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Looking Elsewhere and Looking Everywhere (a.k.a. Multiple Testing ...

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The Look <strong>Elsewhere</strong> Effect<br />

Two “definitions” found in a (admittedly limited) search:<br />

When searching for a new resonance somewhere in a possible mass range,<br />

the significance of observing a local excess of events must take into<br />

account the probability of observing such an excess anywhere in the range<br />

OR<br />

In experiments that are aimed at detecting astrophysical sources [...] one<br />

usually performs a search over a continuous parameter space [...] looking<br />

for the most significant deviation from the background hypothesis. Such a<br />

procedure inherently involves a “look elsewhere effect”, namely, the<br />

possibility for a signal-like fluctuation to appear anywhere within the<br />

search range.<br />

Victor M. Panaretos (EPFL) Progress on Statistical Issues in Searches SLAC – June 2012 2 / 25

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