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Tradition or evidence based practice? - World Journal of ...

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0.001 1 1000.0<br />

Diagnostic odds ratio<br />

Sensitivity<br />

Puli SR et al . EUS f<strong>or</strong> diagnosing mediastinal lymphadenopathy: A meta-analysis 3033<br />

1.0<br />

0.9<br />

0.8<br />

0.7<br />

0.6<br />

0.5<br />

0.4<br />

0.3<br />

0.2<br />

0.1<br />

SROC curve<br />

Kondo 1990<br />

Schuder 1991<br />

Giovannini 1995<br />

Silvestri 1995<br />

Hunerbein 1996<br />

Gress 1997<br />

Wiersema 1997<br />

Hunerbein 1998<br />

Hunerbein 1998<br />

Giovannini 1999<br />

Williams 1999<br />

Fritscher-Ravens 1999<br />

Mishra 1999<br />

Fritscher-Ravens 2000<br />

Fritscher-Ravens 2000<br />

Savides 2000<br />

Fritscher-Ravens 2000<br />

Chhieng 2001<br />

Wiersema 2001<br />

Wallace 2001<br />

Vazquez-Sequeiros 2001<br />

Schwartz 2002<br />

Devereaux 2002<br />

Catalano 2002<br />

Arima 2003<br />

Kramer 2004<br />

Pellise 2004<br />

Tournoy 2005<br />

Walsh 2005<br />

Beek 2006<br />

Pedersen 1996<br />

0.0<br />

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0<br />

1-Specificity<br />

Figure 5 SROC f<strong>or</strong> EUS to diagnose mediastinal lymphadenopathy.<br />

should be biopsied by FNA to improve the diagnostic<br />

accuracy.<br />

The positive likelihood ratio measures how well a test<br />

identifies a disease state. The higher the positive likelihood<br />

ratio, the better the test perf<strong>or</strong>ms in identifying the c<strong>or</strong>rect<br />

disease state. The negative likelihood ratio <strong>of</strong> the same test<br />

measures how well the test perf<strong>or</strong>ms in excluding a disease<br />

state. The lower the negative likelihood ratio, the better<br />

the test perf<strong>or</strong>ms in excluding a disease. F<strong>or</strong> mediastinal<br />

lymphadenopathy, EUS has a high positive likelihood ratio<br />

and low negative likelihood ratio. This indicates that EUS<br />

perf<strong>or</strong>ms better in diagnosing and excluding mediastinal<br />

lymphadenopathy. F<strong>or</strong> mediastinal lymphadenopathy, all<br />

the pooled accuracy estimates <strong>of</strong> EUS are higher if FNA<br />

Diagnostic OR (95% CI)<br />

44.57 (20.78-95.58)<br />

7.29 (1.17-45.26)<br />

1305.77 (72.01-23 678.38)<br />

125.40 (5.43-2895.91)<br />

47.67 (1.60-1422.71)<br />

30.08 (5.92-152.99)<br />

106.60 (11.40-997.17)<br />

6.67 (0.44-101.73)<br />

6.00 (0.39-92.28)<br />

386.33 (14.50-10 291.97)<br />

154.41 (8.34-2857.60)<br />

82.33 (2.88-2352.62)<br />

3135.00 (58.03-169 351.42)<br />

407.00 (15.49-10 694.83)<br />

323.00 (12.08-8637.17)<br />

969.00 (37.76-24 863.76)<br />

1353.67 (75.87-24 152.20)<br />

4347.00 (81.96-230 555.93)<br />

1219.40 (56.66-26 241.50)<br />

30.00 (5.36-167.93)<br />

14.00 (0.62-317.38)<br />

33 785.00 (663.07-1 721 422.20)<br />

55.80 (1.78-1747.72)<br />

102.00 (17.27-602.43)<br />

447.86 (22.09-9078.18)<br />

87.07 (4.86-1561.02)<br />

2.00 (0.09-44.35)<br />

31.67 (1.60-625.72)<br />

231.00 (8.58-6218.18)<br />

351.00 (15.87-7762.98)<br />

91.00 (1.46-5656.54)<br />

Pooled diagnostic odds ratio = 106.92 (54.36 to 210.29)<br />

Symmetric SROC<br />

AUC = 0.9592<br />

SE (AUC) = 0.0103<br />

Q* = 0.9034<br />

SE (Q*) = 0.0149<br />

Figure 4 F<strong>or</strong>rest plot showing diagnostic<br />

odds ratio <strong>of</strong> EUS-FNA in identifying mediastinal<br />

lymphadenopathy.<br />

Table 3 Pooled diagnostic accuracy estimates <strong>of</strong> EUS alone and<br />

EUS-FNA<br />

EUS EUS-FNA<br />

Studies 44 32<br />

Pooled sensitivity 84.7% (82.9-86.4) 88.0% (85.8-90.0)<br />

Pooled specificity 84.6% (83.2-85.9) 96.4% (95.3-97.4)<br />

Positive likelihood ratio 3.3 (2.6-4.3) 11.2 (5.9-21.2)<br />

Negative likelihood ratio 0.24 (0.1-0.3) 0.13 (0.1-0.2)<br />

Diagnostic odds ratio 19.1 (12.7-28.5) 106.9 (54.4-210.3)<br />

Area under the curve 0.91 0.97<br />

is perf<strong>or</strong>med during the procedure. Also, these pooled<br />

estimates give a baseline f<strong>or</strong> future study comparisons.<br />

The EUS studies with FNA were grouped into time<br />

periods and analyzed to standardize the criteria and the<br />

technology <strong>of</strong> EUS over the past two decades. Over the<br />

last two decades, the sensitivity and specificity <strong>of</strong> EUS<br />

with FNA has substantially improved.<br />

Due to the possibility <strong>of</strong> different studies using slightly<br />

different criteria f<strong>or</strong> diagnosis, heterogeneity among the<br />

studies was tested by drawing SROC curves and finding<br />

the AUC. An AUC <strong>of</strong> 1 f<strong>or</strong> any test indicates that the test<br />

is excellent. SROC curves f<strong>or</strong> EUS showed that the value<br />

f<strong>or</strong> AUC was very close to 1, indicating that EUS is an<br />

excellent test to diagnose mediastinal lymphadenopathy.<br />

Publication bias and selection bias may affect the summary<br />

estimates. Studies with statistically significant results tend<br />

to be published and cited. Smaller studies may show larger<br />

treatment effects due to fewer case-mix differences (e.g.<br />

patients with only early <strong>or</strong> late disease) than larger trials. This<br />

bias can be estimated by bias indicat<strong>or</strong>s and construction <strong>of</strong><br />

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