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Canberra intends to convert 12 Super Hornets into Boeing EA-18G Growlers<br />

COMBAT AIRCRAFT<br />

Minding<br />

the gap<br />

Australia is leaning towards a<br />

combination of Super Hornets<br />

and F-35s for its long-term fighter<br />

fleet, as delays bedevil the latter<br />

GREG WALDRON SINGAPORE<br />

ne day before the opening of the Avalon<br />

Oair show in 2011, US Navy Vice Adm<br />

Dave Venlet, then-newly appointed executive<br />

officer of the Lockheed Martin F-35 programme,<br />

gave his first press conference after<br />

assuming the role. The notoriously tough<br />

Australian defence journalist corps hammered<br />

him with questions about development<br />

delays and aircraft software releases.<br />

Venlet ended the conference forecasting<br />

that the F-35 would gain another customer by<br />

the end of 2011. This prediction ultimately<br />

came true with Tokyo’s December 2011 decision<br />

to buy 42 F-35As, choosing the stealthy<br />

type over the Boeing F-18E/F Super Hornet<br />

34 | Flight International | 19-25 February 2013<br />

and Eurofighter Typhoon. Venlet has since<br />

been replaced by US Air Force Lt Gen Christopher<br />

Bogdan. Nonetheless, questions about<br />

the F-35 will again be paramount at this year’s<br />

Avalon. Although the F-35 made good<br />

progress during flight testing in 2012, concerns<br />

about costs and other issues persist.<br />

Little more than one year after the last iteration<br />

of Avalon, in May 2012, Canberra dealt a<br />

blow to the F-35 programme when it decided<br />

to reduce costs by ordering just two F-35As<br />

and delaying the acquisition of an additional<br />

12 F-35As until 2014-2015. Australian media<br />

reports at the time suggested that Canberra<br />

hoped for savings of A$1.6 billion ($1.67 billion)<br />

from the postponement.<br />

“When we embarked upon the project, we<br />

did a couple of very sensible things: firstly, we<br />

chose the conventional Joint Strike Fighter,<br />

and secondly, we put a fair amount of padding<br />

in our cost and in our timetable,” said<br />

minister for defence Stephen Smith at the<br />

time of the announcement. “On the timetable,<br />

we have been making sure that we don’t end<br />

up with a capability gap. We’ll make that decision<br />

formally by the end of this year in terms<br />

of the capability gap, but my current advice is<br />

that the life of our 71 F-18 Classic Hornets and<br />

our 24 Super Hornets is sufficient for our air<br />

combat capability, but we’ll make an advised<br />

judgement before the end of this year.”<br />

The May 2012 announcement marked an<br />

abrupt reversal from Canberra’s stated intentions<br />

in 2009, when it approved the acquisition<br />

of the original 14 F-35As for A$3.2 billion<br />

(AIR 6000 Phase 2A). The original plans also<br />

called for Canberra to place a massive order<br />

for 58 aircraft (AIR 6000 Phase 2B) in 2012,<br />

followed by a decision on an additional 28<br />

aircraft in 2015. Had this course been followed,<br />

Canberra would have committed to<br />

100 F-35As by 2015.<br />

ECONOMIES OF SCALE<br />

The three planned orders would have set the<br />

stage for the Royal Australian Air Force to operate<br />

a single fighter type and thus enjoy significant<br />

economies of scale in acquisition and<br />

long-term sustainment. While inducting this<br />

massive fleet of F-35s, Canberra would retire<br />

its ageing F/A-18A/B Hornets in 2020, followed<br />

by its Super Hornets in 2025.<br />

The May 2012 announcement also said<br />

Canberra would “launch a transition plan to<br />

assess options to ensure that a gap does not<br />

emerge in the RAAF’s air combat capability”.<br />

This foreshadowed a December 2012 letter of<br />

request (LOR) to Boeing asking for more<br />

flightglobal.com

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