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<strong>CBRE</strong> <strong>CAP</strong> <strong>RATE</strong> <strong>SURVEY</strong><br />

A <strong>CBRE</strong> Publication<br />

February 2013<br />

In This Issue:<br />

Overview pg 2<br />

Office pg 5<br />

Multihousing pg 12<br />

Retail pg 19<br />

Industrial pg 27<br />

Hotels pg 31<br />

Appendix pg 34<br />

Click to Enter


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

United States | Overview<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

2012 was a stand-out year for U.S. commercial real estate investment. Investors expanded their activity in the sector due to the stable yields<br />

offered amid an environment where low and unstable returns in other asset classes prevailed. Figures from Real Capital Analytics (RCA) show<br />

that transaction activity in 2012 returned to the average pace set in 2004 and 2005. The combination of individual property sales, portfolio plays<br />

and entity-level transactions in the main commercial property sectors hit $261.7 billion for the year. This level represents a 35% increase from<br />

year-end 2011.<br />

Among the major property sectors, multihousing is the clear leader in terms of increases in sales volume over the last year. Transaction activity<br />

totaled $84.6 billion, up 47% from year-end 2011. The same-store price index from RCA, the Commercial Property Price Index (CPPI), shows a<br />

9.6% gain in asset values over the year. The retail and office sectors came in at a distant second to the multihousing sector in terms of increases in<br />

transaction volume in 2012, with growth of 19.7% and 19.4%, respectively. In reality, these are both significant growth trends, and only look small<br />

by comparison to the tremendous growth in the multihousing sector. With a 6.1% increase according to the CPPI, the office sector’s growth in sales<br />

prices achieved outpaced that of the retail sector, which recorded only a 1.2% increase.<br />

The industrial sector came in at the bottom on total sales volume with only 4.2% growth seen over year-end 2011. The headline figures, though,<br />

are distorted by a major entity-level transaction in 2011 with the AMB/Prologis merger. For sales of individual assets, growth reached 29.3%, to<br />

reach $25.7 billion in transactions for the year. Portfolio deals grew even faster, at a pace of 34.9%, totaling $10.3 billion in transaction value.<br />

Clearly, there was investor interest in the industrial sector as well.<br />

Looking at some of the major property subtypes, there are signs of a tentative move towards taking on risk. CBD office assets are perceived to<br />

be less risky by investors, given the notion that there is more durable exit pricing and exit liquidity. This has significantly increased the appetite of<br />

investors for these types of assets in the past couple of years, with deals in CBD submarkets accounting for nearly 54% of all office transactions in<br />

2010 and 2011. This figure may not sound large, but the data from our local research teams suggest that CBD submarkets represent only about<br />

36% of all competitive office inventory in the U.S.<br />

Another example of a move to get exposure to risk assets can be seen among some cap rate spreads for different subtypes in the retail sector of<br />

commercial properties. Our year-end Cap Rate Survey shows that for Class A stabilized neighborhood centers, the weighted average cap rate<br />

was 6.4% across the 40 major markets surveyed. For Class A stabilized power centers, this figure stood at 6.9%, a roughly 60 basis point (bps)<br />

2


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

United States | Overview (continued)<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

pricing premium for this subtype, which is often viewed as riskier. By comparison, as recorded in our year-end 2010 survey, the cap rate for Class<br />

A stabilized neighborhood centers stood at 6.9%. So investors are using the same cap rates today for these “riskier” assets as they did in 2010 for<br />

the asset class viewed as less risky.<br />

By this point in the cycle, many investors will need to look to somewhat riskier assets in search of greater returns. The NCREIF ODCE Index shows<br />

that returns came in at 10.9% for year-end 2012. By contrast, in 2011 and 2010, average annual returns were a much stronger 16.2%. The<br />

downshift in returns is a result of a slowdown in cap rate compression. The data from NCREIF show that roughly 50% of the value gains at the<br />

property level in 2010 and 2011 came from the cap rate compression that accompanied the new flow of capital to the sector from yield-hungry<br />

investors. Only one-quarter of the value gains in the last year came from cap rate compression. To achieve stronger returns, investors will need to<br />

focus on asset types and markets with stronger income growth. This shift, however, often involves taking on more risks.<br />

At year-end 2012, the office vacancy rate was 15.4% nationally, versus 16.0% for year-end 2011. This 60-bps decline in the national vacancy<br />

rate came about from declining vacancy in both CBD and suburban submarkets; however, the composition of this decline was more heavily<br />

weighted towards suburban submarkets. The vacancy rate for CBD submarkets fell 40 bps from a year earlier to hit 12.4%. The vacancy rate for<br />

suburban submarkets fell more quickly, however, dropping some 60 bps from a year earlier to hit 17.1%. Overall, there is still more slack capacity<br />

in the suburban submarkets, for while the current 17.1% is far better than the 18.7% level seen in 2010, it is still higher than the average of 16.1%<br />

recorded since 1988. CBD vacancy rates, by contrast, are now below the long-term average of 12.8%. The increasing pace of suburban vacancy<br />

declines and the slack capacity that still exists represent an opportunity for an investor looking to generate additional income by taking on the<br />

leasing risks of office assets in suburban submarkets.<br />

Industrial availability registered at 12.8% for year-end 2012. This level is well above the long-term average for availability, which is 10%. Despite<br />

the fact that these figures suggest a fair amount of slack capacity in the industrial markets, average asking rents are actually increasing, having<br />

posted a 3.3% rise over a year earlier. One of the issues at play is the fact that there is a fair amount of functionally obsolete space built into<br />

the overall availability figure. Some types of markets are outperforming on the income side. Key distribution hubs like the Inland Empire, Dallas,<br />

Atlanta and Chicago experienced year-over-year rent growth ranging from 3% to 1%. Meanwhile, metro areas where the industrial market is<br />

focused on the high-tech sector such as San Francisco and San Jose have seen rent growth in excess of 7%. Despite stronger rent growth in these<br />

3


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

United States | Overview (continued)<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

technology-focused markets, our survey of cap rates shows that stabilized Class A assets in these markets are in the 5.5% range. By contrast, the<br />

distribution hubs noted have cap rates in the 5.25% range.<br />

The retail sector has lagged other property types throughout the recovery period. The leasing side has been weak relative to other sectors, with<br />

year-end availability rates for neighborhood and community centers down a mere 40 bps from the high-water mark set in the middle of 2011.<br />

Still, even though demand is weak, the growth in supply has been weaker with only about a one quarter of one percent of existing stock having<br />

been built in 2012. When looking at the income potential of the sector, the results of our Cap Rate Survey suggest two patterns in investor behavior.<br />

Broadly speaking, the markets with the most inventory have the lowest cap rates. Chicago, Atlanta and Houston have cap rates ranging from 6%<br />

to 6.25% for stabilized Class A neighborhood centers. Investors always place value on the exit liquidity implied by larger markets. Some markets<br />

stand out from this pattern, however, with Gateway markets posting lower cap rates even if they are smaller than other major markets. Boston and<br />

Seattle have stabilized Class A cap rates of 5.9% and 5.6%, respectively, with San Francisco posting a 4.9% cap rate.<br />

Multihousing continues to enjoy the healthiest fundamentals of the main property sectors. Vacancy stood at 5.3% at year-end, down from 5.6%<br />

at the end of 2011. The long-term average vacancy rate for the sector is anywhere between 5% and 6%, and as demand continues to grow, rents<br />

continue to climb as well. Effective market rents are up 4.2% from year-end 2011. Still, rents were up nearly 5% in 2011. Renters can absorb<br />

only so much of a rent increase, and demand for apartment units actually cooled in 2012. Net absorption came in at some 38,000 units in 2012,<br />

versus roughly 41,000 in 2011. Still, despite this slight slowdown in demand, cap rates for the multihousing sector are the lowest across the major<br />

property sectors. For Class A stabilized assets in urban locations, cap rates came in at 3.8% at yearend in San Francisco and at 3.9% in Los<br />

Angeles. Suburban assets in markets like San Jose and Orange County have stabilized Class A cap rates at 4% as well.<br />

In the hotel sector the revenue per available room (RevPAR) continued to grow in 2012. In the full-service segment, RevPAR was up 7.5% from<br />

a year earlier, while the limited-service sector is up 8.4% from 2011. This pace of RevPAR growth has been fairly constant since the economic<br />

recovery started in 2010. With a one-night lease term, the hotel sector was the first to show an improvement. Our Cap Rate Survey shows that<br />

investors are placing the most value on the RevPAR trends from the luxury segments, with an average 7% cap rate across markets. The economy<br />

segments have an average cap rate of 9.6%, though the range is fairly wide, with markets falling anywhere from 8% to 11.5% on the spectrum.<br />

4


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Office | Overview<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

Investment volume in the office sector in 2012 was up 19.4% compared to 2011. The total volume came in at $77.6 billion, according to figures<br />

from RCA. To put this figure into perspective, office transaction volume averaged about $76 billion per year from 2003 to 2005. Volume is still<br />

down from the average pace of $176 billion per year recorded in 2006 and 2007, but those figures represented an artificial high. Suburban<br />

submarkets accounted for more than 71% of 2012’s volume. This shift is significant, as this segment has seen sales grow at a slower pace in the<br />

recent past.<br />

While total volume is up and starting to lift suburban office markets, the <strong>CBRE</strong> Cap Rate Survey provides insight into market expectations on how<br />

these trends will evolve in 2013. <strong>CBRE</strong> Capital Markets and Valuation professionals expect that across the 38 suburban markets surveyed, cap<br />

rates for Stabilized Class A assets will continue to compress in 2013 in 12 of these markets. By contrast, in the CBD submarkets, it is expected that<br />

only 12 out of 38 will continue to see cap rate compression. With current cap rates at 8.75% for this high-quality product-type in Memphis, our<br />

professionals expect cap rates to increase in the CBD there in the year ahead.<br />

Select from the list below to access the current CBD office cap rates and forecast.<br />

Download a Complete Office CBD Current Cap Rates Chart (PDF)<br />

Download a Complete Office CBD Cap Rate Forecast Chart (PDF)<br />

Select from the list below to access the current suburban office cap rates and forecast.<br />

Download a Complete Office Suburban Current Cap Rates Chart (PDF)<br />

Download a Complete Office Suburban Cap Rate Forecast Chart (PDF)<br />

5


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Office CBD | Eastern Region<br />

Atlanta 6.50% - 7.00%<br />

Baltimore 7.50% - 8.00%<br />

* Compared to 1st half 2012<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

* Cap Rate Forecast represents the <strong>CBRE</strong> professional’s opinion of where cap rates are likely to trend in 1st half of 2013 in their local market.<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

Decrease<br />

Remain Flat<br />

Increase<br />

><br />

Stabilized Trend* Value-Add Trend* Stabilized Trend* Value-Add Trend* Stabilized Trend* Value-Add Trend*<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

8.00% - 8.50% ↓ 7.50% - 8.00%<br />

9.00% I 8.75% - 9.25%<br />

Boston 4.75% - 5.25% ↓ 5.50% - 6.00% ↓ 5.50% - 6.00%<br />

Charlotte 6.50% - 7.00%<br />

↓<br />

7.50% - 8.50% I 7.25% - 7.75%<br />

Jacksonville 7.50% - 8.50% I 9.00% - 10.00% I 9.50% - 10.50% ↓ 10.00% - 10.50%<br />

Manhattan 4.00% - 5.00%<br />

↓<br />

5.00% - 6.00% I 5.00% - 6.00%<br />

Memphis 8.50% - 9.00% I 9.00% - 10.00% I 9.00% - 10.00%<br />

Miami 5.50% - 6.25%<br />

Nashville 6.60% - 7.00%<br />

Orlando 5.00% - 7.00%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

6.50% - 7.50%<br />

7.50% - 8.00%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

6.00% - 6.75%<br />

8.00% - 8.50%<br />

6.00% - 8.00% I 7.00% - 8.50%<br />

Philadelphia 7.00% - 7.75% I 7.50% - 8.25% I 8.50% - 9.00%<br />

Pittsburgh 7.00% - 7.50%<br />

Raleigh 6.50% - 7.50%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

8.00% - 8.50%<br />

Tampa 6.50% - 7.50% I 7.50% - 8.50%<br />

I<br />

8.50% - 9.00%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

9.00% - 9.50% ↓ 8.50% - 10.00%<br />

↓<br />

10.00% - 12.00%<br />

10.00% I 11.00% - 12.00% ↓ 12.00% ↓<br />

6.50% - 7.00%<br />

6.50% - 7.00%<br />

8.00% - 8.50%<br />

↓<br />

8.50% - 10.00% ↓ 9.00% - 10.00% I 10.00% - 12.00%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

10.50% + I 10.50% +<br />

6.00% - 6.50% I N/A N/A N/A N/A<br />

10.00% - 11.00% ↓ 11.00% - 12.00% ↓ 11.00% - 12.00%<br />

6.75% - 7.75%<br />

8.50% - 9.00%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

6.75% - 7.50%<br />

8.75% - 9.50%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

7.50% - 8.50%<br />

9.50% - 9.75%<br />

8.00% - 9.00% ↓ 8.50% - 9.50% ↓ 9.50% - 10.00% ↓<br />

9.00% - 9.50% I 9.00% - 9.50%<br />

9.50% - 10.00%<br />

9.50% - 10.50% I 10.50% - 11.00%<br />

8.00% - 8.50% I 8.50% - 9.00% ↓ 9.00% - 9.50% I 9.00% - 10.00%<br />

↓<br />

8.00% - 9.25%<br />

↓<br />

8.75% - 9.75%<br />

↓<br />

9.25% - 10.25%<br />

Washington, DC 4.75% - 5.75% ↓ 5.50% - 6.50% ↓ 6.00% - 7.50% ↓ 6.50% - 7.50% I 7.00% - 8.00%<br />

Atlanta<br />

Baltimore<br />

Boston<br />

Charlotte<br />

<strong>CAP</strong> <strong>RATE</strong> FORECAST*<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add<br />

Jacksonville<br />

Manhattan N/A N/A<br />

Memphis<br />

Miami<br />

Nashville<br />

Orlando<br />

Pittsburgh<br />

Philadelphia<br />

Raleigh<br />

Tampa<br />

Washington, DC<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

11.00% - 12.00%<br />

9.50% - 10.50%<br />

9.75% - 10.75%<br />

8.00% - 9.50%<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

6


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Office CBD | Central Region<br />

Austin 5.75% - 6.00%<br />

Chicago 5.50% - 6.50%<br />

* Compared to 1st half 2012<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

* Cap Rate Forecast represents the <strong>CBRE</strong> professional’s opinion of where cap rates are likely to trend in 1st half of 2013 in their local market.<br />

Decrease<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

Remain Flat<br />

Increase<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

Stabilized Trend* Value-Add Trend* Stabilized Trend* Value-Add Trend* Stabilized Trend* Value-Add Trend*<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

6.50% - 6.75%<br />

↓<br />

7.00% - 8.00% ↓ 7.00% - 7.50%<br />

7.25% - 7.50% I 7.75% - 8.00%<br />

I<br />

I<br />

8.00% - 9.00% ↓ 8.00% - 9.00%<br />

Cincinnati 8.50% - 9.00% ↓ 9.00% - 9.50% ↓ 10.00% - 10.50% ↓ 10.50% - 11.00% ↓ 11.00% - 11.50%<br />

Columbus 7.00% - 8.0 0%<br />

Dallas 6.50% - 7.50%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

8.50% - 9.50% ↓ 8.50% - 10.00%<br />

8.00% - 8.50%<br />

Detroit 9.00% - 10.00% I 10.00% - 12.00%<br />

Houston 5.50% - 6.00%<br />

Indianapolis 7.75% - 8.75%<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

7.00% - 8.00%<br />

8.25% - 10.25%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

8.00% - 9.00%<br />

10.00% - 12.00%<br />

7.00% - 8.00%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

9.00% - 9.25% I 9.25% - 10.00%<br />

I<br />

I<br />

9.00% - 11.00%<br />

11.50% - 12.50%<br />

9.50% - 10.50% ↓ 10.50% - 12.50% ↓ 11.00% - 13.00% ↓<br />

9.00% - 10.00%<br />

9.50% - 12.00%<br />

9.50% - 12.00%<br />

10.00% - 14.00%<br />

9.00% - 10.00%<br />

9.00% - 10.00% ↓ 9.50% - 10.50%<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

12.00% - 14.00% ↓ 14.00% - 16.00% ↓<br />

8.00% - 9.00%<br />

12.00% - 14.00% ↓<br />

9.25% - 10.25%<br />

9.75% - 10.75%<br />

Kansas City 8.25% - 8.75%<br />

9.50% - 10.00% ↓ 9.50% - 10.50%<br />

11.00% - 12.00% ↓ 11.00% - 12.00%<br />

12.00% + ↓<br />

Minneapolis 6.50% - 7.50%<br />

7.50% - 8.50%<br />

9.50%<br />

9.75% - 10.75%<br />

10.00% - 11.50%<br />

12.00% - 13.00% ↓<br />

San Antonio 7.00% - 7.75% ↓ 8.00% - 8.75% ↓ 8.00% - 9.00%<br />

8.50% - 9.50%<br />

10.00% - 11.00%<br />

10.50% - 11.00%<br />

St. Louis 10.50% - 11.00% ↓ 12.00% - 12.50% ↓ 12.00% - 12.50% ↓ 14.00% - 14.50% ↓ 13.00% - 14.00% I 15.00% - 16.00% I<br />

Austin<br />

Chicago<br />

Cincinnati<br />

Columbus<br />

Dallas<br />

Detroit<br />

Houston<br />

Indianapolis<br />

Kansas City<br />

Minneapolis<br />

San Antonio<br />

St. Louis<br />

<strong>CAP</strong> <strong>RATE</strong> FORECAST*<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

7


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Office CBD | Western Region<br />

Albuquerque 7.50% - 8.50%<br />

Denver 5.50% - 6.00%<br />

Las Vegas 7.00% - 8.00%<br />

Los Angeles 5.00% - 5.50%<br />

Orange County 5.75% - 6.25%<br />

Phoenix 6.50% - 7.00%<br />

Portland 6.25% - 7.25%<br />

Sacramento 7.50% - 8.50%<br />

Salt Lake City 7.00% - 8.00%<br />

San Diego 6.25% - 6.75%<br />

San Francisco 3.00% - 4.50%<br />

* Compared to 1st half 2012<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

* Cap Rate Forecast represents the <strong>CBRE</strong> professional’s opinion of where cap rates are likely to trend in 1st half of 2013 in their local market.<br />

Decrease<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

Remain Flat<br />

Increase<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

Stabilized Trend* Value-Add Trend* Stabilized Trend* Value-Add Trend* Stabilized Trend* Value-Add Trend*<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

9.00% - 10.00% ↓ 8.50% - 9.25%<br />

7.00% - 7.25% ↓ 6.50% - 7.00%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

9.75% - 10.50% ↓ 9.50% - 11.00% ↓ 12.00% - 13.50% ↓<br />

7.75% - 8.00%<br />

8.00% - 8.50%<br />

8.50% - 9.00%<br />

7.00% - 9.50% N/A 8.00% - 9.00% N/A 8.75% - 10.50% N/A 9.00% - 10.00% N/A 9.00% - 11.00% N/A<br />

6.00% - 6.50%<br />

6.75% - 7.50%<br />

7.25% - 7.75%<br />

6.75% - 7.75%<br />

7.75% - 9.00%<br />

7.50% - 8.50%<br />

6.75% - 7.25%<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

6.50% - 7.25%<br />

7.00% - 8.00%<br />

7.50% - 8.00%<br />

7.00% - 8.00%<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

6.50% - 8.00%<br />

8.25% - 9.00%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

7.50% - 8.50%<br />

9.00% - 9.75%<br />

8.50% - 10.00% ↓ 8.50% - 9.00%<br />

7.50% - 8.50%<br />

8.50% - 9.50% ↓ 8.75% - 10.00%<br />

7.00% - 8.50%<br />

7.00% - 7.50%<br />

5.50% - 6.00% ↓ 4.00% - 6.00%<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

7.50% - 9.50%<br />

7.50% - 8.00%<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

8.00% - 9.00%<br />

9.00% +<br />

8.00% - 10.00%<br />

8.00% - 8.50%<br />

6.00% - 7.00% ↓ 6.75% - 7.25%<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

8.00% - 10.00%<br />

9.25% - 10.50%<br />

10.00% - 12.00%<br />

8.50% - 10.00%<br />

9.50% +<br />

8.50% - 10.50%<br />

9.00% - 9.50%<br />

7.25% - 8.00%<br />

San Jose 6.50% - 7.50% ↓ 7.00% - 8.00% ↓ 7.00% - 8.00% ↓ 7.50% - 8.50% ↓ 8.00% - 9.00% ↓ 8.50% - 9.50% ↓<br />

Seattle 5.00% - 5.75%<br />

6.00% - 7.00%<br />

5.50% - 6.50%<br />

7.00% - 8.00%<br />

7.50% - 8.50% ↓ 9.00% - 10.00%<br />

Albuquerque<br />

Denver<br />

Las Vegas<br />

Los Angeles<br />

Orange County<br />

Phoenix<br />

Portland<br />

Sacramento<br />

Salt Lake City<br />

San Diego<br />

San Francisco<br />

San Jose<br />

Seattle<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

<strong>CAP</strong> <strong>RATE</strong> FORECAST*<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

8


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Office Suburban | Eastern Region<br />

Atlanta 6.50% - 7.50%<br />

Baltimore 7.00% - 7.25%<br />

Boston 5.75% - 6.25%<br />

Charlotte 7.00% - 7.50%<br />

Jacksonville 7.25% - 8.00%<br />

Memphis 7.75% - 8.25%<br />

Miami 6.00% - 7.00%<br />

Nashville 6.75% - 7.50%<br />

* Compared to 1st half 2012<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

* Cap Rate Forecast represents the <strong>CBRE</strong> professional’s opinion of where cap rates are likely to trend in 1st half of 2013 in their local market.<br />

Decrease<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

Remain Flat<br />

Increase<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

Stabilized Trend* Value-Add Trend* Stabilized Trend* Value-Add Trend* Stabilized Trend* Value-Add Trend*<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

7.50% - 8.25%<br />

I<br />

7.50% - 8.75%<br />

I<br />

8.50% - 9.00%<br />

I<br />

9.00% - 10.50%<br />

↓<br />

10.50% - 12.00%<br />

9.00% ↓ 8.50% - 9.25% ↓ 10.00% ↓ 10.00% ↓ 12.00% ↓<br />

6.75% - 7.25%<br />

6.50% - 7.00%<br />

8.00% - 8.50%<br />

7.50% - 8.00%<br />

10.00% - 11.00% ↓<br />

7.50% - 8.00%<br />

7.75% - 8.25%<br />

9.00% - 10.00% ↓ 9.50% - 10.50%<br />

10.50% - 12.50%<br />

8.50% - 9.00%<br />

8.50% - 9.00%<br />

7.00% - 8.00%<br />

7.50% - 7.75%<br />

Orlando 7.50% - 8.50% ↓ 8.00% - 8.50%<br />

Pittsburgh 7.50% - 7.75%<br />

Philadelphia 7.50% - 8.00%<br />

Raleigh 6.50% - 7.50%<br />

Tampa 7.00% - 8.00%<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

8.00% - 9.00%<br />

8.00% - 8.50%<br />

8.00% - 8.50%<br />

8.00% - 9.00%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

9.00% - 10.00%<br />

8.75% - 9.25%<br />

7.25% - 8.50%<br />

8.25% - 8.75%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

9.50% - 10.50%<br />

9.00% - 10.00%<br />

8.25% - 9.50%<br />

9.00% - 9.50%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

10.00% +<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

10.00% +<br />

9.00% - 10.00% I 11.00% - 12.00%<br />

8.00% - 9.00%<br />

9.50% - 10.50%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

9.00% - 11.00%<br />

10.00% - 10.75%<br />

8.50% - 9.50% ↓ 9.00% - 10.00% ↓ 10.00% - 11.00% ↓ 10.00% - 12.00% ↓<br />

8.50% - 9.00%<br />

9.50% - 10.00%<br />

9.00% - 9.50% I 10.00% - 10.50%<br />

8.50% - 9.00%<br />

I<br />

I<br />

9.00% - 10.00%<br />

8.50% - 9.00% ↓ 9.00% - 9.50%<br />

8.00% - 9.00%<br />

I<br />

8.75% - 9.50%<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

11.00% - 12.00% I 12.00% - 13.00% ↓<br />

9.00% - 10.00% I 9.50% - 10.50%<br />

9.25% - 10.25%<br />

I<br />

10.00% - 12.00%<br />

Washington, DC 5.75% - 7.00% ↓ 6.50% - 7.50% ↓ 6.50% - 8.00% ↓ 8.00% - 8.50% ↓ 8.50% - 10.00% ↓ 9.50% - 10.50%<br />

Atlanta<br />

Baltimore<br />

Boston<br />

Charlotte<br />

Jacksonville<br />

Memphis<br />

Miami<br />

Nashville<br />

Orlando<br />

Philadelphia<br />

Pittsburgh<br />

Raleigh<br />

Tampa<br />

Washington, DC<br />

<strong>CAP</strong> <strong>RATE</strong> FORECAST*<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

9


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Office Suburban | Central Region<br />

Austin 6.50% - 6.75%<br />

Chicago 7.25% - 7.75%<br />

Austin<br />

Chicago<br />

Cincinnati<br />

Columbus<br />

Dallas<br />

Detroit<br />

Houston<br />

Indianapolis<br />

Kansas City<br />

Minneapolis<br />

San Antonio<br />

St. Louis<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

<strong>CAP</strong> <strong>RATE</strong> FORECAST*<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

Stabilized Trend* Value-Add Trend* Stabilized Trend* Value-Add Trend* Stabilized Trend* Value-Add Trend*<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

7.00% - 7.25%<br />

↓<br />

7.75% - 8.00%<br />

9.00% - 10.00% ↓ 8.00% - 9.50%<br />

Cincinnati 8.00% - 8.50% I 8.50% - 9.00% I 9.00% - 9.50%<br />

Columbus 7.50% - 8.00%<br />

Dallas 6.50% - 8.00% I 7.00% - 8.00%<br />

↓<br />

8.50% - 9.50% ↓ 8.50% - 10.00%<br />

↓<br />

7.50% - 9.00%<br />

Detroit 8.75% - 10.00% I 10.00% - 12.00% I 9.50% - 12.00%<br />

Houston 6.00% - 6.50%<br />

Indianapolis 8.00% - 9.00%<br />

Kansas City 7.25% - 7.75%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

7.50% - 8.00% I 7.50% - 8.50%<br />

8.50% - 9.50%<br />

↓<br />

8.50% - 9.50%<br />

9.00% - 10.00% I 8.50% - 9.50%<br />

Minneapolis 6.50% - 8.25% I 8.00% - 9.00% I 8.75% - 9.75%<br />

San Antonio 6.75% - 7.50%<br />

St. Louis 8.25% - 8.75% ↓ 8.50% - 9.50%<br />

* Compared to 1st half 2012<br />

↓<br />

7.75% - 8.50% I 8.00% - 9.00%<br />

↓<br />

9.25% - 9.75%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

8.25% - 8.50%<br />

I<br />

9.25% - 9.50%<br />

↓<br />

9.75% - 10.00%<br />

10.00% - 11.00% ↓ 11.25% - 13.25% ↓ 14.00% - 15.00% ↓<br />

9.50% - 10.50%<br />

10.50% - 11.50%<br />

11.00% - 12.50% I<br />

I<br />

9.50% - 10.50% ↓ 10.50% - 12.50%<br />

11.00% - 13.00% ↓<br />

8.00% - 9.00%<br />

8.75% - 10.00%<br />

10.00% - 12.00% ↓<br />

10.00% - 14.00%<br />

10.00% - 14.00% ↓ 12.00% - 15.00% I<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

9.00% - 10.00% ↓ 8.50% - 10.00%<br />

9.00% - 10.00%<br />

* Cap Rate Forecast represents the <strong>CBRE</strong> professional’s opinion of where cap rates are likely to trend in 1st half of 2013 in their local market.<br />

↓<br />

9.00% - 10.00%<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

12.00% - 14.00% ↓<br />

9.50% - 10.50%<br />

10.00% - 11.00% ↓ 10.00% - 11.00% I 12.00% + ↓<br />

9.75% - 10.75%<br />

10.00% - 12.00% ↓ 12.00% - 13.00% ↓<br />

8.50% - 9.50%<br />

10.00% - 11.00%<br />

10.50% - 11.50%<br />

9.75% - 10.50%<br />

10.00% - 12.00%<br />

12.00% - 15.00% I<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

Decrease<br />

Remain Flat<br />

Increase<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

10


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Office Suburban | Western Region<br />

* Compared to 1st half 2012<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

* Cap Rate Forecast represents the <strong>CBRE</strong> professional’s opinion of where cap rates are likely to trend in 1st half of 2013 in their local market.<br />

Decrease<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

Remain Flat<br />

Increase<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

Stabilized Trend* Value-Add Trend* Stabilized Trend* Value-Add Trend* Stabilized Trend* Value-Add Trend*<br />

Albuquerque 8.00% - 8.50% I 9.00% - 10.00% ↓ 8.50% - 9.25% I 10.50% - 11.50% ↓ 9.50% - 11.00% ↓ 12.00% - 14.00% ↓<br />

Denver 6.50% - 7.00%<br />

7.50% - 8.00% I 7.50% - 8.00%<br />

8.00% - 8.50%<br />

9.50% - 10.00% ↓ 10.00% - 11.00%<br />

Las Vegas 7.00% - 8.00%<br />

Los Angeles 5.00% - 5.50%<br />

Orange County 5.75% - 6.25%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

7.00% - 9.50% I 8.00% - 9.00% I 8.75% - 10.50%<br />

6.00% - 6.50%<br />

6.75% - 7.50%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

6.50% - 7.25%<br />

7.00% - 8.00%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

6.50% - 8.00%<br />

8.25% - 9.00%<br />

Phoenix 6.50% - 7.25% I 7.50% - 8.25% I 7.50% - 8.25% I 8.50% - 9.25%<br />

Portland 7.25% - 8.25%<br />

Sacramento 7.50% - 8.50%<br />

Salt Lake City 7.00% - 8.00%<br />

San Diego 5.75% - 6.25%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

7.75% - 8.75% I 8.00% - 9.00% I 8.50% - 9.50%<br />

7.75% - 9.00%<br />

7.50% - 8.50%<br />

6.25% - 6.75%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

8.50% - 9.50%<br />

7.00% - 8.50%<br />

7.00% - 7.50%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

8.75% - 10.00%<br />

7.50% - 9.50%<br />

7.50% - 8.00%<br />

San Francisco 6.00% - 7.00% ↓ 6.50% - 7.50% ↓ 6.75% - 7.50% ↓ 7.00% - 7.50%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

9.00% - 10.00% ↓ 9.00% - 11.00%<br />

7.50% - 8.50%<br />

9.00% - 9.75%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

8.00% - 10.00%<br />

9.25% - 10.50%<br />

10.00% - 11.00% ↓ 11.00% - 13.00% ↓<br />

8.75% - 9.75% I 9.50% - 10.75%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

9.50% - 11.00% ↓ 12.00% - 14.00% ↓<br />

8.00% - 10.00% I 9.00% - 11.00%<br />

I<br />

8.00% - 8.50% ↓ 8.50% - 9.00% ↓<br />

7.00% - 8.00% ↓ 7.50% - 8.25%<br />

San Jose 7.00% - 8.00% ↓ 7.50% - 8.50% ↓ 7.50% - 8.00% ↓ 8.00% - 8.50% ↓ 8.00% - 9.00% I 8.25% - 9.50%<br />

Seattle 6.00% - 6.50% ↓ 6.00% - 8.00%<br />

Albuquerque<br />

Denver<br />

Las Vegas<br />

Los Angeles<br />

Orange County<br />

Phoenix<br />

Portland<br />

Sacramento<br />

Salt Lake City<br />

San Diego<br />

San Francisco<br />

San Jose<br />

Seattle<br />

I<br />

<strong>CAP</strong> <strong>RATE</strong> FORECAST*<br />

6.50% - 7.50% I 7.00% - 8.00%<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add<br />

I<br />

7.50% - 9.00% I 9.00% - 10.00%<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

11


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Multihousing | Overview<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

Among all sectors of commercial real estate investment, multihousing saw the earliest turnaround of investor interest, as the positive trends in<br />

income fundamentals seen over the last two years had been widely expected. The stabilizing influence of the debt provided by the governmentsponsored<br />

enterprises (Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae) was an enormous help for market liquidity as well. Total multihousing transaction volume<br />

in 2012 came in at $84.6 billion, according to RCA. This figure is still off from the high-water mark of $105.6 billion set in 2007, but when<br />

one thinks about the recent pace of growth, it is not quite so far off from the peak. The dollar value increase in volume from 2011 to 2012 was<br />

$27 billion. 2013 would only need to see an increase of $21 billion in volume to hit the 2007 record.<br />

<strong>CBRE</strong> Capital Markets and Valuation professionals expect that, for the 42 markets surveyed, cap rates for Class A stabilized assets for only<br />

eight will continue to compress in 2013. With the exception of Washington, DC, the markets where further compression is expected are<br />

secondary and tertiary markets. That said, <strong>CBRE</strong> does not expect further compression in all secondary and tertiary markets. With Class A<br />

stabilized assets in suburban submarkets, the expectations for further compression are even smaller. Only 7 out of the 42 markets surveyed are<br />

expected to experience further compression in cap rates for these types of assets.<br />

Select from the list below to access the current multihousing infill/urban cap rates and forecast.<br />

Download a Complete Multihousing Infill/Urban Current Cap Rates Chart (PDF)<br />

Download a Complete Multihousing Infill/Urban Cap Rate Forecast Chart (PDF)<br />

Select from the list below to access the current multihousing suburban cap rates and forecast.<br />

Download a Complete Multihousing Suburban Current Cap Rates Chart (PDF)<br />

Download a Complete Multihousing Suburban Cap Rate Forecast Chart (PDF)<br />

12


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Multihousing Infill/Urban | Eastern Region<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add<br />

Atlanta 4.75% - 5.25% 5.25% - 5.75% 5.25% - 5.75% 6.00% - 6.50% 7.00% - 7.50% 8.00% - 8.50%<br />

Baltimore 4.25% - 4.75% 4.50% - 5.00% 5.50% - 6.00% 5.75% - 6.50% 6.50% - 7.00% 7.25% - 7.75%<br />

Boston 4.00% - 4.50% 4.00% - 4.75% 4.75% - 5.25% 4.75% - 5.25% N/A N/A<br />

Charlotte 4.50% - 5.00% 5.25% - 5.75% 5.50% - 6.00% 6.00% - 6.50% 7.00% - 7.50% 7.50% +<br />

Jacksonville 5.20% - 5.40% 5.75% - 6.25% 6.00% - 6.30% 6.75% - 7.00% 6.75% - 7.25% 9.00% - 9.50%<br />

Manhattan 3.50% - 4.50% 4.00% - 5.00% 4.00% - 5.00% 4.50% - 5.50% 5.25% - 6.25% 5.50% - 6.50%<br />

Memphis 5.75% - 6.25% 5.75% - 6.25% 6.50% - 7.50% 6.50% - 7.50% 8.00%+ 8.00%+<br />

Miami 4.00% - 4.50% 4.75% - 5.00% 5.00% - 5.25% 5.25% - 5.50% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.25% - 7.00%<br />

Nashville 5.00% - 5.50% 5.75% - 6.25% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.50% - 7.00% 6.75% - 7.25% 7.25% - 7.75%<br />

Orlando 4.75% - 5.25% 5.25% - 5.75% 5.75% - 6.25% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.50% - 7.00% 7.00% - 8.25%<br />

Philadelphia 5.00% - 5.50% 5.00% - 5.50% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.25% - 6.75% 7.00% - 7.50% 7.50% - 8.00%<br />

Pittsburgh 6.00% - 6.50% 6.50% - 7.00% 6.50% - 7.00% 7.00% - 7.50% 8.00% - 8.50% 8.50% - 9.00%<br />

Raleigh 4.50% - 5.75% 5.75% - 6.50% 5.50% - 6.50% 6.50% - 7.50% 7.50% - 9.50% 9.50% - 10.50%<br />

Tampa 5.00% - 5.50% N/A 5.75% - 6.25% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.25% - 6.75% 6.75% - 7.25%<br />

Washington, DC 4.00% - 4.40% 4.25% - 4.75% 5.25% - 5.75% 5.75% - 6.50% 6.50% - 7.00% 7.25% - 7.75%<br />

Atlanta<br />

<strong>CAP</strong>E <strong>RATE</strong> FORECAST*<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add<br />

Baltimore N/A<br />

Boston<br />

Charlotte<br />

Jacksonville<br />

Manhattan<br />

Memphis<br />

Miami<br />

Nashville<br />

Orlando<br />

Philadelphia<br />

Pittsburgh<br />

Raleigh<br />

Tampa<br />

Washington, DC N/A<br />

* Cap Rate Forecast represents the <strong>CBRE</strong> professional’s opinion of where cap rates are likely to trend in 1st half of 2013 in their local market.<br />

Decrease<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

Remain Flat<br />

Increase<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

13


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Multihousing Infill/Urban | Central Region<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add<br />

Austin 4.50% - 5.00% 4.50% - 5.00% 5.25% - 5.75% 5.25% - 5.75% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.00% - 6.50%<br />

Chicago 4.50% - 5.00% 4.75% - 5.25% 5.00% - 5.25% 5.25% - 5.75% 5.75% - 6.25% 6.25% - 7.00%<br />

Cincinnati 5.50% - 6.00% 6.25% - 6.75% 6.50% - 7.00% 7.25% - 7.75% 8.00% - 8.50% 9.00% - 9.50%<br />

Cleveland 7.50% - 8.00% N/A 8.00% - 8.50% 8.25% - 8.75% 8.50% - 9.00% 10.00% - 10.50%<br />

Columbus 6.00% - 6.50% 6.25% - 6.75% 7.00% - 7.50% 7.50% - 8.00% 8.25% - 8.75% 8.75% - 9.00%<br />

Dallas 4.25% - 5.25% 5.75% - 6.25% 6.25% - 6.75% 6.50% - 7.25% 7.25% - 7.75% 7.75% - 8.25%<br />

Detroit 6.75% - 7.50% 7.50% - 8.50% 7.50% - 8.25% 8.00% - 9.00% 8.75% - 9.50% 9.50% - 11.00%<br />

Houston 4.50% - 5.00% 5.50% - 6.00% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.25% - 6.75% 7.00% - 7.50% 7.75% - 8.25%<br />

Indianapolis 5.50% - 6.00% 5.75% - 6.25% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.50% - 7.00% 7.50% - 8.00% 8.00% - 8.50%<br />

Kansas City 5.25% - 5.75% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A<br />

Minneapolis 5.25% - 5.50% 5.50% - 5.75% 6.00% - 6.25% 6.50% - 6.75% 7.25% - 7.75% 8.00% - 8.50%<br />

Oklahoma City 6.00% - 6.50% N/A 6.50% - 7.00% 6.75% - 7.25% 9.00% - 9.50% 9.50% - 10.00%<br />

San Antonio 5.25% - 5.75% N/A 6.25% - 6.75% 6.50% - 7.00% 7.00% - 7.50% 7.50% - 8.00%<br />

St. Louis 5.50% - 6.00% 5.75% - 6.25% 6.10% - 6.75% 6.50% - 6.90% 8.00% - 9.50% 8.25% - 9.50%<br />

Austin<br />

Chicago<br />

Cincinnati<br />

Cleveland<br />

Columbus<br />

Dallas<br />

Detroit<br />

Houston<br />

Indianapolis<br />

Kansas City<br />

Oklahoma City<br />

Minneapolis<br />

<strong>CAP</strong> <strong>RATE</strong> FORECAST*<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add<br />

San Antonio N/A<br />

St. Louis<br />

* Cap Rate Forecast represents the <strong>CBRE</strong> professional’s opinion of where cap rates are likely to trend in 1st half of 2013 in their local market.<br />

Decrease<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

Remain Flat<br />

Increase<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

14


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Multihousing Infill/Urban | Western Region<br />

Albuquerque<br />

Denver<br />

Inland Empire<br />

Los Angeles<br />

Orange County<br />

Phoenix<br />

Portland<br />

Sacramento<br />

Salt Lake City<br />

San Diego<br />

San Francisco<br />

San Jose<br />

Seattle<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add<br />

Albuquerque 5.75% - 6.25% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.25% - 6.75% 6.50% - 7.00% 7.00% - 7.50% 7.50% - 8.00%<br />

Denver 4.75% - 5.25% 5.50% - 5.75% 5.25% - 5.75% 5.50% - 6.00% 6.50% - 7.00% 6.75% - 7.25%<br />

Inland Empire 4.75% - 5.25% 5.00% - 5.50% 5.00% - 5.50% 5.25% - 5.75% 6.00% + 6.00% +<br />

Los Angeles 3.75% - 4.00% 4.50% - 4.75% 4.00% - 4.50% 4.75% - 5.25% 5.00% - 5.50% 5.50% - 6.00%<br />

Orange County 3.75% - 4.25% 4.00% - 4.50% 4.50% - 4.75% 5.00% - 5.50% 5.50% - 6.00% 6.00% - 6.50%<br />

Phoenix 4.75% - 5.00% 5.25% 5.25% - 5.75% 5.25% - 5.75% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.00% - 6.50%<br />

Portland 4.75% - 5.00% 5.00% - 5.25% 5.25% - 5.75% 5.25% - 5.75% 5.75% - 6.25% 6.00% - 6.50%<br />

Sacramento 5.00% - 5.50% 5.50% - 6.00% 5.25% - 5.75% 5.50% - 6.00% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.50% - 7.00%<br />

Salt Lake City 5.25% - 5.75% 5.50% - 6.00% 5.75% - 6.00% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.00% - 6.25% 6.50% - 7.00%<br />

San Diego 3.75% - 4.25% 4.25% - 4.75% 4.50% - 5.00% 5.00% - 5.50% 5.50% - 6.00% 5.50% - 6.00%<br />

San Francisco 3.50% - 4.00% 4.00% - 4.25% 4.75% - 5.25% 5.25% - 5.75% 5.50% - 6.00% 6.00% - 6.50%<br />

San Jose 3.75% - 4.25% 4.00% - 4.50% 5.00% - 5.50% 5.75% - 6.25% 5.50% - 6.00% 6.00% - 6.50%<br />

Seattle 3.75% - 4.25% 4.50% - 5.00% 5.00% - 5.50% 5.50% - 6.00% 5.50% - 6.00% 6.25% - 7.25%<br />

<strong>CAP</strong> <strong>RATE</strong> FORECAST*<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add<br />

* Cap Rate Forecast represents the <strong>CBRE</strong> professional’s opinion of where cap rates are likely to trend in 1st half of 2013 in their local market.<br />

Decrease<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

Remain Flat<br />

Increase<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

15


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Multihousing Suburban | Eastern Region<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add<br />

Atlanta 5.25% - 5.75% 5.50% - 6.00% 5.75% - 6.25% 6.25% - 6.75% 7.25% - 7.75% 8.25% - 8.75%<br />

Baltimore 4.50% - 5.00% 4.75% - 5.25% 5.75% - 6.25% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.50% - 7.00% 7.25% - 7.75%<br />

Boston 4.25% - 5.25% 4.50% - 5.25% 5.25% - 5.50% 4.75% - 5.50% 6.50% - 6.75% 6.50% - 7.00%<br />

Charlotte 5.00% - 5.50% 5.50% - 6.00% 5.50% - 6.00% 6.00% - 6.50% 7.00% - 7.50% 7.50% - 8.00%<br />

Jacksonville 5.25% - 5.65% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.00% - 6.30% 7.00% - 7.25% 7.00% - 7.50% 9.25% - 9.75%<br />

Memphis 5.75% - 6.50% 5.75% - 6.75% 6.75% - 7.75% 6.75% - 7.75% 9.00% + 9.00% +<br />

Miami 4.50% - 4.75% 5.00% - 5.25% 5.00% - 5.50% 5.50% - 6.00% 6.25% - 6.75% 6.50% - 7.00%<br />

Nashville 5.50% - 6.00% 5.75% - 6.25% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.50% - 7.00% 7.00% - 7.50% 7.50% - 8.00%<br />

Orlando 5.00% - 5.75% 6.00% - 6.75% 5.75% - 6.50% 6.75% - 7.25% 6.50% - 7.50% 7.25% - 8.25%<br />

Philadelphia 5.00% - 5.50% 5.00% - 5.50% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.25% - 6.75% 7.00% - 7.50% 7.50% - 8.00%<br />

Pittsburgh 6.00% - 6.50% 6.50% - 7.00% 6.50% - 7.00% 7.00% - 7.50% 8.00% - 8.50% 8.50% - 9.00%<br />

Raleigh 4.75% - 6.00% 6.00% - 6.50% 5.75% - 6.75% 6.75% - 7.50% 7.75% - 9.75% 9.75% - 10.50%<br />

Tampa 5.25% - 5.75% 5.50% - 6.0% 5.75% - 6.25% 6.00% - 6.5% 6.25% - 6.75% 6.75% - 7.25%<br />

Washington, DC 4.25% - 4.75% 4.50% - 5.00% 5.50% - 6.00% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.50% - 7.00% 7.25% - 7.75%<br />

Atlanta<br />

<strong>CAP</strong> <strong>RATE</strong> FORECAST*<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add<br />

Baltimore N/A<br />

Boston<br />

Charlotte<br />

Jacksonville<br />

Memphis<br />

Miami<br />

Nashville<br />

Orlando<br />

Philadelphia<br />

Pittsburgh<br />

Raleigh<br />

Tampa<br />

Washington, DC N/A<br />

* Cap Rate Forecast represents the <strong>CBRE</strong> professional’s opinion of where cap rates are likely to trend in 1st half of 2013 in their local market.<br />

Decrease<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

Remain Flat<br />

Increase<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

16


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Multihousing Suburban | Central Region<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add<br />

Austin 5.00% - 5.50% 5.00% - 5.50% 5.75% - 6.25% 5.75% - 6.25% 6.50% - 7.00% 6.50% - 7.00%<br />

Chicago 5.00% - 5.50% 5.25% - 5.75% 5.75% - 6.25% 6.00% - 6.50% 7.00% - 7.50% 7.25% - 7.75%<br />

Cincinnati 6.00% - 6.50% 6.50% - 7.00% 7.00% - 7.50% 7.50% - 8.00% 8.00% - 8.50% 9.00% - 9.50%<br />

Cleveland 6.50% - 7.00% N/A 8.00% - 8.50% 8.25% - 8.75% 8.50% - 9.00% 9.00% - 9.50%<br />

Columbus 6.00% - 6.50% 6.25% - 6.75% 7.25% - 7.75% 7.50% - 8.00% 8.75% - 9.25% 9.50% - 10.00%<br />

Dallas 5.75% - 6.25% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.25% - 6.75% 6.50% - 7.25% 7.25% - 7.75% 7.75% - 8.25%<br />

Detroit 6.75% - 7.50% 7.50% - 8.50% 7.50% - 8.25% 8.00% - 9.00% 8.75% - 9.50% 9.50% - 11.00%<br />

Houston 5.75% - 6.25% 6.25% - 6.75% 6.75% - 7.25% 7.25% - 7.75% 7.75% - 8.25% 8.25% - 8.75%<br />

Indianapolis 5.75% - 6.25% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.25% - 6.75% 6.75% - 7.25% 7.75% - 8.25% 8.25% - 8.75%<br />

Kansas City 6.00% - 6.25% 6.00% - 6.50% 7.00% - 7.25% 7.50% - 7.75% 8.50% - 9.00% 9.50% - 10.00%<br />

Minneapolis 5.50% - 5.75% 5.75% - 6.00% 6.25% - 6.50% 6.75% - 7.00% 8.00% - 8.50% 8.75% - 9.25%<br />

Oklahoma City 6.25% - 6.75% 6.50% - 6.75% 6.75% - 7.25% 6.85% - 7.35% 9.00% - 9.50% 9.50% - 10.00%<br />

San Antonio 5.50% - 6.00% N/A 6.50% - 7.00% 6.75% - 7.25% 7.00% - 7.50% 7.50% - 8.00%<br />

St. Louis 5.50% - 6.00% 5.75% - 6.25% 6.10% - 6.75% 6.50% - 6.90% 8.00% - 9.50% 8.25% - 9.50%<br />

Austin<br />

Chicago<br />

Cincinnati<br />

Cleveland<br />

Columbus<br />

Dallas<br />

Detroit<br />

Houston<br />

Indianapolis<br />

Kansas City<br />

Oklahoma City<br />

Minneapolis<br />

<strong>CAP</strong> <strong>RATE</strong> FORECAST*<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add<br />

San Antonio N/A<br />

St. Louis<br />

* Cap Rate Forecast represents the <strong>CBRE</strong> professional’s opinion of where cap rates are likely to trend in 1st half of 2013 in their local market.<br />

Decrease<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

Remain Flat<br />

Increase<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

17


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Multihousing Suburban | Western Region<br />

Albuquerque<br />

Denver<br />

Inland Empire<br />

Las Vegas<br />

Los Angeles<br />

Orange County<br />

Phoenix<br />

Portland<br />

Sacramento<br />

Salt Lake City<br />

San Diego<br />

San Francisco<br />

San Jose<br />

Seattle<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add<br />

Albuquerque 5.75% - 6.50% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.00% - 7.50% 6.75% - 7.25% 7.00% - 7.75% 7.75% - 8.25%<br />

Denver 5.25% - 5.75% 5.50% - 6.00% 5.60% - 6.10% 5.75% - 6.25% 6.75% - 7.25% 7.00% - 7.75%<br />

Inland Empire 5.00% - 5.50% 5.25% - 5.75% 5.25% - 5.75% 5.50% - 6.00% 6.00% + 6.00% +<br />

Las Vegas 5.25% - 5.75% 5.25% - 5.75% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.00% - 6.50% 7.00% - 7.50% 7.00% - 7.50%<br />

Los Angeles 4.00% - 4.50% 4.75% - 5.00% 4.50% - 4.25% 5.25% - 5.75% 5.25% - 5.75% 6.00% - 6.50%<br />

Orange County 3.75% - 4.25% 4.00% - 4.50% 4.50% - 4.75% 5.00% - 5.50% 5.50% - 6.00% 6.00% - 6.50%<br />

Phoenix 5.00% - 5.50% 5.00% - 5.50% 5.00% - 5.50% 5.00% - 5.50% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.00% - 6.50%<br />

Portland 5.00% - 5.25% 5.00% - 5.25% 5.25% - 5.75% 5.25% - 5.75% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.00% - 6.50%<br />

Sacramento 5.25% - 5.75% 5.50% - 6.00% 5.75% - 6.25% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.75% - 7.25% 7.25% - 7.75%<br />

Salt Lake City 5.25% - 5.75% 5.50% - 6.00% 5.75% - 6.00% 6.00% - 6.50% 6.00% - 6.25% 6.50% - 7.00%<br />

San Diego 4.00% - 4.50% 4.50% - 5.00% 5.00% - 5.50% 5.50% - 6.00% 5.50% - 6.00% 6.00% - 7.00%<br />

San Francisco 4.00% - 4.50% 4.25% - 4.75% 5.00% - 5.50% 5.00% - 5.50% 5.75% - 6.25% 5.75% - 6.25%<br />

San Jose 3.75% - 4.25% 4.00% - 4.50% 5.00% - 5.25% 5.75% - 6.25% 5.50% - 6.00% 5.50% - 6.00%<br />

Seattle 4.00% - 4.50% 4.50% - 5.00% 5.25% - 5.75% 5.50% - 6.25% 5.75% - 6.25% 6.75% - 7.25%<br />

<strong>CAP</strong> <strong>RATE</strong> FORECAST*<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add Stabilized Value-Add<br />

* Cap Rate Forecast represents the <strong>CBRE</strong> professional’s opinion of where cap rates are likely to trend in 1st half of 2013 in their local market.<br />

Decrease<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

Remain Flat<br />

Increase<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

18


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Retail | Overview<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

The retail sector continues to see increases in sales volume despite lagging other property sectors into the early stages of the recovery. In 2012,<br />

sales volume reached $52.8 billion, up from the $44.1 billion pace set in 2011. This 19.7% increase for retail overall masks divergent trends<br />

among retail sub-types. Sales volume for strip-center retail was down in 2012, falling to $20.7 billion from the $25.6 billion recorded in 2011.<br />

The mall segment, though, saw tremendous growth, jumping from $18.5 billion in sales volume in 2011 to $32.1 billion in 2012. This shift<br />

reflects a bit of a change in investor perception of risk. For much of the recovery, investors who were interested in retail were only pursuing<br />

safe, stable, grocery-anchored centers. Investors regarded anything tied to the discretionary spending patterns of consumers with some caution,<br />

and thus, investment in the mall segment fell to a low of $8 billion in 2009.<br />

Evidence from our survey suggests that there is further room for cap rate compression in the year ahead. For Class A stabilized neighborhood<br />

center assets, our professionals expect further compression in 18 of the 40 markets surveyed, and, for Class A stabilized power center assets,<br />

19 of the markets surveyed. With average Class A stabilized cap rates of 6.4% and 6.9% for neighborhood and power centers, respectively,<br />

and debt costs somewhere in the 4%-to-5% range according to the results of the quarterly <strong>CBRE</strong> Lender Forum report, there is some room for<br />

further compression. There is still some untapped opportunity here, given that investors were hesitant about the sector for so many years.<br />

Select from the list below to access the current neighborhood/community center (grocery anchored) retail cap rates and forecast.<br />

Download a Complete Retail Neighborhood/Community Center (Grocery Anchored) Current Cap Rates Chart (PDF)<br />

Download a Complete Retail Neighborhood/Community Center (Grocery Anchored) Cap Rate Forecast Chart (PDF)<br />

Select from the list below to access the current power center retail cap rates and forecast.<br />

Download a Complete Retail Power Center Current Cap Rates Chart (PDF)<br />

Download a Complete Retail Power Center Cap Rate Forecast Chart (PDF)<br />

Select below to access the current high street retail cap rates and forecast.<br />

Download a Complete High Street Retail Current Cap Rates and Forecast Chart (PDF)<br />

19


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Retail Neighborhood/Community Center (Grocery Anchored) | Eastern Region<br />

Atlanta 5.20% - 7.00%<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Trend* Stabilized Trend* Stabilized Trend*<br />

↓<br />

7.00% - 8.25%<br />

Baltimore 5.50% - 6.50% I 6.00% - 7.50%<br />

Decrease<br />

Remain Flat<br />

Increase<br />

* Cap Rate Forecast represents the <strong>CBRE</strong> professional’s opinion of where cap rates are likely to trend in 1st half of 2013 in their local market.<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

8.25% - 9.50%<br />

7.00% - 9.50%<br />

Boston 5.50% - 6.25% I 7.00% - 7.50% I 8.00% - 9.00%<br />

Charlotte 6.75% - 7.25% I 7.75% - 8.75% ↓ 8.50% - 9.50%<br />

Jacksonville 6.50% - 7.00% I 7.25% - 7.75% I 8.00% - 11.00% I<br />

Memphis 7.75% - 8.25% I 8.50% - 9.00% I 10.00% - 11.00% I<br />

Miami 5.50% - 6.25% I 6.50% - 7.25% I 8.00% - 9.00% I<br />

Nashville 7.00% - 7.50% I 8.00% - 8.50%<br />

9.00% - 9.50%<br />

Orlando 6.50% - 7.00% I 7.25% - 7.75% I 8.00% - 11.00% I<br />

Philadelphia 7.00% - 7.25% I 8.00% - 8.50% I 9.00% - 10.50% I<br />

Pittsburgh 6.50% - 7.25%<br />

8.25% - 9.25% I 9.50% - 10.50% I<br />

Raleigh 6.00% - 7.25% ↓ 7.00% - 8.75% ↓ 8.00% - 9.50%<br />

Tampa 6.50% - 7.00%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

7.25% - 7.75%<br />

Washington, DC 5.50% - 6.50% I 6.00% - 7.50%<br />

* Compared to 1st half 2012<br />

Atlanta<br />

Baltimore<br />

Boston<br />

Charlotte<br />

Jacksonville<br />

Memphis<br />

Miami<br />

Nashville<br />

Orlando<br />

Philadelphia<br />

Pittsburgh<br />

Raleigh<br />

Tampa<br />

Washington, DC<br />

<strong>CAP</strong> <strong>RATE</strong> FORECAST*<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

8.00% - 11.00%<br />

7.00% - 9.50%<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Stabilized Stabilized<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

20


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Retail Neighborhood/Community Center (Grocery Anchored) | Central Region<br />

Austin<br />

Chicago<br />

Cincinnati<br />

Cleveland<br />

Columbus<br />

Dallas<br />

Detroit<br />

Houston<br />

Indianapolis<br />

Kansas City<br />

Minneapolis<br />

San Antonio<br />

St. Louis<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Trend* Stabilized Trend* Stabilized Trend*<br />

Austin 6.00% - 6.25% I 7.00% - 7.25%<br />

9.50% - 9.75% ↓<br />

Chicago 5.75% - 6.25%<br />

7.50% - 8.00% I 9.00% - 10.50% ↓<br />

Cincinnati 7.50% - 8.25% ↓ 8.50% - 9.00%<br />

9.00% - 10.00%<br />

Cleveland 7.00% - 7.50%<br />

Columbus 6.50% - 7.00%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

<strong>CAP</strong> <strong>RATE</strong> FORECAST*<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Stabilized Stabilized<br />

Decrease<br />

Remain Flat<br />

Increase<br />

* Cap Rate Forecast represents the <strong>CBRE</strong> professional’s opinion of where cap rates are likely to trend in 1st half of 2013 in their local market.<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

8.25% - 8.75% I 10.00% - 12.00% ↓<br />

7.75% - 8.25%<br />

9.50% - 10.50%<br />

Dallas 5.75% - 6.75% I 7.25% - 8.00% I 8.50% - 9.75%<br />

Detroit 7.00% - 7.50%<br />

↓<br />

8.25% - 8.75%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

10.00% - 12.00%<br />

Houston 5.50% - 7.00% I 7.00% - 8.75% I 9.00% - 12.00% ↓<br />

Indianapolis 6.50% - 7.00%<br />

7.75% - 8.25%<br />

9.50% - 10.50% ↓<br />

Kansas City 6.50% - 7.00%<br />

7.75% - 8.25%<br />

9.50% - 10.50% I<br />

Minneapolis 5.75% - 6.25%<br />

7.50% - 8.00% ↓ 9.00% - 10.50% ↓<br />

San Antonio 6.00% - 7.25% I 7.50% - 8.75% I 9.00% - 12.00% ↓<br />

St. Louis 6.50% - 7.00%<br />

7.75% - 8.25%<br />

9.50% - 10.50% I<br />

* Compared to 1st half 2012<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

21


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Retail Neighborhood/Community Center (Grocery Anchored) | Western Region<br />

Albuquerque 7.50% - 8.50%<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Trend* Stabilized Trend* Stabilized Trend*<br />

↓<br />

8.00% - 9.00%<br />

Decrease<br />

Remain Flat<br />

Increase<br />

* Cap Rate Forecast represents the <strong>CBRE</strong> professional’s opinion of where cap rates are likely to trend in 1st half of 2013 in their local market.<br />

↓<br />

9.00% - 10.00%<br />

Denver 6.50% - 7.00% ↓ 7.50% - 8.00% ↓ 9.00% - 9.50% ↓<br />

Las Vegas 6.50% - 7.50% I 7.00% - 8.00%<br />

7.50% - 10.00%<br />

Los Angeles 5.25% - 5.75%<br />

6.25% - 6.75% I 8.00% - 8.75% ↓<br />

Orange County 5.25% - 5.75% I 6.25% - 6.75% I 8.00% - 8.75% ↓<br />

Phoenix 5.75% - 6.25%<br />

6.50% - 7.00% I 8.00% - 9.00% I<br />

Portland 5.50% - 6.25%<br />

6.75% - 7.75%<br />

8.00% - 10.00% ↓<br />

Sacramento 7.00% - 8.00%<br />

8.00% - 9.00%<br />

9.00% + I<br />

Salt Lake City 7.50% - 8.20% ↓ 8.20% - 8.60% I 9.00% - 10.00% ↓<br />

San Diego 5.25% - 5.75% I 6.25% - 6.75% I 8.00% - 8.75% ↓<br />

San Francisco 4.50% - 5.25%<br />

6.00% - 6.75%<br />

7.25% - 7.75%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

San Jose 6.00% - 6.75% I 7.00% - 7.75% I 7.75% - 9.00%<br />

Seattle 5.50% - 5.75%<br />

* Compared to 1st half 2012<br />

Albuquerque<br />

Denver<br />

Las Vegas<br />

Los Angeles<br />

Orange County<br />

Phoenix<br />

Portland<br />

Sacramento<br />

Salt Lake City<br />

San Diego<br />

San Francisco<br />

San Jose<br />

Seattle<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

6.50% - 7.50% ↓ 7.50% - 9.50% I<br />

<strong>CAP</strong> <strong>RATE</strong> FORECAST*<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Stabilized Stabilized<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

22


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Retail Power Center | Eastern Region<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Trend* Stabilized Trend* Stabilized Trend*<br />

Atlanta 7.25% - 7.75%<br />

8.00% - 9.00%<br />

10.00% - 12.00% ↓<br />

Baltimore 6.75% - 8.00% ↓ 7.50% - 8.50%<br />

8.00% - 10.00%<br />

↓<br />

Boston 6.50% - 7.00% I 7.25% - 8.00% ↓ 8.00% - 9.50%<br />

Charlotte 7.00% - 7.50%<br />

8.00% - 8.75% ↓ 9.00% - 10.00% ↓<br />

Jacksonville 7.00% - 7.50% I 7.50% - 8.25%<br />

8.00% - 11.00% I<br />

Memphis 8.25% - 8.50% I 8.75% - 9.75% ↓ 9.50% - 11.50% ↓<br />

Miami 6.50% - 7.25% I 7.00% - 7.75%<br />

N/A N/A<br />

↓<br />

Nashville 7.00% - 7.50%<br />

8.00% - 8.50%<br />

9.00% - 9.50%<br />

Orlando 7.00% - 7.50% I 7.50% - 8.25% I 8.00% - 11.00% I<br />

Philadelphia 7.00% - 7.25% I 8.00% - 8.50%<br />

9.00% - 10.50%<br />

Pittsburgh 7.50% - 8.00% I 9.00% - 10.00%<br />

Raleigh 6.50% - 7.50%<br />

Tampa 7.00% - 7.50%<br />

Washington, DC 6.75% - 8.00% ↓ 7.50% - 8.50%<br />

* Compared to 1st half 2012<br />

Atlanta<br />

Baltimore<br />

Boston<br />

Charlotte<br />

Jacksonville<br />

Memphis<br />

Miami<br />

Nashville<br />

Orlando<br />

Philadelphia<br />

Pittsburgh<br />

Raleigh<br />

Tampa<br />

Washington, DC<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

Decrease<br />

Remain Flat<br />

Increase<br />

* Cap Rate Forecast represents the <strong>CBRE</strong> professional’s opinion of where cap rates are likely to trend in 1st half of 2013 in their local market.<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

10.00% - 11.00%<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

7.50% - 8.75% ↓ 8.50% - 10.00% ↓<br />

7.50% - 8.25%<br />

8.00% - 11.00% N/A<br />

<strong>CAP</strong> <strong>RATE</strong> FORECAST*<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

8.00% - 10.00%<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Stabilized Stabilized<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

23


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Retail Power Center | Central Region<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Trend* Stabilized Trend* Stabilized Trend*<br />

Austin 6.25% - 6.50%<br />

8.00% - 8.25% ↓ 10.00% - 10.25% I<br />

Chicago 6.00% - 6.50%<br />

8.00% - 8.50%<br />

10.00% - 12.00% ↓<br />

Cincinnati 7.00% - 8.00% ↓ 8.00% - 9.00%<br />

Cleveland 7.50% - 8.00%<br />

Columbus 7.00% - 7.50%<br />

Dallas 5.75% - 7.25%<br />

Detroit 7.50% - 8.00%<br />

Houston 6.25% - 7.25%<br />

Indianapolis 7.00% - 7.50%<br />

Kansas City 7.00% - 7.50%<br />

Minneapolis 6.00% - 6.50%<br />

San Antonio 6.75% - 7.50%<br />

St. Louis 7.00% - 7.50%<br />

* Compared to 1st half 2012<br />

Austin<br />

Chicago<br />

Cincinnati<br />

Cleveland<br />

Columbus<br />

Dallas<br />

Detroit<br />

Houston<br />

Indianapolis<br />

Kansas City<br />

Minneapolis<br />

San Antonio<br />

St. Louis<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

8.75% - 9.25%<br />

8.25% - 8.75%<br />

7.50% - 8.75%<br />

Decrease<br />

Remain Flat<br />

Increase<br />

* Cap Rate Forecast represents the <strong>CBRE</strong> professional’s opinion of where cap rates are likely to trend in 1st half of 2013 in their local market.<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

9.00% - 10.00%<br />

↓<br />

10.00% - 14.00% I<br />

10.00% - 12.00% I<br />

9.25% - 10.75%<br />

8.75% - 9.25%<br />

10.00% - 14.00% ↓<br />

7.50% - 9.00%<br />

9.00% - 12.00% I<br />

8.25% - 8.75%<br />

10.00% - 12.00% ↓<br />

8.25% - 8.75%<br />

10.00% - 12.00% I<br />

8.00% - 8.50% ↓ 10.00% - 12.00% ↓<br />

7.75% - 9.00%<br />

9.25% - 12.00% I<br />

8.25% - 8.75%<br />

10.00% - 12.00% ↓<br />

<strong>CAP</strong> <strong>RATE</strong> FORECAST*<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Stabilized Stabilized<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

24


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Retail Power Center | Western Region<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Trend* Stabilized Trend* Stabilized Trend*<br />

Albuquerque 7.00% - 8.00% ↓ 8.00% - 9.00% ↓ 9.00% - 10.00%<br />

Denver 6.75% - 7.25%<br />

7.75% - 8.25% I 9.00% - 10.00% ↓<br />

Las Vegas 6.50% - 7.50% ↓ 7.00% - 8.00% ↓ 7.50% - 9.00%<br />

I<br />

Los Angeles 6.00% - 6.75%<br />

7.00% - 8.00% ↓ 8.50% - 9.50% ↓<br />

Orange County 6.00% - 6.75% ↓ 7.00% - 8.00% I 8.50% - 9.50% I<br />

Phoenix 6.00% - 6.50%<br />

6.50% - 7.50% I 8.00% - 9.00% I<br />

Portland 6.00% - 6.75%<br />

7.25% - 8.25%<br />

8.50% - 10.50% I<br />

Sacramento 6.50% - 7.50%<br />

7.00% - 8.50%<br />

8.50% - 10.50% ↓<br />

Salt Lake City 7.50% - 8.50% ↓ 7.00% - 8.50% I 8.50% - 10.50% I<br />

San Diego 6.00% - 6.75% ↓ 7.00% - 8.00%<br />

8.50% - 9.50% I<br />

San Francisco 5.25% - 6.25%<br />

6.00% - 6.75%<br />

8.00% - 9.00%<br />

San Jose 6.25% - 6.75%<br />

Seattle 6.25% - 7.50%<br />

* Compared to 1st half 2012<br />

Albuquerque<br />

Denver<br />

Las Vegas<br />

Los Angeles<br />

Orange County<br />

Phoenix<br />

Portland<br />

Sacramento<br />

Salt Lake City<br />

San Diego<br />

San Francisco<br />

San Jose<br />

Seattle<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

Decrease<br />

Remain Flat<br />

Increase<br />

* Cap Rate Forecast represents the <strong>CBRE</strong> professional’s opinion of where cap rates are likely to trend in 1st half of 2013 in their local market.<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

7.25% - 7.75% I 9.00% - 9.50%<br />

7.00% - 8.50% I 8.00% - 10.00% I<br />

<strong>CAP</strong> <strong>RATE</strong> FORECAST*<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Stabilized Stabilized<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

25


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

High Street Retail | National<br />

Boston<br />

Chicago<br />

Los Angeles<br />

Manhattan<br />

Miami<br />

Philadelphia<br />

San Francisco<br />

Seattle<br />

Washington, DC<br />

Class A<br />

Stabilized Trend*<br />

Boston 3.75% - 5.00% I<br />

Chicago 5.00% - 5.50% ↓<br />

Los Angeles 4.50% - 5.50% ↓<br />

Manhattan 4.00% - 5.00%<br />

Miami 4.00% - 6.00% ↓<br />

Philadelphia 5.75% - 6.25% I<br />

San Francisco 4.50% - 5.50% ↓<br />

Seattle 4.50% - 5.50% ↓<br />

Washington, DC 5.50% - 6.00% ↓<br />

* Compared to 1st half 2012<br />

<strong>CAP</strong> <strong>RATE</strong> FORECAST*<br />

Class A<br />

Stabilized<br />

↓<br />

Decrease<br />

Remain Flat<br />

Increase<br />

* Cap Rate Forecast represents the <strong>CBRE</strong> professional’s opinion of where cap rates are likely to trend in 1st half of 2013 in their local market.<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

26


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Industrial | Overview<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

Transaction activity in the industrial sector was up only slightly in 2012. According to figures from RCA, volume for the year came in at $36.9<br />

billion, up only $1.5 billion from a year earlier. However, this slow growth is partly an artifact of the accounting behind the AMB/Prologis merger<br />

in 2011, which is reported as a $4.2 billion sale, according to RCA. Without this transaction, volume would be up 18.4% from a year ago, closer<br />

to the pace of growth for investment volume in the office and retail sectors.<br />

<strong>CBRE</strong> Capital Markets and Valuation professionals expect that cap rates for stabilized Class A industrial assets will continue to compress in 2013<br />

in 21 out of 41 markets surveyed. Here too there is room for further compression, with the average cap rate for this asset class at 6.5%, according<br />

to the results of the survey. It is interesting to note that these professionals expect less investor appetite to move out on the risk spectrum within<br />

the industrial sector. In the Class B segment of the market, only in 19 out of 41 markets is further compression anticipated, with expectations for<br />

compression really falling off in the Class C segment. In that segment, only nine markets are expected to see enough interest to generate further cap<br />

rate compression.<br />

Select from the list below to access the current industrial cap rates and forecast.<br />

Download a Complete Industrial Current Cap Rates Chart (PDF)<br />

Download a Complete Industrial Cap Rate Forecast Chart (PDF)<br />

27


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Industrial | Eastern Region<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Trend* Stabilized Trend* Stabilized Trend*<br />

Atlanta 6.25% - 7.50% I 7.25% - 8.50%<br />

8.50% - 10.00%<br />

Baltimore/Washington Corridor 5.75% - 6.25%<br />

6.50% - 7.00%<br />

7.00% - 7.75%<br />

Boston 7.00% - 7.50% I 7.75% - 8.75%<br />

10.00% - 11.00%<br />

Charlotte 6.75% - 7.50%<br />

7.25% - 8.00%<br />

8.00% - 8.25%<br />

Eastern PA (I-78/I-81) Corridor 5.75% - 6.25%<br />

6.75% - 7.50%<br />

7.75% - 8.50%<br />

Jacksonville 7.50% - 7.75% I 8.50% - 9.50%<br />

9.50% - 12.00%<br />

Memphis 7.25% - 8.25%<br />

8.25% - 9.00% I 9.00% - 10.00%<br />

Miami 5.25% - 5.75% I 5.50% - 6.25%<br />

6.00% - 7.00%<br />

Nashville 6.50% - 8.00%<br />

8.00% - 10.00% I 9.00% - 11.00%<br />

Northern New Jersey 5.00% - 5.50% N/A 5.75% - 6.50% N/A 6.50% - 7.25% N/A<br />

Orlando 6.75% - 7.50% I 8.00% - 9.00% I 9.00% - 11.00% ↓<br />

Pittsburgh 7.50% - 8.25% I 8.50% - 9.50% I 9.50% - 10.50%<br />

Raleigh 6.50% - 7.50%<br />

7.50% - 8.50% I 9.00% - 12.00% ↓<br />

Tampa 6.50% - 7.50% I 7.25% - 8.25% I 9.00% - 9.75%<br />

* Compared to 1st half 2012<br />

Atlanta<br />

Baltimore/Washington Corridor<br />

Boston<br />

Charlotte<br />

Eastern PA (I-78/I-81) Corridor<br />

Jacksonville<br />

Memphis<br />

Miami<br />

Nashville<br />

Northern New Jersey<br />

Orlando<br />

Pittsburgh<br />

Raleigh<br />

Tampa<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

<strong>CAP</strong> <strong>RATE</strong> FORECAST*<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Stabilized Stabilized<br />

* Cap Rate Forecast represents the <strong>CBRE</strong> professional’s opinion of where cap rates are likely to trend in 1st half of 2013 in their local market.<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

Decrease<br />

Remain Flat<br />

Increase<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

28


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Industrial | Central Region<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Trend* Stabilized Trend* Stabilized Trend*<br />

Austin 6.75% - 7.75% I 7.75% - 8.25%<br />

Chicago 5.75% - 6.00%<br />

↓<br />

6.75% - 7.25%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

8.50% - 8.75%<br />

8.00% - 9.00%<br />

Cincinnati 7.00% - 7.75% I 8.00% - 9.00% ↓ 9.00% - 10.00%<br />

Cleveland 7.25% - 8.00% ↓ 8.50% - 9.00% ↓ 11.00% ↓<br />

Columbus 7.00% - 8.00%<br />

8.00% - 9.00%<br />

10.00% - 13.00% ↓<br />

Dallas 5.90% - 6.80% I 7.00% - 8.00%<br />

8.50% - 9.50% I<br />

Detroit 7.00% - 8.50%<br />

8.50% - 10.00%<br />

10.00% - 13.00% ↓<br />

Houston 5.80% - 6.75% I 6.75% - 7.75% ↓ 8.50% - 9.50%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

Indianapolis 6.75% - 7.25% I 8.00% - 9.00% I 9.50% - 10.50% ↓<br />

Kansas City 7.00% - 7.50% I 8.00% - 8.50% I 9.00% - 10.00% I<br />

Minneapolis 6.50% - 7.25% I 7.50% - 8.50%<br />

9.00 % - 11.00% I<br />

San Antonio 6.50% - 7.50% I 7.75% - 8.50%<br />

9.00% - 10.50%<br />

St. Louis 7.75% - 8.25% ↓ 8.25% - 9.00% I 9.00% - 11.00%<br />

* Compared to 1st half 2012<br />

Austin<br />

Chicago<br />

Cincinnati<br />

Cleveland<br />

Columbus<br />

Dallas<br />

Detroit<br />

Houston<br />

Indianapolis<br />

Kansas City<br />

Minneapolis<br />

San Antonio<br />

St. Louis<br />

<strong>CAP</strong> <strong>RATE</strong> FORECAST*<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Stabilized Stabilized<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

Decrease<br />

Remain Flat<br />

Increase<br />

* Cap Rate Forecast represents the <strong>CBRE</strong> professional’s opinion of where cap rates are likely to trend in 1st half of 2013 in their local market.<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

29


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Industrial | Western Region<br />

Albuquerque<br />

Denver<br />

Inland Empire<br />

Las Vegas<br />

Los Angeles<br />

Orange County<br />

Phoenix<br />

Portland<br />

Sacramento<br />

Salt Lake City<br />

San Diego<br />

San Francisco<br />

San Jose<br />

Seattle<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Trend* Stabilized Trend* Stabilized Trend*<br />

Albuquerque 7.50% - 8.50%<br />

8.00% - 9.25%<br />

9.00% - 10.00% ↓<br />

Denver 6.00% - 6.50% I 6.50% - 7.00% I 8.50% - 9.50%<br />

↓<br />

Inland Empire 4.75% - 5.75% I 5.85% - 6.50% I 6.50% - 7.00%<br />

Las Vegas 7.50% - 8.50% ↓ 8.50% - 9.50% ↓ 9.50% - 10.50% ↓<br />

Los Angeles 4.75% - 5.75%<br />

5.85% - 6.50% I 6.50% - 7.00%<br />

Orange County 5.00% - 5.50% I 5.75% - 6.25%<br />

7.00% - 7.75% I<br />

Phoenix 6.50% - 7.50% ↓ 7.50% - 8.50% ↓ 8.50% - 9.25%<br />

↓<br />

Portland 7.00% - 8.00% I 8.50% - 9.50% ↓ 9.50% - 10.50% ↓<br />

Sacramento 7.50% - 8.00%<br />

8.00% - 8.50%<br />

8.50% + I<br />

Salt Lake City 7.00% - 7.50%<br />

7.00% - 8.00%<br />

8.00% - 10.00%<br />

San Diego 5.50% - 6.00%<br />

6.00% - 6.50%<br />

7.25% - 7.75%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

San Francisco 5.00% - 6.00% I 6.00% - 7.25% I 8.00% - 10.00% I<br />

San Jose 5.00% - 6.00% I 6.00% - 7.25% I 8.00% - 10.00% I<br />

Seattle 5.00% - 5.75% I 6.00% - 6.75% I 6.75% - 7.25%<br />

* Compared to 1st half 2012<br />

<strong>CAP</strong> <strong>RATE</strong> FORECAST*<br />

Class A Class B Class C<br />

Stabilized Stabilized Stabilized<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

Decrease<br />

Remain Flat<br />

Increase<br />

* Cap Rate Forecast represents the <strong>CBRE</strong> professional’s opinion of where cap rates are likely to trend in 1st half of 2013 in their local market.<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

30


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Hotels | Overview<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

The <strong>CBRE</strong> Cap Rate Survey provides information on the hotel sector that is unavailable elsewhere. With total transaction activity in the sector<br />

representing roughly 10% of annual activity across all commercial property sectors, often times there are simply not enough transactions to<br />

develop reliable benchmarks of sales comparables. For a market where comparable sales are thin, our approach of combining the insights of<br />

the <strong>CBRE</strong> Capital Markets and Valuation professionals as to the levels at which assets will trade is good way to get a relative sense of pricing.<br />

Transaction activity for 2012 is off from a year earlier. According to the figures from RCA, investment volume in 2012 stood at $19.6 billion,<br />

versus the $20 billion seen in 2011. This decline was a bit front-loaded, with declines starting in the fourth quarter of 2011 and continuing<br />

through the third quarter of 2012. Activity turned the corner in Q4 2012, rising 49.5% from a year earlier, but it is too soon to tell if this<br />

increase is a just blip, or rather a trend toward recovery.<br />

The evidence from the <strong>CBRE</strong> Cap Rate survey suggests that the fourth-quarter increase may continue into 2013 for certain hotel sub-types. Across<br />

the 36 markets surveyed, 13 markets in the limited-service segment and 8 markets in the economy segment are expected to see continued cap<br />

rate compression in 2013. In the luxury and full-service segments, however, only three markets are earmarked for such compression.<br />

Select from the list below to access the current hotels cap rates and forecast.<br />

Download a Complete Hotels Current Cap Rates Chart (PDF)<br />

Download a Complete Hotels Cap Rate Forecast Chart (PDF)<br />

31


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Hotels | National<br />

* Compared to 1st half 2012<br />

Luxury Full Service Select Service Economy<br />

Stabilized Trend* Stabilized Trend* Stabilized Trend* Stabilized Trend*<br />

Albuquerque 7.00% - 7.25%<br />

8.00% - 9.00% I 8.25% - 9.50% ↓ 9.50% - 11.00%<br />

Atlanta 7.00% - 8.00% I 8.00% - 9.50% ↓ 8.50% - 10.00% ↓ 9.00% - 11.00% I<br />

Austin 7.25% - 7.50%<br />

8.00% - 8.25%<br />

8.75% - 9.00%<br />

9.75% - 10.00% I<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

Baltimore 6.50% - 7.50% I 7.00% - 7.50% ↓ 7.00% - 8.00% ↓ 8.00% - 8.50% ↓<br />

Boston 6.50% - 7.00% ↓ 7.00% - 8.00%<br />

8.00% - 10.00% I 9.00% - 11.00% ↓<br />

Charlotte 7.00% - 8.00%<br />

8.00% - 9.00% ↓ 9.00% - 10.00% ↓ 11.00% - 12.00% ↓<br />

Chicago 6.00% - 7.50% ↓ 6.00% - 7.50%<br />

7.00% - 9.00% I 7.00% - 9.00%<br />

Cincinnati 6.50% - 9.00% N/A 7.00% - 9.50%<br />

8.00% - 10.00%<br />

8.50% - 11.00%<br />

Cleveland 6.50% - 9.00% N/A 7.00% - 9.50%<br />

8.00% - 10.00%<br />

8.50% - 11.00%<br />

Columbus 8.00% - 9.00% N/A 9.00% - 10.00%<br />

9.00% - 10.00% I 9.50% - 12.00%<br />

Dallas 7.00% - 8.00% ↓ 7.50% - 8.50% I 7.50% - 8.50%<br />

9.00% - 11.00% ↓<br />

Denver 6.25% - 6.75%<br />

7.75% - 8.25%<br />

7.75% - 8.75% I 9.25% - 9.75% ↓<br />

Detroit 8.00% - 8.50% I 9.00% - 10.00%<br />

9.50% - 10.50% I 10.50% - 11.50%<br />

Jacksonville 6.00% - 8.00%<br />

7.00% - 9.00%<br />

8.00% - 10.00% I 9.00% - 11.00% ↓<br />

Kansas City 8.00% - 8.50% I 9.25% - 10.00% ↓ 8.50% - 9.00%<br />

10.00% - 11.00% ↓<br />

Las Vegas 7.00% - 8.00%<br />

7.00% - 8.00%<br />

7.50% - 9.00%<br />

9.00% - 11.00% I<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

Los Angeles 7.00% - 7.75% I 7.00% - 8.00% ↓ 7.00% - 8.00% ↓ 8.00% - 8.50% ↓<br />

Manhattan 4.50% - 5.50% I 6.00% - 7.00%<br />

6.50% - 7.50%<br />

8.00% - 9.00%<br />

Miami 6.00% - 7.00%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

7.00% - 8.00%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

I<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

7.50% - 9.00% ↓ 8.00% - 9.50%<br />

Minneapolis 6.00% - 7.75% ↓ 7.50% - 9.50% ↓ 8.00% - 10.00% ↓ 8.50% - 11.00% ↓<br />

Nashville 7.00% - 8.00%<br />

8.00% - 9.50% ↓ 8.50% - 10.00% ↓ 9.00% - 11.00%<br />

Orange County 7.00% - 7.75% I 7.00% - 8.00% ↓ 7.00% - 8.00% ↓ 8.00% - 8.50% I<br />

Orlando 6.00% - 8.00%<br />

7.00% - 9.00% ↓ 8.00% - 10.00% ↓ 9.00% - 11.00% ↓<br />

Philadelphia 7.00% - 8.00% I 7.00% - 7.50% I 7.00% - 7.50% I 8.00% - 8.50% I<br />

Phoenix 6.50% - 8.00% ↓ 7.50% - 9.00% ↓ 7.75% - 9.00%<br />

Pittsburgh 7.00% - 7.50% N/A 8.00% - 8.50%<br />

↓<br />

8.25% - 9.00%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

9.50% - 12.00% ↓<br />

9.00% - 10.00%<br />

Portland 6.00% - 8.00% ↓ 7.00% - 9.00% ↓ 8.50% - 10.50% ↓ 9.00% - 11.00% ↓<br />

Raleigh 7.50% - 8.50% I 7.75% - 8.75%<br />

8.25% - 8.75%<br />

10.00% - 11.00% I<br />

Sacramento 8.00% - 9.00% N/A 8.50% - 9.50% N/A 9.00% - 10.00% N/A 9.00% - 10.50% N/A<br />

San Antonio 7.00% - 8.00% I 7.50% - 8.50% ↓ 7.50% - 8.50% I 9.00% - 11.00% I<br />

San Diego 7.00% - 7.75% I 7.00% - 8.00%<br />

7.00% - 8.00%<br />

8.00% - 8.50%<br />

San Francisco 5.50% - 6.50% ↓ 6.50% - 7.50%<br />

7.50% - 9.50% ↓ 9.00% - 11.00%<br />

San Jose 6.50% - 7.50% ↓ 7.00% - 8.00% I 7.50% - 9.50% ↓ 9.00% - 11.00% I<br />

Seattle 6.00% - 8.00% ↓ 7.00% - 9.00% ↓ 8.50% - 10.50% I 9.50% - 11.00%<br />

Tampa 6.00% - 8.00%<br />

↓<br />

7.00% - 9.00%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

8.00% - 10.00%<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

↓<br />

9.00% - 11.00% I<br />

Washington, DC 6.50% - 7.50% I 7.00% - 7.50% ↓ 7.00% - 8.00% ↓ 8.00% - 8.50% ↓<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

32


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Hotels | National<br />

Albuquerque<br />

Atlanta<br />

Austin<br />

Baltimore<br />

Boston<br />

Charlotte<br />

Chicago<br />

Cincinnati<br />

Cleveland<br />

Columbus<br />

Dallas<br />

Denver<br />

Detroit<br />

Jacksonville<br />

Kansas City<br />

Las Vegas<br />

Los Angeles<br />

Miami<br />

Minneapolis<br />

Nashville<br />

New York City<br />

Orange County<br />

Orlando<br />

Philadelphia<br />

Phoenix<br />

Pittsburgh<br />

Portland<br />

Raleigh<br />

Sacramento<br />

San Antonio<br />

San Diego<br />

San Francisco<br />

San Jose<br />

Seattle<br />

Tampa<br />

Washington, DC<br />

Luxury Full Service Select Service Economy<br />

Stabilized Stabilized Stabilized Stabilized<br />

Decrease<br />

Remain Flat<br />

Increase<br />

* Cap Rate Forecast represents the <strong>CBRE</strong> professional’s opinion of where cap rates are likely to trend in 1st half of 2013 in their local market.<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

33


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Appendix | Definitions<br />

Cap Rate<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

The going-in cap rate usually refers to the initial yield and is calculated as the ratio of the projected net income in the first year of the holding<br />

period over the acquisition price of the property. This measure also represents the investors’ income return in the first year, but also in subsequent<br />

years if NOI remains stable.<br />

Stabilized Property Cap Rates<br />

To derive the cap rate for a stabilized property assume the asset is leased at current market rents and has an occupancy rate in line with the long-<br />

run market average. Based on these assumptions, use the in-place NOI and the probable sales price to calculate the stabilized cap rate.<br />

Cap Rates (Office, Industrial, Retail, and Hotel)<br />

Cap rate ranges are best estimates provided by <strong>CBRE</strong> professionals based on recent trades in their respective market as well as recent interactions<br />

with investors. The ranges represent those cap rates that a given property will trade at in this current market. Stabilized cap rates are based on<br />

in-place NOI for the latest year, before being adjusted for reserves. Value-add cap rates are based on projected stabilized NOI. Actual cap rates<br />

within each asset class will vary, occasionally outside of the stated ranges, based on asset location/quality and property-specific opportunities for<br />

NOI enhancement.<br />

Cap Rates (Multihousing only)<br />

Cap rate ranges are based on an estimated NOI derived by annualizing the last 90 days of revenue and subtracting what buyers would estimate<br />

as stabilized, year one expenses after adjustments for real estate taxes and reserves. Actual cap rates within each asset class will vary, occasionally<br />

outside of the stated ranges, based on asset location/quality and property-specific opportunities for NOI enhancement.<br />

Value-Add Property Cap Rates (Office only)<br />

To derive the value-add cap rate use a sales prices that would be achieved by a property underperforming in its market, whether through<br />

abnormally high vacancy rates or through rents below those that are currently being achieved in the market. Assume the property is then stabilized<br />

to achieve market rents and an occupancy rate in line with the market’s long run average to arrive at a stabilized NOI. Use the stabilized NOI<br />

when calculating the Value-Add Cap Rate.<br />

34


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Appendix | Definitions (continued)<br />

Value-Add Property Cap Rates (Multihousing only)<br />

To derive the value-add cap rate use the return on cost based on the projected stabilized NOI value divided by the total investment.<br />

Stabilized Property<br />

A property that has an occupancy level at or above the local average and is leased at market rents.<br />

Value-Add Property (Office & Multihousing only)<br />

An underperforming property that has an occupancy level below the local average and/or is leased at below-market rents.<br />

CBD<br />

The Central Business District of a major city.<br />

Suburban<br />

Mainly residential area located within close proximity to a major city.<br />

Class A<br />

Best-of-class product, attract larger, top quality tenants with 5- and 10-year leases, often newer construction.<br />

Class B<br />

Older product, mostly 5-year leases, typically previously owned.<br />

Class C<br />

Typically an older building that offers space without amenities. Attracts moderate to low income tenants.<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

35


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Appendix | Definitions (continued)<br />

HOTEL-SPECIFIC DEFINITIONS<br />

Full Service<br />

A hotel property with more than 150 rooms, room service, an on-site restaurant and a concierge service.<br />

Luxury<br />

Hotel chains that are priced in the top 15.0% in terms of average annual room rates, according to Smith Travel Research.<br />

Select Service<br />

A hotel property with less than 150 rooms, no room service and no on-site restaurant or concierge service.<br />

Economy<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

Hotel chains that are priced within the 20.0% to 40.0% range in terms of average annual room rates, according to Smith Travel Research.<br />

RETAIL-SPECIFIC DEFINITIONS<br />

Neighborhood/Community Center (Grocery Anchored)<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

Open-air retail center that is anchored by a grocery store and, in the case of community centers, a second major retail anchor. Can range from<br />

75,000 to 350,000 square feet.<br />

Power Center<br />

Open-air retail center typically occupied by large format, big box, and value-oriented retailers, with very limited small shop tenant space.<br />

Can range in size from 100,000 square feet to over 600,000 square feet.<br />

HighStreet<br />

The primary retail shopping thoroughfare in the premiere location of an urban sub-market, serving as a focal point for high end shops and<br />

luxury retailers.<br />

36


IN THIS ISSUE:<br />

Overview<br />

Office<br />

Multihousing<br />

Retail<br />

Industrial<br />

Hotels Hotel<br />

Appendix<br />

Appendix | Definitions (continued)<br />

MULTIHOUSING-SPECIFIC DEFINITIONS<br />

Infill/Urban<br />

Cap Rate Survey<br />

February 2013<br />

><br />

Area considered inner-city plus built up environs, characterized by high population density and vast human features in comparison to areas<br />

surrounding it.<br />

Suburban<br />

Surrounding residential areas of a larger city. Outer edge of a large city, or several aggregates of distant residential areas.<br />

37


+1 888.707.3908<br />

www.cbre.com/capitalmarkets<br />

www.cbre.com/research<br />

www.cbre.com/valuation<br />

CHRIS LUDEMAN<br />

President<br />

<strong>CBRE</strong> Capital Markets<br />

ASIEH MANSOUR<br />

Head of Research, Americas<br />

<strong>CBRE</strong> Global Research & Consulting<br />

BRIAN STOFFERS<br />

Chief Operating Officer, Capital Markets<br />

President, Debt & Equity Finance<br />

<strong>CBRE</strong> Capital Markets<br />

JIM COSTELLO<br />

Managing Director, Americas Research<br />

<strong>CBRE</strong> Global Research & Consulting<br />

THOMAS MCDONNELL<br />

President<br />

RAY WONG<br />

Executive Director, Americas Research<br />

<strong>CBRE</strong> Global Research & Consulting<br />

© Copyright 2013 <strong>CBRE</strong> Information contained herein, including projections, has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. While we do not doubt its accuracy, we have not verified<br />

it and make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. It is your responsibility to confirm independently its accuracy and completeness. This information is presented exclusively for use<br />

by <strong>CBRE</strong> clients and professionals and all rights to the material are reserved and cannot be reproduced without prior written permission of the <strong>CBRE</strong> Global Chief Economist.<br />

<strong>CBRE</strong> Valuation and Advisory Services

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