christoph Sommer, Othman Alqaisi,<br />

Rebecca Kühl with the contribution from researchers mentioned on page 2-3 of this report<br />

1.1 Summary – Farm comparison 2011 13<br />

1.2 Regional overview on costs and returns of the dairy enterprise 14<br />

1.3 Milk supply curves 2011 16<br />

1.4 Cost of milk production in average sized farms per country 2011 18<br />

1.5 Cost of milk production in larger farms per country 2011 19<br />

1.6 Description of the dairy farms analysed 20<br />

1.7 Cost of milk production only 22<br />

1.8 Total costs and returns of the dairy enterprise 24<br />

1.9 Returns: Milk price, non-milk returns and decoupled payments 26<br />

1.10 Description of direct payments and policies 28<br />

1.11 <strong>Dairy</strong> enterprise: Profi ts and return to labour 30<br />

1.12 Asset structure and return on investment 32<br />

1.13 Overview of all typical farms analysed – costs and returns 34<br />

1.14 Farm level time series analysis 2000-2011 36<br />

© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong>


Previous and this double page: <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Conference <strong>2012</strong><br />

40<br />

Chapter 2 – Global monitoring dairy economic indicators 1996 – 2011<br />

Authors: Eva Schröer-Merker, Karin Wesseling, Massoumeh Nasrollahzadeh<br />

with the contribution from researchers mentioned on page 2-3 of this report<br />

2.1 Summary: Monitoring dairy economic indicators 41<br />

2.2 Global trends in oil, milk and feed prices 1981-<strong>2012</strong> 42<br />

2.3 Milk prices in 2011 in US-$ 44<br />

2.4 Monitoring milk prices 1996-2011 46<br />

2.5 Monthly developments and key facts 48<br />

2.6 Monitoring feed prices 1996-2011 50<br />

2.7 Monitoring milk : feed price ratio 1996-2011 52<br />

© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong>


This and previous double page: Milk production in India.<br />

Chapter 3 – <strong>Dairy</strong> sector and chain profi le<br />

Authors: Karin Wesseling, Massoumeh Nasrollahzadeh, Eva Schröer-Merker, Judit Kühl, Łukasz Wyrzykowski<br />

with the contribution from researchers mentioned on page 2-3 of this report<br />

3.1 Summary – Status and trends in the dairy sector 58<br />

3.2 Status and development of milk production 60<br />

3.3 Top 20 dairy countries in 2011 62<br />

3.4 Status of milk surplus, defi cit and self-suffi ciency 63<br />

3.5 Importance of dairy trade and milk price transmission schemes 64<br />

3.6 The dairy chain 66<br />

3.7 World milk consumption 68<br />

3.8 World population 69<br />

3.9 Method explanation of the Country Page <strong>2012</strong> 70<br />

3.10 – 3.100 Country Pages 71<br />

© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

3.xx xxxxxxxxx<br />

57


<strong>Dairy</strong> Research Center<br />

DAIRY SECTOR AND CHAIN PROFILE<br />

© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

Eva Schröer-Merker<br />

Status 2011<br />

• Self-sufficiency in milk: 127%<br />

• Milk production (cow‘s): 31.1 mill t ECM<br />

• Export: approx. 65% of production<br />

• Import: approx. 56% of local consumption<br />

Key developments 2006-2011<br />

• Milk production (cow‘s): +1.6% per year<br />

• <strong>Dairy</strong> consumption per capita: +1.7% per year<br />

• Population: -0.2% per year<br />

Milk equivalent (ME) calculation based on fat and protein only<br />

Key variables of the dairy sector<br />

Illustration of the dairy chain<br />

3.39 Germany – <strong>Dairy</strong> sector and chain profi le<br />

Milk production<br />

mill t milk (ECM)<br />

Change in monthly milk delivered<br />

% change<br />

annual change<br />

1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2009 2010 2011 '01-'06 '06-'11<br />

Milk production (cow's)<br />

Production (mill t ECM) 29.88 29.44 29.34 28.82 29.29 28.76 29.39 30.01 30.47 31.08 -0.3% 1.6%<br />

Cows (in 1,000's) 5,195 4,833 4,564 4,373 4,287 4,054 4,229 4,169 4,182 4,190 -2.0% 0.7%<br />

Milk yield (t/cow/year) 5.75 6.09 6.43 6.59 6.83 7.10 6.95 7.20 7.29 7.42 1.7% 0.9%<br />

<strong>Dairy</strong> consumption (from all dairy species)<br />

Consumption (mill t ME) 23.63 23.00 22.11 24.87 21.66 22.71 22.93 22.70 23.12 24.48 0.6% 1.5%<br />

Population (mill people) 81.84 82.00 82.08 82.31 82.38 82.26 82.01 81.77 81.60 81.44 0.0% -0.2%<br />

Consumption (kg ME/capita) 289 281 269 302 263 276 280 278 283 301 0.5% 1.7%<br />

The dairy chain<br />

Milk delivered in % 94% 94% 95% 95% 96% 96% 96% 97% 97% 97% 0.1% 0.1%<br />

Share (Processor, retailer) in EUR/100 kg ECM 30.9 27.2 22.9 28.6 26.3 28.7 33.4 29.8 28.7 28.8 2.9% 0.1%<br />

Farmers' share of consumer price 45% 50% 54% 49% 49% 46% 48% 42% 49% 51% -3.0% 1.9%<br />

Farm gate milk prices<br />

EUR / 100 kg milk (ECM)<br />

45<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

National price<br />

<strong>IFCN</strong> milk price indicator (world)<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 <strong>2012</strong><br />

monthly<br />

Consumer & farmers' prices<br />

EUR / 100 kg milk (ECM)<br />

Explanations<br />

Method: See Chapter 3.9 for details. Sources: National statistics supplemented by data from FAO, IMF, OANDA. Other dairy species: Sheep and goat.<br />

Data: <strong>2012</strong> data preliminary and partly estimated. Cooperatives‘ share on milk intake shown in the list is an <strong>IFCN</strong> estimate based on partner information.<br />

Consumer price (raw data) for: Fresh milk, 1 litre packing with 3.5% fat, 3.<strong>17</strong>% protein.<br />

Change in milk production: Change in milk production/delivery: Febuary 2008/<strong>2012</strong> adjusted to 28 days (leap years).<br />

35.0<br />

30.0<br />

25.0<br />

20.0<br />

15.0<br />

10.0<br />

5.0<br />

0.0<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

1996<br />

1996<br />

1998<br />

Milk not delivered to dairies<br />

and milk from other animals<br />

Milk delivered to dairies<br />

VAT<br />

Share (Processor, retailer)<br />

"Farmers' milk price"<br />

Consumer price<br />

1998<br />

2000<br />

2000<br />

2002<br />

2002<br />

2004<br />

2004<br />

2006<br />

2006<br />

2008<br />

2008<br />

2010<br />

2010<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

-5%<br />

-10%<br />

-15%<br />

% change to previous year<br />

Average annual % change<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 <strong>2012</strong><br />

monthly<br />

Milk processors list 2010<br />

Milk intake in 1,000 tons (natural content)<br />

DMK 6800<br />

Hochwald 2013<br />

Müller 2000<br />

Milch-Union Hocheifel eG 1238<br />

Molkerei Ammerland eG 1077<br />

Uelzena eG 1007<br />

Omira Oberland Milchverwertung GmbH 952<br />

Zott GmbH und Co. KG 852<br />

Rücker GmbH 800<br />

Bayerische Milchindustrie eG 782<br />

Cooperatives: 62% of milk intake shown<br />

Share on national milk delivery<br />

Rest 39%<br />

Processor 1<br />

Processor<br />

2-10<br />

103


Mexico – pictures by Torsten Hemme<br />

Chapter 4 – Special studies<br />

4.1 Normative analysis on future alternative feeding system in Jordan <strong>17</strong>4<br />

4.2 Greenhouse gas emissions of milk production worldwide: Assessment and analysis <strong>17</strong>6<br />

4.3 Method development: Milk quality adjustment <strong>17</strong>8<br />

4.4 Method development: Interest rate 180<br />

4.5 Farm supply reaction 182<br />

4.6 Opportunity costs of land use 184<br />

4.7 Method development in global dairy processor analysis 186<br />

4.8 World market price for milk – Development of a new <strong>IFCN</strong> world milk price indicator 188<br />

© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

<strong>17</strong>3


This double page: <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> team and its activities in <strong>2012</strong><br />

Annex<br />

A.1 13 th <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Conference <strong>2012</strong> – June 4 – to 6 – <strong>2012</strong> in Kiel, Germany 192<br />

A.2 9 th <strong>IFCN</strong> Supporter Conference – September 26 th to 28 th 2011<br />

in Monastier Treviso, Italy 193<br />

A.3 Typical farm approach and data quality assessment 194<br />

A.4 Description of the typical dairy farms analysed 196<br />

A.5 Details on Country Page analysis: calculations and<br />

defi nition of parameters on the example of India 202<br />

A.6 Specifi cations of world regions 203<br />

A.7 Assumptions for the calculations 204<br />

A.8 <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> publications 205<br />

A.9 Exchange rates 1996 – 2011 206<br />

A.10 Abbreviations 207<br />

A.11 Who is who 208<br />

© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

191


Partners of the <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Network<br />

<strong>Dairy</strong> researchers representing 90 countries<br />

Institutional partners<br />

Agribusiness partners<br />

Milk processing<br />

Milking and barn equipment<br />

Health and hygiene<br />

Feed<br />

Genetics<br />

Other branches of the dairy chain<br />

ISSN 1610-434X<br />

International<br />

<strong>Dairy</strong><br />

Federation<br />

Peritus Farm DMCC

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