IFCN Dairy Report 2012 (Extract - 17 pages)
IFCN Dairy Report 2012 (Extract - 17 pages)
IFCN Dairy Report 2012 (Extract - 17 pages)
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<strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />
For a better<br />
understanding of<br />
milk production<br />
world-wide<br />
<strong>IFCN</strong><br />
International Farm<br />
Comparison Network<br />
<strong>Extract</strong>
© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />
Dear friends,<br />
It is a pleasure for us to summarise<br />
the highlights of our research and<br />
network activities in <strong>2012</strong>.<br />
The <strong>IFCN</strong> Mission<br />
When looking at the dairy chain as a whole, the majority of costs,<br />
resources used, emissions generated and political challenges fall<br />
in the milk production segment. That is why the <strong>IFCN</strong> work is driven<br />
by our mission:<br />
We create a better understanding of<br />
milk production worldwide<br />
Status of the network in <strong>2012</strong><br />
A milk production profi le was created for 91 countries, representing<br />
about 97.5% of the world’s milk production. In the farm<br />
comparison <strong>17</strong>1 typical farms from 61 dairy regions (51 countries)<br />
were analysed. We are very happy to welcome the countries / regions<br />
Colombia, Costa Rica and Ethiopia, Mongolia, Turkey, and US-<br />
California in the <strong>IFCN</strong> work. Signifi cant progress has been made in<br />
Australia, India, Iran, Mexico, and USA.<br />
Highlights <strong>2012</strong><br />
<strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Conference <strong>2012</strong>: With 47 countries participating we<br />
have made signifi cant progress in representing world milk production.<br />
2011 – A dairy year of new records<br />
In 2011 milk production grew by 22 million t which was the highest<br />
growth ever observed. Relatively high milk and beef prices have<br />
led to good farm economic results in most dairy countries.<br />
<strong>IFCN</strong> method work has focused on<br />
• ECM milk standardising formula<br />
• Milk quality diff erences of farms<br />
• Analysis of milk collection costs<br />
• Variation of interest rates between countries<br />
• The <strong>IFCN</strong> world milk price indicator<br />
Concentration of milk processing: The analysis of the top 10 milk<br />
processors permits an overview on the concentration of milk processing<br />
per country and also a benchmarking between countries<br />
Feeding systems: With rising feed prices it has become more and<br />
more important to understand and improve feeding systems. In<br />
<strong>2012</strong> <strong>IFCN</strong> has made a signifi cant step forward in this fi eld.<br />
The <strong>IFCN</strong> Supporter Conference <strong>2012</strong>: This conference was held<br />
in Cork, Ireland, <strong>17</strong>th to 19th September with the Irish <strong>Dairy</strong> Industries<br />
Association acting as host.<br />
Institutional partners<br />
of the <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Network<br />
International<br />
<strong>Dairy</strong><br />
Federation<br />
Introduction<br />
<strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />
Chapter 1: Cost comparison: This chapter summarises results<br />
on costs, returns, profi tability and productivity of dairy farms<br />
worldwide.<br />
Chapter 2: Global monitoring: This chapter gives a broad<br />
monitoring on specifi c dairy issues such as milk prices, feed<br />
prices and milk : feed price ratio.<br />
Chapter 3: Milk production fact sheets: This profi le, prepared<br />
for 91 countries, gives a comparable overview related to:<br />
• Milk supply and demand developments<br />
• Monthly milk prices and production data<br />
• Consumer prices and margins in the chain<br />
• A list of 10 major processors.<br />
Moreover, the key results are summarised at the beginning of<br />
the chapter via world maps.<br />
Chapter 4: Special studies: This chapter summarises special<br />
studies on method issues and other important studies performed.<br />
A word of thanks<br />
We would like to extend our heartiest thanks to all our scientifi<br />
c partners, agribusiness partners, our institutional partners<br />
and also to the people working in the <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Research<br />
Center. It was a pleasure to serve the network in <strong>2012</strong> and we<br />
are looking forward to our activities in 2013.<br />
Although growth and profi tability were mainly good in 2011<br />
we already now know that great changes during <strong>2012</strong> have<br />
infl uenced our business and make our continued work important<br />
to monitor and understand our dynamic environment.<br />
Torsten Hemme Anders Fagerberg<br />
Managing Director Chairman of the <strong>IFCN</strong> Board<br />
1
Participating dairy economists / co-editors of the <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong><br />
Djellali Abderrazak<br />
Horizons Agro-alimentaires Boufarik,<br />
Algeria<br />
2<br />
<strong>Dairy</strong> Expert<br />
Hugo Quattrochi |<br />
Unión Productores de Leche Cuenca<br />
Mar y Sierras, Argentina<br />
Vardan Urutyan, Arpine Arakelyan |<br />
International Center for Agribusiness<br />
Research and Education (ICARE),<br />
Yerevan, Armenia<br />
Jon Hauser | Xcheque Pty Ltd, Glen<br />
Alvie, Victoria, Australia<br />
Leopold Kirner | Federal Institute<br />
of Agricultural Economics, Vienna,<br />
Austria<br />
Mohammad Uddin | <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong><br />
Research Center, Kiel, Germany,<br />
Bangladesh<br />
Институт системны х исследованийв АПК<br />
Национальной академии наук Беларуси<br />
Anatoli Takun, Sviatlana Takun |<br />
Institute of System Research in<br />
Agro-industrial Complex, Minsk,<br />
Belarus<br />
Erwin Wauters | Institute for<br />
Agricultural and Fisheries Research,<br />
Merelbeke, Belgium<br />
Henrique C. Junquieira | Cooperativa<br />
Agropecuária Castrolanda, Castro,<br />
Paraná, Brazil<br />
Lorildo A. Stock | Embrapa Gado de<br />
Leite (Embrapa <strong>Dairy</strong> Cattle), Juiz de<br />
Fora, Minas Gerais, Brazil<br />
Henri Bayemi, Asaah Ndambi |<br />
Institute of Agricultural Research<br />
for Development (IRAD) Bambui,<br />
Cameroon; <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Research<br />
Center, Kiel, Germany<br />
Steve Couture | <strong>Dairy</strong> Farmers<br />
of Canada, Ottawa, Canada<br />
Mario E. Olivares |<br />
Cooprinsem, Osorno, Chile<br />
Sam Shi | <strong>Dairy</strong> Consultant, Beijing,<br />
China<br />
Enrique Ortega | DMV U.N., CNLM,<br />
Colombia<br />
Iveta Bošková | ÚZEI – Research<br />
Institute of Agricultural Economics<br />
and Information, Prague,<br />
Czech Republic<br />
Susanne Clausen | Knowledge Center<br />
for Agriculture, Aarhus, Denmark<br />
Adel Khattab | Tanta University,<br />
Faculty of Agriculture, Animal<br />
production department, Tanta, Egypt<br />
Zelalem Yilma | Heifer International,<br />
Addis Ababa, Ethiopia<br />
Sami Ovaska, Jukka Tauriainen;<br />
Timo Sipiläinen; Matti Ryhänen<br />
| MTT Economic Research, Helsinki;<br />
University of Helsinki, Helsinki;<br />
Seinäjoki University of Applied<br />
Sciences, Seinäjoki, Finland<br />
Jean-Luc Reuillon | Institut de<br />
l’Èlevage, Département Actions<br />
Régionales, Aubière, France<br />
Dorothee Boelling | <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong><br />
Research Center, Kiel, Germany<br />
Annett Rindfl eisch, Ingo Heber |<br />
Sächsisches Landesamt für Umwelt,<br />
Landwirtschaft und Geologie, Dresden,<br />
Germany<br />
TN Datta, AK Saha, GG Shah |<br />
National <strong>Dairy</strong> Development Board,<br />
Anand, India<br />
Devi Prasad Rao | Arohana <strong>Dairy</strong><br />
Private Limited, Vallam, Tamil Nadu,<br />
India<br />
Bambang Ali Nugroho | Faculty<br />
of Animal Husbandry, University of<br />
Brawijaya (UB), Malang, East Java,<br />
Indonesia<br />
Farhad Mirzaei | Animal Science<br />
Research Institute of Iran, Karaj, Iran<br />
Massoumeh Nasrollahzadeh | <strong>IFCN</strong><br />
<strong>Dairy</strong> Research Center, Kiel, Germany,<br />
Iran<br />
Fiona Thorne | Rural Economy<br />
Research Centre, Teagasc, Dublin,<br />
Ireland<br />
Liron Tamir | Israel <strong>Dairy</strong> Board,<br />
Rishon-Le´Zion, Israel<br />
Alberto Menghi | CRPA – Centro<br />
Ricerche Produzioni Animali, Reggio<br />
Emilia, Italy<br />
<strong>Dairy</strong> Research Center<br />
Othman Alqaisi | <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Research<br />
Center, Kiel, Germany, Jordan<br />
Simone Adam | Ministère de<br />
l’Agriculture, Service d’Economie<br />
Rurale, Luxembourg<br />
Enrique Vazquez | Universidad<br />
Veracruzana, Mexico<br />
Rigoberto Becerra Pinedo | Establo<br />
Gibraltar, Durango, Mexico<br />
Btissam Kessab | Centrale Laitière,<br />
Casablanca, Morocco<br />
Nicola Shadbolt | College of Sciences,<br />
Massey University, Palmerston North,<br />
New Zealand<br />
Isah Annatte | Livestock and Fisheries<br />
Program, NAERLS/ABU, PMB 1067, Zaria,<br />
Nigeria<br />
Ola Flaten, Bjørn Gunnar Hansen |<br />
NILF – Norwegian Agricultural<br />
Economics Research Institute; TINE,<br />
Norwegian Dairies, Oslo, Norway<br />
Haroon Lodhi | Waseem Shaukat,<br />
Solve Agri Pak (Private) Limited, Lahore,<br />
Pakistan<br />
© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong>
Carlos A. Gomez | Universidad<br />
Nacional Agraria La Molina, Lima, Peru<br />
Michał Switłyk, Ewa Kołoszycz |<br />
West Pomeranian University of<br />
Technology in Szczecin, Department<br />
of Management, Szczecin, Poland<br />
Evgeny Kuplyauskas | Russian <strong>Dairy</strong><br />
Union, Moscow, Russian Federation<br />
Rade Popovic | University of Novi Sad,<br />
Faculty of Economics, Subotica, Serbia<br />
Koos Coetzee | Milk Producers‘<br />
Organisation, Pretoria, South Africa<br />
Ernesto Reyes | TRAGSATEC – Ministerio<br />
del Medio Ambiente, Medio Rural y<br />
Marino, Spain<br />
Agneta Hjellström | Swedish <strong>Dairy</strong><br />
Association, Stockholm, Sweden<br />
Christian Gazzarin | Agroscope<br />
Reckenholz-Tänikon Research Station<br />
(ART), Agricultural Economics, Tänikon,<br />
Switzerland<br />
Michel de Haan | Animal Sciences<br />
Group, Wageningen-UR, Lelystad,<br />
The Netherlands<br />
Dhiaeddine M‘Hamed | Centrale<br />
Laitière du Cap-Bon Délice, Saliman,<br />
Tunisia<br />
© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />
Participating dairy economists / co-editors of the <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong><br />
Muhittin Özder |Turkish Milk Council,<br />
Ankara, Turkey<br />
Olga Kozak | National Scientifi c Centre<br />
“Institute of Agrarian Economics”, Kyiv,<br />
Ukraine<br />
Karolina Klaskova | Agriculture &<br />
Horticulture Development Board,<br />
Market Intelligence, Kenilworth,<br />
Warwickshire, United Kingdom<br />
Chad Harris | Glanbia, Idaho, USA<br />
Ed Jesse | Babcock Institute,<br />
University of Wisconsin, USA<br />
William Schiek | Mike Francesconi,<br />
Annie AcMoody | <strong>Dairy</strong> Institute of<br />
California; California Department of<br />
Agriculture; Western United <strong>Dairy</strong>men;<br />
California, USA<br />
Bill Zweigbaum, Christopher Noble |<br />
Farm Credit East, Greenwich, NY,<br />
USA; Linwood Management Group,<br />
Linwood, NY, USA<br />
Gabriel Bagnato | Instituto Nacional<br />
de la Leche, Montevideo, Uruguay<br />
Researchers participating only in the<br />
country profi le analysis<br />
Ilir Kapaj | Hohenheim University,<br />
Stuttgart, Germany, Albania<br />
Andrew Weinert | Department of<br />
Agriculture, Perth, Australia<br />
Felix Menzel | <strong>Dairy</strong> Farmer, Mezza<br />
Sucre, Bolivia<br />
Zlatan Vassilev | <strong>Dairy</strong> Expert, Bulgaria<br />
Douming, Wennie Liu | Beijing Orient<br />
<strong>Dairy</strong> Consultants Ltd, China<br />
René A. Pérez R., Luisa Fernanda<br />
Quiceno | DMV U.N., CNLM, Colombia<br />
Francisco Jose Arias Cordero |<br />
Dos Pinos, Costa Rica<br />
Jasmina Havranek | Faculty of Agriculture,<br />
University of Zagreb, Croatia<br />
Rafael Vizcarra | Centro de la Industria<br />
Láctea, Quito, Ecuador<br />
Katri Kall | Estonian University of Life<br />
Sciences, Estonia<br />
Eva Schröer-Merker | <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong><br />
Research Center, Kiel, Germany<br />
Daniel Mándi-Nagy | Research<br />
Institute for Agricultural Economics<br />
(AKI), Budapest, Hungary<br />
Baldur H. Benjamínsson | Association<br />
of Icelandic <strong>Dairy</strong> and Beef Cattle<br />
Farmers, Reykjavik, Iceland<br />
Dr. A. K. Srivastava, Smita Sirohi |<br />
National <strong>Dairy</strong> Research lnstitute,<br />
Karnal, India<br />
Istiqomah | Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas,<br />
Jenderal Soedirman Purwokerto<br />
Central, Java, Indonesia<br />
Hamid Monazami | Ganje Kavir. Co,<br />
Mashhad,, Iran<br />
Kenji Namiki | Japan <strong>Dairy</strong> Council,<br />
Tokyo, Japan<br />
Galiya Akimbekova | Scientifi c<br />
Research Institute of Agricultural<br />
Economics, Almaty, Kazakhstan<br />
David Waititu Kimani | TechnoServe,<br />
Nairobi, Kenya<br />
Lee Jung Min | Korea Rural Economic<br />
Institute, Seoul, Korea<br />
Almasbek Chonov | Project DGRV<br />
(Deutscher Genossenschafts- und<br />
Raiff eisen Verband) in Kyrgyzstan<br />
„Development of rural co-operatives“,<br />
Kyrgyzstan<br />
Agnese Krievina | Latvian State<br />
Institute of Agrarian Economics, Riga,<br />
Latvia<br />
Deiva Mikelionyte | Lithuanian<br />
Institute of Agrarian Economics, Vilnius,<br />
Lithuania<br />
Blagica Sekovska | Veterinary Faculty,<br />
Institute for Food, Skopje, Macedonia,<br />
The Fmr Yug Rp<br />
Zakaria Abd Rahman | <strong>Dairy</strong> Farmer,<br />
Redagri Farm Sdn Bhd, Hulu Terengganu,<br />
Malaysia<br />
Jaime Jurado Arredondo |<br />
Universidad Autonoma de Chihuahua,<br />
Chihuahua, Mexico<br />
Amgalanbaatar Odonmajig, Tsetsgee<br />
Ser-Od, Batchimeg Tumurjil |<br />
Ministry of Food, Agriculture and light<br />
Industry of Mongolia; Mongolian <strong>Dairy</strong><br />
Research Association, Ulaanbaatar,<br />
Mongolia<br />
Romy Das | Agriculture Researcher,<br />
Nepal<br />
Naomi K. Torreta | National <strong>Dairy</strong><br />
Authority, Quezon City, Philippines<br />
António Moitinho Rodrigues |<br />
School of Agriculture - Polytechic<br />
Institute of Castelo Branco, Portugal<br />
Michel Noordman | <strong>Dairy</strong> Farmer, S.C.<br />
Boes Lapte S.R.L., Romania<br />
Margita Stefanikova | Slovak Association<br />
of Milk Producers (SZPM), Nitra,<br />
Slovakia<br />
Ben Moljk | Agricultural Institute of<br />
Slovenia, Ljubljana, Slovenia<br />
Hemali Kothalawala | Department<br />
of Animal Production and Health,<br />
Peradeniya, Sri Lanka<br />
Xenia Hsiao | Forefront Enterprise Co.,<br />
Ltd., Taipei, Taiwan, ROC<br />
Adul Vangtal | Thai Holstein Friesian<br />
Association (T.H.A.), Thailand<br />
John Anglin | Paramount Dairies (2010)<br />
Ltd, Uganda<br />
David Balikowa | TechnoServe Inc.,<br />
Kampala, Uganda<br />
Evelina Budjurova | Justus-<br />
Liebig-Universität, Gießen, Germany,<br />
Uzbekistan<br />
Vu Ngoc Quynh, Tieu Duc Viet |<br />
Vietnam <strong>Dairy</strong> Association,<br />
Vietnam<br />
3
Table of contents<br />
Institutional partners<br />
of the <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Network<br />
4<br />
Preface<br />
<strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> - developments 2000-2011 6<br />
Regional maps and the typical farms 7<br />
Questions and Answers about <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> 8<br />
1 Comparison of the typical farms 2011<br />
1.1 Summary – Farm comparison 2011 13<br />
1.2 Regional overview on costs and<br />
returns of the dairy enterprise 14<br />
1.3 Milk supply curves 2011 16<br />
1.4 Cost of milk production in average sized farms 2011 18<br />
1.5 Cost of milk production in larger farms per country 2011 19<br />
1.6 Description of the dairy farms analysed 20<br />
1.7 Cost of milk production only 22<br />
1.8 Total costs and returns of the dairy enterprise 24<br />
1.9 Returns: Milk price, non-milk returns and<br />
decoupled payments 26<br />
1.10 Description of direct payments and policies 28<br />
1.11 <strong>Dairy</strong> enterprise: Profi ts and return to labour 30<br />
1.12 Asset structure and return on investment 32<br />
1.13 Overview of all typical farms analysed – costs and returns 34<br />
1.14 Farm level time series analysis 2000-2011 36<br />
2 Global monitoring dairy economic indicators 1996-2011<br />
2.1 Summary: Monitoring dairy economic indicators 41<br />
2.2 Global trends in oil, milk and feed prices 1981-<strong>2012</strong> 42<br />
2.3 Milk prices in 2011 in US-$ 44<br />
2.4 Monitoring milk prices 1996-2011 46<br />
2.5 Monthly developments and key facts 48<br />
2.6 Monitoring feed prices 1996-2011 50<br />
2.7 Monitoring milk : feed price ratio 1996-2011 52<br />
International<br />
<strong>Dairy</strong><br />
Federation<br />
3 <strong>Dairy</strong> sector and chain profi le<br />
3.1 Summary – Status and trends in the dairy sector 58<br />
3.2 Status and development of milk production 60<br />
3.3 Top 20 dairy countries in <strong>2012</strong> 62<br />
3.4 Status of milk surplus, defi cit and self-suffi ciency 63<br />
3.5 Importance of dairy trade and milk price transmission schemes 64<br />
3.6 The dairy chain 66<br />
3.7 World milk consumption 68<br />
3.8 World population 69<br />
3.9 Method explanation of the Country Page <strong>2012</strong> 70<br />
<strong>Dairy</strong> sector & chain profi les<br />
3.10 Afghanistan 71<br />
3.11 Albania 72<br />
3.12 Algeria 73<br />
3.13 Argentina 74<br />
3.14 Armenia 75<br />
3.15 Australia 76<br />
3.16 Austria 77<br />
3.<strong>17</strong> Bangladesh 78<br />
3.18 Belarus 80<br />
3.19 Belgium 81<br />
3.20 Bolivia 82<br />
3.21 Brazil 83<br />
3.22 Bulgaria 84<br />
3.23 Cameroon 85<br />
3.24 Canada 86<br />
3.25 Chile 87<br />
3.26 China 88<br />
3.27 Colombia 90<br />
3.28 Costa Rica 91<br />
3.29 Croatia 92<br />
3.30 Cyprus 93<br />
3.31 Czech Republic 94<br />
3.32 Denmark 95<br />
3.33 Ecuador 96<br />
3.34 Egypt 97<br />
3.35 Estonia 98<br />
3.36 Ethiopia 100<br />
3.37 Finland 101<br />
3.38 France 102<br />
3.39 Germany 103<br />
3.40 Greece 104<br />
3.41 Hungary 105<br />
3.42 Iceland 106<br />
3.43 India 107<br />
3.44 Indonesia 108<br />
3.45 Iran 110<br />
3.46 Ireland 111<br />
3.47 Israel 112<br />
3.48 Italy 113<br />
3.49 Jamaica 114<br />
3.50 Japan 115<br />
3.51 Jordan 116<br />
3.52 Kazakhstan 1<strong>17</strong><br />
3.53 Kenya 118<br />
3.54 Korea, Republic of 120<br />
3.55 Kyrgyzstan 121<br />
3.56 Latvia 122<br />
3.57 Lithuania 123<br />
3.58 Luxembourg 124<br />
3.59 Macedonia 125<br />
3.60 Malaysia 126<br />
3.61 Mexico 127<br />
3.62 Mongolia 128<br />
3.63 Morocco 130<br />
3.64 Nepal 131<br />
3.65 The Netherlands 132<br />
3.66 New Zealand 133<br />
3.67 Nigeria 134<br />
3.68 Norway 135<br />
3.69 Pakistan 136<br />
3.70 Panama 137<br />
3.71 Paraguay 138<br />
3.72 Peru 139<br />
3.73 Philippines 140<br />
3.74 Poland 141<br />
3.75 Portugal 142<br />
3.76 Romania 143<br />
3.77 Russian Federation 144<br />
3.78 Saudi Arabia 146<br />
3.79 Serbia 147<br />
3.80 Slovakia 148<br />
3.81 Slovenia 149<br />
3.82 South Africa 150<br />
3.83 Spain 151<br />
3.84 Sri Lanka 152<br />
3.85 Sweden 153<br />
3.86 Switzerland 154<br />
3.87 Syria 156<br />
3.88 Taiwan 157<br />
3.89 Tajikistan 158<br />
3.90 Thailand 159<br />
3.91 Tunisia 160<br />
3.92 Turkey 161<br />
3.93 Uganda 162<br />
3.94 Ukraine 163<br />
3.95 United Kingdom 164<br />
3.96 USA 165<br />
3.97 Uruguay 166<br />
3.98 Uzbekistan 167<br />
3.99 Venezuela 168<br />
3.100 Vietnam 169<br />
© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong>
4 Special studies<br />
4.1 Normative analysis on future alternative<br />
feeding system in Jordan <strong>17</strong>4<br />
4.2 Greenhouse gas emissions of milk production worldwide:<br />
Assessment and analysis <strong>17</strong>6<br />
4.3 Method development: Milk quality adjustment <strong>17</strong>8<br />
4.4 Method development: Interest rate 180<br />
4.5 Farm supply reaction 182<br />
4.6 Opportunity costs of land use 184<br />
4.7 Method development in global dairy<br />
processor analysis 186<br />
4.8 World market price for milk – Development<br />
of a new <strong>IFCN</strong> world milk price indicator 188<br />
Institutional partners<br />
of the <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Network<br />
© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />
International<br />
<strong>Dairy</strong><br />
Federation<br />
Table of contents<br />
A.1<br />
Annex<br />
13th <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Conference <strong>2012</strong> –<br />
June 4– to 6– <strong>2012</strong> in Kiel, Germany 192<br />
A.2 9th <strong>IFCN</strong> Supporter Conference –<br />
September 26th to 28th 2011 in Monastier Treviso, Italy 193<br />
A.3 Typical farm approach and data quality assessment 194<br />
A.4 Description of the typical dairy farms analysed 196<br />
A.5 Details on Country Page analysis: calculations and<br />
defi nition of parameters on the example of India 202<br />
A.6 Specifi cations of world regions 203<br />
A.7 Assumptions for the calculations 204<br />
A.8 <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> publications 205<br />
A.9 Exchange rates 1996 – 2011 206<br />
A.10 Abbreviations 207<br />
A.11 Who is who 208<br />
5
<strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> – Developments 2000 – <strong>2012</strong><br />
Which countries are participating in the <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> activities in <strong>2012</strong>?<br />
6<br />
Year Countries included in No. of farm types analysed* Topic of Country <strong>Report</strong> <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Conferences<br />
farm comparison country profi le analysis<br />
2000 8 8 21 Ex-post analysis 1996–2000 Sep-00<br />
2001 20 20 52 Country reports on milk production Jun-01<br />
2002 24 24 72 <strong>Dairy</strong> production systems survey May-02<br />
2003 27 24 76 Farm structure analysis 1990-2001 May-03<br />
2004 31 31 92 <strong>Dairy</strong> sector profi le 1981-2001 Jun-04<br />
2005 33 41 102 Milk production fact sheet 1996-2003 May-05<br />
2006 34 60 103 <strong>Dairy</strong> sector & chain profi le 1990-2004 May-06<br />
2007 38 73 120 Milk production fact sheet 1996-2005 Jun-07<br />
2008 44 78 134 <strong>Dairy</strong> sector & chain profi le 1996-2007 Jun-08<br />
2009 46 80 147 Milk production fact sheet 1996-2008 Jun-09<br />
2010 44 86 143 <strong>Dairy</strong> sector & chain profi le 1996-2009 Jun-10<br />
2011 49 90 157 Milk production fact sheet 1996-2010 Jun-11<br />
<strong>2012</strong> 51 91 <strong>17</strong>1 <strong>Dairy</strong> sector & chain profi le 1996-2011 Jun-12<br />
* Farms analysed in Chapter 1 and 4<br />
Institutional partners<br />
of the <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Network<br />
International<br />
<strong>Dairy</strong><br />
Federation<br />
51 countries analysed in the Farm Comparison<br />
+40 countries participated in the Country Pages<br />
© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong>
North America<br />
Idaho (ID)<br />
1000, 2000<br />
California (CA)<br />
1100, 3000<br />
Institutional partners<br />
of the <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Network<br />
Mexico<br />
54S, 2000To<br />
South America<br />
Colombia<br />
6, 30, 100<br />
Africa<br />
Morocco<br />
3N, 8N<br />
Chile<br />
53<br />
100<br />
412<br />
428++<br />
1070<br />
Nigeria<br />
5<br />
50<br />
Peru<br />
7<br />
<strong>17</strong><br />
Argentina<br />
<strong>17</strong>0<br />
400<br />
600<br />
© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />
Wisconsin (WI)<br />
80, 500<br />
Brazil<br />
25 SE<br />
100 SE<br />
20 S<br />
50 S<br />
Uruguay<br />
64<br />
122<br />
371<br />
Algeria<br />
Tunisia<br />
6, 18 2, 4, 5, 10, 12, 290<br />
Cameroon<br />
2<br />
11<br />
35<br />
50<br />
South Africa<br />
210<br />
470<br />
630<br />
Canada<br />
49<br />
83<br />
New York (NY)<br />
65, 500, 2029<br />
120 PR<br />
571 PR<br />
Egypt<br />
3, 4,<br />
6, 14, 150<br />
Ethiopia<br />
4, 50<br />
Uganda<br />
1<br />
3<br />
13<br />
International<br />
<strong>Dairy</strong><br />
Federation<br />
West Ludhiana<br />
4N, 18N<br />
Gujarat<br />
3 W<br />
Regional maps and the typical farms<br />
Europe and Middle East<br />
Germany<br />
30 S<br />
80 S<br />
108 S<br />
98 N<br />
98 N++<br />
120 N<br />
240 N<br />
85 E<br />
400 E<br />
650 E<br />
650 E++<br />
1150 E<br />
Ireland<br />
62<br />
1<strong>17</strong><br />
Luxembourg<br />
52<br />
1<strong>17</strong><br />
Punjab<br />
72NW<br />
Pakistan<br />
4<br />
18<br />
Karnataka<br />
3S<br />
UK<br />
150 NW<br />
245 SW Belgium<br />
Spain<br />
50 NW<br />
105 NW<br />
74 S<br />
59 CN<br />
40N<br />
90N<br />
Denmark<br />
150<br />
275<br />
NL<br />
76<br />
197<br />
France<br />
38 MC<br />
72 C<br />
50 W<br />
120 W<br />
Switzer-<br />
land<br />
18<br />
22<br />
62<br />
Norway<br />
20<br />
35<br />
Italy<br />
154<br />
229<br />
Sweden<br />
55<br />
70<br />
139<br />
230<br />
Finland<br />
24<br />
70<br />
132<br />
Poland<br />
15, 65, 110<br />
Czech Republic<br />
80, 425, 730<br />
Austria<br />
12-bio<br />
22<br />
45<br />
Serbia<br />
2<br />
10<br />
84<br />
South East Asia and Oceania<br />
India<br />
Bangladesh<br />
2, 14<br />
Tamil Nadu<br />
6SE<br />
10SE<br />
23SE<br />
China-Heilongjiang<br />
5HJ, 10HJ, 40HJ<br />
Indonesia<br />
3 NG, 10 NG,<br />
2 JA, 10 JA,<br />
Israel<br />
71<br />
365<br />
China-Beijing<br />
<strong>17</strong>BE, 340BE<br />
Belarus<br />
1, 620, 1153<br />
Australia<br />
Victoria<br />
300<br />
750<br />
Ukraine<br />
150, 425<br />
Russia<br />
1082, 1328<br />
Jordan<br />
3<br />
30<br />
75<br />
400<br />
Armenia<br />
5, 7, 35<br />
Turkey<br />
15, 50<br />
Iran<br />
2, 27, 90,<br />
120, 276, 458<br />
New Zealand<br />
355<br />
1066<br />
Legend: Legend: Numbers indicate the number of cows in the typical farms. N = North, E = East, S = South, W = West, NW = North<br />
West, SE = South East, SW = South West, CA = California, BE = Beijing, bio = Organic, C = Central, CN = Central North, ++ = Farms<br />
better managed than average, HJ = Heilongjiang, US-ID = US-Idaho, JA = Jabung, MC = Massif Central, NG = Ngatang, NY = New<br />
York, PR = Parana, To = Torreon, WI = Wisconsin<br />
7
Questions and answers about <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong><br />
What is <strong>IFCN</strong>?<br />
<strong>IFCN</strong> stands for International Farm Comparison Network. The dairy<br />
branch of the <strong>IFCN</strong> was founded in 1997.<br />
1. <strong>IFCN</strong> Vision<br />
We are the leading, global knowledge organization in milk production<br />
2. <strong>IFCN</strong> Mission<br />
We create a better understanding of milk production worldwide.<br />
3. <strong>IFCN</strong> identity, competence, values and concept<br />
The <strong>IFCN</strong> is a global network of dairy researchers related to companies<br />
and other stakeholders of the dairy chain.<br />
The <strong>IFCN</strong> has a <strong>Dairy</strong> Research Center (DRC) with approx. 10 researchers<br />
coordinating the network process and running dairy research<br />
activities.<br />
Focus on milk production<br />
In the dairy chain the major share of a) the costs, b) resources used,<br />
c) emissions created and d) the political challenges come from producing<br />
the milk itself.<br />
That’s why the <strong>IFCN</strong> focuses on milk production and related topics<br />
like milk prices, dairy farm economics, etc.<br />
Core competence<br />
The <strong>IFCN</strong> core competence is in the network of dairy people who<br />
have built trust the last 10 years to openly share and discuss dairy<br />
issues. This and the annual working process make the <strong>IFCN</strong> an ongoing<br />
knowledge creation system.<br />
Core values<br />
The <strong>IFCN</strong> is independent from third parties and is committed to<br />
truth, science and reliability of results.<br />
The <strong>IFCN</strong> and all its partners commit themselves not to get involved<br />
in any discussions or activities that may infringe any applicable competition<br />
law.<br />
Why is the <strong>IFCN</strong> useful for a dairy region?<br />
To have a prospering dairy region, a clear strategy of all stakeholders<br />
is required. The participation in <strong>IFCN</strong> provides information about the<br />
global developments of the dairy sector and the competitiveposition<br />
of a dairy region in it. Moreover, it identifi es potential points for<br />
improvement.<br />
Who benefi ts from the <strong>IFCN</strong> work?<br />
1. <strong>Dairy</strong> farmers<br />
<strong>Dairy</strong> farmers benefi t from knowing about their competitiveness in<br />
a globalized dairy world. Moreover, they get access to information<br />
about alternative production systems.<br />
2. Milk processors<br />
Information about the production costs in specifi c milk regions is a<br />
key element for the competitiveness of the milk processor.<br />
3. Farm input suppliers<br />
Information about farm economics and global dairy developments<br />
are very good tools to guide strategic discussion and decisions<br />
within the company.<br />
8<br />
The concept of three circles<br />
The <strong>IFCN</strong> network concept is based on three circles and the related<br />
win-win partnerships.<br />
The 3 circles of <strong>IFCN</strong><br />
Circle 3<br />
get public goods of<br />
<strong>IFCN</strong> – free of charge<br />
Circle 2<br />
get servises from <strong>IFCN</strong><br />
+ provide funding<br />
Circle 1<br />
Reserchers<br />
creating the <strong>IFCN</strong><br />
knowledge<br />
(the network goods)<br />
Circle 1: The participating dairy researchers and the people in the DRC<br />
create the <strong>IFCN</strong> knowledge by sharing and managing information.<br />
Circle 2: <strong>Dairy</strong> related companies and organisations get services<br />
from the <strong>IFCN</strong>. In return they fi nance the <strong>IFCN</strong> activities of the center<br />
(DRC) and in the countries.<br />
Circle 3: Part of the <strong>IFCN</strong> knowledge defi ned by the DRC can be<br />
made available as a public good for the global dairy industry<br />
4. Policy makers<br />
The link with the <strong>IFCN</strong> knowledge provides the policy makers with<br />
facts and fi gures for political discussions. Moreover, the <strong>IFCN</strong> tools<br />
permit the evaluation of alternative policy scenarios.<br />
5. Research organisations<br />
Cooperation with <strong>IFCN</strong> off ers access to methods, models and data<br />
which increases the capacity in dairy research and teaching. Technically,<br />
the <strong>IFCN</strong> provides:<br />
· Benchmarking: Analyse your dairy region in a global context.<br />
· Networking: Link yourself to the leading network of experts<br />
in your research topic.<br />
· Access to data: Send in 2 farm types and get the world in return.<br />
· Promotion: Promote your institution nationally and internationally.<br />
Partnership with the <strong>IFCN</strong> network<br />
The <strong>IFCN</strong> off ers diff erent kinds of partnership for the various stakeholders<br />
of the dairy chain. For further information please contact us<br />
(info@ifcndairy.org)<br />
© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong>
The <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Research Center<br />
Torsten<br />
Hemme<br />
Mikhail<br />
Ramanovich<br />
Othman<br />
Alqaisi<br />
Eva<br />
Schröer-Merker<br />
© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />
Eva<br />
Asmussen<br />
Christoph<br />
Sommer<br />
Agribusiness partners of the <strong>IFCN</strong><br />
Milk processing<br />
Milking and barn equipment<br />
Health and hygiene<br />
Feed<br />
Genetics<br />
Other branches of the dairy chain<br />
Dorothee<br />
Boelling<br />
Nadira<br />
Sultana<br />
Franziska<br />
Goergens<br />
Mohammad<br />
Uddin<br />
Katja<br />
Horten<br />
Questions and answers about <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong><br />
Karin<br />
Wesseling<br />
Judit<br />
Kühl<br />
Lukasz<br />
Wyrzykowski<br />
Rebecca<br />
Kühl<br />
Eberhard<br />
Bönemann<br />
Massoumeh<br />
Nasrollahzadeh<br />
Elgin<br />
Giff horn<br />
Asaah<br />
Ndambi<br />
Peritus Farm DMCC<br />
9
Colombia<br />
Colombia pictures by T. Hemme.<br />
12<br />
Chapter 1 – Comparison of the typical farms 2011<br />
Authors: Asaah Ndambi, Dorothee Boelling, Mohammad Mohi Uddin, Christoph Sommer, Othman Alqaisi,<br />
Rebecca Kühl with the contribution from researchers mentioned on page 2-3 of this report<br />
1.1 Summary – Farm comparison 2011 13<br />
1.2 Regional overview on costs and returns of the dairy enterprise 14<br />
1.3 Milk supply curves 2011 16<br />
1.4 Cost of milk production in average sized farms per country 2011 18<br />
1.5 Cost of milk production in larger farms per country 2011 19<br />
1.6 Description of the dairy farms analysed 20<br />
1.7 Cost of milk production only 22<br />
1.8 Total costs and returns of the dairy enterprise 24<br />
1.9 Returns: Milk price, non-milk returns and decoupled payments 26<br />
1.10 Description of direct payments and policies 28<br />
1.11 <strong>Dairy</strong> enterprise: Profi ts and return to labour 30<br />
1.12 Asset structure and return on investment 32<br />
1.13 Overview of all typical farms analysed – costs and returns 34<br />
1.14 Farm level time series analysis 2000-2011 36<br />
© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong>
Previous and this double page: <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Conference <strong>2012</strong><br />
40<br />
Chapter 2 – Global monitoring dairy economic indicators 1996 – 2011<br />
Authors: Eva Schröer-Merker, Karin Wesseling, Massoumeh Nasrollahzadeh<br />
with the contribution from researchers mentioned on page 2-3 of this report<br />
2.1 Summary: Monitoring dairy economic indicators 41<br />
2.2 Global trends in oil, milk and feed prices 1981-<strong>2012</strong> 42<br />
2.3 Milk prices in 2011 in US-$ 44<br />
2.4 Monitoring milk prices 1996-2011 46<br />
2.5 Monthly developments and key facts 48<br />
2.6 Monitoring feed prices 1996-2011 50<br />
2.7 Monitoring milk : feed price ratio 1996-2011 52<br />
© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong>
This and previous double page: Milk production in India.<br />
Chapter 3 – <strong>Dairy</strong> sector and chain profi le<br />
Authors: Karin Wesseling, Massoumeh Nasrollahzadeh, Eva Schröer-Merker, Judit Kühl, Łukasz Wyrzykowski<br />
with the contribution from researchers mentioned on page 2-3 of this report<br />
3.1 Summary – Status and trends in the dairy sector 58<br />
3.2 Status and development of milk production 60<br />
3.3 Top 20 dairy countries in 2011 62<br />
3.4 Status of milk surplus, defi cit and self-suffi ciency 63<br />
3.5 Importance of dairy trade and milk price transmission schemes 64<br />
3.6 The dairy chain 66<br />
3.7 World milk consumption 68<br />
3.8 World population 69<br />
3.9 Method explanation of the Country Page <strong>2012</strong> 70<br />
3.10 – 3.100 Country Pages 71<br />
© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />
3.xx xxxxxxxxx<br />
57
<strong>Dairy</strong> Research Center<br />
DAIRY SECTOR AND CHAIN PROFILE<br />
© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />
Eva Schröer-Merker<br />
Status 2011<br />
• Self-sufficiency in milk: 127%<br />
• Milk production (cow‘s): 31.1 mill t ECM<br />
• Export: approx. 65% of production<br />
• Import: approx. 56% of local consumption<br />
Key developments 2006-2011<br />
• Milk production (cow‘s): +1.6% per year<br />
• <strong>Dairy</strong> consumption per capita: +1.7% per year<br />
• Population: -0.2% per year<br />
Milk equivalent (ME) calculation based on fat and protein only<br />
Key variables of the dairy sector<br />
Illustration of the dairy chain<br />
3.39 Germany – <strong>Dairy</strong> sector and chain profi le<br />
Milk production<br />
mill t milk (ECM)<br />
Change in monthly milk delivered<br />
% change<br />
annual change<br />
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2009 2010 2011 '01-'06 '06-'11<br />
Milk production (cow's)<br />
Production (mill t ECM) 29.88 29.44 29.34 28.82 29.29 28.76 29.39 30.01 30.47 31.08 -0.3% 1.6%<br />
Cows (in 1,000's) 5,195 4,833 4,564 4,373 4,287 4,054 4,229 4,169 4,182 4,190 -2.0% 0.7%<br />
Milk yield (t/cow/year) 5.75 6.09 6.43 6.59 6.83 7.10 6.95 7.20 7.29 7.42 1.7% 0.9%<br />
<strong>Dairy</strong> consumption (from all dairy species)<br />
Consumption (mill t ME) 23.63 23.00 22.11 24.87 21.66 22.71 22.93 22.70 23.12 24.48 0.6% 1.5%<br />
Population (mill people) 81.84 82.00 82.08 82.31 82.38 82.26 82.01 81.77 81.60 81.44 0.0% -0.2%<br />
Consumption (kg ME/capita) 289 281 269 302 263 276 280 278 283 301 0.5% 1.7%<br />
The dairy chain<br />
Milk delivered in % 94% 94% 95% 95% 96% 96% 96% 97% 97% 97% 0.1% 0.1%<br />
Share (Processor, retailer) in EUR/100 kg ECM 30.9 27.2 22.9 28.6 26.3 28.7 33.4 29.8 28.7 28.8 2.9% 0.1%<br />
Farmers' share of consumer price 45% 50% 54% 49% 49% 46% 48% 42% 49% 51% -3.0% 1.9%<br />
Farm gate milk prices<br />
EUR / 100 kg milk (ECM)<br />
45<br />
40<br />
35<br />
30<br />
25<br />
20<br />
15<br />
10<br />
5<br />
0<br />
National price<br />
<strong>IFCN</strong> milk price indicator (world)<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 <strong>2012</strong><br />
monthly<br />
Consumer & farmers' prices<br />
EUR / 100 kg milk (ECM)<br />
Explanations<br />
Method: See Chapter 3.9 for details. Sources: National statistics supplemented by data from FAO, IMF, OANDA. Other dairy species: Sheep and goat.<br />
Data: <strong>2012</strong> data preliminary and partly estimated. Cooperatives‘ share on milk intake shown in the list is an <strong>IFCN</strong> estimate based on partner information.<br />
Consumer price (raw data) for: Fresh milk, 1 litre packing with 3.5% fat, 3.<strong>17</strong>% protein.<br />
Change in milk production: Change in milk production/delivery: Febuary 2008/<strong>2012</strong> adjusted to 28 days (leap years).<br />
35.0<br />
30.0<br />
25.0<br />
20.0<br />
15.0<br />
10.0<br />
5.0<br />
0.0<br />
80<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
1996<br />
1996<br />
1998<br />
Milk not delivered to dairies<br />
and milk from other animals<br />
Milk delivered to dairies<br />
VAT<br />
Share (Processor, retailer)<br />
"Farmers' milk price"<br />
Consumer price<br />
1998<br />
2000<br />
2000<br />
2002<br />
2002<br />
2004<br />
2004<br />
2006<br />
2006<br />
2008<br />
2008<br />
2010<br />
2010<br />
15%<br />
10%<br />
5%<br />
0%<br />
-5%<br />
-10%<br />
-15%<br />
% change to previous year<br />
Average annual % change<br />
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 <strong>2012</strong><br />
monthly<br />
Milk processors list 2010<br />
Milk intake in 1,000 tons (natural content)<br />
DMK 6800<br />
Hochwald 2013<br />
Müller 2000<br />
Milch-Union Hocheifel eG 1238<br />
Molkerei Ammerland eG 1077<br />
Uelzena eG 1007<br />
Omira Oberland Milchverwertung GmbH 952<br />
Zott GmbH und Co. KG 852<br />
Rücker GmbH 800<br />
Bayerische Milchindustrie eG 782<br />
Cooperatives: 62% of milk intake shown<br />
Share on national milk delivery<br />
Rest 39%<br />
Processor 1<br />
Processor<br />
2-10<br />
103
Mexico – pictures by Torsten Hemme<br />
Chapter 4 – Special studies<br />
4.1 Normative analysis on future alternative feeding system in Jordan <strong>17</strong>4<br />
4.2 Greenhouse gas emissions of milk production worldwide: Assessment and analysis <strong>17</strong>6<br />
4.3 Method development: Milk quality adjustment <strong>17</strong>8<br />
4.4 Method development: Interest rate 180<br />
4.5 Farm supply reaction 182<br />
4.6 Opportunity costs of land use 184<br />
4.7 Method development in global dairy processor analysis 186<br />
4.8 World market price for milk – Development of a new <strong>IFCN</strong> world milk price indicator 188<br />
© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />
<strong>17</strong>3
This double page: <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> team and its activities in <strong>2012</strong><br />
Annex<br />
A.1 13 th <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Conference <strong>2012</strong> – June 4 – to 6 – <strong>2012</strong> in Kiel, Germany 192<br />
A.2 9 th <strong>IFCN</strong> Supporter Conference – September 26 th to 28 th 2011<br />
in Monastier Treviso, Italy 193<br />
A.3 Typical farm approach and data quality assessment 194<br />
A.4 Description of the typical dairy farms analysed 196<br />
A.5 Details on Country Page analysis: calculations and<br />
defi nition of parameters on the example of India 202<br />
A.6 Specifi cations of world regions 203<br />
A.7 Assumptions for the calculations 204<br />
A.8 <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> publications 205<br />
A.9 Exchange rates 1996 – 2011 206<br />
A.10 Abbreviations 207<br />
A.11 Who is who 208<br />
© <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />
191
Partners of the <strong>IFCN</strong> <strong>Dairy</strong> Network<br />
<strong>Dairy</strong> researchers representing 90 countries<br />
Institutional partners<br />
Agribusiness partners<br />
Milk processing<br />
Milking and barn equipment<br />
Health and hygiene<br />
Feed<br />
Genetics<br />
Other branches of the dairy chain<br />
ISSN 1610-434X<br />
International<br />
<strong>Dairy</strong><br />
Federation<br />
Peritus Farm DMCC