Looking Elsewhere and Looking Everywhere (a.k.a. Multiple Testing ...
Looking Elsewhere and Looking Everywhere (a.k.a. Multiple Testing ...
Looking Elsewhere and Looking Everywhere (a.k.a. Multiple Testing ...
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The Look <strong>Elsewhere</strong> Effect<br />
Two “definitions” found in a (admittedly limited) search:<br />
When searching for a new resonance somewhere in a possible mass range,<br />
the significance of observing a local excess of events must take into<br />
account the probability of observing such an excess anywhere in the range<br />
OR<br />
In experiments that are aimed at detecting astrophysical sources [...] one<br />
usually performs a search over a continuous parameter space [...] looking<br />
for the most significant deviation from the background hypothesis. Such a<br />
procedure inherently involves a “look elsewhere effect”, namely, the<br />
possibility for a signal-like fluctuation to appear anywhere within the<br />
search range.<br />
Victor M. Panaretos (EPFL) Progress on Statistical Issues in Searches SLAC – June 2012 2 / 25