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<strong>BEARDED</strong> <strong>VULTURE</strong> <strong>POPULATION</strong> <strong>AND</strong><br />

<strong>HABITAT</strong> <strong>VIABILITY</strong> ASSESSMENT<br />

(Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

BRIEFING BOOK<br />

Sterkfontein Dam, Harrismith<br />

6 - 10 March 2006<br />

Maloti-Drakensberg Transfrontier<br />

Project


Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

BRIEFING BOOK<br />

prepared by<br />

Prof. S.E. Piper<br />

in preparation for the<br />

Population and Habitat Viability Assessment (PHVA)<br />

Workshop<br />

To be hosted by<br />

The Conservation Breeding Specialist Group<br />

(CBSG – IUCN/SSC)<br />

CBSG Southern Africa<br />

Endangered Wildlife Trust<br />

Sponsored by the<br />

Maloti-Drakensberg Transfrontier Project<br />

Ezemvelo KZN Wildlife<br />

Birds of Prey Working Group / EWT<br />

6 - 10 March 2006<br />

Sterkfontein Dam<br />

South Africa


Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

TABLE OF CONTENTS<br />

SECTION 1<br />

1. Summary................................................................................................................ 4<br />

2. Introduction ........................................................................................................... 4<br />

3. Problem Statement ............................................................................................... 5<br />

SECTION 2<br />

4. Draft Participants List........................................................................................... 7<br />

SECTION 3 BIOLOGY <strong>AND</strong> ECOLOGY<br />

5. Taxonomic description......................................................................................... 9<br />

6. Life history........................................................................................................... 11<br />

7. Genetics in southern Africa ............................................................................... 19<br />

8. Distribution and population status ................................................................... 20<br />

9. Protection status................................................................................................. 30<br />

10. Habitat requirements .......................................................................................... 30<br />

11. Threats ................................................................................................................. 30<br />

12. Legislation ........................................................................................................... 33<br />

13. Acknowledgements ............................................................................................ 34<br />

SECTION 4 PHVA PROCESS<br />

14. PHVA workshop: A tool for Threatened Species Management ..................... 36<br />

15. Input Data Required for VORTEX ...................................................................... 47<br />

SECTION 5 REFERENCES<br />

16. References........................................................................................................... 53<br />

SECTION 6 APPENDICES<br />

Appendix 1: Protection Status Tables ..................................................................... 57<br />

Appendix 2: Bearded Vulture PHVA Programme.................................................... 58<br />

Appendix 3: Introducing the Conservation Breeding Specialist Group............... 60<br />

Appendix 4: Introducing CBSG Southern Africa .................................................... 63<br />

Appendix 5: The Endangered Wildlife Trust ........................................................... 66<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

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SECTION 1<br />

3


Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

1. Summary<br />

This Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus) Population and Habitat Viability Assessment<br />

(PHVA) Briefing Document serves to provide all participants, attending the PHVA from the 6th<br />

to the 10th of March 2006, with background information on the species and related current<br />

conservation activities in South Africa. Background information on the PHVA theory and the<br />

process that will be followed are also provided.<br />

The goals of the workshop are to determine conservation priorities for the Bearded Vulture<br />

(Gypaetus barbatus) and develop a coordinated, collaborative, effective conservation plan for<br />

the species and its habitat in South Africa.<br />

The PHVA process uses data on population status and trends, distribution, genetics, health<br />

status, biology, threats and the ecology of the species to input into computer-based population<br />

models (VORTEX) which test different management scenarios and forecast current and future<br />

risk of population decline and/or extinction.<br />

The outcomes of this workshop will include a comprehensive assimilation of the current data<br />

available on Bearded Vultures in South Africa, a peer-reviewed conservation strategy for the<br />

species and its habitat and a number of realistic, achievable conservation actions and<br />

recommendations for improving the current status of Bearded Vulture in South Africa.<br />

2. Introduction<br />

Based on the Bearded Vulture’s small and declining population size, restricted range, range<br />

contraction, and susceptibility to several threats in Lesotho and South Africa, it is regionally<br />

classified as Endangered (Barnes 2000). The PHVA will be held to draft a national action plan<br />

for the species’ conservation and deterministic and stochastic forces will be explored to<br />

determine the species vulnerability to extinction.<br />

There are two isolated populations of Bearded Vultures, one in Ethiopia (ca. 4000 pairs) and<br />

Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania (ca. 50 pairs), another in southern Africa (< 200 pairs). The<br />

study population is taken as the entire South African population; however a separate North<br />

Africa model may be prepared.<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

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The Conservation Breeding Specialist Group (CBSG), an IUCN (World Conservation Union)<br />

Species Survival Specialist Group, has developed a series of scientifically-based tools to<br />

undertake risk assessment and species management decision-making. These tools include<br />

the PHVA process, which uses population and conservation biology, human demography and<br />

the dynamics of social learning in intensive, problem-solving workshops to produce realistic<br />

and achievable recommendations for more effective wildlife and habitat management.<br />

3. Problem Statement<br />

The Bearded Vulture is not considered to be globally threatened (BirdLife International 2000).<br />

With an estimated global range of 10 6 to 10 7 km 2 and a population of 10 4 to 10 5 individuals, it is<br />

thought that the population is declining worldwide but not at a sufficiently fast rate to rate its<br />

status as anything but of ‘Least concern’ (BirdLife International 2004).<br />

There is considerable concern surrounding the decline in the distribution and number of the<br />

Bearded Vulture in South Africa, over the last century. This reduction in range can largely be<br />

attributed to the loss of natural ungulates, superior animal husbandry practices and improved<br />

animal hygiene that has lead to a reduction in the food supply and is considered by some (e.g.<br />

Boshoff et al. 1983) to be the most serious cause of population decline and range contraction.<br />

5


Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

SECTION 2<br />

6


Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

4. Draft Participants List<br />

Name Affiliation<br />

Addisu Mitiku Bale Mountains National Park<br />

Alastair Nelson Frankfurt Zoological Society<br />

Albert Smith SANParks, Golden Gate National Park<br />

Andrė Botha BoPWG / Endangered Wildlife Trust<br />

Andrew Jenkins Percy FitzPatrick Institute<br />

Bill Howells Ezemvelo KZN Wildlife<br />

Brenda Daly CBSG SA / Endangered Wildlife Trust (EWT)<br />

Dave Walker Private<br />

David Allan Durban Natural Science Museum<br />

Doug Burden Mondi Shanduka News Print<br />

Eduard Goosen Northern Ukhahlamba Drakensberg Park<br />

Hayley Komen BoPWG / Endangered Wildlife Trust<br />

Ian Rushworth Ezemvelo KZN Wildlife<br />

John Crowson Ezemvelo KZN Wildlife<br />

Kerryn Morrison Endangered Wildlife Trust<br />

Mohammednur Yune Bale Mountains National Park<br />

Ntombifuthi Luthuli Ezemvelo KZN Wildlife<br />

Oscar Mthimkhulu KZN Wildlife Ukhahlamba Region<br />

Richard Lechmere-Oertel Maloti-Drakensberg Transfrontier Project<br />

Sonja Krüger Ezemvelo KZN Wildlife<br />

Steve McKean Ezemvelo KZN Wildlife<br />

Steven Piper Ornithological Support Services<br />

Thulo Qhotsokoane National Biodiversity Coordinator<br />

Tsepo Lepono Maloti-Drakensberg Transfrontier Project<br />

Wigbert Vogeley German Development Service / District Council of<br />

Quthing<br />

Yolan Friedmann CBSG SA / Endangered Wildlife Trust<br />

Yoliswa Ndlovu Ezemvelo KZN Wildlife<br />

Zella Zintatho Matwele Dept. of Economic Affairs, Enviro and Tourism<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

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SECTION 3<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

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5. Taxonomic description<br />

Geographical Variation: Mainly in shade of rufous below and in size.<br />

Subspp: World two, southern Africa one (del Hoyo, Elliott and Sargatal 1994: 125).<br />

Vultur barbatus Linnaeus, 1758, Santa Cruz, near Oran, Algeria.<br />

G. b. barbatus Linnaeus, 1758, NW Africa and SW Eurpe through Turkey, Egypt, Middle East,<br />

Iran and Afghanistan to Mongolia and central and NE China.<br />

G. b. meridionalis Keyserling & Blasius, 1840, Wirbelth. Europ., p28; S Africa, Sundays R, E<br />

Cape (vide Streseman, 1954, Ann. Mus. R. du Congo Belge, new ser. in 4th, Zool., 1:82).<br />

Throughout species range in s Africa, extralimitally in E Africa and Ethiopia.<br />

Identification: 110 cm, 5.7 kg, wingspan 2.6 m. Sexes alike, though females may be slightly<br />

larger. Within a pair, females have broader wings at junction of primaries and secondaries<br />

because P1 (i.e. the inner-most primary flight feather) and P2 are longer than the adjacent<br />

secondaries.<br />

Adult: Appears as a dark bird with a blonde head. Head fully feathered, eye and beard<br />

prominent, no supra-orbital ridge. Facial mask is black around the eye, extends downwards<br />

over nostrils and cere to end in a bristly beard, 45-55 mm long. Feathers of crown, sides of<br />

face and jaws close-cropped downy semi-plumes, feathers of the back of head, nape and<br />

throat long and shaggy. Colour varies from almost white to bright orange depending on soil<br />

(see Other, below). Whole of under-body, feathered leggings and long under-tail coverts<br />

usually orange to rufous (see Other, below). Light colour of under-body spreads onto underwings<br />

to form ‘armpits’ - these patterns may be unique to each individual (see Individual<br />

recognition, below). Upper body is dark slate-grey coming up to the base of the neck. Almost<br />

all the dark upper wing coverts have a light streak along the midrib that broadens out to a blob<br />

at the tip, feathers of mantle, scapulars and back also streaked. Remiges (i.e. wing flight<br />

feathers) are blackish and the rectrices (i.e. tail flight feathers) plain dark brown with<br />

contrasting white quills which create a streaky appearance which is only apparent close-up. At<br />

rest the bird stands with its body almost horizontal and gives the impression of being<br />

elongated with short legs. From below, under-wing coverts dark with light-coloured streaks<br />

along their centres, last row of coverts and flight feathers dark grey. In flight, wings long and<br />

pointed, appear to have a slightly darker trailing edge, tail long and wedge-shaped when<br />

fanned. Bill, tarsi and toes brown, cere grey. Eyes with pale yellow iris are surrounded by<br />

broad scarlet sclerotic ring.<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

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Sub-adult: (45-60 months). Like 2 nd immature, but head paler, clearly separated from more<br />

rufous chest and belly by dark chestnut neck ring. Eye-ring is deep red, not opaque, as in<br />

adult.<br />

Immature: (24-45 months) Eyes change to clear yellow by 36 months, though still darker than<br />

adults, eye-ring deep red and slightly opaque though becoming less so with age. Beard 37<br />

mm at 36 months (n=1). Transition to complete adult plumage takes 6 years with pale feathers<br />

first appearing on the upper wing coverts and under-body and only later on the head so<br />

highlighting the black facial mask. After the first moult flight feathers are rounded and greyer.<br />

Juvenile: (3-24 months, n=2), Very dark brown all over, feathered mane is blackish. Beard<br />

short, ca 10 mm. Eyes slightly opaque pale yellow-brown, eye-ring changes from opaque<br />

brown-red at 8 months to opaque dull red. Rectrices and remiges are plain dark brown, paler<br />

along shafts and tipped buff. In flight the tail is more wedge-shaped and longer than that of<br />

adults, the wings are more pointed. Upper wing coverts and contour feathers are not as<br />

conspicuously streaked as in adults, making upper wing appear dappled.<br />

Confusing species: Large size, long pointed wings and long wedge-shaped tail are<br />

distinctive. On the ground, the long folded wings give a hunched appearance and it stands<br />

with body almost horizontal and gives the impression of being elongated with short legs, unlike<br />

the larger Cape Griffon Vulture (Gyps coprotheres), the only other sympatric vulture in<br />

southern Africa, which holds its body almost upright. All age classes are darker than the Cape<br />

Griffon Vulture and its neck is much shorter. In the air, the Bearded Vulture has longer and<br />

more pointed wings and tail (Brown 1989; Mundy, Butchart, Ledger and Piper 1992: 202ff).<br />

Confusion between Bearded Vultures and other species should be unlikely in southern Africa<br />

(Brown 1997a).<br />

Individual recognition: Based on a small sample size in a three week study of birds visiting<br />

the hide at Giant’s Castle (Magdel Combrink, in litt.) it was possible to identify nine different<br />

adult Bearded Vultures flying past, based on their under-wing patterns (i.e. ‘armpits’).<br />

Other: The rufous or orange stain on the feathers of the underbelly is from an accumulation of<br />

iron oxide on the feather barbs, acquired from a passive and incidental contact (C.J. Brown in<br />

Mundy et al. 1992: 206) though, in captivity, they may actively seek out dust-bathing in iron<br />

oxide rich soils (see photograph and caption in Frey, Schaden and Bijleveld van Lexmond<br />

2000: inside back cover.<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

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6. Life history<br />

Breeding: Presumably monogamous in southern Africa, and solitary (Mundy et al. 1992: 213-<br />

215). Polyandrous trios have been recorded in Europe (Heredia and Donázar 1990) as well as<br />

solitary behaviour. In southern Africa three adults have been seen, on occasions, at the nests<br />

on Monks Cowl and Black Mountain in 2004 (S. Krüger pers. comm.) and at the Black<br />

Mountain nest in 2005 (S. Krüger pers. comm.; S.E. Piper, pers. obs.), though it is not known<br />

if these trios were made up of one female and two males. Average inter-pair distance = 6.3 km<br />

and min = 0.7 km in the high Drakensberg, 15 km in the Lesotho highlands and 19 km in the<br />

northern Eastern Cape Province, average breeding density is estimated at 1 pair/167.5 km 2<br />

(Mundy et al. 1992: 215). Small exclusive breeding territory, ca 30 m in diameter, is<br />

maintained around nest only; however, Verreaux’s Eagles (Aquila verreauxii) are chased at<br />

250 m (Mundy et al. 1992: 215). Most ‘courtship flights’ are initiated by the male who flaps up<br />

behind the female when she is gliding in the vicinity of the nest, this is followed for a few<br />

minutes by shallow undulations, either sex may lead (Mundy et al. 1992: 213). One bird flies<br />

upwards to a height and dives down to the other which rolls on its back and they engage<br />

talons: the diving bird calls shrilly (commonly observed among large raptors: Simmons and<br />

Mendelsohn 1993). Up to 14 such dives may occur. With talons locked they may fall through<br />

the air for a few hundred metres. Thereafter, they may land on a ledge and allopreen (Mundy<br />

et al. 1992: 214). Allopreening between partners is common, especially in the early morning<br />

and late afternoon (Mundy et al. 1992: 214). Copulation is preceded by a bout of allopreening,<br />

usually initiated by the male (Mundy et al. 1992: 214). They may also rub faces and heads<br />

together, sometimes the male bows a few times and even stamps his feet as if marching. The<br />

female stands next to the male slightly crouched before copulation that may take only a few<br />

seconds, occasionally they make a few soft high-pitched calls (Mundy et al. 1992: 214). Prebreeding<br />

courtship feeding has not been recorded.<br />

Nest: Males bring the sticks, carried lengthways, eagle-like, while females undertake the<br />

construction and help to provide the lining (Mundy et al. 1992: 215). They always nest on<br />

cliffs, usually in potholes or small caves, sometimes on ledges (Mundy et al. 1992: 214). In<br />

southern Africa nest sites on basalt cliffs average 195 m above ground and 2 814 m above<br />

sea level while those on sandstone average 47 m above ground and 1 935 m above sea level<br />

(Mundy et al. 1992: 214). The range of 74 nests in southern Africa was 24-732 m above<br />

ground and 1 850-3 200 m above sea level (Mundy et al. 1992: 214). The nests on exposed<br />

ledges were at lower altitudes and not susceptible to snowfalls. Pairs may have from one to<br />

eight alternative nests ranging from 2 m to 2 km apart, average = 230 m (Mundy et al. 1992:<br />

214). Often use an alternative nest site each year, usually refurbishing an existing nest,<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

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possibly to starve out ectoparasites from the nest fabric (Simmons and Mendelsohn 1993:<br />

215). However, this is not always the case, the Bearded Vulture nest on Black Mountain, near<br />

the Sehonghong River was used every year from 1993 to 2005, both years inclusive (R.D.<br />

Guy pers. comm.). Most nests receive no direct sunlight and are on the leeward side so that<br />

the parents can approach upwind (Mundy et al. 1992: 214). They construct a large nest of<br />

many twigs and branches (up to 1 m), average 1 m in diameter and 500 mm deep. Cup, with<br />

an internal diameter of ca 400 mm is copiously lined with wool, hair and skin (Mundy et al.<br />

1992: 214-215). Unlike vultures (Gyps species), the nest site is largely unmarked by droppings<br />

(Mundy et al. 1992: 215).<br />

Laying dates: May (7), June (23), July (3) and August (1) (Mundy et al. 1992: 216 and RD<br />

Jeffery unpublished data), clearly autumn and early winter with pairs in the west (i.e. Maloti<br />

Mountains) laying nearly a month earlier than those in the east (i.e. Drakensberg) (Mundy et<br />

al. 1992: 216). Breeding is timed to synchronize the maximum food availability in September-<br />

October with the time of maximum food demand, when the nestling is growing fast and only 1<br />

adult can leave the nest to forage (Mundy et al. 1992: 217).<br />

Eggs: 1-3 (1.7, n=38) (Maclean 1993,, RD Jeffery unpublished data), second egg laid 3-5 d<br />

after first (n=4), but interval can be up to 10 days (Mundy et al. 1992: 216). The egg is broadly<br />

oval in shape and rufous-orange in colour with a mottling of purple or reddish brown, some<br />

eggs paler or even whitish. Eggs have a rough shell that acquires iron oxide colouring from<br />

incubating adults so that they become darker with time (Mundy et al. 1992: 215). Size (n=27)<br />

86.3-95.5 x 62.8-68.5 mm (86.9 x 65.4 mm) (Maclean 1993; RD Jeffery unpublished data;<br />

Northern Flagship Institution (= Transvaal Museum, in old speak); Steyn 1982). These data<br />

come from both South Africa and Kenya and need to be unpacked. Second egg in clutch is<br />

smaller by 4 mm in length and 3 mm in width (n=2) (Mundy et al. 1992: 215). Mass (n=2, G. b.<br />

barbatus, Europe) 242 g, i.e. ca 4% of ad mass, thus clutch of 2 is 8% (Mundy et al. 1992:<br />

215). Pairs breed at most once a year and replacement clutches are unrecorded Mundy et al.<br />

1992: 216).<br />

Incubation: Starts with first-laid egg, presumably to prevent it dying of cold (Mundy et al.<br />

1992: 216). The incubation period is 56-58 days; by both sexes during the day, female only at<br />

night, female incubates ca 75% of time (Mundy et al. 1992: 216). Incubating adults sit tight but<br />

rise up ca once per hour to turn egg. A change-over occurs approximately once every 2.5 hr,<br />

and is quick and ‘stealthy’ and egg(s) are left exposed for less than 2 minutes (Mundy et al.<br />

1992: 216). Males are more ‘restless’ when incubating. Incoming bird may bring new nest<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

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material, outgoing bird may give a high-pitched shriek and defecate when on the wing.<br />

Sometimes parents ‘bow’ to each other at change-over (Mundy et al. 1992: 216). Adults may<br />

depart to drink water once or twice a day and may retrieve and eat a bone from a nearby<br />

cache (Mundy et al. 1992: 216). Predation on eggs is unrecorded and adults drive off other<br />

Bearded Vultures, White-necked Ravens (Corvus albicollis) and Verreaux’s Eagles (Mundy et<br />

al. 1992: 216). In the European reintroduction breeding programme, a sex ratio of newly<br />

hatched Bearded Vultures was observed to be 150 males to 143 females (H. Frey, in litt.).<br />

This is 51.2% males and is not statistically different from 50% (chi-squared test, p > 68%), the<br />

95% confidence limits are approximately 45.41% to 56.98%. Thus p=0.5119, where p is the<br />

sex ratio and the approximate standard deviation of p is 0.028925.<br />

Development & care of young: Eggs take 2 day to hatch, hatchlings are well covered in<br />

grey-white down all over except for black down on face and around nostrils; cere is downy, not<br />

naked and eyes are open (Mundy et al. 1992: 216). Hatchling mass is ca 90-130 grams (from<br />

captive studies) (Mundy et al. 1992: 216). At ca 21 days nestling is ca 1 kilogram and a<br />

second coat of thick woolly greyish brown down develops. By 28 days black vanes are visible<br />

along main feather tracts and eye-ring is developing and reddening. Nestling(s) is/are<br />

constantly guarded by both adults up to 40 days, by the female at night and thereafter<br />

decreases to 90 days when it is left completely alone. Nestling(s) is/are left alone at night from<br />

7 weeks on but guarded during the day and from ca 8 weeks on it is left unguarded during the<br />

day as well (Mundy et al. 1992: 217). Both adults bring food to the nest, may visit up to once<br />

every 2 hours, though not always with food. Initially nestlings are fed small pieces of meat that<br />

are pulled off a larger piece carried to the nest in the adults’ feet; morsels are passed from<br />

beak to beak, all rather eagle-like (Mundy et al. 1992: 217). In captivity it has been observed<br />

that adults salivate profusely over morsels, especially for very small nestlings, perhaps<br />

providing digestive enzymes or lubricating the food (Mundy et al. 1992: 217). Nestlings<br />

sometimes beg with a bobbing motion and a cheeping call, this becomes louder and shriller in<br />

a hungry individual (Mundy et al. 1992: 217). By 6 weeks bill and gape are large and feather<br />

vanes of contour and flight feathers are well out and blackish brown in colour (Mundy et al.<br />

1992: 217). Bone fragments are fed from 1 week on; as the nestling grows so the proportion of<br />

bone in the diet increases, mostly limbs and long-bones from sheep and goats, often young<br />

animals. Other items fed to nestlings include antelope, hyrax, hare, dog and birds (Mundy et<br />

al. 1992: 217-218). At 6 weeks the nestling has mixture of down and feathers and can<br />

presumably self-thermoregulate (Mundy et al. 1992: 217). At this age, both adults still bring<br />

food but the female apparently feeds nestling more often. By 11 weeks the nestling is dorsally<br />

well covered in feathers, except for downy head and neck; fed ca 550 grams per day and this<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

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takes ca 20 minutes and it can take bones of up to 15 cm. From ca 13 weeks the nestling<br />

snatches food from adults and can feed itself, food is brought ca 3-4 times per day, adults no<br />

longer stay with nestling (Mundy et al. 1992: 217-218). A captive-bred nestling of 102 days<br />

weighed 5.65 kg (Mundy et al. 1992: 217). Nestlings of 117 and 120 days were found below<br />

their nests but could not yet fly, but four other nestlings aged 124-128 days flew successfully,<br />

giving nestling period of 120–130 days (Mundy et al. 1992: 217-218). A nestling requires ca 40<br />

kg of food to fledge (Mundy et al. 1992: 218). The fledgling is like the juvenile except for<br />

underdeveloped lanceolate feathers of head and neck. For first 2 weeks seldom flies more<br />

than 200 m from nest. Roosts at night at nest where it is fed. At 4 weeks flies up to 3 km from<br />

nest, practises carrying bones in its feet and visits local ossuary to practise bone dropping; at<br />

2 months flight is still clumsy. From 2-6 months flies about with its parents, increases its range<br />

(up to 170 km 2 ) and flight lengths (up to 15 km from nest and 50 km long) and then gains<br />

independence (Mundy et al. 1992: 218). Last fed by adults at ca 12-14 weeks, this is<br />

presumably the post fledging dependence period, never returns to nest once the next<br />

breeding cycle has begun (Mundy et al. 1992: 218).<br />

Breeding success and Fecundity: At most one fledgling is produced per successful<br />

breeding attempt, irrespective of the number of eggs laid; the Cain-and-Abel sibling<br />

aggression syndrome is not known in southern Africa, and the older nestling usually outcompetes<br />

the younger which then starves to death (Mundy et al. 1992: 217-219). In southern<br />

Africa 18 breeding attempts produced 16 fledglings (= 0.8889 fledglings per pair p.a.), mainly<br />

in KwaZulu-Natal but also in Lesotho (Mundy et al. 1992: 217-219). In Kenya a single nest<br />

yielded seven nestlings from eight breeding attempts (= 0.875 fledglings per pair p.a.) while 15<br />

breeding attempts from three nests yielded ten nestlings (= 0.6667 fledglings per pair p.a.)<br />

(Mundy et al. 1992: 218-219). There are few records of predation on nestlings but there is one<br />

record of a nestling being killed by two White-necked Ravens (Mundy et al. 1992: 218).<br />

In a study in the Spanish Pyrenees, in 2000, there were 87 territories (61 pairs and 16<br />

trios, i.e. 18% trios) and of these there were 77 breeding attempts (i.e. 88.5%) with 65%<br />

producing a juvenile, i.e. 0.65 fledglings per breeding territory p.a. and 0.57 fledglings per<br />

territory (including non-breeding territories) p.a. (R. Heredia in Frey et al. 2000: 76-79). Later,<br />

in 2004, 106 territories were located (a larger area was monitored, including some with lower<br />

productivity) of which 88 held breeding pairs (i.e. 83%) and 33 fledglings were produced from<br />

84 ‘controlled’ nests giving a fecundity of 0.39 fledglings per breeding attempt or 0.326<br />

fledglings per territory (including non-breeding territories) p.a. (R. Heredia in Frey, Schaden<br />

and Bijleveld van Lexmond 2004: 70-72).<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

On the northern side of the Pyrenees a total of 24 territories were monitored in 2004 (22<br />

pairs and two trios) and 10 fledglings were produced from 20 clutches, with 91% of territorial<br />

groups breeding, a 50% breeding success and a fecundity of 0.45 fledglings per territory p.a.<br />

(M. Razine in Frey et al. 2004: 68- 69).<br />

Recruitment: Assuming 204 breeding pairs in the early 1980s (see Population, below), an<br />

estimated 181 fledglings would have recruited to the population each year in southern Africa<br />

(Mundy et al. 1992: 218-219).<br />

Age first breeding: Probably ca 7 years, though one southern African bird bred at ca 5 years<br />

(Mundy et al. 1992: 214).<br />

Breeding senescence: There is no information on when Bearded Vultures stop breeding, in<br />

the wild, if at all. The oldest known-age pair breeding in the wild (Balthazar, BG 099, released<br />

1988 and 18 years x Assignat BG 111, released 1989 and 17 years; Bargy Mountain, Haute<br />

Savoie) breed, successfully, almost every year (H. Frey, in litt.). However, a pair in captivity<br />

(BG 019 x BG 021, Alpine Zoo, Innsbruck, Austria) are both 40 years old and still breeding<br />

and produced an offspring in 2005 which was blind and it is suggested that this is because the<br />

adults are too old (H. Frey, in litt.).<br />

Survival: Survival of fledglings up to age 4 yr was 12% (i.e. an average annual survival rate of<br />

59%) while adult survival was 95% p.a. and mean life span of individuals reaching adult<br />

plumage was 22 years (Mundy et al. 1992: 218-219). There is no evidence to suggest that the<br />

survival rates of males and females are different. However, the existence of polyandrous trios<br />

in Europe (Heredia and Donázar 1990), and trios (sex structure unknown) in the southern<br />

African deme, may point to females having a lower survival rate and hence being in short<br />

supply. Alternatively, viable territories with adequate food may be in short supply in which<br />

case polyandrous trios could also form as a result of competition.<br />

Longevity: There are no published records of maximum age in the wild of African Bearded<br />

Vultures though a single colour-ringed bird was seen in about 1993 at Giant’s Castle and this<br />

was probably ringed by Dr. C.J. Brown a decade earlier (S.E. Piper, pers. obs.). In the<br />

European Alps reintroduction programme, there were still alive, in 2004, three birds that were<br />

originally released in 1986, i.e. at least 19 years old (Frey et al. 2004: 26).<br />

15


Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

In captivity, the oldest living male (Studbook No. 031) was 45 years old and the oldest<br />

living female (Studbook No. 003) was 43 years old, both in 2004 (Frey et al. 2004: 18). It is<br />

possible to estimate approximate longevities from empirical formulae (Newton 1979, quoting<br />

Lindstedt & Calder 1976):<br />

T = 16.6 M 0.18 , for wild non-passerines,<br />

T = 28.3 M 0.19 , for captive birds, with Longevity, T measured in years and mass, M measured<br />

in kilograms.<br />

The mass of adult Bearded Vultures is estimate as lying between 5.2 and 6.25 kg (Piper<br />

2005 or as having a mean mass of 5.74±0.4 kg (Brown 1989), which suggests a 95% range of<br />

4.94 to 6.64 kg. Using these limits, the longevity of wild birds should be between 22 and 23<br />

years and captive birds between 38 and 40 years, the latter figure coming close to the<br />

European experience. If we assume that longevity means that 1 in 100 survive to this age then<br />

the annual survival rate of adult Bearded Vultures would be 0.81 and if we assumed that it<br />

means that 1 in 1000 would survive to this age that yields an annual survival rate of 0.73 and<br />

both of these figures seem very low.<br />

Senescence: There is no information on senescence in Bearded Vultures, in the wild, if it<br />

exists.<br />

Population age structure: Young birds (juvenile & immature) made up 27% of population,<br />

sub-ads 2.6% and ads 70% (Mundy et al. 1992: 219). The proportion of young birds is higher<br />

in areas of low breeding density, i.e. nursery areas.<br />

Foraging and home range: The home range used by an individual in a year is 4 000 km 2 (i.e.<br />

equivalent to a circle of radius 36 km) to 7 500 km 2 (i.e. equivalent to a circle of radius 49 km)<br />

(Brown 1997b; Mundy et al. 1992: 209-210).<br />

Movements: Breeding adults are resident throughout the breeding season but may wander<br />

short distances to lower altitudes during the summer when not breeding. Marked individuals<br />

have been seen to move within a daily home range of up to 75-80 km in diameter, though they<br />

will go up to 90 km from their nest or roost (Brown 1997a), while actually flying 600-700 km<br />

along their route in a single day (Mundy et al. 1992: 210). Throughout its restricted range in<br />

southern Africa the bird is considered sedentary. Young birds wander widely but concentrate<br />

in areas of low adult densities, i.e. nursery areas (Brown 1997a; Mundy et al. 1992: 210).<br />

16


Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

General Habits: Adults are more likely to be seen alone than in pairs, occasionally in pairs<br />

and sometimes up to 4 birds seen together, seldom form social aggregations, as in other<br />

species of vulture (Mundy et al. 1992: 208). Couples flying together during the breeding<br />

season are often two males or two females from nearby breeding territories but outside the<br />

breeding season partners may forage together (Mundy et al. 1992: 208). Immature birds<br />

forage singly, in pairs, triplets and even with Cape Griffon Vultures. Larger groups, up to eight,<br />

sometimes 12-18, may assemble at food sources, e.g. vulture restaurants (Mundy et al. 1992:<br />

208). They regularly bathe in shallow rock pools and mountain streams after first drinking<br />

(Mundy et al. 1992: 209). The individual often first submerges its head and then tries to sit in<br />

the water and wet its back. Birds have been seen in the early morning in a spread-wing<br />

posture with their backs or sides to the sun (Mundy et al. 1992: 209). Only captive birds have<br />

been seen dust-bathing (Mundy et al. 1992: 209; see also inside back cover picture of Frey et<br />

al. 2000). Roost and sleep on cliff ledges, in potholes and small caves or at one of their nest<br />

sites, never on trees or on the ground in southern Africa (Mundy et al. 1992:209). They sleep<br />

resting on their bellies with their feet covered by feathers and head and with their neck<br />

hunched, and the body temperature is not lowered at night (Siegfried and Frost 1973).<br />

Foraging & Food: Forage exclusively from the air spending up to 80% of daylight hours on<br />

the wing, using mountain winds, slope drafts and declivity winds in order to search hillsides<br />

(Mundy et al. 1992: 209). They frequently forage in pairs or small groups so able to search a<br />

greater area (Mundy et al. 1992: 213). The birds rise between dawn and sunrise moving to a<br />

sunny spot and flying off if the wind and topography permit (Mundy et al. 1992: 209).<br />

Occasionally a bird will fly directly to a known food source at first light (Mundy et al. 1992:<br />

209). Once airborne, almost all progress is by gliding and soaring, seldom flapping and then at<br />

ca 2-3 beats per second; gliding is ca three times as common as soaring. Where the slope or<br />

declivity winds permit, birds glide ca 2-4 m above the ground in a sweeping, quartering or<br />

zigzag fashion at ca 40 km/hr (Mundy et al. 1992: 209-210). They can also search for food by<br />

flying along ridges at a greater height (20–70 m) and a greater speed (50–77 km/hr) (Mundy et<br />

al. 1992: 210). In summer they may spend up to 20% of their time searching for food at<br />

heights of up to 1 000 m (Mundy et al. 1992: 210). There are no observations of predation by<br />

the Bearded Vulture in southern Africa, and all food is scavenged from commercial and<br />

communal farms, and from protected areas. Adults avoid human habitation, but immature<br />

birds visit vulture restaurants more frequently than adults (Mundy et al. 1992: 210-211). When<br />

an individual is the first to detect a food source, especially a large carcass, it behaves as if it is<br />

very nervous, circling around, landing afar, taking off and circling again; this behaviour often<br />

attracts other vultures and eagles (Mundy et al. 1992: 210-211). An adult, if disturbed at this<br />

17


Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

stage, is much more likely to fly off; an immature which is more dependent on large carcasses,<br />

is more likely to stay and in turn be joined by other immature birds (Mundy et al. 1992: 211).<br />

Bearded Vultures of all ages give way to Cape Griffon Vultures of all ages and adult<br />

Verreaux’s Eagles but are not intimidated by immature Verreaux’s Eagles (Mundy et al. 1992:<br />

211). Food consists mainly bones from both fresh and old carcasses and given a choice they<br />

prefer bone to fresh meat (Mundy et al. 1992: 212-213) but they require red meat to feed<br />

nestlings (Brown 1997b). They are well-adapted to handle and process bones, including a<br />

wide gape of ca 70 mm which allows bones of up to 250 mm long by 35 mm in diameter to be<br />

swallowed, and digestion can proceed with part of the bone sitting in the throat or even still<br />

protruding from the mouth (Mundy et al. 1992: 212). Digestive juices are very acidic, probably<br />

with a pH of ca 1.0-1.5 (Mundy et al. 1992: 212). They are able to disarticulate bones from<br />

skeletons by tearing or cutting tendons and ligaments using the bill, and thus able to utilise<br />

completely dried-out carcasses (Mundy et al. 1992: 212). They are able to fly with large bones<br />

held parallel to the body, and process it at its leisure elsewhere. The heaviest bone removed<br />

was 4.3 kg, i.e. ca 69-83% of its body weight (Mundy et al. 1992: 212). The most famous<br />

adaptation, earning the name Ossifrage, is their ability to carry a bone aloft and drop it on an<br />

ossuary or ‘rock anvil.’ The average size of nine ossuaries in southern Africa was 1 600 m 2 ,<br />

i.e. a diameter of 44 m (Mundy et al. 1992: 212). Gliding downwind at ca 56 m (range 16-70<br />

m) above ground, the bird steepens its glide, lowers its feet, drops the bone and then turns<br />

into the wind and descends and lands in a fluttery way (Mundy et al. 1992: 212), a technique<br />

that has to be learnt by immature birds (Mundy et al. 1992: 212). Bones are dropped an<br />

average of six times to 21 times (Mundy et al. 1992: 212). Breaking large bones reduces them<br />

to more manageable pieces and exposes the marrow. The long protrusible tongue, which is<br />

grooved but smooth along the edges is presumably used to scoop out marrow from bones and<br />

brains from skulls. The average diet is 70% bone, 25% fresh meat and 5% skin (Mundy et al.<br />

1992: 212-213). The most identifiable food items brought to the nest in southern Africa are<br />

from domestic stock, especially sheep and goats but also from cattle (Mundy et al. 1992: 218).<br />

Afterbirths from sheep are also eaten (Mundy et al. 1992: 213). Estimated food consumption<br />

465 grams food per day, ca 8% of body mass, which they try to consume every day, avoiding<br />

the feast and famine strategy of vultures (Gyps species) (Mundy et al. 1992: 213). Breeding<br />

adults form caches of food items, especially bones in potholes near their nests (Brown 1997b;<br />

Mundy et al. 1992: 216). Competition with other birds for food is rare; only one record known<br />

of a presumed adult Verreaux’s Eagle pirating meat from a Bearded Vulture (Scotcher 1973).<br />

Competition with scavenging mammals exists, currently most likely with domestic dogs and<br />

Black-backed Jackals Canis mesomelas, but probably with Spotted and Brown Hyaenas<br />

Crocuta crocuta and Hyaena brunnea in the past. It does not compete with White-necked<br />

18


Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

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Ravens and Cape Griffon Vultures (Brown 1997b) as they take mainly red meat, organs and<br />

entrails. They avoid direct competition with vultures (Gyps species) when feeding nestlings by<br />

flying much earlier in the morning. Foraging range during the breeding season varies between<br />

300-750 km 2 though the home range during a year could be between 4 000 and 7 500 km 2<br />

(Brown 1997b; Mundy et al. 1992: 209-210).<br />

7. Genetics in southern Africa<br />

Currently there is no information on the genetic structure of the southern African deme. (A<br />

deme is a spatially discrete, interbreeding group of organisms all of the same species.)<br />

However, this deme is likely to be genetically uniform because it is small, less than 600<br />

individuals all within an area, which is small relative to their likely foraging range. The nature of<br />

the relationship between the southern African deme and the populations in East Africa is not<br />

known. Furthermore, the genetic relationship between the two sub-species is also not known.<br />

In a recent abstract (in Frey et al. 2004: 117) the results of a genetic analysis of the<br />

mitochondria of the Bearded Vulture were summarised as follows:<br />

Bearded Vulture populations in the Western Palearctic have experienced a severe<br />

decline during the last two centuries that has led to the near extinction of the<br />

species in Europe. In this paper we analyze the sequence variation at the<br />

mitochondrial control region throughout the species range to infer its recent<br />

evolutionary and to evaluate the current genetic status of the species. This study<br />

became possible through the extensive use of museum specimens to study<br />

populations now extinct. Phylogenetic analysis revealed the existence of two<br />

divergent mitochondrial lineages, lineage A occurring mainly in Western European<br />

populations and lineage B in African, Eastern European and Central Asian<br />

populations. The relative frequencies of haplotypes belonging to each lineage in the<br />

different populations show a steep East-West clinal distribution with maximal<br />

mixture of the two lineages in the Alps and Greece populations. A genealogical<br />

signature for population growth found for lineage B but not for lineage A and the<br />

Clade B haplotypes in Western populations and clade A haplotypes in eastern<br />

populations are recently derived, as revealed by their peripheral location in medianjoining<br />

haplotype networks. This phylogeographic pattern suggests allopatric<br />

differentiation of the two lineages in separate Mediterranean and African or Asian<br />

glacial refugia, followed by range expansion from the latter leading to two secondary<br />

contact suture zones in Central Europe and North Africa. High levels of among<br />

population differentiation were observed, although these were not correlated with<br />

geographical distance. Due to the marked genetic structure, extinction of Central<br />

European populations in the last century resulted in the loss of a major portion of<br />

the genetic diversity for the species. We also found direct evidence for the effect of<br />

drift altering the genetic composition of the remnant Pyrenean population after the<br />

demographic bottleneck of the last century. Our results argue for the management<br />

of the species as a single population, given the apparent ecological exchangeability<br />

of extant stocks, and support the ongoing reintroduction of mix ancestry birds in the<br />

Alps and planned reintroductions in Southern Spain. (José A. Godoy, Juan J.<br />

Negro, Fernando Hiraldo, José A. Donázar)<br />

From this it is clear that nothing is clear.<br />

19


Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

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8. Distribution and population status<br />

Distribution: The species is distributed from Europe and North Africa in the west to Asia in<br />

the east and Africa in the south (Brown 1997a). Within Africa, the nominate race (i.e. G. b.<br />

barbatus) is only found in the mountains of the north-west. South of the Sahara, in Africa,<br />

there are two isolated populations, one in Ethiopia (ca. 4000 pairs) and Kenya, Uganda and<br />

Tanzania (ca. 50 pairs), another in southern Africa (< 200 pairs). The southern African deme<br />

has a breeding range of about 35,000 km 2 and a foraging range of about 100,000 km 2 (Brown<br />

1997a).<br />

This deme is restricted to the high mountain ranges of the Kingdom of Lesotho and to<br />

the mountainous regions of South Africa in three provinces: the Free State, KwaZulu-Natal<br />

and the Eastern Cape (including the former Transkei), with almost all sightings at altitudes<br />

greater than 1 500 m (Brown 1997a). Though formerly it was known from the Cape Fold<br />

Mountains, in the southern and western Cape, at altitudes less than 1 000 m (Brown 1997a;<br />

Layard 1867: 2), and even near the coast (collected at Inanda, KwaZulu-Natal by Thomas<br />

Ayres - Gurney 1864).<br />

The distribution of the entire southern African deme was rather crudely mapped in the<br />

last quarter of the twentieth century, based on an intuitive understanding of the species habitat<br />

requirements but not using any systematic bio-geographic data (e.g. Steyn 1982: 9 ff; Maclean<br />

1985: 106 ff). More accurate maps were made for South Africa, but excluding Lesotho, at<br />

about the same time and also giving some idea of range contraction since European<br />

settlement of the sub-continent (e.g. Boshoff, Brooke and Crowe 1978; Brooke 1984).<br />

Regional distributions were mapped in the 1970s and 1980s for the then South African<br />

Provinces of Natal (Cyrus and Robson 1980), Orange Free State (Earlé and Grobler 1987),<br />

Cape (Boshoff, Vernon and Brooke 1983) and Transvaal (Tarboton and Allan 1984); see<br />

below for details.<br />

By 1940 the Bearded Vulture had disappeared from the southern and south-western<br />

Cape and by 1970 from the Eastern Cape (Brown 1997a).<br />

The first attempt at a comprehensive distribution map for the southern African deme was<br />

composed of two elements: a breeding distribution (in 72 ¼ ° ¼° by grid-cells) and a total<br />

distribution (in 79 ¼ ° ¼° by grid-cells) (Brown 1992).<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

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Figure 1: Post-1980 breeding distribution of the Bearded Vulture in southern Africa, mapped<br />

per ¼˚ square (Brown 1992).<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

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Figure 2: Post-1980 distribution of the Bearded Vulture in southern Africa based on my<br />

sightings augmented by those of reliable colleagues and staff of Forestry and Nature<br />

Conservation agencies (Brown 1992).<br />

The Bearded Vulture was located in 92 1/4 ° 1/4 by grid-cells (i.e. 2% of all of southern<br />

Africa) during the Southern African Bird Atlas Programme (SABAP) and this gives a total<br />

distributional range of 60,205 km 2 , although this author claimed that this deme’s range was<br />

100,000 km 2 (Brown 1997a). These data from SABAP were collected, in the main, in the five<br />

year period 1988 to 1992, both years inclusive (Harrison, Allan, Underhill, Herremans, Tree,<br />

Parker and Brown 1997), though for KwaZulu-Natal, the earlier data collected between 1970<br />

and 1979, both years inclusive, for the Bird Atlas of Natal (Cyrus and Robson 1980) were also<br />

incorporated. Within this range there were 858 records of Bearded Vulture giving an average<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

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reporting rate of 13.5% within those grid-cells in which it was sighted (Brown 1997a). The<br />

highest reporting rates were in grid-cells along the eastern and southern escarpments of the<br />

Drakensberg and in the highest reaches of the Maloti Mountains (Brown 1997a). The reporting<br />

rate was slightly higher in winter months and this has been attributed to more birds using<br />

vulture restaurants and so being more visible to observers (Brown 1997a). There were 15<br />

grid-cells in which the reporting rate was less than 2% and possibly the Bearded Vulture can<br />

be regarded as a vagrant in these grid-cells. Note that 92-15 = 77 which is within the range of<br />

72 (breeding) and 79 (occurrence) predicted from data collected a decade earlier (Brown<br />

1992). This probably indicates that the species range, as determined about a decade apart,<br />

using different methods, had not changed significantly.<br />

Figure 3: Distribution map taken from The Eskom Red Data Book of Birds (Barnes 2000).<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

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The Bird Atlas of Natal (Cyrus and Robson 1980: 80), map below, shows the same<br />

distribution, within KwaZulu-Natal (i.e. 24 grid-cells which is 14% of the grid-cells in the<br />

Province) as does SABAP (Brown 1997a) but with the added dimension of seasonal<br />

occurrence: the grid-cells away from the escarpment have only vagrants visiting them.<br />

Figure 4: Bird atlas of Natal map (Cyrus and Robson 1980).<br />

The regional atlas for the Free State Province was based on data collect during a fouryear<br />

period, from January 1983 to December 1986 which preceded SABAP (Earlé and<br />

Grobler 1987: 74). There were only two grid-cells in which Bearded Vultures were regularly<br />

recorded, at the adjacent Golden Gate and QwaQwa National Parks.<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

Figure 5: Bird atlas of Free State map (Cyrus and Robson 1980).<br />

The regional atlas for the Cape Province was based on all data available to the authors,<br />

published, unpublished and fieldwork for the period 1700 to 1970 (Boshoff et al. 1983: 176-<br />

180) and their analyses show a dramatic range contraction (ibid.: 188-189).<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

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Table A<br />

Epoch Author Population estimate Method of estimation<br />

1903 Unknown in<br />

{Clancey 1966}<br />

in Kopij 2004<br />

Present, first written<br />

record.<br />

Direct observation?<br />

1960’s {Clancey 1966} 20 breeding pairs Visceral cogitation.<br />

1970’s Brown 1977 100 breeding pairs He drove across Lesotho in<br />

10 days.<br />

1970’s Steyn 1982: 9 ff 300 birds Analysis of road count data<br />

collected by a number of<br />

observers<br />

Early 1980’s Brown 1992 122.00 breeding pairs He spent some time in<br />

Lesotho, found 27 breeding<br />

sites (co-ordinates NOT<br />

given) plus visceral<br />

Late 1990’s Kopij 2004 55 to 70 breeding pairs<br />

though he only counted<br />

Allan and<br />

Jenkins 2005<br />

32 to 43 breeding pairs<br />

North western region -<br />

stable since about 1991<br />

Table A: All known estimates of population size in Lesotho.<br />

cogitation.<br />

Literature, field surveys and<br />

guesswork.<br />

Aerial survey, literature<br />

Figure 6: Physical regions in Lesotho, with marked areas, where Bearded Vultures<br />

were counted during the years 1998-2002 (numbered as Table 1). Grey – Senqu<br />

Valley; 17-20 – lowland; 16 – foothills; 1-14 – mountains (Kopij 2004).<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

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Table B<br />

Table B: Population size of the Bearded Vulture in selected areas in Lesotho during<br />

the years 1996-2002 (Kopij 2004).<br />

There are no modern records for the Bearded Vulture in the former Transvaal Province<br />

and the ancient records, such as they are, are thought to be unreliable (Tarboton, Kemp and<br />

Kemp 1987: 41).<br />

There is a possible range contract in the Free State, see Population, below. The current<br />

status of the Bearded Vulture in the Eastern Cape Province, including the former Transkei, is<br />

completely unknown.<br />

Population: The first estimates of population size in Lesotho were 120 pairs and 300 birds<br />

(Table A). The first definitive estimate of total population size in southern Africa was 630 birds<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

in the mid-1980s, based on fieldwork undertaken in the early 1980s, and this included<br />

approximately 204 breeding pairs (Brown 1992).<br />

In north-west Lesotho a total of 13-14 nests was located in about 1100 km 2 giving a<br />

density of one nest per 78.5 to 84.6 km 2 (Allan and Jenkins 2005). If the nests were at the<br />

centres of circular territories then they would be of diameters ranging from 4.99 to 5.189 km<br />

but if they were at the centres of hexagons then they would have radial arms of 3.89 to 4.04<br />

km. This suggests that nests would be between 7.78 to 8.08 km or 9.98 to 10.38 km apart,<br />

depending on the sort of spacing model assumed and assuming maximum packing with no<br />

unutilised areas. This lies within the region designated “4” (Figure 12 in Brown 1992) where a<br />

density of one pair per 183.9 km 2 was estimated in the early 1980’s and this is about 43% to<br />

46% of the density of the 2005 survey (Allan and Jenkins 2005). However, the region<br />

surveyed by the later workers was only a part of the earlier survey and it is expected to have a<br />

higher density of breeding Bearded Vultures because the human population density there is<br />

lower.<br />

The fates of particular pairs at individual sites and in small regions of Lesotho have been<br />

discussed by a number of fieldworkers (e.g. Ambrose and Maphisa 1999: 11 & 69; Allan,<br />

Spottiswoode and Whittingdon 1996, Maphisa 2001; Kopij 2001; Guy 1974; Kopij 2004;<br />

Osborne and Tigar 1990). Kopij (Kopij 2004), is of the opinion that from the early 1980s to<br />

about 2001 there was a real decline in breeding pairs and that C.J. Brown had made too<br />

optimistic an estimate.<br />

In a survey of a dozen nests known from in the period 1991-2000, seven were confirmed<br />

breeding during a helicopter survey in September 2005 and two were suspected of still<br />

breeding and three sites were deserted but an additional nine previously unknown sites were<br />

located, five with confirmed breeding and four with suspected breeding (Allan and Jenkins<br />

2005). All-in-all, these authors conclude that the Bearded Vulture population is likely to have<br />

remained stable in the north western region of the Lesotho highlands during the late 1990s<br />

and the first five years of this millennium (ibid.). Thus, it would seem that the estimate of 55 to<br />

70 pairs is a reasonable estimate for 2005 (Kopij 2004), with the decline from the earlier<br />

higher figure of 122 pairs (Brown 1992) being partitioned into an over optimistic estimate<br />

coupled with a real decline in the 1980s and early 1990s.<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

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Table C<br />

Region Brown 1992 Nesting pairs Possible additional<br />

(Krüger & pairs (Krüger & van<br />

van Zyl, in litt) Zyl, in litt)<br />

KZN<br />

19 counted 11 3: Vergelegen,<br />

Escarpment 37 estimated<br />

Rugged Glen, Redi<br />

Peak<br />

Free State &<br />

QwaQwa<br />

Escarpment<br />

KwaZulu-Natal<br />

Lowlands<br />

(Little ‘Berg)<br />

2 + 2 counted<br />

3 + 4 estimated<br />

(OFS/QwaQwa)<br />

3 counted<br />

5 estimated<br />

1 2: QwaQwa,<br />

GGHNP<br />

2 2: Nsekeni Vlei,<br />

East Griqualand<br />

Farm<br />

Aborted attempt<br />

(Krüger & van Zyl,<br />

in litt)<br />

1: Royal Natal<br />

Table C: Comparison of number of pairs of Bearded Vulture breeding in three regions<br />

of KwaZulu-Natal and Free State Provinces.<br />

It is clear from the above that the number of breeding pairs counted in the Free State<br />

Province, including the previous QwaQwa ‘homeland’ has shown a real decrease and it would<br />

not be surprising if this did not translate into a range contraction, which is easier to detect than<br />

a decrease in the number of nesting pairs. Similarly, there has been a reduction in the number<br />

of breeding pairs along the Drakensberg Escarpment between the early 1980s and 2005.<br />

The most optimistic estimate of the number of breeding pairs along the Drakensberg<br />

Escarpment and Little ’Berg is 21 pairs, in 2005, down from the count of 26 in the 1980’s<br />

(Brown 1992; S. Krüger & van Zul in litt.).<br />

If it is assumed that there has been NO decrease in the Eastern Cape then the total<br />

number of breeding pairs is likely to be made up as follows:<br />

Lesotho: 55 to 70<br />

Transkei: 17<br />

Rest of the Eastern Cape: 16<br />

KwaZulu-Natal and Free State Provinces: 21<br />

This yields a total breeding population of 109 to 124 pairs, say 110 to 125. These<br />

estimates are about 53% and 61% of the 1980s estimates of 204 pairs.<br />

0<br />

0<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

9. Protection status<br />

Bearded Vultures are not threatened globally (BirdLife International 2000), and are estimated<br />

to have a global range of 10 6 to 10 7 km 2 with a population of 10 4 to 10 5 individuals. It is<br />

however thought that the population is declining worldwide but not at a sufficiently fast rate to<br />

rate its status as anything higher than ‘Least Concern’ (BirdLife International 2004). However,<br />

in southern Africa it is classified as Endangered (Anderson 2000) with about 38% of<br />

population lost in recent times.<br />

Representation in conserved areas: there are between 12 and 19 pairs and between 29<br />

and 49 individuals in six Important Bird Areas (IBAs) in Lesotho (Appendix 1; Barnes 1998a),<br />

however, ALL Bearded Vultures breed in Lesotho OUTSIDE of protected areas. Considering<br />

that Lesotho is the heartland of this species (with about 60% of local deme) this is a serious<br />

issue. In South Africa there are Bearded Vultures in IBAs in KwaZulu-Natal: six IBAs with 30<br />

pairs and 61 to 102 individuals (Appendix 1; Johnson, Barnes and Taylor 1998) and in the<br />

Free State two to five individuals, but no breeding pairs in three IBAs (Appendix 1; Barnes,<br />

Colahan, Nuttall and Taylor 1998). Of the 15 IBAs in which Bearded Vultures have been<br />

recorded only six have had any breeding observed – a bleak picture (Appendix 1; Barnes<br />

1998b). Even if these figures are reasonable and if the total number of breeding pairs is about<br />

204 and the total number of individuals is about 630, see above, then this means that only<br />

21% to 24% of breeding pairs and only 15% to 25% of all individuals are within IBAs. In fact,<br />

this conveys a false sense of protection because Bearded Vultures wander far and wide in<br />

their daily foraging and so could spend most of their day outside protected areas.<br />

10. Habitat requirements<br />

In southern Africa, currently restricted to Alpine, Sour and Mixed Grasslands on rugged<br />

mountains and escarpments, all >1 500 m, though this was not the case in the past (Brown<br />

1997a). They forage along ridges and valleys in protected areas but range out over communal<br />

and commercial lands with adult birds more frequently avoiding human habitation, while birds<br />

of all ages can visit vulture restaurants (Brown 1997a).<br />

11. Threats<br />

Each of the major causes of decline are presented and evaluated in terms of their likely impact<br />

(Anderson 2000).<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

Food supply: The loss of natural ungulates, superior animal husbandry practices and<br />

improved animal hygiene has lead to a reduction in the food supply and is considered by<br />

some (e.g. Boshoff et al. 1983) to be the most serious cause of population decline and range<br />

contraction. Food is hypothesised as a limiting resource in Lesotho (for the same reasons as<br />

hypothesised by Boshoff et al. 1983, above) and also through the possible lowering of<br />

stocking rates consequent on overgrazing (D. Allan, in litt.). It is thought that food may be a<br />

limiting factor in parts of South Africa (S. Krüger, pers. comm.). In Lesotho, it is likely that<br />

nearly all dead livestock is eaten by the owners of the beast (Maphisa 1997) or harvested by<br />

shepherds and their attendant packs of feral dogs (S.E. Piper, pers. obs.). In the region<br />

around the Lesotho Highlands Water Project supplementary fodder is provided, by way of<br />

compensation to the local villagers and so there is a tendency to keep domestic livestock<br />

closer to the villages and thus dead livestock are less available to be found first by vultures<br />

(Maphisa 1997).<br />

Poisons: An opposing view (e.g. Brown 1991) is that outside of the Western Cape there is an<br />

adequate food supply but that the species is limited by the injudicious use of poisons. It has<br />

been suggested that up to 70% of all Bearded Vulture mortalities are due to poisoning (Brown<br />

1997a); poison is hypothesised as a serious cause of mortality in Lesotho (D. Allan, in litt.).<br />

Three Bearded Vultures were poisoned in the Eastern Cape (Boshoff 1991) when eating from<br />

a baited lamb carcass, set for Black-backed Jackals Canis mesomelas or some other ‘problem<br />

animal’ (see also Brown 1991). A minimum of two Bearded Vultures were poisoned in the<br />

period 1995-2002 and during this period there was a suspected increase in use of strychnine<br />

in Lesotho (N. van Zijl, unpublished data, EWT-Poison Working Group, in litt.). No further<br />

cases of poisoning have been recorded by the Poison Working Group since 2002 (T. Snow, in<br />

litt.). In a study on the poisoning of game-birds it was estimated that only 14% of poisoning<br />

incidents were reported and it is likely in Lesotho and other mountainous parts of the Bearded<br />

Vulture’s range that the reporting rate will be much lower (T. Snow, in litt.).<br />

‘Coyote Getters’: Two Bearded Vultures were recorded killed in the Fee State Province<br />

(Colahan 1991; Colahan and Esterhuizen 1997).<br />

Gin traps: A gin trap was used, at least once, to capture and kill a Bearded Vulture in the<br />

Free State Province (Ambrose 1983; Colahan 1991; Colahan and Esterhuizen 1997). In 1980<br />

a man was arrested in Lesotho having in his possession five Bearded Vulture skins, one Cape<br />

Griffon Vulture skin and a skin of a Verreaux’s Eagle, caught using a gin trap (Ambrose 1983<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

in Kopij 2004) and a nest in the Maphotong Gorge was abandoned after a Bearded Vultures<br />

was trapped nearby in 1983 (Blair and Blair 1983 in Maphisa 1997).<br />

Disturbance at the nest: Breeders are disturbed in the vicinity of the nest (Guy 1974; Kopij<br />

2001) and disturbed off the nest by recreational climbers, photographers (known to be a cause<br />

of low nest productivity in Europe, Brown 1997a) and as a result of livestock farming activities<br />

(Vernon and Boshoff 1997). Eggs and nestlings have been stolen and young birds have been<br />

attacked by vandals (Brown 1991). The intensity of disturbance may increase as a<br />

consequence of the opening up of the interior of Lesotho for the Lesotho Highlands<br />

Development Project, there are many new roads in the vicinity of the Katse and Mohale Dams<br />

and this is likely to allow people and development to ‘bleed’ into much of the highlands<br />

(Maphisa 1997; D. Allan, in litt.).<br />

Shooting and direct persecution: This may increase as the number of firearms increases in<br />

Lesotho (Maphisa 1997).<br />

Collection for traditional medicine: Vultures are important components in prognostication<br />

(e.g. predicting the outcomes of horse races, political elections, Beilis and Esterhuizen 2005)<br />

in traditional medicine. (Mundy et al. 1992: 219; Maphisa 1997).<br />

Collection for skins and plumage: These are used for ceremonial purposes in southern<br />

Africa. It is not known if any specimens are removed for taxidermy purposes (Mundy et al.<br />

1992: 219; Maphisa 1997).<br />

Collection for food: They are reputed to be used as food within Lesotho (Mundy et al. 1992:<br />

219).<br />

Fires: Fires below the nesting cliffs, especially if extensive, intensive and of long duration may<br />

impact breeding, the Spanish observers at Vergelegen, KwaZulu-Natal were of this opinion (S.<br />

Krüger, in litt.). This has been documented for the Cape Griffon Vulture (Mundy and Ledger<br />

1975).<br />

Electrocution and collision with power-lines: There is only one record of a Bearded Vulture<br />

being killed after colliding with an 11 kV which was too close to a vulture restaurant (7 th May<br />

2001, Underberg) and there are no records of electrocution for this species (C. van Rooyen, in<br />

litt.). (It is not known if this is the same individual collected by Tim. Snow at Swartberg, crica<br />

1992 – T. Snow, in litt.) If there was a massive increase in the electrification of the Lesotho<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

highlands then electrocution and collisions could increase (Maphisa 1997), however, it would<br />

be very difficult to detect in Lesotho’s mountainous and remote terrain (C. van Rooyen, in litt.).<br />

In a study in the Spanish Pyrenees it was found, in 2004 that the most important causes<br />

of mortality were Poison (42%), Shooting (18%), power-lines (23%) and other 17%), sample<br />

size, not given (R. Heredia in Frey et al. 2004: 70-72).<br />

Conservation action includes the opening of vulture restaurants, monitoring (especially<br />

breeding pairs), awareness programmes (among rural Basotho inhabitants and South African<br />

commercial farmers) to discourage indiscriminate use of poisons, nest disturbance and<br />

persecution (Brown 1997a).<br />

12. Legislation<br />

The southern African deme of the Bearded Vulture is found in just two countries: Lesotho and<br />

South Africa. However, within South Africa, it is found in three provinces, each of which has<br />

separate legislation covering this species.<br />

Lesotho: The Bearded Vulture is specifically protected under Act 41 of 1967 “The historical<br />

monuments, relics, fauna and flora act”. In terms of this act the Bearded Vulture is specifically<br />

listed in the category “Protected Fauna” (section 8, clause d) and see also Legal notice No. 36<br />

of 1969 “Proclamation of monuments, relics, fauna and flora”, “Protected fauna” – “10. All<br />

bearded vultures seoli/lammergeyer.” A new act is currently before the Kingdom’s parliament<br />

(Nature conservation bill 2005) in which (clause 64) the conservation of threatened or<br />

protected species is proscribed. In this new act the Minister must list these species but “The<br />

species of fauna and flora proclaimed in terms of section 8 of (the previous act) as protected<br />

fauna or flora are deemed to be protected in terms of this act”. While Lesotho has signed the<br />

Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora (CITES)<br />

this has not been ratified because of the high cost of implementation (Kopij 2004). The<br />

following comment is offered on the effectiveness of the above legislation (Kopij 2004):<br />

“This proclamation is written in English and unfortunately has not been translated into Sesotho<br />

(the mother tongue of almost all Basotho which (sic) constitute 98% of Lesotho population).<br />

Furthermore, it is now out of print and so that only a few legal scholars know it today. If an<br />

ordinary villager knows about this proclamation, it may be because (of an) unwitting<br />

infringement and consequent punishment. … Resentment is understandable in such<br />

circumstances and may prevent its implementation.”<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

South Africa: In general terms, environmental conservation as a whole in South Africa is<br />

governed by the “Environment Conservation Act 73 of 1989” and subsequent amending<br />

legislation and proclamations. The following acts also impinge upon nature conservation:<br />

“National Environmental Management Act, 1998 – Act No. 107”<br />

“National Environmental Management: Biodiversity Act, No. 10 of 2004” of which<br />

Chapter 4, Part 2 covers “Protection of threatened or protected species” while Part<br />

3 covers “trade in listed threatened or protected species”.<br />

“National Environmental Management: Protected Areas Act, No. 57 of 2003”<br />

KwaZulu-Natal Province: The protection of wild birds in the province is governed by the<br />

provisions of the “Nature Conservation Ordinance No. 15 of 1974”. This ordinance governs the<br />

killing or capture of wild birds (section 114), the sale and purchase of wild birds (section 115),<br />

the keeping of wild birds in aviaries (section 118), the exhibition or display of wild birds<br />

(section 121), the export of wild birds (section 125) and a number of other minor items. In<br />

Schedule 9 the Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus) is specifically listed among the<br />

“Specially protected birds”.<br />

13. Acknowledgements<br />

The following people are thanked for their contributions towards this document: Sonja Krüger,<br />

Brenda Daly, Peter Mundy, Christopher Brown, Chris van Rooyen, Steven Evans, Tim Snow,<br />

Richard Dean, Doug van Zyl, Andrew Jenkins, David Allan, Tsepo Lepono, Richard<br />

Lechmere-Oertel and Hans Frey.<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

SECTION 4<br />

35


Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

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14. PHVA workshop: A tool for Threatened Species Management<br />

T. W. Clark, G. N. Backhouse and R. C. Lacy. 1990. Endangered Species UPDATE. 8:1-5.<br />

Introduction<br />

Population viability assessment (PVA) is a procedure that allows managers to simulate, using<br />

computer models, extinction processes that act on small populations and therefore assess<br />

their long-term viability. In both real and simulated populations, a number of interacting<br />

demographic, genetic, environmental, and catastrophic processes determine the vulnerability<br />

of a population to extinction. These four types of extinction processes can be simulated in<br />

computer models and the effects of both deterministic and stochastic forces can be explored.<br />

In turn, the outcome of various management options, such as reducing mortality,<br />

supplementing the population, and increasing carrying capacity can also be simulated. Thus,<br />

PVA provides managers with a powerful tool to aid in assessing the viability of small<br />

populations and in setting target numbers for species recovery as a basis for planning and<br />

carrying out recovery programs. In addition, having performance-based management<br />

programs enables progress to be quantified and assessed. PVA also offers managers a<br />

powerful strategic planning and policy tool when vying for limited financial resources. This<br />

paper describes a PVA workshop that used a stochastic computer simulation to model small<br />

populations of, and explore management options for, six threatened/endangered wildlife<br />

species in Victoria, Australia.<br />

The Workshop<br />

The workshop was co-sponsored by the Department of Conservation and Environment (DCE),<br />

Victoria, and the Zoological Board of Victoria (ZBV), in cooperation with the Chicago<br />

Zoological Society (CZS) and was held at the Arthur Rylah Institute for Environmental<br />

Research (DCE), Heidelberg, Victoria, from 28 May through June 1, 1990.<br />

The objectives of the workshop were to: 1) examine the adequacy of the data on the six<br />

threatened species; 2) simulate the vulnerability to extinction by using PVA; 3) examine<br />

outcomes of various management options to restore the species; 4) estimate population<br />

targets needed for recovery planning; 5) evaluate the potential of PVA as a teaching aid to<br />

illustrate extinction processes and management options.<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

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The six species were: mountain pygmy possum (Burramys parvus); leadbeater’s possum<br />

(Gymnobelideus leadbeateri); eastern barred bandicoot (Perameles gunnii); long-footed<br />

potoroo (Potorous longipes); orange-bellied parrot (Neophema chrysogaster); and helmeted<br />

honeyeater (Lichenostomus melanops cassidix).<br />

The 32 people attending the workshop represented experienced field biologists and wildlife<br />

managers with detailed knowledge of these and other threatened species. A month prior to<br />

the workshop all participants were provided with background reading material (e.g. Shaffer<br />

1981, Brussard 1985, Samson 1985, Gilpin 1989, and Lacy and Clark 1990). A questionnaire<br />

on life-history parameters to be completed on each species as a basis for entering values into<br />

the computer was also provided. Following an introduction and overview of PVA, the<br />

participants formed teams and commenced work. Simulations, analyses, and discussion were<br />

ongoing over the next five days. The first week concluded with a report and review of each<br />

team’s progress. During the following week, teams further refined their simulations and<br />

commenced preparation of a final report with management recommendations.<br />

Population Viability Analysis: The VORTEX Model<br />

The workshop used a computer program, VORTEX, to simulate demographic and genetic<br />

events in the history of a small population (


Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

process (with appropriate probabilities). Environmental variation (EV) is the variation in the<br />

probabilities of reproduction and mortality that occur because of changes in the environment<br />

on an annual basis (or other timescales).<br />

VORTEX models population processes as discrete, sequential events, with probabilistic<br />

outcomes determined by a pseudo-random number generator. VORTEX simulates birth and<br />

death processes and the transmission of genes through the generations by generating<br />

random numbers to determine whether each animal lives or dies, whether each adult female<br />

produces broods of size 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5 during each year, and which of the two alleles at a<br />

genetic locus are transmitted from each parent to each offspring. Mortality and reproduction<br />

probabilities are sex-specific. Mortality rates are specified for each pre-reproductive age class<br />

and for reproductive-age animals. Fecundity is assumed to be independent of age after an<br />

animal reaches reproductive age. The mating system can be specified to be either<br />

monogamous or polygynous. In either case, the user can specify that only a subset of the<br />

adult male population is in the breeding pool (the remainder being excluded by social factors).<br />

Those males in the breeding pool all have equal probability of siring offspring.<br />

Each simulation is started with a specified number of males and females in each prereproductive<br />

age class and the breeding age class. Each animal in the initial population is<br />

assigned two unique alleles at some hypothetical genetic locus. The user specifies the<br />

severity of inbreeding depression which is expressed in the model as a loss of viability in<br />

inbred animals. The computer program simulates and tracks the fate of each population and<br />

then produces summary statistics on: the probability of population extinction over specified<br />

time intervals; the mean time to extinction of those simulated populations that went extinct; the<br />

mean size of populations not yet extinct; and the levels of genetic variation remaining in any<br />

extant populations.<br />

A population carrying capacity specified by the user is imposed by a probabilistic truncation of<br />

each age class if, after breeding, the population size exceeds the specified carrying capacity.<br />

The program allows the user to model trends in the carrying capacity, as linear increases or<br />

decreases across a specified number of years.<br />

VORTEX models environmental variation simplistically (which is both an advantage and<br />

disadvantage of simulation modelling), by selecting at the beginning of each year the<br />

population age-specific birth rates, age-specific death rates, and carrying capacity from<br />

distributions with means equal to the overall averages specified by the user, and with<br />

variances also specified by the user. Unfortunately, rarely do we have sufficient field data to<br />

38


Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

estimate the fluctuations in birth and death rates, and in carrying capacity, for a wild<br />

population. The population would have to be monitored long enough to separate sampling<br />

error statistically from demographic variation in the number of births and deaths, from annual<br />

variation in the probabilities of these events. Such variation can be very important in<br />

determining the probability of extinction, yet we rarely have reasonable estimates for most<br />

populations of conservation concern. If data on annual variation are lacking, a user can try<br />

various values, or model the fate of the population in the absence of any environmental<br />

variation.<br />

VORTEX can model catastrophes as events that occur with some specified probability and<br />

which reduce survival and reproduction for one year. A catastrophe is determined to occur if a<br />

randomly generated number between 0 and 1 is less than the probability of occurrence (i.e. a<br />

binomial process is simulated). If a catastrophe occurs, the probability of breeding is<br />

multiplied by a severity factor that is drawn from a binomial distribution with a mean equal to<br />

the severity specified by the user. Similarly, the probability of survival for each age class is<br />

estimated in a similar manner.<br />

VORTEX also allows the user to supplement or harvest the population for any number of<br />

years in each simulation. The numbers of immigrants and removals are specified by age and<br />

sex. VORTEX outputs the observed rate of population growth (mean of N[t{/N[t-1]) separately<br />

for the years of supplementation/harvest and for the years without such management, and<br />

allows for reporting of extinction probabilities and population sizes at whatever time interval is<br />

desired (e.g. summary statistics can be given at 5-year intervals in a 100-year simulation).<br />

Overall, the computer program simulates many of the complex levels of stochasticity that can<br />

affect a population. Because it is a detailed model of population dynamics, often it is not<br />

practical to examine all possible factors and all interactions that may affect a population. The<br />

user, therefore, must specify those parameters that can be estimated reasonably, leave out of<br />

the model those that are thought not to have a substantial impact on the population of interest,<br />

and explore a range of possible values for parameters that are potentially important by very<br />

imprecisely known. A companion program, VORPLOTS, was used at the workshop to<br />

produce plots of mean population size, time to extinction, and loss of gene diversity from<br />

simulation results.<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

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Equipment Required<br />

VORTEX requires an MS-DOS microcomputer with at least 640K of memory. A math coprocessor<br />

speeds up the program substantially. The VORPLOTS plotting program produces<br />

files in the Hewlett Packard Graphics Language (HPGL), for use on a HP plotter or equivalent.<br />

A Kodak Dataview EGA enabled projection of a computer display via an overhead projector<br />

onto a large screen so that all participants could observe demonstrations of VORTEX during<br />

initial training.<br />

Computers were used during the daily sessions primarily for exploratory analyses with<br />

relatively few runs (100 or fewer) of a simulation; more extensive analyses were run overnight.<br />

A test with 100 runs would take from 15 minutes to 3 hours, depending on the machine used<br />

and the size of the population being simulated.<br />

The Workshop Results<br />

Each team documented its activities and provided a preliminary report of the simulations<br />

completed, conclusions, an assessment of the conduct of the workshop, and the usefulness of<br />

the PVA process. Results will be published in peer-reviewed scientific journals by each team.<br />

All cases showed similar results. First, most species and populations were highly susceptible<br />

to local extinction. Any further habitat loss or fragmentation or reduction in population size<br />

and density would result in rapid extinction. Second, in all the cases, more field data would<br />

have been helpful. Third, management options to stave off extinction were identified and<br />

results simulated. Options included strict habitat protection, enhancement of existing habitat<br />

or restoration of lost habitat, captive breeding, and reintroduction of animals to existing habitat<br />

patches in which the species has become extinct in recent decades or to newly created<br />

habitat. Various combinations of management strategies were recommended for future<br />

management. Fourth, the simulations demonstrated that if proactive conservation<br />

management had been undertaken even 5 to 10 years ago when populations and habitats<br />

were considerably larger, the task of present day managers would be much more tractable.<br />

And fifth, improved conservation management for all six species is expected to result from the<br />

PVA exercise, enhanced research, and subsequent on-the-ground management. Three<br />

cases illustrate these conclusions; the mountain pygmy-possum (Mansergh et al. in prep.),<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

eastern barred bandicoot (Myroniuk and Patrick in prep.), and orange-bellied parrot (Brown et<br />

al. in prep.).<br />

Mountain Pygmy-Possum: The mountain pygmy-possum is a small marsupial restricted to<br />

alpine and subalpine (.1500m altitude) rock screes and boulderfields within heathlands. The<br />

species has been well studied and much information is available on its ecology (Mansergh<br />

1989). Diet consists of invertebrates, seeds, and fruits. Breeding occurs from September to<br />

December, with litter size of 3 to 4. The young become independent by mid-January.<br />

Females can breed in their first year, and can live up to 9 years. An unusual feature of the life<br />

history of Burramys is the fact that sexes are segregated during the non-breeding season.<br />

The adult population is heavily biased towards females (6F:1M) because of the very high<br />

mortality experienced by males post-dispersal.<br />

The current total population is estimated to be 2,300 breeding adults of which 80% are<br />

females. The species is regarded as vulnerable in Victoria and rare in New South Wales. The<br />

species is also susceptible to climatic changes associated with global warming.<br />

The mountain pygmy-possum exists as a number of discrete populations isolated from each<br />

other on mountain tops. A total of seven populations, ranging from 20-850 individuals<br />

(representing the situation in the wild) was modelled. High probabilities of extinction were<br />

observed in all small (150 animals) populations at 25 and 50 years; this could account for the<br />

absence of the species from apparently suitable habitat within its range. The larger<br />

populations had a decreased likelihood of extinction. When modelled with a small but steady<br />

decrease in carrying capacity (1% per annum) such as could occur through climatic change<br />

with global warming, the probability of extinction increased greatly (to 45% in the case of the<br />

largest Victorian population of 850 individuals, over 50 years). Disturbance to habitat and<br />

further fragmentation of populations would increase the likelihood of extinction.<br />

Eastern Barred Bandicoot: The mainland population of this marsupial species was formerly<br />

distributed over about 23,000 sq. km of volcanic grassland in western Victoria. This<br />

population has now declined to 200 or fewer individuals restricted to remnant habitat near<br />

Hamilton (Clark and Seebeck 1990). The species is polygynous, with females capable of<br />

breeding from 3 months of age and males from 4 months of age. Gestation lasts about 12<br />

days, with litters comprised of 1 to 5 offspring (usually 2-3); young remain in the pouch about<br />

55 days. Females are capable of producing several broods per year. In spite of the very high<br />

reproductive potential, the population is believed to be declining at about 25% per annum.<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

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Juvenile mortality at dispersal from the nest is very high (>90% within the first year). The<br />

decline of the species is attributed to habitat modification from pastoral activities and predation<br />

from introduced predators, including the red fox (Vulpes vulpes) and the cat (Felis catus).<br />

Wild and captive populations of the eastern barred bandicoot were simulated. Modelling the<br />

wild population using available data without any change to current management indicated a<br />

100% probability of extinction within 25 years, with a mean time to extinction of 7.2 years (+<br />

2.1). Doubling the carrying capacity and leaving mortality unchanged had negligible impact on<br />

the probability of extinction and increased the mean time to extinction by only 2 years.<br />

Doubling the carrying capacity, reducing mortality by 30% and supplementing the wild<br />

population with the liberation of captive-bred animals greatly enhanced prospects for survival<br />

of the wild population. Under this scenario the probability of extinction was reduced to 0%<br />

over 25 year with a mean final population size of close to the carrying capacity of 300 animals.<br />

Modeling the existing and proposed captive populations allowed investigation of a variety of<br />

scenarios. The existing captive population of 16 pairs has an extinction probability of 83%<br />

over 25 years, with a mean time to extinction of 21.5 years. Doubling the number of adult<br />

pairs decreased the extinction probability to 0% but the surviving population had very low<br />

genetic variability, and there is little potential to harvest juveniles for release into the wild.<br />

Increasing the captive population to 62 adult pairs increased genetic variability and the<br />

potential to harvest juveniles without jeopardizing the captive population. Maintaining a<br />

captive population of 62 adult pairs (in two groups at separate locations to avoid catastrophe<br />

but managed as one population) and establishing two semi-captive populations with a<br />

capacity for 400 animals gave the best prospects for long term survival, maintenance of<br />

genetic variability, and production of sufficient offspring to consider reintroductions to suitable<br />

habitat within their former range. The exercise highlighted the need for a combination of<br />

management actions, rather than any single action, to prevent the almost certain extinction of<br />

the wild population under the existing management regime. Reduction of the mortality by<br />

predator control and traffic management is essential for the survival of the eastern barred<br />

bandicoot. Captive management will be an important part of the recovery program than that<br />

currently underway.<br />

Orange-bellied Parrot: The biology and ecology of the orange-bellied parrot is comparatively<br />

well know (Loyn et al. 1986). The species is one of the rarest and most threatened birds in<br />

Australia, with a total population of 150 –200 individuals. The orange-bellied parrot breeds in<br />

coastal southwest Tasmania in woodlands adjoining extensive sedgelands. After breeding, it<br />

migrates across Bass Strait to overwinter in coastal regions of southern mainland Australia.<br />

42


Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

The birds feed in a variety of coastal habitats including grassland, saltmarsh, and dune<br />

systems showing strong preferences for particular habitats and food types in different parts of<br />

their winter range and at different times of the year. An estimated 40 breeding pairs annually<br />

produce a total of 50-70 juveniles. The orange-bellied parrot is considered endangered. Loss<br />

of coastal habitat for development and trapping for the aviculture trade are considered to be<br />

the primary causes of the species’ decline. Pressure for development on or adjacent to its<br />

main wintering areas and habitat alteration are now the man threats to its survival. A captive<br />

breeding program is now underway as part of a range of measures undertaken to ensure the<br />

future survival of the species.<br />

Populations were modelled using the current carrying capacity (150), a reduced carrying<br />

capacity (50), and an increased carrying capacity (500). Simulations which involved varying<br />

mortality, capture, and supplementation rates of the wild population were run for all carrying<br />

capacities. Simulating the existing population using current data and management regimes<br />

indicated that the species would remain extant over the next 50 years at least, and stood a<br />

good chance of surviving for 100 years. Reducing the carrying capacity to 50 under current<br />

conditions somewhat surprisingly did not increase the probability of extinction over 50 years,<br />

although genetic variability was greatly diminished. As would be expected, increasing the<br />

carrying capacity to 500 birds further reduced the prospects of extinction and greatly<br />

increased the genetic variability of the population. When modelled with an increased juvenile<br />

mortality rate (75 % of 50%), the population with the reduced carrying capacity showed a 70%<br />

probability of extinction within 50 years, while the current and increased carrying capacity<br />

populations showed extinction probabilities of 20% within that time. Imposing a capture and<br />

release captive breeding program on the populations only slightly decreased the extinction<br />

probability of the reduced carrying capacity, high mortality population, but greatly improved<br />

heterozygosity in the reduced carrying capacity, current mortality population. No extinctions<br />

occurred in the current and increased carrying capacity populations even at the high mortality<br />

levels, when simulated with supplementation from a captive breeding program. The<br />

simulations indicate several points. Juvenile mortality is of great significance to the health of<br />

the population. Any increase above the present rate of 50% greatly increases the probability<br />

of extinction, even with an enhanced habitat carrying capacity. The captive breeding program<br />

is an important back-up to the wild population, and will be extremely valuable if the wild<br />

population declines.<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

Evaluation of the Workshop<br />

An evaluation was considered to be an important part of the workshop. All participants rated<br />

the background material supplied prior to the workshop as good to very good. Provision of<br />

background material was essential as very few participants had any prior experience with<br />

PVA. Organization was rated as very good to excellent by participants. The key to success<br />

was the large number of microcomputers available so that 2 to 3 people per computer was<br />

possible. Presentations were rated as very good to excellent.<br />

The workshop format was considered to be a highly successful way of presenting the PVA.<br />

PVA was considered to be a useful tool to aid threatened species management, providing its<br />

application and limitations were understood. PVA can focus attention on questions that<br />

should be addressed through additional research. PVA can be applied to well-studied taxa,<br />

and the general principles can be applied more widely to other taxa providing program<br />

characteristics are kept in perspective. All participants would recommend PVA as a<br />

management tool.<br />

Conclusion<br />

The PVA workshop proved a very useful way of quickly learning a new technique for<br />

threatened species management and conservation. PVA was applied to six species allowing<br />

a critical, quantitative analysis of extinction probabilities, as well as exploring management<br />

options to prevent species loss. PVA results will be used in forthcoming management plans<br />

and actions directed towards restoring these species to a status from which they will be<br />

relatively immune to extinction from random processes. In the future, it can be expected that<br />

PVAs will be carried out on additional endangered species to help manage their recovery.<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

A facilitator<br />

A flip chart recorder<br />

A computer recorder<br />

A presenter for plenary sessions<br />

CBSG WORKING AGREEMENT<br />

EACH WORKING GROUP WILL HAVE:<br />

These roles will change and all participants should have a chance to play a role<br />

FACILITATOR<br />

Sets time and tasks<br />

Not the content resource of the group<br />

Does not evaluate ideas presented<br />

Keeps purpose front and centre<br />

Facilitates discussions and encourages participation<br />

Not the group boss or entertainer<br />

Helps to build on ideas and suggestions<br />

Can call time out<br />

RECORDER<br />

Acts as group memory<br />

Records key words and sentences<br />

Captures all ideas<br />

Writes legibly and uses large letters<br />

Don’t worry about spelling<br />

Use different colours to denote different aspects / ideas<br />

Hang all flip charts visibly throughout workshop<br />

Includes all contributions<br />

Record accurately<br />

45


Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

GROUND RULES<br />

Accept that all solutions and ideas lie within the minds of all participants<br />

Leave all personal agendas at the door and participate with an open mind<br />

All ideas are valid<br />

Everything is recorded on flip charts<br />

Everyone participates; no one dominates<br />

Listen to each other, ask questions, gain clarity<br />

Treat each other with respect<br />

Seek common ground<br />

Differences and problems are acknowledged - not worked<br />

Observe time frames but be willing to adapt schedules to achieve goals<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

15. Input Data Required for VORTEX<br />

1) Do you want to incorporate inbreeding depression? Yes or No __________<br />

Yes, if you think inbreeding might cause a reduction in fertility or survival<br />

No, if you think inbreeding would not cause any negative impact<br />

If you answered “Yes” to Question 1), then we need to specify the severity of the impacts<br />

of inbreeding by answering the following two questions:<br />

1A) How many lethal equivalents exist in your population? ________<br />

“Lethal equivalents” is a measure of the severity of effects of inbreeding on juvenile<br />

survival. The median value reported by Ralls et al. (1988) for 40 mammal populations was<br />

3.14. The range for mammals reported in the literature is from 0.0 (no effect of inbreeding<br />

on survival) to about 15 (most inbred progeny die).<br />

1B) What proportion of the total lethal equivalents is due to recessive lethal alleles?<br />

_______<br />

This question relates to how easily natural selection would remove deleterious genes if<br />

inbreeding persisted for many generations (and the population did not become extinct). In<br />

other words, how well does the population adapt to inbreeding? The question is really<br />

asking this: what fraction of the genes responsible for inbreeding depression would be<br />

removed by selection over many generations? Unfortunately, little data exist for mammals<br />

regarding this question; data on fruit flies and rodents, however, suggest that about 50% of<br />

the total suite of inbreeding effects are, on average, due to lethal alleles.<br />

2) Do you want environmental variation in reproduction to be correlated with<br />

environmental variation in survival? Yes or No ________<br />

Answering “Yes” would indicate that good years for breeding are also good years for<br />

survival, and bad years for breeding are also bad years for survival. “No” would indicate<br />

that annual fluctuations in breeding and survival are independent.<br />

3) Breeding system: Monogamous or Polygynous? ________<br />

4) At what age do females begin breeding? ________<br />

5) At what age do males begin breeding? ________<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

For each sex, we need to specify the age at which the typical animal produces its first<br />

litter. The age at which they “begin breeding” refers to their age when the offspring are<br />

actually born, and not when the parents mate.<br />

6) Maximum age? ________<br />

When do they become reproductively senescent? VORTEX will allow them to breed (if<br />

they happen to live this long) up to this maximum age.<br />

7) What is the sex ratio of offspring at birth? ________<br />

What proportion of the year’s offspring are males?<br />

8) What is the maximum litter / clutch size? ________<br />

9) In the average year, what proportion of adult females produce a litter / clutch? ________<br />

10) How much does the proportion of females that breed vary across years?<br />

Ideally, we need this value specified as a standard deviation (SD) of the proportion<br />

breeding. If long-term quantitative data are lacking, we can estimate this variation in<br />

several ways. At the simplest intuitive level, in about 67% of the years the proportion of<br />

adult females breeding would fall within 1 SD of the mean, so (mean value) + SD might<br />

represent the breeding rate in a typically “good” year, and (mean value) – SD might be the<br />

breeding rate in a typically “bad” year.<br />

11) Of litters/clutches born in a given year, what percentage have litters/clutches of …<br />

1 offspring? ________<br />

2 offspring? ________<br />

3 offspring? ________<br />

4 offspring? ________<br />

(and so on to the maximum litter size).<br />

12) What is the percent survival of females …<br />

from birth to 1 year of age? ________<br />

from age 1 to age 2? ________<br />

from age 2 to age 3? ________ (no need to answer this if they begin breeding at age 2)<br />

from age x to age x+1, for adults? ________<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

13) What is the percent survival of males …<br />

from birth to 1 year of age? ________<br />

from age 1 to age 2? ________<br />

from age 2 to age 3? ____(no need to answer this if they begin breeding at age 2)<br />

from age x to age x+1, for adults? ________<br />

14) For each of the survival rates listed above, enter the variation across years as a standard<br />

deviation:<br />

For females, what is the standard deviation in the survival rate<br />

from birth to 1 year of age? ________<br />

from age 1 to age 2? ________<br />

from age 2 to age 3? _____(no need to answer this if they begin breeding at age 2)<br />

from age x to age x+1, for adults? ________<br />

For males, what is the standard deviation in the survival rated<br />

from birth to 1 year of age? ________<br />

from age 1 to age 2? ________<br />

from age 2 to age 3? _____no need to answer this if they begin breeding at age 2)<br />

from age x to age x+1, for adults? ________<br />

15) How many types of catastrophes should be included in the models? ________<br />

You can model disease epidemics, or any other type of disaster, which might kill many<br />

individuals or cause major breeding failure in sporadic years.<br />

16) For each type of catastrophe considered in Question 15),<br />

What is the probability of occurrence? ________<br />

(i.e., how often does the catastrophe occur in a given time period, say, 100 years?)<br />

What is the reproductive rate in a catastrophe year relative to reproduction in normal<br />

years? ________<br />

(i.e., 1.00 = no reduction in breeding; 0.75 = 25% reduction; 0.00 = no breeding)<br />

What is the survival rate in a catastrophe year relative to survival in normal years?<br />

________<br />

(i.e., 1.00 = no reduction in breeding; 0.75 = 25% reduction; 0.00 = no breeding)<br />

17) Are all adult males in the “pool” of potential breeders each year? Yes or No ________<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

(Are there some males that are excluded from the group of available breeders because<br />

they are socially prevented from holding territories, are sterile, or otherwise prevented from<br />

having access to mates?)<br />

18) If you answered “No” to Question 17), then answer at least one of the following:<br />

What percentage of adult males is available for breeding each year? ________<br />

or<br />

What percentage of adult males typically sires a litter each year? ________<br />

or<br />

How many litters are sired by the average breeding male (of those that sired at least one<br />

litter)? _____<br />

19) What is the current population size? ________<br />

(We will assume that the population starts at a “stable age distribution”, rather than<br />

specifying ages of individual animals in the current population.)<br />

20) What is the habitat carrying capacity? ________<br />

(How many animals could be supported in the existing habitat?)<br />

(We will assume that the habitat is not fluctuating randomly in quality over time.)<br />

21) Will habitat be lost or gained over time? Yes or No ________<br />

If you answered Yes to Question 21), then …<br />

22) Over how many years will habitat be lost or gained? ________<br />

23) What percentage of habitat will be lost or gained each year? ________<br />

24) Will animals be removed from the wild population (to bolster captive stocks or for other<br />

reasons) ? Yes or No ________<br />

If “Yes”, then,<br />

At what annual interval? ________<br />

For how many years? ________<br />

How many female juveniles? _______ 1-2 year old females? _______ 2-3 year old<br />

females? _______ adult females? ________ will be removed each time.<br />

How many male juveniles? _______ 1-2 year old males? _______ 2-3 year old<br />

males? _______ adult males? ________ will be removed each time.<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

25) Will animals be added to the population (from captive stocks, etc.)? Yes or No ________<br />

If “Yes”, then,<br />

At what annual interval? ________<br />

For how many years? ________<br />

How many female 0-1 years? __ 1-2 year old females? _ _2-3 year old females?<br />

_______ adult females? ______ will be added each time.<br />

How many male 0-1 years? _______ 1-2 year old males? ______ 2-3 year old males?<br />

_______ adult males? ________ will be added each time<br />

Note: VORTEX has the capability to model even more complex demographic rates, if a user<br />

thinks that greater specificity is needed. For example, breeding or survival rates could be<br />

specified as functions of age. Contact Philip Miller, Program Officer with CBSG if you would<br />

like to learn more about this additional flexibility.<br />

51


Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

SECTION 5<br />

52


Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

16. References<br />

Allan, D. G. and A. R. Jenkins (2005). Preliminary report on a survey of breeding sites of<br />

Bearded and Cape Vultures in Lesotho. Durban, Durban Natural Science Museum: 8.<br />

Allan, D. G., C. Spottiswoode and P. Whittingdon (1996). Birds. Lesotho Highlands Water<br />

Project, final contract report. Contract N. 1008. Baseline biological survey and reserve<br />

development, phase 1b. volume 6: downstream studies. Unknown (eds). Darling,<br />

South Africa., AfriDev. Consultants.: 59-79.<br />

Ambrose, D. (1983). Lesotho's heritage in jepody. Maseru, Protection and preservation<br />

commission.<br />

Ambrose, D. and D. H. Maphisa (1999). Guide to the birds of the Roma Campus, National<br />

University of Lesotho. Lesotho, National University of Lesotho Publishing House.<br />

Anderson, M. D. (2000). Bearded Vulture. The Eskom Red Data Book of Birds of South Africa,<br />

Lesotho and Swaziland. K. N. Barnes (eds). Johannesburg, BirdLife South Africa: 39-<br />

41.<br />

Barnes, K. N. (1998a). Important bird areas of Lesotho. The Important Bird Areas of southern<br />

Africa. K. N. Barnes (eds). Johannesburg, BirdLife South Africa: 281-294.<br />

Barnes, K. N., Ed. (1998b). The Important Bird Areas of Southern Africa. Johannesburg,<br />

BirdLife South Africa.<br />

Barnes, K. N., B. D. Colahan, R. J. Nuttall and B. Taylor (1998). Important bird areas of the<br />

Free State. The Important Bird Areas of southern Africa. K. N. Barnes (eds).<br />

Johannesburg, BirdLife South Africa: 123-140.<br />

Beilis, N. and J. Esterhuizen (2005). The potential impact on Cape Griffon Gyps coprotheres<br />

populations due to the trade in traditional medicine in Maseru, Lesotho. Vulture News<br />

53: 15-19.<br />

BirdLife International (2000). Threatened birds of the world. Barcelona and Cambridge, Lynx<br />

Edicions and BirdLife International.<br />

BirdLife International (2004). Threatened birds of the world, 2004. CD-ROM. Cambridge,<br />

BirdLife International.<br />

Blair, A. and V. Blair (1983). The lammergeier incident. Roma, lesotho, Roma University: 2.<br />

Boshoff, A. F. (1991). Poison collar kills vultures in the north-eastern Cape Province. Vulture<br />

News 25: 15-16.<br />

Boshoff, A. F., R. K. Brooke and T. M. Crowe (1978). Computerized distribution mapping<br />

scheme for vertebrates in southern Africa. South African Journal of Wildlife Research<br />

8(4): 145-149.<br />

Boshoff, A. F., C. J. Vernon and R. K. Brooke (1983). Historical atlas of the diurnal raptors of<br />

the Cape Province (Aves: Falconiformes). Annals of the Cape Provincial Museums<br />

(Natural History Series) 14(7): 173-297.<br />

Brooke, R. K. (1984). South African Red Data Book: Birds. Pretoria, C.S.I.R.<br />

Brown, C. J. (1989). Plumages and measurements of the Bearded Vulture in southern Africa.<br />

Ostrich 60: 165-171.<br />

Brown, C. J. (1991). An investigation into the decline of the Bearded Vulture Gypaetus<br />

barbatus in southern Africa. Biological Conservation 57(3): 315-338.<br />

Brown, C. J. (1992). Distribution and status of the Bearded Vulture Gypaetus barbatus in<br />

southern Africa. Ostrich 63(1): 1-9.<br />

Brown, C. J. (1997a). Bearded Vulture. The atlas of southern African birds. Non-passerines. J.<br />

A. Harrison, D. G. Allan, L. G. Underhill, M. Herremans, A. J. Tree, V. Parker and C. J.<br />

Brown (eds). Johannesburg, Birdlife South Africa. 1: 154-155.<br />

Brown, C. J. (1997b). Population dynamics of the Bearded Vulture Gypaetus barbatus in<br />

southern Africa. African Journal of Ecology 35(1): 53 - 63.<br />

53


Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

Brown, L. H. (1977). The status, population structure and breeding dates of the African<br />

Lammergeier Gypaetus barbatus meridionalis. Journal of Raptor Research 11(3): 49-<br />

58.<br />

Colahan, B. D. (1991). Bearded vultures killed with Coyote Getters® in the eastern Orange<br />

Free State, South Africa. Vulture News 25: 13-14.<br />

Colahan, B. D. and J. R. Esterhuizen (1997). The Status and Conservation of Vultures in the<br />

Free State Province, South Africa. Vultures in the 21 st Century: Proceedings of a<br />

workshop on vulture research and conservation in southern Africa. A. F. Boshoff, M. D.<br />

Anderson and W. D. Borello (eds). Johannesburg, Vulture Study Group and<br />

Endangered Wildlife Trust: 46-49.<br />

Cyrus, D. and N. Robson (1980). Bird atlas of Natal. Pietermaritzburg, University of Natal<br />

Press.<br />

del Hoyo, J., A. Elliott and J. Sargatal, Eds. (1994). Handbook of the birds of the world.<br />

Barcelona, Lynx Edicions.<br />

Earlé, R. A. and J. N. Grobler (1987). First atlas of bird distribution in the Orange Free State.<br />

Bloemfontein, National Museum.<br />

Frey, H., G. Schaden and M. Bijleveld van Lexmond (2000). Bearded Vulture: Reintroduction<br />

into the Alps. Annual report 2000. Frankfurt, Foundation for the Conservation of the<br />

Bearded Vulture: 104.<br />

Frey, H., G. Schaden and M. Bijleveld van Lexmond (2004). Bearded Vulture: Reintroduction<br />

into the Alps. Annual report 2004. Wassenaar, The Netherlands, Foundation for the<br />

Conservation of the Bearded Vulture: 128.<br />

Gurney, J. H. (1864). A sixth additional list of birds from Natal. Ibis 6: 346-361.<br />

Guy, J. J. (1974). The lammergeyer (seoli) in Lesotho. Linyonana tsa Lesotho 1(2): 4.<br />

Harrison, J. A., D. G. Allan, L. G. Underhill, M. Herremans, A. J. Tree, V. Parker and C. J.<br />

Brown, Eds. (1997). The atlas of southern African birds. Non-passerines.<br />

Johannesburg, BirdLife South Africa Publishers.<br />

Heredia, R. and J. A. Donázar (1990). High frequency of polyandrous trios in an endangered<br />

population of Lammergeiers Gypaetus barbatus in northern Spain. Biological<br />

Conservation 53(3): 163-171.<br />

Johnson, D. N., K. N. Barnes and B. Taylor (1998). Important bird areas of KwaZulu-Natal.<br />

The important bird areas of Southern Africa. K. N. Barnes (eds). Johannesburg,<br />

BirdLife South Africa: 141-196.<br />

Kopij, G. (2001). Birds of Roma Valley, Lesotho. Bearded Vulture Anual Report 2004. H. Frey.<br />

Roma, Lesotho., Department of Biology, National University of Lesotho.: 1-40.<br />

Kopij, G. (2004). Status and conservation of the Bearded Vulture Gypaetus barbatus<br />

meridionalis in Lesotho. Bearded Vulture Anual Report 2004. H. Frey (eds).<br />

Wassenaar, The Nethlands, Foundation for the conservation of the Bearded Vulture:<br />

115-119.<br />

Layard, E. L. (1867). The birds of South Africa. Cape Town, Juta.<br />

Maclean, G. L. (1985). Roberts' birds of southern Africa. Cape Town, John Voelcker Bird Book<br />

Fund.<br />

Maclean, G. L. (1993). Roberts' birds of southern Africa. Cape Town, The John Voelcker Bird<br />

Book Fund.<br />

Maphisa, D. H. (1997). Vultures in Lesotho: Past, Present and Future. Vultures in the 21 st<br />

Century: Proceeding of a workshop on vulture research and conservation in southern<br />

Africa. A. F. Boshoff, M. D. Anderson and W. D. Borello (eds). Johannesburg, Vulture<br />

Study Group, Endangered Wildlife Trust: 90-96.<br />

Maphisa, D. H. (2001). British Schools Exploration Society's (BSES) survey of vultures at<br />

selected sites in Lesotho-July to August 1998. Vulture News 45: 11-19.<br />

Mundy, P. J., D. Butchart, J. A. Ledger and S. E. Piper (1992). The Vultures of Africa.<br />

Randburg and Halfway House, Acorn Books & Russel Friedman Books.<br />

Mundy, P. J. and J. A. Ledger (1975). The effects of fire on a Cape Vulture colony. South<br />

African Journal of Science 71: 217.<br />

54


Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

Newton, I. (1979). Population ecology of raptors. Berkhamsted, T and AD Poyser.<br />

Osborne, P. E. and B. J. Tigar (1990). Distribution and status of rare birds in Lesotho. British<br />

Ecological Society Bulletin 21: 121-128.<br />

Piper, S. E. (2005). Bearded Vulture Gypaetus barbatus. Roberts - birds of southern Africa. P.<br />

A. R. Hockey, W. R. J. Dean and P. G. Ryan (eds). Cape Town, The Trustees of the<br />

John Voelcker Bird Book Fund.: 484-485.<br />

Scotcher, J. S. B. (1973). Piracy by a Black Eagle. Natal Bird Club News Sheet 218: 2-3.<br />

Siegfried, W. R. and P. G. H. Frost (1973). Body temperature of the Lammergeyer Gypaetus<br />

barbatus (Aves: Accipitridae). Bonner Zoologische Beitraege 24: 387-393.<br />

Simmons, R. E. and J. M. Mendelsohn (1993). A critical review of cartwheeling flights of<br />

raptors. Ostrich 64(1): 13 - 24.<br />

Steyn, P. (1982). Birds of prey of southern Africa, their identification and life histories. Cape<br />

Town, David Philip.<br />

Tarboton, W. R. and D. G. Allan (1984). The status and conservation of birds of prey in the<br />

Transvaal. Pretoria, Transvaal Museum Monograph.<br />

Tarboton, W. R., M. I. Kemp and A. C. Kemp (1987). Birds of the Transvaal. Pretoria,<br />

Transvaal Museum.<br />

Vernon, C. J. and A. F. Boshoff (1997). A Review of the Status of Vultures in the Eastern<br />

Cape Province, South Africa. Vultures in the 21 st Century: Proceeding of a workshop<br />

on vulture research and conservation in southern Africa. A. F. Boshoff, M. D. Anderson<br />

and W. D. Borello (eds). Johannesburg, Vulture Study Group, Endangered Wildlife<br />

Trust: 50-56.<br />

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SECTION 6<br />

56


Population and Habitat Viability Assessment: Bearded Vulture (Gypaetus barbatus)<br />

________________________________________________<br />

Appendix 1: Protection Status Tables<br />

Barnes 1998a;<br />

Johnson, Barnes and Taylor 1998;<br />

Barnes, Colahan, Nuttall and Taylor 1998; and<br />

Barnes 1998b<br />

Attached separately<br />

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Appendix 2: Bearded Vulture PHVA Programme<br />

MONDAY 6 TH<br />

MARCH 2006<br />

18h30 - Delegates arrive, registration and icebreaker<br />

19:00 – 20:00 DINNER<br />

Ice Breaker sponsored by the Birds of Prey Working Group<br />

TUESDAY 7 TH MARCH 2006 - DAY 1<br />

BREAKFAST<br />

08:30 – 09:00 Welcome by Yoliswa Ndlovu, General Manager uKhahlamba<br />

09:00 – 10:30 Presentations<br />

The 2005 Bearded Vulture ground survey: South Africa<br />

(Sonja Krüger, Ezemvelo KZN Wildlife)<br />

Current knowledge of Bearded Vulture nesting sites in Lesotho<br />

(David Allan, Durban Natural Science Museum)<br />

Vultures and Traditional Medicine; Some Perspectives<br />

(Steve McKean, Ezemvelo KZN Wildlife)<br />

The current status of Bearded Vulture in Ethiopia<br />

(Alastair Nelson, Frankfurt Zoological Society, Ethiopia)<br />

(15 min each)<br />

10:30 – 11:00 TEA BREAK<br />

11:00 – 11:30 Introduction to the CBSG, CBSG Southern Africa and the workshop process<br />

11:30 – 12:00 Introduction to Vortex<br />

12:00 – 13:00 Plenary Session: Identify key issues<br />

13:00 – 14:00 LUNCH BREAK<br />

14:00 – 14:30 Formation of Working Groups & overview of task one<br />

14:30 – 15:30 Working groups convene and begin on first task<br />

15:30 – 16:00 TEA BREAK (FUTURE BREAKS SELF-REGULATED)<br />

16:00 – 16:30 Working Group sessions<br />

16:30 – 17:30 Plenary – First Working Group Reports<br />

19:00 – 20:00 DINNER<br />

WEDNESDAY 8 TH MARCH 2006 - DAY 2<br />

07:30 – 08:30 BREAKFAST<br />

08:30 – 09:30 Working groups convene to make changes to first reports<br />

09:30 – 10:30 Plenary on goals / solutions and filters<br />

10:30 – 11:00 TEA BREAK and group photos taken<br />

11:00 – 13:00 Working groups convene and begin second task<br />

13:00 – 14: 00 LUNCH BREAK<br />

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14:00 – 15:00 Plenary session to present and discuss goals / solutions<br />

15:00 – 15:30 Working Groups convene to continue with second task<br />

15:30 – 16:00 TEA BREAK<br />

16:00 – 17:30 Working Groups convene and finalise second task<br />

19:00 – 20:00 DINNER<br />

THURSDAY 9 TH MARCH 2006 - DAY 3<br />

07:30 – 08:30 BREAKFAST<br />

08:30 – 09:30 Plenary session to complete task two<br />

09:30 – 10:30 Discussion of third task: Strategies and Action plans<br />

10:30 – 11:00 TEA BREAK<br />

11:00 – 13:00 Working Groups reconvene to carry on with task three<br />

13:00 – 14:00 LUNCH BREAK<br />

14:00 – 15:00 Plenary Session to report back on task three<br />

15:00 – 15:30 TEA BREAK<br />

15:30 – 17:30 Working Groups reconvene to carry on with task three<br />

Plenary session to finalise task three<br />

19:00 – 20:00 DINNER<br />

FRIDAY 10 TH<br />

MARCH 2006 - DAY 4<br />

07:00 – 08:00 BREAKFAST<br />

08:00 – 10:30 Working Groups reconvene to finalise reports<br />

Group integration: Prioritise all solutions<br />

10:30 – 11:00 TEA BREAK<br />

11:00 – 12:30 Plenary session to present working group reports, discuss management<br />

recommendations and report completion<br />

Workshop closure and survey<br />

13:00 – 14:00 LUNCH BREAK<br />

Departure by delegates<br />

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Appendix 3: Introducing the Conservation Breeding Specialist Group<br />

Introduction<br />

There is a lack of generally accepted tools to evaluate and integrate the interaction of<br />

biological, physical, and social factors on the population dynamics of the broad range of<br />

threatened species. There is a need for tools and processes to characterise the risk of species<br />

and habitat extinction, on the possible effects of future events, on the effects of management<br />

interventions, and on how to develop and sustain learning-based cross-institutional<br />

management programmes.<br />

The Conservation Breeding Specialist Group (CBSG) of IUCN's Species Survival Commission<br />

(SSC) has 15 years’ of experience in developing, testing and applying a series of scientifically<br />

based tools and processes to assist risk characterisation and species management decision<br />

making. These tools, based on small population and conservation biology (biological and<br />

physical factors), human demography, and the dynamics of social learning are used in<br />

intensive, problem-solving workshops to produce realistic and achievable recommendations<br />

for both in situ and ex situ population management. The mission of the Conservation Breeding<br />

Specialist Group is "to conserve and establish populations of threatened species through<br />

conservation breeding programmes and through intensive protection and management of<br />

these plant and animal populations in the wild."<br />

What does the Conservation Breeding Specialist Group do?<br />

Wildlife and governmental officials invite the Conservation Breeding Specialist Group (CBSG)<br />

to assist in planning and directing their conservation efforts. CBSG uses numerous processes<br />

and tools which have been developed to carry out its globally recognised programme. (For the<br />

purposes of this document only details of the PHVA are given)<br />

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Population and Habitat Viability Assessments (PHVAs)<br />

A realistic approach to biodiversity conservation is to develop conservation action plans<br />

designed to save threatened species and their corresponding habitats. Population and Habitat<br />

Viability Assessment Workshops bring together biologists, wildlife managers and other<br />

professionals with relevant expertise in a collaborative effort to assess the extinction risk and<br />

develop improved management strategies for particular threatened species. Computer<br />

modelling tools, using all available data for the species in question, are utilised to test the<br />

efficacy of various management strategies and potential scenarios. PHVA workshops are held<br />

in the countries which the plants and animals inhabit. Moreover, decisions are made by the<br />

corresponding country's wildlife officials allowing practical and expedient implementation of<br />

the resulting management plan.<br />

Integration of Science, Management, and Stakeholders<br />

The CBSG Population and Habitat Viability Assessment (PHVA) Workshop process is based<br />

upon biological and sociological science. Effective conservation action is best built upon a<br />

synthesis of available biological information, but is dependent on actions of humans living<br />

within the range of the threatened species as well as established national and international<br />

interests. There are characteristic patterns of human behaviour that are cross-disciplinary and<br />

cross-cultural which affect the processes of communication, problem-solving, and<br />

collaboration: 1) in the acquisition, sharing, and analysis of information; 2) in the perception<br />

and characterisation of risk; 3) in the development of trust-based partnerships among<br />

individuals; and, 4) in 'territoriality' (personal, institutional, local, national). Each of these has<br />

strong emotional components that shape our interactions. Recognition of these patterns is<br />

essential in the development of processes to assist people in working groups to reach<br />

agreement on needed conservation actions, collaboration needed, and to establish new<br />

working relationships.<br />

Frequently, local management agencies, external consultants, and local experts have<br />

identified management actions. However, an isolated narrow professional approach which<br />

focuses primarily on the perceived biological problems seems to have little effect on the<br />

needed political and social changes (social learning) for collaboration, effective management<br />

and conservation of habitat fragments or protected areas and their species components.<br />

CBSG workshops are organised to bring together the full range of groups with a strong<br />

interest in conserving and managing the species in its habitat or the consequences of such<br />

management. One goal in all workshops is to reach a common understanding of the state of<br />

scientific knowledge available and its possible application to the decision-making process and<br />

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to needed management actions. The CBSG’s decision-making driven workshop process with<br />

risk characterisation tools, stochastic simulation modelling, scenario testing, and deliberation<br />

among stakeholders are powerful tools for extracting, assembling, and exploring information.<br />

This process encourages developing a shared understanding across wide boundaries of<br />

training and expertise. These tools also support building of working agreements and instil local<br />

ownership of the problems, the decisions required, and their management during the<br />

workshop process. As participants appreciate the complexity of the problems as a group, they<br />

take more ownership of the process as well as the ultimate recommendations made to<br />

achieve workable solutions. This is essential if the management recommendations generated<br />

by the workshops are to succeed.<br />

CBSG's interactive and participatory workshop approach produces positive effects on<br />

management decision-making and in generating political and social support for conservation<br />

actions by local people. Modelling is an important tool as part of the process and provides a<br />

continuing test of assumptions, data consistency, and of scenarios. CBSG participants<br />

recognize that the present science is imperfect and that management policies and actions<br />

need to be designed as part of a biological and social learning process. The CBSG workshop<br />

process essentially provides a means for designing management decisions and programmes<br />

on the basis of sound science while allowing new information and unexpected events to be<br />

used for learning and to adjust management practices.<br />

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Appendix 4: Introducing CBSG Southern Africa<br />

Species Survival Commission, IUCN – World Conservation Union<br />

www.ewt.org.za/cbsg<br />

The Conservation Breeding Specialist Group (CBSG) is a multinational conservation specialist<br />

group which has made its mark on the conservation of threatened flora and fauna worldwide.<br />

CBSG is one of the more than 120 Species Survival Commission Specialist Groups of the<br />

IUCN - World Conservation Union with over 15 years’ experience in developing, testing and<br />

applying scientifically-based tools and processes for risk assessment and species<br />

conservation decision-making. These tools are used in intensive, problem-solving workshops<br />

to produce realistic and achievable recommendations for both in situ and ex situ population<br />

management. CBSG tools include Conservation Assessment and Management Plans<br />

(CAMPs), Population and Habitat Viability Assessments (PHVAs), Conservation<br />

Masterplanning, Species Action Planning, Modelling exercises and a range of training and<br />

skills development workshops.<br />

CBSG regional networks have been developed in regions requiring intensive conservation<br />

action in order to adapt CBSG tools and processes to the needs of regional stakeholder<br />

groups and species, utilise local expertise and develop a unique regional conservation<br />

identity. CBSG Southern Africa was established as an Endangered Wildlife Trust project to<br />

bring to the local conservation community the wide range of tools and processes developed by<br />

the CBSG for effective biodiversity conservation and management.<br />

MISSION:<br />

To catalyse conservation action in Southern Africa by assisting in the development of<br />

integrated and scientifically sound conservation programmes for species and ecosystems,<br />

building capacity in the local conservation community and incorporating practical and globally<br />

endorsed tools and processes into current and future conservation programmes in Southern<br />

Africa.<br />

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CBSG SOUTHERN AFRICA OBJECTIVES:<br />

Organise a regional network of people and resources for effective biodiversity<br />

conservation<br />

Collect, analyse and distribute information pertinent to biodiversity conservation<br />

Develop integrated national conservation and management programmes<br />

Provide a neutral, informed and balanced perspective in resolving conflict and providing<br />

solutions for pressing local conservation issues<br />

Integrate management programmes for captive and wild populations<br />

Train and build capacity in local communities in the use and application of globally<br />

recognised conservation tools and processes<br />

Develop interactive forums to facilitate effective communication, collaboration and<br />

partnership building.<br />

CBSG PROCESSES:<br />

Population and Habitat Viability Assessment (PHVA): The PHVA process is used in the<br />

development of a strategic recovery/conservation plan for a specific species and its habitat.<br />

Data on the population status and trends, distribution, genetics, health status, biology, threats<br />

and ecology of the species is assembled and integrated with estimates of human based<br />

threats such as land-use and utilisation patterns. Computer-based models are used to test<br />

different management scenarios and to forecast the current and future risk of population<br />

decline and/or extinction.<br />

Conservation Assessment and Management Plan (CAMP): A rapid broad-based<br />

assessment of a group of taxa of a particular region. Workshop participants use the IUCN Red<br />

List system to categorise the level of threat of each taxon, based on estimates of nature and<br />

the severity of threats to the population and/or its habitat. A computerised database aids the<br />

summarisation of information. CAMPs establish priorities for species and biodiversity<br />

conservation and generate scientifically sound data on the population and distribution trends<br />

of taxonomic groups.<br />

Conservation Planning: Designed to assist other organisations and discipline-based groups<br />

to define, evaluate and plan their conservation role and activities. The process allows<br />

institutions to focus their resources on activities which can best achieve their goals. Input is<br />

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elicited from a wide range of participants, crossing over departmental boundaries in order to<br />

establish a holistic and effective conservation culture within the organisation.<br />

Training Workshops: CBSG Southern Africa acts as a conduit between local<br />

conservationists and like-minded organisations, bringing to the region training in a range of<br />

tools and processes for more effective conservation. Training is provided in the application of<br />

the IUCN Red List criteria, VORTEX Modelling and Population Biology, Disease Risk<br />

Assessment and Workshop Design and Facilitation.<br />

Global Networking: CBSG Southern Africa is the secretariat of the Global Cheetah Forum<br />

(GCF) comprising more than 70 members from 14 range countries. The GCF supports and<br />

fosters the development of progressive, collaborative conservation partnerships and facilitates<br />

effective communication and information flow between cheetah conservationists worldwide.<br />

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Appendix 5: The Endangered Wildlife Trust<br />

The Endangered Wildlife Trust (EWT) is a South-African-based non-governmental, non-profit,<br />

conservation organisation, founded in 1973 to conserve threatened species and ecosystems<br />

in southern Africa, for the benefit of all the people of the sub-region. The EWT has a vision of<br />

individual and collective responsibility which transcends political ideologies and historical<br />

divisions of the past, and bestows a duty of care on all as custodians of our amazing natural<br />

wealth in the subcontinent. The EWT catalyses conservation outcomes through identifying<br />

priority conservation needs and establishing and facilitating dedicated multi-stakeholder<br />

Working Groups which:<br />

Initiate research and conservation action programmes;<br />

Implement projects which mitigate threats facing species survival;<br />

Develop and support sustainable natural resource management programmes across<br />

all stakeholder groups, from individual land-owners, to rural communities, to urban<br />

environments;<br />

Create environmental awareness, implement environmental education and build<br />

capacity for broader public environmental action;<br />

Strive to integrate environmental, social and economic imperatives within the context<br />

of achieving sustainable development;<br />

Advocate and communicate the principles of sustainable living through awareness<br />

programmes to the broadest possible constituency for the benefit of the region.<br />

The EWT operates uniquely, establishing dedicated Working Groups through which the<br />

mission and objectives of the Trust can be achieved. These Working Groups comprise the<br />

operational units of the organisation and are essentially self-managed programmes<br />

harnessing the talent and enthusiasm of a dynamic network of specialists and stakeholders in<br />

an area of conservation priority. Existing Working Groups have developed highly credible track<br />

records effecting conservation outcomes (see www.ewt.org.za).<br />

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