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A Christmas Poem - University of Idaho Extension (Ver página)

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ITCT contact info:<br />

Editor: Luke Erickson—Rexburg<br />

erickson@uidaho.edu<br />

Lyle Hansen—Jerome<br />

lhansen@uidaho.edu<br />

Marnie Spencer—Bingham<br />

marniers@uidaho.edu<br />

Marilyn Bisch<strong>of</strong>f—Boise<br />

mbisch<strong>of</strong>@uidaho.edu<br />

Jim Schaffer—<strong>Idaho</strong> Falls<br />

schaffer@uidaho.edu<br />

-Track<br />

Spending<br />

-Save for<br />

Emergencies<br />

-Become<br />

Debt Free<br />

-Save For<br />

Retirement<br />

-Teach Kids About<br />

Money<br />

-Own Your Home<br />

-Leave a<br />

Legacy<br />

A <strong>Christmas</strong> <strong>Poem</strong><br />

Luke Erickson<br />

Let me share a tale about Harry and Ed McDougal.<br />

Harry liked spending, but Ed was more frugal.<br />

This <strong>Christmas</strong> Harry bought Ed a shiny new bugle,<br />

But Ed spent more time searching, starting with Google.<br />

Google gave Ed a few starting ideas,<br />

“Perhaps I could give Harry a gift card to Maria’s,<br />

Authentic cuisine, complete with tortillas,<br />

With waiters who always say ‘Muchas Graci-as.’”<br />

“Or maybe I’ll get Harry an i with a Pod,<br />

Or maybe I’ll get him a new shiny hot-rod,<br />

Or an Alaskan cruise where he can go fishing for cod.”<br />

But then Ed realized that his thoughts were quite odd.<br />

“I’m Ed McDougal, known for my thrift,<br />

I don’t need to give Harry an extravagant gift,<br />

He just needs to know I care,” he sniffed.<br />

“But <strong>Christmas</strong> is coming, I need to be swift.”<br />

<strong>Christmas</strong> morning arrived and Ed felt a little uneasy.<br />

Ed worried that Harry would find his gift cheesy.<br />

When Harry began to unwrap, Ed became queasy,<br />

He tried a distraction, “Let’s go play some Parcheesi!”<br />

But that morning Parcheesi was not to be played,<br />

Harry opened his gift, at first a little dismayed.<br />

“It’s nothing too fancy, it’s actually home-made,<br />

I put together home movies from the 80’s decade.”<br />

“I used a friend’s computer to make the DVD,<br />

It’s from when we were kids, here, pop it in and see.”<br />

Acid washed jeans, feathered hair, the old Atari,<br />

Transformers, He-man and even ET.<br />

Changing the<br />

financial lives <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>Idaho</strong>ans, two<br />

cents at a time!<br />

December, 2008<br />

“Man the 80’s hit us hard! This is true hilarity.<br />

This is the best gift I’ve received,” Harry said with sincerity.<br />

Receive <strong>Idaho</strong>’s Two ¢ent Tips every month by sending an email to erickson@uidaho.edu<br />

with the word “subscribe” on the subject line.


Just for laughs!<br />

Email “subscribe” to erickson@uidaho.edu<br />

<strong>Extension</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>essionals work with the people <strong>of</strong> <strong>Idaho</strong> to address<br />

youth, community, family, environmental, natural resource<br />

and agricultural issues.<br />

<strong>Christmas</strong> morning the brothers spent in solidarity,<br />

But the brothers each had a much different prosperity.<br />

You see, Harry spent way too much on Ed’s horn.<br />

He spent the next year in debt and forlorn,<br />

“I haven’t felt so poor since the day I was born!<br />

I have way too much debt from <strong>Christmas</strong>,” he did mourn.<br />

“I need some kind <strong>of</strong> bailout just like Fannie Mae,<br />

I’ve got an idea! I’ll cash out my 401(k)!<br />

It was once worth 5 grand but worth only 9 dollars today,”<br />

Harry asked Ed’s advice but Ed said, “No way, Jose!”<br />

“I know that since <strong>Christmas</strong> you’ve been real low on money,<br />

But cashing out now is a big mistake, sonny!<br />

When you’re old you’ll be rich, it won’t even be funny!”<br />

“Thanks Ed,” Harry sniffed, ‘cause his nose became runny.<br />

“But I don’t know what to do to get rid <strong>of</strong> this debt,”<br />

He wished he had not borrowed for the shiny cornet.<br />

“<strong>Christmas</strong> debt is not good, Harry, don’t you forget,<br />

There’s no way out <strong>of</strong> loans, except through hard work and sweat.”<br />

Ed then showed Harry the interest on what he bought,<br />

How it added up to much much more than he thought,<br />

And Harry finally learned to do what he ought,<br />

“From now on I won’t ever spend more than I got!”<br />

Knock Debt Down for the Count!<br />

Lyle Hansen<br />

Creditor Name Balance Payment %Rate Pay<strong>of</strong>f Time<br />

Credit Card#1 $5,000 $150.00 19.99% 4 years 2 mos<br />

Feb 2012<br />

Credit Card #2 $3,500 $105.00 17.99% 5 years 6 mos<br />

Department<br />

Card<br />

June 2013<br />

$750 $22.50 24.99% 4 years 10 mos<br />

Oct 2012<br />

Car Loan $7,500 $300.00 7.99% 3 years 8 mos<br />

Aug 2011<br />

<strong>University</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Idaho</strong> <strong>Extension</strong> is your source for unbiased financial Information.<br />

The <strong>University</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Idaho</strong> <strong>Extension</strong> System does not sell, promote or endorse any financial product or institution. Our programs are strictly educational. Seek pr<strong>of</strong>essional advice<br />

from your accountant or financial advisor for specific product information. The <strong>University</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Idaho</strong> provides equal opportunity in education and employment on the basis <strong>of</strong> race,<br />

color, national origin, religion, sex, sexual orientation, age, disability, or status as a disabled veteran or Vietnam-era veteran, as required by state and federal laws.


Electronic copies <strong>of</strong> this newsletter are available at http://extension.ag.uidaho.edu/madison<br />

Let’s face it, most <strong>of</strong> us have debt in some form or another<br />

and it <strong>of</strong>ten can be very overwhelming and hard<br />

to manage. Like losing weight you need to have a plan<br />

to effectively knock out your debt. To effectively<br />

knock out debt you need to first, make a commitment<br />

to stop spending or charging any debt. Second, create<br />

an effective plan to knock your debt out. If you are<br />

ready to follow step one there is a great free resource<br />

available to help you with the second step<br />

www.powerpay.org. Power Pay is a computer debt<br />

management program created by Utah State <strong>University</strong><br />

<strong>Extension</strong>. It is available in English and Espanol and<br />

is very easy to use. I recently went to<br />

www.powerpay.org and set up an account to try the<br />

program out. To run the program you have to enter<br />

information about each <strong>of</strong> your debts. For example I<br />

entered the following debts and listed minimum payments<br />

for all debts.<br />

As you can see from looking at the pay<strong>of</strong>f time, making<br />

only minimum payments can take a long time to<br />

get out <strong>of</strong> heavy debt.<br />

All you need to run the program is information about<br />

each debt. The program will compute how long it will<br />

take you to get completely out <strong>of</strong> debt. If you only<br />

make the minimum payments it can take almost a lifetime<br />

to get out <strong>of</strong> heavy debt. The idea behind Power<br />

Pay is that once you have paid <strong>of</strong>f one debt you roll<br />

that payment onto another debt thus increasing the<br />

payment made on the second debt. This pattern continues<br />

until all the money you are paying in a month is<br />

going to pay <strong>of</strong>f the last debt. Power Pay will calculate<br />

which debt will be in your best interest to pay <strong>of</strong>f first,<br />

With Power Payments Without Power Payments<br />

Creditor # <strong>of</strong> payments Total Paid Int Paid # <strong>of</strong> payments Total Paid Int Paid<br />

Credit Card #1 35 $6,762.9 1,762.94 50 $7,357.03 $2,357.03<br />

Credit Card #2 38 $4,808.26 $1,308.26 47 $4,887.20 $1,387.23<br />

Department Store Card 12 $853.53 $103.53 58 $1,293.40 $543.40<br />

Car Loan 41 $861.52 $1,151.52 44 $8,664.50 $1,164.54<br />

Pay<strong>of</strong>f Time: Pay<strong>of</strong>f Time:<br />

3 yrs 5 mos Apr 2012<br />

Total Paid: Total Paid:<br />

$21,076.25 $22,202..20<br />

Total Interest: Total Interest:<br />

$4,326.25 $5,452.20<br />

Power Pay Benefits<br />

Time Reduction:<br />

1 year 5 months<br />

Amount Saved:<br />

$,125.95<br />

4 yrs 10 mos Sep 2013<br />

and provide you with an amortization chart. The amortization<br />

chart will give you month-by-month instruction on<br />

when and how much to pay which creditor. In the following<br />

example I used the above debts and entered them into<br />

the Power Pay system and calculated to pay <strong>of</strong>f debt by the<br />

highest interest first.<br />

A Better Perspective<br />

Luke Erickson<br />

Tell me if this sounds familiar.<br />

You’re trying to get home after<br />

work, and you’re cruising down<br />

main street. There’s a stack <strong>of</strong><br />

at least a dozen cars in the righthand<br />

lane and only one in the<br />

left. The car on the left might<br />

simply be planning to drive<br />

straight through on the next<br />

green light, but he just might be<br />

waiting to turn left onto Center<br />

Street, and has failed properly to indicate his intentions by<br />

using the left blinker like any normal non-idiotic person<br />

would do. I mean, blinkers were invented for a reason<br />

right? Are they really so hard to use? Is it too much to ask<br />

for a little flick <strong>of</strong> the wrist? Blinkers work wonders!<br />

Um, so where was I? Oh, so do you take the chance or<br />

wait behind the dozen car stack? You’re feeling courageous,<br />

and so you pull into the left lane, properly signaling<br />

first <strong>of</strong> course, and just as you ease in behind the car and<br />

the light turns green the driver pulls up a little and then<br />

slams on his brakes, and then to add insult to injury he sud-


denly flips on his left blinker, as though it is just a reminder<br />

<strong>of</strong> something you should have known already.<br />

You entirely miss the green light, because the leftturner<br />

has to wait for the dozen-car stack in the opposing<br />

lane, and by the time you get home your mood has<br />

completely soured, and you look at the clock and realize<br />

its only 5:11, and not 5:10 when you usually pull<br />

in.<br />

My point? In a big picture sense it makes no difference<br />

whether you get home at 5:10 or 5:11, unless <strong>of</strong><br />

course it’s the middle <strong>of</strong> the winter and that was the<br />

one remaining minute <strong>of</strong> daylight you had left. But in<br />

spite <strong>of</strong> this fact I actually do catch myself complaining<br />

about Rexburg traffic now and again, and this from<br />

a guy who’s lived in Cleveland, and worse yet, the<br />

dreaded Utah Valley. But putting things into perspective<br />

I realize that we don’t really have it that bad in<br />

rural Rexburg.<br />

Recent complaints about plummeting retirement accounts,<br />

and depreciating housing values, lost bonuses,<br />

or the like, and my tendency is to join along in the chorus<br />

<strong>of</strong> complainers about my perceived reduced quality<br />

<strong>of</strong> life. Never mind that most <strong>of</strong> my sour mood can be<br />

attributed to the act <strong>of</strong> complaining and not the actual<br />

problems I’m complaining about!<br />

But if I wanted to truly put things in perspective I<br />

could easily flashback to a much different time in my<br />

life about eight years ago where I sat on a bamboo<br />

floor on a dark humid night. In a one-room hut lit only<br />

by a small oil lamp, I visited with a couple who, along<br />

with their seven small children were only able to eat<br />

one meal <strong>of</strong> rice that day with a few vegetables to<br />

share between them. You might say this family I met<br />

in the Philippines while on a religious mission had<br />

some things to complain about—but in that very setting<br />

I described, instead <strong>of</strong> uttering a word <strong>of</strong> complaint<br />

I actually found that family singing, laughing,<br />

telling stories and looking to the future with hope, in<br />

spite <strong>of</strong> their overwhelming poverty.<br />

These are tumultuous times we are facing as a country,<br />

that will likely affect us all in one way or another. Job<br />

stability, retirement savings, home values and all legitimate<br />

concerns, but before you start chanting “Woe<br />

is me!” and point fingers, as we might have a tendency<br />

to do, realize that the vast majority <strong>of</strong> the world’s<br />

population would love to have the luxury <strong>of</strong> worrying<br />

about these types <strong>of</strong> problems. This isn’t to belittle<br />

anyone’s current future financial troubles, but only to<br />

help us put things in proper perspective. You might<br />

realize that, in a manner <strong>of</strong> speaking, you’re complaining<br />

about getting home at 5:11 instead <strong>of</strong> 5:10 when<br />

there are those who won’t make it home at all.<br />

Email “subscribe” to erickson@uidaho.edu<br />

Managing Money in Tough<br />

Economic Times<br />

Marilyn Bisch<strong>of</strong>f<br />

More Americans feel stress and anxiety about their financial<br />

future as rising consumer debt, falling housing prices,<br />

rising costs <strong>of</strong> living, declining retail sales, and declining<br />

assets in retirement accounts bring up worries about the<br />

nation’s economic health.<br />

Money is <strong>of</strong>ten on the minds <strong>of</strong> most Americans. In fact,<br />

according to the American Psychological Association’s<br />

2007 Stress in America survey, money and work are two <strong>of</strong><br />

the top sources <strong>of</strong> stress for almost 75 percent <strong>of</strong> Americans.<br />

Add to the mix headlines declaring an economic recession,<br />

and many begin to fear how they can handle any<br />

further financial crunch.<br />

Learning positive money management techniques can help<br />

individuals and their families adapt to tough economic<br />

times. <strong>Extension</strong> specialists in several states developed a<br />

new eXtension website to help consumers with financial<br />

issues. More then 30 topics are addressed on the website<br />

titled, Managing Money in Tough Economic Times. Your<br />

clients can access the information at http://<br />

www.extension.org/pagesFinancial_Security:_Managing_<br />

Money_in_Tough_Times.<br />

Save Money on Food<br />

Shopping<br />

Marnie Spencer<br />

In a recent article, I discussed the costs <strong>of</strong> groceries and<br />

gave some brief suggestions on ways to save money. This<br />

article expands on ways to save<br />

money while shopping while still<br />

eating healthfully.<br />

Plan<br />

The most important step in saving<br />

money is to plan ahead. This means<br />

making a menu, writing a grocery list<br />

based on that menu, and sticking to<br />

the list while shopping. Basing your<br />

menu around the food that is on sale<br />

that week can be a money-saver.<br />

Alternately, if you have a standard<br />

menu that you cycle through, buy<br />

items for the meals when they are on sale and store them in<br />

the freezer or pantry. The grocery list should include food


for all meals and ingredients for one or two super<br />

quick meals for days when the original plan doesn’t<br />

work out. My research shows that a person can cook a<br />

quick meal and have it on the table in a shorter time<br />

than driving to a fast-food restaurant. Not only is it<br />

quicker, it is much less expensive and healthier.<br />

Choose Healthy Food<br />

A 2002 study published in the Journal <strong>of</strong> the American<br />

Dietetic Association found that eating healthier food<br />

can save money. The families in the study saved<br />

money by reducing portion sizes and cutting down on<br />

“extras”—foods that add calories but little nutritional<br />

value. So, when shopping, consider the nutritional<br />

value <strong>of</strong> food for the price.<br />

10 More Money-Saving Tips<br />

1. Buy produce in season. Each season has wonderful<br />

fruits and vegetables that are reasonably priced.<br />

2. Use sales and coupons. In addition to shopping<br />

sales which was mentioned above, using coupons<br />

wisely can be a money-saver.<br />

3. Brown bag it. Make your lunch rather than buying<br />

lunch. Use leftovers for meals at work, school, or<br />

wherever you a re going. If you don’t have access<br />

to a refrigerator, use freezer packs.<br />

4. Use frozen, canned, or dried products. They are<br />

<strong>of</strong>ten less expensive than fresh ingredients, yet<br />

equally nutritious.<br />

5. Save on protein foods. Non-meat protein sources<br />

such as beans, eggs, and legumes are an inexpensive<br />

source <strong>of</strong> protein. When you do buy meat,<br />

choose smaller portions <strong>of</strong> lean meat, poultry, and<br />

seafood.<br />

6. Waste not, want not. Before you buy perishable<br />

foods, decide whether you will be able to use them<br />

while they are still fresh. Leftovers can be used<br />

for soups, stews, salads and casseroles to create a<br />

new version <strong>of</strong> the food.<br />

7. Go generic. Store brands are usually less expensive<br />

than national brands. Sometimes they are the<br />

same product with a different label. And all food<br />

manufacturers follow standards for safe, quality<br />

food.<br />

8. Buy prepackaged only if you need to. They almost<br />

always are more expensive.<br />

9. Buy and cook in bulk. Buying<br />

in bulk can be a great way to save<br />

money, if the food gets used. Some<br />

stores have bulk bins that let you<br />

choose how much you buy. Cooking<br />

larger quantities <strong>of</strong> food and<br />

freezing them in family-size or in-<br />

dividual-size portions can also save money and yield<br />

tasty meals that only need to be heated.<br />

10. Plant a garden. Although gardening season is winding<br />

down, start planning a garden for next year. If space<br />

is an issue, consider container gardens for tomatoes,<br />

herbs, and other produce. The extension <strong>of</strong>fice has<br />

resources on freezing, drying and canning your harvest,<br />

so you can enjoy summer’s bounty all year long.<br />

Reference: Web MD<br />

When Should I Feel Comfortable<br />

Investing Again?<br />

Jim Schaffer<br />

We get a lot <strong>of</strong> questions about when we should feel comfortable<br />

buying into or back into the stock market. Some<br />

<strong>of</strong> us never got out <strong>of</strong> the market and have suffered serious<br />

asset declines in recent months. However, once the market<br />

goes “low enough”, it becomes a buying opportunity.<br />

Financial experts define a bear market as one in which the<br />

“market” has lost in excess <strong>of</strong> 20% <strong>of</strong> its value. Since<br />

1950 the S&P 500 has experienced nine bear markets and<br />

one near bear in 1990 (-19.9%) as shown in the first chart.<br />

The question most investors have is, “How do we know<br />

when it’s hit bottom?”<br />

A resource that I like to study is the website dshort.com,<br />

called Financial Life Cycle Planning. Doug Short <strong>of</strong>ten<br />

has very interesting charts and graphs with excellent analyses<br />

<strong>of</strong> their implications. The following two charts came<br />

from his website and show the bear markets since 1950<br />

and the four worst bear markets in the well recorded history<br />

<strong>of</strong> the U.S. stock market, respectively. If you go to<br />

dshort.com and look at these charts on that website, you<br />

will discover a great deal more detail and Mr. Short’s<br />

analyses. I’d recommend you “bookmark” his website for<br />

future reference.<br />

Data provided by Prudential reveal that <strong>of</strong> the nine bear<br />

markets since 1950 (excluding the current one and including<br />

the 1990 “near bear”), the average loss from the prebear<br />

peak was 32%. The average recovery in the year following<br />

the bear market low was 36%. But that recovery<br />

potential depended on targeting the exact “bottom” <strong>of</strong> the<br />

bear market. Most <strong>of</strong> us don’t know how to hit the bear<br />

market “bottom” and are simply left to guess that the market<br />

has hit bottom.<br />

Short’s detailed charts reveal that the length <strong>of</strong> the<br />

“bottom” ranged from six weeks to almost 8 months for<br />

the bear markets since 1950. His analysis on the current


ear market claim that we have been searching for the<br />

“bottom” for almost eight weeks already.<br />

The second chart shows relative lengths and severity <strong>of</strong><br />

the four worst U.S. bear markets. The graph shows<br />

that those “bad” bear markets span differing periods <strong>of</strong><br />

time. With the exception <strong>of</strong> the worst bear market in<br />

our history (1929 to 1932 total loss <strong>of</strong> 89.2%), the<br />

other three worst losses approximated 50%. The current<br />

bear market began October 9, 2007 and has appeared<br />

to “bottom” on November 20, 2008 with a<br />

51.9% loss. If the market goes no lower than on that<br />

date, the current “bad” bear will have lasted slightly<br />

over one year. The recent bear market associated with<br />

the crash in technology stocks lasted over two years<br />

before rebounding.<br />

Note that the worst bear begun in 1929 approached a<br />

50% loss within two months <strong>of</strong> its beginning. There<br />

was an apparent recovery that spanned many months.<br />

Then a gradual decline set in that spanned almost two<br />

more years. Analyses by economics historians in recent<br />

years have placed the blame for the length <strong>of</strong> the Great<br />

Depression on government policies that exacerbated the<br />

problem <strong>of</strong> the recession, extended a recession into a depression,<br />

and extended the losses in the stock market.<br />

While we may never know that for sure, many legal and<br />

regulatory changes occurred after the Great Depression to<br />

protect savers and investors from the dramatic and extended<br />

losses that occurred at that time. Whether they will<br />

work to protect us this time will only be known for sure<br />

after the fact.<br />

Another important point needs to be acknowledged. Those<br />

<strong>of</strong> us who have invested in, or only in, recent years have<br />

now experienced two <strong>of</strong> the worst bear markets in U.S.<br />

stock market history. That makes most people a little nervous<br />

about investing at all at a time like this let along taking<br />

money from cash or bonds to buy more stocks right now.<br />

So what lesson should you take away from this? Savvy<br />

long term investors are calling this a “buying opportunity.”


As an investor who has been investing during four<br />

bears and the one “near” bear, I know that I should be<br />

rebalancing my portfolio and taking assets from a relatively<br />

secure bond fund to move them to a potentially<br />

risky stock fund. However, I have not done that yet<br />

because I am not certain that we have finally hit the<br />

stock market “bottom” for this serious bear market.<br />

One technique that I have used is to “dollar cost average”<br />

into the stock market with my monthly contribution<br />

to my retirement account. Prior to the recent market<br />

losses, my monthly contribution was allocated 60%<br />

to the purchase <strong>of</strong> stock funds and 40% to bond funds.<br />

Just recently, I switched my allocation so that 100% <strong>of</strong><br />

my upcoming monthly retirement contribution goes to<br />

purchase stock funds. That will move my asset allocation<br />

more slowly into stocks and should allow me to<br />

purchase some <strong>of</strong> my stock funds at the market<br />

“bottom.” It also protects me from making a major<br />

purchasing mistake by making it all at one time. How-<br />

ever, if we have already passed the bear market “bottom,” I<br />

will be precluded from making big gains by rebalancing at<br />

the “right” time.<br />

Prudential makes the point about recessions and bear markets<br />

that the stock market’s low point and recovery have<br />

occurred while the recession was still taking place. According<br />

to them, “… historically the most pessimistic period<br />

has made for good long term buying opportunities.”<br />

Take this as food for thought as you contemplate important<br />

purchasing or rebalancing decisions in a risky market like<br />

this.

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