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Risk-Based Inspection

API ICP Self Study Notes

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<strong>Risk</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> <strong>Inspection</strong><br />

Downstream Segment<br />

API RECOMMENDED PRACTICE 580<br />

SECOND EDITION, NOVEMBER 2009<br />

基 于 风 险 的 检 验 - 下 游 段<br />

2014 年 内 部 培 训<br />

中 国 固 有 领 土 : 钓 鱼 岛<br />

Facilitators:<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang/


中 国 固 有 领 土 : 钓 鱼 岛


基 于 风 险 的 检 验 - 下 游 段


查 理 / 菲 帆


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang<br />

RBI 基 于 风 险 的 检 验<br />

风 险 评 估 和 管 理 过 程 . 这 些 风 险<br />

主 要 通 过 设 备 检 查 管 理 , 专 注 于<br />

加 压 设 备 因 材 料 变 质 导 致 溶 液<br />

流 失 .


什 么 是 基 于 风 险 检 验 RBI?<br />

好 的 设 备 → 使 用 环 境 导 致 损 伤 机 理 的 启 动 → 时 间 ( 非 时 间 敏 感 - 情 况 ) 导 致<br />

损 伤 恶 化 → 失 效 模 式 → 故 障 情 景 ( 一 个 或 多 个 )<br />

前 面 三 个 能 量 化 ( 失 效 概 率 ), 后 面 两 个 个 也 能 量 化 ( 故 障 结 果 )<br />

把 失 效 概 率 与 故 障 结 果 严 峻 性 组 合 → 风 险 ( 风 险 = 故 障 结 果 x 失 效 概 率 )<br />

RBI 最 终 目 标 是 什 么 ? → 降 低 风 险 到 可 接 受 水 平<br />

如 何 降 低 风 险 ? → 缓 解 活 动<br />

检 验 不 能 直 接 影 响 失 效 概 率 与 故 障 结 果 ,<br />

如 何 在 这 里 带 来 作 用 ?<br />

检 验 能 提 供 失 效 概 率 需 要<br />

的 正 确 数 据 , 减 少 不 确 定 性 ,<br />

从 而 减 少 设 备 风 险 !


Foreword


Foreword 诸 言<br />

This recommended practice (RP) is intended to provide guidance on developing<br />

a risk-based inspection (RBI) program for fixed equipment and piping in the<br />

hydrocarbon and chemical process industries. It includes:<br />

— what is RBI, 什 么 是 .RBI.<br />

— what are the key elements of RBI, 什 么 是 RBI 关 键 要 素 .<br />

— how to implement an RBI program, 如 何 实 现 RBI.<br />

— how to sustain an RBI program. 如 何 维 持 RBI.<br />

It is based on the knowledge and experience of engineers, inspectors, risk<br />

analysts, and other personnel in the hydrocarbon and chemical industry.


API 580 旨 在 补 充 API 510, API 570, and API 653;<br />

宽 容 度 来 规 划 的 检 查 策 略 , 允 许 业 主 / 用 户 增 加 或 减 少 规 范 指 定 的 检 验 频 率 和 活 动<br />

This RP is intended to supplement API 510, API 570, and API 653. These API<br />

inspection codes and standards allow an owner/user latitude to plan an<br />

inspection strategy and increase or decrease the code designated inspection<br />

frequencies and activities based on the results of an RBI assessment. The<br />

assessment must systematically evaluate both the probability of failure (POF)<br />

and the associated consequence of failure (COF). The POF assessment<br />

should be evaluated by considering all credible damage mechanisms. Refer to<br />

the appropriate code for other RBI assessment requirements. This RP is<br />

intended to serve as a guide for users in properly performing such an RBI<br />

assessment.


Contents<br />

1 Purpose<br />

1.1 General<br />

1.2 RBI Benefits and Limitations<br />

1.3 Using RBI as a Continuous Improvement Tool<br />

1.4 RBI as an Integrated Management Tool<br />

2 Scope<br />

2.1 Industry Scope<br />

2.2 Flexibility in Application<br />

2.3 Mechanical Integrity Focused<br />

2.4 Equipment Covered<br />

2.5 Equipment Not Covered<br />

2.6 Target Audience<br />

3 Normative References<br />

4 Terms, Definitions, Acronyms, and Abbreviations<br />

4.1 Terms and Definitions<br />

4.2 Acronyms and Abbreviations


5 Basic <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment Concepts<br />

5.1 What is <strong>Risk</strong>?<br />

5.2 <strong>Risk</strong> Management and <strong>Risk</strong> Reduction<br />

5.3 The Evolution of <strong>Inspection</strong> Intervals/Due Dates<br />

5.4 Overview of <strong>Risk</strong> Analysis<br />

5.5 <strong>Inspection</strong> Optimization<br />

5.6 Relative <strong>Risk</strong> vs Absolute <strong>Risk</strong><br />

6 Introduction to <strong>Risk</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> <strong>Inspection</strong><br />

6.1 Key Elements of an RBI Program<br />

6.2 Consequence and Probability for RBI<br />

6.3 Types of RBI Assessment<br />

6.4 Precision vs Accuracy<br />

6.5 Understanding How RBI Can Help to Manage Operating <strong>Risk</strong>s<br />

6.6 Management of <strong>Risk</strong>s<br />

6.7 Relationship Between RBI and Other <strong>Risk</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> and Safety Initiatives<br />

6.8 Relationship with Jurisdictional Requirements


7 Planning the RBI Assessment<br />

7.1 Getting Started<br />

7.2 Establishing Objectives and Goals of an RBI Assessment<br />

7.3 Initial Screening<br />

7.4 Establish Operating Boundaries<br />

7.5 Selecting a Type of RBI Assessment<br />

7.6 Estimating Resources and Time Required<br />

8 Data and Information Collection for RBI Assessment<br />

8.1 General<br />

8.2 RBI Data Needs<br />

8.3 Data Quality<br />

8.4 Codes and Standards—National and International<br />

8.5 Sources of Site Specific Data and Information<br />

9 Damage Mechanisms and Failure Modes<br />

9.1 Introduction<br />

9.2 Damage Mechanisms<br />

9.3 Failure Modes<br />

9.4 Accumulated Damage<br />

9.5 Tabulating Results


10 Assessing Probability of Failure<br />

10.1 Introduction to Probability Analysis<br />

10.2 Units of Measure in the POF Analysis<br />

10.3 Types of Probability Analysis<br />

10.4 Determination of POF<br />

11 Assessing Consequences of Failure<br />

11.1 Introduction to Consequence Analysis<br />

11.2 Types of Consequence Analysis<br />

11.3 Units of Measure in Consequence Analysis<br />

11.4 Volume of Fluid Released<br />

11.5 Consequence Effect Categories<br />

11.6 Determination of Consequence of Failure


12 <strong>Risk</strong> Determination, Assessment, and Management<br />

12.1 Purpose<br />

12.2 Determination of <strong>Risk</strong><br />

12.3 <strong>Risk</strong> Management Decisions and Acceptable Levels of <strong>Risk</strong><br />

12.4 Sensitivity Analysis<br />

12.5 Assumptions<br />

12.6 <strong>Risk</strong> Presentation<br />

12.7 Establishing Acceptable <strong>Risk</strong> Thresholds<br />

12.8 <strong>Risk</strong> Management


13 <strong>Risk</strong> Management with <strong>Inspection</strong> Activities<br />

13.1 Managing <strong>Risk</strong> by Reducing Uncertainty Through <strong>Inspection</strong><br />

13.2 Identifying <strong>Risk</strong> Management Opportunities from RBI Results<br />

13.3 Establishing an <strong>Inspection</strong> Strategy <strong>Based</strong> on <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment<br />

13.4 Managing <strong>Risk</strong> with <strong>Inspection</strong> Activities<br />

13.5 Managing <strong>Inspection</strong> Costs with RBI<br />

13.6 Assessing <strong>Inspection</strong> Results and Determining Corrective Action<br />

13.7 Achieving Lowest Life Cycle Costs with RBI


14 Other <strong>Risk</strong> Mitigation Activities<br />

14.1 General<br />

14.2 Equipment Replacement and Repair<br />

14.3 Evaluating Flaws for Fitness-For-Service<br />

14.4 Equipment Modification, Redesign, and Rerating<br />

14.5 Emergency Isolation<br />

14.6 Emergency Depressurizing/Deinventorying<br />

14.7 Modify Process<br />

14.8 Establish Integrity Operating Windows<br />

14.9 Reduce Inventory<br />

14.10 Water Spray/Deluge<br />

14.11 Water Curtain<br />

14.12 Blast-resistant Construction<br />

14.13 Others


15 Reassessment and Updating RBI Assessments<br />

15.1 RBI Reassessments<br />

15.2 Why Conduct an RBI Reassessment?<br />

15.3 When to Conduct an RBI Reassessment<br />

16 Roles, Responsibilities, Training, and Qualifications<br />

16.1 Team Approach<br />

16.2 Team Members, Roles, and Responsibilities<br />

16.3 Training and Qualifications for RBI Application<br />

17 RBI Documentation and Recordkeeping<br />

17.1 General<br />

17.2 RBI Methodology<br />

17.3 RBI Personnel<br />

17.4 Time Frame<br />

17.5 Basis for the Assignment of <strong>Risk</strong><br />

17.6 Assumptions Made to Assess <strong>Risk</strong><br />

17.7 <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment Results<br />

17.8 Mitigation and Follow-up<br />

17.9 Applicable Codes, Standards, and Government Regulations


18 Summary of RBI Pitfalls<br />

18.1 General<br />

18.2 Planning<br />

18.3 Data and Information Collection<br />

18.4 Damage Mechanisms and Failure Modes<br />

18.5 Assessing POF<br />

18.6 Assessing Consequence of Failure<br />

18.7 <strong>Risk</strong> Determination, Assessment, and Management<br />

18.8 <strong>Risk</strong> Management with <strong>Inspection</strong> Activities<br />

18.9 Other <strong>Risk</strong> Management Activities<br />

18.10 Reassessment and Updating RBI Assessment<br />

18.11 Roles, Responsibilities, Training, and Qualifications for RBI Team<br />

Members<br />

18.12 RBI Documentation and Recordkeeping


Figures<br />

1 Management of <strong>Risk</strong> Using RBI.<br />

2 <strong>Risk</strong> Plot.<br />

3 Continuum of RBI Approaches.<br />

4 <strong>Risk</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> <strong>Inspection</strong> Planning Process.<br />

5 Determination of Consequence of Failure.<br />

6 Example of Calculating the Probability of a Specific Consequence.<br />

7 Example <strong>Risk</strong> Matrix Using Probability and Consequence Categories to<br />

Display <strong>Risk</strong> Rankings.<br />

8 <strong>Risk</strong> Plot when Using Quantitative or Numeric <strong>Risk</strong> Values.<br />

Tables<br />

1 Three Levels of POF.<br />

2 Six Levels of POF.<br />

3 Six Level Table.<br />

4 Three Level Safety, Health, and Environmental Consequence Categories.<br />

5 Six Level Safety, Health, and Environmental Consequence Categories.


Introduction<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


Introduction<br />

This recommended practice (RP) provides<br />

information on using risk analysis to<br />

develop an effective inspection plan.<br />

The output of the inspection planning<br />

process conducted according to these<br />

guidelines should be an inspection plan<br />

for each equipment item analyzed that<br />

includes:<br />

a) inspection methods that should be used,<br />

b) extent of inspection (percent of total<br />

area to be examined or specific<br />

locations),<br />

c) inspection interval or next inspection<br />

date (timing),<br />

d) other risk mitigation activities,<br />

e) the residual level of risk after inspection<br />

and other mitigation actions have been<br />

implemented.


API 580 利 用 风 险 分 析 , 以 制 定 有 效 的 检 查 计 划 .<br />

检 查 计 划 过 程 的 输 出 应 该 是 一 个 对 每 个 被<br />

分 析 设 备 的 详 细 检 验 计 划 , 其 内 容 包 括<br />

a) 检 查 方 法 ,<br />

b) 检 查 的 范 围 ( 总 面 积 的 百 分 比 或 位 置 ),<br />

c) 检 查 间 隔 或 下 一 个 检 验 日 期 ( 时 间 ),<br />

d) 其 他 风 险 缓 解 活 动 ,<br />

e) 检 查 与 其 他 已 经 实 施 减 排 措 施 后 的 风 险 残<br />

留 量


RBI is synonymous 同 义 with<br />

• risk-prioritized inspection,<br />

• risk-informed inspection and with<br />

• inspection planning using risk<br />

based methods.


1 Purpose 目 的 .


Contents<br />

1 Purpose<br />

1.1 General<br />

1.2 RBI Benefits and Limitations<br />

1.3 Using RBI as a Continuous Improvement Tool<br />

1.4 RBI as an Integrated Management Tool


1.1 General<br />

The purpose of this document is to provide users with the basic elements for<br />

developing, implementing, and maintaining a risk-based inspection (RBI)<br />

program. It provides guidance to owners, operators, and designers of<br />

pressure-containing equipment for developing and implementing an<br />

inspection program. These guidelines include means for assessing an<br />

inspection program and its plan. The approach emphasizes safe and reliable<br />

operation through risk-prioritized inspection. A spectrum of complementary<br />

risk analysis approaches (qualitative through fully quantitative) can be<br />

considered as part of the inspection planning process. RBI guideline issues<br />

covered include an introduction to the concepts and principles of RBI for risk<br />

management; and individual sections that describe the steps in applying<br />

these principles within the framework of the RBI process include:


It provides guidance to (1) owners, (2) operators, and (3) designers of<br />

pressure-containing equipment for developing and implementing an inspection<br />

program.<br />

guidance to ≠ Inspector ≠ Process Specialist≠ Corrosion & Material<br />

Specialist.


Principles within the framework of the RBI process include: 框 架 内 的 原 则<br />

a) understanding the design premise; 了 解 设 计 的 前 提<br />

b) planning the RBI assessment; 策 划 RBI 评 估<br />

c) data and information collection; 数 据 和 信 息 收 集<br />

d) identifying damage mechanisms and failure modes;<br />

确 定 损 伤 机 理 和 失 效 模 式<br />

e) assessing probability of failure (POF); 失 效 概 率 评 估<br />

f) assessing consequences of failure (COF); 失 效 后 果 评 估<br />

g) risk determination, assessment, and management; 风 险 确 定 , 评 估 和 管 理<br />

h) risk management with inspection activities and process control;<br />

通 过 , 检 验 活 动 和 过 程 控 制 的 风 险 管 理<br />

i) other risk mitigation activities; 其 他 风 险 缓 解 活 动<br />

j) reassessment and updating; 重 新 评 估 和 更 新<br />

k) roles, responsibilities, training, and qualifications;<br />

角 色 , 职 责 , 培 训 和 资 格<br />

l) documentation and recordkeeping. 文 件 和 记 录


RBI 过 程 预 期 成 果 : The expected<br />

outcome from the application of the RBI<br />

process should be the linkage of risks<br />

with appropriate inspection, process<br />

control or other risk mitigation activities<br />

to manage the risks. 评 估 得 到 风 险 与 下 述<br />

的 缓 解 方 法 来 管 理 风 险<br />

• appropriate inspection 适 当 的 检 查 ,<br />

• process control 过 程 控 制 or<br />

• other risk mitigation activities 其 他 风 险 缓 解 活 动 .


(1) appropriate inspection 适 当 的 检 查 , (2) process control<br />

过 程 控 制 or other risk mitigation activities<br />

其 他 风 险 缓 解 活 动 .


The RBI process 能 够 产 生 的 is capable of generating:<br />

1. a ranking by relative risk of all equipment evaluated;<br />

所 有 设 备 的 相 对 危 险 度 评 价 的 排 名<br />

2. a detailed description of the inspection plan to be employed for each<br />

equipment item, including: 每 个 设 备 的 详 细 检 查 计 划<br />

• inspection method(s) that should be used [e.g. visual, ultrasonic (UT),<br />

radiography, wet florescent magnetic particle]; 合 适 的 无 损 探 伤 方 法<br />

• extent of application of the inspection method(s) (e.g. percent of total area<br />

examined or specific locations); 检 验 深 度 ( 面 积 / 位 置 )<br />

• timing of inspections/examinations (inspection intervals/due dates);<br />

间 隔 / 时 间<br />

• risk management achieved through implementation of the inspection plan;<br />

通 过 实 施 检 查 计 划 的 实 现 管 理 风 险


3. a description of any other risk mitigation activities<br />

[such as repairs, replacements or safety equipment upgrades, equipment<br />

redesign or maintenance, integrity operating windows (IOWs), and controls<br />

on operating conditions];<br />

任 何 其 他 风 险 缓 解 活 动 : 如 修 理 , 更 换 , 安 全 设 备 的 更 新 , 重 新 设 计 , 维 修 设 备 , 过 程<br />

控 制 与 作 业 范 围 IOW 维 护 .<br />

4. the expected risk levels of all equipment after the inspection plan and other<br />

risk mitigation activities have been implemented;<br />

预 期 遗 留 风 险 水 平 的 认 识<br />

5. identification of risk drivers. 识 别 风 险 激 发 因 素


任 何 其 他 风 险 缓 解 活 动 : (1) 设 备 维 修 / (2)<br />

更 新 / (3) 安 全 设 备 提 升 或 更 换 , (4) 重 新 设<br />

计 , (5) 维 护 , (6) 完 整 作 业 窗 口 , (7) 作 业 过<br />

程 控 制 .


RBI 过 程 预 期 成 果<br />

(1) 所 有 设 备 的 相 对<br />

危 险 度 评 价 的 排 名


RBI 过 程 预 期 成 果<br />

(1) 所 有 设 备 的 相 对<br />

危 险 度 评 价 的 排 名


RBI 过 程 预 期 成 果<br />

(1) 所 有 设 备 的 相 对<br />

危 险 度 评 价 的 排 名


RBI 过 程 预 期 成 果 (2)<br />

每 个 设 备 的 详 细 检 查<br />

计 划<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


RBI 过 程 预 期 成 果 (2)<br />

每 个 设 备 的 详 细 检 查 计 划


RBI 过 程 预 期 成 果 (2) 每 个 设 备 的 详 细 检 查 计 划


RBI 过 程 预 期 成 果 (2)<br />

每 个 设 备 的 详 细 检 查 计 划


RBI 过 程 预 期 成 果 (2)<br />

每 个 设 备 的 详 细 检 查 计 划


RBI 过 程 预 期 成 果 (2)<br />

每 个 设 备 的 详 细 检 查 计 划


RBI 过 程 预 期 成 果 3)<br />

任 何 其 他 风 险 缓 解 活 动 .<br />

任 何 其 他 风 险 缓 解 活 动 : 如 修 理 ,<br />

更 换 , 安 全 设 备 的 更 新 , 重 新 设<br />

计 , 维 修 设 备 , 过 程 控 制 与 作 业<br />

范 围 IOW 维 护 .


RBI 过 程 预 期 成 果 3)<br />

任 何 其 他 风 险 缓 解 活 动 .


RBI 过 程 预 期 成 果 3)<br />

任 何 其 他 风 险 缓 解 活 动 .


RBI 过 程 预 期 成 果 3)<br />

任 何 其 他 风 险 缓 解 活 动 .


RBI 过 程 预 期 成 果 3)<br />

任 何 其 他 风 险 缓 解 活 动 .


RBI 过 程 预 期 成 果 3)<br />

任 何 其 他 风 险 缓 解 活 动 .


RBI 过 程 预 期 成 果 3)<br />

任 何 其 他 风 险 缓 解 活 动 .


RBI 过 程 预 期 成 果<br />

• (4) 遗 留 预 期 风 险 水 平<br />

• (5) 识 别 风 险 激 发 因 素


1.2 RBI Benefits and Limitations 优 点 和 局 限 性<br />

The primary work products of the RBI assessment and management approach<br />

are plans that address ways to manage risks on an equipment level. These<br />

equipment plans highlight risks from a (1) safety/ (2) health/ (3) environment<br />

perspective and/or from an (4) economic standpoint. RBI plans should<br />

include cost-effective actions along with a projected risk mitigation.<br />

Implementation of these plans provides one of the following: 计 划 应 包 括 成<br />

本 效 益 的 行 为 与 预 计 风 险 缓 解 并 用<br />

a) an overall reduction in risk for the facilities and equipment assessed,<br />

风 险 整 体 减 少<br />

b) an acceptance/understanding of the current risk.<br />

能 接 受 的 / 理 解 当 前 风 险


RBI plans should include (A) cost-effective actions along with a (B) projected risk<br />

mitigation.<br />

a) an overall reduction in risk for the facilities and equipment assessed,<br />

风 险 整 体 减 少<br />

b) an acceptance/understanding of the current risk.<br />

能 接 受 的 / 理 解 当 前 风 险


RBI Benefits and Limitations


RISK Factors 风 险 因 素 ?<br />

These equipment plans highlight risks from a safety/health/environment<br />

perspective and/or from an economic standpoint. 安 全 / 健 康 / 环 境 的 角 度 和 / 或 从<br />

经 济 的 角 度 来 看


a) an acceptance/understanding of the current risk.<br />

能 接 受 的 / 理 解 当 前 风 险


a) an acceptance/understanding of the current risk.<br />

能 接 受 的 / 理 解 当 前 风 险


a) an acceptance/understanding of the current risk.<br />

能 接 受 的 / 理 解 当 前 风 险


a) an acceptance/understanding of the current risk.<br />

能 接 受 的 / 理 解 当 前 风 险


The RBI plans also identify equipment that does not require inspection or some<br />

other form of mitigation because of the acceptable level of risk associated with<br />

the equipment’s current operation. In this way, inspection and maintenance<br />

activities can be focused and more cost effective. This often results in a<br />

significant reduction in the amount of inspection data that is collected. This<br />

focus on a smaller set of data should result in more accurate information. In<br />

some cases, in addition to risk reductions and process safety improvements,<br />

RBI plans may result in cost reductions.<br />

equipment that<br />

does not require<br />

inspection or<br />

some other form<br />

of mitigation<br />

inspection and<br />

maintenance<br />

activities can be<br />

focused


筛 选 出 可 接 受 风 险 水 平 的 设 备 , 这 些 设 备 可 以 不 用 检 验 或 缓 解 活 动 . 这 样 检 验 与 维<br />

护 活 动 能 可 以 集 中 在 关 键 的 设 备 . 信 息 的 收 集 可 以 相 应 的 减 少 , 集 中 在 一 个 较 小 的<br />

数 据 收 集 导 致 更 准 确 的 信 息 , 排 除 不 确 定 性 . 除 了 降 低 风 险 和 过 程 安 全 改 善 计 划 可<br />

能 会 导 致 在 降 低 成 本


RBI is based on sound, proven risk assessment and management principles.<br />

Nonetheless, RBI will not compensate for:<br />

有 效 的 RBI 基 于 健 全 , 成 熟 的 风 险 评 估 和 管 理 原 则 , 以 下 为 阻 碍 点<br />

c) inaccurate or missing information, 错 误 或 遗 漏 的 信 息<br />

d) inadequate designs or faulty equipment installation, 设 计 不 足 或 设 备 安 装 故 障<br />

e) operating outside the acceptable IOW, 超 出 可 接 受 操 作 窗 口<br />

f) not effectively executing the plans, 不 能 有 效 地 执 行 计 划<br />

g) lack of qualified personnel or teamwork, 缺 乏 合 格 的 人 员 或 团 队<br />

h) lack of sound engineering or operational judgment. 缺 乏 合 理 的 工 程 或 运 作 判 断


inaccurate or missing information, 错 误 或 遗 漏 的 信 息


inadequate designs or faulty equipment installation, 设 计 不 足 或 设 备 安 装 故 障


operating outside the acceptable IOWs, 超 出 可 接 受 操 作 窗 口


not effectively executing the plans, 不 能 有 效 地 执 行 计 划


lack of qualified<br />

personnel or<br />

teamwork, 缺 乏 合<br />

格 的 人 员 或 团 队


lack of sound engineering or operational judgment. 缺 乏 合 理 的 工 程 或 运 作 判 断


1.3 Using RBI as a Continuous Improvement Tool 作 为 持 续 改 进 工 具<br />

Utilization of RBI provides a vehicle for continuously improving the inspection of<br />

facilities and systematically reducing the risk associated with pressure boundary<br />

failures. As new data (such as inspection results and industry experiences with<br />

similar processes) becomes available or when changes occur (e.g. operating<br />

conditions), reassessment of the RBI program can be made that will provide a<br />

refreshed view of the risks. <strong>Risk</strong> management plans should then be adjusted<br />

appropriately.<br />

RBI offers the added advantage of identifying gaps or shortcomings in the<br />

effectiveness of commercially available inspection technologies and applications.<br />

In cases where technology cannot adequately and/or cost-effectively mitigate<br />

risks, other risk mitigation approaches can be implemented. RBI should serve to<br />

guide the direction of inspection technology development, and hopefully promote<br />

a faster and broader deployment of emerging inspection technologies as well as<br />

proven inspection technologies that may be available but are underutilized.


RBI should serve to guide the<br />

direction of inspection<br />

technology development, and<br />

hopefully promote a faster and<br />

broader deployment of emerging<br />

inspection technologies<br />

新 检 验 技 术 的 引 导


RBI should serve to guide the direction of inspection technology development,<br />

and hopefully promote a faster and broader deployment of emerging<br />

inspection technologies as well as proven inspection technologies that may<br />

be available but are underutilized. 新 检 验 技 术 的 方 向 引 导


proven inspection technologies that may be available but are underutilized<br />

充 分 的 发 挥 现 有 的 检 验 方 法


1.4 RBI as an Integrated Management Tool 配 合 其 他 工 具 综 合 管 理 工 具<br />

RBI is a risk assessment and management tool that addresses an area of risk<br />

management not completely addressed in other organizational risk<br />

management efforts such as process hazards analyses (PHA) 工 艺 危 害 分 析 ,<br />

IOWs 作 业 窗 口 完 整 性 or reliability centered maintenance (RCM) 可 靠 性 为 中<br />

心 的 维 修 . Integration of these risk management efforts, including RBI, is key<br />

to the success of a risk management program. RBI produces inspection and<br />

maintenance plans for equipment that identify the actions that should be taken<br />

to provide reliable and safe operation.<br />

The RBI effort can provide input into an organization’s annual planning and<br />

budgeting that define the staffing and funds required to maintain equipment<br />

operation at acceptable levels of performance and risk. RBI needs to be<br />

integrated with a management system for defining and maintaining IOWs as<br />

well as a robust management of change (MOC) 健 全 的 变 革 管 理 process as a<br />

basis for managing and controlling damage mechanisms in fixed equipment.


综 合 管 理 工 具<br />

配 合 其 他 工 具 综 合 管 理 工 具 例 如 ;<br />

• process hazards analyses (PHA) 工 艺 危 害 分 析 ,<br />

• Integrity operating window (IOW) 作 业 窗 口 完 整 性 ,<br />

• reliability centered maintenance (RCM) 可 靠 性 为 中 心 的 维 修 .<br />

在 健 全 的 management of change (MOC) 变 革 作 为 在 固 定 的 设 备 管 理 和 控 制 损<br />

害 的 机 制 奠 定 了 基 础 。


2 Scope 范 围


Contents<br />

2 Scope<br />

2.1 Industry Scope<br />

2.2 Flexibility in Application<br />

2.3 Mechanical Integrity Focused<br />

2.4 Equipment Covered<br />

2.5 Equipment Not Covered<br />

2.6 Target Audience


2.1 Industry Scope<br />

Although the risk management principles and concepts that RBI is built on are<br />

universally applicable, this RP is specifically targeted at the application of RBI<br />

in the hydrocarbon and chemical process industry.<br />

碳 氢 化 合 物 ( 石 油 ) 和 化 工 行 业<br />

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this RP is<br />

specifically targeted at the application of RBI in the hydrocarbon and chemical<br />

process industry. 适 用 于 化 工 与 石 油 天 然 气 行 业<br />

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this RP is<br />

specifically targeted at the<br />

application of RBI in the<br />

hydrocarbon and chemical<br />

process industry. 适 用 于 化 工<br />

与 石 油 天 然 气 行 业


2.2 Flexibility in Application 灵 活 应 用<br />

Because of the broad diversity in organizations’ size, culture, federal and/or<br />

local regulatory requirements, this RP offers users the flexibility to apply the<br />

RBI methodology within the context of existing corporate risk management<br />

practices and to accommodate unique local circumstances.<br />

The document is designed to provide a framework that clarifies the expected<br />

attributes of a quality risk assessment without imposing undue constraints on<br />

users. This RP is intended to promote consistency and quality in the<br />

identification, assessment, and management of risks pertaining to material<br />

deterioration, which could lead to loss of containment.<br />

Many types of RBI methods exist and are currently being applied throughout<br />

industry. This document is not intended to single out one specific approach as<br />

the recommended method for conducting an RBI effort. The document<br />

instead is intended to identify and clarify the essential elements of an RBI<br />

analysis and program.<br />

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此 规 范 并 不 打 算 挑 出 一 个 特 定 的 方 法 而 是 在 众 多 方 法 里 更 加 确 定 和 澄 清 分 析<br />

和 方 案 基 本 要 素 . 从 而 促 进 识 别 , 评 估 和 管 理 因 材 料 退 化 可 能 导 致 设 备 溶 液 的 流<br />

失 相 关 风 险 的 正 确 方 法 与 一 致 性 .<br />

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2.3 Mechanical Integrity Focused<br />

The RBI process is focused on maintaining the mechanical integrity of<br />

pressure equipment items and minimizing the risk of loss of containment due<br />

to deterioration. RBI is not a substitute for a PHA or hazard and operability<br />

assessment (HAZOP). Typically, process hazards analyses PHA risk<br />

assessments focus on the process unit design and operating practices and<br />

their adequacy given the unit’s current or anticipated operating conditions.<br />

RBI complements the PHA by focusing on the mechanical integrity related<br />

damage mechanisms and risk management through inspection.<br />

RBI also is complementary to Reliability Centered Maintenance RCM<br />

programs in that both programs are focused on understanding failure modes,<br />

addressing the modes and therefore improving the reliability of equipment<br />

and process facilities.<br />

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RBI 补 足 HAZOP/PHA/RCM 综 合 管<br />

理 工 具 , 其 重 点 是 维 护 承 压 设 备 的 机<br />

械 完 整 性 最 大 限 度 地 减 少 因 变 质 遏 制<br />

溶 液 流 失 的 风 险<br />

关 键 字 眼 :<br />

• 机 械 完 整 性<br />

• 溶 液 流 失<br />

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RBI 补 足 HAZOP/PHA/RCM 作 为 综 合 管 理<br />

工 具 , 其 重 点 是 维 护 承 压 设 备 的 机 械 完 整 性<br />

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承 压 设 备 的 机 械 完 整 性 : 材 料 退 化 可 能 导 致 受 压 媒 介 流 失<br />

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2.4 Equipment Covered 覆 盖 设 备<br />

The following types of equipment and associated components/internals<br />

are covered by this document.<br />

a) Pressure Vessels- All pressure containing components.<br />

压 力 容 器 - 所 有 承 压 部 件<br />

b) Process Piping- Pipe and piping components.<br />

工 艺 管 道 , 管 道 和 管 件<br />

c) Storage Tanks- Atmospheric and pressurized.<br />

大 气 ( 常 压 ) 和 加 压 储 罐<br />

d) Rotating Equipment- Pressure containing components.<br />

旋 转 设 备 承 压 部 件<br />

e) Boilers and Heaters- Pressurized components.<br />

锅 炉 及 加 热 器 , 加 压 组 件<br />

f) Heat exchangers (shells, floating heads, channels, and bundles).<br />

热 交 换 器 ( 筒 体 , 浮 动 封 头 , 格 栅 与 管 束 )<br />

g) Pressure-relief devices.<br />

压 力 释 放 装 置 .<br />

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Pressure Vessels- All pressure containing<br />

components. 压 力 容 器 - 所 有 承 压 部 件<br />

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Process Piping- Pipe and piping<br />

components. 工 艺 管 道 , 管 道 和 管 件<br />

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Process Piping- Pipe and piping<br />

components. 工 艺 管 道 , 管 道 和 管 件<br />

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Storage Tanks- Atmospheric and<br />

pressurized. 储 罐 , 大 气 ( 常 压 ) 和 加 压<br />

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Rotating Equipment- Pressure containing<br />

components. 旋 转 设 备 - 承 压 部 件<br />

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Boilers and Heaters - Pressurized components.<br />

锅 炉 及 加 热 器 , 加 压 组 件<br />

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Pressure-relief devices. 压 力 释 放 装 置<br />

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2.5 Equipment Not Covered 不 覆 盖 设 备<br />

The following equipment is not covered by this document:<br />

a) instrument and control systems, 仪 表 和 控 制 系 统<br />

b) electrical systems, 电 气 系 统<br />

c) structural systems, 结 构<br />

d) machinery components (except pump and compressor casings). However,<br />

these systems and components may be covered by other types of RBI or risk<br />

assessment work processes such as RCM. 机 械 部 件 ( 除 泵 和 压 缩 机 外 壳 )<br />

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不 覆 盖 设 备 ?<br />

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2.6 Target Audience 目 标 受 众<br />

The primary audience for this RP is inspection and engineering personnel who<br />

are responsible for the mechanical integrity and operability of equipment<br />

covered by this RP. However, while an organization’s inspection/materials<br />

engineering group may champion the RBI initiative, RBI is not exclusively an<br />

inspection activity. RBI requires the involvement of various segments of the<br />

organization such as engineering, maintenance and operations. Implementation<br />

of the resulting RBI product (e.g. inspection plans, replacement/upgrading<br />

recommendations, other mitigation activities, etc.) may rest with more than one<br />

segment of the organization. RBI requires the commitment and cooperation of<br />

the total operating organization.<br />

In this context, while the primary audience may be inspection and materials<br />

engineering personnel, other stakeholders who are likely to be involved should<br />

be familiar with the concepts and principles embodied in the RBI methodology to<br />

the extent necessary for them to understand the risk assessment<br />

process and to be able to accept the results.<br />

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虽 然 主 要 观 众 为 负 责 设 备 的 机 械 完 整 性 和 可 操 作 性 (1) 检 验 和 (2) 工 程 技 术 ( 材 料 ) 人<br />

员 . 其 他 可 能 参 与 的 相 关 者 都 应 熟 悉 风 险 风 险 检 验 概 念 和 原 则 .<br />

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other stakeholders who are likely to be involved<br />

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3 Normative References<br />

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Contents<br />

3 Normative References<br />

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Societies/Organizations:<br />

1. ASME International, 3 Park Avenue, New York, New York 10016-5990,<br />

www.asme.org.<br />

2. American Institute of Chemical Engineers, Center for Chemical Process<br />

Safety, 3 Park Avenue, 19th Floor, New York, New York 10016,<br />

www.aiche.org/ccps.<br />

3. 3 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Ariel Rios Building, 1200<br />

Pennsylvania Avenue, Washington, DC 20460, www.epa.gov.<br />

4. 4 International Organization for Standardization, 1, ch. de la Voie-Creuse,<br />

Case postale 56, CH-1211, Geneva 20, Switzerland, www.iso.org.<br />

5. 5 U.S. Department of Labor, Occupational Safety and Health Administration,<br />

200 Constitution Avenue, NW, Washington, DC 20210, www.osha.gov.<br />

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• API Publication 510, Pressure Vessel <strong>Inspection</strong> Code: <strong>Inspection</strong>, Rating,<br />

Repair, and Alteration.<br />

• API Publication 570, Piping <strong>Inspection</strong> Code: <strong>Inspection</strong>, Repair, Alteration,<br />

and Rerating of In-service Piping Systems<br />

• API Recommended Practice 571, Damage Mechanisms Affecting Fixed<br />

Equipment in the Refining Industry<br />

• API Standard 579-1/ASME 1 FFS-1, Fitness-For-Service<br />

• API Recommended Practice 581, <strong>Risk</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> <strong>Inspection</strong> Technology<br />

• API Standard 653, Tank <strong>Inspection</strong>, Repair, Alteration, and Reconstruction<br />

• API Recommended Practice 752, Management of Hazards Associated<br />

With Location of Process Plant Buildings<br />

• API Recommended Practice 941, Steels for Hydrogen Service at Elevated<br />

Temperatures and Pressures in Petroleum Refineries and Petrochemical<br />

Plants<br />

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• AICHE 2, Dow’s Fire and Explosion Index Hazard Classification Guide, 1994<br />

• ASME PVRC Project 99-IP-01, A Comparison of Criteria For Acceptance of<br />

<strong>Risk</strong>, February 16, 2000<br />

• EPA 58 FR 54190 (40 CFR Part 68) 3, <strong>Risk</strong> Management Plan (RMP)<br />

Regulations<br />

• ISO Guide 73 4, <strong>Risk</strong> Management Vocabulary<br />

• OSHA 29 CFR 1910.119 5, Process Safety Management of Highly<br />

Hazardous Chemicals<br />

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4 Terms, definitions,<br />

acronyms and<br />

abbreviations<br />

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Contents<br />

4 Terms, Definitions, Acronyms, and Abbreviations<br />

4.1 Terms and Definitions<br />

4.2 Acronyms and Abbreviations<br />

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4.1 Terms and Definitions<br />

For purposes of this RP, the following terms, definitions, acronyms, and<br />

abbreviations shall apply.<br />

4.1.1<br />

absolute risk<br />

An ideal and accurate description and quantification of risk.<br />

准 确 的 描 述 和 量 化 风 险<br />

4.1.2<br />

acceptable risk<br />

A level of risk that is acceptable to the owner-user.<br />

用 户 可 以 接 受 的 风 险 水 平<br />

4.1.3<br />

as low as reasonably practical ALARP<br />

A concept of minimization that postulates that attributes (such as risk) can<br />

only be reduced to a certain minimum under current technology and with<br />

reasonable cost.<br />

根 据 目 前 的 技 术 和 合 理 成 本 只 能 被 减 小 到 一 定 的 最 小 的 特 性 ( 如 风 险 )<br />

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1.2 RBI Benefits and Limitations 优 点 和 局 限 性<br />

……… an acceptance/understanding of the current risk.<br />

能 接 受 的 / 理 解 当 前 风 险


ALARP<br />

http://www.hse.gov.uk/foi/int<br />

ernalops/hid_circs/permissi<br />

oning/spc_perm_37/<br />

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4.1.4<br />

components 组 成 整 件 部 分 的 组 件<br />

Parts that make up a piece of equipment or equipment item. For example a<br />

pressure boundary may consist of components (pipe, elbows, nipples,<br />

heads, shells, nozzles, stiffening rings, skirts, supports, etc.) that are bolted<br />

or welded into assembles to make up equipment items.<br />

4.1.5<br />

Consequence 后 果<br />

An outcome from an event. There may be one or more consequences from<br />

an event. Consequences may range from positive to negative. However,<br />

consequences are always negative for safety aspects. Consequences may<br />

be expressed qualitatively or quantitatively. 可 以 定 性 或 定 量 来 表 达<br />

4.1.6<br />

corrosion specialist 防 腐 专 家<br />

A person who is knowledgeable and experienced in the specific process<br />

chemistries, corrosion degradation mechanisms, materials selection,<br />

corrosion mitigation methods, corrosion monitoring techniques, and their<br />

impact on pressure equipment.<br />

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4.1.7<br />

cost-effective 经 济 有 效<br />

An activity that is both effective in resolving an issue (e.g. some form of<br />

mitigation) and is a financially sound use of resources.<br />

4.1.8<br />

damage (or deterioration) mechanism 损 坏 机 理<br />

A process that induces micro and/or macro material changes over time that<br />

are harmful to the material condition or mechanical properties. Damage<br />

mechanisms are usually incremental, cumulative, and, in some instances,<br />

unrecoverable. Common damage mechanisms include corrosion, stress<br />

corrosion cracking, creep, erosion, fatigue, fracture, and thermal aging.<br />

可 能 是 微 观 和 / 或 宏 材 料 变 动<br />

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4.1.9<br />

damage (or deterioration) mode 损 坏 模 式 ( 状 态 )<br />

The physical manifestation of damage (e.g. wall thinning, pitting, cracking,<br />

rupture). 损 伤 机 理 带 来 的 物 理 表 现 的 损 坏<br />

4.1.10<br />

damage tolerance 损 伤 容 限<br />

The amount of deterioration that a component can withstand without failing.<br />

组 件 能 承 受 损 伤 而 不 导 致 失 效 的 容 限 .<br />

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4.1.11<br />

design premise 设 计 的 前 提<br />

Assumptions made during the design (e.g. design life and corrosion<br />

allowance needed). 例 如 设 计 寿 命 和 腐 蚀 裕 量<br />

4.1.12<br />

deterioration 退 化<br />

The reduction in the ability of a component to provide its intended purpose<br />

of containment of fluids. This can be caused by various damage<br />

mechanisms (e.g. thinning, cracking, mechanical). Damage or degradation<br />

may be used in place of deterioration.<br />

4.1.13<br />

equipment 设 备<br />

An individual item that is part of a system. Examples include pressure<br />

vessels, relief devices, piping, boilers, and heaters.<br />

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4.1.14<br />

event 事 件<br />

Occurrence of a particular set of circumstances. The event may be certain<br />

or uncertain. The event can be singular or multiple. The probability of an<br />

event occurring within a given period of time can be estimated.<br />

组 特 定 的 情 况 下 发 生 的 ( 确 定 / 不 确 定 , 单 数 或 多 个 ) 状 况 . 给 定 的 时 间 内 发 生 的<br />

事 件 的 概 率 可 估 算<br />

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4.1.15<br />

event tree 事 件 树<br />

An analytical tool that organizes and characterizes potential occurrences in<br />

a logical and graphical manner. The event tree begins with the<br />

identification of potential initiating events. Subsequent possible events<br />

(including activation of safety functions) resulting from the initiating events<br />

are then displayed as the second level of the event tree. This process is<br />

continued to develop pathways or scenarios from the initiating events to<br />

potential outcomes.<br />

4.1.16<br />

external event 外 部 事 件<br />

Events resulting from forces of nature, acts of God, sabotage, or events<br />

such as neighboring fires or explosions, terrorism, neighboring hazardous<br />

material releases, electrical power failures, forces of nature, and intrusions<br />

of external transportation vehicles, such as aircraft, ships, trains, trucks, or<br />

automobiles. External events are usually beyond the direct or indirect<br />

control of persons employed at or by the facility.<br />

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intrusions of<br />

external<br />

transportation<br />

vehicles, such as<br />

aircraft, ships,<br />

trains, trucks, or<br />

automobiles.


intrusions of external transportation vehicles, such as aircraft, ships, trains,<br />

trucks, or automobiles.<br />

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4.1.17<br />

Facility 设 施 ( 地 点 )<br />

Any location containing equipment and/or components to be addressed under<br />

this RP.<br />

4.1.18<br />

Failure 失 效 ( 导 致 终 止 或 不 终 止 )- 未 发 现 / 发 现 失 效<br />

Termination of the ability of a system, structure, equipment or component to<br />

perform its required function of containment of fluid (i.e. loss of containment).<br />

(1) Failures may be unannounced and undetected at the instant of occurrence<br />

(unannounced failure). For example, a slow leak under insulation may not be<br />

detected until a pool of fluid forms on the ground or someone notices a drip or<br />

wisp of vapor. A small leak may not be noticed until the next inspection<br />

(unannounced failure), e.g. slow leakage from buried piping or small leak in a<br />

heat exchanger tube; or they may be (2)announced and detected by any<br />

number of methods at the instance of occurrence (announced failure), e.g.<br />

rupture of a pipe in a process plant or sudden decrease in pressure in the<br />

system.<br />

API 580<br />

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4.1.18<br />

Failure ………………<br />

1. Failures may be unannounced and undetected or they may be<br />

2. announced and detected by any number of methods at the instance of<br />

occurrence (announced failure)<br />

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Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


4.1.19<br />

failure mode 失 效 模 式<br />

The manner of failure. For RBI, the failure of concern is loss of containment of<br />

pressurized equipment items. Examples of failure modes are small hole, crack,<br />

and rupture. 此 规 范 关 注 的 失 效 是 加 压 设 备 的 溶 液 的 流 失 . 失 效 模 式 的 例 子 有 小 孔 ,<br />

裂 纹 , 破 裂 .<br />

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For RBI, the failure of concern is<br />

loss of containment of<br />

pressurized equipment items.<br />

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4.1.20<br />

Fitness-For-Service assessment 适 用 性 评 价<br />

A methodology whereby damage or flaws/imperfections contained within a<br />

component or equipment item are assessed in order to determine acceptability<br />

for continued service. 确 定 可 接 受 的 持 续 服 务<br />

4.1.21<br />

Hazard 危 害<br />

A physical condition or a release of a hazardous material that could result from<br />

component failure and result in human injury or death, loss or damage, or<br />

environmental degradation. Hazard is the source of harm. Components that<br />

are used to transport, store, or process a hazardous material can be a source<br />

of hazard. Human error and external events may also create a hazard.<br />

导 致 环 境 恶 化 或 人 身 伤 害 隐 患 ( 隐 患 是 伤 害 之 源 )<br />

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4.1.22<br />

hazard and operability study HAZOP study 隐 患 和 可 操 作 性 研 究<br />

A HAZOP study is a form of failure modes and effects analysis (FMEA).<br />

HAZOP studies, which were originally developed for the process industry, use<br />

systematic techniques to identify hazards and operability issues throughout an<br />

entire facility. It is particularly useful in identifying unforeseen hazards designed<br />

into facilities due to lack of information, or introduced into existing facilities due<br />

to changes in process conditions or operating procedures. The basic objectives<br />

of the techniques are:<br />

1. to produce a full description of the facility or process, including the intended<br />

design conditions; 生 产 设 施 或 过 程 , 包 括 预 期 的 设 计 条 件 的 完 整 说 明 ;<br />

2. to systematically review every part of the facility or process to discover how<br />

deviations from the intention of the design can occur; 系 统 地 审 查 工 厂 或 过<br />

程 每 一 个 部 分 , 找 出 设 计 意 图 的 偏 差 是 如 何 发 生 ;<br />

3. to decide whether these deviations can lead to hazards or operability<br />

issues; 决 定 这 些 偏 差 是 否 会 导 致 危 险 或 可 操 作 性 问 题<br />

4. to assess effectiveness of safeguards. 评 估 保 障 的 有 效 性<br />

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4.1.23<br />

<strong>Inspection</strong> 检 查<br />

Activities performed to verify that materials, fabrication, erection, examinations,<br />

testing, repairs, etc., conform to applicable code, engineering, and/or owner’s<br />

written procedure requirements. It includes the planning, implementation, and<br />

evaluation of the results of inspection activities. The external, internal, or onstream<br />

assessment (or any combination of the three) of the condition of<br />

pressure equipment.<br />

4.1.24<br />

integrity operating window IOW 完 整 过 程 变 量 窗 口<br />

Established limits for process variables that can affect the integrity of the<br />

equipment if the process operation deviates from the established limits for a<br />

predetermined amount of time.<br />

4.1.25<br />

Likelihood 可 能 性<br />

Probability.<br />

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4.1.26<br />

management of change MOC 变 革 管 理<br />

A documented management system for review and approval of changes in<br />

process, equipment or piping systems prior to implementation of the change.<br />

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4.1.27<br />

Mitigation 缓 解<br />

Limitation of any negative (1) consequence or reduction in (2) probability of a<br />

particular event.<br />

4.1.28<br />

Probability 可 能 性<br />

Extent to which an event is likely to occur within the time frame under<br />

consideration. The mathematical definition of probability is “a real number in the<br />

scale 0 to 1 attached to a random event.” Probability can be related to a longrun<br />

relative frequency of occurrence or to a degree of belief that an event will<br />

occur. For a high degree of belief, the probability is near one (1). Frequency<br />

rather than probability may be used in describing risk. Degrees of belief about<br />

probability can be chosen as classes or ranks like “rare/ unlikely/ moderate/<br />

likely/ almost certain” or “incredible/ improbable/ remote/ occasional/<br />

probable/frequent.” 事 件 可 能 在 考 虑 的 时 间 框 架 内 发 生 的 程 度<br />

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4.1.29<br />

process unit 工 艺 设 备<br />

A group of systems arranged in a<br />

specific fashion to produce a product<br />

or service. Examples of processes<br />

include power generation, acid<br />

production, fuel oil production, and<br />

ethylene production.<br />

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System within a Process unit


Reformer PFD<br />

Facility →Process units → Systems → Equipments<br />

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PHARMACEUTICALS PFD<br />

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Facility →Process units → Systems → Equipments<br />

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4.1.53<br />

System 系 统<br />

A collection of equipment assembled for a<br />

specific function within a process unit.<br />

Examples of systems include service water<br />

system, distillation systems, and separation<br />

systems.<br />

Facility → Process units → Systems →<br />

Equipments<br />

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Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


4.1.30<br />

qualitative risk analysis 定 性 风 险 分 析<br />

An analysis that uses broad categorizations for probabilities and consequences<br />

of failure. Methods that use primarily engineering judgment and experience as<br />

the basis for the determination of probabilities and consequences of failure. The<br />

results of qualitative risk analyses are dependent on the background and<br />

expertise of the analysts and the objectives of the analysis.<br />

FMEA and HAZOP are examples of qualitative risk analysis techniques that<br />

become QRA (quantitative risk analysis) methods when consequence and<br />

failure probability values are estimated along with the respective descriptive<br />

input.<br />

定 性 风 险 分 析 的 结 果 依 赖 于 分 析 师 的 背 景 和 专 业 知 识 和 分 析 的 目 标 . 在 FMEA /<br />

HAZOP 分 析 时 后 果 和 失 效 概 率 值 如 被 估 计 , 这 定 性 的 风 险 分 析 技 术 可 以 作 为 QRA<br />

分 析 的 方 法 .<br />

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Methods that use primarily engineering judgment and experience as the basis<br />

for the determination of probabilities and consequences of failure.<br />

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定 性 风 险 分 析 的 结 果 依 赖 于 分 析 师 的 背 景 和 专 业 知 识 和 分 析 的 目 标 . 在 FMEA /<br />

HAZOP 分 析 时 后 果 和 失 效 概 率 值 如 被 估 计 , 这 定 性 的 风 险 分 析 技 术 可 以 作 为<br />

QRA( 定 量 ) 分 析 的 方 法 .(?)<br />

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4.1.31<br />

quantitative risk analysis QRA 定 量 风 险 分 析<br />

An analysis that quantifies the probabilities and consequences of the probable<br />

damage mechanisms and that:<br />

• identifies and delineates the combinations of events that, if they occur, may<br />

lead to a severe event or any other undesired consequence; 识 别 并 描 述 事<br />

件 的 组 , 如 果 它 们 发 生 可 能 引 发 一 个 严 重 的 事 件 或 任 何 其 它 不 期 望 的 后 果<br />

• estimates the probability of occurrence for each combination;<br />

估 计 每 个 组 合 发 生 的 概 率<br />

• estimates the consequences. 估 计 后 果<br />

The events?<br />

The likelihoods of each event?<br />

The consequences of each event?<br />

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QRA generally: 方 法<br />

• integrates information about facility design, operating practices, operating<br />

history, component reliability, human actions, the physical progression of<br />

incidents, and potential environmental and health effects;<br />

• uses logic and probabilistic models depicting combinations of events and<br />

the progression of incidents to provide both qualitative and quantitative<br />

insights into the level of risks;<br />

• analysis logic models consisting of event trees and fault trees to estimate<br />

the frequency of each incident sequence.<br />

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QRA-uses logic and<br />

probabilistic models depicting<br />

combinations of events and<br />

the progression of incidents to<br />

provide both qualitative and<br />

quantitative insights into the<br />

level of risks; analysis logic<br />

models consisting of event<br />

trees and fault trees to<br />

estimate the frequency of each<br />

incident sequence.


4.1.32<br />

Reassessment 重 新 估 价<br />

The process of integrating inspection data or other changes into the risk<br />

analysis.<br />

4.1.33<br />

relative risk 相 对 风 险<br />

The comparative risk of a facility, process unit, system, equipment item or<br />

component to other facilities, process units, systems, equipment items, or<br />

components, respectively.<br />

4.1.34<br />

residual risk 剩 余 风 险<br />

The risk remaining after risk mitigation.<br />

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4.1.35<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> 风 险 - 事 件 的 概 率 及 其 后 果<br />

Combination of the probability of an event and its consequence. In some<br />

situations, risk is a deviation from the expected. When probability and<br />

consequence are expressed numerically, risk is the product.<br />

4.1.36<br />

risk acceptance 风 险 接 受 - 依 风 险 准 据 而 定<br />

A decision to accept a risk. <strong>Risk</strong> acceptance depends on risk criteria.<br />

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<strong>Risk</strong><br />

风 险 - 事 件 的 概 率 及<br />

其 后 果


4.1.37<br />

risk analysis 风 险 分 析<br />

Systematic use of information to identify sources and to estimate the risk. <strong>Risk</strong><br />

analysis provides a basis for risk evaluation, risk mitigation and risk acceptance.<br />

Information can include historical data, theoretical analysis, informed opinions,<br />

and concerns of stakeholders. 利 益 相 关 者 的 关 注<br />

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concerns of stakeholders?<br />

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concerns of stakeholders?<br />

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concerns of stakeholders?<br />

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concerns of stakeholders?<br />

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concerns of stakeholders?<br />

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concerns of stakeholders?<br />

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concerns of stakeholders?<br />

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concerns of stakeholders?<br />

Himba women<br />

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concerns of stakeholders?<br />

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concerns of stakeholders?<br />

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4.1.38<br />

risk assessment 风 险 评 估<br />

Overall process of (1) risk analysis and (2) risk evaluation.<br />

4.1.39<br />

risk avoidance 风 险 规 避<br />

Decision not to become involved in, or action to withdraw from a risk situation.<br />

The decision may be taken based on the result of risk evaluation.<br />

4.1.40<br />

risk-based inspection RBI 基 于 风 险 的 检 验<br />

A risk assessment and management process that is focused on loss of<br />

containment of pressurized equipment in processing facilities, due to material<br />

deterioration. These risks are managed primarily through equipment inspection.<br />

风 险 评 估 和 管 理 过 程 . 这 些 风 险 主 要 通 过 设 备 检 查 管 理<br />

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4.1.41<br />

risk communication 风 险 沟 通<br />

Exchange or sharing of information about risk between the decision maker<br />

and other stakeholders. The information may relate to the existence, nature,<br />

form, probability, severity, acceptability, mitigation, or other aspects of risk.<br />

决 策 者 和 其 他 利 益 相 关 者 之 间 对 风 险 信 息 的 交 换 或 共 享 .<br />

4.1.42<br />

risk criteria 风 险 标 准<br />

Terms of reference by which the significance of risk is assessed. <strong>Risk</strong> criteria<br />

may include associated cost and benefits, legal and statutory requirements,<br />

socio-economic and environmental aspects, concerns of stakeholders,<br />

priorities and other inputs to the assessment.<br />

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4.1.43<br />

risk driver 风 险 驱 动<br />

An item affecting either the (1) probability, (2) consequence, or both such that<br />

it constitutes a significant portion of the risk.<br />

4.1.44<br />

risk estimation 风 险 评 估<br />

Process used to assign values to the probability and consequence of a risk.<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> estimation may consider (1) cost, (2) benefits, (3) stakeholder concerns,<br />

and (4) other variables, as appropriate for risk evaluation.<br />

Other variables ? (Safety/health/environment/economic standpoints)<br />

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isk criteria 风 险 标 准<br />

Terms of reference by which the significance of risk is assessed. <strong>Risk</strong> criteria<br />

may include;<br />

• associated cost and benefits, 相 关 的 成 本 和 收 益<br />

• legal and statutory requirements, 法 律 和 法 定 要 求<br />

• socio-economic and 社 会 经 济<br />

• environmental aspects, 环 境 方 面<br />

• concerns of stakeholders, 利 益 相 关 者 的 关 注<br />

• priorities and other inputs to the assessment. 优 先 事 项 和 其 他 评 估 数 据 要 求 .<br />

• Safety/health (?)<br />

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4.1.45<br />

risk evaluation 风 险 评 估<br />

Process used to compare the estimated risk against given risk criteria to<br />

determine the significance of the risk. <strong>Risk</strong> evaluation may be used to assist<br />

in the acceptance or mitigation decision.<br />

4.1.46<br />

risk identification 风 险 识 别<br />

Process to find, list, and characterize elements of risk. Elements may include:<br />

(1) source, (2) event, (3) consequence, (4) probability. <strong>Risk</strong> identification may<br />

also identify (5) stakeholder concerns.<br />

4.1.47<br />

risk management 风 险 管 理<br />

Coordinated activities to direct and control an organization with regard to risk.<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> management typically includes risk assessment, risk mitigation, risk<br />

acceptance, and risk communication.<br />

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4.1.48<br />

risk mitigation 风 险 缓 解<br />

Process of selection and implementation of measures to modify risk. The<br />

term risk mitigation is sometimes used for measures themselves.<br />

4.1.49<br />

risk reduction 降 低 风 险<br />

Actions taken to lessen the probability, negative consequences, or both<br />

associated with a particular risk.<br />

4.1.50<br />

semi-quantitative analysis 半 定 量 分 析<br />

A semi-quantitative analysis includes aspects of both qualitative and<br />

quantitative analyses.<br />

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Source 源<br />

Thing or activity with a potential for consequence. Source in a safety context<br />

is a hazard. 潜 在 隐 患 的 源 头<br />

4.1.52<br />

Stakeholder 利 益 相 关 者<br />

Any individual, group or organization that may affect, be affected by, or<br />

perceive itself to be affected by the risk.<br />

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4.1.53<br />

System 系 统<br />

A collection of equipment assembled for a specific function within a process<br />

unit. Examples of systems include service water system, distillation systems,<br />

and separation systems.<br />

Facility → Process units → Systems → Equipments<br />

4.1.54<br />

Turnaround 周 转 ( 周 期 )<br />

A period of down time to perform inspection, maintenance, or modifications<br />

and prepare process equipment for the next operating cycle. 停 机 进 行 检 查 , 维<br />

修 或 改 装 , 并 准 备 为 下 一 个 操 作 周 期 。<br />

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System within a Process unit – 3 phase separator


4.1.55<br />

toxic chemical 有 毒 化 学 品<br />

Any chemical that presents a physical or health hazard or an environmental<br />

hazard according to the appropriate material safety datasheet. These<br />

chemicals (when ingested, inhaled, or absorbed through the skin) can cause<br />

damage to living tissue, impairment of the central nervous system, severe<br />

illness, or in extreme cases, death. These chemicals may also result in<br />

adverse effects to the environment (measured as ecotoxicity and related to<br />

persistence and bioaccumulation potential).<br />

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4.1.56<br />

unmitigated risk 未 缓 和 前 风 险<br />

The risk prior to mitigation activities.<br />

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4.2 Acronyms and Abbreviations<br />

ACC<br />

AIChE<br />

ALARP<br />

ANSI<br />

ASME<br />

ASNT<br />

ASTM<br />

BLEVE<br />

CCPS<br />

COF<br />

EPA<br />

FMEA<br />

HAZOP<br />

IOW<br />

ISO<br />

LOPA<br />

MOC<br />

MSD<br />

American Chemistry Council.<br />

American Institute of Chemical Engineers.<br />

as low as reasonably practical.<br />

American National Standards Institute.<br />

American Society of Mechanical Engineers.<br />

American Society of Nondestructive Testing.<br />

American Society of Testing and Materials.<br />

boiling liquid expanding vapor explosion.<br />

Center for Chemical Process Safety.<br />

consequence of failure.<br />

Environmental Protection Agency.<br />

failure modes and effects analysis.<br />

hazard and operability assessment.<br />

integrity operating window.<br />

International Organization for Standardization.<br />

layers of protection analysis.<br />

management of change.<br />

material selection diagrams.<br />

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NACE<br />

NDE<br />

NFPA<br />

OSHA<br />

PHA<br />

PMI<br />

POF<br />

PSM<br />

PTASCC<br />

PVRC<br />

QA/QC<br />

QRA<br />

RBI<br />

RCM<br />

RMP<br />

SIL<br />

TEMA<br />

TNO<br />

UT<br />

National Association of Corrosion Engineers.<br />

nondestructive examination.<br />

National Fire Protection Association.<br />

Occupational Safety and Health Administration.<br />

process hazards analysis.<br />

positive material identification.<br />

probability of failure.<br />

process safety management.<br />

polythionic acid stress corrosion cracking.<br />

Pressure Vessel Research Council.<br />

quality assurance/quality control.<br />

quantitative risk assessment.<br />

risk-based inspection.<br />

reliability centered maintenance.<br />

risk management plan.<br />

safety integrity level.<br />

Tubular Exchangers Manufacturers Association.<br />

The Netherlands Organization for Applied Scientific Research.<br />

ultrasonic testing.<br />

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5 Basic <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment Concepts<br />

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Sub-Contents<br />

5 Basic <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment Concepts<br />

5.1 What is <strong>Risk</strong>?<br />

5.2 <strong>Risk</strong> Management and <strong>Risk</strong> Reduction<br />

5.3 The Evolution of <strong>Inspection</strong> Intervals/Due Dates<br />

5.4 Overview of <strong>Risk</strong> Analysis<br />

5.5 <strong>Inspection</strong> Optimization<br />

5.6 Relative <strong>Risk</strong> vs Absolute <strong>Risk</strong><br />

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5.1 What is <strong>Risk</strong>? 什 么 是 风 险<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> is something that we as individuals live with on a day-to-day basis.<br />

Knowingly or unknowingly, people are constantly making decisions based on<br />

risk. Simple decisions such as driving to work or walking across a busy street<br />

involve risk. More important decisions such as buying a house, investing money,<br />

and getting married all imply an acceptance of risk. Life is not risk-free and<br />

even the most cautious, risk-adverse individuals inherently take risks. Some<br />

people take more risks than others (knowingly or unknowingly), e.g. sky divers,<br />

mountain climbers, coal miners, and people who drive while intoxicated.<br />

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For example, in driving a car, people accept the probability that they could be<br />

killed or seriously injured. The reason this risk is accepted is that people consider<br />

the probability of being killed or seriously injured to be sufficiently low as to make<br />

the risk acceptable. Influencing the decision are the type of car, the safety features<br />

installed, traffic volume and speed, and other factors such as the availability, risks<br />

and affordability of other alternatives (e.g. mass transit).


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<strong>Risk</strong> is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time<br />

period of interest and the consequences, (generally negative) associated with<br />

the event.<br />

风 险 是 在 指 定 时 间 段 某 些 事 件 发 生 的 (1) 概 率 和 (2) 后 果 ( 一 般 为 负 面 ) 组 合 .<br />

风 险 = 概 率 × 后 果<br />

In mathematical terms, risk can be calculated by the equation:<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> = Probability × Consequence<br />

Likelihood is sometimes used as a synonym for probability, however probability<br />

is used throughout this document for consistency. Effective risk assessment<br />

should be a rational, logical, structured process, which contains at least two key<br />

steps. First to determine how big the risk is; and second, to determine whether<br />

the risk is acceptable.<br />

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5.2 <strong>Risk</strong> Management and <strong>Risk</strong> Reduction 风 险 管 理 和 减 少 风 险<br />

Once the risk is known and the magnitude of the risk is established, it is time for<br />

risk management. At first, it may seem that risk management and risk<br />

reduction are synonymous. However, risk reduction is only part of risk<br />

management.<br />

• <strong>Risk</strong> reduction is the act of mitigating a known risk that is deemed to be too<br />

high to a lower, more acceptable level of risk with some form of risk<br />

reduction activity.<br />

• <strong>Risk</strong> management, on the other hand, is a process to assess risks, to<br />

determine if risk reduction is required and to develop a plan to maintain risks<br />

at an acceptable level. By using risk management, some risks may be<br />

identified as acceptable so that no risk reduction (mitigation) is required.<br />

API 580<br />

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5.3 The Evolution of <strong>Inspection</strong> Intervals/Due Dates<br />

检 验 间 隔 / 到 期 日 期 的 演 变<br />

In process plants, inspection and testing programs and process monitoring are<br />

established to detect and evaluate deterioration due to the effects of in-service<br />

operation. The effectiveness of inspection programs varies widely, ranging from<br />

(1) reactive programs, which concentrate on known areas of concern, to<br />

(2) broad proactive programs covering a variety of equipment. One extreme of<br />

this would be the;<br />

(2a) “don’t fix it unless its broken” approach. The other extreme would be<br />

(2b) complete inspection of all equipment items on a frequent basis.<br />

Setting the intervals/due dates between inspections has evolved over time. With<br />

the need to periodically verify equipment integrity, organizations initially resorted<br />

to time-based or “calendar-based” intervals/due dates.<br />

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检 验 程 序 可 以 分 为 两 大 类 :<br />

• 反 应 式 :<br />

集 中 在 已 知 关 注 的 领 域 ,<br />

• 广 泛 积 极 式 :<br />

‾<br />

‾<br />

除 非 坏 了 不 解 决<br />

基 于 设 定 间 隔 检 验 全 部 设 备<br />

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With advances in inspection approaches, and better understanding of the type<br />

and rate of deterioration, inspection intervals/due dates became more<br />

dependent on the equipment condition (i.e. condition-based inspection),<br />

rather than what might have been an arbitrary calendar date. Codes and<br />

standards such as API 510, API 570, and API 653 evolved to an inspection<br />

philosophy with elements such as: 跟 着 检 验 方 法 的 改 进 与 进 化 , 依 照 设 备 的 状<br />

态 设 定 检 验 间 隔 ( 即 基 于 状 态 的 检 查 ) 被 上 述 规 范 采 纳 . 检 验 哲 理 的 元 素 包 括 ;<br />

a) inspection intervals/due dates based on some percentage of equipment life<br />

(such as half life), 设 备 残 余 寿 命 - 半 衰 期 设 定 检 验 间 隔<br />

b) on-stream inspection in lieu of internal inspection based on low deterioration<br />

rates, 低 恶 化 率 设 备 , 外 部 在 役 检 验 替 代 内 部 开 罐 检 验<br />

c) internal inspection requirements for damage mechanisms related to process<br />

environment induced cracking, 依 照 损 伤 机 理 设 定 检 验 要 求 例 如 环 境 腐 蚀 开 裂 .<br />

d) consequence based inspection intervals/due dates. 基 于 后 果 的 检 查<br />

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Non- E&P Vessel API510<br />

External <strong>Inspection</strong><br />

Internal & On-stream <strong>Inspection</strong><br />

Pressure relief devices<br />

five (5) years or the required internal/on-stream inspection whichever is<br />

less.<br />

½ (one half) the remaining life of the vessel or 10 years, whichever is less.<br />

Five years for typical process services; and Ten years for clean (nonfouling)<br />

and non-corrosive services.<br />

E&P Vessel<br />

High <strong>Risk</strong><br />

High <strong>Risk</strong><br />

Low <strong>Risk</strong><br />

Low <strong>Risk</strong><br />

Portable Test<br />

Separator<br />

Air Receiver<br />

External <strong>Inspection</strong><br />

Internal & Onstream<br />

<strong>Inspection</strong><br />

External <strong>Inspection</strong><br />

Internal & Onstream<br />

<strong>Inspection</strong><br />

Internal & On-<br />

Stream <strong>Inspection</strong><br />

Internal & On-<br />

Stream <strong>Inspection</strong><br />

When an internal inspection or on-stream is performed or at shorter<br />

intervals at the owner or user’s option.<br />

½ (one half) the remaining life of the vessel or 10 years, whichever is less.<br />

When an internal inspection or on-stream is performed or at shorter<br />

intervals at the owner or user’s option.<br />

¾ (three quarter) remaining corrosion-rate life or 15 years whichever is<br />

less.<br />

At least every 3 years.<br />

At least every 5 years.


RBI represents the next generation of inspection approaches and interval/due<br />

date setting, recognizing that the ultimate goal of inspection is the safety and<br />

reliability of operating facilities. RBI, as a risk-based approach, focuses<br />

attention specifically on the equipment and associated damage mechanisms<br />

representing the most risk to the facility. In focusing on risks and their<br />

mitigation, RBI provides a better linkage between the mechanisms that lead<br />

to equipment failure (loss of containment) and the inspection approaches that<br />

will effectively reduce the associated risks. Though there can be many<br />

definitions for failure of pressure equipment, in this document, failure is<br />

defined as loss of containment. 失 效 被 定 义 为 溶 液 的 流 失<br />

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in this document, failure is<br />

defined as loss of<br />

containment. 失 效 被 定 义 为<br />

溶 液 的 流 失<br />

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5.4 Overview of <strong>Risk</strong> Analysis 风 险 分 析 的 概 述<br />

The complexity of a risk analysis is a function of the number of factors that can<br />

affect the risk and there is a continuous spectrum of methods available to<br />

assess risk. The methods range from a strictly relative ranking to rigorous<br />

calculation. The methods generally represent a range of precision for the<br />

resulting risk analysis (see 6.4). Any particular analysis may not yield usable<br />

results due to a lack of data, low-quality data or the use of an approach that<br />

does not adequately differentiate the risks represented by the equipment items.<br />

Further, analysis results may not be realistic. Therefore, the risk analysis should<br />

be validated before decisions are made based on the analysis results.<br />

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Any particular analysis may not yield usable results due to;<br />

(1) a lack of data,<br />

(2) low-quality data or<br />

(3) the use of an approach that does not adequately differentiate the<br />

risks represented by the equipment items.<br />

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A logical progression for a risk analysis is: 风 险 分 析 的 逻 辑 进 展<br />

a) collect and validate the necessary data and information (see Section 8);<br />

收 集 和 验 证 的 必 要 的 数 据 和 信 息<br />

b) identify damage mechanisms and, optionally, determine the damage<br />

mode(s) for each mechanism (e.g. general metal loss, local metal loss,<br />

pitting) (see Section 9);<br />

识 别 损 伤 机 理 和 任 选 地 确 定 每 个 损 伤 机 理 的 破 坏 模 式 ( 例 如 一 般 的 金 属 损 失 ,<br />

局 部 金 属 损 失 , 点 蚀 )<br />

c) determine damage susceptibility and rates (see Section 9);<br />

确 定 损 害 的 易 感 性 和 速 度 .<br />

d) determine the POF over a defined time frame for each damage mechanism<br />

(see Section 10);<br />

确 定 每 个 损 伤 机 理 的 时 间 范 围 的 失 效 概 率<br />

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e) determine credible failure mode (s) [e.g. small leak, large leak, rupture<br />

(see Section 10)]; 确 定 可 信 的 失 效 模 式 ( 例 如 小 量 泄 漏 , 大 量 泄 漏 , 破 裂 )<br />

f) identify credible consequence scenarios that will result from the failure<br />

mode(s) (see Section 11); 从 故 障 模 式 ( 多 ) 引 发 可 信 的 后 果 场 景 ( 多 个 场 景 )<br />

g) determine the probability of each consequence scenario, considering the<br />

POF and the probability that a specific consequence scenario will result<br />

from the failure (see Section 11); 确 定 每 个 后 果 场 景 的 失 效 概 率<br />

h) determine the risk, including a sensitivity analysis, and review risk<br />

analysis results for consistency/reasonableness (see Section 12).<br />

确 定 风 险 , 包 括 敏 感 性 分 析<br />

Data → Damage Mechanism→<br />

Damage Modes→ Failure Modes→<br />

Consequence Scenario<br />

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A logical progression for<br />

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Data → Damage Mechanism→<br />

Damage Modes→ Failure Modes→<br />

Consequence Scenario<br />

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5.5 <strong>Inspection</strong> Optimization 检 验 优 化<br />

When the risk associated with individual equipment items is determined and<br />

the relative effectiveness of different inspection techniques and process<br />

monitoring in reducing risk is estimated or quantified, adequate information is<br />

available for planning, optimizing, and implementing an RBI program. Figure<br />

1 presents stylized curves showing the reduction in risk that can be expected<br />

when the degree and frequency of inspection are increased.<br />

The upper curve in Figure 1 represents a typical inspection program. Where<br />

there is no inspection, there may be a higher level of risk, as indicated on the<br />

y-axis in the figure. With an initial investment in inspection activities, risk<br />

generally is significantly reduced.<br />

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A point is reached where additional inspection activity begins to show a<br />

diminishing return and, eventually, may produce very little additional risk<br />

reduction.<br />

If excessive inspection is applied, the level of risk may even go up. This is<br />

because invasive inspections in certain cases may cause additional<br />

deterioration (e.g. moisture ingress in equipment with polythionic acid;<br />

inspection damage to protective coatings or glass-lined vessels). This situation<br />

is represented by the dotted line at the end of the upper curve.<br />

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<strong>Inspection</strong> Optimization<br />

Conventional<br />

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typical inspection program<br />

Upper curve<br />

If excessive<br />

inspection is applied,<br />

the level of risk may<br />

even go up.<br />

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A complete RBI program provides a consistent methodology for assessing the<br />

optimum combination of methods and frequencies of inspection. Each<br />

available inspection method can be analyzed and its relative effectiveness in<br />

reducing failure probability can be estimated. Given this information and the<br />

cost of each procedure, an optimization program can be developed. The key to<br />

developing such a procedure is the ability to assess the risk associated with<br />

each item of equipment and then to determine the most appropriate inspection<br />

techniques for that piece of equipment. A conceptual result of this methodology<br />

is illustrated by the lower curve in Figure 1. The lower curve indicates that with<br />

the application of an effective RBI program, lower risks can be achieved with<br />

the same level of inspection activity. This is because, through RBI, inspection<br />

activities are focused on higher risk items and away from lower risk items.<br />

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RBI <strong>Inspection</strong> lower risks can be achieved with the<br />

same level of inspection activity (Lower curve)<br />

Lower risk<br />

focused on higher risk<br />

items and away from<br />

lower risk items and a<br />

more appropriate<br />

inspection techniques.<br />

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RBI <strong>Inspection</strong> vs conventional inspection;<br />

the most appropriate inspection techniques<br />

focused on higher risk items<br />

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残 余 风 险<br />

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As shown in Figure 1, risk cannot be reduced to zero solely by inspection<br />

efforts. The residual risk factors for loss of containment include,<br />

but are not limited to issues such as the following: 残 余 风 险 的 因 素<br />

a) human error, 人 为 误 差<br />

b) natural disasters,<br />

c) external events (e.g. collisions or falling objects), 外 部 事 件<br />

d) secondary effects from nearby units, 临 近 设 二 次 效 应<br />

e) consequential effects from associated equipment in the same unit,<br />

在 相 同 单 元 相 关 联 的 设 备 间 接 影 响<br />

f) deliberate acts (e.g. sabotage), 蓄 意 行 为<br />

g) fundamental limitations of inspection methods, 检 查 方 法 基 本 限 制<br />

h) design errors, 设 计 错 误<br />

i) unknown or unanticipated mechanisms of damage.<br />

未 知 或 无 法 预 料 的 损 坏 机 理<br />

Many of these factors are strongly influenced by the process safety<br />

management (PSM) system in place at the facility.<br />

上 述 受 到 工 艺 安 全 管 理 PSM 的 强 烈 影 响<br />

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deliberate acts (e.g.<br />

sabotage), 蓄 意 行 为


deliberate acts (e.g. sabotage), 蓄 意 行 为<br />

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deliberate acts (e.g.<br />

sabotage), 蓄 意 行 为


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5.6 Relative <strong>Risk</strong> vs Absolute <strong>Risk</strong> 相 对 风 险 与 绝 对 风 险<br />

The complexity of risk calculations is a function of the number of factors that<br />

can affect the risk. Calculating absolute risk can be very time and cost<br />

consuming and often can not be done with a high degree of accuracy, due to<br />

having too many uncertainties. Many variables are involved with loss of<br />

containment in hydrocarbon and chemical facilities and the determination of<br />

absolute risk numbers is often not even possible and not cost effective.<br />

因 太 多 的 不 确 定 性 导 致 计 算 ” 绝 对 风 险 ” 不 准 确 与 不 符 合 成 本 效 益<br />

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RBI is focused on a systematic determination of relative risks 运 用 系 统 化 的 确<br />

定 相 对 风 险 . In this way, facilities, units, systems, equipment, or components<br />

can be ranked based on their relative risk.<br />

This serves to focus the risk management efforts on the higher ranked risks<br />

and allow decisions to be made on the usefulness of risk management efforts<br />

on lower ranked risks. If a quantitative RBI study is conducted rigorously and<br />

properly, the resultant risk number should be a fair approximation of the actual<br />

risk of loss of containment due to deterioration.<br />

Numeric relative risk values determined in qualitative and semi-quantitative<br />

assessments using appropriate sensitivity analysis methods also may be used<br />

effectively to evaluate risk acceptance.<br />

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API 580 RBI<br />

RBI is focused on a systematic determination of relative<br />

risks 系 统 化 的 确 定 相 对 风 险 .<br />

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6 Introduction to <strong>Risk</strong>-<strong>Based</strong><br />

<strong>Inspection</strong><br />

基 于 风 险 的 检 验 介 绍<br />

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to <strong>Risk</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> <strong>Inspection</strong>


Contents<br />

6 Introduction to <strong>Risk</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> <strong>Inspection</strong><br />

6.1 Key Elements of an RBI Program<br />

6.2 Consequence and Probability for RBI<br />

6.3 Types of RBI Assessment<br />

6.4 Precision vs Accuracy<br />

6.5 Understanding How RBI Can Help to Manage Operating <strong>Risk</strong>s<br />

6.6 Management of <strong>Risk</strong>s<br />

6.7 Relationship Between RBI and Other <strong>Risk</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> and Safety Initiatives<br />

6.8 Relationship with Jurisdictional Requirements<br />

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6.1 Key Elements of an RBI Program<br />

Key elements that should exist in any RBI program include:<br />

a) management systems for maintaining documentation, personnel<br />

qualifications, data requirements, consistency of the program and<br />

analysis updates;<br />

b) documented method for POF determination;<br />

c) documented method for COF determination;<br />

d) documented methodology for managing risk through inspection,<br />

process control and other mitigation activities.<br />

However, all the elements outlined in Section 1 should be adequately<br />

addressed in all RBI applications, in accordance with the recommended<br />

practices in this document.<br />

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a) 保 持 文 件 管 理 系 统 管 理 ; 人 员 资 格 的 要<br />

求 , 数 据 , 程 序 和 一 致 性 分 析 的 更 新 ;<br />

b) 失 效 概 率 测 定 方 法 的 记 录 ;<br />

c) 失 效 后 果 测 定 方 法 的 记 录 ;<br />

d) 通 过 检 验 风 险 管 理 , 过 程 控 制 和 其 他 缓<br />

解 措 施 的 记 录 .<br />

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6.2 Consequence and Probability for RBI 后 果 与 概 率<br />

The objective of RBI is to determine what incident could occur (consequence)<br />

in the event of an equipment failure, and how likely (probability) it is that the<br />

incident could happen. For example, if a pressure vessel subject to damage<br />

from corrosion under insulation develops a leak, a variety of consequences<br />

could occur. Some of the possible consequences are:<br />

a) form a vapor cloud that could ignite causing injury and equipment damage;<br />

b) release of a toxic chemical that could cause health problems;<br />

c) result in a spill and cause environmental damage;<br />

d) force a unit shutdown and have an adverse economic impact;<br />

e) have minimal safety, health, environmental, and/or economic impact.<br />

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Failure<br />

Mode-Leak<br />

LEAK<br />

Scenario-a, b, c, d, e<br />

a) 形 成 蒸 气 云 可 能 会 引 燃 造 成 伤 害 和 设 备 损 坏 ;<br />

b) 释 放 有 毒 的 化 学 物 质 , 可 能 引 发 健 康 问 题 ;<br />

c) 导 致 泄 漏 造 成 环 境 的 破 坏 ;<br />

d) 导 致 停 机 给 经 济 带 来 不 利 的 影 响 ;<br />

e) 最 低 限 度 对 ; 安 全 , 健 康 , 环 境 , 和 / 或 经 济 的 影 响 .<br />

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Combining the probability of one or more of these events with its<br />

consequences will determine the risk to the operation. Some failures may<br />

occur relatively frequently without significant adverse safety, environmental<br />

or economic impacts. Similarly, some failures have potentially serious<br />

consequences, but if the probability of the incident is low, the risk may not<br />

warrant immediate or extensive action. However, if the probability and<br />

consequence combination (risk) is high enough to be unacceptable, then a<br />

mitigation action to reduce the probability and/or the consequence of the<br />

event is appropriate.<br />

If high risk:<br />

reduce<br />

(1) the probability and/or<br />

(2) the consequence<br />

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isk to the operation<br />

• relatively frequently without significant<br />

adverse safety, environmental or<br />

economic impacts.<br />

• potentially serious consequences, but if<br />

the probability of the incident is low,<br />

• probability and consequence combination<br />

(risk) is high<br />

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Traditionally, organizations have focused solely on the consequences or the<br />

POF without systematic efforts tying the two together. They have not<br />

considered how likely it is that an undesirable incident will occur in<br />

combination with the consequence. Only by considering both factors can<br />

effective risk-based decision-making take place. Typically, risk acceptability<br />

criteria are defined, recognizing that not every failure will lead to an<br />

undesirable incident with serious consequence (e.g. water leaks) and that<br />

some serious consequence incidents have very low probabilities (e.g.<br />

rupture of a clean propane vessel).<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> = Probability × Consequence<br />

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Understanding the two-dimensional aspect of risk allows new insight into the<br />

use of risk for inspection prioritization and planning. Figure 2 displays the<br />

risk associated with the operation of a number of equipment items in a<br />

process plant. Both the probability and COF have been determined for 10<br />

equipment items, and the results have been plotted.<br />

The points represent the risk associated with each equipment item. Ordering<br />

by risk produces a risk-based ranking of the equipment items to be<br />

inspected. From this list, an inspection plan can be developed that focuses<br />

attention on the areas of highest risk. An “ISO-risk” line is shown on Figure 2.<br />

An ISO-risk line represents a constant risk level, as shown across the matrix<br />

in Figure 2.<br />

All items that fall on or very near the ISO-risk line are roughly equivalent in<br />

their level of risk. A user defined acceptable risk level could be plotted as an<br />

ISO-risk line. In this way the acceptable risk line would separate the<br />

unacceptable from the acceptable risk items. Often a risk plot is drawn using<br />

log-log scales for a better understanding of the relative risks of the items<br />

assessed.<br />

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Key: ISO: constant risk level line


6.3 Types of RBI Assessment<br />

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6.3 Types of RBI Assessment<br />

评 估 的 类 型 ( 定 性 / 定 量 / 半 定 量 )<br />

Various types of RBI assessment may be conducted at several levels.<br />

The choice of approach is dependent on multiple variables such as:<br />

a) objective of the study, 研 究 的 目 的<br />

b) number of facilities and equipment items to study, 设 施 和 设 备 研 究 数<br />

c) available resources, 可 用 资 源<br />

d) assessment time frame, 评 估 的 时 间 框 架<br />

e) complexity of facilities and processes, 设 施 和 过 程 的 复 杂 性<br />

f) nature and quality of available data, 现 有 数 据 性 质 和 质 量<br />

g) the amount of risk discrimination needed. 需 要 的 风 险 偏 差 量<br />

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The RBI procedure can be applied qualitatively, quantitatively or by using<br />

aspects of both (i.e. semi-quantitatively). Each approach provides a<br />

systematic way to screen for risk, identify areas of potential concern, and<br />

develop a prioritized list for more in depth inspection or analysis. Each<br />

develops a risk ranking measure to be used for evaluating separately the<br />

POF and the potential COF. These two values are then combined to estimate<br />

risk of failure.<br />

定 性 / 定 量 / 半 定 量 : 每 一 种 方 法 都 提 供 了 一 个 系 统 的 方 法 来 筛 选 风 险 , 找 出 可 能 引<br />

起 关 注 点 与 优 先 级 列 表 进 行 更 深 入 的 检 查 或 分 析<br />

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The chosen approach may be selected at the beginning of the analysis<br />

process and carried through to completion, or the approach may be changed<br />

(i.e. the analysis may become more or less quantitative) as the analysis<br />

progresses. However, consistency of approach will be vital to comparing<br />

results from one assessment to the next.<br />

If the risk determined using any approach is below the acceptance criterion<br />

specified by the management of the organization conducting the analysis, no<br />

further analysis, inspection or mitigation steps are typically required within the<br />

analysis time frame as long as the conditions and assumptions used in the<br />

analysis remain valid. The spectrum of risk analysis should be considered to<br />

be a continuum with qualitative and quantitative approaches being the two<br />

extremes of the continuum and everything in between being a semiquantitative<br />

approach (see 6.3.4 and Figure 3). Use of expert opinion will<br />

typically be included in most risk assessments regardless of type or level.<br />

所 选 择 的 方 法 可 以 在 分 析 过 程 的 从 开 始 到 完 成 或 中 间 转 换 为 另 个 方 法 , 分 析 结 果<br />

可 以 为 定 性 / 定 量 / 半 定 量 . 然 而 使 用 方 法 的 一 致 性 对 后 续 评 估 数 据 对 比 是 关 键 的 .<br />

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所 选 择 的 方 法 可 以 在 分 析 过 程 的 从 开 始 到 完 成 或 中 间 转 换 为<br />

另 个 方 法 , 分 析 结 果 可 以 为 定 性 / 定 量 / 半 定 量 .<br />

定 性<br />

半 定 量<br />

定 量<br />

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6.3.1 Qualitative Approach 定 性 的 方 法<br />

This approach requires data inputs based on descriptive information using<br />

engineering judgment and experience as the basis for the analysis of probability<br />

and COF. 使 用 基 于 (1) 工 程 判 断 和 (2) 经 验 的 描 述 性 信 息 作 为 后 果 COF 与 概 率 分<br />

析 POF. 定 性 分 析 结 果 的 准 确 性 取 决 于 风 险 分 析 师 和 团 队 成 员 的 背 景 和 专 业 知 识 .<br />

Inputs are often given in data ranges instead of discrete values. Results are<br />

typically given in qualitative terms such as high, medium, and low, although<br />

numerical values may also be associated with these categories. The value of<br />

this type of analysis is that it enables completion of a risk assessment in the<br />

absence of detailed quantitative data. The accuracy of results from a qualitative<br />

analysis is dependent on the background and expertise of the risk analysts and<br />

team members. Although the qualitative approach is less precise than more<br />

quantitative approaches it is effective in screening out units and equipment with<br />

low risk. The qualitative approach may be used for any aspect of inspection<br />

plan development; however, the conservatism generally inherent in the more<br />

qualitative approach should be considered when making final mitigation and<br />

inspection plan decisions.<br />

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Qualitative Approach-This approach requires data inputs based on descriptive<br />

information using engineering judgment and experience as the basis for the<br />

analysis of probability and COF.<br />

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6.3.2 Quantitative Approach 定 量 方 法<br />

Fully QRA integrates into a uniform methodology the relevant information<br />

about facility design, operating practices, operating history, component<br />

reliability, human actions, the physical progression of accidents, and<br />

potential environmental and health effects.<br />

集 成 到 一 个 统 一 的 分 析 相 关 信 息 方 法<br />

• about facility design, 设 施 设 计<br />

• operating practices, 操 作 手 法<br />

• operating history, 操 作 历 史<br />

• component reliability, 元 件 的 可 靠 性<br />

• human actions, 人 类 参 与<br />

• the physical progression of accidents, and 意 外 的 物 理 进 展<br />

• potential environmental and health effects. 潜 在 的 环 境 和 健 康 影 响<br />

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QRA uses logic models depicting combinations of events that could result in<br />

severe accidents and physical models depicting the progression of accidents<br />

and the transport of a hazardous material to the environment. The models are<br />

evaluated probabilistically to provide both qualitative and quantitative insights<br />

about the level of risk and to identify the design, site, or operational<br />

characteristics that are the most important to risk. QRA is distinguished from<br />

the qualitative approach by the analysis depth and integration of detailed<br />

assessments.<br />

定 量 方 法 通 过 更 加 深 入 分 析 和 整 合 详 细 评 估 , 从 定 性 的 方 法 区 别 开 来<br />

QRA<br />

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analysis


QRA logic models generally consist of event trees and fault trees. Event trees<br />

delineate initiating events and combinations of system successes and failures,<br />

while fault trees depict ways in which the system failures represented in the<br />

event trees can occur. These models are analyzed to estimate the probability<br />

of each accident sequence. 逻 辑 模 型 一 般 包 括 (1) 事 件 树 和 (2) 故 障 树<br />

Results using this approach are typically presented as risk numbers (e.g. cost<br />

per year). QRA refers to a prescriptive methodology that has resulted from<br />

the application of risk analysis techniques at many different types of facilities,<br />

including hydrocarbon and chemical process facilities. For all intents and<br />

purposes, it is a traditional risk analysis.<br />

An RBI analysis shares many of the techniques and data requirements with a<br />

QRA. If a QRA has been prepared for a process unit, the RBI consequence<br />

analysis can borrow extensively from this effort.<br />

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QRA logic models generally consist of event trees and fault trees.<br />

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QRA logic models generally consist of event trees and fault trees.<br />

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The traditional QRA is generally comprised of five tasks:<br />

传 统 的 定 量 风 险 评 估 一 般 包 括 五 项 任 务 :<br />

1. systems identification, 系 统 辨 识<br />

2. hazards identification, 危 害 识 别<br />

3. probability assessment, 概 率 评 估<br />

4. consequence analysis, 后 果 分 析<br />

5. risk results. 风 险 结 果<br />

The systems definition, hazard identification and consequence analysis are<br />

integrally linked.<br />

Hazard identification in an RBI analysis generally focuses on identifiable<br />

failure mechanisms in the equipment (inspectable causes) but does not<br />

explicitly deal with other potential failure scenarios resulting from events<br />

such as power failures or human errors. A QRA deals with total risk, not just<br />

risk associated with equipment damage. 分 析 一 般 集 中 在 识 别 设 备 失 效 机 理 .<br />

QRA 针 对 总 风 险 , 不 仅 仅 与 设 备 损 坏 相 关 的 风 险<br />

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QRA deals with total risk, not just risk<br />

associated with equipment damage.<br />

针 对 总 风 险 , 不 仅 仅 与 设 备 损 坏 相 关 的 风 险<br />

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The QRA typically involves a much more detailed evaluation than an RBI<br />

analysis. The following data are typically analyzed:<br />

定 量 风 险 评 估 通 常 涉 及 一 个 更 详 细 的 评 价<br />

a) existing HAZOP or PHA results, 现 有 的 HAZOP 或 PHA 结 果<br />

b) dike and drainage design, 堤 及 排 水 设 计<br />

c) hazard detection systems, 危 险 探 测 系 统<br />

d) fire protection systems, 消 防 系 统<br />

e) release statistics, 解 放 统 计<br />

f) injury statistics, 伤 害 统 计<br />

g) population distributions, 人 口 分 布<br />

h) topography, 地 形 学<br />

i) weather conditions, 天 气 情 况<br />

j) land use. 土 地 使 用<br />

A QRA is generally performed by experienced risk analysts. There are<br />

opportunities to link the detailed QRA with an RBI study.<br />

一 般 由 经 验 丰 富 的 风 险 分 析 进 行<br />

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6.3.3 Semi-quantitative Approach 半 定 量 方 法 - 从 定 性 和 定 量 的 评 估 方 法<br />

Semi-quantitative is a term that describes any approach that has aspects<br />

derived from both the qualitative and quantitative approaches. It is geared to<br />

obtain the major benefits of the previous two approaches (e.g. speed of the<br />

qualitative and rigor of the quantitative) 采 取 定 性 的 速 度 与 定 量 的 严 谨 .<br />

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Typically, most of the data used in a quantitative approach is needed for this<br />

approach but in less detail. The models also may not be as rigorous as those<br />

used for the quantitative approach. The results are usually given in<br />

consequence and probability categories or as risk numbers but numerical<br />

values may be associated with each category to permit the calculation of risk<br />

and the application of appropriate risk acceptance criteria.<br />

风 险 结 果 可 以 用 以 下 表 达 : (1) 风 险 等 级 (2) 风 险 报 数 或 (3) 风 险 等 级 报 数<br />

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6.3.4 Continuum of Approaches 连 续 统 方 法 ( 复 合 方 法 )<br />

In practice, an RBI study typically uses aspects of qualitative, quantitative and<br />

semi-quantitative approaches. These RBI approaches are not considered as<br />

competing but rather as complementary. For example,<br />

• a high level qualitative approach could be used at a unit level to select the<br />

unit within a facility that provides the highest risk for further analysis.<br />

设 施 里 的 处 理 单 元 运 用 定 性 的 方 法<br />

• Systems and equipment within the unit then may be screened using a<br />

qualitative approach with.<br />

然 后 单 元 内 的 (1) 系 统 和 (2) 设 备 使 用 定 性 的 方 法 筛 选<br />

• a more quantitative approach used for the higher risk items.<br />

上 述 筛 选 到 的 高 风 险 的 设 备 个 别 的 进 行 更 定 量 方 法<br />

Another example could be to use a qualitative consequence analysis<br />

combined with a semi-quantitative probability analysis.<br />

另 一 个 例 子 可 以 使 用 定 性 分 析 结 果 相 结 合 的 半 定 量 概 率 分 析<br />

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When performing risk analysis across different equipment, a single site or<br />

multiple sites, the user is cautioned about comparing specific results unless<br />

the same or very similar RBI methodologies and assumptions were applied.<br />

The user is also cautioned against drawing conclusions about different results<br />

when different methodologies are used to evaluate the same piece of<br />

equipment.<br />

The RBI process, shown in the simplified block diagram in Figure 4, depicts<br />

the essential elements of inspection planning based on risk analysis. This<br />

diagram is applicable to Figure 3 regardless of which RBI approach is applied,<br />

i.e. each of the essential elements shown in Figure 4 are necessary for a<br />

complete RBI program regardless of approach (qualitative, semi-quantitative,<br />

or quantitative).<br />

分 析 结 果 共 享 与 对 比 , 值 得 注 意 :<br />

不 同 的 设 备 ( 所 在 地 ) 分 析 或 不 同 的 方 法 被 用 来 分 析 同 一 台 设 备 时 , 所 得 到 的 分<br />

析 结 果 , 除 非 相 同 或 非 常 相 似 的 方 法 和 假 设 被 运 用 可 能 有 明 显 差 异 .<br />

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基 于 风 险 分 析 的 检 查 规 划 基 本 要 素<br />

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6.4 Precision vs Accuracy 精 度 与 准 确 度<br />

It is important to understand the difference between precision and accuracy<br />

when it comes to risk analysis.<br />

• Accuracy is a function of the analysis methodology, the quality of the data<br />

and consistency of application while 准 确 度 受 控 于 ; 分 析 方 法 , 数 据 的 质 量 ,<br />

应 用 程 序 的 一 致 性 . ( 计 算 结 果 偏 离 实 际 )<br />

• precision is a function of the selected metrics and computational methods.<br />

精 确 度 受 控 于 ; 选 定 指 标 与 计 算 方 法 ( 计 算 数 据 一 致 性 )<br />

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methodology,<br />

data quality,<br />

consistency<br />

Metrics,<br />

computation<br />

methods<br />

Accuracy<br />

precision<br />

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<strong>Risk</strong> presented as a precise numeric value (as in a quantitative analysis)<br />

implies a greater level of accuracy when compared to a risk matrix (as in a<br />

qualitative analysis). However, the implied linkage of precision and accuracy<br />

may not exist because of the element of uncertainty that is inherent with<br />

probabilities and consequences. The basis for predicted damage and rates,<br />

the level of confidence in inspection data and the technique used to perform<br />

the inspection are all factors that should be considered. 概 率 和 后 果 固 有 的 不<br />

确 定 性 因 素 导 致 精 度 和 准 确 度 连 锁 性 可 能 不 存 在<br />

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In practice, there are often many extraneous factors that will affect the<br />

estimate of damage rate (probability) as well as the magnitude of a failure<br />

(consequence) that cannot be fully taken into account with a fixed model.<br />

Therefore, it may be beneficial to use quantitative and qualitative methods in<br />

a complementary fashion to produce the most effective and efficient<br />

assessment.<br />

概 率 和 后 果 固 有 的 不 确 定 性 因 素 导 致 精 度 和 准 确 度 连 锁 性 可 能 不 存 在 . 使 用 定<br />

量 和 定 性 互 补 的 综 合 方 式 来 达 到 有 效 与 高 效 的 分 析 法 .<br />

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Therefore, it may be beneficial to use quantitative and<br />

qualitative methods in a complementary fashion to<br />

produce the most effective and efficient assessment.<br />

定 量 和 定 性 互 补 方 式 为 最 佳 !<br />

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定 量 和 定 性 互 补 方 式 为 最 佳 !<br />

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Quantitative analysis uses logic models to calculate probabilities and<br />

consequences of failure. Logic models used to characterize materials damage<br />

of equipment and to determine the COFs typically can have significant<br />

variability and therefore could introduce error and inaccuracy impacting the<br />

quality of the risk assessment. Therefore, it is important that results from these<br />

logic models are validated by expert judgment. The accuracy of any type of<br />

RBI analysis depends on using a sound methodology, quality data, and<br />

knowledgeable personnel and is important to any type of RBI methodology<br />

selected for application.<br />

定 量 分 析 采 用 逻 辑 模 型 通 常 有 显 著 误 差 , 引 入 错 误 和 不 准 确 数 据 而 影 响 的 风 险 评<br />

估 的 质 量 - 任 何 类 型 的 基 于 风 险 检 验 的 分 析 的 准 确 度 取 决 于 使 用 合 理 的 方 法 , 数<br />

据 质 量 , 和 熟 悉 情 况 的 人 员<br />

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Quantitative analysis uses logic models to calculate probabilities and<br />

consequences of failure. ………….Therefore, it is important that results from<br />

these logic models are validated by expert judgment.<br />

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6.5 Understanding How RBI Can Help to Manage Operating <strong>Risk</strong>s<br />

认 识 RBI 如 何 管 理 操 作 风 险<br />

The mechanical integrity and functional performance of equipment depends on<br />

the suitability of the equipment to operate safely and reliably under the normal<br />

and abnormal (upset) operating conditions to which the equipment is exposed.<br />

In performing an RBI assessment, the susceptibility of equipment to damage by<br />

one or more mechanisms (e.g. corrosion, fatigue and cracking) is established.<br />

The susceptibility of each equipment item should be clearly defined for the<br />

current and projected operating conditions including such factors as:<br />

a) normal operation, 正 常 操 作<br />

b) upset conditions, 非 正 常 操 作<br />

c) normal start-up and shutdown, 正 常 启 动 和 关 机<br />

d) idle or out-of-service time, 闲 置 或 非 操 作 时 间<br />

e) emergency shutdown and subsequent start-up. 紧 急 停 机 和 后 续 开 机<br />

明 确 每 台 设 备 在 以 上 操 作 / 状 况 下 , 对 一 个 或 多 个 损 伤 机 理 的 易 感 性 .<br />

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Process variables that should be considered for each operating condition<br />

include, but are not limited to: 应 该 考 虑 为 每 个 操 作 条 件 过 程 变 量 包 括<br />

a) process fluid, contaminants and aggressive components;<br />

工 艺 流 体 , 污 染 物 和 侵 略 性 成 分<br />

b) pressures, including cyclic and transient conditions;<br />

压 力 , 包 括 周 期 和 瞬 态 条 件<br />

c) temperatures, including cyclic and transient conditions;<br />

温 度 , 包 括 周 期 和 瞬 态 条 件<br />

d) flow rates; 流 量<br />

e) desired unit run length between scheduled shutdowns (turnarounds).<br />

周 转 期<br />

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The suitability and current condition of the equipment within the established<br />

IOW will determine the POF (see Section 10) of the equipment from one or<br />

more damage mechanisms. This probability, when coupled with the<br />

associated COF (see Section 11) will determine the operating risk associated<br />

with the equipment item (see Section 12), and therefore the need for<br />

mitigation, if any, such as inspection, metallurgy change or change in<br />

operating conditions (see Section 13 and Section 14).<br />

在 允 许 的 工 艺 操 作 条 件 下 , 不 同 的 损 伤 机 理 造 成 的 失 效 结 果 与 相 应 的 概 率 将 确 定<br />

设 备 风 险 . 如 果 有 的 话 通 过 (1) 检 验 , (2) 冶 金 变 化 或 (3) 改 变 操 作 条 件 来 降 低 相<br />

关 风 险 .<br />

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Since risk is dynamic (i.e. changes with time) it is vital that any RBI process that<br />

is developed or selected for application have the ability to be easily updated<br />

(including changes in the inspection plan) when changes occur or new<br />

information is discovered. 风 险 是 动 态 的 ; 相 应 的 分 析 与 检 验 计 划 也 必 要 易 于 更 新 .<br />

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Those changes might include such things as: 更 新 项<br />

a) new data from inspection activities (i.e. changes in rates of deterioration<br />

are noted in external, internal, or on-stream inspections);<br />

从 检 查 活 动 的 新 数 据 ,<br />

b) changes in operation, operating variables or operation outside of the IOW;<br />

操 作 中 的 变 化 , 操 作 变 量 ,<br />

c) changes in the process fluids, however small; 任 何 改 变 工 艺 流 体<br />

d) changes in process equipment, including additions; 改 变 工 艺 设 ( 包 括 增 加 ),<br />

e) equipment leaks or failures. 设 备 泄 漏 或 故 障 ,<br />

Any and all of this type of information must be communicated on a timely basis<br />

so that changes in the inspection plan can be made, as necessary.<br />

信 息 必 须 及 时 传 达 , 检 验 计 划 可 根 据 需 要 更 改<br />

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6.6 Management of <strong>Risk</strong>s 风 险 管 理<br />

6.6.1 <strong>Risk</strong> Management Through <strong>Inspection</strong> 通 过 检 验 风 险 管 理<br />

The objective of RBI is to direct management’s decision process of prioritizing<br />

resources to manage risk.<br />

RBI 的 目 的 是 引 导 管 理 层 对 管 理 风 险 的 资 源 运 用 优 先 次 序 决 策 .<br />

<strong>Inspection</strong> influences the uncertainty of the risk associated with pressure<br />

equipment primarily by improving knowledge of the deterioration state and<br />

predictability of the POF. Although inspection does not reduce risk directly,<br />

it is a risk management activity (provider of new information) that may lead<br />

to risk reduction.<br />

检 验 虽 然 不 能 直 接 的 降 低 风 险 , 然 而 能 提 供 对 受 压 ;<br />

1. 设 备 的 劣 化 状 态 的 了 解 和<br />

2. 增 加 故 障 概 率 POF 可 预 测 性<br />

从 而 导 致 降 低 风 险 .<br />

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The objective of RBI is to direct management’s decision process of prioritizing<br />

resources to manage risk. RBI 的 目 的 是 引 导 管 理 层 对 管 理 风 险 的 资 源 运 用 优 先<br />

次 序 决 策 .<br />

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Impending failure of pressure equipment is not avoided by inspection activities<br />

unless the inspection precipitates risk mitigation activities that change the POF.<br />

In-service inspection is primarily concerned with the detection and monitoring<br />

of deterioration.<br />

在 役 检 查 主 要 关 注 点 是 发 现 和 监 测 设 备 退 化 . 检 查 活 动 并 不 能 避 免 压 力 设 备 即 将<br />

出 现 的 故 障 , 除 非 检 查 活 动 导 致 风 险 缓 解 从 而 改 变 故 障 概 率 .<br />

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The POF due to such deterioration is a function of four factors:<br />

设 备 退 化 影 响 故 障 概 率 的 因 素 有 四 个<br />

a) deterioration type and mechanism, 退 化 类 型 和 机 理 ,<br />

b) rate of deterioration, 劣 化 率 ,<br />

c) probability of identifying and detecting deterioration and predicting future<br />

deterioration states with inspection techniques,<br />

所 使 用 的 检 查 方 法 , 识 别 和 检 测 恶 化 并 预 测 未 来 的 恶 化 状 态 的 概 率 ,<br />

d) tolerance of the equipment to the type of deterioration.<br />

设 备 对 相 关 劣 化 容 忍 性 ,<br />

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1. 退 化 类 型 和 机 制<br />

2. 劣 化 率<br />

3. 所 使 用 的 检 查 方 法 可 探 性<br />

4. 设 备 对 相 关 劣 化 容 忍 性 .


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6.6.2 Using RBI to Establish <strong>Inspection</strong> Plans and Priorities<br />

建 立 检 验 计 划 和 优 先 事 项<br />

The primary product of an RBI effort should be an inspection plan for each<br />

equipment item evaluated. RBI is a logical and structured process for planning<br />

and evaluating inspection activities for pressure equipment. The inspection<br />

plan should detail the unmitigated risk related to the current operation. For<br />

risks considered unacceptable, the plan should contain the mitigation actions<br />

that are recommended to reduce the unmitigated risk to acceptable levels.<br />

检 验 计 划 应 详 细 说 明 当 前 操 作 中 的 设 备 可 能 存 在 的 未 缓 和 风 险 . 对 于 存 在 不 可 接<br />

受 的 风 险 的 设 备 , 该 计 划 应 包 含 减 缓 行 动 以 减 少 风 险 到 可 接 受 的 水 平<br />

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For those equipment items where inspection is a cost-effective means of risk<br />

management, the plans should describe the type, scope and timing of<br />

inspection/examination recommended. Ranking of the equipment by the<br />

unmitigated risk level allows users to assign priorities to the various<br />

inspection/examination tasks. The level of the unmitigated risk should be used<br />

to evaluate the urgency for performing the inspection.<br />

该 计 划 应 说 明 检 验 / 检 查 建 议 的 类 型 , 范 围 和 时 间 . 设 备 风 险 等 级 / 顺 序 应 该 被 用 于<br />

评 估 检 查 的 紧 迫 性 .<br />

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该 计 划 应 说 明<br />

检 验 / 检 查 建 议<br />

的 类 型 , 范 围 和<br />

时 间 . 设 备 风 险<br />

等 级 / 顺 序 应 该<br />

被 用 于 评 估 检<br />

查 的 紧 迫 性 .


6.6.3 Evaluation and Fitness-For-Service Analysis 评 估 与 适 用 性 分 析<br />

Evaluation of the results of the inspection and examination activities and<br />

conducting an assessment of fitness for continued service are also key parts<br />

of the RBI process. Although the reduction in uncertainty provided by the<br />

inspection process can help to better quantify the calculated risk, without<br />

evaluation of inspection results and assessment of equipment Fitness-For-<br />

Service after the inspection, effective risk reduction may not be accomplished.<br />

The Fitness-For-Service assessment is often accomplished through the<br />

knowledge and expertise of the inspector and engineers involved when<br />

deterioration is within known acceptable limits, but on occasion will require an<br />

engineering analysis such as those contained in API 579-1/ASME FFS-1.<br />

适 用 性 分 析 一 般 上 是 由 牵 涉 的 检 查 员 和 工 程 师 运 用 相 关 知 识 和 专 业 技 能 完 成 , 然<br />

而 很 多 时 候 需 要 更 加 详 细 的 工 程 分 析 来 完 成 此 项 工 作 ( 例 如 API 579-1/ASME<br />

FFS-1)<br />

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6.6.4 Other <strong>Risk</strong> Management 其 他 风 险 管 理<br />

Some risks cannot be adequately managed by inspection alone. Examples<br />

where inspection may not be sufficient to manage risks to acceptable levels<br />

are: 一 些 风 险 不 能 单 独 被 检 查 得 到 充 分 管 理<br />

a) equipment nearing retirement; 设 备 即 将 退 休<br />

b) failure mechanisms (such as brittle fracture, fatigue) where avoidance of<br />

failure primarily depends on design and operating within a defined<br />

pressure/temperature envelope; 失 效 机 理 ( 如 脆 性 断 裂 , 疲 劳 ) 失 效 主 要 取 决<br />

于 设 备 的 设 计 和 操 作 .<br />

c) consequence-dominated risks. 结 果 支 配 风 险<br />

In such cases, non-inspection mitigation actions (such as equipment repair,<br />

replacement or upgrade, equipment redesign or maintenance of strict controls<br />

on operating conditions) may be the only appropriate measures that can be<br />

taken to reduce risk to acceptable levels. See Section 14 for methods of risk<br />

mitigation other than inspection.<br />

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non-inspection mitigation 非 检 查 缓 解<br />

In such cases, non-inspection mitigation actions such as;<br />

1. equipment repair, 设 备 维 修<br />

2. replacement or upgrade, 更 换 或 升 级<br />

3. equipment redesign or 重 新 设 计<br />

4. maintenance of strict controls on operating conditions 严 格 控 制 操 作 条 件<br />

may be the only appropriate measures that can be taken to reduce risk to<br />

acceptable levels. See Section 14 for methods of risk mitigation other than<br />

inspection.<br />

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6.7 Relationship Between RBI and Other <strong>Risk</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> and Safety<br />

Initiatives RBI 和 其 他 基 于 风 险 的 安 全 举 措 之 间 的 关 系<br />

6.7.1 General 综 合<br />

The risk-based inspection methodology is intended to complement other riskbased<br />

and safety initiatives. The output from several of these initiatives can<br />

provide input to the RBI effort, and RBI outputs may be used to improve safety<br />

and risk-based initiatives already implemented by organizations. Examples of<br />

some of these other initiatives are:<br />

OSHA PSM programs<br />

EPA risk management programs<br />

ACC responsible care<br />

ASME risk assessment publications<br />

CCPS risk assessment techniques<br />

RCM<br />

PHA<br />

safeguarding analysis<br />

SIL<br />

LOPA<br />

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The relationship between RBI and several initiatives is described in 6.7.2<br />

through 6.7.4.<br />

RBI 旨 在 补 充 其 他 基 于 风 险 和 安 全 步 骤 ( 方 法 ). 这 些 其 他 举 措 的 输 出 也 可 以 作 为<br />

RBI 信 息 输 入 . RBI 输 出 可 用 于 提 高 其 他 已 经 实 施 基 于 风 险 的 举 措 的 安 全 性 .<br />

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RBI 和 其 他 基 于 风 险 的 安 全 举<br />

措 之 间 的 关 系 - 旨 在 补 充 其 他<br />

基 于 风 险 和 安 全 举 措 .


6.7.2 PHA<br />

A Process Hazard Analysis (PHA) uses a systemized approach to identify and<br />

analyze hazards in a process unit. The RBI study can include a review of the<br />

output from any PHA that has been conducted on the unit being evaluated.<br />

Hazards associated with potential equipment failure due to in-service<br />

degradation identified in the PHA can be specifically addressed in the RBI<br />

analysis. Potential hazards identified in a PHA will often affect the POF side of<br />

the risk equation. The hazard may result from a series of events that could<br />

cause a process upset, or it could be the result of process design or<br />

instrumentation deficiencies. In either case, the hazard may increase the POF,<br />

in which case the RBI assessment could reflect the same.<br />

PHA 往 往 会 影 响 风 险 方 程 的 POF 侧<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> = Probability × Consequence<br />

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Some hazards identified affect the<br />

consequence side of the risk equation. For<br />

example, the potential failure of an isolation<br />

valve could increase the inventory of material<br />

available for release in the event of a leak.<br />

The consequence calculation in the RBI<br />

procedure could be modified to reflect this<br />

added hazard. Likewise, the results of an RBI<br />

assessment can significantly enhance the<br />

overall value of a PHA and help to avoid<br />

duplicate effort by two separate teams<br />

looking at the risk of failure.<br />

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6.7.3 PSM Process Safety Management 工 艺 安 全 管 理<br />

An effective PSM system can significantly reduce risk levels in a process plant<br />

(refer to OSHA 29 CFR 1910.119 and API 750). RBI may include<br />

methodologies to assess the effectiveness of the management systems in<br />

maintaining mechanical integrity. The results of such a management systems<br />

evaluation are factored into the risk determinations. Several of the features of<br />

an effective PSM program provide input for an RBI study. Extensive data on<br />

the equipment and the process are required in the RBI analysis, and output<br />

from PHA and incident investigation reports increases the validity of the study.<br />

In turn, the RBI program can improve the mechanical integrity aspect of the<br />

PSM program.<br />

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An effective PSM program includes a well-structured and effective pressure<br />

equipment inspection program. The RBI system will improve the focus of the<br />

inspection plan, resulting in a strengthened PSM program.<br />

RBI 程 序 可 以 提 高 PSM 程 序 的 机 械 完 整 性 方 面<br />

Operating with a comprehensive inspection program should reduce the risks of<br />

releases from a facility and should provide benefits in complying with safetyrelated<br />

initiatives.<br />

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6.7.4 Equipment Reliability 设 备 可 靠 性<br />

Equipment reliability programs can provide input to the probability analysis<br />

portion of an RBI program. Specifically, reliability records can be used to<br />

develop equipment failure probabilities and leak frequencies. Equipment<br />

reliability is especially important if leaks can be caused by secondary failures,<br />

such as loss of utilities.<br />

Reliability efforts, such as reliability centered maintenance (RCM), can be<br />

linked with RBI, resulting in an integrated program to reduce downtime in an<br />

operating unit. At facilities with an effective RBI program, the RCM program<br />

can typically focus on the reliability aspects of equipment other than pressure<br />

equipment, and perhaps just focus on the reliability aspects of pressure<br />

equipment that do not pertain to loss of containment (e.g. tray damage and<br />

valve reliability).<br />

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6.8 Relationship with Jurisdictional Requirements 与 司 法 要 求 的 关 系<br />

Codes and legal requirements vary from one jurisdiction to another. In some<br />

cases, jurisdictional requirements mandate specific actions such as the type of<br />

inspections and intervals between inspections. In jurisdictions that permit the<br />

application of the API inspection codes and standards, RBI should be an<br />

acceptable method for establishing inspection plans and setting inspection<br />

due dates. All users should review their jurisdictional code and legal<br />

requirements for acceptability of using RBI for inspection planning purposes.<br />

The fact that some jurisdictions may have some prescriptive time-based rules<br />

on inspection intervals do not preclude the user from gaining significant<br />

benefits from the application of RBI, as long as jurisdictional requirements are<br />

met and as long as the local regulations do not specifically prohibit the use of<br />

RBI planning.<br />

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Those benefits can include:<br />

a) application of RBI can provide evidence of sound risk management and<br />

integrity monitoring programs that can be used as a basis for advocating<br />

adoption of RBI by jurisdictions,<br />

b) application of RBI can provide evidence of fulfilling requirements of meeting<br />

specific industry standards as well as other types of asset integrity programs,<br />

c) application of RBI can provide a basis for reducing risk further than what<br />

may be achieved through time-based inspection rules.<br />

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7 Planning the RBI Assessment<br />

评 估 计 划<br />

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Contents<br />

7 Planning the RBI Assessment<br />

7.1 Getting Started<br />

7.2 Establishing Objectives and Goals of an RBI Assessment<br />

7.3 Initial Screening<br />

7.4 Establish Operating Boundaries<br />

7.5 Selecting a Type of RBI Assessment<br />

7.6 Estimating Resources and Time Required<br />

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7.1 Getting Started 开 始<br />

This section helps a user determine the scope and the priorities for an RBI<br />

assessment. Screening is done to focus the effort. Boundary limits are<br />

identified to determine what is vital to include in the assessment. The<br />

organizing process of aligning priorities, screening risks, and identifying<br />

boundaries improves the efficiency and effectiveness of conducting the RBI<br />

assessment and its end-results in managing risk. An RBI assessment is a<br />

team-based process. At the beginning of the exercise, it is important to answer<br />

the following questions.<br />

分 析 作 业 前 需 要 确 定 的 几 点<br />

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Why the assessment is being done?<br />

How the RBI assessment will be<br />

carried out?<br />

What knowledge and skills are<br />

required for the assessment?<br />

Who is on the RBI team?<br />

What are their roles in the RBI<br />

process?<br />

Who is responsible and accountable<br />

for what actions?<br />

What data is to be used in the<br />

assessment?<br />

What codes and standards are<br />

applicable?<br />

When the assessment will be<br />

completed?<br />

How long the assessment will remain<br />

in effect and when it will be updated?<br />

How the results will be used?<br />

What is the plan period?<br />

Which facilities, assets, and<br />

components will be included?<br />

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At the conclusion of the planning portion of the development of the RBI program,<br />

the following should have been completed:<br />

以 下 为 整 个 计 划 必 须 完 成 的 前 期 规 划 点<br />

a) establish the objectives of the risk analysis, 建 立 风 险 分 析 的 目 标<br />

b) identify the physical boundaries, 识 别 物 理 边 界<br />

c) identify the operating boundaries, 确 定 操 作 范 围<br />

d) develop screening questions and criteria consistent with the objectives of the<br />

analysis and identified physical and operating boundaries.<br />

根 据 上 述 三 点 , 开 发 筛 选 问 题 和 一 致 准 据<br />

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识 别 物 理 边 界<br />

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确 定 操 作 范 围


Once this portion of the RBI planning process has been completed, the data<br />

and information required for collection should be identified (see Section 8).<br />

Note that it may be necessary to revise the objectives, boundaries, screening<br />

questions, etc., based upon the availability and quality of the data and<br />

information.<br />

当 上 述 的 事 项 认 明 后 , 需 要 收 集 的 数 据 和 资 料 应 相 应 的 确 定 与 开 始 收 集 . 需 要 注<br />

意 的 是 , 上 述 的 变 数 可 能 按 照 需 要 做 修 改 .<br />

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7.2 Establishing Objectives and Goals of an RBI Assessment<br />

确 立 目 标 和 目 的<br />

7.2.1 General 明 确<br />

7.2.2 Understand <strong>Risk</strong>s 认 识 风 险<br />

7.2.3 Define <strong>Risk</strong> Criteria 风 险 准 据 定 义<br />

7.2.4 Management of <strong>Risk</strong>s 风 险 管 理<br />

7.2.5 Reduce Costs 降 低 成 本<br />

7.2.6 Meet Safety and Environmental Management Requirements 环 保 要 求<br />

7.2.7 Identify Mitigation Alternatives 确 定 缓 解 的 替 代<br />

7.2.8 New Project <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment 新 的 项 目 风 险 评 估<br />

7.2.9 Facilities End of Life Strategies 临 近 最 终 使 用 期 策 略<br />

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7.2 Establishing Objectives and Goals of an RBI Assessment<br />

确 立 目 标 和 目 的<br />

7.2.1 General 明 确<br />

An RBI assessment should be undertaken with clear objectives and goals that<br />

are fully understood by all members of the RBI team and by management.<br />

Some examples are listed in 7.2.2 to 7.2.9.<br />

7.2.2 Understand <strong>Risk</strong>s 认 识 风 险<br />

An objective of the RBI assessment may be to better understand the risks<br />

involved in the operation of a plant or process unit and to understand the<br />

effects that inspection, maintenance and mitigation actions have on the risks.<br />

From the understanding of risks, an inspection program may be designed that<br />

optimizes the use of inspection and plant maintenance resources.<br />

从 认 识 风 险 , 设 计 一 份 检 验 计 划 来 完 善 检 验 工 作 和 利 用 实 际 的 工 厂 维 护 资 源 .<br />

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7.2.3 Define <strong>Risk</strong> Criteria 定 义 风 险 准 据<br />

An RBI assessment will determine the risk associated with the items assessed.<br />

The RBI team and management may wish to judge whether the individual<br />

equipment item and cumulative risks are acceptable. Establishing risk criteria<br />

to judge acceptability of risk could be an objective of the RBI assessment if<br />

such criteria do not exist already within the user’s company.<br />

制 定 风 险 数 据 来 判 断 风 险 的 可 接 受 性<br />

7.2.4 Management of <strong>Risk</strong>s 风 险 管 理<br />

When the risks are identified, inspection actions and/or other mitigation that<br />

have a positive effect in reducing risk to an acceptable level may be<br />

undertaken. These actions may be significantly different from the inspection<br />

actions undertaken during a statutory or certification type inspection program.<br />

The results of managing and reducing risk are improved safety, avoided losses<br />

of containment, and avoided commercial losses. 当 风 险 被 识 别 后 , (1) 检 测 和 / 或<br />

(2) 其 他 缓 解 活 动 , 将 进 行 来 降 低 风 险 到 可 接 受 的 水 平 . 这 些 工 作 / 活 动 或 许 显 著 不<br />

同 法 定 或 认 证 检 验 要 求 .<br />

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7.2.5 Reduce Costs 降 低 成 本<br />

Reducing inspection costs is usually not the primary objective of an RBI<br />

assessment, but it is frequently a side effect of optimization. When the<br />

inspection program is optimized based on an understanding of risk, one or<br />

more of the following cost reduction benefits may be realized:<br />

减 少 检 查 费 用 通 常 不 是 首 要 目 标 但 它 是 经 常 优 化 的 副 作 用<br />

a) ineffective, unnecessary or inappropriate inspection activities may be<br />

eliminated; 无 效 的 , 不 必 要 的 或 不 适 当 的 视 察 活 动 可 能 被 淘 汰<br />

b) inspection of low-risk items may be eliminated or reduced;<br />

低 风 险 的 项 目 进 行 检 查 也 可 以 消 除 或 减 少<br />

c) on-line or noninvasive inspection methods may be substituted for invasive<br />

methods that require equipment shutdown;<br />

在 职 非 介 入 检 验 代 替 介 入 检 验 , 这 样 能 避 免 停 机 .<br />

d) more effective infrequent inspections may be substituted for less effective<br />

frequent inspections.<br />

更 有 效 的 低 频 繁 代 替 低 效 频 繁 检 验<br />

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7.2.6 Meet Safety and Environmental Management Requirements<br />

符 合 安 全 标 准 和 环 境 管 理 要 求<br />

Managing risks by using RBI assessment can be useful in implementing an<br />

effective inspection program that meets performance-based safety and<br />

environmental requirements. RBI focuses efforts on areas where the greatest<br />

risks exist. RBI provides a systematic method to guide a user in the selection<br />

of equipment items to be included and the frequency, scope, and extent of<br />

inspection activities to be conducted to meet performance objectives.<br />

在 实 施 有 效 的 检 查 计 划 也 带 来 符 合 基 于 性 能 的 安 全 性 及 环 保 要 求 .<br />

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7.2.7 Identify Mitigation Alternatives 缓 解 选 择 识 别<br />

The RBI assessment may identify risks that may be managed by actions<br />

other than inspection. Some of these mitigation actions may include but are<br />

not limited to: 可 以 通 过 其 他 行 动 替 代 检 查 来 管 理 风 险 相 有 ;<br />

a) modification of the process to eliminate conditions driving the risk;<br />

工 艺 修 改 .( 降 低 POF/COF)<br />

b) modification of operating procedures to avoid situations driving the risk;<br />

修 改 操 作 程 序 .( 降 低 POF/COF)<br />

c) chemical treatment of the process to reduce deterioration<br />

rates/susceptibilities;<br />

化 学 处 理 ( 降 低 POF)<br />

d) change metallurgy of components to reduce POF;<br />

改 变 组 件 的 冶 金 降 低 故 障 概 率 POF<br />

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e) removal of unnecessary insulation to reduce probability of corrosion under<br />

insulation; 去 除 不 必 要 的 保 温 层 以 减 少 腐 蚀 的 概 率 ( 降 低 POF)<br />

f) reduce or limit available inventories to reduce COF;<br />

减 少 或 限 制 设 备 编 制 ( 库 存 ) 降 低 COF<br />

g) upgrade safety, detection or loss limiting systems;<br />

提 升 安 全 性 , 检 测 或 流 失 限 制 系 统 ( 降 低 COF)<br />

h) change process fluids to less flammable or toxic fluids;<br />

改 变 工 艺 流 体 不 易 燃 或 有 毒 液 体 ( 降 低 COF)<br />

i) change component design to reduce POF; 更 改 组 件 的 设 计 达 到 降 低 POF<br />

j) process control and adherence to IOW.<br />

过 程 控 制 和 严 守 操 作 工 艺 界 限 .( 降 低 POF/COF)<br />

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The data within the RBI assessment can be useful in determining the optimum<br />

economic strategy to reduce risk. The strategy may be different at different<br />

times in a plant’s life cycle. For example, it is usually more economical to<br />

modify the process or change metallurgy when a plant is being designed than<br />

when it is operating. 缓 解 策 略 在 不 同 的 周 期 而 别 ( 如 运 作 / 设 计 阶 段 )<br />

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The RBI assessment may<br />

identify risks that may be<br />

managed by actions other than<br />

inspection. …..<br />

HOW INSPECTION<br />

MANAGEED RISK?<br />

一 句 老 话 : 质 量 不 是 检 出 的 !<br />

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7.2.8 New Project <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment<br />

新 建 项 目 风 险 评 估<br />

An RBI assessment made on new<br />

equipment or a new project, while in<br />

the design stage, may yield important<br />

information on potential risks. This<br />

may allow potential risks to be<br />

minimized by design and have a riskbased<br />

inspection plan in place prior to<br />

actual installation. 新 的 项 目 风 险 评 估 有<br />

利 于 通 过 设 计 最 小 化 潜 在 的 风 险


New Project <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment<br />

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New Project <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment<br />

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New Project <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment<br />

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Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


New Project <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


New Project <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


New Project <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


7.2.9 Facilities End of Life Strategies 设 施 使 用 寿 命 后 期 策 略<br />

Facilities approaching the end of their economic or operating service life are a<br />

special case where application of RBI can be very useful. The end of life case<br />

for plant operation is about gaining the maximum remaining economic benefit<br />

from an asset without undue personnel, environmental or financial risk.<br />

End of life strategies focus the inspection efforts directly on high-risk areas<br />

where the inspections will provide a reduction of risk during the remaining life<br />

of the plant. <strong>Inspection</strong> activities that do not impact risk during the remaining<br />

life are usually eliminated or reduced. 不 影 响 风 险 的 检 验 活 动 减 少 或 删 除 而 关 注<br />

高 风 险 项 目<br />

End of life inspection RBI strategies may be developed in association with a<br />

Fitness-For-Service assessment of damaged components using methods<br />

described in API 579-1/ASME FFS-1. It is important to revisit the RBI<br />

assessment if the remaining plant life is extended after the remaining life<br />

strategy has been developed and implemented. 可 以 结 合 适 用 性 评 估 作 为 更 加<br />

有 效 的 策 略 .<br />

API 580<br />

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7.3 Initial Screening 初 步 筛 选<br />

7.3.1 General<br />

The screening process focuses the analysis on the most important group of<br />

equipment items so that time and resources are more effectively utilized.<br />

焦 点 设 备 项 目 最 重 要 的 一 组<br />

7.3.2 Establish Physical Boundaries of an RBI Assessment 物 理 界 限<br />

Boundaries for physical assets included in the assessment are established<br />

consistent with the overall objectives. The level of data to be reviewed and<br />

the resources available to accomplish the objectives directly impact the extent<br />

of physical assets that can be assessed. 来 完 成 目 标 的 数 据 水 平 和 可 用 的 资 源<br />

影 响 物 理 界 限<br />

The scope of an RBI assessment may vary between an entire refinery or<br />

plant and a single component within a single piece of equipment. Typically,<br />

RBI is done on multiple pieces of equipment (e.g. an entire process unit)<br />

rather than on a single component. 评 估 范 围 可 从 全 厂 或 小 至 设 备 的 某 组 件 . 一<br />

般 来 说 评 估 范 围 为 多 个 设 备 ( 例 如 , 整 个 处 理 单 元 )<br />

API 580<br />

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Typically, RBI is done on multiple pieces of equipment (e.g. an<br />

entire process unit) rather than on a single component. 一 般 来<br />

说 评 估 范 围 为 多 个 设 备 ( 例 如 , 整 个 处 理 单 元 )<br />

API 580<br />

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Screening Levels<br />

1. Facilities<br />

2. Process Units<br />

3. Systems<br />

4. Equipments<br />

API 580<br />

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Facility-Plant<br />

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Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


Facility-Units<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang<br />

http://www.energyimages.com/refineryschematic.jpg


process units<br />

API 580<br />

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http://www.energyimages.com/refineryschematic.jpg


System – Sour Water Striper<br />

API 580<br />

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http://www.energyimages.com/refineryschematic.jpg


System – CS Vessel 230psig, 230ºC , c=3mm<br />

API 580<br />

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http://www.energyimages.com/refineryschematic.jpg


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang<br />

Equipment -Sour Water Striper Column,<br />

Condenser & CS Vessel


7.3.3 Facilities Screening 设 备 筛 选<br />

At the facility level, RBI may be applied to all types of plants including but not<br />

limited to:<br />

a) oil and gas production facilities, 石 油 和 天 然 气 生 产 设 施<br />

b) oil and gas processing and transportation terminals,<br />

石 油 和 天 然 气 加 工 和 运 输 终 端<br />

c) refineries, 炼 油 厂<br />

d) petrochemical and chemical plants, 石 化 和 化 工 厂<br />

e) pipelines and pipeline stations, 管 道 和 管 道 站<br />

f) liquified natural gas plants. 液 化 天 然 气 工 厂<br />

API 580<br />

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石 油 和 天 然 气 生 产 设 施<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


石 油 和 天 然 气 加 工 和 运 输 终 端<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


炼 油 厂<br />

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Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


石 化 和 化 工 厂<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


管 道 和 管 道 站<br />

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Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


液 化 天 然 气 工 厂<br />

API 580<br />

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Examples of key questions to answer at the facility level are listed as follows.<br />

a) Is the facility located in a regulatory jurisdiction that will accept modifications<br />

to statutory inspection intervals based on RBI?<br />

基 于 风 险 分 析 方 法 被 法 定 接 受 吗 ?<br />

b) Is the management of the facility willing to invest in the resources necessary<br />

to achieve the benefits of RBI?<br />

设 施 管 理 层 愿 意 投 资 吗 ?<br />

c) Does the facility have sufficient resources and expertise available to<br />

conduct the RBI assessment?<br />

是 否 有 足 够 的 资 源 和 专 门 知 识 来 进 行 评 估 ?<br />

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facility level<br />

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facility level<br />

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设 施 水 平 需 要 回 答 的 关 键 问 题 :<br />

(1) 基 于 风 险 分 析 方 法 被 法 定 接 受 吗 ?<br />

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(2) 设 施 管 理 层 愿 意 投 资 吗 ?<br />

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(3) 是 否 有 足 够 的 资 源 和 专 门 知 识 来 进 行 评 估 ?<br />

API 580<br />

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Screening at the facility level may be done by a simplified qualitative RBI<br />

assessment. Screening at the facility level could also be done by:<br />

设 施 水 平 可 能 通 过 一 个 简 化 的 定 性 评 估 完 成 . 帅 选 因 素 有<br />

a) asset or product value, 资 产 或 产 品 价 值<br />

b) history of problems/failures at each facility, 在 每 个 设 施 的 问 题 / 故 障 历 史<br />

c) PSM (process safety management) /non-PSM facilities, PSM / 非 PSM 设 施<br />

d) age of facilities, 设 施 的 年 龄<br />

e) proximity to the public, 靠 近 公 共 设 施<br />

f) proximity to environmentally sensitive areas. 邻 近 环 境 敏 感 地 区<br />

API 580<br />

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Schematic<br />

overview of<br />

a refinery<br />

炼 油 厂 的 总<br />

体 示 意 图<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang<br />

http://www.globalspec.com/reference/79004/203279/chapter-3-fuels-from-petroleum-and-heavy-oil


API 580<br />

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http://www.energyimages.com/refineryschematic.jpg


Flow diagram of a typical<br />

oil refinery<br />

典 型 炼 油 厂 流 程 图<br />

API 580<br />

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7.3.4 Process Units Screening 工 艺 装 置 ( 处 理 单 元 ) 筛 选<br />

If the scope of the RBI assessment is a multi-unit facility, the first step in the<br />

application of RBI is screening of entire process units to rank relative risk.<br />

The screening points out areas that are higher in priority and suggests which<br />

process units to begin with. It also provides insight about the level of<br />

assessment that may be required for operating systems and equipment<br />

items in the various units. Priorities may be assigned based on one of the<br />

following: 帅 选 全 部 处 理 单 元 , 按 照 优 先 级 别 ( 相 对 风 险 ) 排 名 . 优 先 级 别 可 以 根<br />

据 以 下 被 分 配<br />

a) relative risk of the process units, 处 理 单 元 的 相 对 风 险<br />

b) relative economic impact of the process units, 处 理 单 元 的 相 对 经 济 影 响<br />

c) relative COF of the process units, 处 理 单 元 的 相 对 的 COF<br />

d) relative reliability of the process units, 处 理 单 元 相 对 可 靠 性<br />

e) turnaround schedule, 周 转 时 间 表<br />

f) experience with similar process units. 与 同 类 处 理 单 元 经 历<br />

API 580<br />

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Examples of key questions to answer at the process unit level are similar to the<br />

questions at the facility level.<br />

a) Does the process unit have a significant impact on the operation of the<br />

facility? 评 估 对 设 施 的 运 作 有 显 著 影 响 吗 ?<br />

b) Are there significant risks involved in the operation of the process unit and<br />

would the effect of risk reduction be measurable? 能 显 著 降 低 风 险 量 吗 ?<br />

c) Do process unit operators see that some benefit may be gained through the<br />

application of RBI? 操 作 者 会 感 受 到 益 处 吗 ?<br />

d) Does the process unit have sufficient resources and expertise available to<br />

conduct the RBI assessment? 有 充 足 的 资 源 和 专 业 知 识 执 行 评 估 吗 ?<br />

e) What is the failure history in this unit? 设 施 故 障 历 史 记 录 ?<br />

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Crude Oil instillation<br />

原 油 蒸 馏


Catalytic Reforming 催 化 转 化<br />

API 580<br />

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Process Units<br />

API 580<br />

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7.3.5 Systems within Process Unit Screening 处 理 单 元 细 分 下 系 统 筛 选<br />

It is often advantageous to group equipment within a process unit into systems,<br />

loops, or circuits where common environmental operating conditions exist<br />

based on process chemistry, pressure and temperature, metallurgy,<br />

equipment design and operating history. By dividing a process unit into<br />

systems, the equipment can be screened together saving time compared to<br />

treating each piece of equipment separately. In case the risks of each piece of<br />

equipment in the system show a common sensitivity to changes in process<br />

conditions, then a screening can establish one single IOW with common<br />

variables and ranges for the entire system.<br />

Block flow or process flow diagrams for the unit may be used to identify the<br />

systems including information about metallurgy, process conditions, credible<br />

damage mechanisms and historical problems.<br />

在 工 艺 单 元 ( 处 理 单 元 ); 以 相 同 工 艺 化 学 , 压 力 和 温 度 , 冶 金 , 装 备 设 计 和 操 作 历 史<br />

等 , 细 分 为 工 艺 系 统 / 环 路 有 助 于 节 省 分 析 工 作 .<br />

API 580<br />

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以 设 备 细 分 为 系 统 – Condenser System<br />

Hydrodesulfurization 加 氢 脱 硫 过 程<br />

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hydrodesulfurization<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


以 相 同 工 艺 化 学 , 压 力 和 温 度 细 分 为 系 统 300psig<br />

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以 冶 金 细 分 为 系 统 – Carbon Steel<br />

API 580<br />

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Delayed Coker 延 迟 焦 化 装 置 – Coke Drum System<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


Catalytic Reforming 催 化 转 化 – Fire Heater System<br />

API 580<br />

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API 580<br />

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When a process unit is identified for an RBI assessment and overall<br />

optimization is the goal, it is usually best to include all systems within the<br />

unit. Practical considerations such as resource availability may require that<br />

the RBI assessment is limited to one or more systems within the unit.<br />

虽 然 当 一 个 处 理 单 元 被 确 定 为 RBI 评 估 和 整 体 优 化 为 评 估 目 标 , 通 常 最 好 覆 盖<br />

处 理 单 元 内 全 部 系 统 . 实 际 的 考 虑 因 素 可 能 考 虑 到 可 用 资 源 , 评 估 仅 只 能 限 于 单<br />

元 内 的 一 个 或 多 个 系 统<br />

Selection of systems may be based on the following: 择 的 系 统 可 以 基 于 以 下<br />

a) relative risk of the systems, 系 统 的 相 对 风 险<br />

b) relative COF of systems, 系 统 相 对 COF<br />

c) relative reliability of systems, 系 统 相 对 可 靠 性<br />

d) expected benefit from applying RBI to a system, 预 期 效 果<br />

e) sensitivities of risk to changes in process conditions.<br />

工 艺 条 件 变 化 的 风 险 敏 感 度 ,<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


7.3.6 Equipment Item Screening 设 备 筛 选<br />

In most plants, a large percentage of the total unit risk will be concentrated in<br />

a relatively small percentage of the equipment items. These potential highrisk<br />

items should receive greater attention in the risk assessment.<br />

Screening of equipment items is sometimes conducted to identify the<br />

higher risk items to carry forward to more detailed risk assessment. An RBI<br />

assessment may be applied to all pressure containing equipment such as:<br />

在 很 多 设 施 , 很 大 的 总 风 险 比 例 一 般 上 都 集 中 在 一 小 部 分 的 设 备 . 筛 选 识 别<br />

风 险 较 高 的 设 备 进 行 更 详 细 的 风 险 评 估 . 被 评 估 的 受 压 设 备 有 ;<br />

piping, 管 系<br />

pressure vessels, 压 力 容 器<br />

reactors, 反 应 器<br />

heat exchangers, 换 热 器<br />

furnaces and boilers, 炉 和 锅 炉<br />

tanks, 罐<br />

pumps (pressure boundary), 泵 *<br />

compressors (pressure boundary), 压 缩 机 *<br />

pressure-relief devices, 压 力 释 放 装 置<br />

control valves (pressure boundary). 控 制 阀 *<br />

* ( 压 力 边 界 )<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


Selection of equipment types to be included is based on meeting the<br />

objectives discussed in 7.2. The following issues may be considered in<br />

screening the equipment to be included. 设 备 筛 选 考 虑 因 素 有<br />

a) Will the integrity of safeguard equipment be compromised by damage<br />

mechanisms? 设 备 的 完 整 性 会 被 损 坏 机 理 破 坏 吗 ?<br />

b) Which types of equipment have had the most reliability problems?<br />

哪 种 设 备 有 可 靠 性 问 题 ?<br />

c) Which pieces of equipment have the highest COF if there is a pressure<br />

boundary failure? 压 力 边 界 失 效 哪 个 设 备 会 有 最 高 的 COF?<br />

d) Which pieces of equipment are subject to the most deterioration that could<br />

affect pressure boundary containment? 哪 个 设 备 退 化 的 最 快 导 致 溶 液 流 失 ?<br />

e) Which pieces of equipment have lower design safety margins and/or lower<br />

corrosion allowances that may affect pressure boundary containment<br />

considerations? 哪 个 设 备 具 较 低 的 设 计 安 全 裕 度 与 腐 蚀 余 量 导 致 溶 液 流 失<br />

( 压 力 边 界 围 堵 )?<br />

API 580<br />

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Boiler feedwater deaerator<br />

锅 炉 给 水 除 氧 器<br />

A horizontal, recirculating<br />

thermosyphon reboiler<br />

循 环 热 虹 吸 重 沸 器<br />

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:Mbeychok/MRB%27s_image_gallery<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


7.3.7 Utilities, Emergency and Off-plot Systems 后 勤 , 应 急 与 外 场 系 统<br />

Whether or not utilities, emergency and off-plot systems should be included<br />

depends on the planned use of the RBI assessment and the current<br />

inspection requirements of the facility. Possible reasons for inclusion of offplot<br />

and utilities are listed below as follows.<br />

a) The RBI assessment is being done for an overall optimization of inspection<br />

resources and environmental and business COF are included. 整 体 优 化 ( 检<br />

验 / 环 境 / 企 业 影 响 )<br />

b) There is a specific reliability problem in a utility system. An example would<br />

be a cooling water system with corrosion and fouling problems. An RBI<br />

approach could assist in developing the most effective combination of<br />

inspection, mitigation, monitoring, and treatment for the entire facility.<br />

在 后 勤 系 统 中 特 定 的 可 靠 性 问 题 ,RBI 作 为 可 信 解 决 方 案<br />

API 580<br />

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c) Reliability of the process unit is a major objective of the RBI analysis.<br />

工 艺 设 备 的 可 靠 性 是 RBI 分 析 的 一 个 主 要 目 标<br />

When emergency systems (e.g. flare systems, emergency shutdown systems)<br />

are included in the RBI assessment, their service conditions during both<br />

routine operations and upset should be considered.<br />

急 系 统 评 估 , 应 当 考 虑 , 设 备 日 常 与 倾 覆 运 转<br />

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7.4 Establish Operating Boundaries 制 定 操 作 范 围<br />

7.4.1 General 总 则<br />

Similar to physical boundaries, operating boundaries for the RBI study are<br />

established consistent with the study objectives, level of data to be reviewed<br />

and resources. The purpose of establishing operational boundaries is to<br />

identify key process parameters that may impact deterioration. The RBI<br />

assessment normally includes review of both POF and COF for normal<br />

operating conditions. Start-up and shutdown conditions as well as emergency<br />

and non-routine conditions should also be reviewed for their potential effect on<br />

POF and COF.<br />

制 定 操 作 范 围 的 目 的 是 识 别 可 能 会 影 响 恶 化 的 关 键 工 艺 参 数 . 在 启 动 / 关 机 以 及 紧<br />

急 和 非 常 规 条 件 下 操 作 对 POF/COF 潜 在 影 响 也 是 审 查 项 .<br />

API 580<br />

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The operating conditions, including any sensitivity analysis, used for the RBI<br />

assessment should be recorded as the operating limits for the assessment.<br />

Operating within the boundaries is fundamental to the validity of the RBI study<br />

as well as good operating practice. It is vital to establish and monitor key<br />

process parameters that may affect equipment integrity to determine whether<br />

operations are maintained within boundaries (i.e. IOWs).<br />

操 作 条 件 , 包 括 任 何 的 敏 感 性 分 析 作 为 RBI 分 析 参 数 , 应 记 录 为 操 作 限 制 . 在 这 限<br />

制 下 操 作 也 是 风 险 评 估 的 有 效 性 基 础 , 以 及 有 效 性 良 好 的 运 行 实 践<br />

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7.4.2 Start-up and Shutdown 启 动 和 关 机<br />

Process conditions during start-up and shutdown can have a significant effect<br />

on the risk of a plant especially when they are more severe (likely to cause<br />

accelerated deterioration) than normal conditions, and as such should be<br />

considered for all equipment covered by the RBI assessment. A good example<br />

is polythionic acid stress corrosion cracking (PTASCC). The POF for<br />

susceptible equipment is controlled by whether mitigation measures are applied<br />

during shutdown procedures to avoid PTASCC. Start-up lines are often<br />

included within the process piping and their service conditions during start-up<br />

and subsequent operation should be considered.<br />

启 动 和 关 机 过 程 中 的 工 艺 条 件 , 可 能 对 设 备 加 速 劣 化 从 而 对 风 险 有 显 著 负 面 影 响 .<br />

这 也 是 RBI 评 估 应 考 虑 的 范 围 .<br />

API 580<br />

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7.4.3 Normal, Upset, and Cyclic Operation 正 常 , 颠 覆 , 循 环 操 作<br />

The normal operating conditions may be most easily provided if there is a<br />

process flow model or mass balance available for the plant or process unit.<br />

However, the normal operating conditions found on documentation should<br />

be verified by unit operations personnel as it is not uncommon to find<br />

discrepancies between design and operating conditions that could impact<br />

the RBI results substantially.<br />

流 程 模 型 和 物 量 配 平 衡 的 数 据 一 般 能 很 方 便 的 作 为 平 常 操 作 参 数 的 来 源 , 然 而<br />

这 文 档 数 据 与 现 实 数 据 可 能 存 在 偏 差 . 这 些 文 档 数 据 应 当 由 生 产 操 作 人 员 核 实<br />

以 导 致 RBI 错 误 的 评 估 .<br />

API 580<br />

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the normal operating conditions found on documentation should be verified<br />

by unit operations personnel as it is not uncommon to find discrepancies<br />

between design and operating conditions that could impact the RBI results<br />

substantially.<br />

API 580<br />

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The following data should be provided: 下 列 为 必 须 提 供 的 数 据<br />

a) operating temperature and pressure including variation ranges,<br />

操 作 温 度 和 压 力 以 及 的 变 化 范 围<br />

b) process fluid composition including variation with feed composition ranges,<br />

过 程 流 体 成 分 变 化 , 包 括 原 料 成 分 波 动 范 围<br />

c) flow rates including variation ranges, 流 速 包 括 波 动<br />

d) presence of moisture or other contaminant species. 含 水 量 与 其 他 污 染 物<br />

Changes in the process, such as pressure, temperature or fluid composition,<br />

resulting from unit abnormal or upset conditions should be considered in the<br />

RBI assessment.<br />

非 正 常 或 颠 覆 情 况 导 致 的 工 艺 参 数 变 化 ( 比 如 : 压 力 , 温 度 , 流 体 成 分 , 等 ) 也 应 当 作<br />

为 评 估 考 虑 范 围<br />

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The RBI assessment on systems with cyclic operation, such as reactor<br />

regeneration systems, should consider the complete cyclic range of conditions.<br />

Cyclic or intermittent conditions could impact the POF due to some damage<br />

mechanisms (e.g. mechanical fatigue, thermal fatigue, corrosion-fatigue, and<br />

corrosion under insulation). Examples include pressure swing absorption<br />

vessels, catalytic reforming unit regeneration piping systems, deaerator vessels,<br />

and insulated equipment that normally operates at higher temperatures but is<br />

subjected to periods of inactivity.<br />

再 生 系 统 循 环 操 作 带 来 的 操 作 参 数 范 变 动 也 是 考 虑 项 .<br />

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7.4.4 Operating Time Period 操 作 时 间 段<br />

The unit run lengths of the selected process units/equipment is an important<br />

limit to consider. The RBI assessment may include the entire operational life,<br />

or may be for a selected period. For example, process units are occasionally<br />

shut down for maintenance activities and the associated run length may<br />

depend on the condition of the equipment in the unit. An RBI analysis may<br />

focus on the current run period or may include the current and next-projected<br />

run period. The time period may also influence the types of decisions and<br />

inspection plans that result from the study, such as inspection, repair, replace,<br />

operating, and so on. Projected operational changes are also important as<br />

part of the basis for the operational time period.<br />

对 于 间 断 性 工 作 与 中 间 维 修 的 设 备 , 评 估 可 包 括 在 整 个 运 行 寿 命 , 或 者 可 以 为 选<br />

定 的 间 隔 ( 当 前 运 作 至 周 转 的 时 间 间 隔 , 或 更 长 的 间 隔 时 段 ).<br />

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7.5 Selecting a Type of RBI Assessment<br />

选 择 RBI 评 估 的 类 型<br />

Selection of the type of RBI assessment will be dependent on a variety of<br />

factors, such as: 依 赖 于 多 种 因 素<br />

a) is the assessment at a facility, process unit, system, equipment item, or<br />

component level;<br />

评 估 的 级 别 ; 设 施 , 处 理 单 元 , 系 统 , 设 备 项 目 或 组 件<br />

b) objective of the assessment; 评 估 的 目 的<br />

c) availability and quality of data; 可 用 性 和 数 据 的 质 量<br />

d) resource availability; 资 源 可 用 性<br />

e) perceived or previously evaluated risks; 意 识 或 之 前 的 风 险 评 估<br />

f) time constraints. 时 间 限 制<br />

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A strategy should be developed, matching the type of assessment to the<br />

expected or evaluated risk. For example, processing units that are expected to<br />

have lower risk may only require simple, fairly conservative methods to<br />

adequately accomplish the RBI objectives. Whereas, process units which<br />

have a higher expected risk may require more detailed methods. Another<br />

example would be to evaluate all equipment items in a process unit<br />

qualitatively and then evaluate the higher risk items identified more<br />

quantitatively. See 6.3 for more on types of RBI assessment.<br />

评 估 策 略 应 符 合 分 析 目 的 与 预 期 风 险 ; 例 如 , 风 险 较 低 的 处 理 单 元 可 能 只 需 要 简<br />

单 的 , 相 当 保 守 的 方 法 . 然 而 , 有 较 高 预 期 风 险 的 处 理 单 元 需 要 更 详 细 的 方 法 .<br />

另 一 个 例 子 是 将 所 有 单 元 设 备 项 目 首 先 做 定 性 评 估 , 然 后 确 定 的 高 风 险 项 目 再 对<br />

高 风 险 项 目 更 加 的 详 细 的 定 量 评 估<br />

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评 估 策 略 应 符 合 分 析 目 的 与<br />

预 期 风 险 ; 例 如 , 风 险 较 低 的<br />

处 理 单 元 可 能 只 需 要 简 单<br />

的 , 相 当 保 守 的 方 法 . 然 而 ,<br />

有 较 高 预 期 风 险 的 处 理 单 元<br />

需 要 更 详 细 的 方 法 .<br />

另 一 个 例 子 是 将 所 有 单 元 设<br />

备 项 目 首 先 做 定 性 评 估 , 然<br />

后 确 定 的 高 风 险 项 目 再 对 高<br />

风 险 项 目 更 加 的 详 细 的 定 量<br />

评 估<br />

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7.6 Estimating Resources and Time Required 估 算 资 源 及 所 需 时 间<br />

The resources and time required to implement an RBI assessment will vary<br />

widely between organizations depending on a number of factors including:<br />

不 同 组 织 之 间 有 很 大 的 差 别 . 依 赖 许 多 因 素 如<br />

a) implementation strategy/plans, 实 施 策 略 / 计 划<br />

b) knowledge and training of implementers, 实 施 者 的 培 训 / 知 识<br />

c) availability and quality of necessary data and information,<br />

必 要 数 据 / 信 息 的 可 获 取 性 与 质 量<br />

d) availability and cost of resources needed for implementation,<br />

实 施 资 源 可 获 取 性<br />

e) amount of equipment included in each level of RBI analysis, 设 备 的 数 量<br />

f) degree of complexity of RBI analysis selected, 所 选 分 析 的 复 杂 度<br />

g) degree of precision required. 精 确 度 要 求<br />

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The estimate of scope and cost involved in completing an RBI assessment<br />

might include the following: 用 于 完 成 评 估 的 范 围 和 费 用 的 估 算<br />

a) number of facilities, units, equipment items, and components to be<br />

evaluated; 被 评 估 的 设 备 , 单 元 , 设 备 及 元 件 数 量 ,<br />

b) time and resources required to gather data for the items to be evaluated;<br />

收 集 数 据 所 需 要 的 时 间 与 资 源 ,<br />

c) training time for implementers; 人 员 培 训 时 间 ,<br />

d) time and resources required for RBI assessment of data and information;<br />

分 析 资 料 的 时 间 与 资 源 ,<br />

e) time and resources to evaluate RBI assessment results and develop<br />

inspection, maintenance, and mitigation plan.<br />

评 估 分 析 结 果 , 制 定 检 查 , 维 护 和 缓 解 计 划 的 时 间 与 资 源 .<br />

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8 Data and Information<br />

Collection for RBI<br />

Assessment<br />

数 据 和 信 息 收 集<br />

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Contents<br />

8 Data and Information Collection for RBI Assessment<br />

8.1 General<br />

8.2 RBI Data Needs<br />

8.3 Data Quality<br />

8.4 Codes and Standards—National and International<br />

8.5 Sources of Site Specific Data and Information<br />

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8.1 General 总 则<br />

Utilizing the objectives, boundaries, level of approach and resources identified<br />

in Section 7, the objective of this section is to provide an overview of the data<br />

that may be necessary to develop an RBI plan. The data collected will provide<br />

the information needed to assess potential damage mechanisms, potential<br />

failure modes and scenarios of failure that are discussed in Section 9.<br />

Additionally, it will provide much of the data used in Section 10 to assess<br />

probabilities, the data used in Section 11 to assess consequences and data<br />

used in Section 13 to assist in inspection planning.<br />

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收 集 的 数 据 作 为 评 估 潜 在 的 损 害 机 制 , 故 障 概 率 与 失 效 后 果 所 需 要 的 信 息 按 照 第<br />

七 章 描 述 的 , 设 定 的 目 标 , 范 围 , 处 理 深 度 , 可 用 资 源 收 取 所 应 当 需 要 的 数 据 .<br />

数 据 用 来 作 为 ;<br />

第 九 章 : 分 析 , 损 坏 机 理 , 失 效 模 式 / 情 景<br />

第 十 章 : 分 析 失 效 概 率<br />

第 十 一 章 : 分 析 失 效 后 果<br />

第 十 三 章 : 策 划 检 验 计 划<br />

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Examples of data sources include: 数 据 源 的 例 子 包 括<br />

a) design and construction records; 设 计 和 施 工 记 录<br />

b) inspection and maintenance records; 检 查 和 维 修 记 录<br />

c) operating and process technology records; 操 作 和 工 艺 技 术 记 录<br />

d) hazards analysis and MOC records; 危 害 分 析 和 建 设 部 记 录<br />

e) materials selection records; corrosion engineering records & library/database;<br />

材 料 选 择 记 录<br />

f) cost and project engineering records. 成 本 和 项 目 工 程 记 录<br />

The precision of the data should be consistent with the RBI method used.<br />

The individual or team should understand the precision of the data needed for<br />

the analysis before gathering it.<br />

数 据 的 精 度 应 和 所 用 的 RBI 方 法 要 求 一 致 .<br />

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It may be advantageous to combine risk analysis data gathering with othe<br />

risk/hazard analysis data gathering (see 6.7) as much of the data may be the<br />

same. (PHA, RCM, QRA)<br />

数 据 收 集 时 , 可 以 考 虑 结 合 其 他 风 险 / 危 害 分 析 的 数 据 收 集<br />

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8.2 RBI Data Needs<br />

An RBI study may use a qualitative, semi-quantitative and/or quantitative<br />

approach (see 6.3). A fundamental difference among these approaches is the<br />

amount and detail of input, calculations and output. 不 同 的 评 估 方 法 需 要 不 同 的<br />

数 据 , 这 些 方 法 之 间 的 根 本 区 别 是 ; 输 入 , 计 算 和 输 出 的 (1) 数 量 和 (2) 细 节 .<br />

For each RBI approach it is important to document all bases for the study and<br />

assumptions from the onset and to apply a consistent rationale. Any deviations<br />

from prescribed, standard procedures should be documented.<br />

基 点 , 假 设 作 为 评 估 的 宗 旨 , 从 开 始 , 到 运 用 应 当 保 持 一 致 . 任 何 从 新 规 定 , 标 准 / 程<br />

序 的 偏 差 应 做 记 录 .<br />

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Documentation of unique equipment and piping identifiers is a good starting<br />

point for any level of study. The equipment should also correspond to a<br />

unique group or location such as a particular process unit at a particular plant<br />

site. 每 个 被 评 估 设 备 应 当 有 自 个 唯 一 的 识 别 号 .<br />

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• 不 同 的 评 估 方 法 需 要 不 同 的 数 据 , 这 些 方 法 之 间 的 根 本 区 别 是 ; 输 入 , 计<br />

算 和 输 出 的 : (1) 数 量 和 (2) 细 节 .<br />

• 基 点 - 假 设 作 为 评 估 的 宗 旨 , 从 开 始 , 到 运 用 应 当 保 持 一 致 . 任 何 从 新 规 定 ,<br />

标 准 程 序 的 偏 差 应 做 记 录 .<br />

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Typical data needed for an RBI analysis may include but is not limited to:<br />

分 析 典 型 数 据<br />

1. type of equipment; 设 备 的 类 型<br />

2. materials of construction; 结 构 材 料<br />

3. inspection, repair and replacement<br />

records; 检 查 , 修 理 和 更 换 记 录<br />

4. process fluid compositions;<br />

过 程 流 体 成 分<br />

5. inventory of fluids; 流 体 盘 点<br />

6. operating conditions; 操 作 条 件<br />

7. safety systems; 安 全 系 统<br />

8. detection systems; 探 测 系 统<br />

9. damage mechanisms, rates, and severity;<br />

损 伤 机 制 , 速 度 和 严 重 性<br />

10.personnel densities; 人 员 密 度<br />

11.coating, cladding, and insulation data;<br />

涂 层 , 覆 层 和 保 温 数 据<br />

12.business interruption cost;<br />

业 务 中 断 成 本<br />

13.equipment replacement costs;<br />

设 备 更 换 成 本<br />

14.environmental remediation costs.<br />

环 境 整 治 费 用<br />

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8.2.1 Data Needs for Qualitative RBI 定 性 数 据 需 求<br />

A more qualitative approach typically does not require all of the data mentioned<br />

in 8.2. Further, items required only need to be categorized into broad ranges or<br />

classified versus a reference point. It is important to establish a set of rules to<br />

assure consistency in categorization or classification.<br />

( 较 ) 定 性 的 方 法 通 常 不 要 求 上 述 所 有 提 到 的 数 据 . 牵 涉 的 设 备 只 需 要 分 为 广 义 范 围<br />

或 以 参 考 点 给 以 分 类<br />

Generally, a qualitative analysis using broad ranges requires a higher level of<br />

judgment, skill and understanding from the user than a more quantitative<br />

approach. Ranges and summary fields may evaluate circumstances with<br />

widely varying conditions requiring the user to carefully consider the impact of<br />

input on risk results. Therefore, despite its simplicity, it is important to have<br />

knowledgeable and skilled persons perform the qualitative RBI analysis.<br />

通 常 , 使 用 范 围 广 泛 的 定 性 分 析 , 要 求 更 明 确 的 判 断 / 技 能 和 用 户 对 设 备 的 了 解 . 因<br />

此 , 尽 管 它 的 简 单 , 进 行 了 定 性 分 析 需 要 更 加 有 知 识 和 技 能 的 人 .<br />

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通 常 , 使 用 范 围 广 泛 的 定 性 分 析 , 要 求 更 明 确 的 判 断 / 技 能 和 用 户 对 设 备 的 了 解 .<br />

因 此 , 尽 管 它 的 简 单 , 进 行 了 定 性 分 析 需 要 更 加 有 知 识 和 技 能 的 人 .<br />

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通 常 , 使 用 范 围 广 泛 的 定 性 分 析 , 要 求 更 明<br />

确 的 判 断 / 技 能 和 用 户 对 设 备 的 了 解 . 因 此 ,<br />

尽 管 它 的 简 单 , 进 行 了 定 性 分 析 需 要 更 加<br />

有 知 识 和 技 能 的 人 .<br />

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8.2.2 Data Needs for Quantitative RBI 定 量 分 析 数 据 要 求<br />

QRA uses logic models depicting combinations of events that could result in<br />

severe accidents and physical models depicting the progression of accidents<br />

and the transport of a hazardous material to the environment. The models are<br />

evaluated probabilistically to provide both qualitative and quantitative insights<br />

about the level of risk and to identify the design, site, or operational<br />

characteristics that are the most important to risk. Hence, more detailed<br />

information and data are needed for a fully quantitative RBI in order to provide<br />

input for the models.<br />

定 量 风 险 分 析 , 使 用 逻 辑 模 型 来 描 述 可 能 导 致 严 重 事 故 发 生 的 组 合 . 该 模 型 是 以<br />

概 率 性 评 估 来 提 供 定 性 和 定 量 的 共 同 洞 察 问 题 . 识 别 设 计 , 场 地 或 操 作 特 性 对 风<br />

险 的 影 响 . 因 此 , 需 要 更 详 细 的 信 息 和 数 据<br />

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8.2.3 Data Needs for Semi-quantitative RBI 进 行 半 定 量 评 估 数 据 需 求<br />

The semi-quantitative analysis typically requires the same type of data as a<br />

quantitative analysis but generally not as detailed. For example, the fluid<br />

volumes may be estimated. Although the precision of the analysis may be less,<br />

the time required for data gathering and analysis will be less too; however that<br />

does not mean that the analysis will be less accurate (see 6.4).<br />

半 定 量 分 析 通 常 需 要 作 为 定 量 分 析 相 同 类 型 的 数 据 , 但 一 般 不 用 那 么 的 详 细 . 虽 然<br />

分 析 的 精 度 可 能 较 少 , 相 应 所 需 的 数 据 收 集 和 分 析 的 时 间 将 减 少 , 但 是 , 这 并 不 意<br />

味 着 该 分 析 将 是 不 准 确 的 .<br />

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8.3 Data Quality 数 据 质 量<br />

The data quality has a direct relation to the relative accuracy of the RBI<br />

analysis. Although the data requirements are quite different for the various<br />

types of RBI analysis, quality of input data is equally important no matter what<br />

approach to RBI is selected. It is beneficial to the accuracy and quality of an<br />

RBI analysis to assure that the data input are up to date and validated by<br />

knowledgeable persons (see Section 16).<br />

确 保 证 数 据 输 入 的 是 最 新 的 和 有 知 识 的 人 进 行 数 据 验 证 .<br />

As is true in any inspection program, data validation is essential for a number of<br />

reasons. Among the reasons for inspection data quality errors are:<br />

检 查 数 据 质 量 误 差 , 其 中 的 原 因 有<br />

a) outdated drawings and documentation, 过 时 的 图 纸 和 文 档<br />

b) inspection error, 检 查 误 差<br />

c) clerical and data transcription errors, 文 书 及 数 据 抄 写 错 误<br />

d) measurement equipment accuracy. 测 量 设 备 的 精 度<br />

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Another potential source of scatter and error in the analysis is assumptions on<br />

equipment history. For example if baseline inspections were not performed or<br />

documented, nominal thickness may be used for the original thickness. This<br />

assumption can significantly impact the calculated corrosion rate early in the<br />

equipment life.<br />

The effect may be to mask a high corrosion rate or to inflate a low corrosion<br />

rate. A similar situation exists when the remaining life of a piece of equipment<br />

with a low corrosion rate requires inspection more frequently.<br />

The measurement error may result in the calculated corrosion rate appearing<br />

artificially high or low. It is important that those making assumptions<br />

understand the potential impact of their assumptions on the risk calculation.<br />

数 据 偏 差 和 误 差 分 析 , 的 另 一 个 潜 在 来 源 是 对 设 备 历 史 错 误 的 假 设 如 没 有 进 行 设<br />

备 基 线 调 查 导 致 错 误 的 腐 蚀 率 计 算 .<br />

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This validation step stresses the need for a knowledgeable individual<br />

comparing data from the inspections to the expected damage mechanism and<br />

rates. This person may also compare the results with previous measurements<br />

on that system, similar systems at the site or within the company or published<br />

data. Statistics may be useful in this review.<br />

This review should also factor in any changes or upsets in the process. As<br />

mentioned previously, this data validation step is necessary for the quality of<br />

any inspection program, not just RBI.<br />

Unfortunately, when this data validation step has not been a priority before RBI,<br />

the time required to do it gets included with the time and resources necessary<br />

to do a good job on RBI, leaving the wrong impression with some managers<br />

believing that RBI is more time consuming and expensive than it should be.<br />

数 据 验 证 , 是 确 保 任 何 检 查 程 序 质 量 的 必 要 步 骤 , 而 不 是 仅 限 于 风 险 分 析 检 验 . 往<br />

往 这 数 据 验 证 牵 涉 到 的 时 间 与 费 用 , 错 误 的 只 在 RBI 体 现 , 导 致 有 的 管 理 者 感 觉<br />

RBI 更 耗 时 且 昂 贵 的 管 理 方 法 .<br />

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8.4 Codes and Standards—National and International<br />

规 范 与 标 准 - 国 家 和 国 际<br />

In the data collection stage, an assessment of what codes and standards are<br />

currently in use for in-service inspection and evaluation, or were in use during<br />

the equipment design, is generally necessary. The selection and type of codes<br />

and standards used by a facility can have a significant impact on RBI results.<br />

确 定 使 用 标 准 与 规 范 的 是 重 要 的 . 选 用 的 标 准 与 规 范 对 评 估 的 结 果 有 显 著 地 影 响 .<br />

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8.5 Sources of Site-specific Data and Information<br />

场 地 特 定 的 数 据 和 信 息 来 源<br />

Information for RBI can be found in many places within a facility. It is important<br />

to stress that the precision of the data should match the complexity of the RBI<br />

method used (see 6.4). The risk analysis and RBI team should understand the<br />

sensitivity of the data needed for the program before gathering any data. It may<br />

be advantageous to combine RBI data gathering with other risk/hazard analysis<br />

data gathering (e.g. PHA, RCM, QRA) as much of the data overlaps.<br />

数 据 的 精 度 应 和 所 用 的 RBI 方 法 一 致 . 在 做 数 据 收 集 时 , 可 以 考 虑 结 合 其 他 风 险 / 危<br />

害 分 析 的 数 据 收 集 . 如 : PHA, RCM, QRA<br />

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Potential sources of specific information include but are not limited to: 具 体 信 息<br />

的 潜 在 来 源 包 括 ;<br />

a) design and construction records/drawings: 设 计 和 施 工 记 录 / 图<br />

• P&IDs, process flow diagrams, material selection diagrams (MSDs), etc.,<br />

仪 表 工 艺 图 / 工 艺 流 程 图 / 材 料 选 择 图<br />

• piping isometric drawings, 管 线 三 维 图<br />

• engineering specification sheets, 工 程 规 格 表<br />

• materials of construction records, 施 工 材 料 记 录<br />

• construction QA/QC records, 建 设 QAQC 记 录<br />

• codes and standards used, 规 范 和 使 用 标 准<br />

• protective instrument systems, 防 护 仪 器 系 统<br />

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Potential sources of specific information include but are not limited to:<br />

具 体 信 息 的 潜 在 来 源 包 括 ;<br />

a) design and construction records/drawings: 设 计 和 施 工 记 录 / 图<br />

• P&ID, process flow diagrams, material selection diagrams (MSDs), etc.,<br />

仪 表 工 艺 图 / 工 艺 流 程 图 / 材 料 选 择 图<br />

• piping isometric drawings, 管 线 三 维 图<br />

• engineering specification sheets, 工 程 规 格 表<br />

• materials of construction records, 施 工 材 料 记 录<br />

• construction QA/QC records, 建 设 QAQC 记 录<br />

• codes and standards used, 规 范 和 使 用 标 准<br />

• protective instrument systems, 防 护 仪 器 系 统<br />

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• leak detection and monitoring systems, 泄 漏 检 测 和 监 控 系 统<br />

• isolation systems, 隔 离 系 统<br />

• inventory records, 库 存 记 录<br />

• emergency depressurizing and relief systems, 紧 急 减 压 系 统 及 减 压 系 统<br />

• safety systems, 安 全 系 统<br />

• fire-proofing and fire-fighting systems, 防 火 和 灭 火 系 统<br />

• layout; 布 置 图<br />

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) inspection records: 检 查 记 录<br />

• schedules and frequency, 时 间 表 和 频 率<br />

• amount and types of inspection, 检 查 次 数 和 类 型<br />

• repairs and alterations, 修 复 与 更 改<br />

• positive material identification (PMI) records, 材 料 鉴 定 记 录<br />

• inspection results; 检 查 结 果<br />

c) process data, 工 艺 过 程 数 据<br />

• fluid composition analysis including contaminants or trace components,<br />

流 体 成 分 分 析 包 括 污 染 物 或 痕 量 组 分<br />

• distributed control system data, 分 布 式 控 制 系 统 数 据<br />

• operating procedures, 操 作 程 序<br />

• start-up and shutdown procedures, 启 动 和 关 闭 程 序<br />

• emergency procedures, 应 急 程 序<br />

• operating logs and process records, 操 作 日 志 和 过 程 记 录<br />

• PSM, PHA, RCM, and QRA data or reports; 其 他 安 全 / 风 险 分 析 法 数 据 记 录<br />

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d) MOC records; 设 备 变 动 管 理 记 录<br />

e) off-site data and information - if consequence may affect off-site areas;<br />

影 响 设 施 的 外 场 信 息 与 数 据<br />

f) failure data: 故 障 数 据<br />

• generic failure frequency data-industry or in-house,<br />

一 般 的 故 障 频 率 ( 数 据 行 业 或 内 部 )<br />

• industry specific failure data, 行 业 特 定 的 故 障 数 据<br />

• plant and equipment specific failure data, 设 施 与 设 备 的 具 体 故 障 数 据<br />

• reliability and condition monitoring records, 可 靠 性 和 状 态 监 测 记 录<br />

• leak data; 泄 露 数 据<br />

g) site conditions: 现 场 条 件<br />

• climate/weather records, 气 候 / 天 气 记 录<br />

• seismic activity records; 地 震 活 动 记 录<br />

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seismic activity records<br />

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seismic activity records<br />

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h) equipment replacement costs: 设 备 更 换 费 用<br />

• project cost reports, 工 程 造 价 的 报 告<br />

• industry databases; 行 业 数 据 库<br />

i) hazards data: 危 害 数 据<br />

• PSM studies,<br />

• PHA studies,<br />

• QRA studies,<br />

• other site specific risk or hazard studies; 其 他 风 险 或 危 害 的 研 究<br />

j) incident investigations. 事 故 调 查<br />

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9 Damage Mechanisms<br />

and Failure Modes<br />

损 伤 机 理 和 失 效 模 式<br />

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Contents<br />

9 Damage Mechanisms and Failure Modes<br />

9.1 Introduction<br />

9.2 Damage Mechanisms<br />

9.3 Failure Modes<br />

9.4 Accumulated Damage<br />

9.5 Tabulating Results<br />

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9.1 Introduction 概 述<br />

This section provides guidance in identifying credible damage mechanisms<br />

and failure modes of pressure boundary metallic components that should be<br />

included in an RBI analysis. Guidance is also provided in other documents.<br />

Damage mechanisms in the hydrocarbon process industry are addressed in<br />

API 571. ASME PCC-3 also has some useful information and appendices on<br />

damage mechanisms. See 16.2.4 for the type of person with knowledge in<br />

materials and corrosion that should be involved in the process.<br />

本 节 提 供 指 导 确 定 可 信 的 损 伤 机 理 和 失 效 模 式 .<br />

其 他 行 业 文 章 也 提 供 这 方 面 的 指 导 , 参 考 文 件 有 ;<br />

API571<br />

ASME PCC-3 <strong>Inspection</strong> Planning Using <strong>Risk</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> Methods<br />

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Damage mechanisms include corrosion, cracking, mechanical and metallurgical<br />

damage. Understanding damage mechanisms is important for:<br />

了 解 损 伤 的 机 制 是 重 要 的 因 为 有 助 于 以 下 活 动 ;<br />

a) the analysis of the POF; 失 效 概 率 的 分 析<br />

b) the selection of appropriate inspection intervals/due dates, locations and<br />

techniques; 适 当 的 安 排 检 查 间 隔 / 到 期 日 期 , 位 置 和 选 择 对 应 的 检 验 技 术<br />

c) the ability to make decisions (e.g. modifications to process, materials<br />

selection, monitoring, etc.) that can eliminate or reduce the probability of a<br />

specific damage mechanism. 提 供 足 够 的 信 息 做 可 消 除 或 减 少 特 定 损 伤 机 制 的<br />

可 能 性 的 决 策 .<br />

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Failure modes identify how the damaged component will fail (e.g. by leakage or<br />

by rupture). 失 效 模 式 确 定 损 坏 的 组 件 将 如 何 失 败 ( 例 如 , 由 泄 漏 或 破 裂 )<br />

Understanding failure modes is important for three reasons: 了 解 故 障 模 式 有 三<br />

个 重 要 原 因 ( 有 助 于 )<br />

a) the analysis of the COF, 失 效 后 果 的 分 析<br />

b) the ability to make run-or-repair decisions, “ 运 行 - 或 - 修 复 ” 决 策 的 能 力<br />

c) the selection of repair techniques. 维 修 方 法 的 选 择<br />

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http://dc102.4shared.com/doc/FpEz1KBm/preview.html


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9.1.1 Identification of Damage<br />

Mechanisms 损 伤 机 理 的 鉴 定<br />

Identification of the credible damage<br />

mechanisms and failure modes for<br />

equipment included in a risk analysis<br />

is essential to the quality and the<br />

effectiveness of the risk analysis.<br />

The RBI team should consult with a<br />

corrosion specialist to define the<br />

equipment damage mechanisms,<br />

damage modes (optional), and<br />

potential failure modes. A sequential<br />

approach is as follows.<br />

应 咨 询 腐 蚀 专 家 以 确 定 设 备 损 坏 机 理 ,<br />

破 坏 模 式 ( 可 选 ), 和 潜 在 的 失 效 模 式 . 做<br />

法 顺 序 如 下<br />

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a) As indicated in Section 7, identify the internal and external operating and<br />

environmental conditions, age, design and operational loading. Data used<br />

and assumptions made should be validated and documented. Process<br />

conditions as well as anticipated process changes should be considered.<br />

Identifying trace constituents (ppm) in addition to the primary constituents in<br />

a process can be very important as trace constituents can have a significant<br />

affect on the damage mechanisms.<br />

识 别 内 部 和 外 部 的 操 作 和 环 境 条 件 , 龄 期 , 设 计 和 运 行 负 荷 . 应 考 虑 工 艺 条 件 以<br />

及 预 期 的 变 化 , 除 了 主 要 成 分 应 识 别 微 量 成 分 . 这 微 量 成 分 可 能 对 损 伤 机 制 显<br />

著 影 响 .<br />

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) Considering the materials, methods and details of fabrication, develop a list<br />

of the credible damage mechanisms that may have been present in past<br />

operation, be presently active, or may become active. 开 发 (1) 可 能 已 经 存 在<br />

(2) 在 过 去 的 操 作 中 曾 经 发 生 或 (3) 可 能 变 得 活 跃 , 可 信 的 损 害 机 制 的 列 表<br />

c) Under certain circumstances it may be preferable to list a specific damage<br />

mechanism and then list the various damage modes or ways that the<br />

damage mechanism may manifest itself. For example, the damage<br />

mechanism “corrosion under insulation” may precipitate a damage mode of<br />

either generalized corrosion or localized corrosion. Generalized corrosion<br />

could result in a large burst while localized corrosion might be more likely to<br />

result in a pinhole type leak. All credible failure modes for each damage<br />

mechanism or damage mode should be considered. 列 出 具 体 的 损 伤 机 理 能<br />

造 成 的 多 个 失 效 模 式 列 表 ( 比 如 保 温 层 下 腐 蚀 , 可 能 带 来 局 部 腐 蚀 或 广 义 腐 蚀 ,<br />

分 别 得 造 成 针 孔 型 泄 漏 和 大 爆 裂 .<br />

Damage Mechanism→ Damage Modes → Failure Modes→ Failure<br />

Scenarios<br />

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Damage Mechanism→ Damage Modes → Failure Modes→ Failure<br />

Scenarios<br />

Example:<br />

CUI→ Pitting or General Corrosion → Leaks or Bursts → Low COF (water)<br />

or High COF (flammable fluid)<br />

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d) It is often possible to have two or more damage mechanisms at work on the<br />

same piece of equipment or piping component at the same time. An<br />

example of this could be stress corrosion cracking in combination with<br />

generalized or localized corrosion (thinning or pitting). 往 往 是 可 能 有 两 个 或 更<br />

多 的 损 伤 机 制 , 同 时 活 跃 在 同 一 台 设 备 或 管 道 组 成 件 . 如 广 义 / 局 部 腐 蚀 与 应 力<br />

开 裂 同 时 在 同 个 部 件 活 跃 .<br />

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9.2 Damage Mechanisms 损 伤 机 理<br />

Understanding equipment operation and the interaction with the process<br />

environment (both internal and external) and mechanical environment is key<br />

to identifying damage mechanisms. Process specialists can provide useful<br />

input (such as the spectrum of process conditions, injection points etc.) to aid<br />

corrosion specialists in the identification of credible damage mechanisms and<br />

rates. For example, understanding that localized thinning may be caused by<br />

the method of fluid injection and agitation may be as important as knowing the<br />

corrosion mechanism.<br />

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Understanding equipment operation and the interaction with the process<br />

environment (both internal and external) and mechanical environment is key to<br />

identifying damage mechanisms.<br />

了 解 设 备 的 操 作 和 使 用 过 程 中 环 境 ( 包 括 内 部 和 外 部 ) 的 相 互 作 用 和 机 械 环 境 是 确<br />

认 损 伤 机 理 的 关 键 点 . 在 这 方 面 , 工 艺 流 程 专 家 能 提 供 有 用 的 信 息 给 以 腐 蚀 专 家 ,<br />

可 靠 的 鉴 定 损 伤 机 理 和 速 率 .<br />

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equipment operation and the interaction<br />

with the process environment<br />

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9.3 Failure Modes 失 效 模 式<br />

Once a credible damage mechanisms has been identified, the associated<br />

failure mode should also be identified. For example, local thinning could lead to<br />

a pinhole leak in the pressure containing boundary. There may be more than<br />

one credible failure mode for each damage mechanism. For example, cracking<br />

could lead to a through-wall crack with (1) a leak before break scenario or (2)<br />

could lead to a catastrophic rupture.<br />

The failure mode will depend on the type of cracking, the geometric orientation<br />

of the cracking, the properties of the material of construction, the component<br />

thickness, the temperature, and the stress level. Examples of failure modes<br />

include: 一 旦 一 个 可 靠 的 损 伤 机 制 被 确 定 , 相 关 的 故 障 模 式 ( 或 多 个 ) 也 应 查 明 . 故<br />

障 模 式 的 例 子 包 括<br />

a) pinhole leak, 针 孔 泄 漏<br />

b) small to moderate leak, 小 到 中 等 泄 漏<br />

c) large leak, 大 量 泄 漏<br />

d) ductile rupture, 韧 性 开 口<br />

e) brittle fracture. 脆 性 断 裂<br />

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The risk analysis may, at the discretion of the owner, also include failures other<br />

than loss of containment, such as loss of function, tray damage, demister pad<br />

failures, coalesce element failures, liquid distribution hardware failures, and<br />

heat exchanger tube leaks.<br />

风 险 分 析 可 在 用 户 的 选 择 下 : 除 了 溶 液 流 失 , 还 可 包 括 其 他 故 障 , 如 功 能 丧 失 , 托 盘<br />

的 损 坏 , 除 雾 器 垫 故 障 , 凝 聚 元 件 故 障 , 液 体 分 配 系 统 的 硬 件 故 障 , 和 热 交 换 管 的 泄<br />

漏<br />

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9.4 Accumulated Damage 累 积 损 伤<br />

Damage rates may vary as damage mechanisms progress (i.e. various<br />

mechanisms may accelerate or slow or stop completely). In some cases,<br />

damage by one mechanism may progress to a point at which a different<br />

mechanism takes over and begins to dominate the rate of damage.<br />

An evaluation of damage mechanisms and failure modes should include the<br />

cumulative effect of each mechanism and/or mode.<br />

损 伤 机 理 和 失 效 模 式 的 评 价 应 包 括 每 种 机 制 和 / 或 模 式 的 累 积 效 应<br />

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9.5 Tabulating Results 结 果 制 表<br />

The results of a damage mechanisms and failure modes analysis for RBI<br />

should indicate: 损 伤 机 理 和 失 效 模 式 分 析 的 结 果 应 说 明<br />

a) a list of credible damage mechanisms: 可 的 靠 损 伤 机 理 列 表<br />

example: external corrosion; 例 如 - 外 部 腐 蚀<br />

b) a list of credible damage modes resulting from the damage mechanisms<br />

(in 9.5 a): 损 伤 机 理 导 致 的 损 坏 模 式<br />

example 1: localized thinning, 局 部 变 薄<br />

example 2: general thinning; 广 义 变 薄<br />

note: Step (b) is optional. Failure modes may be determined directly<br />

without this intermediate step if desired. 这 中 间 步 骤 (b) 是 可 选 的 , 如 果 需 要<br />

故 障 模 式 可 以 直 接 确 定 就 可 忽 略 .<br />

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c) a ranking of credible failure modes resulting from the damage modes in<br />

9.5 a) and 9.5 b): 顺 序 排 名 可 靠 的 失 效 模 式<br />

1. example 1: localized thinning: 局 部 变 薄<br />

- failure mode 1: pinhole leak,<br />

- failure mode 2: small leak;<br />

2. example 2: general thinning: 广 义 变 薄<br />

- failure mode 1: pinhole leak,<br />

- failure mode 2: small leak,<br />

- failure mode 3: large leak,<br />

- failure mode 4: rupture.<br />

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10 Assessing Probability<br />

of Failure (POF)<br />

失 效 概 率 评 估


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Contents<br />

10 Assessing Probability of Failure<br />

10.1 Introduction to Probability Analysis<br />

10.2 Units of Measure in the POF Analysis<br />

10.3 Types of Probability Analysis<br />

10.4 Determination of POF<br />

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10.1 Introduction to Probability Analysis 概 率 分 析 介 绍<br />

The probability analysis in an RBI program is performed to estimate the<br />

probability of a specific adverse consequence resulting from a loss of<br />

containment that occurs due to a damage mechanism(s).<br />

RBI 程 序 的 概 率 分 析 是 评 估 一 个 特 点 的 因 一 或 多 个 损 伤 机 理 , 造 成 受 压 设 备 溶 液<br />

流 失 的 逆 向 结 果 .<br />

The probability that a specific consequence will occur is the product of the POF<br />

and the probability of the scenario under consideration assuming that the failure<br />

has occurred. This section provides guidance only on determining the POF.<br />

Guidance on determining the probability of specific consequences is provided in<br />

Section 12. 将 发 生 的 特 定 结 果 的 概 率 依 故 障 概 率 与 发 生 故 障 后 正 在 审 议 的 方 案 中<br />

的 概 率<br />

Key words: Probability of specific consequence, POF, probability of the<br />

scenario.<br />

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The probability of<br />

specific consequence<br />

POF<br />

The probability of<br />

the scenario under<br />

consideration<br />

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The probability that a specific consequence will occur is<br />

the product of the POF and the probability of the scenario<br />

under consideration


The probability of<br />

specific consequence<br />

POF<br />

http://www.wermac.org/others/ndt_pressure_testing.html<br />

The probability of<br />

the scenario under<br />

consideration<br />

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The probability of<br />

specific consequence<br />

POF<br />

The probability of<br />

the scenario under<br />

consideration<br />

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The probability of<br />

specific consequence<br />

POF<br />

The probability of<br />

the scenario under<br />

consideration<br />

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There could be<br />

many scenario<br />

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Guidance on determining the probability of specific consequences is provided<br />

in Section 12.<br />

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The POF analysis should address all damage mechanisms to which the<br />

equipment being studied is or can be susceptible. Further, it should address<br />

the situation where equipment is or can be susceptible to multiple damage<br />

mechanisms (e.g. thinning and creep). The analysis should be credible 可 信 ,<br />

repeatable 能 重 复 and documented 必 须 记 录 . It should be noted that damage<br />

mechanisms are not the only causes of loss of containment. Other causes of<br />

loss of containment could include but are not limited to: 但 应 注 意 的 是 , 损 伤 机<br />

理 并 不 是 唯 一 导 致 溶 液 流 失 的 原 因 , 其 他 原 因 有<br />

a) seismic activity, 地 震 活 动<br />

b) weather extremes, 极 端 天 气<br />

c) overpressure due to pressure-relief device failure, 过 压 , 由 于 减 压 装 置 故 障<br />

d) operator error, 操 作 失 误<br />

e) inadvertent substitution of materials of construction, 施 工 材 料 无 意 取 代<br />

f) design error, 设 计 错 误<br />

g) sabotage. 破 坏 活 动<br />

These and other causes of loss of containment may have an impact on the<br />

POF and may be (but typically are not) included in the POF analysis for RBI.<br />

API 580<br />

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seismic activity<br />

有 一 定 影 响 但 通 常 不 包 括 在 RBI 分 析<br />

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weather extremes<br />

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overpressure (under pressure) due to pressure-relief device failure,<br />

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operator error<br />

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operator error<br />

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design error<br />

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sabotage<br />

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sabotage<br />

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sabotage<br />

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military_use_of_children<br />

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10.2 Units of Measure in the POF Analysis 故 障 概 率 分 析 , 的 计 量 单 位<br />

POF is typically expressed in terms of frequency. Frequency is expressed as a<br />

number of events occurring during a specific time frame. For probability<br />

analysis, the time frame is typically expressed as a fixed interval (e.g. one year)<br />

and the frequency is expressed as events per interval (e.g. 0.0002 failures per<br />

year). The time frame may also be expressed as an occasion (e.g. one run<br />

length) and the frequency would be events per occasion (e.g. 0.03 failures per<br />

run).<br />

Time Frame 期 限 :<br />

(1) fixed interval 固 定 时 间 间 隔 (2) Occasion 时 机 (per run etc.)<br />

故 障 概 率 (POF) 一 般 上 是 以 频 率 表 示 , 频 率 是 在 特 定 的 时 间 范 围 内 发 生 的 事 件 的<br />

数 次 .<br />

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For a qualitative analysis, the POF may be categorized (e.g. high, medium and<br />

low, or one through five). However, even in this case, it is appropriate to<br />

associate an event frequency with each probability category to provide<br />

guidance to the individuals who are responsible for determining the probability.<br />

If this is done, the change from one category to the next could be one or more<br />

orders of magnitude or other appropriate demarcations that will provide<br />

adequate discrimination. 个 别 类 别 ( 高 低 等 ) 的 相 应 特 定 概 率 ( 数 次 ) 关 联 , 有 助 于 ,<br />

有 效 , 可 信 的 故 障 频 率 计 量 的 分 配 与 变 动 .<br />

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http://www.skybrary.aero/index.php/<strong>Risk</strong>_Assessment


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Two examples of this are listed in Table 1 and Table 2.<br />

Table 1—Three Levels of POF<br />

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Table 2—Six Levels of POF<br />

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10.3 Types of Probability Analysis 概 率 分 析 的 类 型<br />

10.3.1 General 概 要<br />

The following paragraphs discuss different approaches to the determination of<br />

probability. For the purposes of the discussion, these approaches have been<br />

categorized as “qualitative” or “quantitative.” However, it should be recognized<br />

that “qualitative” and “quantitative” are the end points of a continuum rather<br />

than distinctive approaches (see Figure 3). Most probability assessments use a<br />

blend of qualitative and quantitative approaches. 大 多 数 概 率 评 估 使 用 混 合 , 定<br />

性 和 定 量 方 法<br />

The methodology used for the assessment should be structured such that a<br />

sensitivity analysis or other approach may be used to assure that realistic,<br />

though conservative, probability values are obtained (see 12.4).<br />

用 于 评 估 的 方 法 , 应 该 灵 活 操 作 ; 灵 敏 度 分 析 或 其 它 的 方 法 也 可 以 并 用 , 以 确 保 获<br />

得 真 实 的 , 尽 管 保 守 的 概 率 值 .<br />

API 580<br />

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10.3.2 Qualitative POF Analysis 故 障 概 率 定 性 分 析<br />

A qualitative method involves identification of the units, systems or equipment,<br />

the materials of construction and the corrosive components of the processes.<br />

On the basis of knowledge of the operating history, future inspection and<br />

maintenance plans and possible materials deterioration, POF can be assessed<br />

separately for each unit, system, equipment grouping or individual equipment<br />

item. Engineering judgment is the basis for this assessment. A POF category<br />

can then be assigned for each unit, system, grouping or equipment item.<br />

Depending on the methodology employed, the categories may be described<br />

with words (such as high, medium, or low) or may have numerical descriptors<br />

(such as 0.1 to 0.01 times per year). 定 性 分 析 考 虑 包 括 识 别 单 元 , 系 统 或 设 备 , 建<br />

材 和 腐 蚀 . 工 程 判 断 是 评 估 依 据 . 计 量 单 位 可 以 为 描 述 性 如 , 高 / 中 / 低 或 数 值 描 述<br />

如 0.1~0.01 次 数 / 年<br />

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10.3.3 Quantitative POF Analysis 故 障 概 率 定 量 分 析<br />

There are several approaches to a quantitative probability analysis. One<br />

example is to take a probabilistic approach where specific failure data or expert<br />

solicitations are used to calculate a POF. These failure data may be obtained on<br />

the specific equipment item in question or on similar equipment items. This<br />

probability may be expressed as a distribution rather than a single deterministic<br />

value. 概 率 方 法 计 算 方 法 , 故 障 数 据 可 在 特 定 有 问 题 的 设 备 项 目 或 类 似 设 备 项 目 获<br />

得 . 得 到 的 概 率 可 以 为 一 个 分 布 来 表 示 , 而 不 是 一 个 单 一 的 确 定 性 概 率 值<br />

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Another approach is used when inaccurate or insufficient failure data exists on<br />

the specific item of interest. In this case, general industry, company or<br />

manufacturer failure data are used. A methodology should be applied to<br />

assess the applicability of these general data. As appropriate, these failure<br />

data should be adjusted and made specific to the equipment being analyzed<br />

by increasing or decreasing the predicted failure frequencies based on<br />

equipment specific information. In this way, general failure data are used to<br />

generate an adjusted failure frequency that is applied to equipment for a<br />

specific application. Such modifications to general values may be made for<br />

each equipment item to account for the potential deterioration that may occur<br />

in the particular service and the type and effectiveness of inspection and/or<br />

monitoring performed. Knowledgeable personnel should make these<br />

modifications on a case-bycase basis.<br />

当 不 准 确 或 不 足 的 故 障 数 据 时 , 另 一 种 方 法 是 使 用 一 般 行 业 , 公 司 或 制 造 商 的 故<br />

障 数 据 . 在 适 当 情 况 下 , 这 些 故 障 数 据 应 按 照 正 在 分 析 的 具 体 的 设 备 进 行 调 整 . 这<br />

数 据 调 整 工 作 应 当 是 由 有 相 关 知 识 的 人 员 进 行 .<br />

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故 障 概 率 定 量 分 析 有 两 种 数 据 来 源 ;<br />

• 明 确 的 设 备 故 障 数 据<br />

概 率 方 法 计 算 ; 故 障 数 据 可 在 特 定 有 问 题 的 设 备 项 目 或 类 似 设 备 项 目 获 得 .<br />

分 析 到 的 概 率 可 以 一 个 分 布 来 表 示 , 而 不 是 单 一 的 确 定 性 概 率 值<br />

• 一 般 行 业 , 公 司 或 制 造 商 的 故 障 数 据<br />

当 不 准 确 或 不 足 的 故 障 数 据 时 , 另 一 种 方 法 是 使 用 一 般 行 业 , 公 司 或 制 造<br />

商 的 故 障 数 据 . 在 适 当 情 况 下 , 这 些 故 障 数 据 应 按 照 正 在 分 析 的 具 体 的 设<br />

备 进 行 调 整 . 这 数 据 调 整 工 作 应 当 是 由 有 相 关 知 识 的 人 员 进 行 .<br />

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10.4 Determination of POF 确 定 故 障 概 率<br />

10.4.1 General 总 则<br />

Regardless of whether a more qualitative or a quantitative analysis is used,<br />

the POF is determined by two main considerations: 无 论 是 是 定 性 或 定 量 分<br />

析 , 故 障 概 率 的 确 定 的 两 个 因 素 是<br />

a) damage mechanisms and rates of the equipment item’s material of<br />

construction, resulting from its operating environment (internal and<br />

external); 运 作 环 境 ( 内 / 外 ) 所 导 致 的 损 伤 机 理 与 腐 蚀 率<br />

b) effectiveness of the inspection program to identify and monitor the damage<br />

mechanisms so that the equipment can be repaired or replaced prior to<br />

failure.<br />

检 查 程 序 对 损 伤 机 理 的 识 别 和 监 控 的 有 效 性 . 使 设 备 在 在 失 效 前 能 够 进 行 修 理<br />

或 更 换 .<br />

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Failure occurred<br />

Probability of Failure POF<br />

Damage Tolerance Limit<br />

Deterioration Rate<br />

Planned <strong>Inspection</strong><br />

Mitigation<br />

Unacceptable<br />

inspection interval<br />

Time<br />

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Analyzing the effect of in-service deterioration and inspection on the POF<br />

involves the following steps. 在 分 析 在 (1) 职 恶 化 和 (2) 检 查 对 POF 的 影 响 包<br />

括 以 下 步 骤<br />

a) Identify active and credible damage mechanisms that are reasonably<br />

expected to occur during the time period being considered (considering<br />

normal and upset conditions). 识 别 在 考 虑 时 间 段 , 合 理 预 期 可 能 产 生 的 可 信<br />

损 伤 机 理<br />

b) Determine the deterioration susceptibility and rate. For example, a fatigue<br />

crack is driven by cyclic stress; corrosion damage is driven by the<br />

temperature, concentration of corrosive, corrosion current, etc. A damage<br />

accumulation rule may be available to mathematically model this process.<br />

Rather than a given value of the magnitude of the damage mechanism<br />

driving forces, a statistical distribution of these forces may be available<br />

(see API 579-1/ASME FF2-1). 确 定 的 恶 化 易 感 性 和 速 率 . 这 可 以 通 过 损 伤 累<br />

积 规 则 运 用 数 学 模 拟 过 程 计 算 数 据 . 除 了 确 实 值 , 也 能 以 统 计 分 布 体 现 数 据 .<br />

API 579-1/ASME FF2-1 为 例 子 .<br />

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c) Using a consistent approach, quantify the effectiveness of the past<br />

inspection, maintenance and process monitoring program and a proposed<br />

future inspection, maintenance and process monitoring program. It is<br />

usually necessary to evaluate the POF considering several alternative<br />

future inspection and maintenance strategies, possibly including a “no<br />

inspection or maintenance” strategy. 使 用 一 致 的 方 法 , 量 化 的 过 去 的 策 略 效<br />

力 ( 检 验 / 维 护 / 工 艺 控 制 ) 与 未 来 预 期 成 效 . 评 价 POF 也 应 考 虑 几 种 可 供 选 择<br />

的 未 来 的 检 查 和 维 护 策 略 , 可 能 包 括 -“ 不 检 查 或 维 修 ” 战 略<br />

d) Determine the probability that with the current condition, continued<br />

deterioration at the predicted/expected rate will exceed the damage<br />

tolerance of the equipment and result in a failure. The failure mode (e.g.<br />

small leak, large leak, equipment rupture) should also be determined based<br />

on the damage mechanism. It may be desirable in some cases to<br />

determine the probability of more than one failure mode and combine the<br />

risks. 确 定 在 当 前 的 情 况 下 , 持 续 恶 化 将 超 过 设 备 的 损 伤 容 限 , 并 导 致 失 效 的<br />

概 率 . 相 应 失 效 模 式 也 应 根 据 损 伤 机 制 确 定 . 在 某 些 情 况 , 可 能 会 有 多 个 失 效<br />

模 式 , 并 结 合 有 关 风 险 来 分 析 .<br />

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Probability of Failure POF<br />

Damage Tolerance Limit<br />

Deterioration Rate<br />

Planned <strong>Inspection</strong><br />

Interval sufficient to detect pitting &<br />

SCC<br />

Mitigation<br />

Failure occurred<br />

Extended Interval<br />

Time<br />

Extended inspection interval<br />

failure mode: Crack open if failure<br />

occurred leading to different failure<br />

scenarios thus consequences<br />

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Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


10.4.2 Determine the Deterioration Susceptibility and Rate<br />

确 定 退 化 敏 感 性 和 速 率<br />

Combinations of process conditions and materials of construction for each<br />

equipment item should be evaluated to identify active and credible damage<br />

mechanisms. One method of determining these mechanisms and susceptibility<br />

is to group components that have the same material of construction and are<br />

exposed to the same internal and external environment. <strong>Inspection</strong> results from<br />

one item in the group can be related to the other equipment in the group.<br />

每 个 设 备 的 工 艺 条 件 和 材 料 组 合 应 进 行 评 估 , 以 确 定 活 跃 和 可 信 的 损 伤 机 制 . 设 备<br />

拥 有 共 同 工 艺 条 件 和 材 料 组 合 可 以 归 类 为 一 组 , 从 改 组 的 一 个 设 备 检 验 结 构 同 时<br />

能 运 用 在 其 他 在 组 里 的 设 备 .<br />

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Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


For many damage mechanisms, the rate of damage progression is generally<br />

understood and can be estimated for process plant equipment. Deterioration<br />

rate can be expressed in terms of corrosion rate for thinning or susceptibility for<br />

mechanisms where the deterioration rate is unknown or immeasurable (such as<br />

stress corrosion cracking). Susceptibility is often designated as high, medium or<br />

low based on the environmental conditions and material of construction<br />

combination. Fabrication variables and repair history are also important.<br />

设 施 设 备 的 许 多 损 伤 机 制 , 损 伤 进 展 的 速 度 一 般 都 能 探 知 和 可 可 靠 地 估 计 . 劣 化 率<br />

可 以 腐 蚀 速 率 表 示 (mm/yr) 或 未 知 或 无 法 估 量 的 劣 化 率 ( 如 应 力 腐 蚀 开 裂 等 ), 以<br />

高 , 中 或 低 定 位 .<br />

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The deterioration rate in specific process equipment is often not known with<br />

certainty. The ability to state the rate of deterioration precisely is affected by<br />

equipment complexity, type of damage mechanism, process and<br />

metallurgical variations, inaccessibility for inspection, limitations of<br />

inspection and test methods and the inspector’s expertise. 在 特 定 的 工 艺 设<br />

备 恶 化 率 往 往 不 能 真 确 的 确 知 . 不 确 知 的 因 素 有<br />

• equipment complexity, 设 备 的 复 杂 性<br />

• type of damage mechanism, 损 伤 机 理 类 型<br />

• process and metallurgical variations, 工 艺 和 冶 金 的 变 化<br />

• inaccessibility for inspection, 难 以 进 行 检 查<br />

• limitations of inspection and test methods and 检 查 和 测 试 方 法 的 局 限 性<br />

• the inspector’s expertise 检 查 员 的 专 业 知 识<br />

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equipment complexity, 设 备 的 复 杂 性<br />

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type of damage mechanism,<br />

损 伤 机 理 类 型<br />

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process and metallurgical<br />

variations, 工 艺 和 冶 金 的 变 化<br />

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inaccessibility for<br />

inspection, 难 以 进<br />

行 检 查<br />

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inaccessibility for<br />

inspection, 难 以 进<br />

行 检 查<br />

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limitations of<br />

inspection and test<br />

methods and 检 查 和<br />

测 试 方 法 的 局 限 性<br />

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the inspector’s<br />

expertise 检 查<br />

员 的 专 业 知 识<br />

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Sources of deterioration rate information include (also see Section 8):<br />

恶 化 率 信 息 的 来 源 包 括<br />

a) published data and unpublished company data, 公 布 和 未 公 布 的 公 司 数 据<br />

b) laboratory testing, 实 验 室 测 试<br />

c) in-situ testing and in-service monitoring, 现 场 测 试 和 在 线 监 测<br />

d) experience with similar equipment, 与 同 类 设 备 的 经 验<br />

e) previous inspection data. 以 前 的 检 测 数 据<br />

The best information will come from operating experiences where the<br />

conditions that led to the observed deterioration rate could realistically be<br />

expected to occur in the equipment under consideration. Other sources of<br />

information could include databases of plant experience or reliance on expert<br />

opinion. The latter method is often used since plant databases, where they<br />

exist, sometimes do not contain sufficiently detailed information.<br />

最 好 的 信 息 将 来 自 运 行 经 验 , 其 它 信 息 来 源 可 能 包 括 厂 里 的 经 验 数 据 库 或 依 赖<br />

专 家 意 见 补 充 厂 里 数 据 库 的 不 足 处 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


恶 化 率 信 息 的 来 源 包 括<br />

• 公 布 和 未 公 布 的 公 司 数 据<br />

• 实 验 室 测 试<br />

• 现 场 测 试 和 在 线 监 测<br />

• 与 同 类 设 备 的 经 验<br />

• 以 前 的 检 测 数 据<br />

公 司 数 据 :<br />

• 厂 自 运 行 经 验<br />

• 厂 数 据 资 料 库<br />

• 专 家 意 见 补 充<br />

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Damage rates will often vary as the mechanism progresses. In some cases, the<br />

mechanism is self-limiting (i.e. after progressing to a certain point), and damage<br />

will nearly arrest. In other cases, damage will occur in a slow, stable manner<br />

until it reaches a point where failure occurs. In some cases, damage by one<br />

mechanism may progress to a point at which a different mechanism takes over<br />

to control the rate of further damage (e.g. pitting that gives rise to stress<br />

corrosion cracking). 腐 蚀 率 是 多 变 化 的 , 有 的 时 候 加 速 , 自 限 , 或 从 一 种 损 伤 机 理 改<br />

变 为 另 种 损 伤 机 理 , 比 如 点 蚀 导 致 环 境 应 力 开 裂 等 .<br />

The following parameters should be considered in the determination of damage<br />

rates: 确 定 损 伤 率 的 应 要 考 虑 参 数<br />

a) fluid stream composition, including electrolytes and ions in solution; 流 体 流<br />

组 成 , 包 括 在 溶 液 电 解 质 和 离 子<br />

b) the temperature, humidity and corrosiveness of the atmosphere or soil;<br />

温 度 , 湿 度 和 大 气 中 或 土 壤 的 腐 蚀 性<br />

c) process temperature; 工 艺 温 度<br />

d) the flow velocity; 流 速<br />

e) the amount of dissolved oxygen; 溶 解 氧 气 量<br />

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f) the phase of the fluid (liquid, vapor, or gas); 流 体 相 ( 液 体 , 气 体 或 蒸 发 体 )<br />

g) the pH of the solution; 溶 液 的 pH 值<br />

h) the contaminants in the flow stream; 流 体 中 的 污 染 物<br />

i) the process operating phase (operation, shutdown, wash, etc.);<br />

操 作 阶 段 ( 操 作 中 / 关 断 时 / 清 理 , 等 )<br />

j) the mechanical properties of the metal (hardness, cold work, grain size,<br />

etc.); 材 料 机 械 性 能 ( 硬 度 , 冷 作 , 晶 体 大 小 等 )<br />

k) the metallurgical properties and corrosion resistance of the alloy;<br />

冶 金 性 能 和 合 金 的 耐 腐 蚀 性<br />

l) the weld properties: heat treatment, hardness, residual stresses,<br />

sensitization, inclusions, etc.;<br />

焊 接 性 : 热 处 理 / 硬 度 / 残 余 应 力 / 敏 化 / 夹 杂 物 等<br />

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m) the component geometry (crevices, local turbulence, etc.); 组 件 几 何<br />

n) the coating and lining condition (no holiday); 涂 层 和 衬 垫 条 件 ( 无 孔 )<br />

o) the relative size of anodic and cathodic regions; 阳 极 和 阴 极 区 域 的 相 对 大 小<br />

p) the solubility of corrosion products; 腐 蚀 产 物 的 溶 解 度<br />

q) the addition of corrosion inhibitors (type, quantity, and distribution);<br />

加 入 缓 蚀 剂 ( 种 类 / 数 量 以 及 分 布 )<br />

r) process control and stability. 工 艺 控 制 和 稳 定 性<br />

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10.4.3 Determine Failure Mode 确 定 故 障 模 式<br />

POF analysis is used to evaluate the failure mode (e.g. small hole, crack,<br />

catastrophic rupture) and the probability that each failure mode will occur. It<br />

is important to link the damage mechanism to the most likely resulting<br />

failure mode. For example:<br />

a) pitting generally leads to small-hole-sized leaks;<br />

点 蚀 通 常 会 导 致 小 的 孔 大 小 的 泄 漏<br />

b) stress corrosion cracking can develop into small, through wall cracks or, in<br />

some cases, catastrophic rupture; 应 力 腐 蚀 开 裂 可 发 展 成 小 的 , 通 过 墙 体 裂<br />

缝 或 者 , 在 某 些 情 况 下 , 灾 难 性 破 裂<br />

c) metallurgical deterioration and mechanical damage can lead to failure<br />

modes that vary from small holes to ruptures;<br />

冶 金 变 质 和 机 械 损 伤 可 导 致 失 效 模 式 从 小 孔 至 破 裂<br />

d) general thinning from corrosion often leads to larger leaks or rupture;<br />

广 义 腐 蚀 减 薄 往 往 会 导 致 大 泄 漏 或 破 裂<br />

e) localized corrosion can lead to small to medium-sized leaks.<br />

局 部 腐 蚀 可 导 致 小 到 中 等 规 模 的 泄 漏<br />

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Failure mode primarily affects the<br />

magnitude of the consequences.<br />

For this and other reasons, the<br />

probability and consequence<br />

analyses should be worked<br />

interactively. 失 效 模 式 主 要 影 响 失<br />

效 后 果 的 严 重 性


a) pitting generally leads to small-holesized<br />

leaks;<br />

点 蚀 通 常 会 导 致 小 的 孔 大 小 的 泄 漏<br />

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a) pitting generally leads to small-holesized<br />

leaks;<br />

点 蚀 通 常 会 导 致 小 的 孔 大 小 的 泄 漏<br />

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a) pitting generally leads to small-holesized<br />

leaks;<br />

点 蚀 通 常 会 导 致 小 的 孔 大 小 的 泄 漏<br />

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) stress corrosion cracking can develop into small,<br />

through wall cracks or, in some cases,<br />

catastrophic rupture; 应 力 腐 蚀 开 裂 可 发 展 成 小 的 ,<br />

通 过 墙 体 裂 缝 或 者 , 在 某 些 情 况 下 , 灾 难 性 破 裂<br />

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) stress corrosion cracking can develop into small,<br />

through wall cracks or, in some cases,<br />

catastrophic rupture; 应 力 腐 蚀 开 裂 可 发 展 成 小 的 ,<br />

通 过 墙 体 裂 缝 或 者 , 在 某 些 情 况 下 , 灾 难 性 破 裂<br />

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) stress corrosion cracking can develop into small,<br />

through wall cracks or, in some cases,<br />

catastrophic rupture; 应 力 腐 蚀 开 裂 可 发 展 成 小 的 ,<br />

通 过 墙 体 裂 缝 或 者 , 在 某 些 情 况 下 , 灾 难 性 破 裂<br />

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c) metallurgical deterioration and<br />

mechanical damage can lead to<br />

failure modes that vary from small<br />

holes to ruptures;<br />

冶 金 变 质 和 机 械 损 伤 可 导 致 失 效 模 式<br />

从 小 孔 至 破 裂<br />

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c) metallurgical deterioration and<br />

mechanical damage can lead to<br />

failure modes that vary from small<br />

holes to ruptures;<br />

冶 金 变 质 和 机 械 损 伤 可 导 致 失 效 模 式<br />

从 小 孔 至 破 裂<br />

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d) general thinning from<br />

corrosion often leads to<br />

larger leaks or rupture; 广 义<br />

腐 蚀 减 薄 往 往 会 导 致 大 泄 漏<br />

或 破 裂<br />

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d) general thinning from<br />

corrosion often leads to<br />

larger leaks or rupture; 广 义<br />

腐 蚀 减 薄 往 往 会 导 致 大 泄 漏<br />

或 破 裂<br />

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d) general thinning from<br />

corrosion often leads to<br />

larger leaks or rupture; 广 义<br />

腐 蚀 减 薄 往 往 会 导 致 大 泄 漏<br />

或 破 裂<br />

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d) general thinning from<br />

corrosion often leads to<br />

larger leaks or rupture; 广 义<br />

腐 蚀 减 薄 往 往 会 导 致 大 泄 漏<br />

或 破 裂<br />

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e) localized corrosion can lead to small to<br />

medium-sized leaks. 局 部 腐 蚀 可 导 致 小 到 中 等 规<br />

模 的 泄 漏


10.4.4 Quantify Effectiveness of Past <strong>Inspection</strong> Program<br />

量 化 过 去 的 检 验 程 序 的 有 效 性<br />

the combination of nondestructive examination (NDE) methods such as visual,<br />

UT, radiographic etc., frequency and coverage/location of inspections] vary in<br />

their effectiveness for locating, characterizing and sizing deterioration, and thus<br />

for determining deterioration rates. After the likely damage mechanisms have<br />

been identified, the inspection program should be evaluated to determine the<br />

effectiveness in finding the identified mechanisms. 可 能 的 损 伤 机 理 已 经 确 定 后 , 应<br />

当 评 估 该 检 验 程 序 在 找 到 所 确 定 的 机 制 的 有 效 性 .<br />

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Limitations in the effectiveness of an inspection program could be due to the<br />

following items. 检 查 程 序 的 有 效 性 的 限 制<br />

a) Lack of coverage of an area subject to deterioration.<br />

缺 乏 覆 盖 受 到 恶 化 的 区 域<br />

b) Inherent limitations of some inspection methods to detect and quantify<br />

certain types of deterioration.<br />

一 些 检 查 方 法 固 有 对 某 些 类 型 的 恶 化 的 局 限 性<br />

c) Selection of inappropriate inspection methods, techniques and tools.<br />

选 择 不 恰 当 的 检 查 方 法<br />

d) Application of methods and tools by inadequately trained inspection<br />

personnel. 训 练 不 足 的 检 验 人 员<br />

e) Inadequate inspection and examination procedures.<br />

不 充 分 的 检 查 和 审 查 程 序<br />

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f) Deterioration rate under some extremes of conditions is so high that failure<br />

can occur within a very short time. Even though no deterioration is found<br />

during an inspection, failure could still occur as a result of a change or<br />

upset in conditions. For example, if a very aggressive acid is carried over<br />

from a corrosion resistant part of a system into a downstream vessel that is<br />

made of carbon steel, rapid corrosion could result in failure in a few hours<br />

or days. Similarly, if an aqueous chloride solution is carried into a stainless<br />

steel vessel, chloride stress corrosion cracking could occur very rapidly<br />

(depending on the temperature).<br />

极 端 高 劣 化 率 , 导 致 故 障 可 能 发 生 在 很 短 的 时 间 内 ( 例 如 : 操 作 更 改 或 工 艺 颠<br />

覆 状 况 )<br />

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If multiple inspections have been performed, it is important to recognize that<br />

the most recent inspection may best reflect current operating conditions. If<br />

operating conditions have changed, deterioration rates based on inspection<br />

data from the previous operating conditions may not be valid. Determination of<br />

inspection effectiveness should consider the following: 检 查 效 果 应 考 虑 以 下<br />

a) equipment type; 设 备 类 型<br />

b) active and credible damage mechanism(s); 积 极 的 和 可 信 的 损 伤 机 制<br />

c) rate of deterioration or susceptibility; 速 率 或 易 感 性 率<br />

d) NDE methods, coverage and frequency (i.e. ability to detect the specific<br />

deterioration); 探 伤 方 法 , 覆 盖 范 围 和 频 率 ( 对 具 体 的 恶 化 检 测 能 力 )<br />

e) accessibility to expected deterioration areas. 预 期 恶 化 的 地 区 与 可 达 性<br />

The effectiveness of future inspections can be optimized by utilization of NDE<br />

methods better suited for the active/credible damage mechanisms, adjusting<br />

the inspection coverage, adjusting the inspection frequency or some<br />

combination thereof.<br />

未 来 的 检 验 方 法 应 按 照 需 要 优 化 来 达 到 最 佳 效 果<br />

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10.4.5 Calculate the POF by Deterioration Type 由 变 质 类 型 计 算 POF<br />

By combining the (1) expected damage mechanism, (2) rate or susceptibility,<br />

(3) process monitoring, (4) inspection data and (5) inspection effectiveness, a<br />

POF can now be determined for each deterioration type and failure mode. The<br />

POF may be determined for future time periods or conditions as well as current.<br />

It is important for users to validate that the method used to calculate the POF is<br />

in fact thorough and adequate for the users’ needs.<br />

通 过 结 合 (1) 预 期 的 破 坏 机 理 , (2) 速 率 或 易 感 性 , (3) 过 程 监 控 , (4) 检 验 数 据 和<br />

(5) 检 验 成 效 , 每 个 损 伤 类 型 和 失 效 模 式 的 失 效 概 率 能 于 确 定 ( 包 括 当 前 或 未 来 时<br />

间 段 ). 注 意 事 项 : 用 户 需 要 确 认 所 用 的 概 率 方 法 是 否 彻 底 和 适 当 .<br />

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11 Assessing<br />

Consequences of<br />

Failure<br />

失 效 的 后 果 评 估<br />

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Contents<br />

11 Assessing Consequences of Failure<br />

11.1 Introduction to Consequence Analysis<br />

11.2 Types of Consequence Analysis<br />

11.3 Units of Measure in Consequence Analysis<br />

11.4 Volume of Fluid Released<br />

11.5 Consequence Effect Categories<br />

11.6 Determination of Consequence of Failure<br />

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http://www.northnews.cn/2013/1122/1455937_30.shtml


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11.1 Introduction to Consequence Analysis 后 果 分 析 简 介<br />

11.1.1 General 总 则<br />

The consequence analysis in an RBI program is performed to provide<br />

discrimination between equipment items on the basis of the significance of<br />

a potential failure. The consequence analysis should be a repeatable,<br />

simplified, credible estimate of what might be expected to happen if a<br />

failure were to occur in the equipment item being assessed. The COF<br />

analysis should be performed to estimate the consequences that occur due<br />

to a failure mode typically resulting from an identified damage<br />

mechanism(s) (see Section 9).<br />

COF 分 析 由 于 故 障 模 式 发 生 的 后 果 进 行 估 计 ,RBI 程 序 提 供 设 备 之 间 , 识 别 潜 在 故<br />

障 的 比 重 . Consequence should typically be categorized as: 通 常 应 归 类 为<br />

a) safety and health impacts, 安 全 和 健 康 的 影 响<br />

b) environmental impacts, 对 环 境 的 影 响<br />

c) economic impacts. 经 济 影 响<br />

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Consequence should typically be categorized as: 通 常 应 归 类 为<br />

• safety and health impacts, 安 全 和 健 康 的 影 响<br />

• environmental impacts, 对 环 境 的 影 响<br />

• economic impacts. 经 济 影 响<br />

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对 环 境 的 影 响<br />

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对 环 境 的 影 响<br />

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对 环 境 的 影 响<br />

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对 环 境 的 影 响<br />

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对 环 境 的 影 响<br />

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对 环 境 的 影 响<br />

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对 环 境 的 影 响<br />

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对 环 境 的 影 响<br />

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对 环 境 的 影 响<br />

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对 环 境 的 影 响<br />

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对 环 境 的 影 响<br />

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对 环 境 的 影 响<br />

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对 环 境 的 影 响<br />

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对 环 境 的 影 响<br />

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对 环 境 的 影 响<br />

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对 环 境 的 影 响<br />

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安 全 和 健 康 的 影 响 /<br />

经 济 影 响<br />

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安 全 和 健 康 的 影 响 /<br />

经 济 影 响<br />

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安 全 和 健 康 的 影 响 /<br />

经 济 影 响<br />

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安 全 和 健 康 的 影 响 /<br />

经 济 影 响<br />

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安 全 和 健 康 的 影 响 /<br />

经 济 影 响<br />

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In general, an RBI program will be managed by plant inspectors or inspection<br />

engineers, who will normally manage risk by managing the POF with inspection<br />

and maintenance planning. They will not normally have much ability to modify<br />

the COF. On the other hand, management and process safety personnel may<br />

desire to manage the consequence side of the risk equation. Numerous<br />

methods for modifying the COF are mentioned in Section 14. For all of these<br />

users, the consequence analysis is an aid in establishing a relative risk ranking<br />

of equipment items. The consequence analysis should address all credible<br />

failure modes to which the equipment item is susceptible.<br />

一 般 上 , RBI 程 序 一 旦 执 行 , 是 由 检 验 员 或 检 验 工 程 师 着 手 管 理 . 通 常 , 通 过 与 检 查<br />

和 维 护 计 划 , 管 理 风 险 POF ( 故 障 概 率 ) 部 分 . 他 们 一 般 不 授 权 修 改 COF ( 失 效 后<br />

果 ), 而 是 前 期 , 通 过 设 施 管 理 和 工 艺 安 全 人 员 做 相 关 的 工 作 . ( 考 试 题 )<br />

POF<br />

COF<br />

Managed by Inspector & <strong>Inspection</strong> Engineer<br />

Managed by Management & Process Safety Personnel.<br />

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POF Managed by Inspector & <strong>Inspection</strong> Engineer ( 考 试 题 )<br />

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COF Managed by<br />

Management &<br />

Process Safety<br />

Personnel.<br />

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More or less complex and detailed methods of consequence analysis can be<br />

used, depending on the desired application for the assessment. The<br />

consequence analysis method chosen should have a demonstrated ability to<br />

provide the required level of discrimination between higher and lower<br />

consequence equipment items.<br />

简 单 或 复 杂 的 后 果 分 析 一 样 都 能 运 用 , 选 用 的 运 用 方 法 应 该 是 个 有 能 力 分 辨 设 备 故<br />

障 后 果 的 高 低 顺 序 的 方 法 .<br />

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11.1.2 Loss of Containment 溶 液 流 失<br />

The consequence of loss of containment is generally evaluated as loss of fluid<br />

to the external environment. The consequence effects for loss of containment<br />

can be generally considered to be in the following categories:<br />

溶 液 流 失 一 般 定 义 为 – 溶 液 损 失 到 外 部 环 境 , 导 致 的 后 果 有<br />

1. safety and health impact, 安 全 和 健 康 的 影 响<br />

2. environmental impact, 对 环 境 的 影 响<br />

3. production losses, 生 产 损 失<br />

4. maintenance and reconstruction costs. 维 修 和 重 建 费 用<br />

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11.1.3 Other Functional Failures<br />

Although RBI is mainly concerned with loss of containment failures, other<br />

functional failures could be included in an RBI study if a user desired. Other<br />

functional failures could include:<br />

此 规 范 主 要 是 针 对 溶 液 流 失 , 在 用 户 要 求 下 也 可 以 覆 盖 下 列 功 能 故 障<br />

a) functional or mechanical failure of internal components of pressure<br />

containing equipment (e.g. column trays, demister mats, coalescer<br />

elements, distribution hardware, etc.); 内 部 组 件 的 功 能 性 或 机 械 故 障<br />

b) heat exchanger tube failure; 换 热 器 管 故 障<br />

c) pressure-relief device failure; 减 压 装 置 故 障<br />

d) rotating equipment failure (e.g. seal leaks, impeller failures, etc.).<br />

旋 转 设 备 故 障<br />

NOTE There may be situations where a heat exchanger tube failure could lead<br />

to a loss of containment of the heat exchanger or ancillary equipment. These<br />

would typically involve leakage from a high-pressure side to a low-pressure<br />

side of the exchanger and subsequent breach of containment of the lowpressure<br />

side. 换 热 器 管 故 障 , 可 能 因 管 内 压 与 管 外 压 差 , 带 来 溶 液 串 通 , 导 致 溶<br />

液 流 失 .<br />

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These other functional failures are usually covered within RCM programs and<br />

therefore are not covered in detail in this document. 其 他 的 功 能 性 故 障 通 常 在<br />

RCM 涵 盖 范 围 内 , 这 文 件 不 包 含 .<br />

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11.2 Types of Consequence Analysis 后 果 分 析 的 类 型<br />

11.2.1 General 总 则<br />

The following paragraphs discuss different approaches to the determination of<br />

consequences of failure. For the purposes of the discussion, these approaches<br />

have been categorized as “qualitative” or “quantitative.” However, it should be<br />

recognized that “qualitative” and “quantitative” are the end points of a<br />

continuum rather than distinctive approaches (see Figure 3).<br />

归 类 为 “ 定 性 ” 或 “ 定 量 ” 或 两 者 之 间 .<br />

Table 3—Six Level Table<br />

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11.2.2 Qualitative Consequences Analysis 定 性 后 果 分 析<br />

A qualitative method involves identification of the units, systems or equipment,<br />

and the hazards present as a result of operating conditions and process fluids.<br />

On the basis of expert knowledge and experience, the consequences of failure<br />

(safety, health, environmental and financial impacts) can be estimated<br />

separately for each unit, system, equipment group or individual equipment item.<br />

For a qualitative method, a consequences category (such as “A” through “E” or<br />

“high,” “medium,” or “low”) is typically assigned for each unit, system, grouping<br />

or equipment item. It may be appropriate to associate a numerical value, such<br />

as cost (see 11.3.3), with each consequence category.<br />

评 估 结 果 可 以 以 高 低 类 别 或 数 值 ( 如 成 本 ) 表 达 .<br />

专 家 的 知 识 和 经 验 的 基 础 上 评 估 故 障 后 果 ( 安 全 / 健 康 / 环 境 和 财 务 影 响 )<br />

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故 障 后 果 评 估 的 结 果 可 以 以 高 低 类 别 或 数 值 ( 如 成 本 ) 表 达 .<br />

API 580<br />

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11.2.3 Quantitative Consequences Analysis 定 量 后 果 分 析<br />

A quantitative method involves using a logic model depicting combinations of<br />

events to represent the effects of failure on people, property, the business and<br />

the environment. Quantitative models usually contain one or more standard<br />

failure scenarios or outcomes and calculate COF based on:<br />

定 量 后 果 分 析 , 使 用 一 个 逻 辑 模 型 描 绘 事 件 的 组 合 来 表 示 故 障 对 人 员 , 财 产 , 业 务<br />

和 环 境 的 影 响 . 定 量 模 型 通 常 包 含 一 个 或 多 个 标 准 的 故 障 情 况 或 分 析 结 果<br />

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COF based on; 故 障 后 果 基 于<br />

• type of process fluid in equipment; 设 备 工 艺 流 体 的 类 型<br />

• state of the process fluid inside the equipment (solid, liquid, or gas);<br />

工 艺 流 体 的 状 态 ( 液 态 , 气 态 , 含 固 态 等 )<br />

• key properties of process fluid (molecular weight, boiling point, auto-ignition<br />

temperature, ignition energy, density, flammability, toxicity, etc.);<br />

工 艺 流 体 的 主 要 特 性<br />

• process operating variables such as temperature and pressure;<br />

操 作 变 量 , 例 如 温 度 和 压 力<br />

• mass of inventory available for release in the event of a leak;<br />

泄 漏 时 可 释 放 的 质 量<br />

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• failure mode and resulting leak size; 失 效 模 式 和 由 此 产 生 的 泄 漏 大 小<br />

• state of fluid after release in ambient conditions (solid, gas, or liquid).<br />

在 环 境 条 件 释 放 后 的 状 态 ( 液 态 , 气 态 , 含 固 态 等 )<br />

Results of a quantitative analysis are usually numeric. Consequence categories<br />

may be also used to organize more quantitatively assessed consequences into<br />

manageable groups.<br />

定 量 分 析 的 结 果 通 常 是 数 字 . 以 类 别 表 达 后 果 , 也 可 以 运 用 来 进 行 设 备 组 合 管 理<br />

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11.3 Units of Measure in Consequence Analysis 后 果 分 析 单 位<br />

11.3.1 General 总 则<br />

Different types of consequences may be described best by different measures.<br />

The RBI analyst should consider the nature of the hazards present and select<br />

appropriate units of measure. However, the analyst should bear in mind that<br />

the resultant consequences should be comparable, as much as possible, for<br />

subsequent risk prioritization and inspection planning.<br />

产 生 的 后 果 应 具 有 可 比 性 , 以 便 执 行 后 续 风 险 优 先 级 和 检 查 规 划 运 作 .<br />

The following provide some units of measure of consequence that can be used<br />

in an RBI assessment. 评 估 故 障 结 果 的 一 些 估 量 有<br />

• Safety<br />

• Cost<br />

• Affected Area<br />

• Environmental Damage<br />

• Other Considerations<br />

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评 估 故 障 结 果 的 一 些 估 量 有<br />

• Safety<br />

• Cost<br />

• Environmental Damage<br />

• Affected Area<br />

• Other Considerations<br />

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11.3.2 Safety<br />

Safety consequences are often expressed as a numerical value or<br />

characterized by a consequence category associated with the severity of<br />

potential injuries that may result from an undesirable event. For example,<br />

safety consequences could be expressed based on the severity of an injury<br />

(e.g. fatality, serious injury, medical treatment, first aid) or expressed as a<br />

category linked to the injury severity (e.g. A through E).<br />

An approach for assigning monetary values to safety and health consequences<br />

is included in API 581. However, the FAA has published material on this topic.<br />

If it is necessary to convert safety and health consequences into monetary<br />

units for<br />

subsequent risk ranking or analysis, the analyst should document the basis for<br />

the values assigned.<br />

安 全 后 果 往 往 以 一 个 数 值 表 现 , 然 而 用 经 济 价 值 作 为 表 达 方 式 也 被 API 581 采 纳 .<br />

用 经 济 价 值 作 为 表 达 方 式 必 须 分 析 应 该 记 录 分 配 的 值 的 基 础 . 美 国 联 邦 航 空 管 理<br />

局 有 出 刊 相 关 的 主 题 .<br />

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安 全 后 果 用 经 济 价 值 作 为 表 达 方 式<br />

也 被 API 581 采 纳 .


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


11.3.3 Cost 费 用 , 价 值<br />

Cost is commonly used as an indicator of potential consequences.<br />

Consequences may be expressed in relative monetary units (e.g. dollars) to<br />

the maximum extent practical with an understanding that the numbers are<br />

typically not absolute.<br />

For example, low, moderate and high categories could be assigned values of<br />

$100,000, $1,000,000 and $10,000,000 respectively. This will permit adding<br />

the different consequences of a single event and facilitate comparisons of risk<br />

from one process unit to another. Potential injuries and fatalities may be<br />

considered separately, with a maximum acceptable probability of occurrence<br />

assigned. It is possible, although not always credible, to assign costs to almost<br />

any type of consequence.<br />

虽 然 不 是 完 全 可 靠 , 几 乎 任 何 类 型 的 后 果 与 成 本 来 分 配 挂 钩 是 可 能 的 .<br />

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Typical consequences that can be expressed in “cost” include:<br />

可 以 用 “ 费 用 ” 来 表 达 的 故 障 后 果 有 以 下<br />

1. production loss due to rate reduction or downtime,<br />

由 于 或 停 机 生 产 利 率 降 低 损 失<br />

2. deployment of emergency response equipment and personnel,<br />

部 署 的 应 急 设 备 和 人 员<br />

3. lost product from a release, 流 失 产 品 经 济 损 失<br />

4. degradation of product quality, 产 品 质 量 的 劣 化<br />

5. replacement or repair of damaged equipment, 更 换 或 维 修 损 坏 的 设 备<br />

6. property damage offsite, 外 场 产 业 损 坏<br />

7. spill/release cleanup onsite or offsite, 内 外 场 溢 出 / 释 放 物 清 理<br />

8. business interruption costs (lost profits), 业 务 中 断 成 本 ( 利 润 损 失 )<br />

9. loss of market share, 失 去 市 场 份 额<br />

10. injuries or fatalities, 受 伤 或 死 亡<br />

11. land reclamation, 土 地 改 造<br />

12. litigation, 诉 讼 ,<br />

13. fines, 罚 金<br />

14. goodwill. 企 业 信 誉<br />

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The above list is reasonably comprehensive, but in practice some of these<br />

costs are neither practical nor necessary to use in an RBI assessment.<br />

上 面 的 列 表 是 相 当 全 面 的 , 但 在 实 践 中 有 些 用 来 代 表 故 障 后 果 的 “ 成 本 ($) / 费 用 ”<br />

既 不 现 实 也 无 必 要 .<br />

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Cost generally requires fairly detailed information to fully assess. It is possible,<br />

although not always practical, to assign a monetary value to almost any type of<br />

consequence. The cost associated with most of the consequences listed above<br />

can be calculated using standard methods. Information such as product value,<br />

capacity, equipment costs, repair costs, personnel resources, and environmental<br />

damage may be difficult to derive, and the manpower required to perform a<br />

complete financial-based consequence analysis may be limited depending on<br />

the complexity of the relationship of failure to lost opportunity cost. However,<br />

expressing consequences in monetary units has the advantage of permitting a<br />

direct comparison of the various categories of consequences on a common basis.<br />

Therefore, it is often better to provide approximations or “best estimates” than to<br />

use only verbal descriptions (see 11.2.2).<br />

虽 然 很 多 时 候 , 货 币 价 值 不 能 很 完 善 来 表 达 故 障 后 果 , 货 币 单 位 表 达 故 障 后 果 具 有 ,<br />

允 许 不 同 价 值 额 来 类 别 的 后 果 , 使 被 评 估 设 备 , 能 在 同 一 个 基 础 上 直 接 比 较 拥 有 很 大<br />

的 优 势 .<br />

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Instead of determining point values or unique ranges of economic loss for each<br />

consequence scenario, consequences may be placed into categories that have<br />

pre-defined ranges. Table 3 provides an example of this. The ranges may be<br />

adjusted for the unit or plant to be considered. For example, $10,000,000 may be<br />

a catastrophic loss for a small company, but a large company may consider only<br />

losses greater than $1,000,000,000 to be catastrophic.<br />

表 3, 用 类 别 代 号 或 描 述 来 反 映 经 济 价 值 . 不 同 的 企 业 的 同 样 代 号 有 不 同 的 价 值 额 .<br />

API 580<br />

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11.3.4 Affected Area 受 影 响 的 区 域<br />

Affected area is also used to describe potential consequences in the field of<br />

risk assessment. As its name implies, affected area represents the amount of<br />

surface area of the plot plan that experiences an effect (toxic dose, thermal<br />

radiation, explosion overpressure, etc.) greater than a pre-defined limiting<br />

value. <strong>Based</strong> on the thresholds chosen, anything (i.e. personnel, equipment,<br />

environment) within the area will be affected by the consequences of the<br />

hazard.<br />

In order to rank consequences according to affected area, it is typically<br />

assumed that equipment or personnel at risk are evenly distributed throughout<br />

the unit. A more rigorous approach would assign a population density with time<br />

or equipment value density to different areas of the unit.<br />

受 影 响 的 划 分 是 评 估 区 域 内 人 员 , 设 备 , 环 境 会 受 到 危 险 的 后 果 . 为 了 根 据 受 影 响<br />

地 区 排 名 后 果 , 它 通 常 假 定 设 备 或 人 员 的 风 险 是 均 匀 分 布 在 整 个 单 元 . 更 加 的 深<br />

入 分 析 如 果 需 要 的 话 , 能 把 设 备 集 中 区 域 , 人 员 分 布 , 时 间 / 人 员 分 布 动 态 , 等 等 , 作 为<br />

考 虑 项 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


The units for affected area consequence (square feet or square meters) do not<br />

readily translate into our everyday experiences and thus there is some<br />

reluctance to use this measure. It has, however, several features that merit<br />

consideration. The affected area approach has the characteristic of being able<br />

to compare toxic and flammable consequences by relating to the physical area<br />

impacted by a release. A drawback for area consequences is that it does not<br />

include the business impact of failure, which can often be the largest portion of<br />

total consequence.<br />

影 响 区 划 分 具 有 很 好 的 有 毒 和 易 燃 释 放 的 影 响 的 物 理 区 域 , 后 果 比 较 的 。 然 而 运<br />

用 受 影 响 区 域 划 分 , 在 行 业 上 受 到 一 定 的 阻 力 , 因 为 它 不 包 括 故 障 后 果 对 业 务 的 影<br />

响 ( 经 济 损 失 ), 而 这 往 往 是 总 结 果 占 最 大 份 额 .<br />

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11.3.5 Environmental Damage 环 境 损 害<br />

Environmental consequence measures are the least developed among those<br />

currently used for RBI. A common unit of measure for environmental damage<br />

is not available in the current technology, making environmental consequences<br />

difficult to assess. Typical parameters used that provide an indirect measure of<br />

the degree of environmental damage are: 环 境 损 失 时 在 RBI 里 最 为 缺 少 开 发 的<br />

领 域 , 也 没 有 共 同 认 同 的 计 量 方 法 . 典 型 提 供 环 境 破 坏 的 程 度 的 参 数 间 接 量 度 有<br />

a) acres of land affected per year;<br />

每 年 受 影 响 亩 地<br />

b) miles of shoreline affected per year;<br />

每 年 海 岸 线 受 到 影 响 英 里 数<br />

c) number of biological or human-use resources consumed;<br />

消 耗 的 生 物 或 人 类 使 用 的 资 源 数 量<br />

d) the portrayal of environmental damage almost invariably leads to the use<br />

of cost, in terms of dollars per year, for the loss and restoration of<br />

environmental resources.<br />

环 境 破 坏 的 写 照 几 乎 总 是 导 致 使 用 年 度 成 本 ( 对 环 境 资 源 的 丧 失 和 恢 复 )<br />

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11.3.6 Categorizing Safety, Health, and Environmental Consequences<br />

安 全 , 健 康 和 环 境 后 果 分 类<br />

Examples of placing safety, health and environmental consequences into<br />

categories is provided in Table 4 and Table 5. Table 4 shows three levels, while<br />

Table 5 shows six levels. In practice, other numbers of levels could be used.<br />

表 4 和 表 5 中 提 供 安 全 , 健 康 和 环 境 后 果 分 类 ( 其 他 等 级 数 可 以 按 照 个 别 加 减 )<br />

Table 4 - Three Level Safety, Health and Environmental Consequence<br />

Categories<br />

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Table 5—Six Level Safety, Health and Environmental Consequence<br />

Categories<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


11.3.7 Other Considerations 其 他 考 虑 事 项<br />

The following should be considered in addition to the consequences described<br />

above. It is usually possible to develop a monetary estimate for these<br />

considerations: 其 他 考 虑 事 项 , 通 常 是 可 以 货 币 估 计 这 些 考 虑 ;<br />

a) loss of reputation leading to loss of market share,<br />

名 誉 损 失 , 导 致 市 场 份 额 的 损 失<br />

b) future insurability,<br />

再 保 金 的 变 动<br />

c) regulatory actions curtailing production or raising costs.<br />

法 定 监 管 措 施 削 减 生 产 或 增 加 成 本<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


11.4 Volume of Fluid Released 流 体 释 放 体 积<br />

In most consequence evaluations, a key element in determining the magnitude<br />

of the consequence is the volume of fluid released. The volume released is<br />

typically derived from a combination of the following items below.<br />

大 多 数 故 障 结 果 的 评 估 , 在 确 定 故 障 结 果 的 幅 度 的 一 个 关 键 因 素 是 流 体 释 放 的 体 积<br />

a) Volume of Fluid Available for Release—Volume of fluid in the piece of<br />

equipment and connected equipment items. In theory, this is the amount of<br />

fluid between isolation valves that can be quickly closed .<br />

可 以 快 速 关 闭 隔 离 阀 之 间 的 流 体 量<br />

b) Failure mode. 失 效 模 式<br />

c) Leak rate. 泄 漏 率<br />

d) Detection and isolation time. 检 测 和 隔 离 时 间<br />

API 580<br />

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In some cases, the volume released will be the same as the volume available<br />

for release. Usually, there are safeguards and procedures in place so that the<br />

breach of containment can be isolated and the volume released will be less<br />

than the volume available for release. 通 常 , 有 保 障 措 施 和 程 序 到 位 使 泄 漏 可 以 被<br />

孤 立 以 减 少 流 体 释 放 体 积 .<br />

API 580<br />

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API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang<br />

http://www.enggcyclopedia.com/typical-pid-arrangements-symbols/


The cost of the lost fluid may be calculated by: 丢 失 的 流 体 的 成 本 可 以 通 过 计 算<br />

Lost Fluid Cost = Volume of Fluid Lost × Value of the Fluid per Unit Volume<br />

失 去 了 流 体 成 本 = 体 积 流 体 的 失 落 × 每 单 位 体 积 的 流 体 价 值<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


11.5 Consequence Effect Categories 故 障 结 果 影 响 分 类<br />

11.5.1 General 总 则<br />

The failure of the pressure boundary and subsequent release of fluids may<br />

cause safety, health, environmental, facility and business damage. The RBI<br />

analyst should consider the nature of the hazards and assure that<br />

appropriate factors are considered for the equipment, system, unit, or plant<br />

being assessed. Regardless of whether a more qualitative or quantitative<br />

analysis is used, the major factors to consider in evaluating the<br />

consequences of failure include: 失 效 后 果 评 估 的 主 要 考 虑 因 素 评 估 包 括<br />

a) flammable events (fire and explosion), 易 燃 事 件 ( 火 灾 和 爆 炸 )<br />

b) toxic releases, 有 毒 物 质 排 放<br />

c) releases of other hazardous fluids, 其 他 危 险 液 体 排 放<br />

d) environmental consequences, 环 境 后 果<br />

e) production consequences (business interruption), 生 产 的 后 果 ( 业 务 中 断 )<br />

f) maintenance and reconstruction impact. 维 修 改 造 的 影 响<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


11.5.6 Production (Business Interruption) Consequences<br />

生 产 ( 营 业 中 断 ) 的 后 果<br />

……………….Business interruption consequences;<br />

a) ability to compensate for damaged equipment (e.g. spare equipment,<br />

rerouting, etc.);<br />

弥 补 损 坏 的 设 备 能 力 ( 备 用 设 备 , 重 新 布 置 管 路 等 )<br />

b) potential for damage to nearby equipment (knock-on damage);<br />

潜 在 损 坏 附 近 的 设 备 - 连 锁 伤 害<br />

c) potential for production loss to other units.<br />

潜 在 影 响 其 他 设 备 生 产 损 失<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


11.5.2 Flammable Events (Fire and Explosion) 易 燃 事 件 ( 火 灾 和 爆 炸 )<br />

Flammable events occur when both a leak and ignition occur. The ignition could<br />

be through an ignition source or autoignition. Flammable events can cause<br />

damage in two ways: (1) thermal radiation and (2) blast overpressure. ( 考 试 题 )<br />

Most of the damage from thermal effects tends to occur at close range, but blast<br />

effects can cause damage over a larger distance from the blast center. Following<br />

are typical categories of fire and explosion events:<br />

易 燃 事 件 可 能 是 通 过 点 火 源 或 自 燃 , 以 下 是 火 灾 和 爆 炸 事 件 的 典 型 类 别<br />

a) vapor cloud explosion, 油 气 云 爆 炸<br />

b) pool fire, 池 火<br />

c) jet fire, 喷 射 火<br />

d) flash fire, 闪 火<br />

e) boiling liquid expanding vapor explosion (BLEVE).<br />

沸 腾 液 体 扩 展 蒸 气 ( 可 能 是 水 蒸 气 ) 爆 炸<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


The flammable events consequence is typically derived from a combination of<br />

the following elements: 易 燃 事 件 的 后 果 通 常 来 自 以 下 元 素 的 组 合 :<br />

a) inherent tendency to ignite, 内 在 点 燃 趋 势<br />

b) volume of fluid released, 流 体 的 体 积 泄 露<br />

c) ability to flash to a vapor, 急 骤 蒸 发 为 蒸 汽<br />

d) possibility of auto-ignition, 自 动 点 火 的 可 能 性<br />

e) effects of higher pressure or higher temperature operations,<br />

更 高 的 压 力 或 更 高 的 温 度 下 操 作 的 影 响<br />

f) engineered safeguards, 工 程 保 障<br />

g) personnel and equipment exposed to damage. 人 员 和 设 备 受 到 损 坏<br />

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Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


Boiling liquid expanding vapor explosion (BLEVE).<br />

沸 腾 液 体 扩 展 蒸 气 ( 可 能 是 水 蒸 气 ) 爆 炸<br />

http://www.sozogaku.com/fkd/en/cfen/CC1300001.html<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


Boiling liquid expanding vapor explosion (BLEVE).<br />

沸 腾 液 体 扩 展 蒸 气 ( 可 能 是 水 蒸 气 ) 爆 炸<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


Flammable Events (Fire and Explosion)<br />

易 燃 事 件 ( 火 灾 和 爆 炸 )<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


Flammable Events (Fire and Explosion)<br />

易 燃 事 件 ( 火 灾 和 爆 炸 )<br />

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Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


11.5.3 Toxic Releases 有 毒 物 质 释 放<br />

Toxic releases, in RBI, are only addressed when they affect personnel (site and<br />

public). These releases can cause effects at greater distances than<br />

flammable events. Unlike flammable releases, toxic releases do not require<br />

an additional event (e.g. ignition, as in the case of flammables) to cause<br />

personnel injuries. The RBI program typically focuses on acute toxic risks<br />

that create an immediate danger, rather than chronic risks from low-level<br />

exposures. The toxic consequence is typically derived from the following<br />

elements: 此 风 险 评 估 通 常 着 重 于 建 立 即 时 危 险 的 急 性 中 毒 性 风 险 , 而 不 是 从 少<br />

量 接 触 慢 性 风 险 . 有 毒 的 后 果 通 常 是 源 于 以 下 元 素<br />

a) volume of fluid released and toxicity, 释 放 和 毒 性 的 液 量<br />

b) ability to disperse under typical process and environmental conditions,<br />

在 典 型 的 过 程 和 环 境 条 件 下 分 散 能 力<br />

c) detection and mitigation systems, 检 测 和 缓 解 系 统<br />

d) population in the vicinity of the release. 释 放 点 附 近 人 口 分 布<br />

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此 风 险 评 估 通 常 着 重 于 建 立 即 时 危 险 的 急 性 中 毒 性 风 险 , 而 不 是 日 常 操 作 从 少 量 接<br />

触 慢 性 风 险<br />

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11.5.4 Releases of Other Hazardous Fluids 其 他 危 险 液 体 释 放<br />

Other hazardous fluid releases are of most concern in RBI assessments when<br />

they affect personnel. These materials can cause thermal or chemical burns if<br />

a person comes in contact with them. Common fluids, including steam, hot<br />

water, acids, and caustics can have a safety consequence of a release and<br />

should be considered as part of an RBI program. 其 他 危 险 液 体 释 放 是 RBI 最 值<br />

得 关 注 的 评 估 项 , 接 触 这 些 材 料 会 引 起 热 或 化 学 灼 伤 . 常 见 的 其 他 危 险 液 体 , 包 括<br />

蒸 汽 , 热 水 , 酸 和 苛 性 碱<br />

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Generally, the consequence of this type of release is significantly lower than for<br />

flammable or toxic releases because the affected area is likely to be much<br />

smaller and the magnitude of the hazard is less. Key parameters in this<br />

evaluation are as follows.<br />

通 常 , 这 种 类 型 的 释 放 的 结 果 比 易 燃 或 有 毒 物 质 排 放 显 著 较 低 , 因 为 受 影 响 的 区 域<br />

很 可 能 较 小 所 导 致 的 危 险 的 幅 度 也 小 . 评 估 主 要 参 数 如 下<br />

a) Volume of fluid released. 释 放 流 体 的 体 积<br />

b) Personnel density in the area. 区 域 人 员 密 度<br />

c) Type of fluid and nature of resulting injury.<br />

流 体 以 及 由 此 产 生 的 损 伤 性 质 的 类 型<br />

d) Safety systems (e.g. personnel protective clothing, showers, etc.).<br />

安 全 系 统 ( 如 人 员 的 防 护 服 , 淋 浴 等 )<br />

e) Environmental damage if the spill is not contained. 泄 漏 带 来 的 环 境 损 害<br />

f) Equipment Damage - For some reactive fluids, contact with equipment or<br />

piping may result in aggressive deterioration and failure. 设 备 损 坏 – 泄 漏 液 体<br />

和 设 备 接 触 带 来 的 腐 蚀 加 速 等 .<br />

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11.5.5 Environmental Consequences 环 境 后 果<br />

Environmental consequences are an important component to any consideration<br />

of overall risk in a processing plant. The RBI program typically focuses on<br />

acute and immediate environmental risks, rather than chronic risks from low<br />

level emissions. The environmental consequence is typically derived from<br />

the following elements: 通 常 侧 重 于 急 性 和 即 时 环 境 风 险 . 而 不 是 从 较 低 排 放 量<br />

长 期 风 险<br />

a) volume of fluid released; 流 体 的 体 积 释 放<br />

b) ability to flash to vapor; 蒸 发 的 能 力<br />

c) leak containment safeguards; 泄 漏 围 堵 的 保 障<br />

d) environmental resources affected; 影 响 环 境 资 源<br />

e) regulatory consequence (e.g. citations for violations, fines, potential<br />

shutdown by authorities). 监 管 后 果<br />

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Liquid releases may result in contamination of soil, groundwater, and/or open<br />

water. Gaseous releases are equally important but more difficult to assess since<br />

the consequence typically relates to local regulatory constraints and the penalty<br />

for exceeding those constraints. 液 体 释 放 可 能 会 导 致 土 壤 , 地 下 水 和 / 或 开 放 水 域<br />

的 污 染 . 气 体 释 放 也 同 样 重 要 , 但 更 难 以 评 估 其 后 果 通 常 涉 及 到 当 地 的 监 管 约 束 和<br />

惩 罚 超 过 某 些 限 制 .<br />

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The consequences of environmental damage are best understood by cost. The<br />

cost may be calculated as follows: 环 境 破 坏 的 后 果 由 成 本 最 好 的 理 解<br />

Environmental Cost = Cost for Cleanup + Fines + Other Costs<br />

环 境 成 本 = 成 本 为 清 理 + 罚 款 + 其 它 费 用<br />

The cleanup cost will vary depending on many factors. Some key factors are<br />

listed as follows. 清 理 费 用 将 取 决 于 许 多 因 素 而 变 化<br />

a) Type of Spill—Aboveground, belowground, surface water etc.<br />

外 溢 类 型 - 地 上 , 地 下 , 地 表 水 等<br />

b) Type of liquid. 液 体 型<br />

c) Method of clean-up. 清 理 方 法<br />

d) Volume of spill. 泄 漏 量<br />

e) Accessibility and terrain at the spill location. 泄 漏 位 置 地 形 和 可 达 性<br />

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泄 漏 位 置 地 形 和 可 达 性<br />

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泄 漏 位 置 地 形 和 可 达 性<br />

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泄 漏 位 置 地 形 和 可 达 性<br />

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泄 漏 位 置 地 形 和 可 达 性<br />

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Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


泄 漏 位 置 地 形 和 可 达 性<br />

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The fine component cost will depend on the regulations and laws of the<br />

applicable local and federal jurisdictions. The other cost component would<br />

include costs that may be associated with the spill such as litigation from<br />

landowners or other parties. This component is typically specific to the locale of<br />

the facility.<br />

罚 款 项 - 取 决 于 当 地 和 联 邦 司 法 管 辖 区 的 法 律 和 法 规<br />

其 他 成 本 组 成 将 包 括 可 能 , 如 从 土 地 所 有 者 或 其 他 人 提 起 诉 讼 的 与 泄 漏 相 关 费 用 .<br />

这 个 构 成 要 素 , 通 常 是 备 的 区 域 而 别 .<br />

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11.5.6 Production (Business Interruption) Consequences<br />

生 产 ( 营 业 中 断 ) 的 后 果<br />

Production consequences generally occur with any loss of containment of the<br />

process fluid and often with a loss of containment of a utility fluid (water, steam,<br />

fuel gas, acid, caustic, etc.). These production consequences may be in<br />

addition to or independent of flammable, toxic, hazardous or environmental<br />

consequences. The main production consequences for RBI are financial. The<br />

financial consequences could include the value of the lost process fluid and<br />

business interruption. The cost of the lost fluid can be calculated fairly easily by<br />

multiplying the volume released by the value of the fluid lost. Calculation of the<br />

business interruption is more complex.<br />

主 要 生 产 的 后 果 是 经 济 损 失 ( 能 包 括 失 去 的 工 艺 流 体 和 业 务 中 断 的 价 值 ).<br />

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The selection of a specific method depends on: 具 体 方 法 的 选 择 取 决 于<br />

a) the scope and level of detail of the study, 研 究 的 目 的 与 细 节 深 度<br />

b) availability of business interruption data. 业 务 中 断 数 据 可 得 到 性<br />

A simple method for estimating the business interruption consequence is to<br />

use the equation: 估 算 的 营 业 中 断 的 后 果 的 一 种 简 单 方 法<br />

Business Interruption = Process Unit Daily Value × Downtime (Days)<br />

业 中 断 = 处 理 单 元 每 日 价 值 × 停 机 时 间 ( 天 )<br />

The unit daily value could be on a revenue or profit basis. The downtime<br />

estimate would represent the time required to get back into production. The<br />

Dow Fire and Explosion Index is a typical method of estimating downtime after<br />

a fire or explosion. 停 机 时 间 估 算 恢 复 生 间 隔 产 所 需 的 时 间<br />

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主 要 生 产 的 后 果 是 经 济 损 失 ( 能 包 括 失 去 的 工 艺 流 体 和 业 务 中 断 的 价 值 ).<br />

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DOW 灾 和 爆 炸<br />

指 数 提 供 , 火 灾<br />

或 爆 炸 后 估 计 停<br />

机 时 间 的 典 型 方<br />

法 指 南 .


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More rigorous methods for estimating business interruption consequences may<br />

take into account factors such as: 更 严 格 的 估 计 营 业 中 断 的 后 果 方 法 有<br />

a) ability to compensate for damaged equipment (e.g. spare equipment,<br />

rerouting, etc.); 弥 补 损 坏 的 设 备 能 力 ( 备 用 设 备 , 重 新 布 置 管 路 等 )<br />

b) potential for damage to nearby equipment (knock-on damage);<br />

潜 在 损 坏 附 近 的 设 备 - 连 锁 伤 害<br />

c) potential for production loss to other units. 潜 在 影 响 其 他 设 备 生 产 损 失<br />

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Business interruption consequences;<br />

a) ability to compensate for damaged equipment (e.g. spare equipment,<br />

rerouting, etc.);<br />

弥 补 损 坏 的 设 备 能 力 ( 备 用 设 备 , 重 新 布 置 管 路 等 )<br />

b) potential for damage to nearby equipment (knock-on damage);<br />

潜 在 损 坏 附 近 的 设 备 - 连 锁 伤 害<br />

c) potential for production loss to other units.<br />

潜 在 影 响 其 他 设 备 生 产 损 失<br />

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Site specific circumstances should be considered in the business interruption<br />

analysis to avoid over or under stating this consequence. Examples of<br />

these considerations include: 在 对 业 务 中 断 分 析 时 , 应 考 虑 个 别 特 定 的 状 况 ,<br />

这 些 考 虑 例 子 包 括<br />

a) lost production may be compensated at another under-utilized or idle facility;<br />

生 产 损 失 可 能 在 另 一 个 未 充 分 利 用 或 闲 置 设 施 进 行 补 偿<br />

b) loss of profit could be compounded if other facilities use the unit’s output as<br />

a feedstock or processing fluid; 利 润 损 失 可 能 会 加 剧 , 如 果 其 他 设 施 使 用 本 机<br />

的 输 出 作 为 原 料 或 加 工 液<br />

c) repair of small damage cost equipment may take as long as large damage<br />

cost equipment; 修 补 小 设 成 本 备 的 损 坏 所 需 要 的 时 间 可 能 长 达 大 成 本 损 害 设<br />

备 的 时 间 .<br />

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d) extended downtime may result in losing customers or market share, thus<br />

extending loss of profit beyond production restart; 延 长 停 机 时 间 , 可 能 会 导 致<br />

失 去 客 户 或 市 场 份 额<br />

e) loss of hard to get or unique equipment items may require extra time to<br />

obtain replacements; 有 的 特 殊 设 备 需 要 更 加 长 的 更 换<br />

f) insurance coverage. 保 险 范 围<br />

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11.5.7 Maintenance and Reconstruction Impact 维 护 和 重 构 的 影 响<br />

Maintenance and reconstruction impact represents the effort required to correct<br />

the failure and to fix or replace equipment damaged in the subsequent events<br />

(e.g. fire, explosion). The maintenance and reconstruction impact should be<br />

accounted for in the RBI program. Maintenance impact will generally be<br />

measured in monetary terms and typically includes:<br />

维 护 和 重 构 的 影 响 一 般 会 用 金 钱 来 衡 量<br />

a) repairs, 维 修 费 用<br />

b) equipment replacement. 更 换 费 用<br />

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Flammable Events (Fire and Explosion)<br />

易 燃 事 件 ( 火 灾 和 爆 炸 )<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


Flammable Events (Fire and Explosion)<br />

易 燃 事 件 ( 火 灾 和 爆 炸 )<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


Flammable Events (Fire and Explosion)<br />

易 燃 事 件 ( 火 灾 和 爆 炸 )<br />

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Consequence cost:<br />

Unscheduled Repairs,<br />

计 划 外 维 修 费 用<br />

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Consequence cost:<br />

Unscheduled Repairs,<br />

计 划 外 维 修 费 用<br />

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Consequence cost:<br />

Equipment replacement.<br />

更 换 费 用<br />

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Consequence cost:<br />

Equipment replacement.<br />

更 换 费 用<br />

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Repair of small damage cost equipment may take as long as large<br />

damage cost equipment; 修 补 小 设 成 本 备 的 损 坏 所 需 要 的 时 间 可 能<br />

长 达 大 成 本 损 害 设 备 的 时 间 .<br />

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11.6 Determination of COF 故 障 后 果 的 测 定<br />

11.6.1 General 总 则<br />

The consequences of releasing a hazardous material can be estimated in 6 (six)<br />

steps (see Figure 5), with each step performed using the assumption of a<br />

specific scenario and the steps should be repeated for each credible<br />

scenario. The steps are as follows: 释 放 有 害 物 质 的 后 果 可 以 以 六 个 步 骤 来 估<br />

计 . 假 设 的 特 定 的 场 景 使 用 上 述 每 个 步 骤 进 行 分 析 . 每 个 可 信 的 情 景 需 要 进 行<br />

再 次 独 立 的 分 析 .<br />

a) estimate the release rate, 估 计 的 释 放 速 率<br />

b) estimate total volume of fluid that will be released,<br />

估 计 将 被 释 放 流 体 的 总 体 积<br />

c) determine if the fluid is dispersed in a rapid manner (instantaneous) or<br />

slowly (continuous), 确 定 该 流 体 分 散 以 快 速 方 式 ( 瞬 时 ) 或 缓 慢 地 ( 连 续 )<br />

d) determine if the fluid disperses in the atmosphere as a liquid or a gas,<br />

确 定 流 体 在 大 气 中 分 散 成 液 体 或 气 体<br />

e) estimate the impacts of any existing mitigation system,<br />

估 计 任 何 现 有 的 减 灾 系 统 的 影 响<br />

f) estimate the consequences. 估 计 后 果<br />

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The steps are as follows: 释 放 有 害 物 质 的 后 果 可 以 以 六 个 步 骤 来 估 计 . 假 设 的<br />

特 定 的 场 景 使 用 上 述 每 个 步 骤 进 行 分 析 . 每 个 可 信 的 情 景 需 要 进 行 再 次 独 立<br />

的 分 析 .<br />

a) estimate the release rate,<br />

估 计 的 释 放 速 率<br />

b) estimate total volume of fluid that will be released,<br />

估 计 将 被 释 放 流 体 的 总 体 积<br />

c) determine if the fluid is dispersed in a rapid manner (instantaneous) or<br />

slowly (continuous),<br />

确 定 该 流 体 分 散 以 快 速 方 式 ( 瞬 时 ) 或 缓 慢 地 ( 连 续 )<br />

d) determine if the fluid disperses in the atmosphere as a liquid or a gas,<br />

确 定 流 体 在 大 气 中 分 散 成 液 体 或 气 体<br />

e) estimate the impacts of any existing mitigation system,<br />

估 计 任 何 现 有 的 减 灾 系 统 的 影 响<br />

f) estimate the consequences.<br />

估 计 后 果<br />

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a) estimate the release rate,<br />

估 计 的 释 放 速 率<br />

b) estimate total volume of fluid that will<br />

be released,<br />

估 计 将 被 释 放 流 体 的 总 体 积<br />

c) determine if the fluid is dispersed in a<br />

rapid manner (instantaneous) or slowly<br />

(continuous),<br />

确 定 该 流 体 分 散 以 快 速 方 式 ( 瞬 时 ) 或 缓<br />

慢 地 ( 连 续 )<br />

d) determine if the fluid disperses in the<br />

atmosphere as a liquid or a gas,<br />

确 定 流 体 在 大 气 中 分 散 成 液 体 或 气 体<br />

e) estimate the impacts of any existing<br />

mitigation system,<br />

估 计 任 何 现 有 的 减 灾 系 统 的 影 响<br />

f) estimate the consequences.<br />

估 计 后 果<br />

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Figure 5—Determination of COF<br />

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11.6.2 Factors for Estimating Consequences 估 算 后 果 的 因 素<br />

Estimate the consequences of a failure from equipment items considering such<br />

factors as (1) physical properties of the contained material, (2) its toxicity and (3)<br />

flammability, (4) type of release and release duration, (5) weather conditions<br />

and dispersion of the released contents, (6) escalation effects, and (7) mitigation<br />

actions. (8) Consider the impact on plant personnel and equipment, (9)<br />

population in the nearby communities, and (10) the environment. (11) Lost<br />

production, (12) loss of raw material and (13) other losses should also be<br />

considered.<br />

估 算 后 果 的 因 素 应 当 是 全 面 化 的 , 以 上 标 记 为 应 考 虑 的 事 项 .<br />

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用 来 估 算 后 果 的 因 素<br />

1. physical properties of the contained material, 物 理 性 质<br />

2. its toxicity and 毒 性<br />

3. flammability, 可 燃 性<br />

4. type of release and release duration, 释 放 型 和 释 放 期<br />

5. weather conditions and dispersion of the released contents,<br />

气 候 , 释 放 扩 散<br />

6. escalation effects, and 升 级 效 应<br />

7. mitigation actions. 缓 解 措 施<br />

8. Consider the impact on plant personnel and equipment<br />

对 工 厂 人 员 设 备 的 影 响<br />

9. population in the nearby communities, and 周 边 人 员 密 度<br />

10. the environment. 环 境 影 响<br />

11. Lost production, 生 产 损 失<br />

12. loss of raw material and 原 料 损 失<br />

13. other losses should also be considered. 其 他 应 当 考 虑 的 损 失<br />

估 算 后 果 的 因 素 应 当 是 全 面 化 的 , 以 上 标 记 为 应 考 虑 的 事 项 .<br />

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Several credible consequence scenarios may result from a single failure mode<br />

(release) and consequences should be determined by constructing one or<br />

more scenarios to describe a credible series of events following the initial<br />

failure. For example, a failure may be a small hole resulting from general<br />

corrosion. If the contained fluid is flammable, the consequence scenarios<br />

could include: small release without ignition, small release with ignition and<br />

small release with ignition and subsequent catastrophic failure (rupture) of<br />

the equipment item.<br />

一 个 单 一 的 故 障 模 式 可 能 导 致 几 个 可 信 的 后 果 的 情 况 . 例 如 , 一 个 故 障 可 能 是 从 一<br />

般 的 腐 蚀 产 生 的 一 个 小 孔 , 如 果 包 含 的 液 体 是 易 燃 . 其 后 果 的 情 况 可 能 包 括 ;<br />

• small release without ignition, 小 的 释 放 无 点 燃<br />

• small release with ignition and 小 释 放 带 点 燃<br />

• small release with ignition and subsequent catastrophic failure (rupture) of<br />

the equipment item 小 释 放 带 点 燃 后 续 导 致 灾 难 性 故 障 ( 破 裂 )<br />

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The following shows how a consequence scenario may be constructed.<br />

下 面 显 示 了 一 个 后 果 的 情 况 的 筑 建 构 造<br />

a) Consequence Phase 1—Discharge: Consider the type of discharge<br />

(sudden vs slow release of contents) and its duration.<br />

结 果 第 1 阶 段 - 释 放 : 考 虑 释 放 的 类 型 ( 突 然 与 缓 释 )<br />

b) Consequence Phase 2—Dispersion: Consider the dispersion of the<br />

released contents due to weather conditions.<br />

结 果 第 2 阶 段 - 释 放 : 考 虑 由 于 天 气 条 件 , 释 放 的 释 放 体 分 散 ,<br />

c) Consequence Phase 3—Flammable Events: The consequences should<br />

be estimated for the scenario based on the flammability of the released<br />

contents (i.e. impact of a resulting fire or explosion on plant personnel and<br />

equipment, community, environment) (see 11.5.2). 结 果 第 3 阶 段 - 易 燃 事<br />

件 : 根 据 的 释 放 内 容 物 的 可 燃 性 的 情 景 估 计 后 果 ( 火 灾 或 爆 炸 导 致 对 工 厂 人<br />

员 和 设 备 , 社 会 , 环 境 影 响 )<br />

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d) Consequence Phase 4—Toxic Releases: The consequences should be<br />

estimated for the scenario based on the toxicity of the released contents<br />

(i.e. impact due to toxicity on plant personnel, community and the<br />

environment) (see 11.5.3).<br />

结 果 第 4 阶 段 - 有 毒 物 质 排 放 : 基 于 所 述 释 放 的 毒 性 场 景 ( 由 于 毒 性 对 工 厂 人<br />

员 , 社 区 和 环 境 的 影 响 )<br />

e) Consequence Phase 5—Releases of Other Hazardous Fluids: The<br />

consequences should be estimated for the scenario based on the<br />

characteristics of the released contents (i.e. impact due to thermal or<br />

chemical burns on plant personnel, community and the environment) (see<br />

11.5.4). 结 果 第 5 期 - 释 放 的 其 他 危 险 液 体 : 基 于 释 放 的 其 他 危 险 液 体 特 征<br />

场 景 ( 即 由 于 热 或 化 学 灼 伤 对 工 厂 人 员 , 社 区 和 环 境 的 影 响 )<br />

f) Consequence Phase 6: The potential number of fatalities and injuries<br />

resulting from each scenario should be estimated. Different scenarios,<br />

with different associated probabilities, should be developed as appropriate.<br />

结 果 第 6 阶 段 : 应 估 计 从 每 个 方 案 造 成 死 亡 的 伤 害 的 潜 在 数 量 . 应 适 当 的 在<br />

不 同 的 场 景 在 不 同 的 关 联 下 来 制 定 概 率 ,<br />

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11.6.3 Factors for More Rigorous Methods 更 为 严 格 的 方 法 因 素<br />

Each scenario will have an associated overall probability of occurrence that will<br />

be lower than the probability of the failure itself so that the POF and COF<br />

should be developed interactively(?). After the scenarios have been<br />

developed and potential consequences estimated, acceptable ways to list<br />

consequences include: 可 以 接 受 潜 在 后 果 , 列 出 方 法 有 ;<br />

• classify consequence into three or more categories (e.g. a five-category<br />

classification system might be very low, low, moderate, high, very high);<br />

分 类 结 果 为 三 个 或 更 多 类 别 - 例 如 一 个 五 级 分 类 制 度 可 能 非 常 低 , 低 , 中 , 高 ,<br />

很 高 .<br />

• rank consequence on a scale (e.g. a scale might be from 1 to 10);<br />

排 名 结 果 - 例 如 的 规 模 可 能 是 从 1 到 10.<br />

• measure consequence (e.g. determine the estimated number of fatalities for<br />

a scenario and the economic losses in monetary units).<br />

测 量 结 果 - 例 如 以 货 币 单 位 的 经 济 损 失 死 亡 人 数 的 估 计 数 .<br />

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12 <strong>Risk</strong><br />

Determination,<br />

Assessment and<br />

Management<br />

风 险 确 定 , 评 估 和 管 理<br />

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Contents<br />

12 <strong>Risk</strong> Determination, Assessment, and Management<br />

12.1 Purpose<br />

12.2 Determination of <strong>Risk</strong><br />

12.3 <strong>Risk</strong> Management Decisions and Acceptable Levels of <strong>Risk</strong><br />

12.4 Sensitivity Analysis<br />

12.5 Assumptions<br />

12.6 <strong>Risk</strong> Presentation<br />

12.7 Establishing Acceptable <strong>Risk</strong> Thresholds<br />

12.8 <strong>Risk</strong> Management<br />

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12.1 Purpose 目 的<br />

This section describes the process of determining risk by combining the<br />

results of work done as described in the previous two sections. It also<br />

provides guidelines for prioritizing and assessing the acceptability of risk with<br />

respect to risk criteria. This work process leads to creating and implementing<br />

a risk management plan. <strong>Risk</strong> should be determined by combining the POF<br />

(results of work done as described in Section 10) and the COF (results of the<br />

work done as described in Section 11). 此 章 节 , 提 供 有 关 风 险 的 优 先 次 序 的 准<br />

则 和 评 估 风 险 的 可 接 受 性 准 则 , 这 项 工 作 过 程 导 致 建 立 和 实 施 风 险 管 理 计 划 .<br />

The general form of the risk equation should be as follows:<br />

风 险 方 程 的 一 般 形 式 应 该 如 下<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> = Probability × Consequence<br />

风 险 = 概 率 × 后 果<br />

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12.2 Determination of <strong>Risk</strong> 风 险 的 确 定<br />

12.2.1 Determination of the Probability of a Specific Consequence<br />

测 定 特 定 后 果 的 概 率<br />

Once the probabilities of failure and failure mode(s) have been determined for<br />

the relevant damage mechanisms (see Section 10), the probability of each<br />

credible consequence scenario should be determined. In other words, the loss<br />

of containment failure may only be the first event in a series of events that lead<br />

to a specific consequence. The probability of credible events leading up to the<br />

specific consequence should be factored into the probability of the specific<br />

consequence occurring.<br />

可 信 的 事 件 发 生 的 概 率 , 导 致 特 定 的 ” 后 果 ”(COF – specific scenario 特 定 的 场 景 )<br />

应 考 虑 的 具 体 ( 顺 序 进 程 ) ” 后 果 ” 发 生 的 概 率 (POF)<br />

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For example, after a loss of containment: 例 如 , 溶 液 流 失 后<br />

• the first event may be initiation or failure of safeguards (isolation, alarms,<br />

etc.); 第 一 个 事 件 可 能 引 发 或 失 败 启 动 保 护 措 施 ( 隔 离 , 警 报 , 等 )<br />

• the second event may be dispersion, dilution or accumulation of the fluid;<br />

第 二 个 事 件 可 能 会 是 溶 液 的 分 散 , 稀 释 或 流 体 的 积 累<br />

• the third event may be initiation of or failure to initiate preventative action<br />

(shutting down nearby ignition sources, neutralizing the fluid, etc.); 第 三 事<br />

件 可 以 启 动 或 启 动 失 败 的 预 防 措 施 ( 关 闭 附 近 的 点 火 源 , 中 和 液 , 等 )<br />

• and so on until the specific consequence event (fire, toxic release, injury,<br />

environmental release, etc.). 直 到 特 定 的 后 果 事 件 发 生 ( 火 灾 , 有 毒 的 释 放 ,<br />

损 伤 , 环 境 释 放 , 等 )<br />

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It is important to understand this linkage between the POF and the probability of<br />

possible resulting incidents. The probability of a specific consequence is tied to<br />

the severity of the consequence and may differ considerably from the<br />

probability of the equipment failure itself. Probabilities of incidents (failure<br />

scenario) generally decrease with the severity of the incident. For example, the<br />

probability of an event resulting in a fatality will generally be less than the<br />

probability that the event will result in a first aid or medical treatment injury. It is<br />

important to understand this relationship.<br />

认 识 , 设 备 故 障 概 率 (POF) 和 可 能 产 生 的 事 件 的 概 率 之 间 的 联 系 是 很 重 要 .<br />

一 个 特 定 的 后 果 的 概 率 与 后 果 的 严 重 程 度 和 设 备 故 障 本 身 可 能 的 概 率 大 大 不 同 .<br />

事 件 发 生 概 率 一 般 会 随 事 件 的 严 重 程 度 , 减 少 .<br />

设 备 故 障 概 率<br />

事 件 发 生 概 率<br />

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Personnel inexperienced in risk assessment methods often link the POF with<br />

the most severe consequences that can be envisioned. An extreme example<br />

would be coupling the POF of a damage mechanism where the mode of<br />

failure is a small hole leak with the consequence of a major fire. This linkage<br />

would lead to an overly conservative risk assessment since a small leak will<br />

rarely lead to a major fire. Each type of damage mechanism has its own<br />

characteristic failure mode(s). For a specific damage mechanism, the<br />

expected mode of failure should be taken into account when considering the<br />

probability of incidents in the aftermath of an equipment failure. For instance,<br />

the consequences expected from a small leak could be very different than the<br />

consequences expected from a brittle fracture.<br />

每 种 类 型 的 损 伤 机 理 有 其 自 身 失 效 模 式 特 点 . 缺 乏 风 险 评 估 方 法 经 验 的 人 员 往 往<br />

会 错 误 的 关 联 失 效 模 式 与 损 伤 机 理 . 比 如 点 蚀 导 致 小 孔 泄 漏 , 错 误 的 关 联 到 重 大<br />

火 灾 事 件 .<br />

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The example in Figure 5 serves to illustrate how the probability of a specific<br />

consequence could be determined. The example has been simplified and the<br />

numbers used are purely hypothetical. 说 明 一 个 特 定 的 后 果 的 概 率 的 确 定 方 法<br />

( 简 化 和 使 用 的 数 字 是 纯 粹 的 假 设 )<br />

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Figure 5—Determination of COF


Figure 6—Example of Calculating the Probability of a Specific Consequence


EXAMPLE: An equipment item<br />

containing a flammable fluid is being<br />

assessed.


EXAMPLE: An equipment item containing a flammable fluid is being assessed.<br />

The probability of a specific consequence should be the product of the probability of each event<br />

that could result in the specific consequence. In this example, the specific consequence being<br />

evaluated is a fire (an example event tree starting with a loss of containment is shown below).<br />

The probability of a fire would be:<br />

Probability of Fire = (Probability of Failure) × (Probability of Ignition)<br />

Probability of Fire = 0.001 per year × 0.01 = 0.00001 or 1 × 10 -5 per year<br />

The probability of no fire encompasses two scenarios (loss of containment without ignition and<br />

no loss of containment). The probability of no fire would be:<br />

Probability of No Fire = (Probability of Failure × Probability of Non-ignition) + Probability<br />

of No Failure<br />

Probability of No Fire = (0.001 per year × 0.99) + 0.999 per year = 0.99999 per year<br />

NOTE The probability of all consequence scenarios should equal 1.0. In the example, the<br />

probability of the specific consequence of a fire (1 × 10 -5 per year) plus the probability of no<br />

fire (0.999999 per year) equals 1.0.<br />

If the consequence of a fire had been assessed at $1 × 10 7 then the resulting risk would be:<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> of Fire = (1 × 10 -5 per year) × ($1 × 10 7 ) = $100/year


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Figure 6—Example of Calculating the Probability of a Specific Consequence


NOTE The overall risk must include the probability of loss of containment. For<br />

example, if the probability of loss of containment is 0.1, the overall risk above<br />

is 0.1 × $100/year = $10/year.<br />

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Typically, there will be other credible consequences that should be evaluated.<br />

However, it is often possible to determine a dominant probability /<br />

consequence pair, such that it is not necessary to include every credible<br />

scenario in the analysis. Engineering judgment and experience should be<br />

used to eliminate trivial cases.<br />

通 常 情 况 下 , 会 有 很 多 其 他 可 信 的 概 率 / 后 果 组 合 , 但 是 分 析 时 , 只 需 要 选 择 较 为 显<br />

著 的 概 率 / 后 果 组 合 . 真 确 的 工 程 判 断 和 经 验 应 该 用 来 消 除 微 不 足 道 的 概 率 / 后 果<br />

组 合 .<br />

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12.2.2 Calculate <strong>Risk</strong> 计 算 风 险<br />

Referring back to the risk equation:<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> = Probability × Consequence<br />

It is now possible to calculate the risk for each specific consequence. The risk<br />

equation can now be stated as:<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> of a Specific Consequence = (Probability of a Specific<br />

Consequence) × (Specific Consequence)<br />

The total risk is the sum of the individual risks for each specific consequence.<br />

Often one probability/consequence pair will be dominant and the total risk can<br />

be approximated by the risk of the dominant scenario. For the example<br />

mentioned in 12.2.1, if the consequence of a fire had been assessed at $1 ×<br />

10 7 then the resulting risk would be:<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> of Fire = (1 × 10 –5 per year) × ($1 × 10 7 ) = $100/year<br />

Overall risk?<br />

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If probability and consequence are not expressed as numerical values, risk is<br />

usually determined by plotting the probability and consequence on a risk<br />

matrix (see 12.6). Probability and consequence pairs for various scenarios<br />

may be plotted to determine risk of each scenario. Note that when a risk<br />

matrix is used, the probability to be plotted should be the probability of the<br />

associated consequence, not the POF. Also note that the overall risk must<br />

include the probability of loss of containment. For example, if the probability of<br />

loss of containment is 0.1, the overall risk above is 0.1 × $100/year =<br />

$10/year. 使 用 风 险 矩 阵 , 要 绘 制 的 概 率 应 该 是 相 关 情 景 的 结 果 的 概 率 而 不 是 故<br />

障 概 率 . 总 体 风 险 = 情 景 风 险 x 溶 液 流 失 概 率<br />

Note that when a risk matrix is used, the<br />

probability to be plotted should be the<br />

probability of the associated consequence,<br />

not the POF.<br />

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Probability of the associated<br />

consequence<br />

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Consequence of failure<br />

Increase severity


12.3 <strong>Risk</strong> Management Decisions and Acceptable Levels of <strong>Risk</strong><br />

风 险 管 理 决 策 和 可 接 受 的 风 险 水 平<br />

12.3.1 <strong>Risk</strong> Acceptance 接 受 风 险<br />

<strong>Risk</strong>-based inspection is a tool to provide an analysis of the risks of loss of<br />

containment of equipment. Many companies have corporate risk criteria<br />

defining acceptable and prudent 谨 慎 levels of safety, environmental and<br />

financial risks. These risk criteria should be used when making risk-based<br />

inspection decisions. Because each company may be different in terms of<br />

acceptable risk levels, risk management decisions can vary among companies.<br />

可 接 受 的 风 险 水 平 , 风 险 管 理 决 策 是 以 不 同 公 司 需 要 而 别 .<br />

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Cost-benefit analysis is a powerful tool that is being used by many companies,<br />

governments and regulatory authorities as one method in determining risk<br />

acceptance. Users are referred to “A Comparison of Criteria for Acceptance of<br />

<strong>Risk</strong>” by the Pressure Vessel Research Council (PVRC), for more information<br />

on risk acceptance. <strong>Risk</strong> acceptance may vary for different risks. For example,<br />

risk tolerance for an environmental risk may be higher than for a safety/health<br />

risk.<br />

成 本 效 益 分 析 是 一 个 用 于 风 险 管 理 , 功 能 强 大 的 工 具 , 此 分 析 笨 被 很 多 企 业 , 政 府<br />

和 监 管 部 门 作 为 确 定 可 接 受 的 风 险 的 方 法 .<br />

“A Comparison of Criteria for Acceptance of <strong>Risk</strong>” by the Pressure Vessel<br />

Research Council (PVRC)<br />

压 力 容 器 研 究 委 员 会 出 版 的 “ 风 险 标 准 接 受 的 比 较 ” 是 个 很 好 的 参 考 文 件 .<br />

http://foreng1.securesites.net/pvrc/index.html<br />

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12.3.2 Using <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment in <strong>Inspection</strong> and Maintenance Planning<br />

运 用 风 险 评 估 于 检 查 和 维 修 计 划<br />

The use of risk assessment in inspection and maintenance planning is unique<br />

in that consequence information, which is traditionally operations-based, and<br />

POF information, which is typically engineering/maintenance/inspection-based,<br />

is combined to assist in the planning process. Part of this planning process is<br />

the determination of (1) what to inspect, (2) how to inspect (technique), (3)<br />

where to inspect (location), and (4) how much to inspect (coverage).<br />

Determining the risk of process units, or individual process equipment items<br />

facilitates this, as the inspections are now prioritized based on the risk value.<br />

The second part of this process is determining when to inspect the equipment.<br />

Understanding how risk varies with time facilitates this part of the process.<br />

Refer to Section 13 for a more detailed description of inspection planning<br />

based on risk analysis.<br />

传 统 的 检 验 与 维 修 方 案 : 故 障 结 果 被 操 作 阶 段 注 重 , 失 效 概 率 被 工 程 / 维 修 / 检 验<br />

阶 段 注 重 . 然 而 RBI 综 合 故 障 结 果 / 失 效 概 率 , 开 发 更 为 有 益 的 检 验 维 修 计 划 .<br />

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Typically:<br />

Consequence information - operations-based,<br />

POF - engineering/maintenance/inspection-based,<br />

RBI Approach:<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> – Combined COF/POF into one for inspection and maintenance planning<br />

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12.4 Sensitivity Analysis 敏 感 性 分 析<br />

Understanding the value of each variable and how it influences the risk<br />

calculation is key to identifying which input variables deserve closer scrutiny<br />

versus other variables which may not have significant effects. This is more<br />

important when performing risk analyses that are more detailed and quantitative<br />

in nature.<br />

Sensitivity analysis typically involves<br />

reviewing some or all input variables to<br />

the risk calculation to determine the<br />

overall influence on the resultant risk<br />

value. Once this analysis has been<br />

performed, the user can see which input<br />

variables significantly influence the risk<br />

value. Those key input variables deserve<br />

the most focus or attention.<br />

分 析 与 筛 选 , 显 著 影 响 风 险 的 输 入 变 量 值 .<br />

这 些 关 键 输 入 变 量 作 为 最 值 得 关 注 或 焦 点 .<br />

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It often is worthwhile to gather additional information on such variables.<br />

Typically, the preliminary estimates of probability and consequence may be too<br />

conservative or too pessimistic; therefore, the information gathering performed<br />

after the sensitivity analysis should be focused on developing more certainty for<br />

the key input variables. This process should ultimately lead to a re-evaluation of<br />

the key input variables. As such, the quality and accuracy of the risk analysis<br />

should improve. This is an important part of the data validation phase of risk<br />

assessment.<br />

为 了 避 免 过 于 开 放 或 保 守 的 风 险 分 析 结 构 , 对 关 键 变 量 值 的 真 确 性 质 是 非 常 重 要<br />

的 . 对 这 些 变 量 值 进 行 敏 感 度 分 析 能 更 加 保 证 风 险 数 据 的 质 量 与 准 确 度 .<br />

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12.5 Assumptions 假 定<br />

Assumptions or estimates of input values are often used when consequence<br />

and/or POF data are not available. Even when data are known to exist,<br />

conservative estimates may be utilized in an initial analysis pending input of<br />

future process or engineering modeling information, such as a sensitivity<br />

analysis.<br />

Caution is advised in being too conservative, as overestimating consequences<br />

and/or POF values will unnecessarily inflate the calculated risk values.<br />

Presenting over inflated risk values may mislead inspection planners,<br />

management and insurers, and can create a lack of credibility for the user and<br />

the RBI process. Appropriate members of the RBI team as outlined in Section<br />

16 should agree on the assumptions made for RBI analysis and the potential<br />

impacts on the risk results.<br />

在 缺 乏 可 信 的 输 入 值 时 , 一 般 上 较 为 保 守 的 变 量 值 将 会 运 用 , 然 而 过 于 保 守 的 变 量<br />

值 输 入 导 致 风 险 膨 胀 . 这 不 必 要 的 膨 胀 给 用 户 , 管 理 层 , 检 验 策 划 者 , 偷 保 险 者 误 导 ,<br />

也 同 时 让 RBI 的 可 信 / 诚 信 度 降 低 .<br />

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在 缺 乏 可 信 的 输 入 值 时 , 一 般 上 较 为 保 守 的 变 量 值 将 会 被 运 用 , 然 而 过 于 保 守 的<br />

变 量 值 输 入 导 致 风 险 膨 胀 . 这 不 必 要 的 膨 胀 给 用 户 , 管 理 层 , 检 验 策 划 者 , 保 险 投<br />

保 者 误 导 , 也 同 时 让 RBI 的 可 信 / 诚 信 度 降 低 .<br />

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12.6 <strong>Risk</strong> Presentation 风 险 表 达<br />

12.6.1 General 总 则<br />

Once risk values are developed, they can then be presented in a variety of<br />

ways to communicate the results of the analysis to decision-makers and<br />

inspection planners. One goal of the risk analysis is to communicate the results<br />

in a common format that a variety of people can understand. Using a risk matrix<br />

or plot is helpful in accomplishing this goal.<br />

把 分 析 到 的 风 险 数 据 , 运 用 风 险 矩 阵 或 绘 图 来 表 达 是 被 接 受 的 有 效 方 法 .<br />

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12.6.2 <strong>Risk</strong> Matrix 风 险 矩 阵<br />

For risk ranking methodologies that use consequence and probability<br />

categories, presenting the results in a risk matrix is a very effective way of<br />

communicating the distribution of risks throughout a plant or process unit<br />

without numerical values. An example risk matrix is shown in Figure 7. In this<br />

figure, the consequence and probability categories are arranged such that the<br />

highest risk ranking is toward the upper right-hand corner.<br />

It is usually desirable to associate numerical values with the categories to<br />

provide guidance to the personnel performing the assessment<br />

(e.g. probability category C ranges from 0.001 to 0.01). Different sizes of<br />

matrices may be used (e.g. 5 × 5, 4 × 4, etc.). Regardless of the matrix<br />

selected, the consequence and probability categories should provide sufficient<br />

discrimination ( 辨 别 力 ) between the items assessed.<br />

运 用 风 险 矩 阵 作 为 表 达 风 险 , 是 有 效 的 沟 通 方 式 . 这 样 的 方 式 不 带 数 值 的 单 位 . 然<br />

而 对 进 行 评 估 提 供 指 导 , 对 每 个 风 险 类 别 一 般 上 都 关 联 相 应 的 数 值 .<br />

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<strong>Risk</strong> categories may be assigned to the boxes on the risk matrix. An example<br />

risk categorization (higher, medium, lower) of the risk matrix is shown in<br />

Figure 7. In this example, the risk categories are symmetrical. They may also<br />

be asymmetrical where for instance the consequence category may be given<br />

higher weighting than the probability category. A risk matrix depicts results at<br />

a particular point in time.<br />

Figure 7—Example<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> Matrix Using<br />

Probability and<br />

Consequence<br />

Categories to<br />

Display <strong>Risk</strong><br />

Rankings<br />

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Probability of the associated<br />

consequence<br />

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Consequence of failure<br />

Increase severity


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12.6.3 <strong>Risk</strong> Plots 风 险 绘 图<br />

When more quantitative consequence and probability data are being used, and<br />

where showing numeric risk values is more meaningful to the stakeholders, a<br />

risk plot (or graph) is used (see Figure 7). This graph is constructed similarly to<br />

the risk matrix in that the highest risk is plotted toward the upper right-hand<br />

corner. Often a risk plot is drawn using log-log scales for a better understanding<br />

of the relative risks of the items assessed. In the example plot in Figure 8, ten<br />

(10) pieces of equipment are shown, as well as an iso-risk line (line of constant<br />

risk). If this line is the acceptable threshold of risk in this example, then<br />

equipment items 1, 2, and 3 should be mitigated so that their resultant risk levels<br />

fall below the line.<br />

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Figure 7—Example<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> Matrix Using<br />

Probability and<br />

Consequence<br />

Categories to<br />

Display <strong>Risk</strong><br />

Rankings<br />

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Line of constant risk – acceptable level<br />

Item no. 2<br />

Figure 8—<strong>Risk</strong> Plot when Using Quantitative or Numeric <strong>Risk</strong> Values<br />

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12.6.4 Using a <strong>Risk</strong> Plot or Matrix 使 用 风 险 绘 图 或 矩 阵<br />

Equipment items residing towards the upper right-hand corner of the plot or<br />

matrix (in the examples presented) will most likely take priority for inspection<br />

planning because these items have the highest risk. Similarly, items residing<br />

toward the lower left-hand corner of the plot (or matrix) will tend to take lower<br />

priority because these items have the lowest risk. Once the plots have been<br />

completed, the risk plot (or matrix) can then be used as a screening tool during<br />

the prioritization process.<br />

分 析 完 成 后 的 风 险 绘 图 ( 或 矩 阵 ) 可 以 用 为 筛 选 优 先 次 序 的 工 具<br />

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<strong>Risk</strong> may be described in terms of dollars or other numerical values as<br />

described in 10.2 even if a qualitative analysis has been performed, and the<br />

results have been plotted on a risk matrix. Numerical values associated with<br />

each of the probability and consequence categories on the risk matrix may be<br />

used to calculate the risk. For cost related risk, a net present value savings vs<br />

inspection time plot may be used to time the inspection activities.<br />

不 管 是 定 性 或 定 量 分 析 , 风 险 可 能 以 美 元 或 其 它 的 数 值 来 描 述 . 牵 涉 , 成 本 相 关 的 风<br />

险 , 净 现 值 的 节 约 与 检 查 时 间 绘 图 , 可 以 用 来 决 定 检 验 活 动 的 时 间 额 .<br />

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12.7 Establishing Acceptable <strong>Risk</strong> Thresholds 建 立 可 接 受 的 风 险 临 界<br />

After the risk analysis has been performed, and risk values plotted, the risk<br />

evaluation process begins. <strong>Risk</strong> plots and matrices can be used to screen,<br />

and initially identify higher, intermediate and lower risk equipment items. The<br />

equipment can also be ranked (prioritized) according to its risk value in<br />

tabular form. Thresholds that divide the risk plot, matrix or table into<br />

acceptable and unacceptable regions of risk can be developed.<br />

Corporate safety and financial policies and constraints or risk criteria<br />

influence the placement of the thresholds. Regulations and laws may also<br />

specify or assist in identifying the acceptable risk thresholds. Reduction of<br />

some risks to a lower level may not be practical due to technology and cost<br />

constraints. An “as low as reasonably practical” (ALARP) approach to risk<br />

management or other risk management approach may be necessary for<br />

these items.<br />

企 业 安 全 , 金 融 政 策 , 约 束 或 风 险 指 标 的 影 响 临 界 线 的 位 置 . 一 些 设 备 , 把 风 险<br />

降 低 到 较 低 到 可 接 受 水 平 , 可 能 由 于 技 术 或 成 本 的 约 束 是 不 实 际 的 , 这 时 , “ 最 低<br />

合 理 可 行 的 ” (ALARP) 风 险 管 理 或 其 他 风 险 管 理 方 法 可 以 用 来 处 理 这 些 设 备 .<br />

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Reduction of some risks to a lower level may not be practical due to<br />

technology and cost constraints. An “as low as reasonably practical” (ALARP)<br />

approach to risk management or other risk management approach may be<br />

necessary for these items.<br />

一 些 设 备 , 把 风 险 降 低 到 较 低 到 可 接 受 水 平 , 可 能 由 于 技 术 或 成 本 的 约 束 是 不 实<br />

际 的 , 这 时 , “ 最 低 合 理 可 行 的 ” (ALARP) 风 险 管 理 或 其 他 风 险 管 理 方 法 可 以 用<br />

来 处 理 这 些 设 备 .<br />

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http://www.hse.gov.uk/risk/theory/alarp.htm


ALARP Suite of Guidance<br />

With these six pieces of guidance HSE is addressing its own staff, explaining<br />

the concept 'reasonably practicable' and providing guidance about what they<br />

should expect to see in dutyholders demonstrations that the risk has been<br />

reduced ‘as low as reasonably practicable’(ALARP).<br />

• Assessing compliance with the law in individual cases and the use of good<br />

practice<br />

• Policy and guidance on reducing risks as low as reasonably practicable in<br />

Design<br />

• Principles and guidelines to assist HSE in its judgements that duty-holders<br />

have reduced risk as low as reasonably practicable<br />

• HSE principles for Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) in support of ALARP<br />

decisions<br />

• Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) Checklist<br />

• ALARP "at a glance"<br />

http://www.hse.gov.uk/risk/theory/alarp.htm<br />

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12.8 <strong>Risk</strong> Management 风 险 管 理<br />

<strong>Based</strong> on the ranking of items and the risk threshold, the risk management<br />

process begins. For risks that are judged acceptable, no mitigation may be<br />

required and no further action necessary. For risks considered unacceptable<br />

and therefore requiring risk mitigation, there are various mitigation categories<br />

that should be considered.<br />

被 认 为 是 不 可 接 受 的 风 险 , 缓 解 类 别 有<br />

a) Decommission - Is the equipment really necessary to support unit operation?<br />

使 退 役 ( 冗 余 设 备 ).<br />

b) <strong>Inspection</strong>/ Condition Monitoring - Can a cost-effective inspection program,<br />

with repair as indicated by the inspection results, be implemented that will<br />

reduce risks to an acceptable level?<br />

经 济 有 效 的 检 查 计 划 与 由 检 验 结 果 标 出 维 修 项 .<br />

Probability Mitigation- with repair as indicated by the inspection results?<br />

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c) Consequence Mitigation - Can actions be taken to lessen the consequences<br />

related to an equipment failure?<br />

后 果 缓 解<br />

d) Probability Mitigation - Can actions be taken to lessen the POF such as<br />

metallurgy changes or equipment redesign?<br />

故 障 概 率 缓 解<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> management decisions can now be made on which mitigation actions to<br />

take. <strong>Risk</strong> management/mitigation is covered further in Section 13 and Section 14.<br />

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13 <strong>Risk</strong> Management<br />

with <strong>Inspection</strong><br />

Activities<br />

检 查 活 动 的 风 险 管 理<br />

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Contents<br />

13 <strong>Risk</strong> Management with <strong>Inspection</strong> Activities<br />

13.1 Managing <strong>Risk</strong> by Reducing Uncertainty Through <strong>Inspection</strong><br />

13.2 Identifying <strong>Risk</strong> Management Opportunities from RBI Results<br />

13.3 Establishing an <strong>Inspection</strong> Strategy <strong>Based</strong> on <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment<br />

13.4 Managing <strong>Risk</strong> with <strong>Inspection</strong> Activities<br />

13.5 Managing <strong>Inspection</strong> Costs with RBI<br />

13.6 Assessing <strong>Inspection</strong> Results and Determining Corrective Action<br />

13.7 Achieving Lowest Life Cycle Costs with RBI<br />

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13.1 Managing <strong>Risk</strong> by Reducing Uncertainty Through <strong>Inspection</strong><br />

管 理 风 险 , 通 过 检 查 减 少 不 确 定 性<br />

In previous sections, it has been mentioned that risk can be managed by inspection.<br />

Obviously, inspection does not arrest or mitigate damage mechanisms or in and of itself it<br />

does not reduce risk, but the information gained though effective inspection can better<br />

quantify the actual risk. Impending failure of pressure equipment is not avoided by<br />

inspection activities unless the inspection precipitates risk mitigation activities that change<br />

the POF. <strong>Inspection</strong> serves to identify, monitor, and measure the damage mechanism(s).<br />

Also, it is invaluable input in the prediction of when the damage will reach a critical point.<br />

Correct application of inspections will improve the user‘s ability to predict the damage<br />

mechanisms and rates of deterioration. The better the predictability, the less uncertainty<br />

there will be as to when a failure may occur.<br />

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Mitigation (repair, replacement, changes, etc.) can then be planned and implemented<br />

prior to the predicted failure date. The reduction in uncertainty and increase in<br />

predictability through inspection translate directly into a better estimate of the probability<br />

of a failure and therefore a reduction in the calculated risk. However, users should be<br />

diligent to assure that temporary inspection alternatives, in lieu of more permanent risk<br />

reductions, are actually effective.<br />

检 验 不 能 直 接 的 降 低 风 险 . 然 而 检 验 可 以 确 定 , 监 测 并 测 量 损 伤 机 理 ( 损 坏 率 ) 来 提 供 有<br />

用 的 信 息 , 通 过 准 确 估 计 失 效 的 概 率 更 好 的 量 化 实 际 风 险 . 从 而 降 低 计 算 风 险 .<br />

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http://www.dnv.com/services/software/training/synergicourses/sy12<br />

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_onshore_rbi_dnv_api_581_may_rotterdam.asp


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检 验 不 能 直 接 的 降 低 风 险 . 然 而 检 验 可 以 确<br />

定 , 监 测 并 测 量 损 伤 机 理 ( 损 坏 率 ) 来 提 供 有<br />

用 的 信 息 , 通 过 准 确 估 计 失 效 的 概 率 (POF)<br />

更 好 的 量 化 实 际 风 险 (RISK). 从 而 降 低 计<br />

算 风 险 .


The foregoing does not imply that risk-based inspection plans and activities are<br />

always the answer to monitoring degradation and therefore reducing risks<br />

associated with pressure equipment. Some damage mechanisms are very<br />

difficult or impossible to monitor with just inspection activities (e.g. metallurgical<br />

deterioration that may result in brittle fracture, many forms of stress corrosion<br />

cracking, and even fatigue).<br />

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Other damage mechanisms precipitated by short-term, event-driven operating<br />

changes can happen too fast to be monitored with normal inspection plans,<br />

be they;<br />

(1) risk-based,<br />

(2) condition-based or<br />

(3) time-based.<br />

Hence the need for a establishing and implementing<br />

(A)<br />

(B)<br />

(C)<br />

comprehensive program for IOW, along with<br />

adequate communications to inspection personnel when deviations<br />

occur and a<br />

rigorous MOC program for changes from the established parameters.<br />

检 验 的 限 制 有 ; 有 的 损 伤 机 理 很 难 或 不 能 被 检 验 探 测 到 ( 比 如 ; 冶 金 损 伤 , 很 多 的 应<br />

力 腐 蚀 开 裂 等 ). 有 的 , 由 于 短 期 的 , 操 作 变 化 事 件 驱 动 的 损 伤 模 式 , 可 能 发 生 太 快<br />

不 在 正 常 的 检 验 计 划 所 能 监 控 范 围 . 基 于 上 述 理 由 , 建 立 和 实 施 一 个 全 面 的 IOW<br />

计 划 , 适 当 的 信 息 沟 通 和 变 革 管 理 师 很 有 必 要 的 .<br />

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happen too fast to<br />

be monitored with<br />

normal inspection<br />

plans


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happen too fast to be<br />

monitored with normal<br />

inspection plans


http://www.sv.vt.edu/classes/MSE2094_NoteBook/97ClassProj/anal/kelly/fatigue.html<br />

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Some damage<br />

mechanisms are very<br />

difficult or impossible to<br />

monitor with just<br />

inspection activities


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Some damage<br />

mechanisms are very<br />

difficult or impossible to<br />

monitor with just<br />

inspection activities


Hence the need for a<br />

establishing and implementing a<br />

comprehensive program for<br />

IOWs, along with adequate<br />

communications to inspection<br />

personnel when deviations<br />

occur and a rigorous MOC<br />

program for changes from the<br />

established parameters.<br />

OPERATING WINDOW<br />

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<strong>Risk</strong> mitigation (by the reduction in uncertainty) achieved through inspection<br />

presumes that the organization will act on the results of the inspection in a<br />

timely manner. <strong>Risk</strong> mitigation is not achieved if inspection data that are<br />

gathered are not properly analyzed and acted upon where needed. The quality<br />

of the inspection data and the analysis or interpretation will greatly affect the<br />

level of risk mitigation. Proper inspection methods and data analysis tools are<br />

therefore critical. 通 过 检 验 , 风 险 缓 解 ( 通 过 减 少 不 确 定 性 ), 假 定 管 理 层 对 检 验 结<br />

果 采 取 及 时 的 措 施 . 选 用 适 当 的 检 验 方 法 与 资 料 分 析 是 检 验 资 料 的 关 键 点 .<br />

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13.2 Identifying <strong>Risk</strong> Management Opportunities from RBI Results<br />

确 定 风 险 管 理 的 机 会<br />

As discussed in Section 12, typically a risk priority list is developed as a result<br />

of the RBI process. RBI will also identify whether consequence or POF or both<br />

is driving risk. In the situations where risk is being driven by POF, there is<br />

usually potential for risk management through inspection. Once an RBI<br />

assessment has been completed, the items with higher or unacceptable risk<br />

should be assessed for potential risk management through inspection, or other<br />

risk management strategies. Whether inspections will be effective or not will<br />

depend on:<br />

确 定 操 纵 风 险 关 键 因 素 : 故 障 结 果 或 POF? 当 风 险 分 析 完 成 后 , 高 或 不 可 接 受 风<br />

险 应 评 估 风 险 管 理 所 需 要 的 方 法 . 一 般 上 , POF 使 用 检 验 方 法 降 低 , 故 障 结 果<br />

COF 运 用 其 他 风 险 管 理 策 略 . 检 验 的 有 效 性 取 决 于 ;<br />

a) equipment type; 设 备 种 类<br />

b) active and credible damage mechanism(s); 活 跃 和 可 靠 的 损 伤 机 制<br />

c) rate of deterioration or susceptibility; 恶 化 率 或 敏 感 率<br />

d) inspection methods, coverage and frequency; 检 查 方 法 , 频 率 和 覆 盖<br />

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e) accessibility to expected damage areas; 损 害 的 区 域 可 达 性<br />

f) shutdown requirements; 停 机 要 求<br />

g) amount of achievable reduction in POF (i.e. a reduction in POF of a low POF<br />

item is usually difficult to achieve through inspection).<br />

对 故 障 概 率 的 降 低 效 果 ( 低 故 障 概 率 的 设 备 一 般 上 对 检 验 带 来 的 益 处 不 多 )<br />

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active and credible damage mechanism(s);<br />

活 跃 和 可 靠 的 损 伤 机 制<br />

rate of deterioration or susceptibility;<br />

恶 化 率 或 敏 感 率<br />

PTASCC – Polythionic acid stress corrosion cracking<br />

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accessibility to expected damage areas;<br />

损 害 的 区 域 可 达 性<br />

shutdown requirements; 停 机 要 求<br />

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accessibility to expected damage areas;<br />

损 害 的 区 域 可 达 性<br />

shutdown requirements; 停 机 要 求<br />

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accessibility to expected damage areas;<br />

损 害 的 区 域 可 达 性<br />

shutdown requirements; 停 机 要 求<br />

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accessibility to expected damage areas;<br />

损 害 的 区 域 可 达 性<br />

shutdown requirements; 停 机 要 求<br />

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accessibility to expected damage areas;<br />

损 害 的 区 域 可 达 性<br />

shutdown requirements; 停 机 要 求<br />

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accessibility to expected<br />

damage areas;<br />

损 害 的 区 域 可 达 性


accessibility to expected damage areas;<br />

损 害 的 区 域 可 达 性<br />

shutdown requirements; 停 机 要 求<br />

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accessibility to expected damage areas;<br />

损 害 的 区 域 可 达 性<br />

shutdown requirements; 停 机 要 求<br />

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POF 为 风 险 关 键 因 素 : 使 用<br />

检 验 方 法 降 低<br />

COF 为 风 险 关 键 因 素 :<br />

运 用 其 他 风 险 管 理 策 略<br />

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<strong>Inspection</strong> Limitations


Depending on factors such as the remaining life of the equipment and type of<br />

damage mechanism, risk management through inspection may have little or<br />

no effect. Examples of such cases are: 根 据 设 备 损 伤 机 理 类 型 或 设 备 剩 余 寿<br />

命 的 因 素 , 有 的 时 候 运 用 检 验 作 为 风 险 管 理 不 能 带 来 任 何 或 很 小 的 效 果 . 以 下 为<br />

例 子 ;<br />

a) corrosion rates well-established with equipment nearing end of life, 设 备 的 腐<br />

蚀 速 率 准 确 的 预 测 设 备 接 近 设 备 剩 余 寿 命 .<br />

b) instantaneous failures related to operating conditions such as brittle fracture,<br />

快 速 脆 裂 损 伤 机 理<br />

c) inspection technology that is not sufficient to detect or quantify deterioration<br />

adequately, 检 验 工 艺 的 限 制 或 可 探 能 力<br />

d) too short a time frame from the onset of deterioration to final failure for<br />

periodic inspections to be effective (e.g. high-cycle fatigue cracking), 牵 涉 到 快<br />

速 导 致 失 效 模 式 的 损 伤 机 理 ( 比 如 , 高 频 率 疲 劳 )<br />

e) event-driven failures (circumstances that cannot be predicted), 事 件 驱 动 的 故<br />

障 ( 不 可 预 测 的 事 件 - 操 作 失 误 / 人 为 破 坏 等 )<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


In cases such as these, an alternative form of mitigation may be required. The<br />

most practical and cost effective risk mitigation strategy can then be developed<br />

for each item. Usually, inspection provides a major part of the overall risk<br />

management strategy, but not always.<br />

在 上 述 的 情 况 下 , 其 他 风 险 管 理 策 略 应 开 发 与 执 行 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


corrosion rates wellestablished<br />

with equipment<br />

nearing end of life, 设 备 的 腐 蚀<br />

速 率 准 确 的 预 测 设 备 接 近 设 备<br />

剩 余 寿 命<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


检 验 工 艺 的 限 制 或 可 探 能 力<br />

event-driven failures<br />

(circumstances that<br />

cannot be predicted),<br />

事 件 驱 动 的 故 障 ( 不 可 预<br />

测 的 事 件 - 操 作 失 误 / 人 为<br />

破 坏 等 )<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


检 验 工 艺 的 限 制 或 可 探 能 力<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


检 验 工 艺 的 限 制 或 可 探 能 力<br />

检 验 工 艺 的 限 制 或 可 探 能 力<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


13.3 Establishing an <strong>Inspection</strong> Strategy <strong>Based</strong> on <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment<br />

建 立 基 于 风 险 评 估 的 检 测 策 略<br />

The results of an RBI assessment and the resultant risk management<br />

assessment are normally used as the basis for the development of an overall<br />

inspection strategy for the group of items included. The inspection strategy<br />

should be designed in conjunction with other mitigation plans so that all<br />

equipment items will have resultant risks that are acceptable. For the<br />

development of their inspection strategy, users should consider the following:<br />

RBI 分 析 带 来 的 风 险 管 理 评 估 用 于 全 面 检 查 策 略 开 发 的 基 础 , 应 与 其 它 非 检 验 缓 解<br />

计 划 共 同 设 计 , 检 验 策 略 开 发 考 虑 项 有<br />

• risk criteria and ranking, 风 险 准 据 和 排 名<br />

• risk drivers, 风 险 因 素 (POF 或 COF 主 导 )<br />

• item history, 设 备 历 史<br />

• number and results of inspections, 检 查 数 量 和 结 果<br />

• type and effectiveness of inspections, 检 查 类 型 和 有 效 性<br />

• equipment in similar service and remaining life. 类 似 服 务 的 设 备 和 剩 余 寿 命<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


<strong>Inspection</strong> is only effective if the examination technique chosen is sufficient for<br />

detecting the damage mechanism and its severity. As an example, spot<br />

thickness readings on a piping circuit would be considered to have little or no<br />

benefit if the damage mechanism results in unpredictable localized corrosion<br />

(e.g. pitting, ammonia bisulfide corrosion, local thin area, etc.). In this case,<br />

ultrasonic scanning, radiography, etc. will be more effective. The level of risk<br />

reduction achieved by inspection will depend on:<br />

选 用 真 确 的 检 验 方 法 是 很 重 要 的 , 比 如 点 蚀 管 线 上 用 测 厚 仪 抽 检 , 并 不 能 有 效 的<br />

检 验 方 法 , 在 此 情 况 , 应 当 选 用 超 声 或 射 线 探 伤 . 通 过 检 验 减 少 风 险 水 平 将 取 决 于<br />

a. mode of failure of the damage mechanism, 损 伤 机 理 和 失 效 模 式<br />

b. time interval between the onset of deterioration and failure (i.e. speed of<br />

deterioration), 开 始 退 化 至 失 效 之 间 的 时 间 间 隔<br />

c. detection capability of examination technique, 检 查 技 术 检 测 能 力<br />

d. scope of inspection, 检 验 范 围<br />

e. frequency of inspection. 检 验 频 率<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


Organizations should be deliberate and systematic in assigning the level of risk<br />

management achieved through inspection and should be cautious not to<br />

assume that there is an unending capacity for risk management through<br />

inspection. The inspection strategy should be a documented, iterative process to<br />

assure that inspection activities are continually focused on items with higher risk.<br />

管 理 层 , 被 提 醒 检 验 的 可 探 性 限 制 . 在 策 划 检 验 计 划 时 , 应 记 录 与 从 迭 代 过 程 中 , 选 择<br />

最 佳 的 检 测 方 法 . 优 先 专 注 高 风 险 的 项 目 风 险 缓 解 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


13.4 Managing <strong>Risk</strong> with <strong>Inspection</strong> Activities<br />

通 过 检 验 活 动 管 理 风 险<br />

The effectiveness of past inspections is part of the determination of the present<br />

risk. The future risk can now be influenced by future inspection activities. RBI<br />

can be used as a “what if” tool to determine when, what and how inspections<br />

should be conducted to yield an acceptable future risk level. Key parameters<br />

and examples that can affect the future risk are as follows.<br />

过 去 的 检 查 的 有 效 性 是 确 定 当 前 风 险 的 一 部 分 . 往 后 的 风 险 指 望 于 后 续 的 检 验 活 动 .<br />

评 估 过 去 的 检 验 有 效 性 作 为 改 进 后 续 的 检 验 活 动 , 有 助 于 降 低 风 险 . 检 验 活 动 影 响<br />

风 险 的 关 键 参 数 / 例 子 有<br />

a) Frequency of <strong>Inspection</strong>—Increasing the frequency of inspections may serve<br />

to better define, identify or monitor the damage mechanism(s) and therefore<br />

better quantify the risk. Both routine and turnaround inspection frequencies<br />

can be optimized. 检 验 频 率 , 增 加 频 率 能 更 加 的 对 损 坏 机 理 的 认 识 与 评 估 , 因 此<br />

更 好 地 量 化 风 险 . 常 规 和 周 转 检 验 频 率 可 以 被 优 化 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


) Coverage - Different zones or areas of inspection of an item or series of<br />

items can be modeled and evaluated to determine the coverage that will<br />

produce an acceptable level of risk. For example: 覆 盖 范 围 ; 设 备 可 以 分 区 ,<br />

位 置 建 模 进 行 执 行 检 验 工 作 .<br />

a higher risk piping system may be a candidate for more extensive<br />

inspection, using one or more NDE techniques targeted to locating the<br />

identified damage mechanisms;<br />

对 风 险 高 的 管 线 系 统 进 行 较 多 的 检 验 投 入 ( 聚 焦 )<br />

an assessment may reveal the need for focus on parts of a vessel where the<br />

highest risk may be located and focus on quantifying this risk rather than<br />

focusing on the rest of the vessel where there are perhaps only low risk<br />

deterioration processes occurring.<br />

对 风 险 较 高 的 容 器 设 备 的 位 置 / 区 域 进 行 较 多 的 检 验 投 入 ( 聚 焦 )<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


c) Tools and Techniques - The selection and usage of the appropriate<br />

inspection tools and techniques can be optimized to cost effectively and<br />

safely quantify the POF. In the selection of inspection tools and techniques,<br />

inspection personnel should take into consideration that more than one<br />

technology may achieve risk mitigation. However, the level of mitigation<br />

achieved can vary depending on the choice. As an example, profile<br />

radiography would typically be more effective than digital ultrasonic for<br />

thickness monitoring in cases of localized corrosion.<br />

工 具 与 技 术 – 挑 选 合 适 的 检 验 工 具 与 技 术 , 有 助 于 费 用 节 省 与 更 加 有 效 的 量 化<br />

故 障 概 率 (POF). 在 选 择 检 验 方 法 时 , 除 了 选 择 合 适 的 技 术 , 多 个 检 验 技 术 可 能<br />

被 动 用 来 缓 解 风 险 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


d) Procedures and Practices - <strong>Inspection</strong> procedures and the<br />

actual inspection practices can impact the ability of inspection<br />

activities to identify, measure and/or monitor damage<br />

mechanisms. If the inspection activities are executed<br />

effectively by well-trained and qualified inspectors, the<br />

expected risk management benefits should be obtained. The<br />

user is cautioned not to assume that all inspectors and NDE<br />

examiners are well qualified and experienced, but rather to<br />

take steps to assure that they have the appropriate level of<br />

experience and qualifications.<br />

程 序 和 做 法 – 检 验 可 探 性 受 检 验 程 序 与 实 际 操 作 影 响 . 实 用 的 检<br />

验 作 业 指 导 书 , 合 格 的 检 验 人 员 是 检 验 工 作 的 先 决 条 件 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang<br />

http://myicp.api.org/inspectorsearch/


e) Internal, On-stream, or External <strong>Inspection</strong>—<strong>Risk</strong> quantification by internal,<br />

on-stream and external inspections should be assessed. Often external<br />

inspection with effective on-stream inspection techniques can provide useful<br />

data for risk assessment. It is worth noting that invasive inspections, in<br />

some cases, may cause deterioration and increase the risk of the item.<br />

Examples where this may happen include:<br />

内 部 , 外 部 , 在 职 检 验 – 按 照 实 际 要 求 进 行 合 适 的 检 验 方 法 ( 内 , 外 , 在 职 ) 筛 选 . 很<br />

多 时 候 外 部 在 职 检 验 能 提 供 有 用 的 风 险 评 估 信 息 . 很 多 时 候 内 部 检 验 可 能 导 致<br />

设 备 的 恶 化 与 增 加 风 险 , 例 子 有 ;<br />

• moisture ingress to equipment leading to stress corrosion cracking or<br />

polythionic acid cracking, 水 分 渗 入 导 致 如 腐 蚀 应 力 开 裂 ( 连 多 硫 酸 开 裂 )<br />

• internal inspection of glass lined vessels, 玻 璃 容 器 内 部 检 验 导 致 损 坏<br />

• removal of passivating films, — human errors in start up (re-streaming), 钝 化<br />

膜 去 除 ( 开 机 导 致 损 坏 )<br />

• increased risks associated with shutting down and starting up equipment.<br />

设 备 关 机 和 启 动 带 来 的 机 械 完 整 性 负 面 影 响<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


The user can adjust these parameters to obtain the optimum inspection plan<br />

that manages risk, is cost effective, and is practical.<br />

用 户 可 以 按 照 实 际 情 况 优 化 检 验 方 法 和 筛 选 最 佳 的 方 法 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


13.5 Managing <strong>Inspection</strong> Costs with RBI<br />

运 用 RBI 管 理 检 查 的 费 用<br />

<strong>Inspection</strong> costs can be more effectively managed through the utilization of<br />

RBI. Resources can be applied or shifted to those areas identified as a higher<br />

risk or targeted based on the strategy selected. Consequently, this same<br />

strategy allows consideration for reduction of inspection activities in those<br />

areas that have a (1) lower risk or where the inspection activity has (2) little or<br />

no effect on the associated risks. This results in inspection resources being<br />

applied where they are needed most and thereby increased inspection cost<br />

effectiveness.<br />

合 理 的 把 检 验 活 动 关 注 与 高 风 险 设 备 与 那 些 能 有 效 通 过 检 验 活 动 降 低 风 险 的 设<br />

备 , 在 (1) 低 风 险 和 检 验 活 动 (2) 不 能 显 著 地 降 低 风 险 的 设 备 , 减 少 或 完 全 取 消 检<br />

验 活 动 , 能 节 约 检 验 费 用 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


POF 为 风 险 关 键 因 素 : 使 用 检<br />

验 方 法 降 低 – 检 验 关 注 点<br />

高 风 险 区 - 检 验 关 注 点<br />

低 风 险 区 - 非 检 验 关 注 点<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang<br />

COF 为 风 险 关 键 因 素 :<br />

运 用 其 他 风 险 管 理 策 略<br />

- 非 检 验 关 注 点


Another opportunity for managing inspection costs is by identifying items in the<br />

inspection plan that can be inspected non-intrusively on-stream. If the nonintrusive<br />

inspection provides sufficient risk management, there is a potential for<br />

a net savings based on not having to blind, open, clean, and internally inspect<br />

during downtime. If the item considered is the main driver for bringing an<br />

operational unit down, the non-intrusive inspection may contribute to increased<br />

uptime of the unit. The user should recognize that while there is a potential for<br />

the reduction of inspection costs through the utilization of RBI, increased<br />

equipment integrity and inspection cost optimization should remain the focus.<br />

另 个 节 约 检 验 费 用 的 来 源 是 , 外 部 在 职 检 验 替 代 设 备 内 部 检 验 ( 内 部 检 验 的 准 备 工<br />

作 , 关 机 导 致 停 产 , 等 ). 用 户 应 当 注 意 的 是 , 虽 然 外 部 在 职 检 验 在 替 代 内 部 检 验 带<br />

来 成 本 节 约 , 设 备 机 械 完 整 性 与 检 验 成 本 最 佳 平 衡 是 最 终 目 标 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


检 验 如 何 降 低 检 验 费 用 :<br />

• 注 重 高 风 险 项 目 , 减 少 或 忽 略 对 低 风 险 项 目 .<br />

• 不 能 显 著 地 降 低 风 险 的 设 备 , 减 少 或 完 全 取 消 检 验 活 动 .<br />

• 外 部 在 职 检 验 替 代 设 备 内 部 检 验 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


13.6 Assessing <strong>Inspection</strong> Results and Determining Corrective Action<br />

评 估 检 测 结 果 并 确 定 纠 正 措 施<br />

<strong>Inspection</strong> results such as the (1) identification of damage mechanisms, (2)<br />

rate of deterioration and (3) equipment tolerance to the types of deterioration<br />

should be used as variables in assessing (A) remaining life and (B) future<br />

inspection plans. The results can also be (C) used for comparison or validation<br />

of the models that may have been used for POF determination.<br />

检 验 结 果 如 , 损 伤 机 理 的 识 别 , 劣 化 率 , 设 备 容 忍 性 能 用 来 评 估 剩 余 寿 命 和 策 划 未<br />

来 的 检 验 计 划 . 在 此 同 时 , 相 关 的 资 料 可 以 用 来 , 比 较 与 核 实 POF 数 据 的 准 确 性 .<br />

A documented mitigation action plan should be developed for any equipment<br />

item requiring repair or replacement. The action plan should describe the<br />

extent of repair (or replacement), recommendations, the proposed repair<br />

method(s), appropriate QA/QC and the date the plan should be completed.<br />

每 个 需 要 维 修 或 更 换 作 为 风 险 缓 解 的 设 备 , 应 当 有 缓 解 计 划 书 . 化 解 计 划 书 应 ,<br />

详 细 的 说 明 , 返 修 / 更 换 范 围 , 建 议 , 修 复 方 法 , QAQC 要 求 和 计 划 完 成 时 间 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


Reducing<br />

Uncertainty<br />

Assessing <strong>Inspection</strong> Results and Determining Corrective Action<br />

评 估 检 测 结 果 并 确 定 纠 正 措 施 检 验 结 果 如 ,(1) 损 伤 机 理 的 识 别 , (2) 劣 化 率 ,<br />

(3) 设 备 容 忍 性 能 用 来 ;<br />

1. 评 估 剩 余 寿 命 和<br />

2. 策 划 未 来 的 检 验 计 划 . 在 此 同 时 ,<br />

3. 相 关 的 资 料 可 以 用 来 , 比 较 与 核 实 POF 数 据 的 准 确 性 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


UW-51 (b)<br />

Degree of<br />

Radiographic<br />

Examination.<br />

Full<br />

Unacceptable imperfections<br />

(1) indication characterized as a crack or zone of incomplete fusion or<br />

penetration;<br />

(2) any other elongated indication on the radiograph which has length<br />

greater than:<br />

(a) ¼ in. (6 mm) for t up to ¾ in. (19 mm)<br />

(b) ⅓ t for t from ¾ in. (19 mm) to 2 ¼ in. (57 mm)<br />

(c) ¾ in. (19 mm) for t over 2 ¼ in. (57mm)<br />

(3) any group of aligned indications that have an aggregate length greater<br />

than “t” in a length of 12t, except when the distance between the successive<br />

imperfections exceeds 6L where L is the length of the longest imperfection<br />

in the group;<br />

(4) rounded indications in excess of that specified by the acceptance<br />

standards given in Appendix 4.<br />

UW-51


Unacceptable imperfections<br />

UW-51 (b2)<br />

UW-51 (b2)<br />

any other elongated indication on the radiograph which has length greater than:<br />

(a) ¼ in. (6 mm) for t up to ¾ in. (19 mm)<br />

(b) ⅓ t for t from ¾ in. (19 mm) to 2 ¼ in. (57 mm)<br />

(c) ¾ in. (19 mm) for t over 2 ¼ in. (57mm)<br />

UW-51


UW-52 (c)<br />

Degree of RT<br />

Unacceptable imperfections<br />

Spot<br />

1. indication characterized as a crack or zone of incomplete fusion or<br />

penetration.<br />

2. Welds having indications characterized as slag inclusions or cavities<br />

are unacceptable when;<br />

a. the indication length exceeds 2/3 t, where t is defined as shown in<br />

UW-51(b)(2).<br />

b. For all thicknesses, indications less than ¼ in. (6 mm) are acceptable,<br />

and indications greater than ¾ in. (19 mm) are unacceptable.<br />

c. Multiple aligned indications meeting these acceptance criteria are<br />

acceptable when the sum of their longest dimensions indications does<br />

not exceed t within a length of 6t (or proportionally for radiographs<br />

shorter than 6t), and when the longest length L for each indication is<br />

separated by a distance not less than 3L from adjacent indications.<br />

(3) Rounded indications are not a factor in the acceptability of welds not<br />

required to be fully radiographed.<br />

UW-52


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


What were the differences in inspection?<br />

API 510 Clause 3.20 examiner: A person who<br />

assists the inspector by performing specific<br />

nondestructive examination (NDE) on pressure<br />

vessel components but does not evaluate the<br />

results of those examinations in accordance with<br />

API 510, unless specifically trained and<br />

authorized to do so by the owner/user.<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


13.7 Achieving Lowest Life Cycle Costs with RBI<br />

最 低 周 期 寿 命 成 本<br />

Not only can RBI be used to optimize inspection costs that directly affect life<br />

cycle costs, it can assist in lowering overall life cycle costs through various cost<br />

benefit assessments. The following examples can give a user ideas on how to<br />

lower life cycle costs through RBI with cost benefit assessments. 周 期 寿 命 成 本<br />

节 约 的 贡 献 因 素 有<br />

a) RBI should enhance the prediction of failures caused by damage<br />

mechanisms. This in turn should give the user confidence to continue to<br />

operate equipment safely, closer to the predicted failure date. By doing this,<br />

the equipment cycle time should increase and life cycle costs decrease. 提 高 故<br />

障 预 测 率 , 让 用 户 有 信 心 的 安 全 操 作 设 备 , 临 近 预 测 的 失 效 日 期 . 这 样 设 备 的 使 用<br />

周 期 时 间 增 加 和 寿 命 周 期 成 本 降 低<br />

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http://www.dnv.com/services/software/training/synergicourses/sy12<br />

API 580<br />

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_onshore_rbi_dnv_api_581_may_rotterdam.asp


) RBI can be used to assess the effects of changing to a more aggressive<br />

fluid. A subsequent plan to upgrade construction material or replace specific<br />

items can then be developed. The construction material plan would consider<br />

the optimized run length safely attainable along with the appropriate inspection<br />

plan. This could equate to increased profits and lower life cycle costs through<br />

reduced maintenance, optimized inspections, and increased unit/equipment<br />

uptime.<br />

通 过 设 备 材 料 的 更 加 认 识 , 从 而 优 化 设 备 / 溶 液 / 检 验 之 间 的 互 联 组 配 , 来 减 少 维 修 ,<br />

优 化 检 查 , 增 加 单 元 / 设 备 的 正 常 可 用 时 间 .<br />

c) Turnaround and maintenance costs also have an effect on the life cycle<br />

costs of an equipment item. By using the results of the RBI inspection plan to<br />

identify more accurately where to inspect and what repairs and replacements<br />

to expect, turnaround and maintenance work can be preplanned and, in most<br />

cases, executed at a lower cost than if unplanned.<br />

风 险 分 析 能 正 确 的 鉴 定 设 备 需 要 检 验 的 位 置 与 间 隔 , 这 样 检 修 和 维 护 工 作 可 预 先<br />

计 划 . 预 先 合 理 时 间 安 排 往 往 导 致 成 本 节 约 .<br />

API 580<br />

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14 Other <strong>Risk</strong><br />

Mitigation<br />

Activities<br />

其 他 的 风 险 缓 解 活 动<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


Contents<br />

14.1 General<br />

14.2 Equipment Replacement and Repair<br />

14.3 Evaluating Flaws for Fitness-For-Service<br />

14.4 Equipment Modification, Redesign, and Rerating<br />

14.5 Emergency Isolation<br />

14.6 Emergency Depressurizing/Deinventorying<br />

14.7 Modify Process<br />

14.8 Establish Integrity Operating Windows<br />

14.9 Reduce Inventory<br />

14.10 Water Spray/Deluge<br />

14.11 Water Curtain<br />

14.12 Blast-resistant Construction<br />

14.13 Others<br />

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14.1 General 总 则<br />

As described in the previous section, inspection is often an effective method of<br />

risk management. However, inspection may not always provide sufficient risk<br />

mitigation or may not be the most cost effective method. The purpose of this<br />

section is to describe other methods of risk mitigation. This list is not meant to<br />

be all inclusive. These risk mitigation activities fall into one or more of the<br />

following:<br />

检 验 虽 然 一 般 上 有 效 的 降 低 风 险 , 但 在 检 验 并 不 能 胜 任 时 , 其 他 缓 解 措 施 将 被 动<br />

用 . 这 些 风 险 缓 解 活 动 主 要 分 为 以 下<br />

a) reduce the magnitude of consequence, 减 少 的 后 果 的 严 重 性<br />

b) reduce the POF, 减 少 故 障 率<br />

c) enhance the survivability of the facility and people to the consequence,<br />

提 高 设 备 和 人 对 事 故 后 果 的 生 存 率<br />

d) mitigate the primary source of consequence. 缓 解 故 障 后 果 的 主 要 来 源<br />

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1. 14.2 Equipment Replacement and Repair<br />

2. 14.3 Evaluating Flaws for Fitness-For-Service<br />

3. 14.4 Equipment Modification, Redesign, and Rerating<br />

4. 14.5 Emergency Isolation<br />

5. 14.6 Emergency Depressurizing/De-inventorying<br />

6. 14.7 Modify Process<br />

7. 14.8 Establish Integrity Operating Windows<br />

8. 14.9 Reduce Inventory<br />

9. 14.10 Water Spray/Deluge<br />

10.14.11 Water Curtain<br />

11.14.12 Blast-resistant Construction<br />

12.14.13 Others<br />

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14.2 Equipment Replacement and Repair 设 备 的 更 换 和 维 修<br />

When equipment deterioration has reached a point that the risk of failure<br />

cannot be managed to an acceptable level, replacement/repair is often the<br />

only way to mitigate the risk. 当 设 备 损 伤 导 致 失 效 风 险 不 能 管 理 到 可 接 受 的 水<br />

平 时 , 设 备 维 修 或 更 换 往 往 是 唯 一 的 风 险 缓 解 选 择 .<br />

其 他 的 风 险 缓 解 活 动 – 设 备 维 修 !<br />

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Other <strong>Risk</strong> Mitigation Activities<br />

其 他 的 风 险 缓 解 活 动<br />

API 580<br />

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14.3 Evaluating Flaws for Fitness-For-Service 适 用 性 评 估<br />

<strong>Inspection</strong> may identify flaws in equipment. A Fitness-For-Service assessment<br />

(e.g. API 579-1/ASME FFS-1) may be performed to determine if the<br />

equipment may continue to be safely operated, under what conditions and for<br />

what time period. A Fitness-For-Service analysis can also be performed to<br />

determine what size flaws, if found in future inspections, would require repair<br />

or equipment replacement.<br />

适 用 性 评 估 可 以 用 于 评 估 当 前 的 设 备 缺 陷 ( 不 受 理 / 维 修 / 更 换 ), 也 可 以 用 来 定 量<br />

缺 陷 大 小 的 极 限 , 这 有 助 于 对 未 来 检 验 测 量 到 的 缺 陷 变 化 , 做 出 更 换 或 维 修 的 决<br />

定 .<br />

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14.4 Equipment Modification, Redesign, and Rerating<br />

设 备 改 造 , 重 新 设 计 和 压 力 重 估<br />

Modification and redesign of equipment, utilizing a rigorous MOC process, can<br />

provide mitigation of POF. Examples include:<br />

利 用 严 格 的 变 更 管 理 程 序 , 备 改 造 , 重 新 设 计 和 压 力 重 估 作 为 缓 解 POF, 例 子 有<br />

a) change of metallurgy, 改 变 冶 金<br />

b) addition of protective linings and coatings, 添 加 涂 层 和 保 护 衬 垫<br />

c) removal of deadlegs, 拆 除 盲 流 点 ( 死 角 )<br />

d) increased corrosion allowance, 增 加 腐 蚀 余 量<br />

e) physical changes that will help to control/minimize deterioration,<br />

有 助 于 控 制 / 减 少 恶 化 的 设 备 物 理 变 化<br />

f) insulation improvements, 保 温 层 的 优 化<br />

g) injection point design changes, 注 入 点 设 计 优 化<br />

h) resizing of the relief device. 减 压 装 置 大 小 优 化<br />

Sometimes equipment is over designed for the process conditions. Rerating<br />

the equipment may result in a reduction of the POF assessed for that item.<br />

有 的 时 候 , 设 备 设 计 过 于 保 守 , 设 计 重 估 可 能 导 致 POF 降 低 .<br />

API 580<br />

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14.5 Emergency Isolation 紧 急 关 断<br />

Emergency isolation capability can reduce toxic, explosion or fire<br />

consequences in the event of a release. Proper location of the isolation valves<br />

is key to successful risk mitigation. Remote operation is usually required to<br />

provide significant risk reduction. To mitigate flammable and explosion risk,<br />

operations need to be able to detect the release and actuate the isolation<br />

valves quickly (within a few minutes). Longer response times may still mitigate<br />

effects of ongoing fires or toxic releases.<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


14.6 Emergency Depressurizing/De-inventorying<br />

应 急 减 压 / 清 仓 ( 溶 液 )<br />

This method reduces the amount and rate of release. Like emergency isolation,<br />

the emergency depressurizing and/or de-inventory should be achieved within a<br />

few minutes to affect explosion/fire risk.<br />

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14.7 Modify Process 工 艺 修 改<br />

Mitigation of the primary source of consequence may be achieved by<br />

changing the process towards less hazardous conditions. As with physical<br />

modifications, any process changes should be conducted only after the<br />

application of a rigorous MOC process. Some examples include:<br />

a) reduce temperature to below atmospheric pressure boiling point to reduce<br />

size of cloud; 降 低 温 度<br />

b) substitute a less hazardous material (e.g. high flash solvent for a low flash<br />

solvent); 更 换 工 艺 原 材 料<br />

c) use a continuous process instead of a batch operation, where applicable;<br />

连 续 而 不 是 一 个 间 歇 操 作 工 艺 过 程<br />

d) dilute or eliminate hazardous substances. 淡 化 或 消 除 有 害 物 质<br />

以 上 修 改 必 须 经 过 严 格 的 MOC 变 更 管 理 程 序 审 核 .<br />

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Mitigation of the sources of corrosion can be achieved by changing the process<br />

towards less corrosive conditions. Some examples include:<br />

通 过 更 改 腐 蚀 性 较 弱 的 工 艺 过 程<br />

a) process water washing to remove corrosive materials (e.g. salts); 清 水 清 理<br />

b) addition of neutralizing or inhibitor chemicals; 添 加 中 和 剂 / 抑 制 剂<br />

c) removal of contaminants with process equipment (e.g. absorbers, filters);<br />

污 染 物 去 除<br />

d) protection of downtime corrosion (e.g. PTASCC protection).<br />

停 机 保 护 ( 比 如 : 硫 酸 应 力 腐 蚀 )<br />

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14.8 Establish IOWs 建 立 操 作 完 整 性 窗 口<br />

IOWs should be established for process parameters (both physical and<br />

chemical) that could impact equipment integrity if not properly controlled.<br />

Examples of the process parameters include temperatures, pressures, fluid<br />

velocities, pH, flow rates, chemical or water injection rates, levels of corrosive<br />

constituents, chemical composition, etc. Key process parameters for IOWs<br />

should be identified and implemented, upper and lower limits established, as<br />

needed, and deviations from these limits should be brought to the attention of<br />

inspection/engineering personnel. Particular attention to monitoring IOWs<br />

should also be provided during start-ups, shutdowns and significant process<br />

upsets.<br />

操 作 完 整 性 窗 口 ( 参 数 ) 应 确 定 和 实 施 . 特 别 注 意 监 测 在 开 机 , 关 机 与 工 艺 颠 覆 的<br />

工 艺 参 数 的 异 常 . 当 关 键 工 艺 参 数 偏 离 允 许 上 下 限 , 应 及 时 提 醒 检 验 / 设 计 人 员 .<br />

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14.9 Reduce Inventory 减 少 库 存<br />

This method reduces the magnitude of consequence. Some examples include:<br />

a) reduce/eliminate storage of hazardous feedstocks or intermediate products;<br />

减 少 / 消 除 储 存 危 险 原 料 或 中 间 产 品 ,<br />

b) modify process control to permit a reduction in inventory contained in surge<br />

drums, reflux drums or other inprocess inventories;<br />

减 少 缓 冲 罐 , 回 流 罐 的 库 存 ,<br />

c) modify process operations to require less inventory/hold-up;<br />

修 改 工 艺 以 减 少 工 艺 流 程 库 存 ,<br />

d) substitute gas phase technology for liquid phase. 液 相 替 代 气 相 技 术 ,<br />

API 580<br />

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14.10 Water Spray/Deluge 水 喷 / 消 防 水<br />

This method can reduce fire damage and minimize or prevent escalation. A<br />

properly designed and operating system can greatly reduce the probability that<br />

a vessel exposed to fire. 这 方 法 减 少 火 灾 的 伤 害 或 升 级 .<br />

14.11 Water Curtain 水 幕<br />

Water sprays entrap large amounts of air into a cloud. Water curtains mitigate<br />

water soluble vapor clouds by absorption as well as dilution and insoluble<br />

vapors (including most flammables) by air dilution. Early activation is required<br />

in order to achieve significant risk reduction. The curtain should preferably be<br />

between the release location and ignition sources (e.g. furnaces) or locations<br />

where people are likely to be present. Design is critical for flammables, since<br />

the water curtain can enhance flame speed under some circumstances.<br />

API 580<br />

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14.12 Blast-resistant Construction 防 爆 结 构<br />

Utilizing blast resistant construction provides mitigation of the damage caused<br />

by explosions and may prevent escalation of the incident. When used for<br />

buildings (see API 752), it may provide personnel protection from the effects<br />

of an explosion. This may also be useful for equipment critical to emergency<br />

response, critical instrument/control lines, etc.<br />

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14.13 Others 其 他<br />

a) spill detector; 泄 漏 检 测 器<br />

b) steam or air curtains; 蒸 汽 或 空 气 幕<br />

c) fireproofing; 耐 火 层 装 置<br />

d) instrumentation (interlocks, shutdown systems, alarms, etc.);<br />

仪 表 ( 联 锁 , 关 断 系 统 , 警 报 , 等 )<br />

e) inerting/gas blanketing; 惰 气 / 气 掩 盖<br />

f) ventilation of buildings and enclosed structures; 建 筑 物 封 闭 结 构 的 通 风<br />

g) piping redesign; 管 道 设 计<br />

h) mechanical flow restriction; 机 械 流 量 限 制<br />

i) ignition source control; 燃 点 源 头 控 制<br />

j) improved design, assembly and installation standards;<br />

改 进 的 设 计 , 装 配 和 安 装 标 准<br />

k) improvement in process safety management (PSM) program;<br />

工 艺 安 全 管 理 程 序 的 改 进<br />

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l) emergency evacuation; 紧 急 疏 散<br />

m) shelters (safe havens); 庇 护 所 ( 避 难 所 )<br />

n) toxic scrubbers on building vents; 在 建 筑 通 风 有 毒 洗 涤 器<br />

o) spill detectors and containment; 泄 漏 检 测 器 和 遏 制<br />

p) facility siting and/or layout; 设 施 选 址 和 / 或 布 局<br />

q) condition monitoring; 状 态 监 测<br />

r) improved training and procedures; 改 进 , 训 练 和 程 序<br />

s) emergency feed stops; 紧 急 原 料 补 给 关 断<br />

t) improved fire suppression systems. 改 进 的 灭 火 系 统<br />

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15 Reassessment<br />

and Updating RBI<br />

Assessments<br />

重 估 与 跟 新 评 估<br />

API 580<br />

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Contents<br />

15 Reassessment and Updating RBI Assessments<br />

15.1 RBI Reassessments<br />

15.2 Why Conduct an RBI Reassessment?<br />

15.3 When to Conduct an RBI Reassessment<br />

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15.1 RBI Reassessments 重 估<br />

RBI is a dynamic tool that can provide current and projected future risk<br />

evaluations. However, these evaluations are based on data and knowledge at<br />

the time of the assessment. As time goes by, changes are inevitable and the<br />

results from the RBI assessment should be updated. It is important to<br />

maintain and update an RBI program to ensure that the most recent<br />

inspection, process, and maintenance information is included. (1) The results<br />

of inspections, (2) changes in process conditions and (3) implementation of<br />

maintenance practices can all have significant effects on risks, and therefore<br />

the inspection plan and can trigger the need to perform a reassessment.<br />

作 为 一 个 动 态 工 具 , 风 险 会 跟 着 时 间 , 操 作 与 缓 解 活 动 的 介 入 而 改 变 , 风 险 也 随<br />

着 这 些 变 化 而 升 减 . 评 估 必 须 最 新 的 检 验 , 工 艺 与 维 护 信 息 , 更 新 反 映 这 些 变 化 .<br />

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15.2 Why Conduct an RBI Reassessment? 为 何 需 要 跟 新 ?<br />

15.2.1 General 总 则<br />

There are several events that will change risks and make it prudent to conduct<br />

an RBI reassessment. It is important that the facility have an effective MOC<br />

process that identifies when a reassessment is necessary. Sections 15.2.2<br />

through 15.2.5 provide guidance on some key factors that could trigger an RBI<br />

reassessment. 有 效 的 变 更 管 理 程 序 , 对 重 新 评 估 是 很 重 要 的<br />

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It is important that the facility have an effective MOC process that identifies<br />

when a reassessment is necessary.<br />

WHP-01/V2001MOC<br />

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Sections 15.2.2 through 15.2.5 provide<br />

guidance on some key factors that could trigger<br />

an RBI reassessment.<br />

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15.2.2 Damage Mechanisms and <strong>Inspection</strong> Activities<br />

损 坏 机 理 与 检 验 活 动<br />

Many damage mechanisms are time dependent. Typically, the RBI<br />

assessment will project deterioration at a continuous rate. In reality, the<br />

deterioration rate may vary over time. Through inspection activities, the rate of<br />

deterioration (both short-term and long-term) may be better defined. Some<br />

damage mechanisms are independent of time (i.e. they occur only when there<br />

are specific conditions present).<br />

When those intermittent conditions occur, then an RBI reassessment may be<br />

appropriate. As part of the reassessments, it is important to review the<br />

operating histories over the past run, including exceedances and trends, to<br />

better predict if non-time dependent damage mechanisms could have<br />

occurred. <strong>Inspection</strong> activities will increase information on the condition of the<br />

equipment. When inspection activities have been performed, the results<br />

should be reviewed to determine if an RBI reassessment is necessary.<br />

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In reality, the deterioration rate may<br />

vary over time. Some damage<br />

mechanisms are independent of<br />

time (i.e. they occur only when there<br />

are specific conditions present).


API 580<br />

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In reality, the<br />

deterioration rate may<br />

vary over time. Some<br />

damage mechanisms<br />

are independent of<br />

time (i.e. they occur<br />

only when there are<br />

specific conditions<br />

present).


很 多 损 伤 机 理 带 来 的 破 坏 有 时 间 依 赖 性 , 虽 然 RBI 会 预 测 损 伤 的 连 续 恶 化 率 . 然 而<br />

这 恶 化 率 会 随 着 时 间 而 变 动 , 检 验 活 动 能 更 好 的 定 义 恶 化 率 , 减 少 不 明 确 性 . 也 有<br />

的 损 伤 机 理 不 受 时 间 的 影 响 ( 依 赖 间 歇 性 的 条 件 ), 同 样 检 验 活 动 能 检 测 出 这 些 变<br />

化 . 当 这 些 变 化 超 过 设 定 准 据 时 , 重 估 可 能 是 必 要 的 .<br />

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Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


15.2.3 Process and Hardware Changes 过 程 和 硬 件 的 变 化<br />

Changes in process conditions and hardware, such as equipment<br />

modifications or replacement, frequently can significantly alter the risks, and<br />

dictate the need for a reassessment.<br />

Process changes, in particular, have been linked to equipment failure from<br />

rapid or unexpected corrosion or cracking. This is particularly important for<br />

damage mechanisms that depend heavily on process conditions. Typical<br />

examples include (1) chloride stress corrosion cracking of stainless steel, (2)<br />

wet H 2 S cracking of carbon steel, and (3) accelerated corrosion at points of salt<br />

deposition or at dew points and sour water corrosion. In each case, a change<br />

in process conditions can dramatically affect the corrosion rate or cracking<br />

tendencies.<br />

工 艺 条 件 的 变 化 可 以 显 着 影 响 腐 蚀 速 率 或 开 裂 倾 向 . 这 导 致 重 估 的 必 要 .<br />

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Process changes<br />

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Process changes<br />

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Process changes<br />

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Hardware changes can also have an<br />

effect on risk. For example:<br />

硬 件 的 变 化 对 风 险 的 影 响 例 子<br />

a) the POF can be affected by changes<br />

in the design of internals in a vessel<br />

or size and shape of piping systems<br />

that accelerate velocity related<br />

corrosion effects; 故 障 概 率 会 随 着 设<br />

备 / 管 道 的 体 积 变 化 导 致 溶 液 流 速 加 剧<br />

而 变 化 .<br />

b) the COF can be affected by the<br />

relocation of a vessel to an area near<br />

an ignition source; 故 障 结 构 会 因 设 备<br />

搬 迁 而 变 化 ( 离 开 火 源 等 )<br />

c) process conditions can be changed<br />

by hardware modifications, additions,<br />

deletions, or by-passing. 工 艺 流 程 会<br />

随 着 硬 件 的 修 改 , 增 减 而 变 化 .<br />

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the POF can be<br />

affected by<br />

changes in the<br />

design of internals<br />

in a vessel or size<br />

and shape of<br />

piping systems<br />

that accelerate<br />

velocity related<br />

corrosion effects;


15.2.4 RBI Assessment Premise Change 评 估 位 置 的 改 变<br />

The premises for the RBI assessment could change and have a significant<br />

impact on the risk results. Some of the possible changes could be:<br />

a) increase or decrease in population density in the process unit, 人 口 密 度 变 动<br />

b) change in construction material and repair/replacement costs,<br />

建 筑 材 料 和 维 修 / 更 换 的 费 用 的 变 化<br />

c) change in product values, 产 品 的 价 值 的 变 化<br />

d) revisions in safety and environmental laws and regulations,<br />

安 全 和 环 境 法 律 法 规 的 修 订<br />

e) revisions in the users risk management plan (such as changes in risk<br />

criteria), 用 户 的 风 险 管 理 计 划 的 修 订<br />

f) change in feed amount or composition, 在 进 料 量 和 成 分 的 变 化<br />

g) changes in operating conditions, 操 作 条 件 的 变 化<br />

h) change in unit operating lengths between maintenance turnarounds.<br />

维 护 周 转 间 隔 变 化<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


RBI Assessment Premise Change<br />

Changes<br />

increase or decrease in population density in the process unit<br />

change in construction material and repair/replacement costs,<br />

change in product values,<br />

revisions in safety and environmental laws and regulations,<br />

revisions in the users risk management plan<br />

change in feed amount or composition<br />

changes in operating conditions<br />

change in unit operating lengths between maintenance<br />

turnarounds<br />

Impacting<br />

COF<br />

COF<br />

COF<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> criteria<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> criteria<br />

POF/COF<br />

POF<br />

POF<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


15.2.5 The Effect of Mitigation Strategies 缓 解 策 略 的 影 响<br />

Strategies to mitigate risks such as installation of safety systems, repairs etc.<br />

should be monitored to ensure that they have successfully achieved the<br />

desired mitigation. Once a mitigation strategy is implemented, a reassessment<br />

of the risk may be performed to update the RBI program with the new current<br />

risks. Strategies to mitigate risks such as installation of safety systems, repairs<br />

etc. should be monitored to ensure that they have successfully achieved the<br />

desired mitigation. Once a mitigation strategy is implemented, a reassessment<br />

of the risk may be performed to update the RBI program with the new current<br />

risks.<br />

一 旦 实 现 完 成 缓 解 策 略 , 重 新 评 估 的 当 前 风 险 , 更 新 RBI 数 据 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


http://www.stoprust.com/23-risk-based-management.htm<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


15.3 When to Conduct an RBI Reassessment<br />

什 么 时 候 进 行 评 估<br />

15.3.1 After Significant Changes<br />

15.3.2 After a Set Time Period<br />

15.3.3 After Implementation of <strong>Risk</strong> Mitigation Strategies<br />

15.3.4 Before and After Maintenance Turnarounds<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


15.3.1 After Significant Changes 重 大 变 化 后<br />

As discussed in 15.2, significant changes in risk can occur for a variety of<br />

reasons. Qualified personnel should evaluate each significant change to<br />

determine the potential for a change in risk. It may be desirable to conduct<br />

an RBI reassessment after significant changes in process conditions,<br />

damage mechanisms/rates/severities or RBI premises.<br />

在 工 艺 条 件 的 显 着 变 化 , 损 伤 机 制 / 恶 化 率 / 损 伤 严 重 程 度 , 或 设 施 位 置 的 迁 移 ,<br />

应 当 重 新 评 估 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


15.3.2 After a Set Time Period 时 间 隔<br />

Although significant changes may not have occurred, over time many small<br />

changes may occur and cumulatively cause significant changes in the RBI<br />

assessment. Users should set default maximum time periods for<br />

reassessments. The governing inspection codes (such as API 510, API 570,<br />

and API 653) and jurisdictional regulations, if any, should be reviewed in this<br />

context.<br />

随 着 时 间 的 推 移 , 很 多 小 的 变 化 可 能 发 生 累 积 造 成 显 着 的 变 化 , 重 新 评 估 是 必 要<br />

的 ,. 用 户 应 当 制 定 最 大 间 隔 . 在 制 定 间 隔 时 , 应 考 虑 项 有 , 法 定 要 求 , 采 纳 规 范 如<br />

API 510/570/653.<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


15.3.3 After Implementation of <strong>Risk</strong> Mitigation Strategies<br />

风 险 缓 解 策 略 实 施 后<br />

Once a mitigation strategy is implemented, it is prudent to determine how<br />

effective the strategy was in reducing the risk to an acceptable level. This<br />

should be reflected in a reassessment of the risk and appropriate update in<br />

the documentation.<br />

一 旦 实 现 了 一 个 缓 解 策 略 , 谨 慎 的 做 法 是 确 定 缓 解 策 略 对 风 险 降 低 的 有 效 性 . 重<br />

估 的 结 果 应 当 档 案 , 如 有 必 要 改 进 缓 解 策 略 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


15.3.4 Before and After Maintenance Turnarounds<br />

维 护 检 修 之 前 / 后<br />

As part of the planning for a maintenance turnaround, it is usually useful to<br />

perform an RBI reassessment. This can become a first step in planning the<br />

turnaround to ensure that the work effort is focused on the higher risk<br />

equipment items and on issues that might affect the ability to achieve the<br />

premised operating run time in a safe, economic, and environmentally sound<br />

manner. Since a large number of inspection, repairs, and modifications are<br />

performed during a typical maintenance turnaround, it may be useful to update<br />

an assessment soon after the turnaround to reflect the new risk levels.<br />

维 护 检 修 之 前 进 行 风 险 评 估 得 到 的 设 备 风 险 排 名 , 有 助 于 筛 选 高 风 险 的 设 备 进 行<br />

优 先 处 理 . 维 护 检 修 后 , 重 估 能 确 定 缓 解 策 略 对 风 险 降 低 的 有 效 性 和 体 现 新 风 险 水<br />

平 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


16 Roles,<br />

Responsibilities,<br />

Training, and<br />

Qualifications<br />

角 色 , 职 责 , 培 训 和 资 格<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


Contents<br />

16 Roles, Responsibilities, Training, and Qualifications<br />

16.1 Team Approach<br />

16.2 Team Members, Roles, and Responsibilities<br />

16.3 Training and Qualifications for RBI Application<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


16.1 Team Approach 团 队 的 方 法<br />

RBI requires data gathering from many sources, specialized analysis, such as<br />

risk analysis, financial analysis, materials and corrosion engineering,<br />

mechanical engineering, inspection, etc. followed by risk management decision<br />

making. Generally, one individual does not have the background or skills to<br />

single-handedly conduct the entire study effectively. Usually, a team of people,<br />

with the requisite skills and background, is needed to conduct an effective RBI<br />

assessment. RBI analyses should be conducted as a project with plant<br />

management as stakeholders and a project team composed of the types of<br />

members depicted in 16.2.2 through 16.2.10.<br />

基 于 风 险 检 验 (RBI) 需 要 大 量 不 同 专 业 的 资 料 , 单 凭 一 位 专 业 人 士 , 并 不 具 备 背 景<br />

与 技 能 , 单 枪 匹 马 的 完 成 工 作 . 实 际 上 这 需 要 一 个 由 利 益 相 关 者 ( 管 理 层 ) 作 为 团 队<br />

领 导 以 项 目 名 义 招 聚 不 同 专 业 人 员 组 成 的 队 伍 共 同 完 成 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


16.2 Team Members, Roles, and Responsibilities 团 队 成 员 的 角 色 , 职 责<br />

16.2.1 General 总 则<br />

Depending on the application, some of the disciplines listed below may not be<br />

required. Some team members may be part-time due to limited input needs. It<br />

is also possible that not all the team members listed may be required if other<br />

team members have the required skill and knowledge of multiple disciplines.<br />

It is usually useful to have one of the team members serve as a facilitator for<br />

discussion sessions and team interactions.<br />

按 照 实 际 需 要 与 项 目 特 点 , 可 能 只 需 要 部 分 以 下 的 专 业 人 员 参 与 . 参 与 人 员 可 能<br />

因 为 较 少 的 输 入 , 只 需 要 少 时 间 的 兼 职 . 个 人 具 备 相 关 的 知 识 , 也 能 同 时 作 为 两 个<br />

货 更 多 的 专 业 身 份 出 现 在 队 伍 里 .<br />

团 队 里 , 应 被 选 出 一 位 讨 论 会 和 团 队 互 动 促 进 者<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


16.2.2 Team Leader 团 队 领 导<br />

The team leader may be any one of the below mentioned team members. The<br />

team leader should be a full-time team member, and should preferably be a<br />

stakeholder in the facility/equipment being analyzed. In cases where the team<br />

leader is unfamiliar with the facility to be evaluated, he or she should be<br />

familiar with the RBI methodology employed and the types of processes to be<br />

assessed. The team leader may be knowledgeable in one of the specialized<br />

fields required for RBI. The main function of the team leader should be to<br />

integrate the inputs, outputs, organizational structure, communications, etc. of<br />

the assessment team and to carry out the following responsibilities:<br />

最 好 是 一 个 利 益 相 关 者 . 下 列 为 责 任<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


a) formation of the team and verifying that the team members have the<br />

necessary skills, experience and knowledge;<br />

团 队 的 形 成 与 确 保 人 员 组 合 具 有 必 要 知 识<br />

b) assuring that the study is conducted properly: 确 保 正 确 执 行<br />

- data gathered is accurate,<br />

数 据 正 确<br />

- assumptions made are logical and documented,<br />

假 设 合 理 ( 需 档 案 假 设 逻 辑 )<br />

- appropriate personnel are utilized to provide data and assumptions,<br />

动 用 / 筛 选 合 适 人 员 收 集 数 据 与 建 议<br />

- appropriate quality and validity checks are employed on data gathered<br />

and on the data analysis;<br />

动 用 / 筛 选 合 适 人 员 复 核 ( 质 量 和 有 效 性 ), 收 集 到 的 信 息 与 信 息 分 析 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


c) preparing a report on the RBI assessment and distributing it to the<br />

appropriate stakeholders whom are either responsible for decisions on<br />

managing risks or responsible for implementing actions to mitigate the risks;<br />

准 备 评 估 报 告 , 分 发 到 利 益 相 关 者 ( 负 责 管 理 风 险 或 负 责 实 施 措 施 减 轻 风 险 决 策 )<br />

d) following up to assure that the appropriate risk mitigation actions have been<br />

implemented.<br />

跟 进 , 以 确 保 适 当 的 风 险 缓 解 措 施 得 到 实 施<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


团 队 领 导<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


团 队 领 导<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


16.2.3 Equipment Inspector or <strong>Inspection</strong> Specialist 设 备 检 验 员 与 检 验 师<br />

The equipment inspector or inspection specialist is generally responsible for<br />

gathering data on the condition and history of equipment in the study. This<br />

condition data should include the new/design condition and current condition.<br />

Generally, this information will be located in equipment inspection and<br />

maintenance files. If condition data are unavailable, the inspector/specialist, in<br />

conjunction with the corrosion specialist, should provide predictions of the<br />

current condition. The inspector/specialist and materials and corrosion specialist<br />

are also responsible for assessing the effectiveness of past inspections. The<br />

equipment inspector/inspection specialist is usually responsible for<br />

implementing the recommended inspection plan derived from the RBI<br />

assessment.<br />

责 任 与 负 责 项 :<br />

• 设 备 检 验 员 与 检 验 师 – 收 集 设 备 (1) 当 前 设 备 状 态 和 (2) 设 备 历 史 ( 新 建 / 设 计 ),<br />

在 缺 乏 资 料 下 , 可 以 通 过 腐 蚀 专 家 的 协 助 下 , 预 测 当 前 状 态 .<br />

• 设 备 检 验 员 与 检 验 师 – 实 施 建 议 的 检 验 计 划<br />

• 设 备 检 验 员 , 检 验 师 与 材 料 / 腐 蚀 专 家 - 过 去 的 检 查 的 有 效 性 评 估<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang<br />

设 备 检 验 员 与 检 验 师


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


16.2.4 Corrosion Specialist 腐 蚀 专 家<br />

The corrosion specialist is responsible for assessing the types of damage<br />

mechanisms and their applicability and severity to the equipment considering<br />

the process conditions, environment, metallurgy, age, etc., of the equipment.<br />

This specialist should compare this assessment to the actual condition of the<br />

equipment, determine the reason for differences between predicted and actual<br />

condition, and provide guidance on damage mechanisms, rates or severity to<br />

be used in the RBI assessment.<br />

Part of this comparison should include evaluating the appropriateness of the<br />

inspections in relation to the damage mechanism. This specialist also should<br />

provide recommendations on methods of mitigating the POF (such as<br />

changes in metallurgy, addition of inhibition, addition of coatings/linings, etc.)<br />

and methods of monitoring the process for possible changes in damage rates<br />

(such as pH monitoring, corrosion rate monitoring, contaminant monitoring,<br />

etc.).<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


腐 蚀 专 家 职 责 :<br />

• 评 估 设 备 损 伤 机 制 及 该 损 失 机 理 对 同 类 设 备 影 响 面 .<br />

• 评 估 设 备 恶 化 严 重 程 度 ( 考 虑 : 工 艺 , 环 境 , 冶 金 , 设 备 龄 , 等 )<br />

• 分 析 设 备 , 预 测 和 的 实 际 情 况 与 差 异<br />

• 提 供 指 导 , 损 伤 机 制 , 率 或 严 重 程 度 用 以 RBI 评 估<br />

• 选 用 的 检 查 方 法 合 适 性 ( 对 相 关 损 失 机 理 的 可 探 性 )<br />

• 建 议 失 效 概 率 的 缓 解 方 法 ( 冶 金 , 抑 制 剂 , 涂 层 , 护 垫 , 等 )<br />

• 监 测 可 能 导 致 损 坏 率 的 过 程 变 化 (PH, 腐 蚀 率 , 污 染 监 控 等 ) 的 方 法<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


腐 蚀 专 家<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


16.2.5 Process Specialist 工 艺 师<br />

The process specialist is responsible for the provision of process condition<br />

information. This information generally will be in the form of process flow<br />

sheets. The process specialist is responsible for documenting variations in<br />

the process conditions due to normal occurrences (such as start-ups and<br />

shutdowns) and abnormal occurrences. The process specialist is<br />

responsible for describing the composition and variability of all the process<br />

fluids/gases as well as their potential toxicity and flammability. The process<br />

specialist should evaluate/recommend methods of risk mitigation (probability<br />

or consequence) through changes in process conditions.<br />

职 责 :<br />

提 供 工 艺 相 关 资 料 ( 工 艺 流 程 表 )<br />

提 供 正 常 操 作 , 停 机 , 重 启 , 异 常 状 况 的 工 艺 参 数<br />

解 析 设 施 工 艺 流 体 特 性 ( 成 分 / 毒 性 / 可 燃 性 )<br />

评 估 / 建 议 更 改 工 艺 参 数 达 到 风 险 缓 解 ( 估 值 概 率 / 失 效 后 果 )<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


工 艺 师<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


16.2.6 Operations and Maintenance Personnel 操 作 和 维 护 人 员<br />

Operations personnel are responsible for verifying that the facility/<br />

equipment is being operated within the parameters set out in the process<br />

operating window. They are responsible for providing data on occurrences<br />

when process deviated from the limits of the operating windows, and on any<br />

trends in the operating data over the past unit run, including IOW<br />

parameters. They are also responsible for verifying that equipment repairs/<br />

replacements/additions have been included in the equipment condition data<br />

supplied by the equipment inspector. Operations and maintenance are<br />

responsible for implementing recommendations that pertain to process or<br />

equipment modifications and monitoring.<br />

职 责 :<br />

提 供 , 当 操 作 参 数 偏 离 IOW 时 , 相 关 工 艺 参 数 变 化 .<br />

提 供 , 设 备 操 作 参 数 变 动 趋 向<br />

验 证 , 设 备 的 维 修 / 更 换 / 添 加 项 适 当 已 经 落 实<br />

确 保 , 涉 及 到 过 程 或 设 备 修 改 建 议 的 实 施 与 监 测 ,<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


操 作 和 维 护 人 员<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


16.2.7 Management 管 理 层<br />

Management’s role is to provide sponsorship and resources (personnel and<br />

funding) for the RBI assessment. They are responsible for making decisions<br />

on risk management, establishing risk acceptance criteria and/or providing the<br />

framework/mechanism for others to make these decisions based on the<br />

results of the RBI assessment. Finally, management is responsible for<br />

providing the resources and follow-up system to implement the risk mitigation<br />

decisions.<br />

职 责 :<br />

管 理 层 的 作 用 是 提 供 赞 助 和 资 源<br />

对 风 险 管 理 的 决 策 , 建 立 风 险 接 受 准 则 . 设 定 框 架 机 制 对 RBI 分 析 作 出 决 定 .<br />

提 供 资 源 和 跟 踪 系 统 , 实 施 风 险 减 缓 措 施<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


管 理 层<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


16.2.8 <strong>Risk</strong> Analyst 风 险 分 析 员<br />

This person(s) is responsible for assembling all of the data and carrying out<br />

the RBI analysis. This person(s) could be a separate specialist or one of<br />

the above team members and is typically responsible for: 收 集 所 有 的 数 据<br />

和 开 展 RBI 分 析 ( 可 为 负 责 其 他 项 的 团 员 ), 通 常 负 责<br />

a) defining data required from other team members,<br />

定 义 其 他 团 队 成 员 所 需 提 供 的 数 据<br />

b) defining accuracy levels for the data, 定 义 资 料 的 精 确 度 要 求<br />

c) verifying through quality checks the soundness of data and assumptions,<br />

确 定 资 料 的 质 量<br />

d) inputting/transferring data into the computer program and running the<br />

program (if one is used), 输 入 数 据<br />

e) quality control of data input/output, 数 据 的 质 量 控 制<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


f) manually calculating the measures of risk (if a computer program is not<br />

used), 人 工 计 算 与 分 析 风 险 ( 如 不 用 计 算 机 )<br />

g) displaying the results in an understandable way and preparing appropriate<br />

reports on the RBI analysis.<br />

用 容 易 理 解 的 方 式 显 示 分 析 结 果 与 准 备 RBI 报 告 .<br />

Furthermore, this person(s) should be a resource to the team conducting a<br />

cost/benefit analysis if it is deemed necessary.<br />

作 为 信 息 资 源 提 供 者 , 协 助 资 源 小 组 进 行 成 本 效 益 分 析<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


16.2.9 Environmental and Safety Personnel 环 境 / 安 全 员<br />

This person(s) is responsible for providing data on environmental and safety<br />

systems and regulations. He/she also is responsible for assessing/<br />

recommending ways to mitigate the COF.<br />

责 任 :<br />

提 供 环 境 / 安 全 系 统 与 法 规 相 关 信 息<br />

评 估 / 推 荐 缓 解 故 障 后 果 的 方 法<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


16.2.10 Financial/Business Personnel 财 务 / 业 务 人 员<br />

This person(s) is responsible for providing data on the cost of the<br />

facility/equipment being analyzed and the financial impact of having pieces of<br />

equipment or the facility shut down. He/she also should recommend methods<br />

for mitigating the financial COF.<br />

职 责 :<br />

提 供 , 设 备 信 息 与 造 价<br />

提 供 , 设 备 停 机 的 经 济 冲 击<br />

建 议 , 经 济 故 障 后 果 缓 解 方 法<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang<br />

财 务 / 业 务 人 员


16.3 Training and Qualifications for RBI Application 培 训 和 资 格<br />

16.3.1 <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment Personnel 风 险 评 估 人 员<br />

This person(s) should have a thorough understanding of risk analysis by<br />

education, training, and/or experience. He/she should have received detailed<br />

training on the RBI methodology and on the procedures being used for the RBI<br />

assessment so that he/she understands how the program operates and the vital<br />

issues that affect the final results. 应 当 通 过 , 教 育 , 培 训 , 经 验 具 备 风 险 风 险 所 需 要<br />

的 专 业 知 识 .<br />

Contractors that provide risk assessment personnel for conducting RBI analysis<br />

should have a program of training and be able to document that their personnel<br />

are suitably qualified and experienced. Facility owners that have internal risk<br />

assessment personnel to conduct RBI analysis should have a procedure to<br />

document that their personnel are sufficiently qualified. The qualifications and<br />

training of the risk assessment personnel should be documented.<br />

承 包 商 或 用 户 程 序 与 备 案 :<br />

对 风 险 评 估 员 资 格 要 求 , 培 训 记 录 和 经 验 要 求 的 程 序 控 制 与 人 员 资 质 / 培 训 备 案 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


16.3.2 Other Team Members 其 他 团 员<br />

The other team members should receive basic training on RBI methodology<br />

and on the software program(s) being used, to the extent they need to<br />

understand software to make their contribution. This training should be geared<br />

primarily to an understanding and effective application of RBI, as well as an<br />

understanding of how the data quality that is input by other team members can<br />

affect the results. This training could be provided by the risk assessment<br />

personnel on the RBI Team or by another person knowledgeable on RBI<br />

methodology and on the program(s) being used.<br />

其 他 人 员 应 当 接 受 RBI 方 法 论 , 所 用 的 软 件 基 本 培 训 . 培 训 员 可 能 是 风 险 分 析 员<br />

或 对 RBI 方 法 与 选 用 软 件 具 备 专 业 知 识 的 其 他 专 业 人 士 .<br />

培 训 注 重 点 为 ;<br />

如 何 有 效 的 运 用 RBI<br />

其 他 团 员 提 供 的 数 据 对 分 析 结 果 的 影 响<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


培 训 和 资 格<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


培 训 和 资 格<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


培 训 和 资 格<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


17 RBI Documentation and<br />

Record keeping<br />

文 件 与 记 录<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


Contents<br />

17 RBI Documentation and Recordkeeping<br />

17.1 General<br />

17.2 RBI Methodology<br />

17.3 RBI Personnel<br />

17.4 Time Frame<br />

17.5 Basis for the Assignment of <strong>Risk</strong><br />

17.6 Assumptions Made to Assess <strong>Risk</strong><br />

17.7 <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment Results<br />

17.8 Mitigation and Follow-up<br />

17.9 Applicable Codes, Standards, and Government Regulations<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


17.1 General 总 则<br />

It is important that sufficient information is captured to fully document the RBI<br />

assessment. Typically, this documentation should include the following data<br />

and information: RBI 评 估 必 须 充 分 档 案 , 通 常 , 以 下 为 档 案 文 件<br />

a) the type of assessment, objectives, and boundaries; 考 核 目 标 , 类 型 , 和 范 围<br />

b) a procedure for how the selected RBI methodology will be applied at the<br />

site (e.g. how to deal with all the options provided by the methodology);<br />

选 用 的 RBI 方 法 , 落 实 到 设 施 设 备 的 作 业 指 导 书 / 程 序<br />

c) team members performing the assessment and their skill set relative to<br />

RBI; 团 队 人 员 备 档 与 其 的 技 能 贡 献 .<br />

d) time frame over which the assessment is applicable; 有 效 时 间 段<br />

e) the inputs and sources used to determine risk; 评 估 风 险 的 输 入 数 据 与 来 源<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


f) assumptions made during the assessment; 评 估 假 设<br />

g) the risk assessment results (including information on probability and<br />

consequence); 评 估 结 果 ( 包 括 概 率 / 结 果 信 息 )<br />

h) follow-up mitigation strategy, if applicable, to manage risk; 后 续 的 缓 解 策 略<br />

i) the mitigated risk levels (i.e. residual risk after mitigation is implemented);<br />

缓 解 后 的 残 余 风 险 水 平<br />

j) references to in-service codes or standards being applied. 参 考 文 献 ( 在 职 规<br />

范 / 标 准 )<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


Ideally, sufficient data should be captured and maintained such that the<br />

assessment can be recreated or updated at a later time by others who were not<br />

involved in the original assessment. To facilitate this, it is preferable to store the<br />

information in a computerized database. This will enhance the analysis, retrieval,<br />

and stewardship capabilities. The usefulness of the database will be particularly<br />

important in stewarding recommendations developed from the RBI assessment,<br />

and managing overall risk over the specified time frame.<br />

确 保 足 够 详 细 的 信 息 被 保 存 . 在 重 新 或 更 新 评 估 时 不 会 因 为 缺 少 信 息 导 致 的 困 难 .<br />

充 分 的 电 子 档 案 也 能 让 新 加 评 估 团 员 能 得 心 应 手 的 短 时 间 介 入 . 电 子 档 案 对 评 估 建<br />

议 管 理 , 执 行 缓 解 时 限 有 显 著 地 帮 助 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


17.2 RBI Methodology 方 法 学<br />

The methodology used to perform the RBI analysis should be documented so<br />

that it is clear what type of assessment was performed. The basis for both the<br />

probability and consequences of failure should be documented. If a specific<br />

software program is used to perform the assessment, this also should be<br />

documented. The documentation should be sufficiently complete so that the<br />

basis and the logic for the decision making process can be checked or<br />

replicated at a later time.<br />

用 于 执 行 评 估 的 RBI 方 法 , 依 据 和 决 策 过 程 中 的 逻 辑 必 须 档 案 , 从 而 允 许 后 续 的 检<br />

讨 或 重 复 的 评 估 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


If a specific<br />

software program<br />

is used to perform<br />

the assessment,<br />

this also should<br />

be documented.<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


17.3 RBI Personnel 评 估 人 员<br />

The assessment of risk will depend on the knowledge, experience and<br />

judgment of the personnel or team performing the analysis. Therefore, a record<br />

of the team members involved should be captured, as well as the skill set that<br />

they bring to the team for RBI purposes. This will be helpful in understanding<br />

the basis for the risk assessment when the analysis is repeated or updated.<br />

人 员 资 质 , 所 分 配 的 工 作 范 围 的 档 案 , 提 供 评 估 基 础 , 有 助 于 后 续 复 查 与 更 新 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


17.4 Time Frame 时 段<br />

The level of risk is usually a function of time. This either is as a result of the (1)<br />

time dependence of a damage mechanism, or simply (2) the potential for<br />

changes in the operation of equipment. Therefore, the time frame over which<br />

the RBI analysis is applicable should be defined and captured in the final<br />

documentation. This will permit tracking and management of risk effectively<br />

over time.<br />

风 险 水 平 通 常 是 时 间 的 函 数 ( 损 伤 机 理 的 恶 化 或 操 作 导 致 的 变 化 ), 所 以 风 险 评 估<br />

必 须 设 置 有 效 时 间 段 . 这 将 允 许 在 时 间 段 里 , 有 效 跟 踪 和 管 理 风 险 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


Failure occurred<br />

Probability of Failure POF<br />

Damage Tolerance Limit<br />

Deterioration Rate<br />

Planned <strong>Inspection</strong><br />

Mitigation<br />

Unacceptable<br />

inspection interval<br />

Time<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


17.5 Basis for the Assignment of <strong>Risk</strong> 风 险 的 分 配 基 础<br />

The various inputs used to assess both the probability and COF should be<br />

captured. This should include, but not necessarily be limited to, the following<br />

information: 各 种 用 于 评 估 的 概 率 和 COF 的 数 据 应 获 取 与 存 档<br />

a) basic equipment data and inspection history critical to the assessment (e.g.<br />

operating conditions, materials of construction, service exposure, corrosion<br />

rate, inspection history, etc.);<br />

对 评 估 具 关 键 数 据 ; 设 备 基 本 资 料 与 检 验 历 史 记 录 .( 例 如 , 操 作 条 件 , 建 材 , 工 艺<br />

媒 介 , 腐 蚀 速 率 , 检 验 历 史 , 等 )<br />

b) operative and credible damage mechanisms;<br />

活 跃 可 信 的 损 伤 机 理<br />

c) criteria used to judge the severity of each damage mechanism;<br />

评 估 损 伤 机 理 严 峻 性 的 准 据<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


d) anticipated failure mode(s) (e.g. leak, crack, or rupture); 预 测 失 效 模 式<br />

e) key factors used to judge the severity of each failure mode; 用 来 判 断 各 失 效<br />

模 式 的 严 重 程 度 关 键 因 素<br />

f) criteria used to evaluate the various consequence categories, including<br />

safety, health, environmental and financial; 用 来 判 断 各 失 效 后 果 的 准 据 , 包 括 ,<br />

安 全 , 健 康 , 缓 解 与 财 政 .<br />

g) risk criteria used to evaluate the acceptability of the risks. 用 来 评 估 可 接 受 风<br />

险 的 风 险 准 据<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


17.6 Assumptions Made to Assess <strong>Risk</strong> 风 险 假 设<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> analysis, by its very nature, requires that certain assumptions be made<br />

regarding the nature and extent of equipment deterioration. Moreover, the<br />

assignment of failure mode and the severity of the contemplated event will<br />

invariably be based on a variety of assumptions, regardless of whether the<br />

analysis is quantitative or qualitative. To understand the basis for the overall<br />

risk, it is essential that these factors be captured in the final documentation.<br />

Clearly documenting the key assumptions made during the analysis of<br />

probability and consequence will greatly enhance the capability to either<br />

recreate or update the RBI assessment.<br />

有 系 统 和 明 确 档 案 , 用 来 分 析 概 率 与 故 障 结 的 关 键 假 设 , 会 显 著 的 提 高 RBI 重 估 与<br />

后 续 更 新 能 力 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


17.7 <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment Results 风 险 评 估 结 果<br />

The probability, consequence and risk results should be captured in the<br />

documentation. For items that require risk mitigation, the recommendations for<br />

and results after mitigation should be documented as well.<br />

概 率 , 失 效 结 果 , 风 险 系 数 应 档 案 . 那 些 需 要 风 险 缓 解 的 设 备 , 相 关 的 建 议 和 缓 解 后<br />

的 成 效 也 应 当 档 案 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


17.8 Mitigation and Follow-up 缓 解 与 跟 踪<br />

One of the most important aspects of managing risk through RBI is the<br />

development and use of mitigation strategies. Therefore, the specific risk<br />

mitigation required to reduce either probability or consequence should be<br />

documented in the assessment. The mitigation “credit” assigned to a<br />

particular action should be captured along with any time dependence. The<br />

methodology, process and person(s) responsible for implementation of any<br />

mitigation should also be documented.<br />

通 过 RBI 管 理 设 备 风 险 , 其 中 一 个 最 重 要 方 面 通 过 开 发 与 运 用 缓 解 策 略 , 档 案 项 有 ;<br />

• 具 体 的 缓 解 方 法 ( 概 率 )<br />

• 具 体 的 缓 解 方 法 ( 失 效 结 果 )<br />

• 缓 解 方 法 的 时 段 因 素 ( 时 间 依 赖 性 )<br />

• 缓 解 执 行 负 责 人<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


The methodology, process and person(s) responsible for implementation of<br />

any mitigation should also be documented.<br />

• 缓 解 执 行 负 责 人<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


The methodology, process and person(s) responsible for implementation of<br />

any mitigation should also be documented.<br />

• 缓 解 执 行 负 责 人<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


17.9 Applicable Codes, Standards, and Government Regulations<br />

规 范 , 标 准 , 国 家 法 定 要 求<br />

Since various codes, standards and governmental regulations cover the<br />

inspection for most pressure equipment, it will be important to reference these<br />

documents as part of the RBI assessment. This is particularly important where<br />

implementation of RBI is used to reduce either the extent or frequency of<br />

inspection. See Section 3 for a listing of some relevant codes and standards.<br />

采 纳 的 规 范 , 标 准 , 国 家 法 定 要 求 必 须 明 确 的 档 案 , 特 别 是 执 行 RBI 是 用 来 减 少 检 验<br />

的 幅 度 或 频 率 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


18 Summary of <strong>Risk</strong>-<br />

<strong>Based</strong> <strong>Inspection</strong><br />

Pitfalls<br />

基 于 风 险 的 检 验 问 题 摘 要<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


Contents<br />

18 Summary of RBI Pitfalls<br />

18.1 General<br />

18.2 Planning<br />

18.3 Data and Information Collection<br />

18.4 Damage Mechanisms and Failure Modes<br />

18.5 Assessing POF<br />

18.6 Assessing Consequence of Failure<br />

18.7 <strong>Risk</strong> Determination, Assessment, and Management<br />

18.8 <strong>Risk</strong> Management with <strong>Inspection</strong> Activities<br />

18.9 Other <strong>Risk</strong> Management Activities<br />

18.10 Reassessment and Updating RBI Assessment<br />

18.11 Roles, Responsibilities, Training, and Qualifications for<br />

RBI Team Members<br />

18.12 RBI Documentation and Recordkeeping<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


18.1 General 总 则<br />

The following is a bulletized summary list of potential pitfalls covered in<br />

previous sections of this RP that could lead to less than adequate risk<br />

management results from using RBI. It can be used as checklist to review the<br />

RBI work process or to audit the effectiveness of an RBI program.<br />

此 规 范 前 面 章 节 覆 盖 推 荐 实 践 , 可 能 潜 在 导 致 不 适 当 的 风 险 管 理 结 果 . 以 下 为 潜 在<br />

的 陷 阱 ( 问 题 ); 这 里 描 述 的 潜 在 问 题 可 以 作 为 列 表 审 核 RBI 程 序 的 有 效 性 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


18.2 Planning 规 划<br />

• Not defining clear objectives and goals for the RBI process.<br />

不 明 确 的 目 的 与 目 标<br />

• Not screening multi-units to know where to use RBI first. 多 单 元 设 施 没 做 设<br />

备 筛 选 排 名 , 优 先 执 行 分 析 .<br />

• Not defining the physical and operating boundaries adequately. 不 明 确 的 设<br />

定 物 理 与 操 作 范 围<br />

• Not defining the operating time period for the risk assessment. 没 设 定 风 险 评<br />

估 的 操 作 时 间<br />

• Not adequately defining the time required and resources needed for the<br />

project. 不 充 分 的 定 义 项 目 资 源 到 为 的 时 间 点<br />

• Not having full management support for the necessary RBI resources.<br />

没 得 到 管 理 层 的 全 面 支 持<br />

• Unrealistic expectations for the results of RBI. 对 结 果 不 切 实 际 的 期 望<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


期 望 RBI 带 来 不 实 际 的 的 效 益<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang<br />

Not having full management support<br />

for the necessary RBI resources.<br />

没 得 到 管 理 层 的 全 面 支 持


18.3 Data and Information Collection 数 据 和 信 息 的 收 集<br />

• Not understanding all the data needs. 不 理 解 所 有 的 数 据 需 求<br />

• Not identifying all the appropriate sources of data/information.<br />

没 确 定 所 有 的 数 据 / 信 息 的 适 当 来 源<br />

• Failing to collect all the data/information needed.<br />

没 有 收 集 需 要 的 所 有 的 数 据 / 信 息<br />

• Dealing with poor quality data. 处 理 质 量 差 数 据<br />

• Not verifying the data to ensure quality. 没 验 证 数 据 质 量<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


18.4 Damage Mechanisms and Failure Modes 损 伤 机 理 和 失 效 模 式<br />

• Not identifying all the probable and credible damage mechanism and<br />

failure modes. 不 确 定 所 有 可 能 的 和 可 靠 的 损 伤 机 理 和 破 坏 模 式<br />

• Improperly ruling out damage mechanisms thought to be inactive. 错 误 的 排<br />

除 认 为 是 无 效 的 损 伤 机 理<br />

• Operating outside the established IOWs or not properly identifying the<br />

correct IOW limits. 在 IOW 外 操 作 , 没 确 定 好 IOW 参 数<br />

• Not understanding the impact of damage mechanisms on pressure<br />

equipment resulting from operating outside the IOW. 没 明 确 超 越 IOW 对 承<br />

压 设 备 的 影 响<br />

• Using software or methodologies that do not cover all active damage<br />

mechanisms. 所 使 用 软 件 或 方 法 不 能 覆 盖 所 有 的 损 伤 机 制<br />

• Inadequate definition of failure modes associated with each damage<br />

mechanism. 每 个 损 伤 机 相 关 联 的 失 效 模 式 定 义 不 够<br />

• Inadequate definition of damage rates for each damage mechanism.<br />

对 损 伤 机 理 的 损 坏 率 定 义 不 足<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


18.5 Assessing POF 评 估 故 障 概 率<br />

• Not addressing all probably and credible damage mechanisms when<br />

determining POF. 没 覆 盖 所 有 可 能 的 和 可 信 的 损 伤 机 制<br />

• Not understanding the interaction of multiple damage mechanisms in each<br />

piece of equipment. 没 理 解 多 种 损 伤 机 制 的 相 互 作 用 对 设 备 的 影 响<br />

• Not defining the specific POF units of measure to be used. 不 明 确 个 别 具<br />

体 故 障 概 率 的 测 量 单 位<br />

• Not using the most appropriate POF methodology for the situation. 没 使 用<br />

最 合 适 的 故 障 概 率 分 析 方 法<br />

• Using generic POFs instead of equipment specific POFs. 通 用 数 据 错 误 的<br />

替 代 具 体 数 据<br />

• Inadequate assessment of past inspection effectiveness. 对 过 去 检 验 有 效<br />

性 缺 乏 评 估<br />

• Inadequate assessment of susceptibility to each damage mechanism.<br />

对 损 伤 机 理 不 够 详 细 的 分 析<br />

• Inadequate assessment of damage rates. 恶 化 率 分 析 不 足 够<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


18.6 Assessing COF 评 估 故 障 结 果<br />

• Not identifying all the appropriate incidents/events/outcomes of a failure.<br />

失 效 导 致 的 事 件 / 结 果 / 未 被 全 部 识 别<br />

• Not identifying all the appropriate consequences of each incident. 事 件 导<br />

致 的 故 障 后 果 未 被 全 部 识 别<br />

• Not selecting the appropriate consequence assessment methodology.<br />

没 选 对 合 适 的 后 果 评 估 方 法<br />

• Not associating the right consequence with each failure mode. 错 误 的 各 故<br />

障 模 式 和 后 果 结 合<br />

• Not using the right units of measure for COF. 错 误 的 估 量 单 位<br />

• Not knowing the right volume of fluid that can potentially be released. 错 误<br />

的 估 计 泄 漏 量<br />

• Not understanding the most likely release rate. 缺 乏 泄 漏 率 的 认 识<br />

• Not understanding the likely form of discharge (i.e. gas, liquid, vapor). 缺 乏<br />

泄 漏 模 式 ( 气 态 , 液 态 火 蒸 汽 )<br />

• Not accounting for likely dispersion. 扩 散 模 式 错 误 估 计<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


• Not adequately dealing with the all the potential hazards i.e. flammable,<br />

toxic, other effects. 未 覆 盖 所 有 潜 在 的 危 害<br />

• Inadequate knowledge of the effectiveness of hazard detection and<br />

mitigation systems installed. 缺 乏 对 危 害 探 测 与 缓 解 系 统 的 了 解<br />

• Not considering all potential impacts (i.e. safety, environmental, business,<br />

and repair). 潜 在 影 响 ( 安 全 , 环 境 , 业 务 , 返 修 ) 没 被 充 分 考 虑<br />

• Not appreciating that consequence categories are typically relative<br />

measures, not absolute. 没 意 识 到 结 果 类 别 通 常 是 相 对 的 而 非 绝 对 值 .<br />

• Not adequately accounting for the full series of events that may lead to the<br />

full consequence. 没 充 分 考 虑 故 障 导 致 的 全 部 事 件 与 后 续 的 全 部 结 果 .<br />

• Not dealing with potential effects on other process units or facilities (i.e.<br />

“knock-on” effects). 没 考 虑 到 对 周 边 设 备 潜 在 影 响<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


incidents/events/outcomes of a failure.<br />

consequences of each incident.<br />

Failure<br />

mechanism<br />

Failure mode #1 Failure mode #2<br />

Incidents/events/outcomes<br />

A B C D<br />

Consequence #1<br />

Consequence #2<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


18.7 <strong>Risk</strong> Determination, Assessment, and Management<br />

风 险 确 定 , 评 估 , 管 理<br />

• Using “black box” software without understanding all the calculations and<br />

algorithms. 对 所 用 的 软 件 缺 乏 认 识 ( 计 算 与 计 算 法 )<br />

• Failure to identify the specific consequence for each probable failure from<br />

each damage mechanism. 具 体 的 失 效 后 果 没 被 识 别 .<br />

• Using inadequate assumptions in place of non-existing or poor quality<br />

data/information. 错 误 或 质 量 低 级 的 数 据 / 信 息 被 引 用 导 致 不 适 当 的 假 设<br />

• Using over or under estimated POFs/COFs in the risk determination. 太 于<br />

保 守 或 宽 松 的 概 率 / 后 果 评 估<br />

• Not adequately handling uncertainties. 不 确 定 性 处 理 的 不 妥 当<br />

• Inadequate risk presentation or communication to stakeholders.<br />

对 利 益 相 关 者 不 足 够 的 风 险 表 达 与 缺 乏 沟 通 .<br />

• Not having risk acceptance criteria/thresholds. 没 设 定 接 受 准 据 与 报 警 线<br />

• Inappropriate or untimely risk management activities. 风 险 评 估 在 不 合 适 的<br />

时 间 / 季 节 执 行<br />

• Not understanding the real risk drivers (i.e. COF, POF, or both). 对 真 正 的<br />

风 险 推 动 因 素 的 缺 乏 认 识 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


18.8 <strong>Risk</strong> Management with <strong>Inspection</strong> Activities 检 查 活 动 的 风 险 管 理<br />

• Inadequate inspection planning based on the risk assessment results. 检 验<br />

计 划 不 足<br />

• Lack of inspection plans for each probable/credible damage mechanism.<br />

缺 乏 对 每 个 可 能 / 可 信 的 损 伤 机 理 的 检 验 计 划<br />

• Lack of an objective, structured inspection planning process for the risk<br />

results. 缺 少 一 个 客 观 的 检 验 框 架 针 对 风 险 缓 解<br />

• Not appreciating when inspection activities have little or no value in risk<br />

mitigation. 没 意 识 到 有 的 风 险 不 能 以 检 验 手 段 缓 解 .<br />

• Not choosing the most appropriate inspection technique for risk reduction.<br />

检 验 方 法 的 选 用 错 误<br />

• Not choosing the right combination of inspection frequencies, techniques<br />

and practices. 没 选 用 合 适 的 , 检 验 频 率 , 技 术 与 实 践<br />

• Lack of appropriate or timely mitigation based on the inspection findings.<br />

没 有 根 据 检 查 结 果 合 适 的 或 及 时 缓 解<br />

• Inadequate planning for the resources necessary to implement the RBI<br />

plans. 缺 乏 规 划 必 要 资 金 执 行 检 查 活 动 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


18.9 Other <strong>Risk</strong> Management Activities 其 他 风 险 管 理 活 动<br />

• Not appreciating the need for and implementing risk management activities<br />

other than inspection. 没 意 识 到 风 险 管 理 用 于 降 低 风 险 非 仅 仅 依 靠 检 验<br />

• Not communicating with other stakeholders about potential for other risk<br />

management activities.<br />

没 和 对 利 益 相 关 者 表 达 / 沟 通 , 其 他 潜 在 的 风 险 管 理 活 动 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


18.10 Reassessment and Updating RBI Assessment<br />

新 评 估 和 更 新 RBI 评 估<br />

• Not appreciating the dynamic aspects of risks (i.e. changing with time). 没<br />

意 识 到 风 险 的 动 态 性<br />

• Not knowing when to do RBI reassessments and updates.<br />

不 知 道 重 新 评 估 / 更 新 的 间 隔 / 时 间<br />

• Not having a good connection between MOC and RBI reassessments.<br />

对 重 估 / 更 新 与 设 备 变 革 管 理 的 关 联 缺 少 认 识<br />

• Not doing reassessments on a timely basis. 不 及 时 的 执 行 重 估<br />

• Not identifying impact of operational changes that may affect the IOW.<br />

没 识 别 到 操 作 参 数 变 化 对 IOW 的 影 响<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


18.11 Roles, Responsibilities, Training, and Qualifications for RBI Team<br />

Members 角 色 , 职 责 , 培 训 , 和 团 队 成 员 资 格<br />

• Not having specific designated roles for each RBI team member. 没 明 确 的<br />

对 队 伍 分 配 角 色<br />

• Not having all the right RBI team members. 错 误 的 选 择 成 员<br />

• Having team members with inadequate skills, experience, or knowledge.<br />

成 员 缺 乏 需 要 的 技 能 , 经 验 , 或 知 识<br />

• Inadequate training on the RBI work process. 缺 乏 对 成 员 培 训<br />

• Not having an effective team leader. 缺 乏 有 效 团 队 领 导<br />

• Not having a skilled risk analyst. 没 有 一 个 熟 练 的 风 险 分 析<br />

• Handing over the RBI project to consultants without adequate integration<br />

and overview. 在 没 有 足 够 的 整 合 和 概 述 的 情 况 下 移 交 RBI 项 目 给 分 包 商 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


18.12 RBI Documentation and Record keeping<br />

文 件 和 记 录<br />

• Not appreciating the value/need for full RBI documentation.<br />

没 意 识 到 RBI 全 面 备 档 的 好 处<br />

• Not understanding what needs to be documented. 不 知 道 应 当 备 档 的 科 目<br />

• Not documenting all the assumptions made during the process and<br />

reasons therefore. 没 备 档 全 部 RBI 项 目 的 假 设 与 其 背 景 .<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang<br />

API Analyst


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang


API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang

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