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Canberra intends to convert 12 Super Hornets into Boeing EA-18G Growlers<br />
COMBAT AIRCRAFT<br />
Minding<br />
the gap<br />
Australia is leaning towards a<br />
combination of Super Hornets<br />
and F-35s for its long-term fighter<br />
fleet, as delays bedevil the latter<br />
GREG WALDRON SINGAPORE<br />
ne day before the opening of the Avalon<br />
Oair show in 2011, US Navy Vice Adm<br />
Dave Venlet, then-newly appointed executive<br />
officer of the Lockheed Martin F-35 programme,<br />
gave his first press conference after<br />
assuming the role. The notoriously tough<br />
Australian defence journalist corps hammered<br />
him with questions about development<br />
delays and aircraft software releases.<br />
Venlet ended the conference forecasting<br />
that the F-35 would gain another customer by<br />
the end of 2011. This prediction ultimately<br />
came true with Tokyo’s December 2011 decision<br />
to buy 42 F-35As, choosing the stealthy<br />
type over the Boeing F-18E/F Super Hornet<br />
34 | Flight International | 19-25 February 2013<br />
and Eurofighter Typhoon. Venlet has since<br />
been replaced by US Air Force Lt Gen Christopher<br />
Bogdan. Nonetheless, questions about<br />
the F-35 will again be paramount at this year’s<br />
Avalon. Although the F-35 made good<br />
progress during flight testing in 2012, concerns<br />
about costs and other issues persist.<br />
Little more than one year after the last iteration<br />
of Avalon, in May 2012, Canberra dealt a<br />
blow to the F-35 programme when it decided<br />
to reduce costs by ordering just two F-35As<br />
and delaying the acquisition of an additional<br />
12 F-35As until 2014-2015. Australian media<br />
reports at the time suggested that Canberra<br />
hoped for savings of A$1.6 billion ($1.67 billion)<br />
from the postponement.<br />
“When we embarked upon the project, we<br />
did a couple of very sensible things: firstly, we<br />
chose the conventional Joint Strike Fighter,<br />
and secondly, we put a fair amount of padding<br />
in our cost and in our timetable,” said<br />
minister for defence Stephen Smith at the<br />
time of the announcement. “On the timetable,<br />
we have been making sure that we don’t end<br />
up with a capability gap. We’ll make that decision<br />
formally by the end of this year in terms<br />
of the capability gap, but my current advice is<br />
that the life of our 71 F-18 Classic Hornets and<br />
our 24 Super Hornets is sufficient for our air<br />
combat capability, but we’ll make an advised<br />
judgement before the end of this year.”<br />
The May 2012 announcement marked an<br />
abrupt reversal from Canberra’s stated intentions<br />
in 2009, when it approved the acquisition<br />
of the original 14 F-35As for A$3.2 billion<br />
(AIR 6000 Phase 2A). The original plans also<br />
called for Canberra to place a massive order<br />
for 58 aircraft (AIR 6000 Phase 2B) in 2012,<br />
followed by a decision on an additional 28<br />
aircraft in 2015. Had this course been followed,<br />
Canberra would have committed to<br />
100 F-35As by 2015.<br />
ECONOMIES OF SCALE<br />
The three planned orders would have set the<br />
stage for the Royal Australian Air Force to operate<br />
a single fighter type and thus enjoy significant<br />
economies of scale in acquisition and<br />
long-term sustainment. While inducting this<br />
massive fleet of F-35s, Canberra would retire<br />
its ageing F/A-18A/B Hornets in 2020, followed<br />
by its Super Hornets in 2025.<br />
The May 2012 announcement also said<br />
Canberra would “launch a transition plan to<br />
assess options to ensure that a gap does not<br />
emerge in the RAAF’s air combat capability”.<br />
This foreshadowed a December 2012 letter of<br />
request (LOR) to Boeing asking for more<br />
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